NFL Betting News and Notes Weeek 17
NFL Betting News and Notes Weeek 17
NFL Week 17 Point Spreads and Early Line Moves
By: The Linemakers
All 16 games on the NFL’s Week 17 schedule will be played on Sunday, and all are intra-divisional matchups.
Per usual for the season's final week, the lines were posted later than usual — early Monday morning rather than Sunday night — as the complicated playoff scenarios were sorted out. The lines below are from the LVH SuperBook, the first shop in Las Vegas to post NFL lines.
Jets at Bills (-3.5)
In the first of many matchups of also-rans, Buffalo will be about a field-goal favorite vs. the Jets. Both teams were losers on Sunday, the Bills (24-10) at Miami, and the Greg McElroy-led Jets (27-17) at home to the Chargers. These teams met in the first week of the season, a 48-28 blowout by the Jets.
Dolphins at Patriots (-10)
New England still has plenty to play for. With a win, plus losses by the Texans and Broncos, the Pats would get the No. 1 seed in the AFC. They’d get a first round bye with a win and a Broncos loss. The Dolphins played New England tough just a few weeks ago in Miami, getting the cash as an 8-point dog in a 23-16 loss .
Ravens at Bengals (-3.5)
Both teams are in the postseason dance, but the Ravens may have a tad more motivation next week. Baltimore can move up from the No. 4 to No. 3 seed with a win and a Pats loss. That wouldn’t mean a bye but would mean home-field advantage should they meet New England in the AFC championship game. Cincy is locked into the No. 6 seed. Early action was on Baltimore, and the line was moved to Bengals -3 even.
Browns at Steelers (no line)
Pittsburgh was knocked out of the playoffs with its loss to the Bengals Sunday. Perhaps the Steelers will be motivated by revenge, as they lost in Cleveland a few weeks ago
Texans (-4) at Colts
Houston blew a chance to secure home-field advantage throughout the playoffs, losing at home to the Vikings, 23-6. The Texans get another chance next week in Indianapolis against the Colts, a team with really nothing to play for since it’s locked into the No. 5 seed in the AFC.
Jaguars at Titans (-4)
This one won’t stir a lot of interest; the teams have seven wins between them. Jacksonville beat Tennessee, 24-19, as a 3.5-point underdog on Nov. 25 for its lone home win of the season. The Titans were embarrassed, 55-7, in Green Bay on Sunday, while the Jags played a surprisingly close game — and covered — at home against the Patriots.
Eagles at Giants (-9)
The Giants have nearly squandered their season, losing in a listless performance in Baltimore on Sunday. They’ve dropped four of their last five and need a lot of help to make the playoffs. They’re in if they win and Dallas, Minnesota and Chicago all lose. Philly, who lost at home to Washington Sunday, beat the Giants, 19-17, at home back in Week 4.
Cowboys at Redskins (-3.5 even)
There’s no shortage of motivation here — the winner claims the NFC East title. Washington won in Dallas, 38-31, on Thanksgiving Day as a 3.5-point dog. Next week's game was predictably flexed into NBC’s prime time. Dallas backers took the 3.5 points, prompting a line move to Redskins -3 even.
Bears (-3) at Lions
Chicago can sneak into the playoffs with a win and a Vikings loss to the Packers. The Bears dominated Detroit on a Monday night back in Week 7, but the Lions got the back-door cover as a 6.5-point dog in a 13-7 loss.
Packers (-3.5) at Vikings
Minnesota can clinch a playoff spot with a win. The Packers still have reason to play, but will need a win plus losses by the 49ers (vs. the Cardinals) and Seahawks (vs. the Rams) to get a first-round bye. That’s highly unlikely.
Bucs at Falcons (no line)
Atlanta can coast here and are likely to rest some starters after clinching the top spot in the NFC with its win Saturday night in Detroit.
Panthers at Saints (-4.5)
Both teams have been eliminated from the playoffs, but both were winners on Sunday — New Orleans in Dallas and Carolina at home vs. Oakland. The Saints were technically still alive for a playoff berth heading into Week 16 but may be able to find motivation next week in the form of revenge — they were beaten in Carolina, 35-27, in Week 2. The Panthers are on a late-season role, having won and covered three in a row and four of their last five.
Chiefs at Broncos (-16.5)
Denver gets a first-round bye with a win over the lowly Chiefs, and can earn home-field advantage throughout the playoffs win a win and a Texans loss to Indy. For Kansas City, it seems, this season can’t end soon enough.
Raiders at Chargers (no line)
No early number posted on this meeting of playoff outsiders due to the uncertain status of Oakland QB Carson Palmer.
Cardinals at 49ers (no line)
When there is a line hung on this one, expect it to be at least two touchdowns. San Fran, which was throttled in Seattle Sunday night, can clinch the NFC West title with a win, and can get a first-round bye with a win coupled with a Packers loss.
Rams at Seahawks (no line)
Seattle can claim the division with a win and an unlikely 49ers home loss to Arizona; it can even get a first-round bye with a win and losses by both San Fran and Green Bay. St. Louis came to play Sunday, winning in Tampa Bay, 28-13 — although a playoff berth was technically still possible heading into that game.
Re: NFL Betting News and Notes Weeek 17
NFL Week 17
Jets (6-9) @ Bills (5-10) — Gang Green (-3.5) hammered Buffalo 48-28 in season opener, back in happier days for Jets; Bills turned ball four times (-3), gave up an average of 9.9 ypa to NJ offense that is now dysfunctional at best, turning ball over 18 times in last five games (-14, were +1 in first 10 games). McElroy makes first road start here. Buffalo lost three in row, seven of last nine games; they gave up 18 or less points in all five wins (5-1) but are 0-9 allowing more than 18. Can the Jets score 19? They've now beaten Bills six games in row, winning last three here, by 9-24-16 points. Five of seven Buffalo road games went over total; three of last four Jet games stayed under.
Dolphins (7-8) @ Patriots (11-4) — New England has to play to win, just in case Denver were to get upset by Browns; Patriots (-7.5) beat Dolphins 23-16 back in Week 13, when Miami kicked late FG to cover spread. Patriots won last five series games and nine of last 11, winning last three played here, by 10-31-3; they are 3-4 as home faves this year, winning at home by 10-3-6-35-28 points. 11 of last 13 Patriot games went over the total; five of last seven Miami games stayed under. Miami is 3-3 as road underdog this year, losing away games by 20-3-3-5-14 points- five of its eight losses are by 7 or less points. Favorites are 6-4 vs the spread in AFC East divisional games, 3-3 at home.
Ravens (10-5) @ Bengals (9-6) — Both teams will play a playoff game next week, would expect banged-up guys to sit out; Ravens (-6) crushed Cincy 44-13 back in season opener, averaging 8.8 ypa, but they've lost five of last seven visits to Queen City (won 24-16 here LY). Bengals won/covered six of last seven games; they won at Pittsburgh LW despite three turnovers, only 14 rushing yards, and allowing Dalton to be sacked six times. Ravens snapped 3-game skid by routing Giants; they're 4-3 on road, with five of seven games decided by three points or less. Home favorites are 1-3-1 vs spread in AFC North divisional games. Six of last seven Bengal games stayed under; three of last four Raven games went over.
Texans (12-3) @ Colts (10-5) — Indy coach Pagano's entrance to field will be an emotional moment, coming back from leukemia, but fact of matter is that Indy's spot in playoffs is set, while Texans need this win to clinch home field in AFC playoffs. Houston (-9) beat Colts 29-17 at home two weeks ago, blocking punt for a score- they had only one offensive TD, and didn't have any vs Vikings LW, in awful 23-6 home loss. Star RB Foster has heart issue, not sure if he plays in this game. AFC South home teams are 3-7 vs spread in divisional games, home dogs are 1-3. Houston is 6-1 on road, with five wins by 6+ points. Three of last four Houston games stayed under; under is 6-3-1 in last ten Indy games. Hard to overlook 352 rushing yards Colts allowed in win at Kansas City last week.
Jaguars (2-13) @ Titans (5-10) — Jax lost 11 of last 12 games, with only win 24-19 (+3) over Tennessee at home five weeks ago; they’re 5-7 in last 12 series games, with series splitting five of last six years; Jaguars lost three of last four visits here, with losses by 7-17-6 points. Titans lost at Jacksonville despite having seven sacks. Three of last five series totals were 33 or less. Jaguars outgained New England 436-349 last week, threw an INT in end zone on last play trying to tie game; they’re 5-2 as road underdogs this year, but lost 34-18/24-3 in last two away games. Tennessee lost 55-7 at Lambeau last week, after winning ugly Monday night games week before; they’re 1-2 vs spread as a favorite this year, 3-4 SU at home, with wins by 3-3-4 points. Home teams are 3-7 vs spread in AFC South divisional games, 2-4 if home favorite. Four of last five Jaguar games, three of last four Titan home games stayed under the total.
Eagles (4-11) @ Giants (8-7) — Giants were putrid last two weeks, getting outgained 927-442, outscored 67-14 in pair of lopsided road losses; they need this win and help to make playoffs. Philly was 3-1 after nipping Giants 19-17 (-2.5) in Week 4, outrushing Big Blue 191-57; they had 10-yard advantage in field position, but had just one TD, three FGs in four red zone drives. Roof has fallen in on Eagles since; they’ve lost 10 of last 11 games, still have no wins by more than two points, with seven of last eight losses by 7+ points. With Foles breaking hand, Vick expected to start, which amounts to audition for whatever team sings him next spring. Iggles have now won eight of last nine games with Giants—they won last five visits here, winning by 6-19-7-7-7 points. Five of last seven series totals were 44+. NFC East home teams are 2-8 vs spread in divisional games, 1-5 if favored. Giants won five of last six home games, scoring 90 points in winning last two (Packers/Saints).
Bears (9-6) @ Lions (4-11) — Chicago scored two defensive TDs in easy win at Arizona last week, week after Lions gave up two defensive scores in 38-10 loss in desert, Cardinals’ only win in their last 11 games. It was just second win in last seven games for Bears, who held off Detroit 13-7 (-6.5) back in Week 7, outrushing Lions 171-99; they were saved by four takeaways (+4), as Lions scored only seven points in four trips to Chicago red zone. Series has been swept seven of last eight year, with Chicago 5-2 in last seven visits here. Bears are 4-3 on road, with all four wins by 16+ points; they’re 2-1 as road favorites this year, 8-3-1 since 2008. Detroit lost its last seven games (0-6-1 vs spread) despite Johnson setting single season record for receiving yards; they’ve lost last four home games, with three of four losses by 4 or less points. NFC North home underdogs are 2-2 vs spread in divisional games; NFL-wide, divisional home dogs are 16-19-1 vs spread. Five of Bears’ last six road games went over the total, as did six of last nine Detroit games.
Buccaneers (6-9) @ Falcons (13-2) — Atlanta has #1 seed in NFC wrapped up, would expect banged-up guys to be held out; Bucs lost last five games (0-4-1 vs spread), as friction between players/coaches has been reported. First of those five straight losses was Falcons’ 24-23 win (-1) in Tampa in Week 12, when Ryan passed for 345 yards (10.5 ypa) and Atlanta survived -2 turnover ratio. Falcons are 7-0 at home this year, 4-3 as favorites, with wins by 6-2-3-6-4-10-34 points. Bucs are 4-2 as road underdogs, losing away games by 7-6-8-41 points (3-4 SU on road, but lost last two). Tampa Bay has one offensive TD, 10 turnovers on 23 drives in last two games, as Freeman was picked eight times- they were outscored 48-6 in first half of last three games. NFC South home teams are 6-3-1 vs spread in divisional games, with home favorites 2-1. Five of last six games for both teams stayed under the total.
Panthers (6-9) @ Saints (7-8) — Carolina won four of last five games after 2-8 start; Saints have shot at finishing 8-8 after 0-4 start, which included a 35-27 loss (-2.5) in Charlotte in Week 2, in wild game (Saints outgained Carolina 486-463) that was Panthers’ first win in last five series games- they lost last three visits here, by 10-2-28 points. After going 0-12 on third down in 36-14 loss to Denver in Week 10, Panthers have converted 43-83 (51.8%) over last six games, as Newton’s mobility allows them to move chains. Carolina is 6-3 vs spread as an underdog this year, 4-0 on road; dogs are 10-5 vs spread overall in their ’12 games. Saints scored 41-34 points in winning last two games; they won four of last five home games after losing first two, scoring 30.4 ppg in last five- they’re 3-2 as home favorite this year. NFC South home teams are 6-3-1 vs spread in divisional games, 2-1 if favored. Four of last six Carolina road games, five of Saints’ last seven games went over the total.
Browns (5-10) @ Steelers (7-8) — Pittsburgh in rare spot as also-ran here; they’ve lost three in row and five of last six games- seven of their last eight games were decided by six or less points (3-5). Steelers (-1.5) turned ball over eight times with Batch at QB in hideous 20-14 loss on Lake Erie in Week 12, just their 2nd loss in last 18 games vs Cleveland; Browns outrushed them 108-49, started five drives (scored 17 points) in Steeler territory. Cleveland lost its last eight visits here, with seven of the eight by 11+ points. Browns are 2-4 as road underdogs this year, losing away games by 7-7-14-4-3-22 points, with a win at Oakland. Steelers lost last three home games; they’ve been held under 100 rushing yards in last five games. Pitt has six sacks, three takeaways last week, still lost tough game to Bengals. Home teams are 3-5-2 vs spread in AFC North divisional games, 1-3-1 if favored. Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Cleveland games, 1-3 in last four Steeler games.
Packers (11-4) @ Vikings (9-6) — Both teams need this win; Pack for home field/bye in playoffs, Vikings just to get in tournament. Green Bay (-8) beat Vikings 23-14 at home four weeks ago at Lambeau, despite Minnesota running ball for 240 yards- they’ve now won last five series games, and 10 of last 13. Series has been swept in seven of last eight years; Pack won four of last six visits here, winning 31-3/33-27 last two years. Green Bay won nine of last 10 games overall, four of last five on road since losing to emotional Colts in Week 6, when they blew 21-3 halftime lead; they’ve covered last six games when favored. Vikings won/covered all three games since Lambeau loss, running ball for 558 yards, as Peterson chases Dickerson’s single-season rushing mark; they’re 6-1 at home this year, losing only to Bucs in Thursday night game, 6-3 as underdogs. NFC North underdogs are 5-3-2 in divisional play, 2-2-1 if at home. Five of last six Green Bay games, four of last five Viking games stayed under the total.
Chiefs (2-13) @ Broncos (12-3) — Broncos need win for first round bye in playoffs, which is huge; Denver (-10) had only TD/FG in four red zone drives in 17-9 win at Arrowhead in Week 12- Chiefs outrushed them 148-95, but passed for only 116 yards. Broncos won last five home games, by 31-20-7-8-22 points; they’ve covered seven of last nine games overall, all as favorites. Nightmare of season ends here for Chiefs, with housecleaning likely to follow; KC is 2-5 vs spread on road this year- they’ve lost last three weeks by 23-15-7 points, outscored 32-10 in first half of those three games. Chiefs’ only two TDs on last 33 drives both came on 80+-yard runs by Charles, on the first play of a half. AFC West favorites are 6-4 vs spread in divisional play, 3-3 at home. Six of last seven KC games stayed under total; six of last eight Bronco games went over. This guy Mike McCoy, Denver’s OC? He has easiest job in America, because #18 does it for him.
Raiders (4-11) @ Chargers (6-9) — Carson Palmer is out here; either Leinart or Pryor (or both) get nod here, vs underachieving Charger team likely playing last game for Norv Turner. San Diego (-1.5) opened season with 22-14 win at Oakland, in game where Bolts had a ridiculous 25-yard edge in field position, but only scored one TD (and four FGs) in five red zone drives- it was fourth straight series win for the road team, with San Diego winning 12 of last 15 overall. Oakland won last two visits here, 28-13/24-17, after losing previous seven trips in. Raiders lost seven of last eight games, with only win vs dreadful Chiefs; they’re 2-5 vs spread on road, losing last three away games by average score of 35-12. San Diego lost five of last seven games, with both wins in eastern time zone; they lost last three home games, scoring total of 33 points. Favorites are 6-4 vs spread in AFC West divisional games, 3-3 at home. Last five Raider games, last three San Diego home games stayed under the total.
Cardinals (5-10) @ 49ers (10-4-1) — Things could get ugly at Candlestick, where 49ers need to win in case Minnesota upsets the Packers; Niners (-7) waxed Redbirds 24-3 in Glendale in Week 8, holding Arizona to 7 yards rushing and 4.6 ypa. Series has been swept seven of last eight years; Cardinals lost last three visits here, by combined score of 85-23. Cardinals lost 11 of last 12 games; they gained total of 196 yards in the only win; they’re 3-3 as road underdog, losing away games by 14-7-14-4-1-58 points (they won at Foxboro in Week 2)- none of their QBs are capable of moving ball here. SF is off pair of tough road games- they allowed 31 points in second half at Foxboro, then 28 in first half at Seattle last week- underdogs are 5-2 vs spread when 49ers allow 20+ points, 2-6 when they don’t. Home teams are 6-3-1 vs spread in NFC West divisional games, 2-2-1 if favored. Four of last five Arizona games, six of last seven 49ers games went over the total.
Rams (7-7-1) @ Seahawks (10-5) — Seattle is 7-0 at home this year, 4-0 as home favorite; they were underdog in first three home games this year- Hawks won last three at home by combined score of 128-20 (43-7 average). That said, Seahawks lost 19-13 (-2.5) at St Louis in Week 4, when Rams had three picks (+2), held Seahawks to 2-9 on 3rd down conversions and a TD/two FG on three red zone drives. That was just Rams’ second win in last 15 series games; they’ve lost last seven visits here, with six of seven losses by 10+ points. St Louis is 7-0 this season when they don’t lose turnover battle; they’re 4-0-1 SU in divisional games, tying Niners in Candlestick as 12-point dogs in Week 10- they’re 6-1 vs spread in true road games, losing away games by 4-17-3 points (won last three on road SU). Three of last four Ram games stayed under total; Seattle’s last five games went over. Rams covered last six games that stayed under, are 4-4 vs spread if game goes over.
Cowboys (8-7) @ Redskins (9-6) — Winner here takes NFC East title, which Washington hasn’t won since ’99; Skins won/covered last six games, including 38-31 (+3) at Dallas on Thanksgiving, when they outrushed Pokes 142-35, had three takeaways to offset Dallas’ 423 passing yards. Dallas won six of last eight series games, with five of last six series wins by 4 or less points- they’ve won three of last four played here, with average total in last five, 29. Last four Dallas games were all decided by 5 or less points; they’ve scored average of 21.6 points just in second half of their last seven games, as Romo-Bryant combo has clicked often. Cowboys are 5-2 vs spread on road, winning three of last four SU. Redskins won/covered last six games; they’re 3-3 as home favorites. Despite playing with two rookie QBs, Washington has had only two games this year where they’ve been minus in turnovers (+14). Four of last five games for both teams went over the total.
Re: NFL Betting News and Notes Weeek 17
NFL: Streaks, Trends, Notes
Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions
Lions withering down the stretch have lost seven consecutive (1-6 ATS). Jim Schwartz and his troops are certainly disillusioned with the season efforts but have a chance to at least take some of the bitter taste of defeat out of their mouths with a win over rival Bears. Lions would love nothing more than to deny the Bears a playoff spot and just may hijack this one as Chicago's offense has been horrible over the past seven games averaging just 16.1 PPG and that includes scoring 28 vs a very bad team this past week. Hold your nose, take the points. Lions are on a 6-1 ATS streak following a double-digit loss at home, 4-1 ATS at home off a loss as a home dog, 4-1 ATS stretch last five meetings with Bears.
New York Jets at Buffalo Bills
The Bills (5-10, 6-9 ATS) showing few signs of life in another uninspired defeat to the Miami Dolphins look primed to secure basement dwelling status within the AFC East. Jets (6-9, 7-8 ATS) are nothing to write home about but should sweep the season series. Opening the campaign stomping Bills 48-28 the Jets have won six straight meetings (5-1 ATS) and head into Buffalo having won five of six both SU/ATS at Ralph Wilson Stadium. Look for Jets to move to 8-3 ATS vs division rivals in the month of December, Bills to fall to 5-11 ATS at home vs the division in December.
St Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks
QB Russell Wilson shredding league's second-best defense converting 11 of 12 third-down conversions while completing 15 of 21 passes for 171 yards, four touchdowns in Seattle's massive 42-13 victory against the 49ers Sunday night suggests Rams, the Seahawks' Week 17 opponent, are really in trouble. Seahawks seemingly unstoppable in outscoring their last three opponents 150-30 have opened 10.5 point favorites to remain undefeated at CenturyLink Field (7-0 SU/ATS) a venue that has seen the squad hammer visiting teams by a 20.1 point winning margin. Rams handed Seahawks a 19-13 loss back in week-4 in St Louis so payback looms large. Expect Seahawks to improve they're 13-2 (11-4 ATS) mark vs Rams including 7-0 (6-1 ATS) as host in the series.
Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins
The NFC East title will be at stake when the Washington Redskins (9-6, 10-5 ATS) square off against Dallas Cowboys (8-7, 6-9 ATS) Sunday night at FedEx Field. Redskins take a six game SU/ATS win streak into this winner-take-all game while Cowboys enter 4-2 it's last six with a cash draining 2-4 mark at the betting window. Key for Redskins, pound the ground with their rookie tandem of RGII ( 742 RushY, 6TD) and Alfred Morris (1410 RushY, 10TD) taking advantage of Cowboys' 17th-ranked run stop unit (115.3 RYG). As for Dallas, Tony Romo and wide receiver Dez Bryant (1311 RecY, 12 TD) will be looking to shred one of the worst pass D's in the league (222.3 RYG). Which strategy prevails ? We'll stick with the run game knowing home favorites of 4.0 or less that out-gain visitors on the ground while grinding out =>100 rushing yards are a sparkling 12-4 ATS and that Cowboys are just 5-9 ATS tossing 200 or more yards/game through the air. Look for Redskins to sweep their long time long time nemesis improving their 5-0 ATS streak in the series, 12-3 ATS record L15 encounters and expect Cowboys to fall to 4-14 ATS when allowing => 100 rushing yards/game, 3-7 ATS vs the division in December, 3-10 ATS overall in Week 17.
Re: NFL Betting News and Notes Weeek 17
NFL Poolies Betting Cheat Sheet: Week 17
Check out our NFL poolies' cheat sheet for all your football wagering needs in condensed form. Quick-hitting betting notes on all of Week 17's action.
Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals (-1, 41)
These two AFC North rivals could do it all again next week in the conference wildcard game. If Baltimore wins and the Patriots lose to the Dolphins, then the Ravens would host the Bengals in the first round. If they lose, they play the Indianapolis Colts to open the postseason. Baltimore will be looking to rest its starters and protect injured players. Cincinnati is also locked into a postseason spot but will likely try to finish the year with some momentum. The Bengals fell to the Ravens in Week 1, 44-13 as 7-point road underdogs. However, they have managed to go 5-2 ATS in their past seven home games with Baltimore.
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (N/A)
Cleveland is banged up heading into this finale. Running back Trent Richardson is nursing a bum ankle and quarterbacks Brandon Weeden and Colt McCoy are both dealing with shoulder injuries. All three are questionable for Week 17. Pittsburgh missed the playoff bus after a loss to Cincinnati last week. The Steelers say they want to finish the season strong and avoid a losing record for the first time since 2003. Pittsburgh is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven meetings with Cleveland, including a 20-14 loss as 1-point road favorites in Week 12.
Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts (+7, 46.5)
Houston is skidding at the wrong time. The Texans have lost two of their last three and home-field advantage in the postseason hangs by a string versus Indianapolis. If Houston losses, it could fall as far back as third in the AFC and lose that home edge. Running back Arian Foster is expected to play after leaving with an irregular heartbeat last week. The Colts have clinched the fifth seed in the AFC and will welcome head coach Chuck Pagano back to the sidelines after his battle with leukemia. The home team has covered in each of the past five meetings between these AFC South rivals.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans (-4, 41.5)
Could the tank be on with Jacksonville? If the Jaguars lose and Kansas City falls to Denver, the Jags would be guaranteed the No. 2 pick in the upcoming draft. RB Maurice Jones-Drew is not expected to suit up for the finale. Tennessee’s front office could be singing for their supper in Week 17. The Titans brass is pointing the finger at head coach Mike Munchak, GM Ruston Webster and COO Mike Reinfeldt and asking what went wrong this year. Going out on a winning note wouldn’t hurt. The Jaguars have covered in each of the past four meeting with the Titans, including a 24-19 win in Week 12.
Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants (-7.5, 45.5)
New York not only needs to win to make the playoffs but also needs Dallas, Chicago and Minnesota to lose in Week 17. The Giants have been outscored 67-14 in the last two games, however, those came on the road. New York is averaging 33.7 points at home and can break the franchise home scoring mark if they score at least 13 points Sunday. The Eagles nearly played spoiler to Washington last week and already have a win over the Giants – a 19-17 victory in Week 4. QB Michael Vick returns under center for Philadelphia after Nick Foles broke his hand in Week 16.
New York Jets at Buffalo Bills (-3.5, 39)
Jets head coach Rex Ryan said he would use the final contests as a chance to evaluate younger players for next season. The thing is, Ryan may not be around to see those talents in 2013. QB Mark Sanchez will get the start over an injured Greg McIlroy and RB Shonn Greene is trying to add a 1,000-yard rushing season to his free-agent resume. Buffalo desperately needs to end the year on a high note after losing three straight. Head coach Chan Gailey says he doesn’t plan on turning to his reserves in Week 17 and will roll out his usual lineup. New York is 5-1 in its last six meetings with Buffalo.
Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions (+3, 44.5)
Chicago needs to win and hope Minnesota loses to Green Bay in order to make the postseason cut. The Bears may also be playing for head coach Lovie Smith’s job. Chicago appeared locked into a high postseason seed before losing six of its last seven games (2-5 ATS). Jay Cutler needs to put the team on his back. The Bears have passed for fewer than 150 yards in six of their last 10 games. Detroit could roll over for Chicago in hopes of bettering its draft position. A Week 17 loss could translate in a third-overall selection. And with Calvin Johnson breaking the single-season receiving record last week, the Lions have little motivation.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons (N/A)
Atlanta has already locked up the top seed in the NFC and could choose to rest its starters in a meaningless Week 17 game. However, momentum could be very important to the Falcons, who have flopped in the postseason in past years. Tampa Bay looked like a playoff sleeper at times this season but folded down the home stretch, losing five in a row. QB Josh Freeman is a big reason for that slide, throwing eight interceptions in his last two games. Head coach Greg Schiano is aiming to go out on a positive note, so expect the Bucs to give everything they have left.
Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (-5, 54)
Carolina is the hottest team in the NFL in recent weeks, bringing a three-game SU and ATS winning streaking into the season finale. QB Cam Newton has compiled 688 passing yards, 183 yards rushing and seven combined touchdowns in that span. The Saints aren’t going to the postseason for the first time since 2008 but won’t lie down in the finale. Interim head coach Joe Vitt - always one to go for it – says Week 17 is a precursor to the 2013 season. New Orleans has been dismal ATS at home versus Carolina, going just 1-10 ATS in its last 11 home tilts with the Panthers.
Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos (-16, 42)
Denver is playing for the first-round bye Sunday and could even clinch home-field advantage through the AFC playoffs if Houston losses to Indianapolis. The last five times the Broncos earned home field through the postseason, they went to the Super Bowl in four of those seasons. Kansas City just wants to get this season over with. Head coach Romeo Crennel and GM Scott Pioli are gone following Week 17. Kansas City, however is 5-2 ATS in its last seven Week 17 contests.
Oakland Raiders at San Diego Chargers (N/A)
This is expected to be Norv Turner’s final game as the Bolts head coach with rumors of his dismissal swirling about for the majority of the season. RBs Ryan Matthews and Ronnie Brown are both injured so expect a lot of air time for Philip Rivers and the passing attack. Oakland won’t have QB Carson Palmer in Week 17 after he injured his chest. The Raiders turn the snaps over to backups Matt Leinart and Terrelle Pryor and will look to RB Darren McFadden to shoulder the load on offense. Oakland is 5-2 ATS in its last seven meetings with San Diego.
Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers (-16.5, 39.5)
The Niners, who need a win to clinch the NFC West, not only took one on the chin from the Seahawks in Week 16 but also lost one of their biggest weapons in the passing game. WR Mario Manningham is out for the year with a knee injury. San Francisco could go with a ground-heavy attack, pitting their fourth-ranked rushing attack versus Arizona’s 28th-ranked run defense. The Cardinals are poised for a fire sale this offseason and many players may be competing for their jobs this week. Surprisingly, Arizona is the best bet in Week 17, going 8-3 ATS in the season finale since 2001.
St. Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks (-10.5, 41)
The Seahawks are in the postseason but can clinch the NFC West title with a victory over St. Louis and a loss for the 49ers. Seattle is coming off an impressive beating of San Francisco at home in Week 16, improving to 7-0 SU and ATS inside CenturyLink Field. The Rams haven’t been great on the road and now visit the toughest venue in the NFL. St. Louis is winless in its last seven trips to Seattle and has been outscored 199-76 in those games. The Rams are just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 meetings overall with the Seahawks. St. Louis is 4-0-1 SU and 5-0 ATS versus NFC West rivals this season.
Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings (+3.5, 46)
Adrian Peterson’s pursuit of the single-season rushing record is on the back burner with the Vikings’ playoff hopes resting on a win at home in Week 17. Minnesota, which has won three in a row SU and ATS, has lost five straight meetings with Green Bay (1-4 ATS). The Packers clinched the NFC North title but can earn the No. 2 seed in the conference with a win in the finale. That bye week could be crucial for a banged-up roster. The Packers could have WR Jordy Nelson back in action this weekend.
Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots (-10, 46)
The Patriots are cheering for the Colts and Chiefs Sunday, as a win over Miami and a Houston loss would end up giving New England the AFC’s No. 1 seed and a Denver loss would insure the No. 2 seed. Bill Belichick may want to run up the score early in order to give his starters some down time before the postseason. Miami has lost five in a row to New England (2-3 ATS) and has been dismal on the road this year. The Dolphins are 2-5 SU and 3-4 ATS away from Miami and now travel to chilly Gillette Stadium, where the temperatures will dip below 20 degrees with a chance of snow Sunday.
Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins (-3.5, 48)
These NFC East rivals play for all the marbles Sunday night. A win by either team earns the division crowns and a postseason ticket. Dallas had a three-game winning streak snapped in an overtime loss to New Orleans Sunday while Washington extended its successful stretch to 6-0 SU and ATS since a bye in Week 10. The Cowboys not only fight a classic rival but also the elements Sunday. The temperature is expected to be in the low 30s in D.C. and Dallas is just 4-11 SU in games played in sub-40 degree weather over the past 20 seasons. The Redskins defeated the Cowboys on Thanksgiving and have covered in five straight games versus “America’s Team”.
Re: NFL Betting News and Notes Weeek 17
Bears at Lions: What Bettors Need to Know
Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions (3, 44.5)
The Chicago Bears need a win and some help in the final week of the regular season to lock up a playoff spot. The Detroit Lions are only playing for one thing - history for Calvin Johnson. The Bears are hoping to keep Johnson in check when they visit the Lions on Sunday. Johnson broke Jerry Rice’s single-season record for receiving yards last week and is aiming to become the first player in history to reach 2,000.
The Bears kept their playoff hopes alive with a win over the Arizona Cardinals in Week 16 and are hoping their banged-up roster can pull out one more in the final week. Chicago will also need the Green Bay Packers to beat the Minnesota Vikings (9-6). Detroit, which made the playoffs last season, has lost seven games in a row to crush any hope of a return trip. Johnson has been the only thing keeping spirits up with his record 1,892 yards.
LINE: Bears -3, O/U 44.5
ABOUT THE BEARS (9-6): Chicago is hoping running back Matt Forte (ankle) will be ready for the Lions. He sat out practice Wednesday and was limited Thursday. Forte was knocked out of Sunday’s win over Arizona and left the locker room in a walking boot, but he told reporters he would play against the Lions. Linebacker Brian Urlacher (hamstring) has missed the last three games and has yet to practice this week. The Bears had dropped five of six prior to the win at Arizona, averaging 11.4 points in the losses. They have won every game in which they have scored at least 18. The defense accounted for a pair of touchdowns in the 28-13 win over the Cardinals and quarterback Jay Cutler bounced back from an awful start to throw for a touchdown and at least keep the offense moving.
ABOUT THE LIONS (4-11): Detroit has simply become the Calvin Johnson show. What was once an explosive offense trying to compensate for a lackluster defense has put up an average of just 16 points in the last three games. Matthew Stafford (4,695) could end up with another 5,000-yard season but has only 17 touchdown passes to go with 16 interceptions. His 443 yards in Saturday’s 31-18 loss to the Atlanta Falcons marked the most in NFL history without a touchdown pass. Stafford hasn’t gotten much help from the running game and is frequently throwing from behind. Johnson caught 11 passes for 225 yards in the loss to Atlanta and is averaging 126.3 yards, making the 108 he needs for 2,000 a strong possibility. He has had at least 118 yards in each of the last eight games.
* Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Under is 6-0 in Bears’ last six vs. NFC North foes.
* Under is 4-1 in Lions’ last five vs. NFC North foes.
1. The Bears also lost starting S Chris Conte (hamstring) in the Arizona game. Anthony Walters replaced him the rest of the game.
2. Johnson was held to a season-low 34 yards in a 13-7 loss at Chicago on Oct. 22.
3. Chicago has taken eight of the last nine in the series but lost in its last trip to Detroit 24-13 on Oct. 10, 2011.
Re: NFL Betting News and Notes Weeek 17
Packers at Vikings: What Bettors Need to Know
Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings (3.5, 46)
The Green Bay Packers' path is pretty well defined. If the visiting Packers can defeat the NFC North rival Minnesota Vikings on Sunday, they'll receive a bye and punch their ticket to the divisional playoffs. Should Green Bay suffer just its second loss in 11 outings, it could still clinch the No. 2 seed - provided San Francisco stumbles against Arizona and fellow NFC West rival Seattle follows suit versus St. Louis.
Minnesota's path to the postseason is a little trickier. A fourth straight victory on Sunday will secure the Vikings the No. 6 seed - and perhaps a return trip to Lambeau Field for the first round of the playoffs. A loss to the division foe on Sunday isn't entirely a death knell to the season, although Minnesota would require Chicago, Dallas and the New York Giants to all suffer losses in Week 17.
LINE: Packers -3.5, O/U 46
ABOUT THE PACKERS (11-4): Green Bay, which has defeated Minnesota in five straight games, secured its postseason berth with a convincing 55-7 rout of Tennessee last week. Pro Bowler Aaron Rodgers led the charge with his second consecutive three-touchdown game on Sunday, and has torched Minnesota during the team's winning streak. Rodgers has thrown for 14 touchdowns and accumulated a 122.2 passer rating. Green Bay's run-by-committee approach has been successful, with veteran Ryan Grant recording 80 yards and a pair of scores last week.
ABOUT THE VIKINGS (9-6): Adrian Peterson's bid to usurp Eric Dickerson's single-season rushing record hit a bump in the road in last week in the team's 23-6 victory over Houston. The Pro Bowler battled abdominal soreness to amass "only" 86 yards, thus requiring 208 on Sunday if he wishes to break Dickerson's 1984 mark. Peterson torched the Packers for 210 yards on Dec. 2, but Green Bay walked away with a 23-14 triumph. Christian Ponder was victimized by two critical interceptions in the loss.
* Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Vikings are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six home games.
* Under is 5-0 in Packers’ last five vs. NFC North foes.
* Under is 6-0 in Vikings’ last six vs. a team with a winning record.
1. Green Bay OLB Clay Matthews didn't play in the first meeting due to a hamstring injury. The Pro Bowler, who has a team-high 12 sacks, is set to compete on Sunday, however.
2. Ponder has been picked off on only one occasion during Minnesota's three-game winning streak.
3. Packers WR Jordy Nelson returned to practice this week after injuring his hamstring in the teams' earlier tilt.
Re: NFL Betting News and Notes Weeek 17
Sunday Night Football: Cowboys at Redskins
Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins (-3.5, 48)
The stakes could not be higher for a pair of division rivals as the Washington Redskins host the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday night with the NFC East title on the line. Washington has turned its season around since a 3-6 start, winning each of its six games following its bye week. The winning streak is the longest since a seven-game run in 1996 for the Redskins, who are seeking their first division crown since 1999 but also can earn a playoff berth with losses by Chicago and Minnesota.
Dallas only can reach the postseason with a victory. The Cowboys also have flourished in the second half, following a 3-5 start with wins in five of their next six games before suffering a 34-31 overtime loss to New Orleans at home last Sunday. This week's situation is very familiar to Dallas, which last season lost to the New York Giants in the final week with the division title on the line and also missed the playoffs in 2008 with a setback to Philadelphia in the season finale.
LINE: Redskins -3.5, O/U 48.5.
WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures around the freezing mark and clear skies. Winds will blow out of the NNW at 5 mph.
ABOUT THE COWBOYS (8-7): While the NFC East crown is paramount, Dallas also wouldn't mind avenging a 38-31 home loss to Washington on Nov. 22. The Cowboys had won six of the previous seven meetings between the division rivals. Jason Witten set the NFL record for most receptions by a tight end last week with his 103rd catch. Since 2007, Witten has 547 receptions, the most by by a tight end. Linebacker Anthony Spencer has registered 6 1/2 sacks over his last six contests.
ABOUT THE REDSKINS (9-6): Robert Griffin III returned from a one-game absence due to a sprained right knee and threw two touchdown passes in last Sunday's 27-20 victory at Philadelphia. The knee kept Griffin grounded, however, as he ran only twice for four yards while wearing a brace. "My mobility was down a little bit just because of the brace," Griffin said. "It didn't necessarily slow me down by any means, and I was able to protect myself out there." Griffin has run for 752 yards this season, the most by a rookie quarterback in NFL history.
* Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
* Redskins are 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall.
* Over is 4-0 in Cowboys’ last four vs. NFC East foes.
* Over is 4-1 in Redskins’ last five games overall.
1. Cowboys WR Dez Bryant has caught at least one touchdown pass in each of his last seven games.
2. Griffin has thrown six TD passes without an interception over his last four home contests.
3. Washington RB Alfred Morris leads all rookies with 1,413 rushing yards.
Re: NFL Betting News and Notes Weeek 17
Week 17 Tips
By Kevin Rogers
All six playoff spots in the AFC are spoken for heading into Week 17, even though the seedings can change with different results. The NFC still has two postseason berths up for grabs going into the final week, as five clubs have an opportunity to make the playoffs. The Redskins and Cowboys hook up in Washington for the NFC East title, while the Vikings control their destiny for the final Wild Card berth in the NFC. We'll take a look at the three day games that have an impact on the NFC playoff race, starting with the big long shot in New Jersey.
Eagles at Giants (-7, 46)
Philadelphia was the league's biggest disappointment in 2011 and is a nominee for that same honor in 2012 with a 4-11 record. The Eagles can spoil New York's shot at returning to the postseason by pulling off the season sweep of their division rivals. The Giants started their Super Bowl run last season with a home victory over the Cowboys in Week 17 to qualify for the playoffs. The task isn't as easy this time around, as New York needs a win plus losses by Chicago, Minnesota, and Dallas just get to the Wild Card round.
The Eagles welcome back Michael Vick to the lineup after the quarterback has missed the last six games with a concussion. Vick led Philadelphia to a 19-17 triumph as a 1½-point favorite way back in Week 4, the last home victory for the Eagles. Since that win, the Eagles have covered three times in 11 tries, but all three ATS wins came away from Lincoln Financial Field.
The Giants have been outscored, 67-14 in road losses at Atlanta and Baltimore the last two weeks. The Ravens ran out New York, 33-14 as short home 'dogs last Sunday as Baltimore racked up 533 yards of offense. Tom Coughlin's club owns a 2-5 SU/ATS record the last seven weeks, while scoring 16 points or less in the previous four defeats. New York has been one of the top 'under' teams in the league by producing the 'under' 11 times this season, including in six of the last seven weeks.
Bears (-3, 45) at Lions
The only way to for Chicago to save its season is with consecutive road wins the final two weeks. The Bears completed the first obstacle with flying colors in a 28-13 blowout of the Cardinals as seven-point favorites, as Lovie Smith's defense scored a pair of touchdowns. Now, Chicago needs a victory at Ford Field, coupled with a Minnesota loss at Green Bay to qualify for the playoffs for the first time since 2010.
The Lions enter Sunday's contest trying to finish off a season to forget at 4-11 following last Saturday's blowout loss to Atlanta. Detroit, just one season removed from making the playoffs, has allowed at least 31 points in five losses during a seven-game skid, while losing three home games by four points or less. The Lions had plenty of opportunities in their last meeting at Chicago in Week 7, but committed a handful of turnovers in the red zone in a 13-7 loss.
Since starting the season at 7-1, the Bears have won just two of their previous seven contests. Chicago has covered only twice in this cold stretch with victories over Minnesota and Arizona. The Bears' offense can shoulder the blame, scoring 17 points or less in all six losses this season, as the only game in which they put up less than 17 was the victory over Detroit. The 'over' is 5-2 in Chicago's seven road games, as one of the 'unders' came with a 50½ total in a Week 2 loss at Green Bay.
Packers (-3½, 46) at Vikings
Green Bay needs a win to secure a first-round bye, while Minnesota goes for its fourth straight victory and a shot at the playoffs for the first time since 2009. The Vikings are staying alive thanks to solid road triumphs at St. Louis and Houston, including a 23-6 dismantling of the AFC South champion Texans as 7 ½-point 'dogs last week.
Minnesota has quietly turned into one of the league's best home squads with a 6-1 record at Mall of America Field, with the lone loss coming on a Thursday night in October to Tampa Bay. The Vikings own a perfect 3-0 SU/ATS record as a home 'dog this season, including wins over the Bears, Lions, and 49ers. Leslie Frazier's team has dropped five straight meetings with the Packers dating back to 2009, as Green Bay is 3-0 SU/ATS the last three trips to Minneapolis.
The Packers were the talk of the NFL last season at 15-1, but fizzled out in a second-round playoff loss to the Giants. Green Bay has flown under the radar this season at 11-4, while winning nine of their last 10 games. In two of their four losses, Green Bay has squandered late fourth-quarter leads at Seattle and Indianapolis, as the Packers could have been the top seed in the NFC, but also may play the first weekend with a loss plus a San Francisco win. Mike McCarthy's team has hit the 'under' in five of the last six games, as you can blame Green Bay's offense for an 'over' in a 55-7 rout of Tennessee last Sunday.
Re: NFL Betting News and Notes Weeek 17
Total Talk - Week 17
By Chris David
Week 16 Recap
The ‘under’ went 9-7 last weekend and on the season the ‘under’ stands at 114-110-1. Like any other week, gamblers caught a couple second-half ‘over’ tickets, which helped the game outcome go ‘over’ as well. Oddsmakers had three totals listed at 40 points or less last Sunday and all three of those games jumped ‘over’ their numbers. It’s just something to think about as we head into Week 17, which is arguably the toughest week to handicap.
Meaningful or Meaningless
All of this week’s games are divisional battles, so we’ll provide a quick handicap of the entire afternoon board.
1:00 p.m. ET
Jets at Bills: These teams combined for 76 in Week 1 as the Jets won 48-28 at home. The total for this matchup is hovering around 39 points and it’s hard to see either club duplicate their offensive efforts from the opener. Both teams have been held to 17 points or less the past three weeks.
Ravens at Bengals: Even though these teams are in the playoffs, this game is meaningless. The Bengals are locked into the sixth seed and the Ravens are most likely the fourth seed unless they win and the Patriots lose. Baltimore routed Cincinnati 44-13 in Week 1.
Browns at Steelers: The Browns will go with third-stringer Thad Lewis (Duke Blue Devils) at QB, which could set up an ‘under’ look. The LVH sent out a total on Saturday of 34 ½ points. At home, the Steelers have watched the ‘under’ go 6-1 and only one team (San Diego) scored more than 13 points.
Texans at Colts: It looks like a go for all starters here, especially with home-field on the line for the Texans. Colts are locked into the fifth seed so you wonder if they pull starters if the game is out of hand. Houston just beat Indy 29-17 and the game barely went ‘under’ the closing number of 48. Make a note that the Texans have scored 43 and 29 points off a loss this season and they just got embarrassed by the Vikings (6-23) last Sunday.
Jaguars at Titans: Four of the last five encounters have gone ‘under’ in this series, including Jacksonville’s 24-19 win over Tennessee on Nov. 25. That total was 45, this week’s is 42.
Eagles at Giants: New York still has a shot for the playoffs and the Birds will go with Michael Vick at QB, which could be his last game with the team. High total (46) but hard to ignore that the Giants have surrendered 27, 34 and 33 points the last three weeks. Philadelphia’s defense is just as bad, allowing 30-plus in five of the last seven games.
Bears at Lions: Chicago beat Detroit 13-7 in a MNF affair in mid-October. This game could get chippy and a lot of trash talk has been spewing this week. The Bears’ offense has trouble scoring, yet the Lions allow a ton of points. At Ford Field, they haven’t held an opponent under 20 this season.
Buccaneers at Falcons: The line opened 47 and dropped to 46. How much playing time Atlanta’s first-stringers get is unknown. After a nice midseason run, the Bucs have scored a combined 34 points the last three weeks, all ‘under’ tickets.
Panthers at Saints: This is the highest total (54) for Week 17 and you would expect the ball to be rolled out for this matchup. The Saints are an offensive machine and against weak teams, they light up the scoreboard. Carolina has potential to score too and it did beat New Orleans 35-27 in Week 2. Something tells me that New Orleans, in particular Drew Brees, will be looking for revenge.
4:25 p.m. ET
Dolphins at Patriots: If Houston loses, then this game becomes important for New England. Otherwise, the Patriots could rest and get ready for their playoff game next week. New England has watched the ‘over’ go 6-1 at home. Snow and wind is expected in the area, which is always tough to handicap.
Packers at Vikings: Green Bay stopped Minnesota 23-14 in Week 12 and the closing total (47) wasn’t threatened. Lots of eyes will be on this game with AP’s charge at the rushing record. Vikings are on a 4-1 run to the ‘under’ and surprisingly, Green Bay has seen the ‘under’ go 6-2 in its last eight.
Chiefs at Broncos: The ‘under’ has cashed in four straight in this series and the games have been real ugly. Low total here and even though Peyton gets all the press, the Denver defense has been real good lately.
Raiders at Chargers: The Raiders will give Terrelle Pryor the shot at QB, which makes this game a little interesting. San Diego has scored 7, 13 and 13 in its last three home games, all easy ‘under’ tickets.
Cardinals at 49ers: San Francisco stopped Arizona 24-3 on the road in late October and the ‘under’ (37) cashed rather easily. The 49ers have been on an ‘over’ run (5-0) and the defense does look weak with DT Justin Smith.
Rams at Seahawks: St. Louis beat Seattle 19-13 in Week 4. The Seahawks are much improved team, especially on offense. The ‘over’ has cashed in five straight and seven of the last eight game for Seattle.
The smart money took it on the chin last week with a 2-4 record. Five of those moves leaned to the ‘under’ and that’s the case again this week. Here are all of the line moves of 1 ½ points or more at CRIS as of Saturday.
N.Y. Jets at Buffalo: Line opened 41 and dropped to 39
Miami at New England: Line opened at 49½ and dropped to 46
Baltimore at Cincinnati: Line opened at 43 and dropped to 41
Under the Lights
Last Saturday night the Falcons beat the Lions 31-18 and the game barely snuck ‘under’ the closing total of 50. Those who had the ‘under’ were fortunate since the Falcons settled for a late field goal and the Lions couldn’t score on the goal line at the end of the game. On Sunday, Seattle blasted San Francisco and cashed ‘over’ tickets for the fifth consecutive week. This season, the ‘under’ has gone 30-18 (63%) in primetime games.
Washington at Dallas: Three of the last four meetings in this series have gone ‘over’ the total, which includes the Redskins’ 38-31 road win over the Cowboys on Thanksgiving Day. What some might forget about that game is Dallas was winning 3-0 after the first quarter and then RG3 led the Washington offense to 28 unanswered points in the second quarter. The ‘Skins did whatever they wanted offensively and so did Dallas quarterback Tony Romo (441 yards). For this matchup, RG3 could still be nursing a knee injury. Last week he only ran twice and he’s averaging close to eight carries a game. Both teams come into this game with four of their last five games going ‘over’ the number. This line opened at 50 and dropped to 48 at a few outfits but is now hovering around 49 points. If you get both teams to 24, you’ll have a winner provided it doesn’t end in a tie. Considering the playoff implications, you could get a tight game but at the same time, neither team should lay down in the end either.
For the third straight week, we’ve turned up in the red. Fortunately, we stopped some of the bleeding with the Jets team total under but the deficit was still $220. On the season, we’re in the black for $620 and looking ahead to the postseason. As always, Press, Pass or Fade but in the end - Good Luck and Happy New Years to you and yours!
Best Over: Saints-Panthers 54
Best Under: Eagles-Giants 47
Best Team Total: Over 29½ Saints
Three-Team Total Teaser:
Over Saints-Panthers 43
Under Dolphins-Patriots 55
Under Falcons-Buccaneers 54½
Re: NFL Betting News and Notes Weeek 17
NFL Final Week Preview
By Alex Smart
Cleveland @ Pittsburgh - Browns are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Steelers are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 20-5-2 in Browns last 27 games in December.Under is 9-1 in Steelers last 10 home games. Underdog has covered 5 of L/7 in this series.
Houston @ Indianapolis - Texans are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Texans are 4-0-2 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 17.Colts are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.Colts are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games in Week 17.Under is 5-0 in Colts last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 11-1 in Colts last 12 vs. AFC South.Home team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Jacksonville @ Tennessee - Titans are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. AFC South.Jaguars are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games. Under is 9-1-1 in Jaguars last 11 vs. AFC South.Under is 8-3-1 in Titans last 12 home games.Under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings. Jaguars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Philadelphia @ NY Giants - Eagles are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC.Eagles are 0-5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Giants are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 5-0 in Eagles last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 17-5 in Giants last 22 games overall.Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings in New York.Underdog is 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings.
NY Jets @ Buffalo - Bills are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in December.Over is 19-8 in Jets last 27 road games.Under is 12-5 in Bills last 17 games in December.Underdog is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 meetings.Jets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Buffalo.
Chicago @ Detroit - Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in December. ears are 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.ears are 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.Lions are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.Under is 6-0 in Bears last 6 vs. NFC North.Over is 8-1 in Lions last 9 games following a double-digit loss at home.Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Carolina @ New Orleans - Panthers are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games in December.Panthers are 8-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Â Â Â Â Saints are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 vs. NFC South.Over is 14-6 in Saints last 20 games overall.Panthers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings in New Orleans.
Kansas City @ Denver - Chiefs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.Broncos are 17-35-2 ATS in their last 54 home games.Under is 7-1 in Chiefs last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 37-17 in Broncos last 54 games overall.Underdog is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Oakland @ San Diego - Raiders are 19-43-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Raiders are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.Chargers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.Chargers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC West.Over is 6-0 in Chargers last 6 games in Week 17.Under is 13-3-1 in the last 17 meetings in San Diego.Underdog is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Arizona @ San Francisco - Cardinals are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. NFC.49ers are 23-10-1 ATS in their last 34 games overall.49ers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC West.Over is 39-16 in Cardinals last 55 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.Under is 11-1 in 49ers last 12 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Â Cardinals are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
ST.Louis @ Seattle - Rams are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.Rams are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC West.Seahawks are 7-24-1 ATS in their last 32 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.Seahawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC.Rams are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Seattle.
Green Bay @ Minnesota - Packers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.Packers are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 vs. NFC North.Vikings are 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 games in Week 17.Vikings are 4-1-Under is 6-0 in Vikings last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. ATS in their last 6 home games. Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Over is 9-2-1 in the last 12 meetings in Minnesota.
Miami @ New England - Dolphins are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Patriots are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 17.Under is 26-10 in Dolphins last 36 road games.Over is 13-3 in Patriots last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Road team is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
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