Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday December, 2

Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday December, 2

DUNKEL INDEX

Pittsburgh at Baltimore
The Steelers look to take advantage of a Baltimore team that is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 home games. Pittsburgh is the pick (+9 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Ravens favored by only 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+9 1/2)

Game 339-340: Seattle at Chicago (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 135.112; Chicago 136.656
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 1 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Chicago by 3 1/2; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+3 1/2); Over

Game 341-342: Minnesota at Green Bay (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 124.480; Green Bay 140.252
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 16; 42
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 7 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-7 1/2); Under

Game 343-344: San Francisco at St. Louis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 142.464; St. Louis 127.502
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 15; 46
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 7; 40
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-7); Over

Game 345-346: Arizona at NY Jets (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 126.046; NY Jets 128.310
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 2 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: N Y Jets by 4 1/2; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+4 1/2); Over

Game 347-348: Carolina at Kansas City (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 125.706; Kansas City 125.942
Dunkel Line: Even; 36
Vegas Line: Carolina by 3; 41
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+3); Under

Game 349-350: Indianapolis at Detroit (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 130.891; Detroit 132.313
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Detroit by 5; 51
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (+5); Over

Game 351-352: Jacksonville at Buffalo (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 119.308; Buffalo 131.083
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 12; 41
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 5 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-5 1/2); Under

Game 353-354: New England at Miami (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New England 146.076; Miami 129.501
Dunkel Line: New England by 16 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: New England by 7 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: New England (-7 1/2); Under

Game 355-356: Houston at Tennessee (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 134.278; Tennessee 131.170
Dunkel Line: Houston by 3; 52
Vegas Line: Houston by 6; 47
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+6); Over

Game 357-358: Tampa Bay at Denver (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 135.326; Denver 143.808
Dunkel Line: Denver by 8 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Denver by 7; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-7); Under

Game 359-360: Pittsburgh at Baltimore (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 134.383; Baltimore 137.929
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 3 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 361-362: Cleveland at Oakland (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 129.891; Oakland 122.374
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 7 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 363-364: Cincinnati at San Diego (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 131.820; San Diego 133.723
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 2; 42
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 2 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+2 1/2); Under

Game 365-366: Philadelphia at Dallas (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 121.848; Dallas 136.507
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 14 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Dallas by 10; 43
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-10); Over

Game 367-368: NY Giants at Washington (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 137.592; Washington 131.257
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 6 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 2 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (-2 1/2); Under

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DUNKEL INDEX

NBA

Phoenix at New York
The Knicks look to take advantage of a Phoenix team that is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games against teams with a winning record. New York is the pick (-10) according to Dunkel, which has the Knicks favored by 13 1/2. Dunkel Pick: New York (-10)

Game 701-702: Phoenix at New York (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 113.266; New York 126.813
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 13 1/2; 207
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 10; 200 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (-10); Over

Game 703-704: Orlando at LA Lakers (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 112.393; LA Lakers 121.866
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 9 1/2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

NCAAB

California at Wisconsin
The Badgers look to build on their 8-3 ATS record in their last 11 home games against teams with a winning road record. Wisconsin is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Badgers favored by 13. Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-7)

Game 705-706: Clemson at South Carolina (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 62.675; South Carolina 58.319
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 4 1/2; 121
Vegas Line: Clemson by 2 1/2; 125
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-2 1/2); Under

Game 707-708: Valparaiso at St. Louis (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Valparaiso 59.077; St. Louis 62.400
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (+6 1/2)

Game 709-710: California at Wisconsin (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: California 62.873; Wisconsin 75.858
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 13; 122
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 7; 128 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-7); Under

Game 711-712: Middle Tennessee State at Akron (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 64.795; Akron 65.876
Dunkel Line: Akron by 1
Vegas Line: Akron by 5
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (+5)

Game 713-714: George Mason vs. Maryland (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Mason 60.207; Maryland 63.067
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 3; 136
Vegas Line: Maryland by 5 1/2; 131 1/2
Dunkel Pick: George Mason (+5 1/2); Over

Game 715-716: Wichita State at Air Force (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wichita State 70.131; Air Force 59.455
Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Wichita State by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wichita State (-6 1/2)

Game 717-718: Denver at Stanford (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 56.705; Stanford 70.788
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 14
Vegas Line: Stanford by 11
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-11)

Game 719-720: CS-Fullerton at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Fullerton 56.283; Washington 62.386
Dunkel Line: Washington by 6
Vegas Line: Washington by 9
Dunkel Pick: CS-Fullerton (+9)

Game 721-722: Manhattan vs. George Washington (12:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 51.056; George Washington 51.107
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Manhattan by 2
Dunkel Pick: George Washington (+2)

Game 723-724: Niagara at Central Michigan (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Niagara 51.615; Central Michigan 44.429
Dunkel Line: Niagara by 7
Vegas Line: Niagara by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Niagara (-5 1/2)

Game 725-726: Boise State at Seattle (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 64.244; Seattle 55.464
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 9
Vegas Line: Boise State by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+9 1/2)

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday December, 2

SPORTS WAGERS
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Seattle +3½ -108 over CHICAGO
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The Bears are better with Jay Cutler in the lineup, no question about it. The Seahawks don’t win often away from home, no question about that either. Both situations apply here but we’re not so sure either will matter. This figures to be a defensive battle to the bitter end. It won’t help Chicago that its infirmary is getting busier by the day and the Bears could be without several starters for this one, most notably on the offensive line. Seattle is best when taking points having covered 11 of 12 under Pete Carroll and ascending QB Russell Wilson has improved in road games. A field goal should decide this one and that will earn us a cover.
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DETROIT vs. Indianapolis
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Not only are the 4-7 Lions favoured over the 7-4 Colts, the line keeps going up. What gives? For one, the Colts will be on the road for the third time in four weeks. Away from home is not where Indianapolis is best with two wins in five tries and those victories coming in Tennessee and Jacksonville. Andrew Luck’s passing rating drops more than 20 points outside of his own venue. The Lions are a screwy bunch, outgaining most of their opponents (including Green Bay and Houston in previous two) but failing to put the final touches on their work. With 10 days rest and the possibility of getting swept in a 3-game home stand, we’re confident Detroit can get up off the canvas with a solid showing here.

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SPORTS WAGERS
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DALLAS -10 -110 over Philadelphia
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Sunday night planners anticipated a big showdown here. Instead, this battle of NFC East opponents is more like a game of solitaire. As absurd as it may seem to lay this kind of lumber with Dallas, it pales in comparison to backing an Eagles team that has clearly quit and is void of playmakers. No units risked
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SAN DIEGO +2½ -110 over Cincinnati
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Can we abstain on this one? Guess not. The dilemma is that the Chargers don’t really deserve to be underdogs at home to these Bengals. But these Dolts find unique ways to blow games and there is a fear factor in endorsing them. Bengals have been solid but defense can be exploited. Anticipate a shoot out. No units risked
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DENVER -7 -110 over Tampa Bay
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Bucs playing well and we’d understand the trepidation in going against them. After all, they haven’t lost a game by more than seven points this year. However, the Tampa pass defenders are still the worst in the league, relinquishing in excess of 315 yds. per game. Peyton should have some fun with that. No units risked.
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MIAMI +7½ -110 over New England
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New England has been pulverizing opponents, enamouring them even more to the betting public. Oddsmakers are well aware of this and the result is an inflated price. Pats are obviously very good but after playing defences of Rams, Bills, Colts and Jets, this Miami stop unit poses more of a challenge. No units risked.
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BUFFALO -6 -106 over Jacksonville
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The Jaguars have improved since Chad Henne has taken over quarterback duties but let’s not get carried away. Henne was sacked seven times, threw one pick and had just 17 completions in win over lowly Titans. Buffalo has covered 3 of 4 as chalk this year and will have home weather advantage. No units risked.
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TENNESSEE +6½ -109 over Houston
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Obviously, the Texans are the stronger club here. But can they be trusted? They allowed the visiting Jaguars to take them to overtime, followed with a substandard game in Detroit. They’ve been off and perhaps focusing on hosting the Patriots next Monday. Prohibitive divisional road faves always risky. No units risked.
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KANSAS CITY +3 -108 over Carolina
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It is extremely difficult to get behind the Chiefs these days, losers of eight straight and scoring the least amount of points in the NFL. But spotting road points on consecutive weeks with these unpolished Panthers is something we’re not prepared to do. Since both can’t lose, we’ll lean to KC. No units risked.
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Arizona +4½ -104 over N.Y. JETS
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The quarterback situation in Arizona is so bad that they’re actually hoping for Kevin Kolb to return. Still, no matter how dire that situation may be, can’t bring ourselves to spot a bunch of points with this anemic Jets offence. The Cardinals defence figures to keep the birds within striking distance throughout. No units risked.
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ST. LOUIS +7½ -105 over San Francisco
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The Rams have just two wins in past eight weeks, both against the struggling Cardinals. However, the 49ers seem to bring out the best in St. Louis with four covers in previous five including bizarre 24-24 tie three weeks ago in San Fran. Niners playing well but lost a couple of significant guys last week. No units risked.
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Minnesota +9 -110 over GREEN BAY
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Packers have owned the Vikings in recent times but this Green Bay group is not whole. A makeshift offensive line has Aaron Rodgers chomping on turf too often and Minnesota has the personnel to continue the onslaught. Look for lots of Adrian Peterson and a controlled tempo, keeping it close. No units risked.

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Teddy Covers
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Houston vs. Tennessee
Pick: Tennessee
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Houston is in their single worst spot of the entire season.  The Texans played an OT barnburner in Detroit last week, escaping with a hard fought three point win.  The previous week, the Texans pulled a ‘refuse-to-lose’ at home against the Jags, rallying from two TD’s behind in the fourth quarter for another OT win.
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The week before that, the Texans were in a tough, physical game at Chicago in nasty, cold conditions that also was a one score game throughout.  That’s three consecutive ‘max effort’ games in a row.
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Up next for Houston?  An AFC showdown at New England on Monday Night Football, with a chance to put themselves firmly in position for homefield edge throughout the playoffs.  In between those previous games and the Monday Night showdown is the middle game of this three game road trip, at Tennessee.  The Texans beat the Titans 38-14 back in September.  They won here in Nashville 41-7 last year.  Do you really think that the Texans are fully focused on the task a hand here?
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And even if they are, the Texans injury situation on defense is a real problem right now. Already missing star linebacker Brian Cushing, they’ll also be without LB’s Brooks Reed and Bradie James here, along with pro bowl caliber cornerback Johnathan Joseph.  They’ve allowed 458 yards to Jacksonville and 525 yards against Detroit in their last two ballgames, their worst two defensive showings of the entire season.  Head coach Gary Kubiak: “I'm concerned about the health of our team right now. But that's part of this business this time of year, so we've got to figure out a way to be as good as we can be on Sunday. It's something we've got to deal with.”
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The Titans lost at lowly Jacksonville last week and got blown out at home 51-20 by the Bears in their last game on this field – this is a maximum motivational spot for the home underdog.  Head coach Mike Munchak fired offensive coordinator Chris Palmer on Monday, and new coordinator (former QB coach) Dowell Loggains has simplified the gameplan for Jake Locker, in an effort to create more big plays downfield.  Meanwhile, Chris Johnson is poised for a big afternoon facing the Texans depleted linebacking corps.  The outright upset here is a very real possibility!  Take Tennessee.

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Seattle vs. Chicago
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If the playoffs were to start this week, the Bears would be hosting the Seahawks in the opening round. The question isn’t whether rookie QB Russell Wilson would be up to the task (he would).  The unknown is whether Jay Cutler would be behind center. Chicago’s oft-injured signal caller is back in the lineup this week. However, five other Bears starters all left last week’s game and did not return, including G’s Lance Louis and Chris Spencer, both with bad knees. Add RB Matt Forte and WR Devin Hester to the banged-up mix and suddenly the Bears’ offense finds itself clawless going up against the loop’s 5th ranked defense. Making matters worse for the Windy City wonders is Chicago’s 1-7-1 ATS mark as home chalk off a home game. Aside from this being a live division sandwich for the Bears (off the Vikings last week with the Packers up next), Seattle enters 5-1 ATS this season as a dog behind Wilson, including four straight-up victories. The Seahawks’ 6-1 SUATS log in Game Twelve’s and Bears’ 0-5 ATS mark in Game Twelve’s does it. Grab the points in this playoff test run.  We recommend a 1-unit play on Seattle.

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Art Aronson
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Carolina vs. Kansas City
Pick: Carolina
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I see good value in taking the Carolina Panthers to cover the spread against a struggling Kansas City Chiefs team. Kansas City has been finding ways to lose games all year mainly because of it's offensive struggles. I see no reason for that trend to stop this week.
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Carolina is coming off an impressive win on the road on Monday night against the Philadelphia Eagles and they’ll look to continue their strong play with a visit to the Kansas City Chiefs. The Panthers have done very well against the spread while on the road, going 4-1 so far this season. In two games in which they were favourites on the road they’ve gone 1-1.
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The Chiefs defense was impressive last week, holding Denver to just 17 points; however, the offense continues to struggle as they were held to under 10 points for a second straight week, and under 20 points for the seventh game in a row.
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Kansas City will lean heavily on its fourth-ranked run game, but with little variety in their play-calling, the Panthers defense will be able to key-in on certain weapons, specifically Jamaal Charles. The Chiefs have had struggles putting points on the board due to their inability to confuse their opponent in the red-zone, and there’s no signs of anything changing for this week.
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Carolina’s sophomore quarterback Cam Newton had one of his best games of the season this year after slumping for a good part of the year. He threw for two touchdowns and ran for two more against the Eagles, and will be coming into this week with plenty of confidence.
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Remember: Kansas City is a terrible 0-5 ATS this year when playing in a game where the line is between -3 and +3. The Panthers are 2-1 ATS this year when facing a team with a losing record.
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Consider laying the modest points with the Panthers.

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Sean Murphy
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Indianapolis vs. Detroit
Pick: Under
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This matches the highest posted total on the board for Sunday's slate of games, but I'm not sure it's warranted.
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Note that while the Colts are thought of as an explosive offensive team, the fact is, they've topped out at 24 points in six of their last seven, and nine of 11 games overall this season. They managed only 20 points against a below average Bills defense at home last Sunday.
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There's no question, the Lions should play with an edge on Sunday, as they've dropped three games in a row, and have had some extra time to think about their most recent setback, a disheartening 34-31 overtime loss to the Texans on Thanksgiving Day.
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Much like the Colts, the Lions have a reputation for being an offensive juggernaut. Sure, they have plenty of talent, but that hasn't always translated into positive results on the field this season. They put up 31 points against a tough, but undermanned, Texans defense last Sunday, but prior to that, had been held to just 44 points in their last two games combined.
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Defensively, the Colts have gotten a lot stronger as the season has progressed. Perhaps that has something to do with the fact that they've stayed relatively healthy - in fact, they've gotten healthier as the season has gone on, with Pat Angerer returning, and Vontae Davis expected to play for the first time since Week 8 on Sunday. Yes, Indy was ripped by the Patriots two weeks ago, but how many teams wouldn't suffer that same feat given how well the Pats are performing. Outside of that, the Colts have allowed 20 points or less in four of their last five contests, and exactly 13 points in three of those.
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The Lions have been ripped for 34, 24, and 34 points in their last three games, but that most recent result comes with an asterisk. The Texans scored 31 points in regulation time, but seven of those came on an 81-yard Justin Forsett touchdown run that of course should have never happened as he was clearly down by contact. The fact is, the Lions were able to frustrate a strong Texans offense for much of the day.
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This game means a lot to both teams, albeit for very different reasons. The Colts continue to push toward the postseason, while the Lions look to stop the bleeding following three consecutive losses. Expect a hard-fought, lower-scoring than anticipated battle on Sunday in Motown.

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Bryan Power
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Cleveland vs. Oakland
Pick: Cleveland
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While certainly not one of the more attractive matchups on paper this Sunday, I nonetheless feel Browns-Raiders offers some great value, in this case on the road team.  Cleveland, who has been competitive in virtually every game this season, comes off a confidence building win over the rival Steelers, just their second win in 18 meetings with Pittsburgh.
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The Raiders, on the other hand, are coming off four straight blowout losses, all by double digits.  They have allowed an average of 42.2 points per game during the losing skid, which continued last week with a 34-10 loss at Cincinnati.  While both of these teams now own victories over the Steelers this season, the Browns were more than competitive with the Bengals, beating them once and losing by just one touchdown in the first meetings.  That is one of five Cleveland losses by seven points or less this season.  Meanwhile, only one of Oakland's eight losses have come by less than eight points.
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I need to mention that Browns QB Brandon Weeden is listed as proabable for this matchup. If he doesn't play (concussion), I still like the play, but not as much.  Cleveland has dropped an NFL high 12 straight road games. That streak is bound to end soon, just like the team's losing skid against Pittsburgh.  Oakland should never be favored against anyone, as evidenced by their 0-4 ATS mark in the chalk role this season.  Small recommendation on Cleveland.

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Giants at Redskins
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New York (7-4) snapped their two-game losing streak after their bye week by crushing Green Bay by a 38-10 margin. The Giants have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a win by at least two touchdowns. New York has also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. Additionally, the Giants have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a victory. And in their last 7 games on the road, the defending Super Bowl champs have played 6 of these games Under the Total. Washington (5-6) comes off their 38-31 win at Dallas last week -- which makes the Under 3-1-1 in their last 5 games against NFC East opponents. The Redskins have also played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Take the Under in this one.

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Jimmy Boyd
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New England Patriots -7.5
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The Patriots have it going. They have won five straight by an average of 22.4 points. Three of these wins came by 30 points or more.
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New England has been an outstanding investment on the road for years. It it 37-17-2 against the spread in its last 56 road games. Zooming in, it is on a 15-5 against the spread run in games played away from home and has won these by an average score of 33.4 to 21.9. The Pats are 5-1 against the spread on the road this season.
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While New England has been a strong play on the road, the Dolphins have been a poor investment at home. They are just 23-52-1 against the spread in their last 76 home games.
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Miami is coming off a 24-21 upset win at home against the Seattle Seahawks, but it is on an 18-37 against the spread slide following an upset win. It is also on a 10-22 against the spread skid in home games after a win by six points or less.
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It is significant that the Dolphins enter with a .454 winning percentage. That’s because the Pats are 6-0 against the spread the last three seasons versus teams that carry winning percentages of .400 to .490. They have won these six by an average score of 42.2 to 12.8.
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The Patriots have won each of their last four games against the Dolphins and three of these wins have come by 14 points or more. The road team is 8-2 against the spread in the last 10 meetings, and the Patriots are 4-1 against the spread in their last five meetings at Miami.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday December, 2

Steve Janus
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers +8
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The Buccaneers had a chance to take over the second Wild Card spot this past week with a win over Atlanta, but they squandered a 23-17 lead in the 4th quarter to snap their four-game winning streak. Tampa Bay is battling Minnesota and Seattle but the Seahawks hold the tie-breaker which means Tampa Bay has a lot of work to do over the final four weeks of the season.
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Tampa Bay appears to be showing a lot of value this week as a 8-point underdog. Tampa Bay hasn’t lost a single game all season by more than a touchdown and I don’t think people realize just how well this team has been playing of late. You also have to factor in that Peyton Manning and the Broncos are one of the more popular teams in the NFL at the moment. The public has quickly fallen in love with this team and it’s not all that surprising given their current winning streak. Oddsmakers have taken advantage of this by setting the Broncos lines too high. Denver has failed to cover the number in two straight games.
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The Buccaneers offense could pose a threat in this one, despite the Broncos impressive numbers. Denver ranks 5th in the NFL against the pass (209.6 ypg) and 9th against the run (98.7 ypg). We saw Jamaal Charles of the Chiefs help Kansas City rush for 148 yards against that Denver defense and earlier this season the Patriots put up 251 yards on the ground. Tampa Bay has one of the most electrifying backs in the NFL in Doug Martin, and I think his speed and agility will give the Broncos front seven a lot of trouble. Denver is going to have to load the box to try and stop Martin, which should open up some passing lanes for quarterback Josh Freeman to exploit.
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Tampa Bay is 14-5 ATS as a road underdog over the last three seasons and are a perfect 6-0 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points during that stretch.

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New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins    
Play: Miami DolphinsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Patriots after blowing out the New York Jets 49-19 on Thanksgiving night , now make it very tough for any bettor to feel comfortable betting against them. But darn it, there is still value here taking the Miami Dolphins as a touchdown plus home dog in this spot. Especially if they can keep the Patriots from being able to run the ball, which in turn makes the Patriots more easy to read, if they have to almost solely depend on Tom Brady looking downfield. The Dolphins have proven to be a challenging defense to run against, as is evident by ranking fifth best in the NFL for fewest yards allowed per carry (3.7 avg.). I know the Dolphins gave up some yards to Chris Brown in week 10 , but that was just a glitch in my humble opinion. With that said, Im betting the Fins make NE offense one dimensional, and for pass rushing threat Cameron Wake to consistently make QB Brady very uncomfortable in the pocket.
Play on Miami Dolphins

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday December, 2

Jordan Runco
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NY Giants -3
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The Washington Redskins put themselves in the playoff picture in the NFC with a Thanksgiving win over Dallas last week, 38-31. The New York Giants (7-4 SU, 5-5-1 ATS) are coming off a dominating 38-10 win at home against Green Bay last Sunday night. They'll travel to Landover, Md., to take on Washington (5-6 SU, 6-6 ATS) at FedEx Field on Monday at 8:30pm. Last game: NY Giants (-6.5) over WASHINGTON, 27-23.
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Odds: The oddsmakers have installed the NY Giants as a 3-point favorite. The total is 51 in most books.
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Line Movement: Giants opened as a 3-point favorite and remained there at most books. The total started at 51 and remained there in most books.
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NFL FREE PICK: NY Giants. Latest trends: Giants are 9-2 ATS L11 with a line of +3 to -3, 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 13, 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Monday games, 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. win and 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall. Washington is 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games on grass, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Monday games, 2-9 ATS L11 off a road game and are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 13.
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The Giants needed a bye to get their act together. Last week, their defensive line simply dominated Green Bay’s offensive line, in a 38-10 home win giving 1. The Giants moved Mathias Kiwanuka to DT, where he is a mismatch for most OL including Washington’s mediocre lot. The Giants also sat their safeties back in coverage to take away the deep ball. Look for Eli Manning to have a big game exploiting Washington safeties.
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Washington is allowing 301.4 passing yards per game for the second-worst mark in the NFL and when the Giants are back on their game as Eli Manning ended his drought Sunday with three scores and 249 yards as New York returned from the bye with a dominant 38-10 victory over Green Bay. The Giants will win this due to their edge on both lines.
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Eagles / Cowboys Over 43
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This game carried a lot more importance in September. But it still means something to Dallas (5-6 SU, 4-7 ATS), who is coming off a 38-31 loss at home to Washington on Thanksgiving, giving 3.5. Philadelphia (3-8 SU, 1-9-1 ATS) has now lost seven straight, including their Monday night loss to Carolina at home, 30-22, getting. 3. Philadelphia visits Cowboys Stadium on Sunday night to take on Dallas at 7:20pm. Last game: Dallas (-3/43’) over PHILADELPHIA, 38-23
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Odds: The oddsmakers have installed Dallas as a 10-point favorite. The total is 43 in most books.
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Line Movement: Dallas opened as a 9-point favorite and moved to 10 at most books. The total started at 43 and remained there in most books.
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NFL FREE PICK: Over Philadelphia/Dallas. Latest trends: Dallas is 15-7 OVER last 22 home games and is 4-1 Over last 5 games following an ATS loss. Philadelphia is 14-2 OVER last 16 in Week 13 The Eagles have pretty much given up, especially on defense. Last week, they gave up 30 points to a mediocre Carolina team on Monday night, falling 30-22, getting 3 and Over the betting total of 41.5. Dallas’ defense wasn’t much better last Thursday, as they lost at home to Washington, 38-31. Tony Romo did throw 441 yards with three touchdowns and two picks in that game. He should torch an overrated Philly secondary that has been exploited all season and they also just waived Jason Babin, so they are going with youngsters on defense and a rookie at quarterback in Nick Foles. Then again, a rookie qb (RGIII) put up 38 on Dallas last week.. The Dallas Cowboys still are in the playoff picture in the NFC. While the East crown still is within reach, a wild card berth appears to be more attainable, as the Cowboys are only one game behind sixth-seeded Seattle in the conference.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday December, 2

Jack Jones
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Green Bay Packers -8
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The Packers have been dominant at Lambeau Field this season. They are 4-1 at home overall and have won four straight there since a season-opening loss to the San Francisco 49ers. They are outscoring opponents 25.6 to 19.8 at home this year.
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The Vikings have clearly been at their worst away from home this season. They are 1-4 straight up and 1-4 ATS on the road this year, getting outscored 19.2 to 26.4 on average. Their only road win came at Detroit when the Lions gave that game away by allowing two special teams touchdowns.
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This has been a one-sided series over the last few years to say the least. The Packers have gone 4-0 straight up and 3-1 ATS in their last four meetings with the Vikings. That includes a 45-7 home victory in their final meeting of 2011 on November 14th last season.
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Minnesota is expected to be without Percy Harvin (ankle) as he is listed as doubtful. He is arguably their most important player, and the passing offense just isn't the same without him. Meanwhile, the Packers get a huge boost to their offense this week with the likely return of WR Greg Jennings (abdominal), who is listed as probable.
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Green Bay will be highly motivated after suffering its worst loss of the season in a 10-38 setback at New York on Sunday. The Packers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss. They are also 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS loss, and 46-22-2 ATS in their last 70 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points. Bet the Packers Sunday.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday December, 2

Freddy Wills
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Carolina Panthers vs. Kansas City Chiefs    
Play: Kansas City Chiefs
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The Panthers are the public's favorite play once again after they beat the Eagles. The Eagles? The Panthers have Atlanta on the schedule next and going on the road to Arrowhead the week before is no easy task. The Panthers are also on short rest here and have the ingredients that will give the Panthers defense issues.
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The Chiefs are one of the better rushing teams with Jamal Charles while the Panthers are 25th in rushing defense allowing 4.5 ypc and 5.6 over their last 3 and even worse 5.2 ypc on the road. The Chiefs have played close games against the Broncos last week, Steelers, Ravens and beat the Saints on the road so if they don't turn the ball over I would go as far to say they should win this game. We have seen an inconsistent defense by the Chiefs, but I think they'll return again this week as they should be pumped up to face Cam Newton.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday December, 2

Rob Vinciletti
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Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans    
Play: Houston Texans
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The Texans have extra rest for this one coming off the Thanksgiving day win. We want to play on Teams that have a .700 or better win percentage when coming off a Thursday win vs an opponent that is under .500 and lost on Sunday. The Texans wont take this one lightly having lost here last season. They already beat the Titans early in the season 38-14. Houston has covered 4 of the last 5 on the road when the total is 42.5 to 49. Plus we note that road teams in conference games are 33-9 ats if both teams allowed 24 or more points. Houston is 9-1 ats after out rushing their last opponent by 75 or more yards. The Titans are 1-8 ats in divisional play and 0-3 straight up and ats vs winning teams this season. Look for Houston to get the win and cover.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday December, 2

Carlo CampanellaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Seattle Seahawks vs. Chicago Bears    
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The Bears improved to 8-3 after their 28-10 victory on Sunday, hosting Minnesota, with QB Cutler back in the lineup. Chicago is now 5-1 at home this season and play their 2nd straight at Soldier Field, as they host a Seattle squad that dropped to 1-5 on the road after losing by 3 points to Miami. With the Bears only leading the Packers by one game in the NFC North, must back them with home field advantage, as QB Cutler should be able to produce points against a Seahawk defense that could not put pressure on Miami rookie QB Tannehill, only sacking him once, while he passed for 253 yards and put up 24 points.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday December, 2

Joseph D'AmicoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins    
Play: New England Patriots
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The Patriots are red-hot, winning 5 in a row SU and sporting a 5-1 ATS mark away from home this year. The offense has posted at least 37 PPG in their L4 outings. Tom Brady is in the MVP race once again. The QB has 3299 YP, 24 TDs, and only 3 INTs. Even without TE Gronkowski, the "O" is loaded with top-notch receivers while the ground attack of Stevan Ridley (939 YR and 8 TDs) is strong. Their stop-unit has faced and contained quite a few quality foes this season. Miami has been shredded by good passing games. They rank 27th vs. the pass and are minus 10 in TOs (NE is +26). There is no way the struggling, Ryan Tannehill (7 TDs/12 INTs) can move the ball downfield here. The Road Team is 8-2 ATS the L10 meetings in this series. The Patriots are 4-1 ATS their L5 games played at the Dolphins, 37-17-2 ATS their L56 games played on the road, and 6-2 ATS their L8 games played vs. the NFC. Take New England.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday December, 2

Bobby ConnFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers    
Play: Minnesota Vikings
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I'll take the points with Minnesota here today. The Packers are coming off an embarrassing loss on Sunday Night football against the Giants and the general public is expecting a bounce back? Should they? I don't think so. If you went against favorites who are coming off double digit losses you would have gone 504-452 (52.7%) ATS. Not only that but Green Bay has won four in a row in this series so the public thinks the Vikings have no shot, but teams looking for revenge after four straight losses to a divisional opponent are 244-210 (53.7%). I'll go with the big number here in what will be an unpopular choice this weekend.

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