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NFL Betting News and Notes Thursday 12/5

NFL Betting News and Notes Thursday 12/5

DENVER (9 - 3) at OAKLAND (3 - 9)

Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 43-69 ATS (-32.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
DENVER is 28-48 ATS (-24.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
OAKLAND is 24-44 ATS (-24.4 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
OAKLAND is 20-39 ATS (-22.9 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
OAKLAND is 25-46 ATS (-25.6 Units) in December games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 3-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver
Oakland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games

Denver at Oakland
Denver: 11-2 Over with a total of 42 to 49.5 points
Oakland: 2-12 ATS at home off 3+ games allowing 400+ total yards

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Re: NFL Betting News and Notes Thursday 12/5

Week 14 NFL

Broncos (9-3) @ Raiders (3-9) —
Oakland lost last five games (0-5 vs spread), allowing 37.8 ppg; they’re 1-3 as home underdog this year, 9-14-1 since ’08. Denver won last seven games (5-2 vs spread), scoring 30+ points six times, with road wins by 11-8-22-8 points; they’re 2-1 as road favorites this year, 6-4 since 2009. Fox’s defense is creating shorter fields for his offense; eight of last 11 Denver TD’s were on drives of less than 60 yards. Broncos (-6.5) crushed Raiders 37-6 in Week 4, outrushing Oakland 165-56 (TY 503-237)- they were 10-16 on 3rd down, Oakland 1-12. Manning was 30-39/338 passing. Denver won three of last four visits here, but haven’t swept Raiders since ’06. Eight of last 10 series games were decided by 14+ points. AFC West home teams are 3-5 vs spread in division games; home dogs are 1-2. Six of last eight Denver games, five of last seven Bronco games went over the total. Note: Raiders' coach Allen has been away from team this week, due to the death of his father.

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Thursday Night Football: Broncos at Raiders

Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders (+10.5, 48)

With a division title already in their pocket, the Denver Broncos still have a first-round bye in their sights as they prepare for Thursday night's road game against the AFC West-rival Oakland Raiders in the Week 14 opener. Denver secured its 12th division crown with a 31-23 home triumph over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday. It was the seventh consecutive victory for the Broncos, who have repeated as AFC West champions for the first time since 1986-87.

With four contests remaining, Denver is tied for the second seed in the conference with the AFC East champion New England Patriots and Baltimore Ravens, who all are two games behind the top-seeded Houston Texans. The Broncos manhandled the Raiders in Week 4 as Peyton Manning threw for 338 yards and three touchdowns while Willis McGahee rushed for 112 yards and a score. Oakland enters the rematch hoping to end its losing streak, which reached five games with a 20-17 setback against the Cleveland Browns on Sunday. The Raiders have allowed an average of 37.8 points during their slide.

LINE: Denver opened as high as a 12-point favorite and has been bet down to as low as -10. The total has moved from 49.5 to 48.

WEATHER: The forecast is calling for partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid 50s. Winds are expected to blow west at 5 mph.

ABOUT THE BRONCOS (9-3, 6-6 ATS): Executive Vice President of Football Operations John Elway was elated to acquire Manning last offseason. The former Broncos superstar quarterback has watched Manning pass him on two lists in the last two weeks. After moving past Elway for second place on the NFL's all-time list for victories by a starting QB, Manning set the franchise record for most touchdown passes in a single season on Sunday with three scoring tosses that raised his total to 29. He eclipsed the previous mark shared by Elway and Jake Plummer. The Broncos are not satisfied with winning the division title, a sentiment echoed throughout the locker room following Sunday's win. "That's not our biggest goal," cornerback Champ Bailey said. "It's just one thing out of the way." Coach John Fox added, "It's just a starting point, really."

ABOUT THE RAIDERS (3-9, 3-9 ATS): Oakland's losing streak is its longest since the club dropped six in a row in 2007 under first-year coach Lane Kiffin. Tight end Brandon Myers had 14 receptions Sunday against Cleveland, matching the franchise record set versus Jacksonville on Dec. 21, 1997, by Tim Brown. Myers now has 69 catches on the season, the most by a Raiders tight end since Todd Christensen hauled in 95 passes in 1986. Quarterback Carson Palmer has thrown for 300 yards in seven games this season. It's the most 300-yard performances by an Oakland signal-caller since Rich Gannon had 10 in 2002. Coach Dennis Allen believes RBs Darren McFadden and Mike Goodson will be in the lineup Thursday. Allen left the Raiders following Sunday's game to be with his father, who is dealing with a serious medical issue, but is expected to rejoin the team Wednesday.


* Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Oakland.
* Broncos are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
* Underdog is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
* Road team is 7-2 ATS in their last nine meetings.


1. Fox is the second coach in NFL history to inherit a last-place club and guide it to division titles in his first two years.

2. Oakland K Sebastian Janikowski's 51-yard field goal on Sunday was the 40th of his career of at least 50 yards, tying him with Morten Andersen for third place on the all-time list in that category.

3. Janikowski has converted 124 consecutive extra points and is 24-for-26 on field-goal attempts this season. His only two misses were from 64 and 61 yards.

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Broncos at Raiders
By Brian Edwards

For this week’s Thursday night NFL game, we go to The Black Hole where Oakland will try to bring an end to a seven-game winning streak for its bitter division rival, Denver. Most books are listing the Broncos as 10-point favorites with a total of 48 for ‘over/under’ wagers.

Gamblers can take the Raiders on the money line for a plus-500 return (risk $100 to win $500).

Denver (9-3 straight up, 6-6 against the spread) has already clinched the AFC West and is now eyeing a bye week to start the playoffs. The Broncos clinched the loop with last week’s 31-23 win over Tampa Bay as nine-point home favorites. However, they failed to hook up their backers when the Buccaneers scored 10 unanswered points in the final 3:23.

Peyton Manning connected on 27-of-38 throws for 262 yards with three touchdowns and one interception. Demaryius Thomas hauled in eight receptions for 99 yards and a pair of scores.

John Fox’s team has won four of its six road games, posting a 3-3 spread record. As a road favorite on Fox’s watch, the Broncos own a 4-2 ATS ledger.

Denver ranks fifth in the NFL in total offense and third in total defense. With Manning at the steering wheel, the Broncos are averaging 29.3 points per game.

Willis McGahee went on injured reserve last week after sustaining a season-ending knee injury. McGahee had rushed for a team-high 731 yards and four TDs, averaging 4.4 yards per carry.

In his absence, Knowshon Moreno will get the bulk of the carries. The University of Georgia product rushed for 69 yards on 20 totes against the Bucs.

Manning has enjoyed a banner comeback campaign, throwing for 3,502 yards with a 29/9 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Thomas has been his favorite target, producing 69 catches for 1,114 yards and eight TDs.

Oakland (3-9 SU, 3-9 ATS) is going to fail the make the playoffs for the 10th consecutive season since losing to Tampa Bay in the Super Bowl. The Raiders have lost five in a row both SU and ATS, including last week’s 20-17 home loss to Cleveland as one-point underdogs.

During this nightmare five-game slide, Dennis Allen’s squad has tasted defeat by 21 points or more three times and by double digits four times.

Carson Palmer has played mediocre in recent weeks, throwing eight interceptions during the five-game losing streak. For the season, Palmer has a 20/13 TD-INT ratio.

The good news for Oakland is the expected return this week of running back Darren McFadden, who has missed four consecutive games with a leg injury. McFadden has rushed for a team-high 455 yards and a pair of TDs.

Per those numbers, Oakland has obviously had zero ground attack going without the Arkansas product.

Oakland LB Rolando McClain remains ‘out’ as he continues to serve a team-issued two-game suspension. Perennial Pro-Bowl DT Richard Seymour is 'questionable' with a knee injury.

For Denver, veteran WR Brandon Stokley is a question mark with a wrist injury.

When these teams met in the Mile High City on Sept. 30, Denver cruised to a 37-6 win as a 6 ½-point home ‘chalk.’ Manning completed 30-of-38 passes for 338 yards and three touchdowns without an interception. The 43 combined points stayed ‘under’ the 47-point total.

Nevertheless, the ‘over’ has hit in five of the last six head-to-head meetings between these clubs.

The ‘over’ is 8-4 overall for the Broncos this year, going 4-2 in their six road assignments. Oakland has watched the ‘under’ go 7-5 overall, 3-3 in its home games.

The NFL Network will provide television coverage at 8:20 p.m. Eastern.

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NFL: Streaks, Trends, Notes 

Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders

Denver (9-3, 6-6 ATS) secured the AFC West division with a 31-23 home triumph over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers Sunday it's seventh consecutive victory marking the longest winning streak since posting 13 straight in '98. Meanwhile, Raiders (3-9 SU/ATS) losing to the Browns this past week have now lost five straight (0-5 ATS) and haven't really been competitive over the stretch outscored 189-96 (18.6 PPG). Although the division title is already in their pocket don't expect Broncos to let up as they're in a battle for home field advantage. Broncos manhandled Raiders 37-6 in Week 4 with Peyton Manning throwing for 338 yards, three touchdowns so it's hard to imagine the Raiders league worst scoring defense (31.3) shutting down the Broncos who've scored at least 30 points in six of seven during the win streak. The betting market has Broncos 10.0 to 11.5 point favorites depending on locale with the total hovering around 48.5

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NFL Week 14 Preview: Broncos at Raiders
by Steve Bennett

Two teams moving in opposite directions collide on Thursday night when sizzling-hot Denver visits the slumping Raiders.

The Broncos have a chance to keep rival Oakland’s misery going. The Raiders have lost five in a row, SU and ATS, and are 1-5 ATS at home this season. When these teams met in Week 4, it was a complete mismatch, with the Broncos piling up 503 yards of offense in a 37-6 win. Oakland did have a string of four straight wins over Denver spanning from late 2009 to early last season, but that was all pre-Peyton Manning. The Broncos enter this one on a seven-game SU win streak (5-2 ATS). They’ve topped 30 points in six of those seven games. The good news for Oakland is that RB Darren McFadden (ankle) could be ready to return.

Manning continues to amaze, ranking second in the NFL in passer rating (104.6) and tying for second with 29 touchdown passes. Last week he threw three touchdowns for the seventh time in the past nine games, helping beat Tampa Bay 31-23. Manning also tossed 3 TD in a 37-6 win over Oakland in Week 4, connecting on 30-of-38 passes (79%) for 338 yards. WR Eric Decker had 79 yards and a touchdown on seven catches, while Demaryius Thomas had a team-best 103 receiving yards in that win over the Raiders. Both wideouts have eight touchdowns this season, while Thomas has 1,114 receiving yards, which is tied for fourth in the NFL. Both receivers are excited to face Oakland's porous pass defense, which not only ranks 25th in the league, but has three key players in the secondary all listed as doubtful with concussion symptoms -- CB Phillip Adams and safeties Matt Giordano and Mike Mitchell. A big reason Denver was able to win easily in Week 4 was the ground game that chewed up 165 rushing yards, including 112 from Willis McGahee. But McGahee (knee) is now out for the season, and the Broncos are really struggling to run the football without him, gaining just 3.5 yards per carry and failing to reach 100 yards in either of the two games since his injury. Denver won't completely abandon the run though, as Oakland has allowed the fifth-most rushing yards in the NFL this year (130 YPG). The Raiders defense has been dreadful during the five-game losing skid, allowing 37.8 PPG on 441 total YPG. They have forced just four turnovers during this stretch as well.

Neither McFadden nor Goodson has played since Nov. 4, but McFadden is having his worst season as a pro with just 3.3 yards per carry. He gained just 34 yards on 13 carries (2.6 YPC) in the Week 4 loss to Denver. Goodson has nearly twice McFadden's season average (6.5 YPC), including 7.3 YPC against the Broncos, but has gotten a total of just 17 rushing attempts in his eight games this season. RB Marcel Reece has been a nice fill-in with 114 total YPG in four games since the pair of injuries, but he is listed as questionable for Thursday with a hamstring injury. This could make for a long evening, as Denver's rushing defense ranks seventh in the NFL with 96 YPG allowed. Raiders QB Carson Palmer will try to move the football through the air, but the Broncos also have an outstanding pass defense (212 YPG, 6th in NFL) led by future Hall-of-Fame CB Champ Bailey. Palmer has been pretty poor in his career versus Denver (71.3 passer rating, 6 TD, 8 INT), but he did throw for 332 yards, 3 TD and 3 INT in last year's home game against the Broncos, a 38-24 defeat. The Denver defense also has some key injuries though, with LB Wesley Woodyard (ankle) and CB Tracy Porter (head) both questionable for Thursday's game.

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