Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday December, 22

Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday December, 22

DUNKEL INDEX

NFL

Atlanta at Detroit
The Falcons look to take advantage of a Detroit team that is coming off a 38-10 loss to Arizona and is 0-8 ATS in its last 8 games after allowing more than 30 points in its previous game. Atlanta is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Falcons favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-3 1/2).

Game 101-102: Atlanta at Detroit (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 137.528; Detroit 127.657
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 10; 47
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 3 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-3 1/2); Under

NCAAF

Washington vs. Boise State
The Huskies look to take advantage of a Boise State team that is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games against teams with a winning record. Washington is the pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Huskies favored by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+5 1/2).

Game 209-210: East Carolina vs. UL-Lafayette (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 77.270; UL-Lafayette 85.709
Dunkel Line: UL-Lafayette by 8 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 5 1/2; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UL-Lafayette (-5 1/2); Under

Game 211-212: Washington vs. Boise State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 100.064; Boise State 95.383
Dunkel Line: Washington by 4 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Boise State by 5 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+5 1/2); Over

NBA

Indiana at New Orleans
The Pacers look to take advantage of a New Orleans team that is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 home games. Indiana is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Pacers favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-3 1/2)

Game 501-502: Chicago at Atlanta (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 120.539; Atlanta 118.243
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 2 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 3 1/2; 183 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+3 1/2); Over

Game 503-504: Detroit at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 112.346; Washington 117.243
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 5; 181
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 1; 185
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-1); Under

Game 505-506: Utah at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 116.415; Miami 124.390
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 8; 205
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 9 1/2; 200 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+9 1/2); Over

Game 507-508: Memphis at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 122.617; Houston 125.107
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 2 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 1; 197 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-1); Under

Game 509-510: Indiana at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 119.936; New Orleans 113.192
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 6 1/2; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 3 1/2; 178
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-3 1/2); Over

Game 511-512: Cleveland at Milwaukee (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 109.694; Milwaukee 120.514
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 11; 183
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 513-514: Charlotte at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 108.121; Denver 124.810
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 16 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 15 1/2; 208
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-15 1/2); Under

Game 515-516: Phoenix at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 117.770; Portland 120.705
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 3; 208
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 517-518: LA Lakers at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 117.372; Golden State 123.493
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 6; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 1; 209
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-1); Under

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DUNKEL INDEX

NCAAB

Texas at Michigan State
The Spartans look to take advantage of a Texas team that is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 road games. Michigan State is the pick (-10) according to Dunkel, which has the Spartans favored by 12 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-10)

Game 519-520: Temple vs. Syracuse (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 63.812; Syracuse 73.113
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 9 1/2; 144
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 10 1/2; 140
Dunkel Pick: Temple (+10 1/2); Over

Game 521-522: USC at Georgia (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 55.779; Georgia 61.140
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 5 1/2; 109
Vegas Line: Georgia by 3; 113
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (-3); Under

Game 523-524: Illinois-Chicago at Miami (OH) (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 56.431; Miami (OH) 53.756
Dunkel Line: Illinois Chicago by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Illinois-Chicago by 4
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+4)

Game 525-526: LSU at Marquette (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 58.928; Marquette 70.036
Dunkel Line: Marquette by 11
Vegas Line: Marquette by 10
Dunkel Pick: Marquette (-10)

Game 527-528: East Carolina at Massachusetts (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 56.797; Massachusetts 63.114
Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 5
Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (-5)

Game 529-530: Evansville at Butler (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Evansville 57.531; Butler 70.627
Dunkel Line: Butler by 9
Vegas Line: Butler by 11
Dunkel Pick: Evansville (+11)

Game 531-532: Providence at Boston College (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Providence 62.739; Boston College 55.496
Dunkel Line: Providence by 7
Vegas Line: Providence by 5
Dunkel Pick: Providence (-5)

Game 533-534: Texas at Michigan State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 59.993; Michigan State 72.700
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 12 1/2; 117
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 10; 122
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-10); Under

Game 535-536: Georgia State at Rhode Island (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 51.727; Rhode Island 63.479
Dunkel Line: Rhode Island by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Rhode Island by 6
Dunkel Pick: Rhode Island (-6)

Game 537-538: Florida State vs. Charlotte (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 62.461; Charlotte 62.847
Dunkel Line: Even; 138
Vegas Line: Florida State by 1; 133 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+1); Over

Game 539-540: Arizona State at Texas Tech (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 56.417; Texas Tech 55.153
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State

Game 541-542: St. Mary's at Northern Iowa (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:

Game 543-544: Arkansas-Little Rock at South Alabama (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas-Little Rock 54.756; South Alabama 56.574
Dunkel Line: South Alabama by 2
Vegas Line: South Alabama by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas-Little Rock (+6 1/2)

Game 545-546: St. Bonaventure at NC State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 57.861; NC State 72.515
Dunkel Line: NC State by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: NC State by 11
Dunkel Pick: NC State (-11)

Game 547-548: Hofstra vs. Tulane (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hofstra 44.946; Tulane 55.148
Dunkel Line: Tulane by 10
Vegas Line: Tulane by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (-8 1/2)

Game 549-550: Richmond vs. George Mason (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 59.458; George Mason 57.729
Dunkel Line: Richmond by 1 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: Richmond by 5; 132
Dunkel Pick: George Mason (+5); Over

Game 551-552: Wright State at Cincinnati (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wright State 56.139; Cincinnati 72.673
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 18
Dunkel Pick: Wright State (+18)

Game 553-554: Marshall at Kentucky (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 55.593; Kentucky 76.345
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 21; 132
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 19 1/2; 137 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (-19 1/2); Under

Game 555-556: Air Force at UC-Riverside (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 56.426; UC-Riverside 43.840
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Air Force by 10
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (-10)

Game 557-558: Kansas at Ohio State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 75.589; Ohio State 82.018
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 6 1/2; 136
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 3; 139
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-3); Under

Game 559-560: Virginia vs. Old Dominion (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 64.720; Old Dominion 52.108
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 12 1/2; 123
Vegas Line: Virginia by 14 1/2; 118
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (+14 1/2); Over

Game 561-562: Illinois vs. Missouri (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 67.502; Missouri 71.174
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 3 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: Missouri by 1 1/2; 142 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-1 1/2); Under

Game 563-564: Northern Illinois at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 41.671; Washington 58.182
Dunkel Line: Washington by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington by 18
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (+18)

Game 565-566: Arkansas State at Kent State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 53.336; Kent State 60.939
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Kent State by 6
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (-6)

Game 567-568: Loyola Marymount at St. Louis (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola Marymount 52.898; St. Louis 67.673
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 15
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 13
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-13)

Game 569-570: Duquesne at UL-Lafayette (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duquesne 53.249; UL-Lafayette 53.719
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 3
Dunkel Pick: Duquesne (+3)

Game 571-572: Florida vs. Kansas State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 78.046; Kansas State 64.441
Dunkel Line: Florida by 13 1/2; 124
Vegas Line: Florida by 9; 126 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-9); Under

Game 573-574: Southern Mississippi vs. Wichita State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 60.554; Wichita State 65.949
Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Wichita State by 7
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (+7)

Game 575-576: TCU at Rice (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 52.275; Rice 46.900
Dunkel Line: TCU by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: TCU by 2
Dunkel Pick: TCU (-2)

Game 577-578: Western Kentucky vs. Louisville (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 56.192; Louisville 78.565
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 22 1/2; 127
Vegas Line: Louisville by 21 1/2; 130 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-21 1/2); Under

Game 579-580: Missouri State at New Mexico State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri State 44.458; New Mexico State 64.013
Dunkel Line: New Mexico State by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: New Mexico State by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (-16 1/2)

Game 581-582: San Diego vs. Oregon State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 55.623; Oregon State 61.531
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 6
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+7 1/2)

Game 583-584: WI-Milwaukee at Wisconsin (9:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Milwaukee 46.307; Wisconsin 69.438
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 23; 130
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 25 1/2; 124
Dunkel Pick: WI-Milwaukee (+25 1/2); Over

Game 585-586: Fresno State at UCLA (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 52.814; UCLA 69.535
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: UCLA by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-14 1/2)

Game 587-588: San Jose State vs. James Madison (11:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 47.837; James Madison 52.493
Dunkel Line: James Madison by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: James Madison by 3
Dunkel Pick: James Madison (-3)

Game 589-590: Mississippi Valley State vs. Georgia Southern (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi Valley State 41.358; Georgia Southern 47.855
Dunkel Line: Georgia Southern by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Georgia Southern by 8
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi Valley State (+8)

Game 591-592: North Florida vs. CS-Bakersfield (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Florida 47.950; CS-Bakersfield 51.016
Dunkel Line: CS-Bakersfield by 3
Vegas Line: CS-Bakersfield by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: CS-Bakersfield (-1 1/2)

Game 593-594: Bradley vs. Virginia Tech (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bradley 59.152; Virginia Tech 60.090
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 1
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 3
Dunkel Pick: Bradley (+3)

Game 595-596: Colorado State vs. Portland (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 64.197; Portland 48.368
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 16
Vegas Line: Colorado State by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (-12 1/2)

Game 597-598: Mississippi vs. Indiana State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 68.343; Indiana State 55.304
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 13; 134
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 9 1/2; 137
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (-9 1/2); Under

Game 599-600: San Diego State vs. San Francisco (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 65.599; San Francisco 54.272
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 11 1/2; 129
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 10 1/2; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (-10 1/2); Under

Game 601-602: Arizona vs. East Tennessee State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 69.464; East Tennessee State 46.828
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 22 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Arizona by 25; 128 1/2
Dunkel Pick: East Tennessee State (+25); Over

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday December, 22

Brad DiamondFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Boise State vs WashingtonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The early line had Boise at -7 1/2 over their Pac-10,  err, 12, rival Washington. Boise ended a brilliant campaign at 10-2, while the Huskies completed a mediocre season in the PAC-12  at 7-5. Washington went 4-1 SU & ATS before WSU. Winning four straight, but falling against Washington State 31-28 (-13 1/2) to complete the schedule. We pretty much expected a rough 2012 for Washington as most experts compilation listed Washington 5th or 6th in the North.
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Boise State footballThis season Boise State suffered losses to Michigan State and San Diego State. When you realize BSU brought back only 7 starters (from a 12-1 team), their record is even more amazing as HC Chris Peterson (83-8) did another great job. They have won the last two Las Vegas Bowl outings by a combined score of 82-27 over Utah and Arizona State.
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For our money the Broncos come from a background that loves nothing better than to defeat a PAC unit. Boise State 38 Washington 28

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Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Washington at Boise St.FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Broncos are looking for a third straight Las Vegas Bowl victory but we dont feel the third time will be a charm as they fall into a tricky 13-29-1 ATS situation that riddles favorites of 4 or more points returning to the same bowl the following year. Sure, they are part of the 10-win minority after stomping Arizona State, 56-24, as 14-point favorites on this field last year. However, Washington head coach Steve Sarkisian does his best work when given time to prepare (6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS with rest) and his Huskies were riding an impressive 4-0 SU and ATS surge including three as dogs ? before losing to rival Washington State as 14-point road favorites in overtime. You can bet (and we will) that the sled dogs wont take a Boise State team that is 60-5 SU since 2008 ? including 18-6 ATS versus non-conference opposition for granted. Of course, we?re not thrilled that bowl teams off a SU and ATS extra session loss are 3-9 ATS or that the PAC-12 is 0-3 SU and ATS in bowl games versus the Mountain West over the past three seasons. But we are, surprisingly, willing to roll the dice today in Sin City with a Huskies squad that ironically threw three sevens (as in allowing 777 total yards to Baylor) in last years Alamo Bowl. We say they remember the Alamo and make amends against a Broncos? bunch that is averaging a paltry 17.2 PPG against fellow bowlers this season. We recommend a 1-unit play on the Washington Huskies.

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Terron ChapmanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Atlanta Falcons vs. Detroit LionsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Prior to last Sunday’s game against the defending champion New York Giants, many pundits questioned if the Atlanta Falcons were a legit title contender despite their 11-2 record. Well, the Falcons were able to silence the pundits – at least for now – with a 34-0 drubbing of the Giants at the Georgia Dome. They’ll now look to lock up the top seed in the NFC when they travel to Motown Saturday night for a date with the struggling Detroit Lions.
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With Sunday’s win, Atlanta improved to 31-1 when Matt Ryan has a passer rating of 100 or better, including 20-0 at home. But it was the defense that led the Falcons in the win, limiting the Giants to just 256 total yards while turning over the Giants three times, including intercepting Eli Manning twice. The Falcons now control their own destiny and won’t have to worry about leaving the Georgia Dome until February with a win Saturday.
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The Detroit Lions recent struggles took an ugly turn Sunday in a 38-10 loss to a Cardinals team that lost by 58 points the week before. The Cardinals couldn’t put together a drive of more than 42 yards but they were able to turn over the Lions four times, including three interceptions by Matthew Stafford. The Lions have committed 26 turnovers this season (-9 in turnover differential), which could be an issue with an opportunistic Falcons team heading to town.
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Atlanta visited the Silverdome in week 7 last season as a four-point underdog but was able to come away with a 23-16 victory. Bookmakers don’t expect a letdown this week from the Falcons opening them as 3.5-point road chalk. With so much still to prove and gain for the Falcons, it’s hard to see them overlooking Detroit. The Lions have the talent to keep it close and even pull off the upset, but they’ve been prone to crucial mistakes throughout the season and we don’t see that changing. Expect a better effort from the host but in the end, look for the Falcons to make enough big plays to lock up the win in the fourth quarter. Lay the chalk with the visitor.

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SPORTS WAGERSFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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DETROIT +3½ over AtlantaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Remember the 11-1 Falcons that few thought were as good as their record and were subsequently thumped in Carolina? That’s precisely the team we’ll bank on here rather than the one that embarrassed the Giants last week in a 34-0 shellacking. The Falcons have dropped two of their past three road games with only win coming by a single point at TB. Atlanta coming off a blowout win and Lions coming off blowout loss to lowly Arizona sets this table quite nicely.
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The Lions have had a year to forget but with a national audience and the chance make a statement against the NFC’s top-seeded team, we trust even these knuckleheads will rise to the occasion. Detroit still owns the top passing game in the NFL, the only team to average more than 300 yards per game. Atlanta’s 17th ranked pass defense can be had by Megatron and Co. The Lions may not know how to win but prior to being blindsided by Arizona last week, four of Detroit's past five losses have been by seven points or less. They have the talent and motivation to pull the upset or stay in this range.

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WunderdogFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Atlanta at DetroitFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Detroit +3.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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After making the playoffs a year ago, the Detroit Lions have had a very frustrating season in 2012. They have fallen sharply from last season’s team, sitting at 4-10 this year. This is a team that has been riddled with injuries all season, and just didn't quite have the depth or luck to get anything to go their way. Anything and everything that could go wrong did. Don't get me wrong. This is a not a very good team, but their breaks have made it seem worse than it is. At 12-2 on the season, the Atlanta Falcons have had pretty much everything go their way so far. The bottom line is that these teams aren't as far apart as the records would make you think. Since week four, the Falcons have gone to battle with eight teams that had losing records at the time they played them. They lost two of them, and four others were all within 4 points when the final whistle blew. Detroit has seen their last four games at home vs. teams with a combined record of 40-16-1, with a net point differential of just -5. They played Seattle, Green Bay, Houston, and Indianapolis. Against these four teams, they were outscored by by a grand total of just 9 points - none of them by more than 4. The line is bigger than it should be after the Lions lost to Arizona 38-10 last week. This Lions team has been invested in every home game this season, and in it to win it every time. They will be up to make a statement against a 12-2 team. Take the points on Detroit.

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Timothy BlackFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Texas vs. Michigan StFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Under 122FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Both teams are allowing under 60 ppg on the season and Texas and Michigan State have each played to the Under in 4 of their last 5 games. Also, in the UT/MSU series, the Under is 4-1 over the last 5 games that were played between 2006 and 2010.

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Utah Jazz vs. Miami HeatFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Miami is home from an emotional national TV game Thursday night at Dallas, a rematch of the painful 2011 NBA Finals that Miami lost. Well they won big and now head home to face a Utah team with a winning record and one that is rested. The Jazz have actually won two of their last three games against the Heat since the formation of the "Big 3," including the famous double-overtime win in 2010. In that game, Paul Millsap scored 46 points and was a perfect 3-for-3 on 3-pointers, including two late to draw overtime. The Heat is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning record and the underdog is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Play the Utah Jazz.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday December, 22

Strike Point Sports

St. Joseph's (-10) over Fairfield

Here's a favorable matchup for the home Hawks, primarily under our thinking that Fairfield just isn't any good. The Stags have been susceptible at home, so a road game in Philly against a very solid St. Joe's team is going to be a tall order. St. Joe's backcourt is ones of the best on the East Coast and is more than enough to easily dispatch Fairfield. But the Hawks also have a big advantage on the interior as well. St. Joseph's has only gotten off to a 5-3 start. They know that they need to put some wins together. They are coming off a heartbreaking loss to Villanova on Dec. 11, and they want to get that out of their heads. This team has been very strong at home and blew out Harvard by 19 on this gym back in November. Lay the number with the Hawks in the City of Brotherly Love.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday December, 22

Robert Ferringo

USC (+4) over Georgia

This is a projected line, but I feel like this line is going to be right around 3-4. This USC team is better than it has played. If you look back at the schedule these guys have endured, it is ridiculous. This team has played six of its last eight games against teams ranked in the Top 50. The worst team of that bunch was perennial NCAA Tournament team Texas. This USC team features a ton of transfers and a lot of guys that are just getting used to playing with one another. So that tough early schedule was a mistake or, at least, it wasn't optimum for a team that was trying to find itself. Their poor start has made this team undervalued, however, and I think that this is a great chance for them to get an upset winner. Georgia is terrible. They are young, they aren't particularly talented, and they have just had kind of a weird beginning to the season, with home losses to Youngstown State, Southern Miss and Iona, a poor showing in a marquee tournament, and then a weird 11 a.m. game on Tuesday against Mercer. I don't know what is going on with this team. But I know they aren't very good. I think that there is more of a chance that USC wins this game outright than that they will lose the game outright, so the points make it a great value play. Take the experience and the more motivated Trojans team, with the points, in this one.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday December, 22

Ben BurnsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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L.A. Lakers vs. Golden StateFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Golden StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Its easy for a lot of bettors to remember bad beats. Devastating losses can be hard to forget.
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I think its important to remember that luck does tend to even out though.
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Last night, I had a big play on the "over" in the Celtics/Bucks game. Quite frankly, it wasn't a good pick ...
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However, I was very fortunate that the Celtics, who were down by seven with less than a minute to play, managed to get the game to OT. Paul Pierce would force the extra period with a 3-pointer with 2.5 seconds left in regulation. (The added points scored in OT were enough for the final score to top the total.)
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Hey. I'll take it! As someone who typically plays more "unders" than "overs," I've been burned by games going into OT many times. More often than its worked in my favor.
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Thankfully, my other two Friday winners (Pistons and UCF) were a little easier on the heart.
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Anyway, I guess what I'm trying to say is that the next time you get burned by an unlucky loss, try and remember that the breaks will eventually go your way.
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Enough about all that ...
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The Warriors are currently very slight favorites here, or pick'em at some shops. Therefore, the line isn't a factor. I feel that's providing solid value.
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The Lakers did recently earn a couple of road wins. However, those came against Eastern Conference opponents, including Washington. Prior to that, they'd lost three straight on the road. They're still 4-8 on the road this season. That includes an 0-2 SU/ATS record as road underdogs of three or less, or pick'em.
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Golden State, on the other hand, is 8-3 at home. That includes a 3-0 SU/ATS record as home favorites, or pick'em, of three or less.
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The Warriors, who have won eight of 10 overall, should be thinking about getting some "payback" here, as the Lakers embarrassed them (101-77) when the teams met at LA six weeks ago. The Lakers have been beating up on them for years but this should be an excellent opportunity for them to return the favor. Take a look at the home team.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday December, 22

Bruce MarshallFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Kansas vs. Ohio St.FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Ohio St.FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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OSU in revenge mode vs. Kansas after dropping a pair vs. the Jayhawks last term, including a bitter 64-62 loss in the Final Four. The Buckeyes were apparently looking ahead to this revenge battle when struggling to get past Winthrop at midweek.  But Thad Matta has adroitly filled the gaps left by the departure of Jared Sullinger and William Buford, as F Deshaun Thomas (20.4 ppg) has assumed the go-to scorer role, while PG Aaron Craft (4.8 apg) runs the show with aplomb.  The Buckeyes can play in transition and attack from the perimeter, which can somewhat negate the presence of Jayhawk shot-swatter deluxe Jeff Withey (nation’s best 5.4 blocks pg) on defensive end.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday December, 22

Kyle HunterFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Virginia Cavaliers vs. Old DominionFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Old DominionFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Virginia Cavaliers are a good team, but they aren't the type of team to blow teams out, especially on the road. Old Dominion isn't very good this year, but they have played against some very good competition. The Monarchs will likely put up a tougher test than most expect in this one. Virginia is just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. Take Old Dominion.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday December, 22

Jimmy BoydFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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New Orleans Hornets +4FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Hornets have lost 10 in a row but odds have swung in their favor as a result. With last night's cover against the Spurs, they have now quietly covered the number in 4 of their last 6. They also took the Thunder down to the wire on the road during this stretch.
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Indiana won the season's first meeting at home by 8 points, but New Orleans is on an outstanding 23-10 ATS run when out for revenge for a same-season loss. It has lost in these games by only 2.9 points on average so the line is in our favor.
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It is also worth noting that the Hornets are an impressive 32-17 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. They have lost by only 2.1 points on average in these games. Take the points.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday December, 22

Timothy Black

Texas vs. Michigan State
Play: Under 122

Both teams are allowing under 60 ppg on the season and Texas and Michigan State have each played to the Under in 4 of their last 5 games. Also, in the UT/MSU series, the Under is 4-1 over the last 5 games that were played between 2006 and 2010.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday December, 22

Rob VincilettiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Texas Christian vs. RiceFOREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Texas ChristianFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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TCU has been pretty good this season and tonight they make the short trip to take on Rice. TCU Has won their only 2 meetings vs Losing teams this year. Rice is in last place in Conference USA and is an anemic 3-16 straight up vs Big 12 conference teams. As an underdog they have lost all 4 this season and 16 of 24 as a home dog of 3 or less long term. Looking at the RPI Rankings we note that TCU is ranked 220 and Rice 327. TCU has won 5 of 6 vs teams ranked 150 or worse in the RPI. Rice has lost both games this season vs winning teams and will likely lose this one as well. So we have no problem laying the two points in this one. Take TCU.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday December, 22

Mark FrancoFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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New Orleans vs. DallasFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Over 51½FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Cowboys need this win and the offense should be able to deliver points vs. what is still the worst defense in the NFL. The Saints will not show any quit and we know they have one of the better offenses in the league. The Over is 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 home games. The Over is 7-1 in Saints last 8 vs. a team with a winning record and is 8-2 in Saints last 10 games following a S.U. win.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday December, 22

Red Dog SportsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Wake Forest  vs. UNC GreensboroFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Wake ForestFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Wake Forest does have two solid veterans in CJ Harris and Travis McKie who are upperclassmen who average double digits in scoring. Wake should be able to rebound well vs. the smaller home team, who will be stoked facing an ACC team at home. I expect a close game with the Demon Deacons winning.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday December, 22

Bobby ConnFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Temple vs. SyracuseFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: TempleFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Temple has lost three straight against the spread and that has given us a little bit of value with this line tonight. Syracuse is a perfect 10-0 on the year and the first time they haven't covered was last time out against Detroit. The public is still going to be backing them today.
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These two teams face a rare situation in which they played the same opponents in the last two games. Temple is coming off a 10 point loss to Canisius in which they shot 34.9% from the floor. Two games ago the Orange played Canisius and won by 24 points, shooting 55% from the floor. Now, some of that is Syracuse being a better shooting team but part of it is just a hard luck night of shooting for the Owls.
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All of this points to one thing, a Temple cover. This game is being played in Madison Square Garden so isn't a true home game for Syracuse. That means I'll take the double digits in what should be a low scoring game.

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