TheSpread.com

Chris Jordan

My free pick for Saturday is on Kansas State in college basketball, as I think it'll open up Big 12 play with a huge win over Oklahoma State. The Wildcats are catching points at home, and after their football counterparts somewhat shit the bed the other night against Oregon in the Fiesta Bowl, I believe they're going to be looking to pick up the home faithful.

Many wouldn't believe that could be an intangible, but I say it's an insightful factor to take in consideration.

I realize the Pokes are one of the most talented teams in the Big 12, but be aware, it's also one of the youngest squads and that's going to be a problem against teams like Kansas State, which enters league play ranked 25th nationally and 11-2 overall.

Senior Rodney McGruder was being heralded as Kansas State's top player coming into the campaign, but I've been impressed by junior Will Spradling and sophomore Angel Rodriguez, a dynamic duo out of the backcourt. All three average more than nine points - a total of 33.3 points per game. Shane Southwell and Nino Williams are a nice tandem inside, as both have a knack for utilizing their their speed and shooting ability to frustrate defenders.

The 'Cats are nice, all around solid with depth to strengthen their game. And make note, they swept the season series against Oklahoma State last season.

Take the home underdog in this Big 12 season-opener for both.

3♦ KANSAS STATE

John Ryan

Golden State at Los Angeles
Prediction: Under

The simulator shows a high probability that fewer than 200 points will be scored in this game. As Kobe Bryant stated, the Clippers are true contenders. The Clippers have formed a team that plays very well at both ends of the court. They rank eighth averaging 101.5 PPG and rank fourth allowing 93.2 PPG. This scoring differential ranks second best in the NBA. One of the fundamental reasons I like this UNDER is that GS plays solid paint defense. They rank ninth best allowing 39.8 points in the paint. The Clippers rank third averaging 46.8 points in the paint. Clips are also coming off a win against the rival Lakers and now have to play on back-to-back nights. I do expect them to be a bit flat and this give GS a chance to keep the game to a mostly half-court contested game. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 58-23 mark for 72% winners since 2006. Play under with home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games and with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. Take the UNDER.

Red Dog Sports

TOWSON vs. DREXEL    
PLAY: TOWSON

Take Towson +10 as the Tigers have improved greatly this year. They struggled to win a game last year and lost 60-27 at Drexel last year. Yes, they only scored 27 points and failed to cover a big dogs. However, they have brought in a Georgetown transfer, some freshmen and returning players like Dumas and Kris Weldon. The Tigers only lost at Georgetown by 6 points. Drexel is a good defensive team coached by Bruiser Flint. They have struggled some with injuries and should win today but fail to cover. My guess is 66-60.