Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday November, 30

Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday November, 30

DUNKEL INDEX

UCLA at Stanford
The Cardinal look to take advantage of a UCLA team that is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at Stanford. Stanford is the pick (-8) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinal favored by 11 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-8)

Game 305-306: Northern Illinois vs. Kent State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 98.871; Kent State 87.722
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 11; 55
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 6; 58
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (-6); Under

Game 307-308: UCLA at Stanford (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 105.469; Stanford 116.796
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 11 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Stanford by 8; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-8); Under

NBA

Washington at New York
The Wizards look to build on their 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 road games. Washington is the pick (+13 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Knicks favored by only 11. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+13 1/2)

Game 701-702: Phoenix at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 114.112; Toronto 115.766
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 703-704: Philadelphia at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 115.355; Charlotte 111.330
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 4; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 3; 189
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-3); Over

Game 705-706: Brooklyn at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 121.251; Orlando 112.811
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 8 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 707-708: Portland at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 114.855; Boston 117.723
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 3; 187
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 709-710: Washington at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 110.973; New York 121.795
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 11; 187
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 13 1/2; 191
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+13 1/2); Under

Game 711-712: Cleveland at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 112.217; Atlanta 124.585
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 12 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 9; 187
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-9); Over

Game 713-714: Detroit at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 117.315; Memphis 124.621
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 7 1/2; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 11 1/2; 191
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+11 1/2); Under

Game 715-716: Utah at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 117.840; Oklahoma City 130.997
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 13; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 9; 204
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-9); Over

Game 717-718: Milwaukee at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 116.080; Minnesota 113.651
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 2 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 2 1/2; 195
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+2 1/2); Under

Game 719-720: Indiana at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 118.035; Sacramento 113.315
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 5; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 1; 188 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-1); Over

Game 721-722: Denver at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 119.544; LA Lakers 122.301
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 3; 200
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 5 1/2; 204 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+5 1/2); Under

NCAAB

Tennessee at Georgetown
The Hoyas look to take advantage of a Tennessee team that is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 Friday games. Georgetown is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Hoyas favored by 11 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (-5 1/2)

Game 723-724: Tennessee at Georgetown (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 59.445; Georgetown 70.972
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 11 1/2; 120
Vegas Line: Georgetown by 5 1/2; 124 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (-5 1/2); Under

Game 725-726: Louisiana Tech at Georgia State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 57.545; Georgia State 61.591
Dunkel Line: Georgia State by 4
Vegas Line: Georgia State by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia State (-1 1/2)

Game 727-728: Georgia at South Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 59.332; South Florida 59.939
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 1; 117
Vegas Line: South Florida by 4; 112
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (+4); Over

Game 729-730: Utah at Texas State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 51.484; Texas State 52.715
Dunkel Line: Texas State by 1
Vegas Line: Texas State by 3
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+3)

Game 731-732: Oregon State vs. Kansas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 62.804; Kansas 74.950
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 12
Vegas Line: Kansas by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-11 1/2)

Game 733-734: Syracuse at Arkansas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 74.483; Arkansas 59.229
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 15 1/2; 144
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 7 1/2; 149 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-7 1/2); Under

Game 735-736: DePaul at Auburn (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: DePaul 56.843; Auburn 53.847
Dunkel Line: DePaul by 3; 135
Vegas Line: DePaul by 1; 140 1/2
Dunkel Pick: DePaul (-1); Under

Game 737-738: CS-Fullerton at Eastern Washington (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Fullerton 58.563; Eastern Washington 50.598
Dunkel Line: CS-Fullerton by 8
Vegas Line: CS-Fullerton by 4
Dunkel Pick: Cs-Fullerton (-4)

Game 739-740: Montana at San Francisco (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana 56.435; San Francisco 59.990
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 5
Dunkel Pick: Montana (+5)

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday November, 30

Stephen Nover
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Milwaukee Bucks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves    
Play: Minnesota Timberwolves
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Both Milwaukee and Minnesota started hot. The Bucks opened 6-2. The Timberwolves won five of their first seven. Since then, though, the Bucks have dropped four of their last five. Milwaukee's lone victory during this span came against the Bulls, 93-92, when the Bucks rallied from 27 points down in the third quarter. The Timberwolves are 1-6 in their past seven games.
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So why get involved with either of these two fading teams right now?
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The answer is that Minnesota has more going in this matchup. This the Timberwolves' lone home game during a seven-game span. This is Minnesota's first game back from a four-game West Coast trip that concluded on Wednesday. Sometimes a first game back from an extended trip can be tough both mentally and physically. But the Timberwolves have had a full day to recuperate. They were 2-0 last season when returning home from a trip of three games or more.
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Part of Minnesota's skid stemmed from injuries. The Timberwolves are far from fully healthy, but their guard rotation is shored up with J.J. Barea back. Kevin Love's hand is improving every game. Love is an absolute rebounding and scoring monster. The Bucks won't be able to do anything about him.
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The Bucks have yet to get consistent play from their front-court players and swingman Mike Dunleavy is in a shooting slump. Ersan Ilyasova had a break-out season last year for Milwaukee, but hasn't been able to sustain it. He's been so bad that Scott Skiles has removed him from the starting lineup. The Bucks' frontline is composed of inexperience, castoffs and role players, none of whom can do anything to stop Love.
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The Bucks lost 102-88 to New York this past Wednesday at home. Milwaukee's starting frontcourt scored the grand total of two points. The Bucks are averaging 89 points in their last three games. That's a drop off of 12 points a game from their first 10 games.
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Rick Adelman has improved the Timberwolves with a full training camp. Minnesota's defense is way under-the-radar as the Timberwolves are giving up the sixth-fewest points per game at 93.1. They also rank ninth in defensive field goal percentage at 43.7 percent.
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The Bucks get their scoring from their starting backcourt of Monta Ellis and Brandon Jennings.They are averaging a combined 35 points per game. However, neither shoots well from the floor. Jennings is shooting 42.2 percent from the floor while Ellis is at 41.3 percent and is hitting just 18 percent from 3-point range.
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Home-court is important, too, in this matchup. The Bucks usually don't play well at Target Center. This is reflected in them losing 10 of their last 12 visits to Minneapolis.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday November, 30

TJ Pemberton
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Washington Wizards vs. New York Knicks    
Play: New York Knicks
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Laying some chalk with the New York Knicks tonight as they host the Washington Wizards.
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The Knicks are at home tonight coming in off a night's rest. Some trends that caught my eye...
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Knicks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Knicks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.
Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
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The Wizards have dropped nine straight to the Knicks by an average of 14.0 points and in ATS trends, they are only 1-10 ATS in their last 11 meetings in New York.
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The Knicks have been one of the best teams in the league and I will lay the points tonight.

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Jordan Runco
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UCLA vs. Stanford    
Play: Stanford
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The Pac-12 Championship involves two teams that recently played six days ago. UCLA (9-3 SU, 7-5 ATS) comes into this game looking for revenge after Stanford (10-2 SU, 8-4 ATS) defeated them at home last week. The winner goes to the Rose Bowl. UCLA travels to Palo Alto, Ca to face the Cardinal at Stanford Stadium. Last game: Stanford (-2’) over UCLA, 35-17.
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Odds: The oddsmakers have installed Stanford as a 8-point favorite. The total is 44 in most books.
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Line Movement: Stanford opened as a 10.5-point favorite and moved to 9 at most books. The total started at 51.5 and moved down to 44 in most books.
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COLLEGE FREE PICK: Stanford. Latest trends include: Bruins are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Stanford is 4-0 ATS L4 in series, favorite is 4-0 ATS L4 meetings, 6-1 ATS L7 at home in series, 5-0 ATS L5 in November, 21-5-1 ATS L27 following an ATS win and 12-2 ATS L14 off BB wins
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Stanford has had a great year considering they lost star QB Andrew Luck to the NFL and haven’t had the most success at that position this year. Now they are in the Pac-12 Championship game at home, despite teams with more talent (USC, Oregon) sitting this one out. Stanford did replace Josh Nunes at qb with freshman Kevin Hogan, who has led the Cardinal to wins over three ranked teams in Oregon State, Oregon and UCLA. Stanford controlled this game last week from Los Angeles, as Stepfan Taylor rushed for 142 yards and two TDs. Stanford has won eight straight at home and 19 of 20 home games. Stanford's defense, which allows just 71ypg and 2.4ypc on the ground, is the difference here.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday November, 30

Freddy Wills
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Northern Illinois vs. Kent State    
Play: Kent State
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The winner of this game has a possible shot at a BCS bowl so a lot is on the line. All they need is to be in the Top 16 and have one of the three lose Nebraska, UCLA, or Florida State. Northern Illinois has been on fire for 3 years now in the MAC thanks to Jordan Lynch who is 3rd in the nation in total yards. Kent State has their own star in Dri Archer who averaged over 9 yards per carry. Northern Illinois has had plenty of close calls this year and ironically they were all against top 50 rushing offenses vs. Army they only won by 1 they have the 6th ranked rushing attack behind Kent State which is #1 with over 6 yards per carry.
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Kent State also has been solid at stopping the run in that respect these two teams are pretty even. Northern Illinois has more of a balanced attack, but Kent State has not been that bad vs. the pass stiffening in the red zone allowing just 38% TD’s in conference play. Kent State has 16 interceptions on the road and are +20 in turnover margin on the year which could be a major advantage in this game if they can stop the run which they have been very good at doing. All in all I think this will be a chess match, Dri Archer will have his moments and so will Jordan Lynch. The story of the MAC Championship has been the under dog covering the spread the last three years and there is enough talent and value on Kent State here as you can easily see them winning this game. Northern Illinois struggled with Toledo at home and were lucky to win that game. Toledo has one of the worst defenses in the nation.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday November, 30

Rob Vinciletti
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Washington Wizards vs. New York Knicks    
Play: New York Knicks
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The Knicks cashed for us on Wednesday as a nice free play tonight we have new reasons to like their chances. The Knicks are 9-1 straight up and ats with rest this season and have won and covered 4 of 5 vs losing teams. The Wizards are 0-14 ats as a dog if they blocked 10 or more shots at home in their last game. Washington is off their first win of the season. They edged the Blazers the other night. However they are 12-26 ats vs Atlantic Division teams and 0-4 with just 1 spread win vs winning teams. They are 0-6 straight up vs the Knicks with just one spread win the last 3 years. The 13 point spread seems excessive which is why this is not a unit rated Play. Last season though the Knicks squashed Washington here 103-65. That could happen again if the Knicks are up for it.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday November, 30

Red Dog Sports
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Georgia vs South Florida
Play: Georgia +4.5.
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This looks to be a very low scoring game withn a total set at this amount. Georgia is coached by Mark Fox and they have had their share of injuries and players leaving early in the last few years. This game is part of the SEC vs. Big East Challenge. I think we see a close game in the upper 50's. Georgia faces Georgia Tech in their next game so I hope they don't look ahead to an improved Yellow Jacket team. Take Georgia +4.5 on Friday night.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday November, 30

Bobby Conn
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Utah Jazz vs. Oklahoma City Thunder    
Play: Oklahoma City Thunder
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Big number to lay here with the Thunder but I'm OK with it. They are coming off a blowout win over the Houston Rockets on Wednesday night and teams off a cover as a double digit favorite are 689-576 (54.5%). Utah is off a big win on the road against the Hornets, but they are going to struggled to keep up here on Friday.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday November, 30

Dave Cokin
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UCLA vs Stanford
Pick: UCLA
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Stanford handled the Bruins with relative ease last week, but I can see UCLA putting up a better battle this time. The dog has a nothing to lose attitude, the Cardinal just want to win the game. Big number tilts me to the UCLA side tonight.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday November, 30

Jim Feist
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Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Pick: Milwaukee Bucks
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Minnesota comes home from a long road trip, finishing up in LA on Wednesday, a loss to the Clippers. The Timberwolves are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600 and they face a first place Milwaukee team that averages 98.4 ppg and is second in the NBA in assists. The Bucks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and when these teams meet the underdog is 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Play the Bucks!

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday November, 30

JR O'Donnell
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Atlanta -9
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Hawks are in a super spot to play on tonight . We will fading these 3-12 Cleveland Cavs tonight as the J Oster has the ball game capped and power rated @ - 13 ... #'s punch in a nice clip  as the Atlanta Hawks on a nice "Favorite" is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings & these puncless  Cavaliers are 1-8 ATS in the last 9 meetings. The Oster has a strong edges here on the Defensive end.. We Cap the D first in all these ball games .... This baby gets UGLY @ the Phillips Arena in Atlanta .

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday November, 30

Ray Monohan
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Oregon State vs. Kansas
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For a very good team the Jayhawks have been an awful bet this season going just 2-4 ATS thus far including 0-3 ATS. Still I like them to beat up on the visiting Beavers Friday night. They have one of the best true centers in the college game in Jeff Withey and since losing to Michigan State by 3 have beaten all their opponents by double digits - just not slaughtered them. That I what is anticipated for tonight against an Oregon State team not expected to challenge in the PAC 12. Kansas should wear them out and eventually win by 15.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday November, 30

Jimmy Boyd
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Cleveland Cavaliers +9
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The Hawks are being overvalued at home. They are 5-2 at home this season but only 1-6 ATS in those games as they have an average winning margin of only 2.0 points in these seven contests. Dating back to last season, they are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games.
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The Cavs are 1-9 on the road this season but 6-4 ATS in those games as they have an average losing margin of just 5.0 points in these contests.
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The Hawks are even 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games versus a team that has a losing road record and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games versus a team that has a road winning percentage of less than .400.
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The road team is 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Take the Cavs and the points.

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Montana at San Francisco
Play: San Francisco
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Despite returning only one starter from last year, I think San Francisco is sitting on a really good season. UCLA transfer De'End Parker has already made a huge impact (20.3 ppg) and Cody Doolin provides experience at the point guard position. They also have Cole Dickerson on the front line who is averaging 13 rebounds per game. The Dons have improved each of Rex Walters' four seasons and should be considered a sleeper in the WCC with a nice mix of veterans and talented underclassmen. Montana meanwhile continues to be without the services of their best player, Will Cherry. The Grizzlies have fared well thus far without him but find themselves in a difficult spot with the second of back-to-back road games; the first of which a 15-point loss at BYU on Wednesday. Last season, San Francisco went to Montana and won by three – the Grizzlies have a super-strong home court and would go on to win 25 games. This year's Dons squad could be even better while Montana, away from its home floor and without Cherry, simply isn’t as strong. The money has come in on the favorite and I agree with the move.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday November, 30

DAVID BANKS

Kent State +7

It is not often that you put automatic BCS berth and MAC Championship Game in the same sentence, but that is what could be at stake Friday when the Northern Illinois Huskies (11-1) take on the Kent State Golden Flashes (11-1) at Ford Field in Detroit at 7:00 ET on ESPN2. You see, one of the BCS rules says that if a champion from a non-qualifying conference, in this case the MAC, finishes in the top 16 on the final BCS Standings and ahead of the champion from a qualifying conference, then the team from the non-qualifying conference gets an automatic BCS bowl bid. That is significant here with the Big East currently not having a team in the top 25.

Back to matters on the field, both of these teams went undefeated inside the MAC and both are on long winning streaks. Northern Illinois has won 11 straight games and is one point from being undefeated, losing only 18-17 vs. Iowa opening week. The Huskies have in fact won 16 straight games inside the MAC and are the defending conference champions, beating Ohio 23-20 after trailing 20-0 in this game last season. NIU ranks 16th in the country this year in total offense with 482.6 yards per game and the Huskies have good balance, ranking ninth in rushing with 245.0 yards per game while adding 237.6 passing yards. Besides that balance though, the ultimate deciding factor in this game could be the Huskies' defense. That unit ranks a commendable 37th nationally, and perhaps most importantly, is allowing only 3.4 yards per rushing attempt.

Kent comes in riding a 10-game winning streak, losing only in a blowout to Kentucky in a bit of a head scratcher 47-14 back in Week 2. The Golden Flashes are averaging 402.2 total yards per contest, but they are much more one-dimensional than the Huskies are. Kent is right behind NIU in rushing offense at in 11th with 241.5 yards per game, but the Flashes are only averaging 160.7 passing yards on an ordinary 6.7 yards per pass attempt, which is why the fine Northern Illinois rushing defense is so significant. If the Huskies win that scrimmage battle and force Kent to pass, the Golden Flashes probably will not come close to their 34.4-point scoring average. Also, Kent is much weaker in on the defensive side of the ball, allowing 409.9 yards per game and 5.7 yards per play overall, a full yard higher than Northern Illinois's defensive average of 4.5 yards per snap. To make matters more difficult, Kent must deal with one of the biggest dual threats in the country in Huskies' quarterback Jordan Lynch, who has 10 straight 100-yard rushing games, over 1600 rushing yards and 16 rushing touchdowns to go along with 2750 passing yards and 23 touchdown passes against just four interceptions.

Northern Illinois is 5-0 ATS in the last five head-to-head meetings, although the teams did not meet this year, allowing both to go undefeated in conference play. The Huskies are also 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 MAC games.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday November, 30

SPORTS WAGERS
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Northern Illinois -7 -110 over Kent State
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This MAC Championship Game will be played in Detroit at Ford Field and while spotting 7 points may seem like a lot, the total is 57 and that means there is likely to be some scoring. Pencil in the Huskies as the team to score the bulk of those points. The Flashes' offense runs through all-purpose star Dri Archer. He’s the nation's leading kick returner, he’s second in yards per rushing attempt and is second among running backs in yards per reception. In short, Archer is your proverbial home run hitter but he has a bum ankle and he’ll face Northern Illinois’ staunch defense.
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The Huskies are a strong club, dominating teams on the strength of the MAC's best defense and an offense that, unlike Kent's rush-only attack , can run or throw with Heisman candidate Jordan Lynch under center. Lynch ranked behind only Johnny Manziel and Nick Florence in total offense. He is a 1,600-yard rusher with a 64 percent completion rate and has thrown 23 touchdowns to only four interceptions. NIU is the total package and will take their second straight MAC title because of its ability to neutralize Archer and the gaping disparity between Lynch and his weapons vs. Kent's one-dimensional game.
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UCLA +8½ -105 over STANFORD
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It was just last week when Stanford beat these same Bruins in Pasadena by 18 points. The Cardinal were a 2½ point choice and now they’re spotting six more here. So what's different this time around that makes taking the Bruins the more appealing choice? This time, UCLA can be expected to play a cleaner game. UCLA was flagged for 12 penalties totaling 135 yards. Its receivers dropped pass after pass. Stanford fumbled four times and recovered three of them while UCLA fumbled once and lost it. The Bruins only interception was overturned by a flag and Stanford landed a cheap score on special teams. Stanford backers shouldn’t plan on everything going the Cardinal way again.
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Perhaps most importantly is that this time it's a high-stakes game for both sides, whereas last week presented a must-win situation for Stanford but a game that UCLA was arguably better off losing. Expect this one to flow differently. While the Cardinal may still come out on top, Stanford will have to go to the wire to do so.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday November, 30

Matt FargoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Brooklyn Nets vs. Orlando Magic
Play: Orlando Magic 
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The Nets have won four straight games including consecutive big divisional games against the Knicks and Celtics. They were fortunate in the last game Rajon Rondo was ejected as he played only 17 minutes and Boston was unable to get anything going to try and get back in the game. The Celtics managed only 11 assists and had 15 turnovers after his exit. Brooklyn is now favored on the road for the first time in its last four games on the highway and this is a very tough spot. Besides coming off those two wins, the Nets have a game at Miami tomorrow so this is definitely a classic sandwich spot for them. Orlando meanwhile is coming off consecutive home losses against the Celtics and Spurs, the latter coming by 21 points so that makes this a good bounceback situation. The Magic are 4-4 at home so they have played much better there than they have on the road where they are just 1-5 on the season. We are catching excellent value as these teams met in Brooklyn with the Nets being favored by eight points and now they are favored by four points on the road and that makes this a very inflated line based on the venue change. Orlando has thrived in this spot in the past as it is 7-0-1 ATS in its last eight games following a double-digit home loss. The points are being taken but an outright win is not out of the question.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday November, 30

Sean HiggsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Phoenix Suns vs. Toronto Raptors
Play: Toronto Raptors     
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Yes I will play on this lowly Raptors team with just 3 wins. I'm hitting 60% in the NBA and sometimes you have to bet ugly to get the money. Suns in the middle of a 6 game road trip and this is their 3rd game in 4 nights. Raptors have some guys who can score, and should be able to exploit a poor Suns defense.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday November, 30

Tony George
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Kent State +7.5
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Northern Illinois is a machine on offense, with a great QB in Lynch.  Kent State is also a solid team who did a hell of a job shutting down the potent Ohio U ground game last week.  Interesting that Kent State is 11-1 after being out-yarded in 9 of those games!  Why?  Because they create turnovers and have great special teams, and in BIG GAMES that is a huge plus for any team.  Northern Illinois has beaten the Flashes the last 5 times they have played dating back to 2002 so Kent wants to exact from revenge.  UNI returns to this championship game for the third year in a row, Kent State a newcomer to the title game, will no doubt be able to trade points and I expect field position to be crucial and the fact that Kent State's offense eats more clock than UNI, is a factor.
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The Flashes defense leads the nation in interceptions as well, and they are an opportunistic bunch in the secondary.  Tighter than you think from my perspective in this game, I will grab the points.  If Kent State wins, they are projected at 16th in the BCS rankings to go to a BCS bowl folks, have no doubt they know that!  Both teams also are excellent cover teams.  The MAC is always a wild one, but I see a shootout here and the Flashes can hang.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday November, 30

Jack Jones
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Charlotte Bobcats +3.5
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The Charlotte Bobcats are certainly undervalued in the early going of the 2012-13 NBA season. Nobodoy expected this team to be 7-7 at this point, but the fact of the matter is that this is an improved roster with a head coach that is finally getting the most out of his players.
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The additions of Ramon Sessions (16.5 PPG, 4.3 APG), Ben Gordon (13.5 PPG, 42.9 % 3-Pointers), Michael Kidd-Golchrist (11.0 PPG, 6.4 RPG) and Jeffery Taylor (7.5 PPG) have made a huge difference for this team. Returning starters Kemba Walker (16.5 PPG, 5.6 APG) and Byron Mullens (13.1 PPG, 8.4 RPG) have taken their games up a notch as well.
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Charlotte is 5-3 at home this season. It is allowing just 96.1 points per game on its home court, which is significantly better than their road mark of 105.7. They have already won more home games this season than they did all of last year (4-29).
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The 76ers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Philly is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss. Bet the Bobcats Friday.

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