Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday November, 30

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday November, 30

Wunderdog

Portland at Boston
Pick: Portland +5

Doc Rivers is frustrated by his team's lack of toughness. He called them out in a post-game interview after they were decisively beaten by the Nets at home their last time out. The Celtics are already getting bumps and bruises, and after their fight with the Nets Rajon Rondo is now suspended for two games, which won't help the cause here against Portland. The Blazers have taken the collar in the first three games of this road trip, but have an under-manned Boston team and should smell an opportunity for a win. Boston is just 4-4 at home and needed overtime to dispatch the then winless Wizards. The Celtics are simply not at full strength right now and are vulnerable. Boston is just 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games, and 1-4 ATS overall vs. a losing team. Make your play on Portland tonight.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday November, 30

John Ryan
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
DePaul at Auburn
Play: AuburnFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The simulator shows a high probability that Auburn will win this game. Auburn has several game situations favoring them to cruise to a victory tonight. Auburn is a solid 11-2 ATS after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons; 15-4 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons; 9-0 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. The simulator shows that DePaul will attempt between 14 and 18 free throws and that Auburn will have a strong rebounding game getting between 40 and 44 boards. In past games, DePaul is 3-17 against the money line (-14.8 Units) when they attempt 14 to 18 free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons. Auburn is a resounding 12-3 against the money line (+9.6 Units) in home games when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game since 1997. Strong defensive rebounding serves to limit an opponent?s second chance scoring opportunities and this will be a dominant reason that Auburn wins this game.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday November, 30

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAYS

Northern Illinois -6.5 over Kent State: Both of these teams have had great years, but I feel that Northern Illinois will finish the deal. The Huskies have just rolled over everyone this year, flowing the loss to Iowa in the opener. Not only have they won their last 11 games, but they did so by an average of 25.1 ppg. Offensively the huskies have a big edge as they average 80 ypg and 6.1 ppg more than the Golden Flashes average. The big weakness on defense for KSU is their pass defense that is 116th in the nation, allowing 281.9 ypg and will have problems vs the NIU offense that can throw, putting up 237.6 ypg through the air. The Huskies also have the edge on the defensive side of the ball where they allow 45 ypg and 6 ppg less than the Golden Flashes do. Too much offense and the better defense should give NIU another win by DD.

UCLA/ Stanford Over 44.5: I know that rain is expected in Stanford tonight, but I still feel that this ga,e will; go over the total. These teams met last week at UCLA and 52 points were scored and Stanford home games this year have averaged 54.7 ppg. UCLA comes into this game having played a slew of high scoring games, with their last 5 putting up 72.4 pg, while their road games this year have averaged 71.4 ppg. Those big numbers are due to the fact that UCLA's offense has been very good this year putting up 36 ppg, while the defense has struggled, allowing 25.8 ppg overall, including 33 ppg in their last 3 games. Now we all know the Stanford defense is very tough and they did hold UCLA to just 17 points last week, but really how much of their offense did the Bruins show to Stanford. They were already in the Title game and I heard reports that Jim Mora played that game not to win as he knew if they won they would face Oregon in the Title game and they did not want that. Yes Stanford beat the Ducks, but I would still rather face the Cardinal than the Ducks. I expect UCLA to open the playbook back up for this one and they will get their points off of this Cardinal defense. I also expect Stanford to be able to score plenty off of this weak UCLA defense. Look for this one to hit the 50's

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday November, 30

SPORTS WAGERS

Denver +5 -105 over L.A. LAKERS

Both teams have underachieved this year with the Nuggets being at .500 and the Lakers being a game below. However, the Lakers have dropped three of four, they have not responded well to Mike D’Antoni’s system and they’re clearly the inferior team in every category (rebounding, bench, PPG, shooting percentages) except defense.

In last year’s playoffs, the Nuggets took the Lakers to seven games. This season, the Lakers have regressed badly. While they may turn it around at some point, taking back juice, points or both with a team that surely has a chance to win outright is the way to go here.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday November, 30

Steve Janus

Philadelphia 76ers -3.5

The 76ers come into this game playing some of their best basketball of the season. Philadelphia has won 5 of their last 7 games overall to improve their overall record to 9-6. Due to the fact that the 76ers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games, I believe it has created big time value on tonight's game against a very mediocre Charlotte squad.

Philadelphia's biggest strength this season has been the effort they put out on the defensive side of the ball. They are allowing just 87.4 ppg on the road this season and I look for the young Bobcats to struggle to get any rhythm going offensively. Charlotte averages just 94.7 ppg on the season.

The other key here is that the Bobcats are not a good defensive team, which is huge in this matchup. Philadelphia's offense hasn't been great this season, but have scored 100 in three straight and four of their last 5. The Bobcats are allowing 100.2 ppg and could find themselves in a big hole early.

These are the teams that Philadelphia has been able to handle with ease. The 76ers are 21-8 ATS vs poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. They are winning these games by an average score of 96-87, which allows you to see the value we are getting at 3.5!

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday November, 30

Harry Bondi

KENT STATE (+7.5) over Northern Illinois

These two teams have been virtual ATM Machines all season long going a combined 18-5 against the spread. We see this as a battle between two dead-even teams so we'll gladly take the generous points. Both have put up impressive numbers on both sides of the ball, ranking No. 1 and 2 in the MAC in both rushing offense and defense. An area where Kent State has been dominant all season is in the turnover department, with a +20 differential. That means they know how to take care of the ball and force turnovers and in a game of this magnitude, that will be huge. The Flashes are also 4-1 this year as an underdog and in their last two games against top competition they went to Rutgers as a 14-point underdog and rolled to a 35-23 victory and beat Bowling Green on the road as a three-point dog. Take the touchdown head start tonight in a game that will be close throughout.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday November, 30

Rob Veno 

Philadelphia at Charlotte
Play: Over

After seeing Philadelphia live at Wells Fargo Center Tuesday night versus Dallas, it seems like a good time to step in and look at them from an OVER perspective right now. Offensively, head coach Doug Collins crew operated quicker and much sharper in their sets for the majority of the game. The starting forward tandem of Evan Turner and Thaddeus Young are becoming a handful and figure to be just that for their counterparts Byron Mullens and Michael Kidd-Gichrist tonight. There are other matchups that look exploitable in this game as well. Sixers PG Jrue Holliday fares much better against size than quickness which indicates Bobcats PG Kemba Walker could have a very nice stat line tonight. I like the bench opportunities here too as the Mavericks reserve guards Darren Collison and Vince Carter scored fairly easily when matched with Malik Wayns (Villanova rookie) and Nick Young. That should work here too as Charlotte’s Ramon Sessions and Ben Gordon can take advantage. Love the reverse matchup too as Wayns is currently a one dimensional offensive sparkplug and Young is likely to get easy looks versus Gordon. Philly’s lack of defensive interior presence led them to play Kwame Brown nearly 16 minutes the other night to slow down the Mavs Chris Kaman but without a paint threat opposing them tonight, look for Collins to go with the quicker duo of Lavoy Allen and Spencer Hawes. Charlotte can be scoring challenged overall but the current offensive execution, favorable matchups and fairly low total of 189 presents enough advantages to recommend a small play on the OVER  tonight.

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