Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday December, 30

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday December, 30

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Carolina Panthers +5½FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Not only are the Panthers 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings with the Saints, they are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games played at New Orleans! The Panthers are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games this season and haven't been beaten by more than 6 points on the road all year. In fact, with a 3-4 SU record, Carolina has actually outscored opponents on the road by nearly 4 ppg on the year.

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Jeff AlexanderFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Tennessee Titans -4FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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While the Jags can feel good about a solid performance against New England last time out, the Titans have a sour taste in their mouth following last week's embarrassing 55-7 loss in Green Bay. As if that defeat isn't enough motivation, Tennessee will also be fueled by last month's loss to the Jags. The Titans won last season's home meeting by 6 points and have won 3 of their last 4 at home in the series with the 3 wins coming by an average of 10.0 points. Take the Titans.

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NY Giants -7FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Giants are hanging on to slim playoff hopes, but I would expect them to go after this one with all they've got regardless. They have lost two straight and eight of nine to the Eagles, and they'll be hungry for a little revenge against their NFC East rivals. While it's been a disappointing season for the reigning Super Bowl champs, it's been an even more disappointing campaign for the Eagles, who have lost 10 of their last 11 games and are 3-11-1 ATS on the season. The Eagles are also on a 0-5-1 ATS slide in their last six games versus teams that have a winning record. The Giants have rattled off back-to-back winning seasons, and they don't want to see that streak come to an end, especially against a team that has given them fits. Expect New York to play with pride and get the job done at home against the struggling Eagles.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday December, 30

Brad DiamondFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Baltimore vs. CincinnatiFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Under 41F FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Ravens enter the battle with a 10-5 SU record, while the Bengals fresh off their upset of Pittsburgh land at 9-6 SU. Against the spread Cincinnati brings a higher margin of financial success with an 8-6-1 ATS mark. They have covered 6 of 7 after their Steelers money earner. Winning (33-14 NYG) last week the Ravens brought home another AFC North title. They have ravaged opponents for 381 points this season and look to surpass their all time record performance. However, the Bengals are jelling late in the season and own a 5-2 SU mark at home in this series. In week #1 Baltimore crushed Cincy 44-13, so REVENGE is a viable antidote. The defense has been the keynote session for the Bengals restricting the opposition to just 12.1 points per game over the last 7 weeks. So, I believe the Ravens offensive keys won’t be there this week as in their route of the Giants. We look for a low scoring game in a classic Eastern battle on the last weekend of the season.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday December, 30

Joseph D'AmicoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota VikingsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Green Bay PackersFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Green Bay can earn a first round bye with a win here. The Packers defeated the Vikings in 5 straight meetings, including a 23-14 victory on December 2nd. Aaron Rodgers has padded his career numbers vs. Minnesota. This season, the QB has 3930 YP, a 67% CR, and a 35/8 TD/INT ratio. The offense has established a good ground game and will see the return of WR, Nelson. With Christian Ponder tossing 12 INTs, the name of the game is "Give the ball to Peterson." The RB has a chance at 2000 yards but won't beat Dickerson's season record. Remember, Clay Matthews sat out in the first meeting but will be wreaking havoc in this one. The Vikings are good vs. the run but atrocious against the pass. And now must face one of this generations best passers in Rodgers. The Packers are 4-1 ATS their L5 games played vs. the Vikings, 20-8 ATS their L28 games played in December, 4-1 ATS their L5 games played on the road, and 23-8 ATS their L31 games played vs. the NFC North. Take Green Bay.

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Rob VincilettiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis ColtsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Indianapolis ColtsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Colts fit a nice system here that plays on winning home dogs in the final week of the season. The Colts have won 10 straight here vs Houston and are 3-1 as a home dog of 3.5 to 7. They have covered 6 of 7 at home this season and take on a Houston team that is just 4-13 ats in dome games and 3-8 in December games. These two met just a few weeks ago in Houston with the Texans winning by 12. Look for a closer game this go around take the home team with the points.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday December, 30

Steve JanusFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Carolina Panthers +6FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Panthers don’t seem to be letting their record keep them from not playing hard down the stretch. Carolina has been out of the playoff picture for several weeks, but enter the final week of the regular season on a three game winning streak. What’s been impressive is that all three wins have come by double-digits, including last Sunday’s 17-6 win over the Raiders.
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Carolina has already proven they can hang with New Orleans, as the Panthers defeated the Saints 35-27 back in Week 2. Cam Newton threw for 253 yards and a touchdown to go along with another 71 yards and a score on the ground. The Panthers as a team put up 463 yards of total offense.
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This team is going to be extremely motivated to continue their late surge by finishing up the year on a four-game winning streak and really build some momentum going into next season. It’s not going to be easy to get a win at New Orleans, but you have to like their chances of keeping it close. In a division matchup between two pretty evenly matched teams, hard to not like the points.
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Carolina is an amazing 10-1 ATS in their last visits to New Orleans and are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings in this series. New Orleans is just 5-18 ATS off an extremely close road win by 3 points or less since 1992.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday December, 30

Jim Feist

Boston at Sacramento
Pick: Under

Can't really see the Celtics putting forth much effort here on Sunday. They play their third game in four nights on the road and they are in a back-to-back spot having got beat at Golden State last night, 101-83. It was the second horrible loss in a row on the road, having scored just 77 at the Clippers on Friday evening. Add to that the fact that the Celtics are just 5-9 O/U on the road and this one has the makings of a real slow down game. Take the UNDER here on Sunday.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday December, 30

Sean Higgs

St. Louis Rams vs. Seattle Seahawks
Play: St. Louis Rams   

Wow. Who would have thought that the Seahawks would have dropped 50+ in 2 straight and another 40+ on a tough San Francisco team. But that 49ers beat-down is exactly why we are taking the double digits here. Niners won't lose to Arizona so Seattle won't be wrapping up a division title. This is more about the Rams and their 9-3 ATS dog mark this year. This is about their new HC Jeff Fisher and what it means to have a winning record on the year, and go undefeated in the division. This is the Rams Super Bowl. Double digit division game.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday December, 30

NFL Betting Picks

Denver Broncos  -16

The Denver Broncos can clinch an all important first round bye with a win on Sunday or a New England loss. The Patriots are favored by 10 points at home, so the Broncos know they will most likely need a victory on Sunday to grab that bye next weekend. Denver also has the opportunity for home field advantage throughout the playoffs with a win and Houston loss on Sunday so we can expect this team to come out hard against one the leagues worst teams. The Kansas City Chiefs are just 2-13 on the year including 1-6 on the road. They've lost 11 of their last 12 games and they have almost all been ugly losses. The Chiefs are just 5-10 ATS this season. Over their last 11 games the Chiefs have scored 16 or fewer points 10 times and 13 or fewer points 9 times. The Denver Broncos have been quite the opposite going 12-3 on the season and 6-1 at home. Denver has won 10 straight games, and their three losses came at the start of the year against playoff teams in Atlanta, Houston and New England. The Broncos have scored 26 or more points in 9 of their last 10 games and 30+ points in 8 of those games. Denver ranks 4th in the NFL offensively and average 29.5 ppg, while the Chiefs rank 22nd and are scoring a league worst 13.9 ppg. Denver also ranks near the top defensively at #3 and are allowing just 19.1 papg, while the Chiefs rank 17th and are giving up 25.8 papg. Kansas City is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 divisional games. The Broncos are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs a team with a losing record, and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Although the Broncos only beat Kansas City by 8 points in their meeting earlier this year, I like Denver to run all over the Chiefs at home. Denver needs the win to secure a bye and give them a shot for home field advantage throughout, so they won't be taking it easy on the Chiefs. I expect a 17+ point win by Peyton Manning and the Broncos on Sunday. Take the Broncos to cover.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday December, 30

Ben BurnsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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San Antonio vs. DallasFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: DallasFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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These teams just faced each last week, at San Antonio. I won my "Personal Favorite" play on the Spurs in that game, part of my current 22-6 streak in the NBA. Popovich's crew cruised to a 129-91 victory.
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If only they were all that easy ...
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Anyway, I felt that the Mavericks were going to be a little "road weary" for that 12/23 game, heading into the Christmas break. They've had some more rest now though. They're back home and they're playing with recent "revenge." Playing their final game of 2012, I feel that they'll be motivated to deliver their best effort.
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The Mavs got blown out at Denver last time out, giving up 106 points. That was their first game back off a road trip and they were coming off a hard fought OT game vs. Oklahoma City the previous night. Tonight's scheduling situation is far more favorable. Note that the Mavs are still a healthy 7-3-1 ATS after allowing 105 or more points in their previous game.
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Unlike their hosts, the Spurs have another game left in 2012. They'll face Brooklyn tomorrow night. While it's typically been a strong spot for them in the past, note that the Spurs are 0-2 SU/ATS the last two times that they played the front end of back to back games, losing at Utah and Oklahoma City.
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I successfully played against the Spurs in that loss at OKC (Thunder won by 14) and I won't be surprised if they go down again here. Consider grabbing the points.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday December, 30

Ray MonohanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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St Louis vs. SeattleFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Over 41½FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Want all of Ray's Sunday-Tuesday plays in 1 nice little package hop on board his 3 day sports Insider-All-Access package. Just $89.95. *See below for details*. NFL 3-Pack up for Sunday too!
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If there is a hotter team in the NFL right now than the Russell Wilson led Seattle Seahawks I'd like to see them. 58 points 3 weeks ago vs. the Cardinals. 50 points vs. the Bills, 42 last week vs. the 49ers, and this week they still have the NFC west to play for - provided the Arizona Cardinals can do their part and knock off the 49ers at Candlestick.
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The Seattle defense won't allow many points but we see the Rams getting 10-14 on Sunday, since by halftime we forcast the two teams will know the fate of the NFC west. Russell Wilson has done his job, completing 63.4 percent of his passes for 2,868 yards with 25 touchdowns and just 10 interceptions. Wilson has been exceptional at home, passing for 1,254 yards with 16 touchdowns and two interceptions in seven wins.
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He'll come out guns firing in the first half to get Seattle a safe 2 TD lead. This is a payback game for the Seahawks since the Rams beat them in Week 4. Pete Carroll won't let his team forget that game. They'll take it to the Rams in Seattle. Seattle has won 13 of the past 15 meetings. Over is 7-3 in STL last 10 games in Week 17. Over is 15-5-1 in SEA last 21 games in December. Over is 19-7 in SEA last 26 games on fieldturf.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday December, 30

Dave Cokin

Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins
Pick: Washington Redskins

The Cowboys have shown some late life, but this is still a team that has been finding ways to lose big games for several seasons now. Washington continues to roll and while I expect a closer game than these two played on Thanksgiving, I see the same winner. I'll spot the points with the Redskins.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday December, 30

SPORTS WAGERS

Northern Illinois +5 over WICHITA STATE

Wichita State comes in with an 11-1 record and they’re 6-0 at home. The Panthers of Northern Iowa are just 7-5 on the year and as a result of these respective records, the Shockers would appear to be a short price. Think again. These two are likely the best two clubs in the always competitive Missouri Valley. The Panthers got off to a bit of a slow start but pay no attention, as they played three games in the Bahamas (all losses) against three very good teams in the Battle of the Atlantis.  They’ve been coming on since with four wins in six games, including an outstanding performance in win against the Gaels of St. Mary’s.

The Shockers come in banged up. Their best player Carl Hall is on the rack and so is Ron Baker, another key ingredient to the success of Wichita State. The Panthers play outstanding defense under the guidance of one of the best mid-major coaches in the country and not only can they stay in this range, they can win this one outright.   

Pass NBA

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday December, 30

Jeff Scott Sports

4 UNIT PLAY

Green Bay -3.5 over MINNESOTA: The Vikings have had a good year, but it all comes to an end today as they may be playing the hottest team in football right now. The Packers come in rolling off a 55-7 win over Tennessee and their offense and I expect them to keep it going as they rev up for the playoffs. In this game there will be no resting of players because the Packers still have a shot at a first round bye in the playoffs. That give's them extra motivation in this one. The Viking offense is pretty one dimensional as they are 32nd in passing, but 4th in rushing. They are led by the best back in the league, but GreeN Bay is pretty decent vs the run, ranking 14th in that department. I look for the to take away Petersen in this one and try and make Ponder beat them. He has no shot at that. Minnesota just will not have enough offense in this one to keep the game close. Green bay should roll here. KEY TRENDS--- The Vikes are just 2-10 ATS in season finales and 0-9 ATS as division dogs of less than 7 points when playing off a pair of wins.

3 UNIT PLAYS

San Diego/ Oakland Under 39: The Raiders offense has been non-existent as they haven’t scored a TD since week 14 and have put up just 7 FG’s in their last 2 games. It doesn’t figure to get much better for them this week with Terrell Pryor, who is making his first career start, going up against a tough Chargers defense that is 11th overall and just sacked an inexperienced McElroy last week 11 times. This Raiders OL is pretty week and will have a tough time winning battles along the line vs the Chargers. Also the Raiders don’t have a running game to take the pressure off of Pryor, so I really look for the Raiders to struggle to score again. The Chargers offense has not been that good this year and with all the changes expected to come will probably be disinterested on that side of the ball. The Raiders defense has also played well of late, allowing just 16 points in their last 2 games. This game will be played in the low 30’s at best.


Cleveland/ Pittsburgh Under 34.5: Cleveland will be missing most of it’s key offensive personnel in this one and you have to think how will they score vs the number 1 defense in the league. I don’t see them getting much more than 10 points in this one. Pittsburgh will not be looking to go all out on offense after they were knocked out of the playoff chase last week. I look for them to be a bit flat on that side of the ball. The Cleveland defense has been struggling of late, but they did hold a more focused Pittsburgh offense to 14 points in the first meeting and should hold that unit down again. I look for this one to be played in the 20’s.  KEY TRENDS--- Under is 20-5-2 in the Browns last 27 games in December, while the Under is 9-1 in the Steelers last 10 home games.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday December, 30

Scott Delaney

My free pick run is now at 62-36-2 and today I am playing the Chicago Bears on the road, minus the points, against the Detroit Lions. The Monsters of Midway desperately need a win if they want to stay in the playoff hunt. A win by the Bears coupled with a loss by the Minnesota Vikings would sneak them in as a wild card.

Chicago already knocked off the Lions, 13-7 back in late October, and I think the Bears are in a good spot to do it again, using its stingy defense the same way it did on Oct. 22, when the Bears forced four turnovers and limited all-Pro wide receiver Calvin Johnson to just three receptions for 34 yards.

And before we berate the Bears for their tailspin, make note they've lost to the likes of Houston, San Francisco, Seattle, Minnesota and Green Bay - all teams that will are in contention for, or are already in, the playoffs.

At 4-11, Detroit is thinking about the draft  - it has to be. The Lions aren't going to send anyone out there to get hurt, and will be watching the clock to get off the field unscathed. Lay the chalk and do yourself a favor and buy the half point

2♦ CHICAGO

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday December, 30

Chuck O'Brien

I'm on a 7-3 run with my NFL freebies, and today will look to improve on that mark with the Atlanta Falcons minus the points against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in an NFC South clash in the Georgia Dome. In most instances we'd have to be leery about the Falcons in a situation like this - they have little to play for since they've clinched home-field advantage in the NFC playoffs - but according to coach Mike Smith, his starters have a full day ahead of them.

The Falcons (13-2) have lost three straight in the postseason, and the last thing Smith wants is his team going into the postseason on a damper. Remember, the Falcons were the NFC's top seed when they lost to Green Bay after the 2010 season. Then they lost embarrassingly in a 24-2 setback to the Giants in the Meadowlands during the 2011 playoffs. And with those two teams being the last two Super Bowl champs, the Falcons know the importance of riding momentum into the postseason.

This game should be easy for them get up for, as the Buccaneers have slipped tremendously since opening 6-4 and looking like they were going to be a surprise team out of the NFC. But they head into the Georgia Dome mired in a five-game slide that began with a one-point, home loss to these same Falcons.

Tampa comes in after a disappointing, 15-point loss to the St. Louis Rams and now must deal with a team that is looking to make a statement in the final week of the regular season.

And while the Bucs are mired in spread skids of 1-5 in the final week of the season, 0-4 in intraconference play and 2-7 in intradivision action, the Falcons soar in on ATS win streaks of 10-4 in December, 4-1 against NFC teams and 15-6 against losing teams.

Lay the chalk, and make sure you buy the half point down in this game.

3♦ ATLANTA

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday December, 30

Jeff Benton

Your Sunday freebie is the underdog Eagles as they play their arch-rival the Giants in this season finale from North Jersey.

True, Philadelphia has just one win their last ten games, but I certainly do not trust the Giants right now laying any kind of wood. New York has been outscored 67-14 the past two weeks, and have lost five of their last seven games both straight up and against the spread.

In all likelyhood this will be head coach Andy Reid and quarterback Michael Vick's last games with the Eagles, so why not look for a nice storyline here and look for Philadelphia to rally the charges for one last stand against a hated division rival?

Eagles are 8-1 straight up the last nine times the teams have met. Today we do not need an outright win, just a cover.

Take the Birds plus the points as both Reid and Vick save face before closing the doors on their Philadelphia careers.

2♦ PHILADELPHIA

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday December, 30

Craig Davis

Today's free play is on the New Orleans Saints over Carolina in their final regular season game of the year.

Why the Saints? Because they are playing better of late, they just got word that HC Sean Payton, who will get to coach the team next year, signed a long extension with the team and will be there as soon as this season ends.

Drew Brees is getting some of his weapons back and healthy and they looked as good as they have all year in a 34-31 overtime win over Dallas last week.

The Saints biggest problem all season has been on the defensive side of the ball, but it's not like Carolina possesses the best of offenses and they clearly aren't consistent enough (especially on the road) to put much of a scare into the Saints today.

Now I will say this... if New Orleans can't run, they will struggle at times to move the football because they can't expect Brees to just drop back 60 times and win this game. They need to establish the run early, which will help Brees and the passing game do what they do best.

Carolina has struggled this year, but I will give them credit for their impressive win over the Chargers and how they've been able to compete with the Falcons.

There's no doubt they're capable of pulling the upset here, but there's too much positive emotion riding on the other side, and that will enable the Saints to win this game by at least a touchdown.

Take the Saints as your free play of the day.

2♦ NEW ORLEANS

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday December, 30

Chris Jordan

My free pick for today is going to be on the Tennessee Titans, laying a very cheap number against the hapless Jacksonville Jaguars. It might be a throwaway game to some, but I think with pride somewhat on the line, I like the Titans to come away with a significant win.

Titans coach Mike Munchak hasn't had much to work with, but can finish the season 6-10 and on a winning note, with a sign of hope toward next season. I know the Titans are in after getting pummeled by Green Bay, 55-7, but the loss that is resonating eve more has to be the one from Nov. 25, when these same Jags won the first meeting, 24-19.

Jacksonville is 2-13 and has lost four straight since that win. And ranked 31st in the league in total offense, the Jags aren't going to be around long enough to keep up with the Titans.

Though Tennessee leads the regular season series 19-16, the Jaguars have won three of the last four meetings, including the aforementioned clash.

Jacksonville is mired in a 3-7 ATS slide in the month of December, and the struggle continues here as Tennessee is the better team.

1♦ TENNESSEE

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