Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday January, 20

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday January, 20

Dave CokinFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Clemson at North Carolina State
Pick: North Carolina StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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North Carolina State figured to be in a dead spot off the upset win against Duke. Sure enough, the Wolfpack came up short in a trip to Maryland. But they actually impressed me in the defeat. I thought the defense would suffer, but the fact is they played with plenty of focus. They simply could not get the ball to go in the basket, which is highly unusual for one of the best shooting teams in the country. Back home and now off a loss, I have to think NC State gets it back together today. Clemson is off a pair of quality wins, but those were at Littlejohn. The away from home stats for the Tigers are almost comically awful. The tough part here is that Clemson is working very hard on defense and this is a good sized number to spot against a team that has that scratch and claw mentality. But with the Tigers as inept offensively as they have been shooting threes away from their friendly confines, I'm less worried about the late back door bombs if they're behind. That's always a factor for me when considering laying a bigger number. Since it's not a major worry here, I'll go ahead with North Carolina State today.

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SPORTS WAGERSFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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DETROIT +113 over BostonFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Prior to losing two straight, the Celtics had won six in a row and looked very good in doing so. An OT loss in Chicago in their last is nothing to get concerned over but it may have gone unnoticed that Avery Bradley missed that game and he's going to miss this one too. That's significant because Boston's win streak coincided with the return of Avery. With Avery in, the C's are 7-1 and without him they're 13-18. He provides energy, rebounding and he's an outstanding defender. Whether he plays or not clearly has an impact on the outcome of Boston's games.
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The Pistons went on a very nice run in late December with eight wins in 10 games but are laboring once again with three losses in four games (all at the Palace) including one to the Bobcats. However, the Pistons are the best under .500 team in the NBA with an outstanding bench and an impact rookie in Andre Drummond that deserves so much more press than he's getting. Throw in Detroit's 10th ranked rebounding and 10th best defense and you can see that what we saw in late December is what we should be seeing more of. The Piston's seem to match up well against the Celtics with two double digit wins over them this season but the market price doesn't reflect their dominance over this visitor. We'll look to take advantage of that.
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Illinois State -2½ over SOUTHERN ILLINOISFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Redbirds of Illinois State are dead last in the Missouri Valley with an 0-6 record so it may come as a bit of a surprise to see this team favored on the road against the more well-known Salukis of Southern Illinois. Truth be told, what's incredible is not that the Redbirds are favored, but that 0-6 record for a team this talented. Illinois State will not keep losing games at this pace.
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As recently as two weeks ago, the Redbirds were ranked 59th on Jay Bilas's top 68 rankings. They went into #1 Louisville on December 1 and lost by three. Against #16 Creighton they lost by seven. Illinois State's strength of schedule ranks 108 out of 347 while the Salukis SOS ranks 208 th. The Redbirds are not an 0-6 MVC club. They were supposed to be a threat to win this conference and we get an extremely beatable number here based on their misleading and puzzling conference start. All things being equal, the Redbirds ascension up the standings begins today.

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SPORTS WAGERSFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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PHOENIX +110 over ChicagoFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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OT included. The Blackhawks' win over the Kings yesterday afternoon was not as convincing as the final score. Chicago ran into a shaky Jonathan Quick and capitalized on the few scoring chances they had. That's not to say they're imposters because offensively, this visitor is scary good. However, the Coyotes defense and goaltending as good as anyone's and this game is not going to be as easy as yesterday's.
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The Coyotes opened the season in Dallas and lost 4-3. However, Phoenix deserved a better fate, as they were the better team that carried the play from the start. The Coyotes had a strong season last year and they're going to be even stronger this time around. Led by Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Keith Yandle and the newly acquired, former Coyote Zbynek Michalek, Phoenix's defense doesn't get near the recognition they deserve because of the market they play in. Remember, this is a team that went to the conference finals last year and if guys like Lauri Korpikoski and Mikkel Boedker play to their potential, Phoenix is not going to be as offensively challenged as most think. The Coyotes are going to be a tough out again and as a dog in their own rink, they'll continue to offer up value.
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VANCOUVER -½ +111 over EdmontonFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Regulation time. So now what? About 27 minutes into his status as the new #1 goalie in Vancouver, Cory Schneider was pulled after allowing five goals and the Canucks were buried by Anaheim 7-3. Relax folks. One game does not make a season and these Canucks are not about to lie down after such a humiliating opener. As a result of that humbling performance last night, the Canucks are undervalued. How could they be a -156 favorite last night against Anaheim and just a -140 favorite over a team they've owned at this venue? Again, it's based on one game and we get to take advantage of that.
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The Oilers haven't had this much hype surrounding them coming into a a season since Wayne Gretzky was wearing his famous #99 in an Edmonton uniform. The Oilers are loaded with young talent and the optimism could be warranted. Led by Jordan Eberle, Taylor Hall, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Justin Schultz and Nail Yakupov, these kids are primed to make a run. However, it's the first game, they have a new coach and they still have an unproven defense and potentially shaky goaltending. They Oilers also have just one win in Vancouver over their past nine games here and went 1-5 overall in this series last season while being outscored 15-7 in the last four. Have things changed that much? We're not buying that just yet.

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JR O'DonnellFOR SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Indiana -11FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Hooisers get after these NW Wildcats as the 1 PM TIP goes to the  Tom Crean led Hooisers who will get back on track " IN A BIG WAY"!!!...... BAD SPOT FOR A N WEST WILDCATS..  Power Rated from our camp @ - 16 points ... Off a 37% shooting performance last game in a loss to  the Wisky Badgers & these 15-2 and # 2 ranked Hooisers will smeel blood after that Ville loss yesterday... The #'s are spot on ...Indy scores @ 85.4 points per game plus  one of the best shooting  clubs @ 50.3 percent.

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Indiana/ Northwestern Over 137: The Hoosiers scored just 59 points in the loss to Wisconsin and you can bet that they will look to get their run and gun offense going in this one. Indiana averages 85.4 ppg overall and 71.5 pg on the road. I know their average isn’t great on the road, but I do see them hitting at least 75 in this one. The Cats have played pretty good defense this year, but that has broken down some of late as they have allowed 58.2 ppg in Big 10 play thus far. Northwestern averages a modest 61.3 ppg in Big 10 play, but they also average 66.3 ppg at home overall and did put up 66 points on a good Michigan defense at home as well. The Hoosier defense has struggled of late as they have allowed 72.5 ppg in their last 2 games and should allow the Cats to get in the uppers 60’s in this one. The Over is 8-2 in Northwestern’s last 10 home games and 11-3 in the last 14 meetings. I expect the mid 140’s in this one.
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Clemson/ NC State Over 133: Clemson may have been able to slow some teams down of late, but I don't see it happening in this one. NC State is off a game at Maryland, in which just 101 points were scored, but that wont happen in their house tonight. Wolfpack home games this year have averaged 156.1 ppg, with not one of those games posting less than 143 points. In their two ACC home games 160 and 153 points were scored. They did play a similar slow down team (Georgia Tech) on this floor and 153 points were put up in that one. NC State averages 86.3 ppg n their home floor and they did put up 84 points here on a very tough Duke defense, so scoring 75+ on Clemson can be expected in this one. The Tigers are weak on offense (55.6 ppg on the road), but in a fast paced game they will get plenty of scoring chances, plus NC State does allow 68.9 ppg at home. I clearly expect this one in the 140's, because after their last game the Wolfpack will not let Clemson slow this one down in their own house.

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Cajun SportsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Thunder vs. NuggetsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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We want to play Under on NBA home teams with a total in this price range after they sailed over the total by at least thirty-six points in their last five outings, as long as both of our teams have winning records on the season and in this case this game qualifies. The last three seasons have seen this system pile up the winners going 31-8 Under over that span including a perfect 7-0 Under this season. The average score in qualifying games has the host averaging 100.2 and the visitor averaging 97.5. Play UNDER
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PROJECTED FORECAST: 2* Oklahoma City 101 Denver Nuggets 99

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Harry Bondi

DENVER (+1.5) over Oklahoma City

FREE PICKS are now 14-6 (70%) our last 20 and tonight we go after another NBA winner. This is a bad spot for the powerful Thunder, who are in the midst of a six-game road trip. They just blew out Denver earlier in the week at home and have a big game with the LA Clippers on deck. Denver, meanwhile, was playing its best basketball of the season before the setback to OKC on Wednesday, a loss that snapped a six-game winning streak. Denver followed that up with a loss to Washington on Friday night, but the team was clearly still stinging from the disappointing effort against the Thunder and looking ahead to tonight's game. The Nuggets are a solid 11-5 ATS on this floor and haven't lost three games in a row since November. Take the home dog.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday January, 20

SEAN MICHAELS

The total for the New England-Baltimore contest is sitting at 51 1/2 points.

Considering the outcome of the season's first go-round, the quick-strike potential of Tom Brady's offense, the improvement in Baltimore's vertical passing attack since the change in offensive coordinators, and the fact the Ravens defense has been on the field so much against Indianapolis and Denver the past two weekends, the over would be the no-brainer play.

But that would be an incorrect assumption.

The Ravens know to beat New England today they've got to be successful running the ball with Ray Rice. The longer they keep Brady off the field, the better their chances.

The Patriots, on the other hand, are well aware of Baltimore's inability to stop the run this season. They know if they run the ball successfully, as they have all season, they made Brady more dangerous and wear out the already tired Ravens defense. And with Rob Gronkowski out, they've got to diversify their attack even more.

This line was set for public consumption because Joe Q. Public is anticipating a high-scoring shootout. Instead, I think the opposite occurs with both teams struggling to get out of the 20's.

2* NEW ENGLAND-BALTIMORE OVER

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday January, 20

CHRIS JORDAN

My free play for tonight is going to be on the Northern Iowa Panthers, who are laying 10 to Drake at McLeod Center in Cedar Falls, Iowa.

Both teams are having so-so years, with UNI checking in at 9-9 overall and 2-4 in Missouri Valley Conference play, and Drake at 8-9 and an identical 2-4. But given I've seen the Panthers play here in Las Vegas, I know what this team is capable of.

The Panthers have played an impressive preseason schedule, and that's going to help them thrive in games like this. In the Battle of Atlantis they lost to Louisville, Stanford and Memphis. They lost at home to Iowa and in the game I saw the Runnin' Rebels took the win. And they just covered the number in a loss at Creighton.

But those were all lessons learned for the Panthers, who have won six of the last seven meetings between these two schools. And with the Bulldogs mired in a 3-7 spread slide, I think they're in big trouble tonight against a dangerous, 3-point shooting Panthers team.

1* NORTHERN IOWA

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday January, 20

CHUCK O'BRIEN

The last time the 14th-ranked N.C. State lost a game, it was able to rebound an reel off 10 straight wins, giving the program its longest winning streak since 1988-89.

So after a disappointing 51-50 loss at Maryland on Wednesday, which followed the team's season staplemark win over then-top-ranked Duke, I suspect we're going to see North Carolina State on fire in Raleigh, North Carolina today.

That's why my freebie is on the Pack (14-3 overall, 3-1 ACC), which returns to action for the first time since that loss, hosting the Clemson Tigers (10-6, 2-2) at sold-out PNC Arena.

Under coach Mark Gottfried, his Pack is 10-5 over the last two seasons following a loss. And this is another good spot to score an easy win, as it will be looking to extend its home winning streak to 11 games.

They're not only winning at home, but dating back to last season the Pack is on a 9-1 ATS win streak in conference play, while sporting a 13-3 spread spree after covering the number.

I'm taking the home team in this Atlantic Coast Conference clash.

1* N.C. STATE

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CRAIG DAVIS

Today's free play is on NC State to whip Clemson in ACC play. These two teams will tip off for the 146th time, but today's meeting features a NC State team that isn't very happy, coming in off a one-point loss at Maryland... their first in the ACC.

Ironically, the Tigers have quietly played very well vs. the Wolfpack, winning the last four meetings and seven of the last nine, regardless of which team had a better record. Clemson struggled to start the ACC season, dropping both of their first two games, but have played better recently, beating Wake Forest and Virginia, holding both teams to 44 points.

I will admit, if the Tigers play that type of defense today, it's going to be tough for NC State to cover the 10 points I'm asking them to reach.

NC State, meanwhile, comes into this game a little more focused as they were brought back down to earth from last Saturday's big home win over then #1 Duke. Wednesday's one-point loss to Maryland was a wake up call for the Pack, and I'm expecting them to find it within themselves to get the "mojo" back.

4* NC STATE

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MATT RIVERS

For Sunday, go with NC State to put a hurting on Clemson.

State saw their 10 game winning streak come to a halt in College Park earlier this week, as the Wolfpack dropped a tough one-point decision to Maryland.

Now back at home, and in revenge for an overtime loss at Clemson the last time these conference rivals squared off, expect the Pack to put the hammer down on a Clemson team that is playing for just the second time on the road this new year.

The Tigers last effort away from home was a 28-point loss at Duke, and while NC State may not be thought of in Duke's class, let me remind you the Wolfpack did beat Duke in Raleigh the last time they played at home.

NC State has gone 6-2 against the spread in their lined home games this season, and they did win and cover the last home meeting in this series against the Tigers.

This one gets ugly before it is all said and done.

Back the Pack!

2* NC STATE

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JEFF BENTON

Sunday's freebie is Dallas over Orlando.

The Mavericks saw their four game winning streak snapped on Friday night, but Dallas did acquit themselves well, playing Oklahoma City right down to the wire in an overtime loss on their home floor.

Orlando was stopped at home by lowly Charlotte on Friday, and the Magic is now on a 2-12 straight up slide their last 14 games, with a 7-7 spread mark.

Dallas has won seven of the last ten series meetings straight up, and the visitor in this East/West series has not only won the last eight meetings, but has covered in ALL eight of those meetings.

Go with the Mavericks here, as the visitor pushes the win and cover streak to nine in a row.

4* DALLAS

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday January, 20

SCOTT DELANEY

My free pick for Sunday night is out of the NBA, as I like the Oklahoma City Thunder laying a cheap number against the Denver Nuggets. The other night the Nuggets didn't bother playing the Washington Wizards the way they should have, likely cause they were looking ahead to this game.

Now they have to deal with the most lethal scorer in the world, and the best team in the NBA, and I don't think the Nuggets have the personnel to keep up with the Thunder.

Just this past week the Thunder dominated Denver at Chesaapeake Energy Arena, 117-97, going wire-to-wire in the 20-point romp. They built a lead as big as 28 points, and never let the Nuggets get back within 15 after intermission. It was quite impressive. Through the Thunder's first half of the season, I have to say, it might have been the most complete game of the campaign I've seen them play.

Now they meet again.

Do I expect the same near-flawless game? No. But the matchups are the same and there's no reason the Thunder can't steal this win. Especially since they're on another nice little run, having won four straight while ordering room service, a good sign since they're opening a season-high six-game junket tonight.

The team carrying luggage in this series has covered six of the last seven meetings, so I'm just fine with the cheap number the Thunder are laying on the moneyline. Why the moneyline? Why not... I'm willing to lay up to -150 in baseball at times, so why not -115 with the best team in basketball?

Take the Thunder to win this game.

3* OKLAHOMA CITY MONEYLINE

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Teddy CoversFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Iona vs. RiderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Iona is the highest scoring team in the MAAC, and their totals reflect that fact.  Lamont Jones and Sean Armand rank #1 and #2 in the conference in scoring.  They’ve gone Over the total in each of their last four games, leading to a total in the mid-150’s again here.
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Rider is a stellar defensive team, holding foes to 35% shooting at home this season.  They haven’t seen a total higher than 128.5 in their last five games, and they haven’t seen any of their last ten ballgames produce even 140 total points.
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And Broncs head coach Kevin Baggett made it very clear what Rider’s gameplan is going to be today.  “I don’t want to get into a track match. That’s what a lot of teams have tried to do and they didn’t come up successful. We’re going to need to slow it down and take our shots when we have them. … This is not going to be a track meet.”  Take the Under

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Drake at Northern IowaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: DrakeFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The simulator shows a high probability that Drake will lose this game by fewer than 10 points. Drake is projected to have 34 to 39 boards and are 12-2 ATS when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Northern Iowa is coming off a 79-68 loss at Creighton and pushed as 11 point dogs. Northern Iowa is just 1-8 ATS after playing a game as an underdog this season; 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a road loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. Drake has struggled on the defensive end ranking 306th in the nation allowing 73.9 PPG, but are facing a NI team that has been largely inconsistent on offense and rank 179th scoring 66.2 PPG. Drakes offense has been solid and getting better ranking 68th scoring 72.1 PPG and I strongly believe they will execute a very high level against NI. Moreover, Drake is a vastly better ball handling team than NI and they will have a significant edge in the turnover department. All of these factors is what leads me to be confident Drake will make this a hotly contested game. Take Drake.

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Illinois State at Southern IllinoisFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Illinois State (9-9) has lost six games in a row after their 74-62 loss at Wichita State as an 8-point underdog on Wednesday. The Redbirds have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total following a loss. Illinois State has also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread defeat. The Total was set at 140 for that contest which means the Redbirds have now played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against Missouri Valley Conference opponents. Illinois State is 2-4 on the road this year -- and Southern Illinois (8-9) has played 4 straight home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Take the Under in this one.

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John MartinFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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NC State -9.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Off a 1-point loss at Maryland last time out, the NC State Wolfpack will come back with a blowout home victory over the Clemson Tigers today. NC State is a perfect 10-0 at home this season where it is outscoring opponents by 16.5 points/game. We last saw the Wolfpack at home taking down then-No. 1 Duke 84-76. Clemson has lost its last two road games in ugly fashion. It was blown out at Coastal Carolina 46-69 before falling at Duke 40-68. You can chalk up a 3rd straight lopsided road defeat for the Tigers today.

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Joe GavazziFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Drake +10FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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It was our 3rd consecutive huge winning weekend day when College selections on this site went 13-5 (72%). That makes the last 5 weekend days a combined 43-16 ATS (73%). Our NFL selections have been just as hot going 27-11 ATS (71%). Don't miss your 3* NFL Playoff Game of the Year and FREE 3* NFL Playoff Total of the Year available right now. Remember: Monday action is early with selections available to you by noon ET tomorrow on the ESPN Triple Header. With 4 RS from a Northern Iowa team that won 70 games the previous three years, the Panthers were expected to challenge for the upper echelon of the Valley. These best laid plans have gone awry. This afternoon, the hard trying Panther enters at 2-4 SU in league play following an 11 point loss, but cover, at Creighton. For their purposes today, however, they are just 12-21 ATS under HC Jacobson, -10+. Drake has played their best ball in the last two games. This is a team that succeeds with their offense. Last Saturday, they upset Ill St, 82-77, as 11 point dog. Then followed it up with a Wednesday night home court win over Evansville, when they scorched the nets in the second half. If they get hot from the arc where they average 8/21 threes, they can make up for defensive deficiencies which see them allowing 74/46/37 with a -4 rebound margin.

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NHL PredictionsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Buffalo Sabres -120FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Flyers got off to a slow start in a 3-1 loss to Pittsburgh yesterday afternoon. They did manage to have better 2nd and 3rd periods but could only get one goal past Marc-Andre Fleury. Ilya Bryzgalov looked shaky to start the game, but seemed to settle in. This game is being played at 12:30 in Buffalo making it a very tough spot for Philadelphia who comes in on no days rest. Note dating back to last year they are 2-5 in their last 7 games played on 0 days rest. The Sabres missed the postseason last year by 3 points, but they were a solid home team going 21-12-8 on home ice. Philadelphia has had Buffalo's number lately, but given that Philadelphia didn't do much offensively yesterday and are on short rest with travel I like Buffalo to come out and win their home opener.
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Edmonton Oilers +135FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Vancouver Canucks opened their season up with a surprising 7-3 loss at home vs the Anaheim Ducks. Canucks goalie Cory Schneider didn't fare well in his first start as the Canucks starting goalie allowing 5 goals against on just 14 shots before giving way to now back up Roberto Luongo. The Canucks are going to miss two key forwards in Booth and Kesler to start the year, and I think it may be a good time of the year to be betting against them as they are often over valued. The Oilers on the other hand might be under valued to start the season if their young team can play a bit of defense. Their offense will be there with a number of young guns who can put up points, but they will need to buckle down defensively in front of Devan Dubnyk to win games. In recent years Edmonton hasn't had much success in Vancouver but I think this team is the best they've had in a number of years. With their top players playing together in the AHL this season I think they will be ready to go tonight in Vancouver and take advantage of a Canucks team that dropped their opener last night 7-3. Take the Oilers at +135.

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