Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday December, 26

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday December, 26

Andre Gomes

hiladelphia / Memphis Under 183.5

Memphis is coming from a loss in Houston, where they wanted to run with the Rockets and they got crushed. The same had happened with their game at Denver, in another fast paced game. Both the Rockets and the Grizzlies like to play at a fast pace (#1 and #3 on pace factor respectively), but Philadelphia is just #28 in that rank, so tonight's game will see the Grizzlies getting back to their slow paced games. After getting crushed at Houston, I expect a good mindset for the Grizzlies defense tonight.

"I thought we hung our hats on defense," Tony Allen said. "That's how we win games. I'm sure we'll look at film and fix it."

Memphis is a top 3 perimeter defensive team and that's tough for Philadelphia, who depends from their perimeter shooting and they are even without Jason Richardson once again. With Evan Turner being defended by Tony Allen and Jrue Holiday by Mike Conley, the Sixers offense is definitely in trouble for tonight.

The Sixers are a team that have a very low number of turnovers and in order to avoid turning the ball over, they play at a very slow pace. That's good against a Grizzlies defense that wants to create turnovers. Obviously, Philadelphia's offense is based on pick and roll ball handler plays with Jrue Holiday or Evan Turner having the ball on their hands. The Sixers shoot a lot from 16-23 feet, but the Grizzlies defense is #5 on pick and roll ball handler defense and #6 on 16-23 feet defense with just 34.9% FG allowed. Therefore, Philadelphia's offense will definitely struggle a lot tonight.

On the other hand, Philadelphia may not have good enough frontcourt players to stop the Grizzlies frontcourt, but Doug Collins' system is solid. Philadelphia is #10 on defensive rebounding and currently improving, while they are #3 in points in the paint allowed per game with 38.4 ppg. The Sixers close really well the paint, but they struggle in closing the perimeter, where they are just #25 on 3pts defense with 37.2% 3pts allowed. The good part for the Sixers is that Memphis is just #29 on 3pts attempts per game with 14.7 and besides that, they are just shooting 33.3% 3pts on their last 10 games! Philadelphia had three games against the Lakers, Dallas and Houston where they struggled on defense, but they got pounded on free throws and 3pts shots in those games, something that won't happen tonight against a Grizzlies team that don't want to shoot from the outside. Jrue Holiday also didn't play those games and he is the team's best perimeter defender.

I expect tonight's game will be a really slow contest, with Philadelphia getting shutdown on offense, while the Grizzlies should also struggle as they need their frontcourt to play well offensively and the Sixers close well the paint. I see this game being a very low scoring contest, therefore I'll be taking the Under in here.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
214932 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday December, 26

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAYS

Charlotte Miami Under 202: Miami is coming off a HUGE game vs the Thunder, so how focused will they be on offense for this game vs the lowly Bobcats. Yes Miami can score a tone of points and the Bobcats give up a ton of points, having allowed 100+ points in each of their last 13 games, but will Charlotte score enough for this game to go Over? I don't think so.  Charlotte's offense has come top life a little of late, but facing Golden State, the Lakers and Phoenix will make most offenses appear better than they are. Tonight they will be taking on a Miami defense that is starting to look like the group that allowed just 92 ppg last year. Miami comes in having allowed just 89 ppg in their last 5 games on a mere 40.1% shooting and should have little trouble keep a weak Charlotte offense in the low 90's here. Miami knows they can win this one easily and will do just enough on offense to win it, while their defense will continue to improve, holding the Bobcats to right around 90 points. 

Portland/ Sacramento Under 199.5: I see a pattern here on my top plays. LOL Ive played a few Unders in Kings games and have been successful at it. Everyone thinks Kings and they think high scoring games, but that hasn't been the case this year, especially on the road where their games have averaged just 193.1 ppg. Most of that is due to the fact that this offense really struggles away from home, putting up just 91.3 ppg on a bad 40.8% shooting from the field. The Kings defense is 27th in the league in points allowed and they allow 101.4 ppg, but the Blazers are not an overly powerful offensive team as they average 97.2 ppg overall and 99.1 ppg at home. On defense Portland has more than enough stopping power to keep this sorry Kings offense under wraps. The Blazers have allowed 97.3 ppg at home on the year, but in their last 5 at home they have allowed 88.8 ppg. This game shouldn't put no more than 190 on the board.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
214932 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday December, 26

Nelly

Minnesota - over Houston

Houston has won six of the last seven games including a blowout win at Chicago in primetime yesterday. This could be tricky spot on the road for a second straight night going against a Minnesota team that has been one of the best defensive teams and best rebounding teams in the league. Minnesota has lost three of the last four games but schedule has been tough with the last three games coming against Miami, Oklahoma City, and New York. In the last home game Minnesota beat Oklahoma City and the Wolves have not lost at home since the return of Ricky Rubio, actually winning each of the last five home games and going 8-3 at the Target Center for the season. Houston is only 4-7 on the road this season despite last night's convincing win and the Rockets are 2-4 ATS on the road against winning teams. The Rockets are an impressive offensive team but this is a tough situation after a big win and the Wolves look like a legitimate playoff threat. This is an interesting match-up for both coaches, facing off against teams they were involved with a for several years but the set-up is advantageous for the home team.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
214932 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday December, 26

Harry Bondi

UTAH (-4) over Golden State

Despite their struggles on the road, the Jazz remain one of the NBA's toughest teams to beat at home. Jazz are 9-2 straight up and 8-3 ATS at home. They will be without point guard Mo Williams for tonight's match-up with Golden State but back-up point guard Jamal Tinsley is an adequate replacement and had 11 points and four assists in his first start in Williams place on Sunday. Golden State has been red hot but the line reflects that as the Warriors have been double digit dogs in 5 of their last six visits to Salk Lake. Lets play the line value and solid home team and back Utah over Golden State tonight.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
214932 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Board Info

Board Stats:
 
Total Topics:
44936
Total Polls:
2
Total Posts:
281933
Average Posts Per Hour:
2.6
User Info:
 
Total Users:
3587
Newest User:
Jeffery Jones
Members Online:
0
Guests Online:
2815

Online: 
There are no members online

Forum Legend:

 Topic
 New
 Locked
 Sticky
 Active
 New/Locked
 Sticky/Locked

Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Contact Us | Advertising | 888-99-SPREAD

THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE – If you think you have a gambling problem click here.

Disclaimer: This site is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Individual users are responsible for the laws regarding accessing gambling information from their jurisdictions. Many countries around the world prohibit gambling, please check the laws in your location. Any use of this information that may violate any federal, state, local or international law is strictly prohibited.

Copyright: The information contained on TheSpread.com website is protected by international copyright and may not be reproduced, or redistributed in any way without expressed written consent.

About: TheSpread.com is the largest sports betting news site in the United States. We provide point spread news, odds, statistics and information to over 199 countries around the world each year. Our coverage includes all North American College and Professional Sports as well as entertainment, political and proposition wagering news.

©1999-2013 TheSpread.com