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MNF Betting News and Notes 12/10

MNF Betting News and Notes 12/10

HOUSTON (11 - 1) at NEW ENGLAND (9 - 3)

Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 48-28 ATS (+17.2 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 151-111 ATS (+28.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) in December games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) off a win against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 64-40 ATS (+20.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
HOUSTON is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
New England is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of New England's last 10 games

Houston at New England
Houston: 8-0 ATS away with a line of +3 to -3
New England: 15-6 Over off 3+ wins

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Re: MNF Betting News and Notes 12/10

Week 14 NFL

Texans (11-1) @ Patriots (9-3) —
Easy to overlook that New England is +24 in turnovers this year (+11 in last four games), a remarkable number; 49ers were +28 LY, and they have chance to beat that. Third week in row on road for Houston, historically a red flag for any team, but Texans are 6-0 on road, with pair of 6-point wins and an OT win at Detroit. Top two teams in AFC square off in possible playoff preview; Texans’ offense is geared towards good weather- they snuck past Bears 13-6 in sloppy night game four weeks ago. Have to wonder about Houston defense after Jaguars/Lions scored 37-31 points in games 2-3 weeks ago, Wes Welker blew out his knee last time teams met, a 34-27 Houston win in season finale few years ago; Patriots won two of three series games, winning 40-7 in only meeting here in ‘06. AFC East favorites are 8-6 vs spread, 5-4 at home; AFC South underdogs are 11-10, 6-6 on road. Nine of last ten New England games went over total; three of Texans’ last four road games stayed under.

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NFL Poolies Betting Cheat Sheet: Week 14

Houston at New England (-3.5, 50.5)

In addition to their 12-game win streak in December, the Patriots also have an NFL-best 42-5 record in the final month of the year since 2001, which includes a perfect 4-0 in 2011. New England has finished undefeated in December four times during that span, including 2001, 2003, 2005, 2007, 2008, 2010 and 2011. Additionally, New England is 19-1 in the last four games of the regular season since 2007. The Texans are without CB Brice McCain, their best slot defender, due to a broken foot and could march out top corner Johnathan Joseph at less than 100 percent. Joseph missed the last two games due to a tender hamstring. The Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last four Monday night games.

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MNF - Texans at Patriots
By Kevin Rogers

The Patriots and Texans may square off in the AFC Championship, but the two teams have plenty to prove when they meet up on Monday night at Gillette Stadium. Houston has compiled the best record in the AFC at 11-1, while New England is vying for the second seed along with Denver and Baltimore. The Pats own the tiebreaker over the Broncos, but have lost to the Ravens and need to beat the Texans for a shot at home-field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs.

Houston's only loss this season came to Green Bay in Week 6, which is great for tiebreaker purposes as the Texans are 9-0 inside the AFC. The latest triumph came in a 24-10 victory at Tennessee last Sunday as seven-point favorites, the sixth straight win for Gary Kubiak's club. Matt Schaub tossed a pair of touchdown passes in the opening quarter as the Texans cruised to a season sweep of the Titans for the first time since 2004.

New England has also won six consecutive contests following a 23-16 victory at Miami last Sunday. The Dolphins picked up a backdoor cover on a late field goal in order to set up an onside kick, but the Patriots recovered the kick and ran the clock out, much to the chagrin of those holding New England -8 tickets. The result also snapped a nine-game 'over' streak for the Pats, as the contest easily finished 'under' the total of 51. For just the third time in 12 games, Bill Belichick's squad scored 24 points or less this season.

The Patriots are 4-1 to the 'over' at Gillette Stadium, as the lone 'under' came in the home opening loss to the Cardinals in Week 2. Arizona held New England to a season-low 18 points, but the Pats have scored an average of 39 points per game in the last four home contests (all victories). Three of New England's five ATS losses have come as double-digit 'chalk,' while going 4-1 ATS as a favorite of less than seven points.

The Texans are listed as an underdog for just the second time this season, as Houston took care of Chicago, 13-6 in Week 10. Houston cashed as one-point 'dogs, improving to 5-0-1 ATS the last six opportunities when receiving points since Week 7 of last season. Since starting the season at 4-0 ATS, the Texans have cashed just three of their previous seven games, including non-covers in road wins over the Lions and Jets.

Houston and New England are meeting for the fourth time ever, as the Texans beat the Patriots, 34-27 in Week 17 of the 2009 season. Wes Welker tore his ACL in that loss for New England, who was eliminated the next week in the Wild Card round against Baltimore. The Texans are traveling to Foxboro for the first time since December 2006, when New England ripped Houston, 40-7 as 13-point favorites.

This is the sixth instance in which the Texans are playing on a Monday night in franchise history, as Houston has put together a 2-5 SU and 1-4 ATS record. Houston failed to cover in a Week 5 victory over the Jets as 9½-point favorites, 23-17 on Monday night.

Under Belichick, the Patriots have been golden in Monday nighters by winning 10 of the last 11 dating back to Week 16 of 2005. New England has covered eight times in this span, while posting a 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS record in Foxboro. In the three home covers, the Patriots held opponents to seven points or less. Amazingly, this is the first Monday night appearance for New England this season.

The underdog/'under' combination cashed for the sixth time on Monday night this season last week, as the Redskins stunned the Giants, 17-16. The 'under' is 9-5 on Mondays, including five of the last seven weeks. Favorites own a 4-2 ATS record the past six weeks, while single-digit home 'chalk' is 4-2 ATS on Mondays in 2012.

The Patriots are listed as 3½-point favorites on Monday, as the total is set at 51. The game can be seen nationally on ESPN and kicks off at 8:30 PM EST.

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Monday Night Football: Texans at Patriots

Houston Texans at New England Patriots (-4, 50.5)

The Houston Texans have already wrapped up a playoff berth and are two games clear of the pack in the race for the top seed and home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. Still, despite the Texans' 11-1 record heading into Monday night's high-profile matchup at the New England Patriots, there is skepticism regarding Houston's legitimacy as a Super Bowl contender. Many of the doubts were spawned from another marquee night matchup, when the Texans were waylaid at home by Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers 42-24.

New England clinched the AFC East title last week and, like Houston, carries a six-game winning streak into Monday's matchup. The Patriots are battling division leaders Baltimore and Denver in the race for a first-round bye but could vault into the mix for the No. 1 seed by beating the Texans, who are 6-0 on the road.

LINE: Patriots -4, O/U 50.5

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-40s with a 90 percent of rain. Winds will blow out of the SW at 6 mph.

ABOUT THE TEXANS (11-1): Houston can all but clinch the top seed with a victory, having already defeated division leaders Denver and Baltimore. The Texans, who will be playing their third straight road game, finally got their defense straightened out in last week's 24-10 win at Tennessee after surrendering a total of 68 points in the previous two games - both of which went to overtime. Quarterback Matt Schaub has won 15 of his last 16 starts and directs a balanced offense featuring an elite wide receiver in Andre Johnson and a powerful running game led by Arian Foster, who is 98 yards shy of his third straight 1,200-yard season. DE J.J. Watt has 16.5 sacks and leads a unit that yields an average of 18.4 points. Houston's injury-riddled secondary will be tested by the league's best offense.

ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (9-3): New England tops the league in scoring at 35.8 points (more than six better than runner-up Houston) but had its second-lowest offensive output in last week's 23-16 win in Miami. Tom Brady was sacked four times and threw only his fourth interception but became the first quarterback in league history to win 10 division titles. Brady, who celebrated the birth of a baby daughter Wednesday, has thrown for 15 touchdowns and one pick during the winning streak. Wes Walker had 12 receptions against Miami and will continue to see a heavy workload with fellow wideout Julian Edelman joining star tight end Rob Gronkowski on the sidelines with a season-ending foot injury. New England's pass defense has improved markedly since the acquisition of CB Aqib Talib from Tampa Bay.


* Texans are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
* Texans are 0-4 ATS in their last four Monday games.
* Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last four Monday games.
* Under is 5-1 in Texans’ last six December games.


1. The Patriots have won 12 straight games in December and are 10-1 in their last 11 Monday night games.

2. Houston, which is averaging 33.7 points in its last three games, can clinch the AFC South title with a win and a loss or tie by Indianapolis.

3. Brady has thrown a TD pass in 44 consecutive games, the third-longest streak in league history.

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NFL: Streaks, Tips, Notes

Houston Texans at New England Patriots

When Houston collides with the New England Monday Night in Foxboro the Texans will be putting several streaks on the line. Houston is not only on a 6-0 (4-2 ATS) winnings streak, the Texans are a perfect 9-0 (7-2 ATS) vs the AFC this season and the only unbeaten team away from home at 6-0 (4-2 ATS). Those impressive streaks along with Houston scoring 29.2 points/game second only to the Patriots (35.8) and sporting the leagues 4th best defense (18.4) provides a lot of ammunition for backing Texans. However, can't sell 'Brady Bunch' short. If there was ever a team that plays well down the stretch on it's own turf it's New England. The Patriots are ridding an 19-0 (11-8 AT) stretch in December home games including 5-0 ATS laying less than a touchdown. Patriots are also an impressive 6-1 (5-2 ATS) at home under Monday Night light's outscoring visitors 15.9. With AFC post season home field advantage at stake Patriots will be tough to topple as they're on a 6-0 (4-2 ATS) run themselves and have a 30-6 (22-13-1 ATS) stretch vs the conference.

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