Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday January, 10

Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday January, 10

DUNKEL INDEX

NBA

Dallas at Sacramento
The Mavericks look to take advantage of a Sacramento team that is 0-9 ATS in its last 9 games against Southwest Division teams. Dallas is the pick (+2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+2)

Game 501-502: New York at Indiana (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 116.542; Indiana 123.235
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 6 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 4 1/2; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-4 1/2); N/A

Game 503-504: Dallas at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 111.977; Sacramento 111.789
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 2; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+2); Over

Game 505-506: Miami at Portland (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 121.199; Portland 116.001
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 5; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 3 1/2; 196
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-3 1/2); Under

NCAAB

St. Mary's at Gonzaga
The Bulldogs look to build on their 11-4 ATS record in their last 15 home games. Gonzaga is the pick (-10) according to Dunkel, which has the Bulldogs favored by 12 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-10)

Game 507-508: UL-Monroe at Troy (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 47.618; Troy 48.908
Dunkel Line: Troy by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Troy by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (+3 1/2)

Game 509-510: Detroit at Youngstown State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 57.188; Youngstown State 55.331
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Detroit

Game 511-512: Temple at Xavier (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 63.869; Xavier 58.825
Dunkel Line: Temple by 5
Vegas Line: Temple by 3
Dunkel Pick: Temple (-3)

Game 513-514: Old Dominion at George Mason (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 50.942; George Mason 59.503
Dunkel Line: George Mason by 8 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: George Mason by 10 1/2; 131 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (+10 1/2); Over

Game 515-516: Michigan State at Iowa (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 69.477; Iowa 66.168
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 3 1/2; 130
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 2; 135
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-2); Under

Game 517-518: Miami (FL) at North Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 67.961; North Carolina 71.232
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 3 1/2; 144
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 5; 140 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (+5); Over

Game 519-520: Northwestern at Penn State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 58.045; Penn State 58.312
Dunkel Line: Even; 127
Vegas Line: Penn State by 2; 122 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (+2); Over

Game 521-522: Florida Atlantic at Middle Tennessee State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 47.808; Middle Tennessee State 63.064
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 17
Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (+17)

Game 523-524: TX-Arlington at TX-San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-Arlington 55.632; TX-San Antonio 49.373
Dunkel Line: TX-Arlington by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: TX-Arlington by 2
Dunkel Pick: TX-Arlington (-2)

Game 525-526: Florida International at Arkansas State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 50.961; Arkansas State 58.805
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 8
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+9 1/2)

Game 527-528: North Texas at AR-Little Rock (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 47.452; AR-Little Rock 54.928
Dunkel Line: AR-Little Rock by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: AR-Little Rock by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: AR-Little Rock (-3 1/2)

Game 529-530: South Alabama at UL-Lafayette (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 52.633; UL-Lafayette 56.636
Dunkel Line: UL-Lafayette by 4
Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UL-Lafayette (-2 1/2)

Game 531-532: Louisiana Tech at Texas State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 59.660; Texas State 48.258
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (-8 1/2)

Game 533-534: Pepperdine at BYU (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 52.623; BYU 67.065
Dunkel Line: BYU by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: BYU by 16
Dunkel Pick: Pepperdine (+16)

Game 535-536: Kentucky at Vanderbilt (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 76.322; Vanderbilt 61.795
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 14 1/2; 125
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 12 1/2; 127 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (-12 1/2); Under

Game 537-538: Arizona at Oregon (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 70.793; Oregon 73.611
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 3; 147
Vegas Line: Pick; 141 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon; Over

Game 539-540: Massachusetts at St. Louis (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 57.880; St. Louis 65.769
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 8; 137
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 11; 132
Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (+11); Over

Game 541-542: UCLA at Utah (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 68.029; Utah 60.832
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 7
Vegas Line: UCLA by 5
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-5)

Game 543-544: New Mexico State at Seattle (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 56.898; Seattle 53.349
Dunkel Line: New Mexico State by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: New Mexico State by 4
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+4)

Game 545-546: San Diego at San Francisco (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 53.429; San Francisco 55.582
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 2
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 6
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+6)

Game 547-548: USC at Colorado (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 56.494; Colorado 67.503
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 11; 125
Vegas Line: Colorado by 9; 129
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-9); Under

Game 549-550: Denver at Idaho (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 57.021; Idaho 60.103
Dunkel Line: Idaho by 3
Vegas Line: Idaho by 1
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (-1)

Game 551-552: UC-Santa Barbara at Pacific (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Santa Barbara 51.840; Pacific 57.808
Dunkel Line: Pacific by 6
Vegas Line: Pacific by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pacific (-5 1/2)

Game 553-554: Santa Clara at Loyola-Marymount (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Santa Clara 60.252; Loyola-Marymount 51.766
Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Santa Clara by 6
Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (-6)

Game 555-556: Cal Poly at UC-Davis (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 53.603; UC-Davis 52.647
Dunkel Line: Cal Poly by 1
Vegas Line: UC-Davis by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cal Poly (+1 1/2)

Game 557-558: St. Mary's at Gonzaga (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Mary's 62.075; Gonzaga 74.663
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 12 1/2; 144
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 10; 148 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-10); Under

Game 559-560: Arizona State at Oregon State (11:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 57.801; Oregon State 63.559
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 6
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (-4 1/2)

Game 561-562: Chattanooga at The Citadel (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chattanooga 46.967; The Citadel 37.625
Dunkel Line: Chattanooga by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chattanooga by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chattanooga (-6 1/2)

Game 563-564: Rider at Manhattan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rider 49.930; Manhattan 53.138
Dunkel Line: Manhattan by 3
Vegas Line: Manhattan by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Manhattan (-2 1/2)

Game 565-566: Iona at Marist (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iona 60.220; Marist 49.567
Dunkel Line: Iona by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Iona by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iona (-9 1/2)

Game 567-568: Samford at College of Charleston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Samford 40.958; College of Charleston 54.331
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Samford (+14 1/2)

Game 569-570: Montana at North Dakota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana 54.854; North Dakota 47.211
Dunkel Line: Montana by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Montana by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montana (-5 1/2)

Game 571-572: Jacksonville State at SIU-Edwardsville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 48.806; SIU-Edwardsville 46.399
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville State by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Jacksonville State by 4
Dunkel Pick: SIU-Edwardsville (+4)

Game 573-574: Oakland at South Dakota State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 51.605; South Dakota State 60.632
Dunkel Line: South Dakota State by 9
Vegas Line: South Dakota State by 8
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota State (-8)

Game 575-576: IUPUI at NE-Omaha (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IUPUI 47.038; NE-Omaha 40.306
Dunkel Line: IUPUI by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: IUPUI by 5
Dunkel Pick: IUPUI (-5)

Game 577-578: SE Missouri State at Belmont (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SE Missouri State 50.500; Belmont 64.669
Dunkel Line: Belmont by 14
Vegas Line: Belmont by 16
Dunkel Pick: SE Missouri State (+16)

Game 579-580: Tennessee-Martin at Tennessee State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee-Martin 39.273; Tennessee State 55.965
Dunkel Line: Tennessee State by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee State by 11
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee State (-11)

Game 581-582: Tennessee Tech at Eastern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 42.364; Eastern Illinois 40.807
Dunkel Line: Tennessee Tech by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Eastern Illinois by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee Tech (+1 1/2)

Game 583-584: IPFW at North Dakota State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IPFW 47.395; North Dakota State 66.216
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 19
Vegas Line: North Dakota State by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota State (-16 1/2)

Game 585-586: Montana State at Northern Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 43.680; Northern Colorado 48.823
Dunkel Line: Northern Colorado by 5
Vegas Line: Northern Colorado by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montana State (+6 1/2)

Game 587-588: Northern Arizona at Eastern Washington (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 41.701; Eastern Washington 43.305
Dunkel Line: Eastern Washington by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Eastern Washington by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Arizona (+4 1/2)

Game 589-590: Weber State at Southern Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 60.648; Southern Utah 49.081
Dunkel Line: Weber State by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Weber State by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Weber State (-10 1/2)

Game 591-592: Sacramento State at Portland State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento State 45.195; Portland State 51.837
Dunkel Line: Portland State by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Portland State by 4
Dunkel Pick: Portland State (-4)

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday January, 10

Matt FargoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Santa Clara vs. Loyola MarymountFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Loyola MarymountFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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We head to the left coast for late action Thursday night between Santa Clara and Loyola-Marymount and will be taking a shot with the home underdog Lions.  Santa Clara is sitting at 1-1 in the West Coast Conference and that is already one more win than the Broncos had all of last season as they went through as dreadful 0-16 conference campaign. They defeated San Francisco at home to open WCC play and then lost to Gonzaga last time out but it was a respectable seven-point defeat. They hit the road for just the second time in over three weeks and while things are looking up, the 12-4 record is a little inflated as games against Gonzaga and Dukes have inflated the Santa Clara strength of schedule. The Broncos were not as bad last year as their 0-16 conference record indicated but I also do not think they are as good as their overall record shows this year. Loyola Marymount looks to bounce back quickly following a 2-0 start in WCC action. The schedule did not help as the Lions opened with games at BYU and St. Mary's so getting into a quick hole comes as no surprise. This team was 21-13 including 11-5 in the conference last season so good things are expected. The Lions are 4-2 at home and while two wins came against non-Division I teams, the two losses came by a combined six points to Long Beach St. and Mississippi. This is a start of a five-game run where every game is winnable so in order to get into the top level of the conference where many expected it to be, Loyola-Marymount needs to take advantage of this stretch. The Lions are second in the WCC with 38.6 rpg and they lead the conference with 12.8 offensive rpg so and they should have a big edge inside here. The Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a winning road record while the Broncos are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday January, 10

David ChanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Massachusetts vs. Saint LouisFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Saint LouisFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Massachusetts is 10-3 SU and 3-10 ATS; it's coming off seven straight victories, including a 75-61 win over Eastern Michigan as a 15.5 point favorite on the 5th. It was however the teams third straight ATS setback, and I believe will once again have a letdown here. Freddie Riley has been on fire of late; after scoring just 4.4 points per game this year, he's averaged 12.3 points over his past four.
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Riley would come off the bench to hit five 3-point shots in a span of just 3:41 over Eastern Michigan.
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Chaz Williams had 14 points and nine assists; Maxie Esho had 13 points and nine boards.
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Saint Louis is 11-3 SU and 6-6 ATS; it's coming off eight straight victories, including a 67-59 win over Savannah State on the 4th.
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Mike McCall Jr had 16 points; Cody Ellis had 15; Kwamain Mitchell added 13; Corey Remekun chipped in ten points and seven boards.
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The Tigers played well, but were forced into 19 turnovers by the Billikens, whose four-game streak of holding opponents to under 50 points was finally broken.
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Ultimately though, this is a revenge game for the home side after it lost 72-59 to the Minutemen back on January 28th.
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And not only is this the final game of a nine-game home stand, but it is also the opener of A-10 Conference play for Saint Louis.
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I believe there are enough significant external motivating factors working in favor of St. Louis tonight to warrant it a second look in this situation!

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Jesse SchuleFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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UCLA vs. UtahFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: UtahFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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It's been quite a run with the FREE plays in 2013, after yet ANOTHER WINNER with Toronto on Wednesday, we're now an AMAZING' 8-1 in the New Year with complimentary hoops picks. Tonight's FREE play is on the Utah Utes at home against UCLA.
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I cashed a winning ticket with the Utes on the weekend, when they came very close to upsetting the #3 Arizona Wildcats on the road. While that might have surprised a few people, it really shouldn't have.
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After the game against Arizona, I published an article titled "Flying Under The Radar", describing how the Utes have been one of the best kept secrets in college basketball. Here is an excerpt from that article: "It should have come as no surprise that the Utes would give Arizona a run for their money, missing a potential game tying shot as time expired, and losing 60-57. While the Wildcats failed to cover for their third consecutive game, the Utes are now an amazing 9-2 ATS this year. Even more impressive is their record against Pac-12 opponents, going 9-1 ATS in their last 10. They are also a very solid 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 overall."
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Utah is getting a few points at home, after suffering back to back losses on the road to the Wildcats and the Sun Devils. The Utes came up just short in each of those games, losing in overtime 55-54 to Arizona State, and missing a buzzer beater to lose 60-57 to Arizona. They are in a good spot at home against UCLA, as the Bruins will be playing their first true road game of the season.
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UCLA hasn't looked great in the few games they have played at neutral sites this year, losing to San Diego State, and Georgetown, and recording wins over Georgia and Texas by a combined 7 points.
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I think the Utes are going to give UCLA run for their money in Utah tonight.

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Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Florida International vs. Arkansas St.FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Arkansas St.FOR  FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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It’s rare to have a same-season revenger this early in January but that’s the case tonight in Jonesboro as the Red Wolves look to make amends for a 19-point loss they suffered in Miami as 7-point favorites. That loss is even more shocking considering that the clawless Cats’ only other two wins were against Coastal Carolina and Stetson. In fact, should FIU enter this game off a loss (check 1/7 result versus Bethune-Cookman), its 0-8 SU and 1-7 ATS record on the road off a SU loss in this series clearly comes into play. Even if they arrive off a SU win, they still own a distasteful 9-18-1 ATS log against an avenging foe with a better record. And that doesn’t bode well against a Wolves’ squad that is 20-11-3 ATS with conference revenge (5-0 ATS last five) under 5th-year head coach John Brady. Thus, we have no problem laying it – and neither should you – as this man named Brady and his five boys get their revenge.  We recommend a 1-unit play on Arkansas State.

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Jim FeistFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Mavericks vs. KingsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Over 206½FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Sacramento is on an 8-1 run over the total playing no defense, 27th in the NBA in points allowed and 21st in field goal shooting defense. At least the are rested, home from a four-game trip as Monday's game against Memphis opened a five-game homestand. Dallas has plenty of offensive punch, on a 11-5 run over the total, but has allowed 100 or more points in 9 of the last 12. The over is 8-1 in the Mavericks last 9 vs. a team with a losing record and 4-1 over the total in their last 5 road games. The over is 34-16-2 in the last 52 meetings and the over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Sacramento. Play the Mavs/Kings over the total.

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Bruce MarshallFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Temple vs. XavierFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: TempleFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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A-10 insiders not surprised that Xavier (1-5 SU and vs. line last six) has been losing traction and dropping into serious early Big Dance bubble trouble, especially after G Mark Lyons’ summer transfer to Arizona further weakened an already graduation-depleted Musketeer roster Forced to count heavily upon frosh G Semaj Christon (just 31.5% FGs and plagued by TO problems last four games, plus perhaps hitting the dreaded “freshman wall” after encouraging early-season efforts) in Lyons’ absence, the Cincinnati Jesuits are wobbling.  Not so with Fran Dunphy’s Temple, which found its bearings in late December when top scorers Khalif Wyatt and Scootie Randall shook debilitating concurrent early-December shooting slumps (the pair had combined to hit only 8 of 58 beyond the arc in one five-game stretch between Dec. 5-19), helping key rousing wins over Syracuse and Bowling Green, while 6-9 Boston U transfer Jake O’Brien is beginning to make meaningful contributions.  A similar-looking Owls team comfortably beat a better ”X” edition last season by 13 at Philly.

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Jimmy BoydFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Miami Heat -3½FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Portland Trail Blazers have been playing pretty solid basketball lately, winning their last three games and five of their last six. Two of those games were tough road contests at Memphis and at Minnesota in which they team won as a 5+ point underdog. However, this team is not as good as their 19-15 record would indicate. They have actually been outscored by nearly 2 ppg on the year and opponents are shooting 46.3% against them while Portland only connects on 44% of their shots. Plus I like the fact that Portland is just 3-12 ATS coming off two or more wins in a row the last two seasons.
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Miami is a public team and as such can be over-valued in a lot of situations, but after failing to cover in six of their last seven the public is starting to shy away from them. Miami was beat up Tuesday night in Indiana, scoring only 77 points in a game in which we had the UNDER. Indiana's defense though is a far cry from what the Heat will face in Portland and the double digit loss should wake this team up and it actually puts Miami in a favorable spot as favorites off a double digit road loss who are winning more than 60% of their games on the season are 251-181 (58.8%) since 1996.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday January, 10

Rob Vinciletti

New York Knicks vs. Indiana Pacers    
Play: New York Knicks

The Knicks will look to bounce back from a tough loss to The Celtics without Carmelo Anthony as he is suspended from the stalking episode with Kevin Garnett. New York is 4-1 to the spread off a division game and 6-2 off a straight up favored loss. We will get solid Line value with Anthony Being Out. Indian as illustrated below is 0-11 straight up and to the spread at home off a win of 10 or more points if they had less than turnovers. Indian may take a sigh of relief Knowing Carmelo wont be in there. Look for the Knicks to get the cash tonight.

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Dave CokinFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Massachusetts at Saint LouisFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Saint LouisFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Major clash in styles here, as UMass wants to play as fast as they can and Saint Louis prefers to grind. I don't think it's at all likely that the Minutemen will be able to get the Billikens out of their comfort zone, and that's when things have a tendency to go awry for Massachusetts. They're what I call a low IQ team as they only know how to play one way and have shown little ability to function at a proficient level when the tempo is not the their liking. The home team here is a good one, and off a really flat performance against Savannah State last game, I'm expecting full focus tonight. Just off the math, this is fairly close. But if and when UMass gets frustrated, the turnovers will follow and I see the Billikens having a good chance to pull away. I'll go with the Saint Louis side minus the number.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday January, 10

JR O'DonnellFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Troy -3FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Trojans get our early call today as the festive activites tonight in the Sun Belt Conference will put us  on a well coached ball club... 30 years young @ Troy "Don Magestri" a rock solid head coach @  488 victories, eight 20-win seasons and seven conference championships will have them ready. Strong & Steady Senior Guard play..."Emil Jones" steadies the Troy Trojans attack.... They dedicate the  basketball floor tonight.... The #'s are strong @ the 6-10 Trojans have huge edges on Defense/Boards & a Deep Bench. "Home team holds serve here @ 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

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SPORTS WAGERS

Arizona State +5 over OREGON STATE

The Sun Devils are 13-2 but because of last year’s 21-loss season, most folks aren’t believers. We’re not ready to pencil them into the dance just yet either but we’ve seen enough to suggest that they really are that improved. ASU beat a lot of cupcakes to achieve its current mark but then a very good Colorado team came along and the Sun Devils responded with a solid 9-point win. Even more impressive in that win over the Buffalos was that super frosh Jahii Carson managed just five points. Carson is a game changer that had an off game and the way the rest of the team picked him up should not be ignored. Carrick Felix can be explosive and Jordan Bachynski has been a disruptive force inside. The Sun Devils chemistry and intangibles are sky high at the moment.

In the Beavers’ biggest game of the year so far against Oregon to open PAC-12 play, they were buried by 13. Their biggest win of the year came against Purdue. OSU also lost to the Towson Tigers in its own building and they’ve played one of the softest schedules in the country, ranking 294th out of 341 squads. Now we get to take back a margin with the better team that can’t wait to get back on the floor. Pencil us in for that. 


UTAH +5½ over UCLA

The Bruins have won seven in a row to run their record to 12-3. They’re 2-0 in conference play and as advertised, they very well may be the second best team in the conference. UCLA is scoring at will it seems and despite losing 78-70, they still hung 70 on Georgetown early in the year. The offense is not the problem. Defensively, UCLA allows far too many easy buckets and far too many points. They have also yet to play a true road game and until we see them prove themselves on the road, we’re not enticed to lay these road points.

The Utes are more dangerous than most believe. They’re 0-2 in conference play after losing by a point in OT at ASU and followed that up with a three-point loss at Arizona. Combined, that pair is 27-2. At BYU, they also lost by three. The Utes strength of schedule ranks 31st in the country and they come into this one very battle tested and ready to go. Utah freshman Jordan Loveridge has become a big-time scorer that could really go off for a big game here. Lastly, the Utes have been pure gold with nine covers in its last 10 games against the PAC-12 and 16 covers in their past 21 overall. They remain undervalued here too and could certainly win this one straight up.

Pass NBA

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Bryan Power

Miami-Florida vs. North Carolina
Pick: North Carolina

On Sunday, I successfully wagered against North Carolina as they went to Virginia and lost to the Cavaliers 61-52, which is a remarkable defensive effort by the Cavaliers considering the Tar Heels came in as the nation's highest scoring team. But that game was also on the road. Tonight, they are at home facing a Miami team without starting center Reggie Johnson......

UNC hasn't performed very well in true road games this year, but at home they've been fine.  The last time they were in Chapel Hill, they beat a very good UNLV team that had Mike Moser back in the lineup.  They've yet to lose in seven chances at the Dean Dome this year, scoring an impressive 86.4 points per game.  They are also a perfect 7-0 ATS off a road loss the last three seasons.  Miami is an opponent that has never given the Tar Heels much trouble as the program's last win over UNC was all the way back in 2006.

The Canes are a good defensive team, holding opponents to an average of less than 60 PPG.  But like the Tar Heels, they have their issues away from home, particularly on the offensive end.  Their averaging just 62.6 PPG outside of Coral Gables.  That was enough to get it done at sub-par Georgia Tech last weekend, but the loss of Johnson will haunt them here against a foe they will be unable to keep pace with.

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Larry Ness

Michigan St vs. Iowa
Pick: Iowa

Iowa coach Fran McCaffery came from Siena where he had led the Saints to three straight NCAA tourneys (2008-10) and has found the Big Ten tough ‘sledding.’ He was 11-20 in his first year and 18-17 last year. Optimism is higher this season, as his team did lose LY’s leading scorer in Gatens (15.2) but a solid nucleus returned. The two best players are 6-6 swingman Marble (15.5-4.3-2.7) and the 6-8 White (13.2-6.1). The Hawkeyes opened 5-0 but then lost two straight. McCaffrey shook things up after those back-to-back losses, giving much more time (and some starts) to three freshman. The trio of freshman are guards Gasell (9.4-3.1-3.1) and Clemmons (4.8-4.1 APG) plus the 7-1 Woodbury (6.5-5.5). In all, nine players are seeing 15-plus MPG, and the Hawkeyes enter this game 11-4 overall but 0-2 to open Big Ten play.

Tom Izzo’s Michigan St team fell 76-63 to No. 8 Minnesota in its Big Ten opener but the 22nd-ranked Spartans (12-3 / 1-1) bounced back to defeat Purdue 84-61 on Saturday. However, Izzo said his team didn't play as well as the score indicated. "Even though I'm excited about the win, I think we beat a good team, but we're still not playing like we need to play if we're going to make any type of noise in this conference," said Izzo, whose teams have claimed three of the last four regular-season league titles. Appling (14.4-3.3-4.4) is the team leader, joined by freshman guard Harris (13.1) in the backcourt. The best frontcourt players are the 6-6 Dawson (9.9-6.3), the 6-9 Nix (9.0-7.3) and the 6-10 Payne (8.0-7.5). McCaffery slowed the pace at home vs Indiana back on Dec 31 and it almost worked, as the Hawkeyes (plus-7) lost 69-65. Those tactics should work better against the Spartans and that’s my bet.

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Charlie Sports

Detroit at Youngstown State
Play: Youngstown State

The (10-5) Detroit Titans of the Horizon Conference will take on the (9-6) Youngstown State Penguins also of the Horizon League in 2013 NCAA Basketball action. Detroit has won 7 of their last 8 meeting vs. Youngstown State straight up, but have dropped 2 of the last 3 Against The Spread vs. The Penguins. The Titans have laso lost their last 3 NCAA Basketball games ATS. The Youngstown State Penguins have not played the quality opponets thet Detroit has play, but this is a huge Conference matchup. Youngstown State gets the home cover.

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Wunderdog

Louisiana Tech at Texas State
Pick: Louisiana Tech -8

The Texas State Bobcats have found the going rough this season, as they take on a 12-3 Louisiana Tech team. The Bobcats are a dismal 4-12, but the four wins came early against some very soft competition. As the schedule has become more demanding, Texas St. has now dropped seven straight games, and six of those were by double-digits. LA Tech does a much better job taking care of the ball, and extra possessions will carry them over the top here. The Bulldogs are a momentum-driven team, and following a win they have dropped just three games ATS in their last 21. The Bobcats show little home-court advantage at 1-6 ATS in their last seven at home. Go with LA Tech.

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Sam MartinFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Dallas Mavericks at Sacramento Kings
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The nightmare season for Dallas continued last night with a 99-93 loss against the red hot LA Clippers. Now the Mavericks have to travel and play again tonight in Sacramento, and while these teams have nearly identical season records (Dallas is 13-23, Sacramento is 13-22), the Kings have played far better here on their home court where they have earned ten of their 13 victories. We'll back Sacramento here against the weary Mavericks and note that Dallas has not only lost ten of their last eleven games overall, but they have allowed at least 99 points in eight of their last nine. Sacramento pulled outright home wins against New York, Boston, and Portland recently and can handle a downtrodden and tired Dallas team tonight!

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Arizona State vs. Oregon State
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Arizona St has a solid 13-2 record with one of those losses coming to a very good Creighton team. The Sun Devils are playing at a much quicker pace this season and their offense has been much better because of their new up-tempo approach. Arizona St is averaging 73 points per game while shooting 46.2% from the field and 33.8% from three-point land. They have terrific inside-outside play with Carrick Felix inside the paint and Jahii Carson running the point. They are also a deeper team this season as they regularly use an 8-9 man rotation. The Sun Devils have played exceptional defense holding opponents to just 63 points per game on 38.3% shooting from the field and 32% shooting from three-point land. Oregon St is playing without their full lineup after they lost Angus Brandt for the season. “It’s definitely been tough having him gone,” Roberto Nelson said. The Beavers have a 10-4 record as they’ve been able to get by without Brandt because they’ve played an extremely weak schedule. In fact, Oregon St has played a schedule that ranks #301 in the country. They’ve been battered on the boards against those bad teams so we expect Arizona St to control the glass in this game and the offensive rebounds will allow them to score a lot of second-chance points. Arizona St has played the better basketball against the tougher opponents so we’ll take the points with the Sun Devils in this game on Thursday night.

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Bryan LeonardFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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In three true road games the Trojans lost by 8 at Georgia, by 8 at New Mexico and by 12 at Nebraska, USC is just 1-4-1 as an underdog away from home. They don't have a great deal of ability to create their own shot which is a major problem against a good offensive team like Colorado.
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Colorado is 10-4 on the season with losses at Wyoming, Kansas, Arizona and Arizona State. The Arizona loss was in overtime after a controversial ending to regulation. That would have been their first road victory over a top 5 team in over four decades. The team was devastated by that loss and slept through the Arizona State contest. Now back at home with a chip in its shoulder we expect a great game from the host. The Buffaloes are 3-1 ATS and undefeated here this season. Tonight we find a fired up host with great point spread value.

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Dallas Mavericks +2FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Dallas Mavericks should not be an underdog tonight to the Sacramento Kings. They are undervalued right now due to their 13-23 start, but they recently got Dirk Nowitzki back from injury. I look for the Mavs to take off starting tonight with a road win over the Kings.
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Sacramento had been playing pretty well before back-to-back blowout losses. It fell 93-113 at Brooklyn before an 81-113 home loss to Memphis last time out. I look for the Kings to suffer a third straight blowout defeat tonight, which has been a pretty common theme when they square off against the Mavs.
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Dallas has won 12 of its last 13 meetings with Sacramento. Each of the last four wins by the Mavs in this series have come by 10 points or more. In fact, nine of the Mavs' 12 wins during this stretch have come by 8 or more points. As you can see, this has been a pretty one-sided series to say the least.
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The Mavericks are 44-24 ATS as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons. Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 road games, which included a 6-point loss against the Clippers as a 10.5-point dog last night. The Kings are 6-20-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS loss. Sacramento is 0-9 ATS in its last 9 vs. NBA Southwest division opponents. Bet the Mavericks Thursday.

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