Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday December, 19

Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday December, 19

DUNKEL INDEX

NBA

Oklahoma City at Atlanta 
The Thunder look to take advantage of an Atlanta team that is 3-10-1 ATS in its last 14 home games. Oklahoma City is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Thunder favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-6)

Game 701-702: Utah at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 117.346; Indiana 118.035
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 1; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 3 1/2; 187 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+3 1/2); Over

Game 703-704: Detroit at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 112.719; Toronto 118.992
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 6 1/2; 184
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 1 1/2; 187
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-1 1/2); Under

Game 705-706: Washington at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 111.160; Orlando 123.147
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 12; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 6 1/2; 188 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-6 1/2); Over

Game 707-708: Brooklyn at New York (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 116.469; New York 127.157
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 10 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 7 1/2; 195
Dunkel Pick: New York (-7 1/2); Under

Game 709-710: Cleveland at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 110.335; Boston 119.615
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 9 1/2; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 7 1/2; 193
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-7 1/2); Over

Game 711-712: Oklahoma City at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 127.138; Atlanta 117.408
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 9 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 6; 199
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-6); Under

Game 713-714: Philadelphia at Houston (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 111.753; Houston 123.701
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 12; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 4 1/2; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-4 1/2); Under

Game 715-716: Charlotte at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 109.550; Phoenix 116.795
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 7; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 9; 198
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+9); Over

Game 717-718: Milwaukee at Memphis (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 115.946; Memphis 126.081
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 10; 181
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 9; 184 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-9); Under

Game 719-720: Golden State at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 117.114; Sacramento 115.561
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 1 1/2; 206
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 2 1/2; 200
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+2 1/2); Over

Game 721-722: New Orleans at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 113.043; LA Clippers 129.100
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 16; 188
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 13 1/2; 192
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-13 1/2); Under

NCAAB

North Carolina at Texas
The Longhorns look to take advantage of a North Carolina team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against teams with a winning SU record. Texas is the pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Tar Heels favored by only 3. Dunkel Pick: Texas (+5 1/2)

Game 723-724: Cornell at Duke (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cornell 47.262; Duke 82.262
Dunkel Line: Duke by 35; 140
Vegas Line: Duke by 30; 143 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-30); Under

Game 725-726: Western Michigan at Duquesne (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 51.451; Duquesne 52.894
Dunkel Line: Duquesne by 1 1/2; 142
Vegas Line: Duquesne by 4 1/2; 136
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (+4 1/2); Over

Game 727-728: Illinois State at Dayton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois State 62.426; Dayton 68.499
Dunkel Line: Dayton by 6
Vegas Line: Dayton by 4
Dunkel Pick: Dayton (-4)

Game 729-730: Xavier vs. Cincinnati (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Xavier 62.673; Cincinnati 73.229
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 10 1/2; 130
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 7 1/2; 134
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-7 1/2); Under

Game 731-732: Florida International at Louisville (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 53.225; Louisville 77.011
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 24
Vegas Line: Louisville by 27
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+27)

Game 733-734: Ohio at Massachusetts (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 58.804; Massachusetts 56.666
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Ohio

Game 735-736: Miami (OH) at Wright State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 48.958; Wright State 54.936
Dunkel Line: Wright State by 6
Vegas Line: Wright State by 7
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+7)

Game 737-738: Oregon at UTEP (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 71.447; UTEP 59.659
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 12; 126
Vegas Line: Oregon by 4 1/2; 128 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-4 1/2); Under

Game 739-740: Alabama at Texas Tech (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 63.342; Texas Tech 55.243
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 8
Vegas Line: Alabama by 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (+9)

Game 741-742: Marquette at WI-Green Bay (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marquette 67.471; WI-Green Bay 56.423
Dunkel Line: Marquette by 11
Vegas Line: Marquette by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marquette (-8 1/2)

Game 743-744: TX-Arlington at Oklahoma State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-Arlington 55.167; Oklahoma State 70.991
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 16
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 14
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-14)

Game 745-746: Tulsa at Creighton (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 52.939; Creighton 72.060
Dunkel Line: Creighton by 19
Vegas Line: Creighton by 21
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+21)

Game 747-748: New Mexico at New Mexico State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 68.019; New Mexico State 63.679
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-2 1/2)

Game 749-750: North Carolina at Texas (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 69.166; Texas 66.107
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 3
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+5 1/2)

Game 751-752: Northern Illinois at Seattle (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 44.212; Seattle 45.803
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (+4 1/2)

Game 753-754: Pacific at St. Mary's (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 55.605; St. Mary's 69.028
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Mary's by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Mary's (-11 1/2)

Game 755-756: Northern Iowa at UNLV (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Iowa 60.186; UNLV 66.329
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 6
Vegas Line: UNLV by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (+9 1/2)

Game 757-758: Mississippi at Loyola Marymount (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 69.615; Loyola Marymount 57.898
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 11 1/2; 140
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 7; 142
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (-7); Under

Game 759-760: Appalachian State at South Carolina (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 46.482; South Carolina 59.255
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 13; 142
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 9; 147
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (-9); Under

Game 761-762: Canisius at Temple (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Canisius 54.642; Temple 60.605
Dunkel Line: Temple by 6
Vegas Line: Temple by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Canisius (+9 1/2)

Game 763-764: The Citadel at St. Bonaventure (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: The Citadel 38.158; St. Bonaventure 64.937
Dunkel Line: St. Bonaventure by 27
Vegas Line: St. Bonaventure by 20 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Bonaventure (-20 1/2)

Game 765-766: NC-Greensboro at NC-Wilmington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Greensboro 47.125; NC-Wilmington 48.260
Dunkel Line: NC-Wilmington by 1
Vegas Line: NC-Wilmington by 3
Dunkel Pick: NC-Greensboro (+3)

Game 767-768: South Dakota State at Belmont (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota State 57.290; Belmont 69.859
Dunkel Line: Belmont by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Belmont by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Belmont (-8 1/2)

Game 769-770: Eastern Illinois at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Illinois 43.097; St. Louis 61.848
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 21 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Illinois (+21 1/2)

Game 771-772: Morehead State at South Dakota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 53.755; South Dakota 46.134
Dunkel Line: Morehead State by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Morehead State by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Morehead State (-3 1/2)

Game 773-774: Samford at Tennessee-Martin (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Samford 40.628; Tennessee-Martin 40.558
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Tennessee-Martin by 2
Dunkel Pick: Samford (+2)

Game 775-776: Iowa State at UMKC (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 63.994; UMKC 49.988
Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 14
Vegas Line: Iowa State by 16
Dunkel Pick: UMKC (+16)

Game 777-778: Montana at Northern Arizona (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana 55.846; Northern Arizona 49.032
Dunkel Line: Montana by 7; 133
Vegas Line: Montana by 2 1/2; 137 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montana (-2 1/2); Under

Game 779-780: Murray State at Arkansas State (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Murray State 63.634; Arkansas State 56.970
Dunkel Line: Murray State by 7
Vegas Line: Murray State by 3
Dunkel Pick: Murray State (-3)

Game 781-782: Oakland at West Virginia (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 51.666; West Virginia 61.321
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 11
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+11)

Game 783-784: Montana State at Sacramento State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 42.151; Sacramento State 50.131
Dunkel Line: Sacramento State by 8
Vegas Line: Sacramento State by 7
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento State (-7)

Game 791-792: Mt. St. Mary's at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mt. St. Mary's 46.704; Indiana 80.736
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 34; 143
Vegas Line: Indiana by 32; 146
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-32); Under

Game 793-794: South Carolina State at Iowa (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina State 39.433; Iowa 65.152
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 25 1/2; 152
Vegas Line: Iowa by 27; 146 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina State (+27); Over

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday December, 19

Art AronsonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Cleveland vs. Boston
Pick: UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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I am playing on the UNDER between the Boston Celtics and the Cleveland Cavaliers.
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The Boston Celtics and the Cleveland Cavaliers are coming in on the back end of a back-to-back situation and I think we are getting some decent line value here.
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The Celtics lost to to the Chicago Bulls last night in Chicago while the Cleveland Cavaliers hosted the Toronto Raptors and lost as well.
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The Cavs gave up a 113 points last night and should be looking to shore up its defense if they are going to have any chance at winning this game in Boston.
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The Cavaliers have seen the total number fly UNDER the betting line in six of the last nine games.
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Boston gave up 100 points to the Chicago Bulls as they were playing their last game in a three game road trip. I expect the team to rebound defensively as they will be on home court against a team they should beat.
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The Celtics have seen the UNDER total win in six of the last ten games. Off the back end of a back-to-back situation, the UNDER bet has won in nine of the last 12 games involving the Celtics.
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Paul Pierce leads the Celtics in scoring at 19.7 points per game while Kevin Garnett is the next highest at 15.7. The Celtics aren't the team they once were offensively. I think they still pride themselves defensively at home.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday December, 19

David ChanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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New Orleans vs. L.A. Clippers
Pick: L.A. ClippersFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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New Orleans is 5-18 SU and 12-11 ATS; it's lost seven in a row, including a 95-94 setback at Portland on the 16th as a 5 point underdog. The Hornets are in Golden State on Tuesday night, meaning that they'll obviously come into this contest with "heavy legs". And after tonight's game, they have just one day off before another back-to-back scenario on Friday and Saturday, vs. the Spurs and Pacers.
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Note that New Orleans is just 32-41 ATS over the last three seasons vs. good offensive teams which score 99 plus points per contest.
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LA is 18-6 SU and 15-9 ATS; it's won ten in a row, including an 88-76 win at Detroit on the 17th as a 6.5 point favorite.
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This is an extremely deep team, and it's depth has been on full display during its current win streak.
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Jamal Crawford had 15 points in the win over Detroit; Chris Paul chipped in 14.
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''We didn't shoot very well, and we didn't do a lot of things we wanted to do,'' assessed LA's coach Vinny Del Negro after. ''We just had a lot of guys make plays down the stretch and we get to go home with another win. Early in the season, we probably lose that game, but now we've gotten to the point where we can win ugly.''
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In all five players would score in double figures.
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Note that LA is a perfect 3-0 ATS this year when "revenging" a home loss vs. an opponent.
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And the "revenge factor" definitely comes into play here, as the Clippers lost 105-98 on their home floor to the Hornets back on November 26th.
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A little "home cooking" is just what the doctor ordered for LA after four straight on the road; expect the Clippers to come out highly focused on both ends of the floor as they look to avenge the earlier loss to the Hornets!

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday December, 19

Red Dog SportsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Xavier vs. Cincinnati
Play: Under 134FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This is one of the top five college basketball rivalries. They are behind Duke/UNC and Louisville/Kentucky but could be third since both are solid programs and located in the same city. Last year's game had a brawl that marred both programs. I expect solid defense with a low scoring game. The Bearcats are favored by 7.5 so there is not much of a chance for overtime and more points to help the over. The teams have traded blowout wins in the last two meetings. Take the under 134.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday December, 19

Ray MonohanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Detroit Pistons vs. Toronto Raptors    
Play: Toronto RaptorsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Break up the Raptors. One of the league’s most disappointing teams has finally found a rhythm without Andrea Bargnani in the lineup.
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Toronto has won three in a row, 4 ATS, and is returning home for second game of a back to back. They get a Detroit team they lost to by 1 point earlier this season that has lost their last 5 and has just two road victories all season long.
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The young Raptors should have more than enough spring to win and get the short cover, riding the emotion of their recent strong play that included an easy road victory against Cleveland last night.

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Ryan JamesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Detroit Pistons vs. Toronto Raptors    
Play: Toronto RaptorsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Piston's aren't good, that is no secret. It's not that Toronto is good either, but I will take the home team on a tight line like this in a match up featuring two bad teams. The Raptors are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games and that trend should continue after they beat up on Detroit. The Toronto Raptors are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Central teams.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday December, 19

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New Orleans Hornets vs. Los Angeles Clippers    
Play: New Orleans HornetsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Hornets may not win this one but nearly 14 points is a lot of points for an LA. Clippers team to lay here. The last time these two faced off was November 26th and the Hornets came away with a 105-98 upset win. While I don't think they win this one. I do think they hang around for the cover. The Clippers are on a big win streak and are just 1-11 ats at home after allowing 85 or less points in their last game. They are a lousy 2-7 to the spread as a home favorite of 12.5 or more. The Hornets have covered 8 of 11 on the road and 5 of 7 as a road dog of more than 12 points. This one looks like a classic win and no cover.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday December, 19

Dave CokinFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Oregon at UTEP
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UTEP just missed in a terrific rally against UNLV on Monday night. But they were down by a good margin almost the whole game and I can't see the Miners being able to handle that lightning quick Ducks backcourt. Oregon minus the points is the choice.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday December, 19

Jim FeistFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Philadelphia 76ers at Houston Rockets
Pick: Houston RocketsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Philadelphia lacks depth and is in the second of a back to back spot. The 76ers are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games playing on no days rest and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. They take on a rested Houston team home from a thrilling 109-96 rout at the NY Knicks. The Rockets are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 vs. Eastern Conference and third in the NBA in points scored, running right at opponents. They will run right at the tired and thin visitors. Play the Rockets!

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday December, 19

JR O'Donnell

Duke / Cornell Over 143.5

High flier tonight as the Blue Devils / Big Red  GO OVER 143.5...power rated @ 150.3 points we will call for a nice 90's -60's ball game tonight @ Duke.... #1 ranked Duke can fill it up...90 vs the Owls last time out.... The Blue Devils run & gun the rock all night long.... Red Men keep up the pace.....  88 vs Blue Hens... 90 vs Owls .... at least 90 vs the Big Red....Over is 9-3 in Cornell last 12 overall.... 10-3 after tonight.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday December, 19

John RyanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Montana State at Sacramento StateFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: Montana StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The simulator shows a high probability that MS will lose this game by five or fewer points and has an excellent shot at winning the game. The sim shows a high probability that SS will hit less than 37% from beyond the arc in this game. In past games SS is just 0-7 ATS when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons. Stands to reason that the lower the number, the greater the chance for MS to win this game. The MS offense has played well and rank 68th in the nation averaging 73 PPG and will be matched against a terrible SS defense ranking 286th allowing a whopping 74 PPG. MS defense ranks a dreadful 334th allowing 80 PPG, but have played a vastly more difficult schedule than SS to date. I like teams that are on a learning curve where the program makes a solid choice to embrace a more difficult schedule than simply trying to ?pad? their way to a possible conference berth. This ?seasoning? against superior opponents nearly always pays dividends when facing teams, who have not yet been fully tested by elite competition. I strongly believe this is the matchup for this game. Take Montana State.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday December, 19

Matt FargoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Pacific vs. Saint MarysFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Saint MarysFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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After beating three straight overmatched opponents, expect St. Mary's to be fully focused tonight to lay another beatdown. The Gaels are on a modest three-game winning streak which includes a 53-point blowout victory at home against Jackson St. last time out to improve to a perfect 4-0 at home. Overall, St. Mary's is 7-2 on the season and one of those losses came against tonight's foe as Pacific defeated the Gaels by 10 points last month in Anaheim. St. Mary's allowed 53.1 percent shooting while shooting just 41.8 percent on offense and both of those percentages are 10 percent worse than its season averages so that game was clearly an aberration. The Gaels will be out for revenge tonight. Pacific is a very solid team as its 5-5 record is not a true indication of how good it is. The majority of losses came against some stellar competition but the losses against the two best teams, California and Gonzaga, were by 20 and 18 points respectively, and we can definitely put St. Mary's into that grouping. The Gaels are a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last seven games coming off a home win scoring 85 or more points while going 16-4-1 ATS in their last 21 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game. Pacific meanwhile is just 2-6 ATS over its last eight road games. St. Mary's has been without guard Stephen Holt the last three games because of a bone bruise in his left knee but head coach Randy Bennett hopes to have him back tonight.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday December, 19

Jesse SchuleFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Oklahoma City vs. AtlantaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: AtlantaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Hawks have exceeded expectations this season, getting out to a great start, with a record of 15-7 and sitting just two games back of New York for first in the Eastern Conference. They will face a tough test on Wednesday night though, going up against the Oklahoma City Thunder, the team with the best record in the NBA.
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The Thunder have only one loss in their last four road games, however two of those three victories were close games, decided by six points or fewer.
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Atlanta has been excellent at home, with a record of 8-4. The Hawks have also won their last two meetings with the Thunder, once at home and once at Oklahoma City.
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The Hawks are playing their third game in four nights, and while fatigue could be a factor late in the game, they are a young team that should be able to handle the tough schedule.
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Atlanta is getting quite a few points at home, against a team that they have beaten the last two times they faced them. The last time these teams met in Atlanta, the Hawks were without Al Horford, but still went on to win by a score of 97-90.
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I like Atlanta getting the points.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday December, 19

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Marquette vs. Green Bay
Pick: MarquetteFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Golden Eagles have won 5 of 6 games with their lone loss to the #8 Florida Gators (7-1). The Phoenix are going in the opposite direction with 1 win in their last 8 games while losing 4 consecutive by an average margin of -8.9 PPG. Green Bay hasn't beaten Marquette since 1995 while losing by an average margin of -18.5 PPG along the way. Take Marquette in a cake walk.
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The Marquette Golden Eagles have been solid on the hardwood this season, posting a record of 7-2 SU and 3-3 ATS. They have won 5 of their last 6 games, with the lone loss a 82-49 decision at the hands of the #8 Florida Gators. The Golden Eagles offense is by committee with junior guard Vander Blue leading a group of five players that are averaging 8+ PPG. As a team they are scoring an average of 71 PPG on a solid 47%. They are out rebounding their opponents by 4.6 RPG, while holding them to 60.3 PPG on 39.5% shooting. Overall the team is outscoring their opponents by an average margin of +10.7 PPG
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The Green Bay Phoenix are off to a rough start, compiling a record of 3-7 SU and 4-5 ATS. They have lost 4 straight games, getting outscored by an average of -8.75 PPG along the way. The focal point of Green Bay's offense is sophomore guard Keifer Sykes, who is averaging 16.4 PPG. The team has a poor field goal percentage of 40% and is averaging 66.8 PPG overall. Defensively the Phoenix are giving up 69.4 PPG on 44.9% shooting from the field. Overall the team is getting outscored by an average margin of -2.6 PPG.
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Marquette has won 4 straight games vs the Phoenix dating back to 1995, winning by an average of 18.5 PPG. With a low projected line for Wednesday nights game the Golden Eagles should have no trouble covering the spread. Take the "Marquette Golden Eagles" to win ATS.

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Detroit +129 over TORONTOFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Raptors have won three in a row. They were dogs in all. Playing the tail end of back-to-backs and being the chalk against a hungry Pistons club is a much different scenario. Then Raps are also on a current 0-4 straight up and against the spread run in the second game of back-to-backs. Raptors have shown us nothing to trust them as a favourite.
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With five losses in a row and seven in eight games, the Pistons’ stock is once again nearly as low as when they opened the year 0-8. However, all seven losses were against teams above .500 and Detroit had a chance in just about all of them, losing by four to Chicago, two to Brooklyn in OT  and competing against the Clippers until late in the game. The Pistons play hard and they get some relief tonight against a weaker squad.
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Xavier +8 over CINCINNATIFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The schedule lists the Bearcats as the home squad here but this annual Crosstown Classic actually takes place off campus. Just 2½ miles separates these two schools and the game will be played downtown at U.S. Bank Arena. Cincinnati comes in as the 10th ranked squad in the nation. The Bearcats have run the table so far with a 10-0 record but none of the wins have been notable. Seven of them have been at home and two others have been on a neutral floor. The Bearcats are deep and they rebound well but early in the year, numbers are often skewed due to a weak schedule and that comes into play here.
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The Musketeers are always tough. They already have a road win over Purdue and a 15-point neutral site win over #25 Butler. A disturbing loss to Vandy recently in which Xavier was a 12-point choice sticks out like a sore thumb and the result of that is a playable number here. High intensity game with strong defense by both clubs should allow the Musketeers to stay well within this range.

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Seattle - over Northern IllinoisFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Northern Illinois is just 2-7 on the season and while several losses have come against quality teams this is a brutal situation for the Huskies. In the last two games Northern Illinois has played very close games but they came up empty in overtime against UW-Milwaukee and then after a long layoff they lost by just five at DePaul on Sunday. That leaves the Huskies with three consecutive ATS wins but they now face long cross country travel to face an up-tempo Seattle team. Seattle is reeling with losses in four of the last five games but the Redhawks have played many high quality teams. After big games with local rivals Eastern Washington and Washington, Seattle fell flat against Jackson State in a loss on Monday night. Jackson State hit nine 3-point shots and had 37 free throw attempts. That should leave a focused Seattle team ready for redemption. Northern Illinois scores less than 56 points per game and adjusting to one of the fastest paced teams in the nation will be tricky especially in a taxing travel spot. Sunday's 5-point loss was the only of seven losses this season that came by fewer than seven points and last season Seattle won by 12 in Dekalb when these teams met. This is a good situation to back the home team to pull away for a win coming off a very disappointing loss after a taxing stretch of games.

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Utah at IndianaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Indiana Pacers have not been as good as advertised, but the loss of Danny Granger has a lot to do with it. Granger was their leading scorer a year ago at 18.7 points per game as well as contributing 5 boards per contest. They have had to compensate by playing stronger on the defensive end. The result is 12 opponents not making it out of the 80s, and 16 of their 25 opponents not topping the 90-point mark. The Jazz’s offense has not been as productive on the road where they are 5-10 on the season. Lately the offense has been rather quiet, as they have tallied an average of just 90 ppg in their last four, and the result has been four straight UNDERs. The Pacers have now played to an 8-2 UNDER mark in their last 10 when following an ATS loss. Take the UNDER.

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Larry Ness

North Carolina vs. Texas
Pick: North Carolina

North Carolina snapped a four-game losing streak to Texas with an 82-63 victory Dec 21 of last year in Chapel Hill, leading by double digits for much of the final 32 minutes of that game. This season, the 23rd-ranked Tar Heels (8-2) will visit Austin to take on the unranked Longhorns, who come in just 6-4. That 6-4 start represents the team’s worst since 1998-99, head coach Rick Barnes' first season with the Longhorns. The good news for Texas fans would be that the Longhorns are 5-0 at home and they've won 14 straight over non-conference visitors. That said, this Texas team seems ill-equipped to take down the Tar Heels, especially with PG Kabongo’s return still up in the air. The offense is dysfunctional, averaging just 63.3 PPG, with sophomore guards McClellan (15.3-4.4) and Lewis (11.3) the team’s lone double digit scorers. However, Texas is playing defense, leading the Big 12 and the nation in field goal percentage (33.2%) while allowing only 58.2 PPG (35th). This year’s Tar Heels have a new look with the loss of their entire frontcourt (Barnes, Zeller and Henson) plus PG Marshall. The 6-9 McAdoo (15.4-8.3) leads in scoring and rebounding and it’s not as if the cupboard is bare. Senior Strickland (8.9-5.0 APG) has taken over at PG with Hairston (11.7-4.0) and McDonald (10.0) joining him on the perimeter. The 6-7 Bullock (12.2-5.0) plus 6-9 freshman Johnson (9.0-5.) join McAdoo up front. The Tar Heels won’t have it as easy as last year but they still win with “room to spare.”

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Teddy Covers

Oregon vs. Texas-El Paso
Pick: Oregon

Dana Altman has been a master at guiding his teams to wins in close games dating all the way back to his first head coaching job at Kansas State in back in the 90's. It was a similar story during his decade and a half coaching at Creighton.

Altman took a seven win Bluejays team upon arrival and turned them into an NCAA tourney team from a 1 or 2 bid conference for five consecutive years within four years of taking the job. He's building a similar program at Oregon; a squad that won seven PAC-12 games in his first year on the job, then went 13-5 in conference last year. Oregon is, quite simply a well-coached team that is quite likely to make us money this year, just like they did last year when they were a 'Top 25' team in terms of profitability!

The Ducks are balanced, with six players averaging between nine and eleven points per game, able to withstand a poor performance from just about anyone on the roster.  They have dominated all comers in hostile road environments; 10-1 ATS in their last eleven games away from home, including an impressive win over UNLV in Las Vegas over Thanksgiving Weekend – the same UNLV team that just beat UTEP on Monday, leading by 15 points in the second half before a late Miners run made things interesting.  In their other game against a common opponent, Oregon beat Vanderbilt by 26 while UTEP lost to the Commodores by 24 on a neutral floor; a clear indicator of the talent gap between these two squads.

UTEP’s slowdown style under third year head coach Tim Floyd pays dividends against teams that don’t play well at that pace.  However, Oregon excels in a halfcourt game, executing their offense efficiently even when playing at a crawl.  The Miners have been an overvalued commodity from Day 1 this year; riding a 1-6 pointspread run into tonight’s game.  Expect them to come up short on the scoreboard and in the ATS ledger once again this evening.  Take the Ducks.

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Bruce Marshall

Xavier vs. Cincinnati
Pick: Under

We've mentioned the emotion-charged dynamics in this crosstown clash at US Bank Arena after last year's brawl game at Cintas Center when X won 76-53.But new-look Musketeeers ppear to be a notch or two down from last year as they rely heavily upon frosh G Semaj Christon (15.2 ppg) and soph F Justin Martin (12 ppg after barely contributing as frosh LY) in Chris Mack’s restructured lineup.  What that has also resulted in are lower scoring games for X, which has tallied in the 60s in 6 of last 7 games.  Meanwhile, Bearcats haven't allow any of their last four foes to score more than 60 points.  Musketeers will be playing in lots of half-court sets tonight, slowing pace, limiting possessions, and making it hard to exceed a rather-healthy "total" in the high 130s.

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