Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday December, 17

Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday December, 17

DUNKEL INDEX

NFL

NY Jets at Tennessee
The Jets look to take advantage of a Tennessee team that is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 December games. New York is the pick (+2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (+2)

Game 331-332: NY Jets at Tennessee (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 127.362; Tennessee 127.415
Dunkel Line: Even; 45
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (+2); Over

NBA

Chicago at Memphis
The Grizzlies look to take advantage of a Chicago team that is coming off an 83-82 win over Brooklyn and is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games following a SU victory. Memphis is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Grizzlies favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-6)

Game 701-702: Minnesota at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 119.426; Orlando 114.832
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 4 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 3; 185
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-3); Over

Game 703-704: LA Clippers at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 125.147; Detroit 116.671
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 8 1/2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 6 1/2; 193 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-6 1/2); Under

Game 705-706: Houston at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 116.663; New York 127.892
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 11; 202
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 9; 210
Dunkel Pick: New York (-9); Under

Game 707-708: Chicago at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 118.618; Memphis 128.272
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 9 1/2; 184
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 6; 179
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-6); Over

Game 709-710: San Antonio at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 124.719; Oklahoma City 125.851
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 1; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City 5; 207
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+5); Over

Game 711-712: Sacramento at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 110.032; Phoenix 120.324
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 10 1/2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 6; 198
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-6); Under

NCAAB

Texas State at Northwestern
The Bobcats look to build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 road games. Texas State is the pick (+13) according to Dunkel, which has the Wildcats favored by only 11. Dunkel Pick: Texas State (+13)

Game 713-714: Detroit at Syracuse (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 58.275; Syracuse 81.958
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 23 1/2; 146
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 19; 151 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-19); Under

Game 715-716: Texas State at Northwestern (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas State 49.020; Northwestern 60.106
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 11; 145
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 13; 141 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas State (+13); Over

Game 717-718: UL-Monroe at Florida State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 40.031; Florida State 67.451
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 27 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida State by 25 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-25 1/2)

Game 719-720: Louisiana Tech at AR-Little Rock (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 60.195; AR-Little Rock 55.635
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 2
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (-2)

Game 721-722: UNLV at UTEP (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 65.413; UTEP 60.576
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 5; 137
Vegas Line: UNLV by 7 1/2; 131
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (+7 1/2); Over

Game 723-724: Cornell at Vanderbilt (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cornell 47.147; Vanderbilt 63.126
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 16; 123
Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 9 1/2; 126
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (-9 1/2); Under

Game 725-726: Cal Poly at Santa Clara (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 52.558; Santa Clara 61.143
Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Santa Clara by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cal Poly (+11 1/2)

Game 727-728: Valparaiso at Oakland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Valparaiso 57.260; Oakland 50.400
Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 7
Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (-3 1/2)

Game 729-730: IPFW at Notre Dame (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IPFW 45.010; Notre Dame 72.140
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 27
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 23
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-23)

Game 731-732: Georgia Southern at Bradley (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Southern 50.336; Bradley 58.520
Dunkel Line: Bradley by 8
Vegas Line: Bradley by 10
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Southern (+10)

Game 733-734: Montana State at Northern Arizona (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 43.375; Northern Arizona 52.808
Dunkel Line: Northern Arizona by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Northern Arizona by 7
Dunkel Pick: Northern Arizona (-7)

Game 735-736: North Dakota at Southern Utah (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota 45.780; Southern Utah 43.120
Dunkel Line: North Dakota by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Southern Utah by 1
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota (+1)

Game 737-738: Eastern Washington at UC Davis (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 45.584; UC Davis 51.070
Dunkel Line: UC Davis by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: UC Davis by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC Davis (-4 1/2)

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday December, 17

Ben Burns

L.A. Clippers vs. Detroit
Pick: Detroit

With all due respect to the Clippers, who are indeed playing well, I feel that this line is a little high.

The Clippers are playing the final leg of a 4-game road trip. Having already come away with victories in each of their first three stops, its entirely possible that they could already have thoughts of the return trip home creeping into their heads.

They're 10-18-2 ATS L30 times that they played their previous ...

three on the road.

Note that two of the Clippers' three wins on the current trip have come by six or fewer points.

In fact, a closer look reveals that only one of the Clippers' last eight road games has resulted in a win of greater than six points. (That happened to be their most recent game.)

Its also worth mentioning that the Clippers are just 3-6 ATS the last nine times that they were listed as road favorites in the 6.5 to 9 range.

True, the Pistons have lost four straight here. However, only one of those losses (the most recent) came by greater than seven points. Before that, the Pistons had won five straight here.

In fact, a closer look shows that only one of the Pistons last 11 games here has resulted in a loss of greater than seven points.

Overall, despite have a sub-500 record, the Pistons, 8-6 ATS the last 14 times that they were home underdogs in the 6.5 to 9 range, are outscoring teams by an average score of 97.7 to 94.8 here.

Last season's lone meeting was decided by just four, the Pistons earning the cover at LA. Consider taking the points.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday December, 17

David Chan

Chicago vs. Memphis
Pick: Chicago

Chicago is 13-9 SU and 8-14 ATS; it's won two in a row, including an 83-82 victory over the Nets as a 4.5 point favorite last time out. The Bulls continue to get the job done with tough defensive play, forcing the Nets into 18 turnovers. Marco Belinelli led the charge with 19 points.

Joakim Noah had 12 points and 10 boards; Marquis Teague finished with eight points.

Note that Chicago is 6-3 ATS in its last nine road games.

Memphis is 15-6 SU and 13-7-1 ATS; after three straight losses, the Grizzlies finally got off the schneid with a 99-86 win at Utah on the 15th as a 2 point underdog.

Zach Randolph had 25 points and grabbed 16 boards; Marc Gasol finished with 16 points, eight boards, two blocks and two steals.

Note though that Memphis is just 2-4 ATS in its last six overall.

The Bulls are playing their best basketball of the young season, getting the job done by committee; I believe they'll surprise the home side tonight, and keep this one much closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe; consider a second look at the visitors in this one!

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday December, 17

Hollywood Sports

New York at Tennessee
Prediction: Under

New York (6-7) remains alive in the AFC playoff hunt after winning two straight and three of their last four after their 17-10 win at Jacksonville. But the Jets offensive production remains suspect as they generated only 270 yards while quarterback Mark Sanchez completed just 12 of 19 passes for 111 yards. New York has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a losing records. Tennessee (4-9) has seen the Under go 6-0-1 in their last 7 games against teams with a losing record. The Titans have lost three straight games on the road but they return home now after playing three of their last four away from home -- and the Under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 home games. Tennessee has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against AFC opponents. Take the Under in this one.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday December, 17

Jimmy Boyd

Valparaiso -3½

Valparaiso has all five starters back from last year so it's no surprise they are off to a good start this year at 7-3. Why is that so important? Well last year Oakland went down to Valpo and pulled off the two point victory as four point underdogs, so you can bet this team is going to want to get their revenge on Monday night.

They are picking up wins due to solid defense, having given up more than 65 points just one time this season. Their slow pace has put them into a nice system today that says play on teams that score 65 points or less in three straight games that have all five starters back from a year ago. These teams are 63-29 (68.5%) in the role of a favorite over the past five years.

Greg Kampe is the head coach of the Oakland Golden Grizzlies and he is 2-10 ATS after allowing 75 points or more in 3 straight games and 4-12 ATS at home after a game they failed to cover.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday December, 17

Ray Monohan

Los Angeles Clippers -6½

The Clippers have been cruising on their current road trip and in general. They have won 9 in a row and only a couple have been close.

They are on “normal rest” while their opponent - the Pistons - will be playing their third game in 4 night. Neither team is old but the Clippers are the more talented by far, holding an edge at every position save Shooting Guard, maybe.

If they can get out early they will probably blow run them out of the gym. This year’s Clippers are ranked 6th in scoring offense and defense.

They are a tough team to try and come back on.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday December, 17

Rob Vinciletti

Valparaiso -3½

Valpo has home loss revenge in this one and comes in off a nice win at Missouri St in their last game. They have dominated this series winning 17 of 21 against Oakland, including 8 of the last 10 here. They have won all 4 games against teams under .500 and 17 of the last 23 playing with 1 or less day of rest. Oakland has lost all 6 games against winning teams and their 3 wins are against teams that should not even be one ones schedule their so weak. Oakland has also failed to cover the last 4 times playing off 3 road games. Valparaiso is the better team and the line is reasonable here. On Monday we have a big 6* Rare Perfect system Play specific to Monday night games that has Cashed every time in games with low lines like this one.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday December, 17

Dave Cokin

Louisiana Tech at Arkansas Little Rock
Pick: Arkansas Little Rock

Second meeting this season between Louisiana Tech and Arkansas-Little Rock. The Bulldogs won bug in the first battle, and they're the better team. But I'm more inclined to back the avenging team in non-league same season return matches, so I'll side with UALR plus the small spot tonight.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday December, 17

Jim Feist

Kings at Suns
Pick: Over

The Sacramento Kings (7-15 S/U, 8-13 ATS), have lost three straight games after a 10 point setback at Oklahoma City on Friday, 113-103. After a horrible start to the season that saw the Kings cover just one of their first 10 games, they have covered four of the last six. Still, this is a not a good road team. The Kings are just 1-9 S/U on the road and getting outscored by an average of 102-92. What really hurts the Kings here, is that they are in the second game of a back-to-back spot having played at home on Sunday against Denver. The last seven times in this spot, their game has gone OVER six times. In fact, in those six Overs, the Kings have allowed at least 105 points and over 110 in half. The Phoenix Suns (9-15 S/U, 8-15 ATS) haven't been much better. However, there has been some good news for this club as they have won and covered their last two at home against Memphis and Utah. A tired road club here should provide lots of scoring opportunities for the Suns. Take the OVER.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday December, 17

SPORTS WAGERS

TENNESSEE -2 over N.Y. Jets

The Jets have been less scrutinized the past couple of weeks due to a modest two-game win streak. Defeating the Cardinals by a 7-6 count and then the woeful Jaguars is nothing to rest your laurels upon and it’s not like Mark Sanchez was thriving in those two victories. Sanchez has regressed to the point where he did not throw a TD in either contest and only threw for 97 and 111 yards respectively. He's thrown for just two TD's in the past five weeks while remaining safely under 200 yards in all games, when not facing the Patriots.

Jake Locker has been better since his return from injury. Perhaps a stint on the sidelines helped. He has scored in every start this year and his last three efforts all topped 260 passing yards. Titans RB Chris Johnson should have a field day against New York’s 29th ranked run defence. Finally, this is a rare Monday Night home game for Tennessee. They performed well in their only other featured game when they upset the Steelers on a Thursday night.  Tennessee has a chance to knock the Jets out of postseason play and it would be completely just if they did so. The Jets are being overvalued due to a pair of cheap wins. The Titans are being undervalued because of their subpar record. Let's take advantage.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday December, 17

Wunderdog

Chicago at Memphis
Pick: Under 179.5

The Chicago Bulls have missed the leadership and scoring of Derrick Rose, but they have compensated on the defensive end of the court. The Bulls have held eight of their last 11 opponents to the 80s or less, including seven of their last nine. Memphis has been the most consistent team on the defensive end of the court all season. They allowed 101 points to the Clippers on opening night, however no team has seen the century mark against them this season since. That includes a pair of overtime  games. They have also struggled of late on offense, after nine of 15 scoring 100+, they have failed to reach the century mark in their last six. Memphis is 24-9 to the UNDER in their last 33 following a win, while the Bulls are 25-9 to the UNDER in their last 34. An ugly one in Memphis tonight, play the UNDER.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday December, 17

Steve Janus

San Antonio Spurs +5

Oklahoma City enters tonight's game on an impressive 10-game winning streak, but they are just 1-3 ATS in their last four games, as they continue to be overvalued. If there's one team that can go into Oklahoma City and get a win, it's the Spurs. San Antonio is 11-4 away from home and will be extremely motivated given that they have lost two of their last three.

The Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs a team with a home winning % of .600 or better and are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games overall.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday December, 17

SPORTS WAGERS

DETROIT +7½ over L.A. Clippers

The Clippers have won eight in a row. They conclude a four-game road trip tonight and it’s also their fifth straight game against Eastern Conference foes. They return home on Tuesday to play four consecutive games against the West so it would come as no surprise to see them be less focused here. As a result of their current hot streak and outstanding 17-6 record, they’re a little overpriced here in an unfavorable spot. The Clippers have covered just 14 of their past 52 games when covering the previous game on the road and that comes into play here after they beat the Bucks 111-85 on Saturday.   

The Pistons have stayed within this range or won outright in seven of their past eight games. They’ve played some strong teams over that span that includes the Nets, Warriors, Bulls, Denver and Philly. The Pistons are holding opponents to just 42.9 percent shooting, good for fourth in the league and that usually puts them in a position to win or stay close. That should come to pass here too.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday December, 17

Bruce Marshall

L.A. Clippers vs. Detroit
Pick: Detroit

Bucking the red-hot Clippers (who have won nine in a row) looks to be a tricky proposition at the moment. And the franchise hasn't won this many games in a row since the old Bob McAdoo-Randy Smith Buffalo Braves of 1974-75 won 11 straight!!  But it's also getaway night for L.A., which will be returning home after a four-game road swing following tonight's game.  Detroit rarely losing touch in its recent defeats, and some encouragment has been provided lately by Gs Brandon Knight (21.5 ppg last six games) and Rodney Stuckey (17.3 ppg in his last seven outings) to give Pistons hope that a win streak is on the horizon.   Don't forget that C Greg Monroe scored 23 and grabbed 15 rebounds in this matchup last season vs. the Clips, who were forced to go into OT before prevailing 87-83 in that clash.  This one will be close tonight at the Palace, and big points with the Pistons are worth a look.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday December, 17

Jim Kruger

New York Jets +1

The return of Titans’ QB Jake Locker has not turned out positive with Tennessee notching just a 1-3 SU/ATS record with Locker struggling to a 60.8 QB rating. Locker has also thrown seven INT’s in Tennessee’s last three games, all losses. Offensive line injuries have helped curtail the return to form of Tennessee’s ground attack with the Titans failing to break the century mark in rushing the past two games.

The good news for Titan supporters is they are playing a team with just as impotent offense as their own. Both teams rank in the bottom ten in points per game. Amazingly, in today’s brand of playing, the Jets have failed to go over 165 yards passing in four of their last five games. The Titans’ pass defense might be the cure for Jets QB Mark Sanchez’s ills as they rank dead last in the league in passing percentage allowed, 67.8%. They have the 29th ranked defensive QB rating, 97.4.

The Jets are far superior on defense with a top-ten squad compared to Tennessee’s bottom five rated unit. They are still alive to get a playoff slot. While it seems easy to say “bet the Jets”, Tennessee does have two offensive playmakers, Chris Johnson and Kenny Britt, who can break for a long TD. New York has no highly-skilled offensive weapons. The Titans did beat the Steelers on the national stage in a Thursday night game earlier this season. Regardless, the only side I could take would be New York.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday December, 17

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAYS

Syracuse/ Detroit Over 151: Syracuse games have averaged just 141.4 ppg, But that is mostly due to their defense that has allowed just 54.7 ppg on 36.7% shooting. I feel that this Detroit offense can score more than that here. The Cuse will look to push the tempo and Detroit will oblige. the titans are a poor shooting team (39.4%), but they do score 73.9 pg overall and 65.6 ppg on the road, but in a high paced game i feel they can score around 70 points tonight. Anything in the upper 60's from Detroit would be great, because i just don't see the Orange being held below 85 points in this one. Syracuse averages 84.7 ppg overall, but 87 ppg at home. They also shoot very well (47.4%) and are 19th in the nation in points per possession (1.104). Detroit has not been very good on defense as they have allowed 74.5 ppg on 47.9% shooting on the road and they are 247th in the nation in defensive points per possession (1.024). Would not surprise me to see the Orange hit 90+ in this one. especially since the are going for Boeheim's 900th win. The Cuse will look to get as many points as they can for him tonight. Look for this one to be in the 160's.


Vanderbilt/ Cornell Under 126.5: Really hard to imagine that this game puts more than 120 points one the board in this one. This Cornell offense is not all that good as they check in averaging just 64.9 ppg overall (239th) on 40.5% shooting (275th). Even worse is their road games, where they have averaged just 46.5 ppg on 30.5% shooting. Big thing about two of those road games, they were vs BCS schools (Wisconsin and Arizona State). Both those teams have played good defense this year and so does Vanderbilt. The Commodores come in allowing just 60.6 ppg overall, which is 72nd in the country. At home they are even stingier, allowing just 57.7 ppg. I really don't see Cornell hitting more than 55 in this one. On offense Vanderbilt plays a slow down pace (272nd in spg) and have averaged just 60.6 ppg (297th) on just 41.6% shooting (247th). At Home they do average 67.7 ppg, but in their last 5 games overall they have averaged just 59 ppg on 40.6% shooting. A struggling offense indeed and Cornell doesn't give up a ton of points, allowing 68.5 ppg overall and 67.2 ppg on the road.  Look for this game to just sneak over 115 points.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday December, 17

Bob Balfe

Jets / Titans Under 42

Great MNF matchup. I know you have been looking forward to this one for weeks. I know its painful to have to watch this game, but I ask you who is going to score in this game? Which player is going to step up and be the man? The Jets are really thin at receiver and will also be without their tight end. The Titans Offensive Line is thin and losing Tight End Cook for the year is a huge blow to this team. Chris Johnson has backed his way out of being called elite and I just do not see the Titans moving the ball in the air against a very good Jets Secondary. The tight ends being out this game is huge.  These quarterbacks stink and now will be without their dump off men trying to gain a few yards when everyone is covered. I also don’t trust these teams to go on long drives that result into touchdowns. They will either kick the field goal or like clockwork turn the ball over. I know its boring to take the Under, but unless there are defensive scores and special teams score I just can’t see this game being high scoring at all. Take the Under.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday December, 17

Charlie Sports

Los Angeles Clippers at Detroit Pistons
Play: Detroit Pistons

The (17-6) Los Angeles Clippers of the Western Conference Pacific division will take on the (7-19) Detroit Pistons of the Eastern Conference Central division in 2012 NBA action. The Clippers are 4-1 straight up their last 5 vs. Detroit, the Clippers are also on a 9 game winning streak and have covered 5 of their last 6 Against The Spread. Detroit is only 2-5 ATS their last 7 overall, but the Clippers have been on the road for a while. Detroit gets the home cover.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday December, 17

Jeff Scott Sports

4 UNIT PLAY

Phoenix/ Sacramento Under 198: A rather high OU number considering the fact that Sacramento road games have averaged just 194.5 pg, while Phoenix home games have averaged just 193.5 ppg. The Only reason I can see why this line would be that high is because of Sacramento's last 5 games that have averaged 202.4 ppg. Well there are two teams playing in this one and we note that Phoenix' last 5 games have averaged just 188 ppg. The Kings have allowed 106.4 ppg in their last 5 games and 102.4 ppg on the road, but Phoenix is having some scoring problems of late, averaging 92.6 ppg in their last 10, failing to hit the century mark in any of those games. The Suns have allowed 101.3 ppg overall, but at home they have played very good defense, allowing just 95.3 ppg, while the Kings average just 92.4 ppg on the road. I expect both teams to struggle to score as this one is played in the 180's. 

3 UNIT PLAY

Chicago/ Memphis Over 180: I have been  very successful in playing Unders in Memphis games, but I will head the other way with this one. Bulls games have been very low scoring this year, but their last 5 have still averaged 184.6 ppg, while their road games have put up 192.7 ppg. The Bulls have scored pretty well on the road, where they have averaged 98 ppg and should be able to crack this Memphis defense that has allowed just 89.5 ppg at home. I expect no less than 90 points in this one from Chicago. Memphis on offense averages 97.1 ppg overall and 97.4 ppg at home and should have no problems hitting at least 90 points vs a Chicago defense that has allowed 90.8 ppg in their last 5 overall and 94.8 ppg on the road. I clearly expect 185+ points in this one as both teams hit the 90 point mark.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday December, 17

Andrew Lange 

UL-Monroe at Florida State
Play: Florida State

UL-Monroe is arguably the worst team in college basketball. Already this season we've seen them lose to Oklahoma by 34, Arkansas-Little Rock by 25 and last time out, at home, by 29 to Southern. Last year's ULM team won three games and they were forced to reload with JC players. They've purposely scheduled fewer games so the kids can hit the books harder in order to boost the team's APR. The bottom line is if and when ULM covers, it will come as a result of other teams clearing their bench and calling off the dogs not because they came through the backdoor with a flurry of points late. Florida State is going through a transition and head coach Leonard Hamilton's main concern is getting his kids to buy into his style of play. There have been pitfalls including home losses to South Alabama and Mercer but when focused, the Seminoles have shown they still have the ability to outclass teams at home (see: 95-68 vs. Buffalo; 91-59 vs. Maine). With finals out of the way and nothing significant looming on deck until the weekend, I expect the Seminoles to be focused for this contest.

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