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Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday December, 5

Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday December, 5

DUNKEL INDEX

Denver at Atlanta 
The Hawks look to build on their 10-4 ATS record in their last 14 games against Western Conference teams. Atlanta is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Hawks favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-1)

Game 501-502: Portland at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 115.253; Indiana 117.623
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 2 1/2; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 4; 186 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland (+4); Under

Game 503-504: New York at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 122.513; Charlotte 112.452
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 10; 202
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 7; 197 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (-7); Over

Game 505-506: Minnesota at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 111.948; Boston 123.027
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 11; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 5 1/2; 190
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-5 1/2); Over

Game 507-508: Denver at Atlanta (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 116.817; Atlanta 122.857
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 6; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 1; 199
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-1); Under

Game 509-510: Golden State at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 118.809; Detroit 113.970
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 5; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 1; 191
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-1); Over

Game 511-512: LA Lakers at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 118.499; New Orleans 119.761
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 1 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 513-514: Chicago at Cleveland (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 118.156; Cleveland 116.349
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 515-516: Milwaukee at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 117.249; San Antonio 124.060
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 7; 194
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 9; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+9); Under

Game 517-518: Orlando at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 112.393; Utah 121.840
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 9 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 8 1/2; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-8 1/2); Over

Game 519-520: Toronto at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 112.773; Sacramento 114.782
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 2; 189
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 521-522: Dallas at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 113.311; LA Clippers 120.500
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 7; 192
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 8 1/2; 197 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+8 1/2); Under

NCAAB

USC at New Mexico     
The Lobos look to take advantage of a USC team that is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 road games. New Mexico is the pick (-11) according to Dunkel, which has the Lobos favored by 17. Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-11)

Game 523-524: Duquesne vs. Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duquesne 52.403; Pittsburgh 70.682
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-15 1/2)

Game 525-526: Penn State vs. LaSalle (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 53.838; LaSalle 58.771
Dunkel Line: LaSalle by 5; 133
Vegas Line: LaSalle by 10 1/2; 129
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (+10 1/2); Over

Game 527-528: Florida at Florida State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 78.208; Florida State 67.085
Dunkel Line: Florida by 11; 131
Vegas Line: Florida by 4; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-4); Under

Game 529-530: Ohio at Memphis (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 68.378; Memphis 70.445
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 2; 147
Vegas Line: Memphis by 5; 143 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (+5); Over

Game 531-532: Toledo at Detroit (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 50.751; Detroit 61.591
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 11
Vegas Line: Detroit by 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-9)

Game 533-534: Tennessee at Virginia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 63.879; Virginia 66.379
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Virginia by 5
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+5)

Game 535-536: Marshall vs. West Virginia (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 56.502; West Virginia 63.325
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 7; 136
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 4 1/2; 142
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-4 1/2); Under

Game 537-538: Miami (OH) at Evansville (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 51.972; Evansville 60.221
Dunkel Line: Evansville by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Evansville by 10
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+10)

Game 539-540: Buffalo at WI-Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 51.960; WI-Milwaukee 53.409
Dunkel Line: WI-Milwaukee by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: WI-Milwaukee by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+4 1/2)

Game 541-542: Southern Illinois at Western Kentucky (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Illinois 52.316; Western Kentucky 61.709
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 5
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (-5)

Game 543-544: Missouri State at Tulsa (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri State 49.918; Tulsa 56.562
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (-5 1/2)

Game 545-546: UAB at Middle Tennessee State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 55.814; Middle Tennessee State 67.663
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 12
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-9 1/2)

Game 547-548: St. Mary's (CA) at Drake (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Mary's (CA) 60.968; Drake 62.739
Dunkel Line: Drake by 2
Vegas Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Drake (+2 1/2)

Game 549-550: North Texas at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 50.754; St. Louis 67.368
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 13
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-14)

Game 551-552: Boise State at Utah (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 65.446; Utah 57.238
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 8
Vegas Line: Boise State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-4 1/2)

Game 553-554: South Florida at Oklahoma State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 59.939; Oklahoma State 71.670
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 11 1/2; 121
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 9 1/2; 124 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-9 1/2); Under

Game 555-556: Utah State at BYU (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 58.846; BYU 66.695
Dunkel Line: BYU by 8
Vegas Line: BYU by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (+11 1/2)

Game 557-558: Temple at Villanova (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 63.809; Villanova 58.581
Dunkel Line: Temple by 5; 133
Vegas Line: Temple by 2; 139 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Temple (-2); Under

Game 559-560: Dayton at Alabama (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dayton 60.731; Alabama 68.600
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 8
Vegas Line: Alabama by 10
Dunkel Pick: Dayton (+10)

Game 561-562: UC-Riverside at Pepperdine (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Riverside 43.282; Pepperdine 55.392
Dunkel Line: Pepperdine by 12
Vegas Line: Pepperdine by 9
Dunkel Pick: Pepperdine (-9)

Game 563-564: USC at New Mexico (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 54.235; New Mexico 71.393
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 17; 117
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 11; 123 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-11); Under

Game 565-566: San Jose State at UC Davis (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 49.104; UC Davis 49.857
Dunkel Line: UC Davis by 1
Vegas Line: UC Davis by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+4 1/2)

Game 567-568: Colorado State at Colorado (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 65.898; Colorado 66.910
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1
Vegas Line: Colorado by 5
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (+5)

Game 569-570: Gonzaga at Washington State (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Gonzaga 75.024; Washington State 60.518
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 14 1/2; 129
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 11; 132
Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-11); Under

Game 571-572: North Dakota State at Morehead State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 56.554; Morehead State 56.867
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: North Dakota State by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Morehead State (+2 1/2)

Game 573-574: IUPUI at Butler (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IUPUI 45.101; Butler 65.935
Dunkel Line: Butler by 21
Vegas Line: Butler by 19
Dunkel Pick: Butler (-19)

Game 575-576: Iona at St. Peter's (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iona 54.282; St. Peter's 49.587
Dunkel Line: Iona by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Iona by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Peter's (+7 1/2)

Game 577-578: Niagara at Loyola-MD (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Niagara 48.874; Loyola-MD 57.831
Dunkel Line: Loyola-MD by 9
Vegas Line: Loyola-MD by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-MD (-4 1/2)

Game 579-580: Charlotte at Davidson (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 56.160; Davidson 68.427
Dunkel Line: Davidson by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Davidson by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Davidson (-8 1/2)

Game 581-582: Western Illinois at Eastern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Illinois 56.285; Eastern Illinois 47.001
Dunkel Line: Western Illinois by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Western Illinois by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Illinois (-5 1/2)

Game 583-584: UMKC at North Dakota (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UMKC 46.614; North Dakota 49.467
Dunkel Line: North Dakota by 3
Vegas Line: North Dakota by 5
Dunkel Pick: UMKC (+5)

Game 585-586: Northern Colorado at Northern Iowa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Colorado 45.972; Northern Iowa 63.768
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 18
Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (-13 1/2)

Game 587-588: IPFW at Valparaiso (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IPFW 44.394; Valparaiso 62.109
Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (-15 1/2)

Game 589-590: SIU-Edwardsville at Northern Illinois (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SIU-Edwardsville 44.509; Northern Illinois 44.964
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: SIU-Edwardsville (+2 1/2)

Game 591-592: Loyola Marymount at Northern Arizona (8:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola Marymount 54.409; Northern Arizona 47.296
Dunkel Line: Loyola Marymount by 7
Vegas Line: Loyola Marymount by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola Marymount (-1 1/2)

Game 601-602: Arkansas-Pine Bluff at Michigan State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas-Pine Bluff 37.238; Michigan State 72.418
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 35; 124
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 30; 127 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-30); Under

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday December, 5

Jesse SchuleFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Gonzaga vs. Washington St.
Pick: GonzagaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Gonzaga will play it's first true road game against the Washington State Cougars on Wednesday night, and they come in as double digit favorites. The Cougars will be playing a ranked opponent for the first time since losing to Kansas by a margin of 37 points back on November 19. The Bulldogs average margin of victory so far this year is a whopping 27.8 points.
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The Bulldogs have yet to face a ranked opponent, however they have put together some impressive numbers while going 8-0 to start the season. They lead the nation, shooting 53% from the field, and they rank 5th in scoring, averaging 85 points per contest. Gonzaga poses matchup problems with their enormous front line, led by Kevin Olynyk. The seven footer from Canada is the team's second leading scorer, averaging 12.2 points and seven boards per game. The Bulldog's big men accounted for 64 of their 85 points, in their recent victory over Pacific.
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Gonzaga will play it's first true road game against the Washington State Cougars on Wednesday night, and they come in as double digit favorites. The Cougars will be playing a ranked opponent for the first time since losing to Kansas by a margin of 37 points back on November 19. The Bulldogs average margin of victory so far this year is a whopping 27.8 points. Granted they haven't played great teams, and they have been at home, but it's impressive nonetheless.
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The Cougars are likely to have nightmares with the size of the Bulldogs big men, with a pair of seven footers in Olynyk and Karnowski, and Sam Dower at 6-9, 255. Bulldogs coach Mark Few isn't shy about his attempts to exploit his team's size advantage: "The only way to stop our posts is to foul them," Few said.
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The Bulldogs shouldn't have any trouble covering the double digits here against Washington State.

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Art AronsonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Marshall vs. West Virginia
Pick: West VirginiaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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I have successfully cashed in on my last two free plays this week, winning with  the OVER bet in last night's on the OKC/BKN game.On Monday I won with the OVER in the LAC/UTAH game. Today i am going to college hoops and laying points.
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While it might strange that 2-3 WVU is favoured over a 5-3 Marshall on a neutral court, I agree with the odds makers on this one. However, I could easly see WVU laying even more points here.
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Granted the Mountaineers have struggled as expected to start this season. Bob Huggin's squad has been relying on transfers Juwan Staten and Aaric Murray to help in what looks to a bit of transition year for the Mountaineers basketball program. in their defense, the team has faced some pretty stiff competition in 19th  ranked Gonzaga, Davidson and Oklahoma.
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WVU is 1-2 ATS this year and are coming off  its best win of the season, a 94-69 trouncing of Virginia Military. The losses to Davidson and Oklahoma were very close games, where the Mountaineers lost by an average of just five points.
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The Herd is 5-3 this year but are a terrible 0-5 ATS. Marshall was favoured by 12 and 15 points in their last two games against Morehead State and UNC-Wilmington, the Herd only won the two games by a combined six points.
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The road doesn't get any easier ahead for the Mountaineers as they will face Virginia and third ranked Michigan next. Look for WVU to really press hard to win this game handily.

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Matt FargoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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North Texas vs. Saint Louis
Pick: North TexasFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This is a game where we could see an emotional letdown from St. Louis. The Billikens were coming off a loss at Washington last Wednesday and on Saturday prior to their game Sunday at home against Valparaiso, they learned that former head coach Rick Majerus had passed away. They played one of their best games of the season on both ends of the floor in dedication to their former coach. ''Coach dedicated his life to basketball,'' forward Dwayne Evans said. ''I can't think of a better tribute than to get a win.'' St. Louis entered the season in the top 25 but it has lost three games already and there isn't a consistent floe. Part of the reason is that guard Kwamain Mitchell has yet to take the floor this season because of a foot injury that will keep him out until later this month. He was pegged to be the teams leading scorer and is an All-A-10 selection. North Texas has gotten off to a slow start at 3-5 including losses in three straight games. This includes a home loss in its conference opener against La-Lafayette but this is arguably the most talented team in the SBC. There is a new coach in Tom Benford who takes over for Johnny Jones who left for LSU and he got a cupboard that is stocked with enough talent to make a serious run. They are led by forward Tony Mitchell who is putting up great numbers once again after bypassing the NBA and he is a future first round pick. The Mean Green have four players averaging double-figures in scoring but they need to lock down better on defense. A slow start means they need a quality win so they will be up for this game and the points we are getting only help.

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Stephen NoverFOR REE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Golden State Warriors vs. Detroit Pistons    
Play: Detroit PistonsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Golden State and Detroit are two teams that have been sailing under-the-radar. The Warriors have won seven of their last 10. The Pistons are 6-5 since opening the season with eight straight defeats. The Pistons have won their last five games at The Palace of Auburn Hills.
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The matchup and situation favor Detroit. So at this price, the Pistons are worthy of a play considering how well they are playing defense and being at home.
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Detroit has become a solid defensive club since getting things turned around. The Pistons are giving up 91.7 points per game during their last 11 matchups on 40.6 percent shooting. Those figures would make the Pistons the top defensive team in the NBA if they were for the entire season and not just the last 11 games. Those numbers are even better during Detroit's last five home games. The Pistons have surrendered just 86.0 points a game during this home span and 38.9 percent shooting from the floor.
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Lawrence Frank deserves some credit here. After experimenting around he's found the right rotation and starting lineup. Aside from Greg Monroe, the Pistons don't have much talent. But Frank has morale straighten out and is getting great effort from his team, especially at home. The Pistons are a revived club. They should bring lots of energy and enthusiasm to this matchup.
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The Warriors have a terrible history in Detroit losing 15 of the last 16 times there, including the past four times. Overall, Detroit has covered seven of the past nine in the series.
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Golden State has improved its defense and rebounding, but the Warriors still are vulnerable inside minus injured Andrew Bogut. The Warriors have been playing over their heads. They could start to fall back. This is their first of a seven-game road trip. Some cracks were showing this past Monday when the Warriors lost 102-94 to Orlando at home. That was a good spot for the Warriors since the Magic were coming off a huge upset of the Lakers.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday December, 5

Bobby Conn
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SO ILLINOIS vs. WESTERN KENTUCKY    
PLAY: SO ILLINOIS
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I'll take Southern Illinois tonight. This team won't take Western Kentucky easy after the Hilltoppers came into town last year and won by 7 as 6.5 point underdogs. Both of these teams are off to good starts to the season, but I like how the Salukis have played tough opponents the last two times out. I think they get the cover in this one.

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Rob VincilettiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Timberwolves vs. Celtics    
Play: Over 189½FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This game fits a nice totals system that has cashed 10 of 12 times and plays to the over for road dogs like Minnesota that are a road dog with no rest after scoring 90 or more last night as a road dog of less than 5, vs an opponent like Boston that scored 90 or less as a road dog of 4 or less points. The Celtics have flown over both times vs Northwest Division teams. Minnesota has gone over the total all 4 times as a road dog from 6 to 9 and 6 of 7 this season vs winning teams. Look for this one to fly over the total.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday December, 5

Dave Cokin
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Penn State vs La Salle
Pick: La Salle
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When Tim Frazier went down for the season, he took any hopes Penn State had to have a decent campaign with him. The Nittany Lions simply cannot shoot the basketball, and that makes them less likely to shorten late game deficits when they're behind. That figures to be the case here, so I'll go ahead and lean to La Salle to win and cover.

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Jim FeistFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Chicago Bulls at Cleveland Cavaliers
Pick: Cleveland Cavaliers
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Chicago just finished up a 4-game home stand and now has to head out on the road. It's the second of a back to back spot for the Bulls, while Cleveland has home court and is rested. The Bulls are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on no days rest. The Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning record and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. the Eastern Conference. Play the Cavaliers!

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday December, 5

JR O Donnell
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Detroit Pistons +1
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The Nasty Home Dog here going for  6 in a row @ the Palace of Auburn Hills grab our call.... Power Play Rated @ Pistons - 3 here we will gladly play K Singler and crew to hang up #7 @ home.... Play the Home  Cooking  Pistons + the 1.... #'s are powerful @  Pistons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 NBA Pacific.............. send it in on the Pistons to win a close one... Capped hard to the GSW @  Warriors are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Edges here guys on the D end and protecting the rock... Pistons have held opponents to close to 40% shooting during this run... they play the D boys .... We feel that the GSW are a soft 10-7 ball club..... Pistons get after them tonight.

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Andrew LangeFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Colorado St at Colorado
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I don’t see a lot of difference between these two teams but I do feel that the situation favors the home side. Last time out, Colorado had a two-point halftime lead at Wyoming before falling apart in the second half. The Cowboys are a solid team (see: last night’s win at Illinois State) but everything went their way including some favorable calls and a few bailout threes. Head coach Tad Boyle on his team’s effort against Wyoming: "And we've got five Colorado Buffaloes bending over, standing at the waist trying to get it. He just out scrapped us," Boyle lamented. "That was the epitome of why the Wyoming Cowboys won, and why the Colorado Buffaloes lost." I’ve watched enough of Colorado to know that Boulder is a special venue and I expect their best effort of the season. CSU has done no wrong this season including a road win at Washington. Like Wyoming, this is a tough team that isn't going to be completely overwhelmed by the venue. The key to this game could come down to rebounding. Colorado State has been amazing on the glass and Colorado will need to avoid giving up second chances. In the end, we have the home side off a road loss returning home for a revenge spot (CSU won by 1 in Fort Collins; Colorado shot 13-of-29 from the free throw line). I’ll end up splitting the game with a half unit on the first half and a half unit on the game.

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San Jose St at UC Davis
Play: UC DavisFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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We alerted the listening audience to the improvement of UC Davis during last Wednesday’s Sportsmemo podcast. Later that night, they went into the Lawlor Events Center as +11.5 point underdogs and easily covered in their 84-83 near upset of Nevada. Three days later they opened as 9.5-point underdogs at Idaho and were pounded by the betting market down to +6.5 and finally closed at +8.5. The result was a ticket cashing for almost all of their backers as the Aggies came within seven, 73-66. The 1-4 SU record and 4-1 ATS mark are a clear indication that UC Davis has been undervalued in the early going.  The team’s -1.6 point differential after five games also signals value.
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The reasons for the swift change from last season’s debacle to the eye opening start of this campaign are multiple. For starters, the team has a much better grasp of second year head coach Jim Les’ system. Secondly, the team went through a depletion of the roster last year where all of their core senior leadership departed and left them with little to no game experience. They are now playing far more like a veteran squad. The presence of Arizona transfer Corey Hawkins (son of ex- Bradley and NBA shooting great Hersey Hawkins). After sitting out last season, the 6-3 sophomore has given the squad a go-to player and he currently leads UCD with 21.7 points per game. Their smallish four guard lineup has found stability with seniors Ryan Sypkens (17.4 ppg), Ryan Howley (11.2 rpg) and PG Paolo Mancasola (24 assists, 10 turnovers last 4 games).
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Tonight they face a near carbon copy of themselves philosophy wise as San Jose State (75.1 possessions per game) loves to push the pace as much as Davis (74.4). However, prefer the sharing multi-pronged home squad which has six players who have between 25-72 shot attempts while SJSU top gun James Kinney has more than twice as many as the next player (117-55). UC Davis is hitting 55% of their two-point field goals (16th in the nation) and 48.6% overall which are extremely strong numbers. In total, they rank in the top 20 nationally in five offensive shooting efficiency categories. Each team has played about the same strength of schedule and they covered against their toughest opponent but I’m going to side with the rapidly improving UC-Davis side which should make the home floor work tonight.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday December, 5

SPORTS WAGERS
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ATLANTA -2 over DenverFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Hawks are plenty rested after being off since Friday and should come out with plenty of energy after losing previous home game to the Cavaliers. Reports suggest the players are still stewing over that one. Prior to that, the Hawks had won six straight games. A healthy Al Horford is giving Atlanta 16 points and 10 rebounds a night while serving as the team's emotional and defensive anchor. The Hawks lead the NBA in points allowed per possession after finishing sixth last year. They’ve also owned this visitor in this building with 18 wins in the last 21 games here.
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Denver started the season underachieving and things are not getting better, especially on the road, where they have just four wins in 12 tries. More noteworthy is that the Nuggets are 1-7 on the road when allowing 100 points or more. Atlanta has scored 100 or more in five of its past seven and could easily surpass that number tonight. With games this weekend in Indiana and New York and coming off a win at home, this is exactly the kind of spot the Nuggets have looked so ordinary in all season and that’s to be expected again here.
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Milwaukee +9 over SAN ANTONIOFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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In terms of situational betting, this is about as good a spot to fade the Spurs as any you’ll find. San Antonio returned home from a six-game trip, capped off by the notorious Miami game, to play Memphis. They trailed by 13 in the fourth quarter to the Grizz before rallying to send it into OT and subsequently winning by four. This is the second game back after trip and it’s sandwiched between Miami, Memphis and in-state rival Houston, who they have on deck.
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The Bucks’ stock has sunk to a season low with six losses in eight games, capped off by a blowout loss in New Orleans on Monday. The Bucks are a decent 4-4 on the road and they’re also 2-0 against the spread when taking back 7½ or more this season. Milwaukee catches the Spurs at an opportune time. With an abundance of points to play with in a letdown spot, the underdog gets the nod.
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Marshall +5 over WEST VIRGINIAFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Mountaineers are the newest member of the Big-12 and this West Virgnia squad is much different than last season's team that went 19-14.  It has a couple of A-10 transfers in Aaric Murray and Juwan Staten to go along with Boston College transfer, Matt Humphrey. Deniz Kilicli is the team's top returning scorer with just over 10 pts. per game. WVU is still a work in progress that really hasn’t had time to gel and it is showing. The Mountaineers’ two wins have come against Virginia Military Academy and Davidson.   
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Marshall comes in with a 5-3 record, they’ve won three straight and they’ve played three more games than the Mountaineers. Early in the year, the extra work is an advantage. They’ve also won 20 or more games in three straight years and could easily top that mark again this season. The Herd is an outstanding rebounding club, attacking with aggression and now rank 16th in the country with 42 boards a game. Marshall has strong guard, more experience and will be completely fired up for this annual showdown. Getting points only adds to its appeal. Upset alert.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday December, 5

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Buffalo at Wisconsin - Milwaukee
Pick: Buffalo +5.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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These teams are not out of the gate the way they had hoped. Buffalo enters this contest at 2-7, while Wisconsin-Milwaukee comes in at a disappointing 2-5. The Bulls have been beating themselves as they have failed to take care of the ball. Buffalo has turned the ball over an average of 17 times per contest, often leading to their demise. They should be helped by the fact that the Panthers are not a stellar defensive team by any stretch, and average only 5 steals a game. The Bulls have shot the ball well enough, and I think they will do a better job against a lackluster Wisc.-Milw. team on the defensive end. The Bulls have had success vs. the Horizon Conference where they have posted a 9-3 ATS mark in their last 12. Play on Buffalo.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday December, 5

Jack JonesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Boston Celtics -5.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Boston Celtics get Rajon Rondo back from his two-game suspension tonight as they look to bounce back from a loss last time out. They last played on Saturday, December 1st in an 88-91 loss at Milwaukee. They have had plenty of time to rest while also preparing for the Minnesota Timberwolves tonight.
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"It was difficult," Rondo told the team's official website. "I love being around the guys. I love coming into practice and being around the team and playing, but I had to miss that for a couple of days.
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"We've got to get this show on the road. We've got to have a great December. I mean, I want to get better. I want to run off about eight or nine games straight."
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Trying to start a run like that against the Timberwolves seems to be ideal since Boston has won 10 straight meetings while holding them to an average of 91.6 points and 42.1 percent shooting. The Celtics are averaging 106.8 points while winning six in a row at home over Minnesota dating to a loss on March 6, 2005.
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While the Celtics come in well-rested and ready to go, the Timberwolves will be playing the second of a back-to-back after winning at Philadelphia last night. Playing on zero rest is extra tough for a Minnesota team that is without four key players in Andre Kirilenko (back), Brandon Roy (knee), Ricky Rubio (knee) and Chase Budinger (knee).
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The Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss. Boston is 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Minnesota is 3-13 ATS after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Bet the Celtics Wednesday.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday December, 5

Jordan Runco
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Dallas Mavericks vs. Los Angeles Clippers    
Play: Dallas Mavericks
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Dallas (8-9 SU, 7-10 ATS) is coming off a 92-77 win over Detroit on Dec. 1, while the LA Clippers (11-6 SU, 9-8 ATS) is coming off a 105-104 win over Utah on the road laying 2 on Dec. 3. The Mavs visit the Staples Center on Wednesday at 10:30pm to play the Clippers.
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ODDS: The oddsmakers have installed the Clippers as a 8.5-point favorite over the Mavericks. The total is 198.5 in most books.
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LINE MOVEMENT: The Clippers opened as a 9-point favorite and moved to 8.5 in most books. The total started at 199 and moved to 198.5 in most books.
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NBA FREE PICK: Take Dallas According to latest NBA Trends, Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles, 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings, 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. L.A. Clippers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss and are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
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Dallas may not have Dirk Nowitzki (knee), but they do feature a pair of former Clippers big men in Elton Brand and Chris Kaman. This will be Kaman's first road game against the team he spent his first eight seasons with before being traded to New Orleans in the blockbuster deal that brought Chris Paul to the Clippers before last season. O.J. Mayo has really taken over for Nowitzki, averaging 20.2 points. Expect the Mavs to keep this one close as the Clippers have been an erratic team. They won three straight games going into the Mavs matchup, but that's after losing four straight.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday December, 5

DAVID BANKS

Dallas Mavericks +8

The Los Angeles Clippers (11-6, 9-8 ATS) are a perfect 3-0 straight up since Chauncey Billups returned to make his seasonal debut, and they look to make it four straight vs. the Dallas Mavericks (8-9, 7-10 ATS) at the Staples Center Wednesday at 10:30 ET on ESPN. The Mavericks are reeling without their injured superstar Dirk Nowitzki, who is not recuperating as quickly as they had hoped following arthroscopic knee surgery before the season began.

The Clippers began this season playing like the best team in basketball, at one point ranking in the top three in the NBA in both field goal percentage and field goal percentage allowed. That was until a 117-111 loss in what was supposed to be a statement game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder sent the Clippers spiraling on a four game losing streak. That streak was halted in Billups' first game appearance on November 28th vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves since tearing his Achilles early last season, and Los Angeles has not lost since. Granted Billups has not done much yet, averaging 7.3 points and just 2.3 assists through three games, but his veteran leadership has brought a calming influence to an otherwise young team, and it will only be a matter of time until he contributes on the stat sheet. Until then, the Clippers will just have to continue to win ugly, which they are quite capable of doing with a defense that is still allowing only 95.2 points per game.

The Mavericks have been very erratic without Nowitzki's scoring in the lineup, although they did snap a three-game losing streak with a 92-77 win over the Detroit Pistons on Saturday. That game was at home though and Dallas is just 2-6 on the road where it is averaging a lowly 93.2 points per game. The Mavs do not grade out disgustingly bad overall offensively, ranking 10th in the NBA in scoring at 98.8 points per game and 12th in field goal percentage at 44.5 percent, but this is a team that has had severe home vs. away splits, with that field goal percentage plummeting all the way down to 41.7 percent away from home. Lately it has not mattered where the Mavericks have played, as they have now gone four consecutive games without reaching 100 points with those game split evenly with two games each home and away, and Dallas is averaging a measly 89.3 points over this period with the 'under' going 3-1.

Speaking of the 'under', it is 12-4 in the last 16 head-to-head meetings between these teams here in Los Angeles, as well as a perfect 8-0 in the last eight Dallas games vs. teams with winning overall straight up records. Now the Clippers did win 103-102 in their last game at Utah, but the 'under' is 6-2 in the Clippers' last eight games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday December, 5

Ian Cameron
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Boise State at Utah
Play: Boise State
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Boise State has been an ATS machine in recent games. The Broncos are 6-1 SU, 4-2 ATS and all those old problems of not being able to win games and cover pointspreads on the highway may just be a thing of the past. Boise State took Michigan State down to the wire in East Lansing in a 74-70 loss, easily covering as 15-point road underdogs. In an early season shocker, Boise State took down Creighton in Omaha by 13 points as 13-point road dogs. And in their last game, there was no letdown for the Broncos who demolished Seattle on the road 87-64 as 9-point road chalk.
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Boise State is led by the backcourt duo of Anthony Drmic and Derrick Marks who have combined for 34.6 ppg this season on a Broncos team that can flat out score at will. Boise State has scored no less than 70 points in all but one of those games including topping the 80-point mark four times including in that whopping upset at Creighton. Utah's defensive numbers look good at 34% FG defense but look at the schedule which has been littered with nothing but patsies and weak offensive squads: Willamette, Sacramento State, Idaho State, Central Michigan, Wright State, SMU and Texas State. That is a laundry list of teams that struggle to score and this will be a major step up in class for the Utes to hold down this potent Boise State scoring machine.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday December, 5

Teddy Covers
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Tennessee vs. Virginia
Pick: VirginiaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Tennessee does not play well at a slowdown pace.  The Vols just lost to Georgetown in a game where they held the Hoyas to 37 points on 36% shooting.  Their other loss this year came against another ‘slow-it-down’ defensive minded team, Oklahoma State; a game where the Vols were held to 46 points on 26% shooting.
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Tony Bennett’s Virginia team won 22 games last year by virtue of their defensive mindset, but their potential was cut short by three key injuries and a pair of defections from the program, leading to a Big Dance exit in their first tourney game.  This year’s Cavaliers squad has been dominant through the first month of play, reeling off five consecutive wins and covers since a pair of tight losses in the first week of the season.
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Virginia is deeper than Tennessee.  They play defense better than Tennessee does.  The Cavs hit their free throws; the Vols don’t.  And the Cavs have held every opponent to 64 points or less, while Tennessee hasn’t won a game yet this year where they didn’t get to 75.  Virginia isn’t likely to win pretty, but they should win this one by enough of a margin to cash our bets!  Take Virginia.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday December, 5

Andre Gomes
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Warriors / Pistons Over 192
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Golden State has been very competitive lately, as their guards has been playing very well. The Warriors have been very good on pick and roll ball handler plays, as they have just 0.82 PPP on these plays for the season, but the numbers go up to 0.98 PPP over the last six games! Their recent numbers on spot ups (0.99 season vs 1.05 L6), pick and roll roll man plays (0.90 season vs 1.03 L6), 16-23 feet shooting (0.43 eFG% season vs 0.45 eFG% L6) and 3pts shooting (0.52 eFG% season vs 0.60 eFG% L6).also show their recent offensive improvement. At the same time, both David Lee and Carl Landry keep playing very well, so Golden State is right now a good offensive team.
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They will face a Pistons defense that is #19 on pick and roll ball handler plays, #30 on post ups and #3 on spot ups defense. Their perimeter defense is looking very well on paper and they have allowed just 77, 90, 92 and 79 points over their last four games, however this was achieved mostly due to the poor spots of their opponents in these games. Phoenix were dead tired after going to overtime at Cleveland, on a back to back spot for them plus it was their third game in four games. Memphis played without Mike Conley and they lack a good outside shooting. Dallas is on a major funk right now, while Cleveland was coming from a double overtime game against Portland. Even though Detroit has been defending well, I believe Golden State's good offense won't have a lot of troubles in putting a decent number of points on the Pistons tonight.
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Detroit's offense is completely based on their rim shooting, as 41% of their shots are at the rim. They have a high turnover rate (16.5% TO rate, just like Golden State), however both teams also don't put a lot of pressure on the opposing ball handler, as Golden State is #28 in opposing TO rate with 14.0% and Detroit is #24 with 14.6%. So, both teams won't struggle with turnovers tonight, therefore this is a good offensive spot for both teams. Golden State doesn't have a good rim defense (#19 with 65% FG allowed), while the Pistons are also quite good on their cuts, with Tayshaun Prince and Kyle Singler penetrating well into the basket. The Warriors are #24 in cuts defense with 1.24 PPP allowed, so I believe Detroit will have success on their cuts tonight.
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I expect both teams to have good offensive games tonight, as Golden State is playing very well on offense, while Detroit with this new starting lineup that replaced Rodney Stuckey with Kyle Singler is also much better on offense. I believe this will be a high scoring game, therefore I'll be taking the Over in here.

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