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NFL Betting News and Notes Weeek 12
NFL Betting News and Notes Weeek 12
NFL Week 12 Opening Point Spreads
By: The Linemakers
A look at NFL Week 12 opening point spreads and early line movement. Odds are from the LVH SuperBook.
Texans (-3) at Lions
Houston, after surviving a scare as two touchdown-plus home favorite against the lowly Jaguars, travels to Detroit for the traditional Thanksgiving Day appetizer. The Lions lost and failed to cover as a 3-point home dog vs. the Packers.
Redskins at Cowboys (-4.5)
Dallas won in overtime, 23-20, but didn’t get the cash as a 7-point favorite at home vs. the Browns. The Cowboys, who have yet to cover at home this season, will again be laying points in Dallas, when they host Washington Thursday afternoon. The Skins got an easy home win, 31-6, over the floundering Eagles. Washington took the early action, and the line was moved to Dallas -4 Sunday night and then to -3.5 Monday morning.
Patriots (-7) at Jets
New England put 59 on the Colts on Sunday. The Jets went into St. Louis and beat the Rams handily, 27-13. New York gave the Pats all they could handle in New England about a month ago, losing in OT, 29-26, but getting the easy cover as an 11-point dog. Early money on the Thanksgiving night affair went on New York, and the line was adjusted to -6.5, but the game was taken off the board after news that Pats tight end Rob Gronkowski is out 4-6 weeks with a broken forearm. It was reposted at -6.5 Monday morning, and the Jets took more money, pushing the line down to -6.
Titans (-3) at Jaguars
Jacksonville money moved this line to Tennessee -3 (even). The Jags are 5-0 ATS on the road this season; they are 0-5 ATS at home.
Vikings at Bears (NL)
The uncertain status of Jay Cutler, who won’t play Monday night vs. the 49ers, will keep this one off the board for now.
Raiders at Bengals (-7)
Cincinnati,which cruised to a 28-6 win in Kansas City, took the early action here, being bet up to -7.5 shortly after the opening number was posted. Oakland was beaten badly—again—38-17, this time at home to the Saints.
Steelers at Browns (no line)
Cleveland got the money as touchdown dog in its overtime loss in Dallas. Pittsburgh, sans Ben Roethlisberger, pushed as a 3-point home dog vs. the Ravens Sunday night.
Bills at Colts (-3)
Indy was embarrassed in New England. Buffalo won and covered as a 2.5-point favorite at home Thursday against the Dolphins. The Colts are a stout 4-1 SU and ATS at home this season.
Broncos (-10) at Chiefs
Denver backers were victimized by a Chargers backdoor cover on Sunday. The Broncos won, 30-23, as an 8-point favorite. The Chiefs fell to 1-9 with their loss to the Bengals.
Falcons (pick ’em) at Bucs
This one opened as a pick ’em, Atlanta took the immediate action and were the 1-point favorite, but then Tampa Bay money pushed it back to a pick. Both teams got come back victories on Sunday—the Falcons, 23-19, at home against the Cardinals; the Bucs, 27-21, in Carolina. Tampa Bay is a bankroll-swelling 8-2 ATS on the season
Seahawks (-2.5) at Dolphins
Miami lost, 19-14, as a 2.5-point dog in Buffalo on Thursday. Seattle was off. The Seahawks are 7-3 ATS this season, but just 2-3 ATS on the road. They’re 0-2 as a road favorite, the role they’ll be in again next week.
Ravens (-2.5) at Chargers
San Diego was fortunate to cover with a late touchdown in Denver. Baltimore won but pushed in Pittsburgh, facing a Big Ben-less Steelers club.
49ers at Saints (pick ’em)
New Orleans rolled over the Raiders in Oakland and has now won five of its last six. The Saints have also covered six of their last seven. The 49ers are about 5-point favorites at home on Monday vs. the Bears, as both teams will be without their starting quarterbacks.
Rams at Cardinals (-1.5)
Early Arizona action pushed this game to -2 Sunday night, and Arizona took even more money Monday morning, with the line being moved to 2.5. The Cardinals were tough in Atlanta on Sunday, getting the cash as a 10-point dog in a 23-19 loss. St. Louis disappointed as a 3.5-point home favorite against the wildly inconsistent Jets.
Packers at Giants (-2.5)
Green Bay won and got a late cover as a 3-point favorite in Detroit. The Giants had a much-needed bye week. This is the rematch of last season’s NFC Divisional playoff, when New York won outright, 37-20, as an 8-point underdog.
Panthers at Eagles (-2.5)
Next Monday night’s offering features two of this season's biggest disappointments. Philly fell to 3-7 after losing big in Washington. Carolina is 2-8 after blowing an 11-point fourth-quarter lead at home to the Bucs. The Eagles are a soul-crushing 1-8-1 ATS. The Panthers have gotten the cash four times, at least.
Re: NFL Betting News and Notes Weeek 12
Week 12 NFL
Raiders (4-6) @ Bengals (5-5) — Carson Palmer was going to retire rather than play for Bengals; they finally traded him to Oakland, where he’s thrown five pick-6’s in little over a year; Raiders hadn’t thrown any from 2006-10. Oakland defense has fallen apart, giving up 45 ppg in last three games (16 TDs on last 36 drives); they’ve turned ball over 7 times in those games (-6), leading to two opponent TDs and field position deficits of 12-8-10 yards. Raiders are 1-4 on road, 2-2 as road dogs, losing away games by 22-31-3-35 points, with only win at lowly Chiefs. In opponents’ last 10 red zone drives, they’ve allowed eight TDs and a FG. Resurgent Bengals allowed only one TD (23 drives) in winning last two games; they’re 2-3 at home, 1-1 as home favorites, winning by 7-18 points. AFC North non-divisional favorites are 4-9 vs spread, 3-5 at home; AFC West underdogs are 5-11, 3-7 at home. Last five Oakland games went over total; five of last seven Bengal games stayed under.
Steelers (6-4) @ Browns (2-8) — 37-year old #3 QB Batch gets nod for Pitt here; they’re working out backups (former Patriot Hoyer/former Eagle Kafka) as I type this; Steelers have dominated series lately, but they’ve scored only two TDs on 24 drives in last two games, averaging 4.7/4.2 ypa. Last time Pitt had positive turnover ratio was Week 4, but they’re defending well, allowing 6 or less 2nd half points in each of last five games. Browns got hosed last week at Dallas, getting flagged 12 times for 129 yards, giving Pokes 10 first downs, just on penalties; key call on OT fumble also went Dallas’ way. Cleveland is 2-3 at home, 3-2 as home dogs; since ’07, they’re 14-13 as home dogs. Steelers are 2-3 on road, 1-2 as road favorites; since ’06, they’re 13-21 as road faves, 7-14 in division games. Home sides are 3-2 vs spread in AFC North games. Last five Pittsburgh games, last five Brown games stayed under total.
Bills (4-6) @ Colts (6-4) — Indy was snapped back to reality by 59-24 beating at Foxboro last week, when Patriots scored three TDs on defense/STs; loss snapped 4-game win streak that has Colts as playoff contender- they’re 4-1 at home, but wins are by 3-4-3-3 points, so they’re winning by fine margin (one win in regulation by more than 4 points). Buffalo had extra time to rest/prep after Thursday night win over Miami, just their second in last seven games; Bills are 2-3 as road underdogs this year (4-8-1 in last 13), losing away games this year by 20-42-12-6 points, with wins at Browns/Cardinals. Colts are letting Luck be more aggressive on first down; seven of their last nine plays that gained 20+ yards came on first down (20 of previous 40 had come on 1st down). AFC South non-divisional favorites are 5-2 vs spread, 4-1 at home; AFC East underdogs are 7-5, 2-1 on road. Under is 3-1-1 in last five Indy games.
Broncos (7-3) @ Chiefs (1-9) — Bad teams have very little home field edge, especially late in season; lot of no-shows at their games. Hard to muster any enthusiasm at all for woeful KC, which benched QB Cassel for Notre Dame alum Quinn last week; Chiefs lost last seven games, with four of last five by 10+ points- they’re 0-5 at home this year, 1-3 as home underdogs (were 6-0 as home dogs in ’10-’11), losing by 16-17-3-10-22 points at Arrowhead. Denver won its last five games, scoring 30+ points in all five; they won last three road games by 11-8-22 points, but lost of RB McGahee (knee/leg) sets them back some. Chiefs have only 12 takeaways in 10 games, with -19 turnover ratio, as brooms ready to sweep front office, coaches out of power after season. Bronco defense is making Manning’s life easier; Broncos’ last six TDs were on drives of less than 60 yards. Five of last six Denver games went over the total. NFL-wide, divisional home underdogs are 8-13 vs spread, 1-7 in AFC games.
Titans (4-6) @ Jaguars (1-9) — Not often teams lose when they have +2 turnover ratio, but Jax has it done it twice this year, losing both times in OT, at Oakland/Houston. Jaguars are 5-0 vs spread on road, 0-5 at home, with all five home losses by 17+ points (average home score, 31-9); they’re better off right now with more veteran Henne at QB- he passed for 372 yards in last week’s OT loss in Houston, averaging 10.1 ypa. Tennessee’s 80+ year old owner Adams read team/coaches riot act after 51-20 home loss in Week 9; team responded with pre-bye 37-3 win at contending Miami; Titans won last two road games, scoring 35-37 points, after losing first three by average score of 35-10. Tennessee is 0-1 as favorite this year; since ’09, they’re 2-4 as road favorites. Home teams are 1-5 vs spread in AFC South games; home underdogs are 0-2. Over is 5-3 in last eight Tennessee games, 4-2 in last six Jaguar games.
Vikings (6-4) @ Bears (7-3) — In six-game winning streak from Weeks 3-9, Chicago scored 8 TDs on defense/special teams, masking a struggling offense; now that Cutler is hurt, offense has been exposed, scoring one TD on 23 drives in losing last two games- backup QB Campbell was beaten like a piñata at Candlestick Monday, sacked six times. After being +16 in turnovers first half of season, they’ve been -2 in each of last two games- teams that are -2 or worse in turnovers are 11-60 SU this year. Vikings lost their last two post-bye games 29-10/45-7; they’re 1-3 on road this year, with only win 20-13 at Detroit, when they didn’t score offensive TD but had two on special teams. Short week for Bears, who haven’t been same team since bye week (4-1 vs spread before bye, 1-4 after). Home teams are 2-4 vs spread in NFC North games this season. Four of last five Viking games, four of last six Chicago games went over the total.
Falcons (9-1) @ Buccaneers (6-4) — Red-hot Tampa Bay (won/covered last four games) finding ways to win; they were down 10 with 5:00 left at Charlotte last week, won in OT- they had TDs on defense/special teams week before vs Chargers. Bucs make opponent earn their points; 14 of last 16 TDs they allowed were on drives of 72+ yards, and other two were 64-65 yards- they haven’t beaten themselves, which is what Falcon s tried to do last week, turning ball over six times but somehow surviving at home vs Arizona. Falcons have run ball only 42 times for 104 yards in last two games, after averaging 98.5 yards on ground in first eight games. Six of last seven Tampa Bay games went over the total. Underdogs are 4-2 vs spread in NFC South games this season. Last week, Ryan was first NFL QB since 1967 to throw five INTs, no TDs in a win; good news is that Bart Starr was that QB, and Packers won SB that year. Good news for Atlanta; they’re 4-0 outdoors, with average score, 30-15.
Seahawks (6-4) @ Dolphins (4-6) — Couple of rookie QBs figure to combine for low scoring game, right? In Miami’s last two games, they have zero plays of 20+ yards, after having 32 in first eight games; league-wide, teams average 4+ explosive plays/game. Dolphins had three extra days to prep after tough loss at Miami (didn’t allow offensive TD); they’re 2-2 at home, scoring 17-3 points in last two home tilts. Long road trip for Seattle; they’re 1-4 on road (0-2 as favorite), with only win 16-12 at Carolina- last time they covered as road favorite was 2008 at St Louis. Over last 21 years, Seattle is 5-17 vs spread (4-5 as favorite) in its post-bye games, though they covered last two (lost 6-3, +3.5 LY). Since ’07, Miami is 7-13 as home underdog, 1-1 this year. NFC West non-divisional favorites are 6-5 vs spread, 1-1 on road; AFC East underdogs are 7-6, 2-1 at home. Under is 4-1 in Seattle’s road games, 5-0-1 last six Dolphin games.
Ravens (8-2) @ Chargers (4-6) — Sandwich game for Baltimore, which barely escaped Pittsburgh with 13-10 win Sunday night even though Leftwich played end of game with broken ribs; they play Steelers at home next week. Ravens won last three games but covered only twice in last eight; they’re 3-2 at home, 1-2 as road favorites- they’re 4-6 vs spread in last 10 games as road favorite, and scored 13 or less points in three of last four away games. Norv Turner regime is on life support after last week’s loss at Denver, though string of winnable games in December keeps Wild Card in sight; Chargers lost five of last six games- they’re 2-2 at home, beating Titans/Chiefs. Bolts are 4-6 despite being favored in 7 of 10 games; since 2004, they’re 5-2 as home underdogs. AFC West non-divisional underdogs are 5-11 vs spread, 2-4 at home; AFC North favorites are 4-9, 1-4 on road. Six of last seven San Diego games went over total.
49ers (7-2-1) @ Saints (5-5) — Short week plus travel for SF, but Niners pummeled Chicago Monday night, holding Bears to 143 yards after Rams put 458 up on them week before; 49ers are 3-1 on road, winning by 8-34-21 points, with only loss in Minnesota’s dome (1-4 vs spread in last five dome games). SF is 2-1 as road favorite this year. Brees has Saints on 5-1 roll after 0-4 start; now they get chance to avenge loss to 49ers in LY’s playoffs, with Kaepernick making first NFL road start. Saints won three in row, five of last six games; they’ve covered seven of last eight, winning last three home games while scoring 31-28-31 points. 49ers don’t beat themselves; they haven’t turned ball over in last three games, but defense isn’t forcing turnovers like they did LY (+28 LY, +4 this year). NFC West non-divisional favorites are 6-5 as favorites, 5-4 on road. NFC South underdogs are 9-3 vs spread, 0-2 at home. Six of last nine 49er games stayed under total; seven of ten Saint games went over.
Rams (3-6-1) @ Cardinals (4-6) — Only games Rams won came vs two rookie QB’s (Seattle/Washington) and a lame QB (Arizona); they sacked Kolb nine times in 17-3 (+2) win back in Week 5, but they haven’t won (0-4-1) since, in large part because they haven’t forced one single turnover in last five games (-8) after forcing nine (+2) in first five games. Teams with inferior talent cannot win with negative turnover ratios. Cardinals lost last six games after 4-0 start; they somehow lost in Atlanta last week despite a +5 turnover ratio- they picked Ryan off five times, started five of 15 drives in Falcon territory and still scored only 19 points. Rams are one of two NFL teams (Browns) without road win; they’re 3-2 as road underdogs. Arizona is 3-2 at home, scoring 16-3 points in losing last two (one TD on last 23 home drives). Underdogs are 4-1-1 vs spread in NFC West divisional games. Last four St Louis games went over; five of last six Cardinal games stayed under.
Packers (7-3) @ Giants (6-4) — Giants are 4-0 when game goes over total, 2-4 when it stays under. Last two Super Bowl winners meet; odd thing, they were both #6 seed in NFC when they became champs. Green Bay won last five games this year, forcing 14 turnovers (+8) after being -1 (5 turnovers) in first five games; Pack has chance to avenge home playoff loss to Big Blue LY- they’re 3-2 on road, but all three wins came in domes- they lost their only outdoor road game, 14-12 at Seattle on a Monday night with bogus last play with replacement refs. Giants scored 34.8 ppg in winning last four post-bye games; they’re 3-1 at home, 1-3 as home favorites, with wins by 7-14-4 points and loss to Steelers. NFC North non-divisional underdogs are 2-4 vs spread, 1-4 on road; NFC East favorites are 3-13 vs spread, 2-8 at home. Five of last seven Green Bay games, three of four Giant home games went over total.
Panthers (2-8) @ Eagles (3-7) — Not much to choose from here, with both head coaches possible lame ducks, but you have underdog with big edge under center (Newton over Foles). Carolina lost seven of last eight games, blowing 10-point lead with 5:00 left at home last week; they’re 3-0 as road underdogs this year, losing away games by 6-1-2 points, with only win in last road game, 21-13 at Washington. Visitor covered Carolina’s last eight games. Eagles lost last six games, giving up 31.8 ppg in losing all four games since bye, when they fired their DC. Shanahan had been 3-21-1 as home favorite before his Skins walloped Philly 31-6 last week, that’s how far Eagles have fallen, in what are obviously Reid’s last weeks running club. NFC South underdogs are 9-3 vs spread, 9-1 on road; NFC East favorites are 3-13 vs spread, 2-8 at home. Four of five Eagle home games went over the total. National TV audience should extract better effort than these teams have been producing lately.
Re: NFL Betting News and Notes Weeek 12
Vegas Money Moves - Week 12
By Micah Roberts
Eleven of the 13 games this weekend have favorites of four point or less, which shapes up as a similar scenario from Week 9 when the Las Vegas sports books experienced their single worst day in history with losses close to $10 million throughout the state.
On that dreadful week -- or awesome week, depending on what side of the counter you‘re on, there were two big favorites with all the other games hovering at five points or less. The big favorites – Green Bay and Houston -- got there along with all the other key favorites, and a few of the underdogs the public sided with also got there.
This week, the two big favorites are the Bengals, eight-point home favorites against the Raiders, and the Broncos laying 10-points on the road at Kansas City. Both sides figure to be prominently featured on bettors parlays which will make them target No. 1 for the sports book to root against.
Good luck guys!
The Raiders have become one of the more dreadful teams in football of late allowing 135 points combined during their current three-game losing streak. The last team Oakland beat was the Chiefs, the other team the books have to root for Sunday.
The Chiefs haven’t won a game since Week 3 at New Orleans, their only win of the season, which also came in overtime (27-24). They have covered only one game in their past five and face a Broncos squad that just set a team record of 30 points or more scored in five consecutive games.
The Broncos line hasn’t moved much due to now sharp action showing their hand on a side yet, but the parlay ratio is off the charts at a 5/1 ticket count ratio.
The Bengals opened as 7-point favorites and have been bet up -8.
If those two teams cover on Sunday it’s going to be a pretty good day for the bettors overall.
Here’s a look at some of the other movements during the week:
The Steelers will be led by Charlie Batch at Cleveland. They opened as one-point favorites and have been bet up to -1.5. Even though Batch seems like he’s 50 years old, he’s always been able to step in and do good job in relief, except when facing the Ravens (0-2). He’s 5-0 in all other starts at quarterback for the Steelers.
The Colts opened as three-point home favorites against the Bills and some Bills money has come in dropping the Colts to -3 (EVEN), even though the public is pretty one-sided with small money on the Colts.
-The Titans opened as three-point road favorites against the Jaguars and have been bet up to -4. The Jags have lost their past seven games, but they have covered three of their past five.
The Bears-Vikings game has been off the board all week because of the uncertain status of Jay Cutler. Unlike the Steelers who seem to always get along without their star quarterback, the Bears seem to collapse without theirs. And the funny thing is that Cutler isn’t even in the same class as Big Ben.
The Buccaneers get a chance to show just how good they are this week after beating some pretty shabby teams. Despite the level of talent teams like the Panthers, Chargers, Raiders, Vikings and Chiefs have, the Bucs have done almost what they wanted offensively against them. The Falcons opened pick ’em and have been bet up to one-point road favorites.
The Seahawks opened as 2 1/2-point favorites at Miami and have been bet up to -3 as if they were playing at home. Not only is flying from Seattle to Miami the longest trip to make among NFL cities, but they’ll also have to play in an early Sunday start. The Seahawks are 1-4 on the road this season.
The Ravens opened as 2 1/2-point favorites at San Diego, but Chargers money has dropped the number to -1. Seems like a tough spot against a Chargers team that is anything but tough.
The Saints opened as a pick ’em for their home game against the 49ers in a clash from the old NFC West, but 49ers money has come in pushing them to one-point favorites.
The Cardinals haven’t won a game since the Rams gave them their first loss after starting 4-0. The Rams not only knocked off the win streak, they also knocked out quarterback Kevin Kolb, who has yet to return. The Cards opened -1.5 and Rams money has dropped it to -1.
The Giants opened as 2 1/2-point home favorites and have been bet up to -3 against the Packers, despite all the public small money siding with the Packers. The Packers were seven-point favorites at the Giants last season in Week 13 in a 38-35 win. That loss was the fourth in a row for the Giants, a very similar situation this time around with the Giants being winless in November. The Packers have won the past three regular season meetings, but the Giants have won the last two when they really counted -- during the playoffs.
Re: NFL Betting News and Notes Weeek 12
NFL Poolies Betting Cheat Sheet: Week 12
Check out our NFL poolies' cheat sheet for all your football wagering needs in condensed form. Quick-hitting betting notes on all of Week 12's action.
Oakland at Cincinnati (-9.5, 49.5)
The Bengals have outscored their last two opponents by a combined 40 points while posting back-to-back victories. That’s bad news for the Oakland Raiders, who have allowed an average of 45.0 points in dropping three straight games. Raiders RB Darren McFadden (ankle) is running at practice and is questionable. Backup RB Mike Goodson (ankle) is further away from returning. Oakland is 1-5 ATS in its last six games overall.
Pittsburgh at Cleveland (1, 34)
The Pittsburgh Steelers' QB carousel will take another turn on Sunday when veteran Charlie Batch makes the start versus the host Cleveland Browns. The 37-year-old Batch will look to improve upon the performance of fellow veteran Byron Leftwich, who scored a rushing touchdown - and promptly broke a rib - in a 13-10 loss to Baltimore last Sunday. Batch will need to be on alert against a tenacious Browns defense, which recorded a season-high seven sacks of Tony Romo last week. Pittsburgh has won four in a row and 21 of 23 versus Cleveland.
Buffalo at Indianapolis (-3, 50.5)
Buffalo is one of five AFC teams entering the weekend at 4-6, two games behind the wild card leaders and clinging to some hope that it can make up the ground over the last six weeks. The Bills expect to have RB Fred Jackson back from a concussion on Sunday but may still start C.J. Spiller, who piled up 130 yards from scrimmage in a 19-14 win over the Dolphins last week. Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts had their winning streak come to an end in embarrassing fashion at New England last Sunday. Luck had some rookie stumbles against New England, throwing three interceptions - two of which were returned for touchdowns. The Colts are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a loss.
Tennessee at Jacksonville (3.5, 44.5)
Chad Henne nearly led the Jaguars to the season’s biggest upset last week when Jacksonville fell at Houston. More than a two-touchdown underdog, the Jags led the powerhouse Texans by 14 with 12 minutes to play but they fell apart down the stretch dropping a 43-37 decision. The Titans had a week off after dismantling Miami 37-3 in their most complete performance of the season. Tennessee has quietly won three of its last five games despite ranking 31st in scoring defense (31.1). Jacksonville has failed to cover in its last five home games.
Denver at Kansas City (10, 44)
Denver will need to rely more on Peyton Manning as RB Willis McGahee landed on injured reserve after suffering a torn MCL in his right knee during last week's 30-23 triumph over San Diego. The Broncos, who own a three-game lead over the Chargers in the division, haven't lost since dropping a 31-21 decision at New England on Oct. 7. Kansas City has averaged 12 points per game during its seven-game losing skid and has scored more than 20 only twice this season. Former Bronco Brady Quinn is likely to get the start at QB over Matt Cassel. The underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings.
Minnesota at Chicago (-6.5)
Jay Cutler (concussion) is hoping to return Sunday when Chicago hosts the Minnesota Vikings in a pivotal NFC North matchup. The Vikings have their own injury issues, with WR Percy Harvin a question mark as he struggles with an ankle injury. Minnesota is coming off a Week 11 bye after handling the Detroit Lions 34-24 a week earlier behind 171 rushing yards from Adrian Peterson. The Vikings are 0-5 ATS in their last five meetings.
Atlanta at Tampa Bay (1, 50)
The Falcons avoided a second straight loss last Sunday as they overcame an early 13-0 deficit and five interceptions by Matt Ryan to record a 23-19 triumph over Arizona. The Falcons have struggled against the run, ranking 30th in the league with an average of 5.0 yards allowed per carry. Tampa Bay also made a comeback last weekend, rallying from a 21-10 deficit for a 27-21 road victory over Carolina in overtime. Bucs RB Doug Martin has totaled 592 yards of offense and has amassed five touchdowns over the past four games. Tampa Bay has played over the total in its last seven games overall.
Seattle at Miami (2.5, 37.5)
The Dolphins are swimming in the wrong direction. Rookie QB Ryan Tannehill has been erratic, throwing five interceptions in the last two games. Reggie Bush has rushed for just 41 yards in that same span, but will face his former Southern California coach in Pete Carroll on Sunday. Seattle’s opportunistic defense is yielding just 196.2 passing yards per contest, good enough for third-best in the league. The Seahawks will be well rested coming off their bye week and are looking for a third straight win. Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last six overall.
Baltimore at San Diego (-1, 47)
Ravens defensive star Ed Reed was initially suspended for one game following his third helmet-to-helmet hit on a defenseless player, but the eight-time Pro Bowl safety won his appeal and will instead be fined $50,000 and be eligible to play Sunday. The Chargers have dropped five of their last six games. Quarterback Philip Rivers has tossed a league-high 14 interceptions and hasn’t received much support from the running game this season. Running back Ryan Mathews averaged just 3.1 yards on 15 carries in last week’s loss to Denver. The Chargers have played over the total in six of their last seven overall.
San Francisco at New Orleans (PICK, 48.5)
Colin Kaepernick is expected to be under center Sunday when the 49ers look to extend their winning streak to five games against visiting New Orleans. Drew Brees leads a Saints team that has reeled off three straight victories and is 5-1 since opening the year with four straight losses. But he'll be in tough against a San Francisco defense allowing the second-fewest passing yards in the league. Saints RB Darren Sproles (hand) has been participating in practice and is expected to return after missing the last three weeks of action. New Orleans is 6-1 ATS in its last seven overall.
St. Louis at Arizona (-1, 37)
The Cardinals will be looking to snap a six-game slide when they host the St. Louis Rams. The Rams were done in by three turnovers in a 27-13 loss to the Jets last week and have given the ball away eight times while going winless in their last five. Cardinals coach Ken Whisenhunt has yet to name a starter at QB for this week but will likely stick with Ryan Lindley after yanking John Skelton in the second quarter against the Falcons last week. These teams have played under the total eight times in their last nine meetings.
Green Bay at New York Giants (-2.5, 50.5)
After a bit of a slow start, Aaron Rodgers has heated up as the Packers have won five straight and six of seven. He leads the NFL with a 107.3 QB rating and has 27 touchdown passes against six interceptions. The Packers haven't been able to mount much of a run game, but they're more likely to attack the Giants through the air, as New York ranks 25th against the pass and surrendered 415 passing yards against Dallas in Week 8. Green Bay's defense will be shorthanded with CB Charles Woodson out with a broken collarbone and LB Clay Matthews (hamstring) listed as questionable. The Giants are coming off a bye week and have lost two straight and may be without RB Ahmad Bradshaw (foot). These teams have played over the total in their last five meetings.
Carolina at Philadelphia (1, 41)
The Philadelphia Eagles will look to snap their six-game losing skid when they welcome the Carolina Panthers on Monday night. With the outcome of last Sunday's game against the Redskins no longer in doubt, LeSean McCoy carried the ball in the waning moments and suffered a concussion that could sideline him versus the Panthers. McCoy and QB Michael Vick have yet to practice this week and will likely watch rookies Bryce Brown and Nick Foles continue in their place. Carolina squandered an 11-point lead with five minutes remaining in regulation en route to a 27-21 overtime loss to NFC South rival Tampa Bay last Sunday. The Eagles have failed to cover in their last five games overall.
Re: NFL Betting News and Notes Weeek 12
49ers at Saints: What Bettors Need to Know
San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints (1, 49)
A one-week injury may have been all it took for Alex Smith to lose his job as the starting quarterback of the San Francisco 49ers. Colin Kaepernick is expected to be under center Sunday when the 49ers look to extend their winning streak to five games against the visiting New Orleans Saints. Smith has been demoted to second-team reps in practice by head coach Jim Harbaugh, who was left impressed by Kaepernick's performance in Monday's 32-7 drubbing of the Chicago Bears.
Kaepernick's second NFL start will pit him against one of the best quarterbacks to ever play the game. Drew Brees leads a Saints team that has reeled off three straight victories and is 5-1 since opening the year with four straight losses. As expected, Brees has been the catalyst - he torched the Oakland Raiders for three scores in a Week 11 victory and has thrown multiple touchdown passes in all but one game this season. He'll be in tough against a San Francisco defense allowing the second-fewest passing yards in the league.
LINE: 49ers -1, O/U: 49.
ABOUT THE 49ERS (7-2-1): As Smith sat recovering from a concussion, Kaepernick staked his claim to the starting role with 243 passing yards and two touchdowns against Chicago's vaunted defense. Kaepernick was given a ringing post-game endorsement by tight end Vernon Davis, who finished with six catches for 83 yards and a score. "I felt like somebody took the handcuffs off me," said Davis, who had amassed just nine catches for 101 yards in his previous four contests - all with Smith at the helm.
ABOUT THE SAINTS (5-5): While New Orleans' offense continues to roll over the opposition, the defense has made quiet strides during the team's current winning streak. The Saints kept Oakland at bay in a 38-17 victory on Sunday and has surrendered an average of 19 points over its last three games. Running back Darren Sproles has been participating in practice and is expected to return after missing the last three weeks with a broken hand. Sproles will be a popular option for Brees in what becomes a muddled backfield.
* Saints are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.
* 49ers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven November games.
* Over is 10-1 in Saints’ last 11 vs. NFC opponents.
* Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
1. Brees is 5-0 lifetime in the regular season against the 49ers, with 12 touchdowns, two interceptions and a quarterback rating of 107.2.
2. San Francisco linebacker Aldon Smith's 5 1/2 sacks against Chicago give him 29 in his first 26 NFL games, the most by any player over that time frame.
3. The 49ers lead the all-time series 45-24-2.
Re: NFL Betting News and Notes Weeek 12
Falcons at Bucs: What Bettors Need to Know
Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1, 50.5)
If the conference-leading Atlanta Falcons hope to continue their winning ways, they'll have to derail one of the hottest teams in the league when they visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in a matchup of the top two clubs in the NFC South on Sunday. After winning its first eight games of the campaign, Atlanta dropped a four-point decision at New Orleans on Nov. 11, ending its hopes of an undefeated season. The Falcons avoided a second straight loss last Sunday as they overcame an early 13-0 deficit and five interceptions by Matt Ryan to record a 23-19 triumph over Arizona.
Tampa Bay also made a comeback last weekend, rallying from a 21-10 deficit with 11 points in the final 4:03 of the fourth quarter and a touchdown pass from Josh Freeman to Dallas Clark just 4:20 into overtime for a 27-21 road victory over Carolina. It was the fourth consecutive win for the Buccaneers, who had lost four of their previous five contests. The triumph kept Tampa Bay three games behind Atlanta in the division and in the thick of things in the NFC wild-card picture.
LINE: Falcons -1, O/U: 50.5.
WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-60s with sunny skies. Winds will blow out of the NW at 6 mph.
ABOUT THE FALCONS (9-1): Atlanta became the first team to win when its quarterback throws five interceptions and no touchdowns since Green Bay accomplished the feat in 1967 with Bart Starr under center. Ryan has been superb over his last seven road games as he has thrown 19 touchdown passes and just three interceptions. The Falcons have struggled against the run, ranking 30th in the league with an average of 5.0 yards allowed per carry. Tony Gonzalez needs 12 receiving yards to become the eighth player - and first tight end - in NFL history to reach the 14,000-yard plateau.
ABOUT THE BUCCANEERS (6-4): Tampa Bay has scored a league-high 205 points over its last six games. Freeman has lost four of his last five games against Atlanta, throwing 10 interceptions and only six touchdown passes. In his last six overall contests, he is 5-1 with 16 TDs and only three picks. The Buccaneers own the league's best run defense with an average of 81.8 yards allowed. However, the team has surrendered an NFL-worst 312.6 passing yards.
* Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
* Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Over is 5-0 in Falcons’ last five vs. NFC South.
* Over is 7-0 in Buccaneers’ last seven games overall.
* Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
1. The Falcons have won six of the last seven meetings between the division rivals.
2. Tampa Bay has not won five straight games since 2002.
3. Six of Atlanta's last seven games have been decided by no more than a touchdown.
Re: NFL Betting News and Notes Weeek 12
Sunday Night Football: Packers at Giants
Green Bay Packers at New York Giants (-3, 50.5)
The past two Super Bowl champions will square off when the New York Giants and the Green Bay Packers try to protect their division title hopes Sunday night at MetLife Stadium. The Giants are coming off a bye week and have lost two straight, but they're still lead the mediocre NFC East. Green Bay might have relinquished its spot atop the NFC Central - depending on Chicago's outcome against Minnesota on Sunday afternoon - by the time the prime-time showdown arrives, but the Packers will be in good shape in the wild card race, regardless.
The Packers have won six of the past seven regular-season meetings, including a 38-35 road win last December. But the Giants spoiled Green Bay's bid for a second consecutive Super Bowl title last January, winning 37-20 in Green Bay en route to winning the title itself.
LINE: New York -3. O/U: 50.5.
WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures around the freezing mark and mostly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out of the WSW at 6 mph.
ABOUT THE PACKERS (7-3): After a bit of a slow start, quarterback Aaron Rodgers has heated up as the Packers have won five straight and six of seven. He leads the NFL with a 107.3 rating and has 27 touchdown passes against six interceptions. The Packers haven't been able to mount much of a run game, but they're more likely to attack the Giants through the air, as New York ranks 25th against the pass and surrendered 415 passing yards against Dallas in Week 8. Green Bay's defense will be shorthanded with cornerback Charles Woodson out with a broken collarbone and linebacker Clay Matthews (hamstring) listed as questionable.
ABOUT THE GIANTS (6-4): New York looked like a real threat to defend its title as recently as three weeks ago, but the flaws have been exposed in consecutive losses. The offense stalled in a 24-20 loss to Pittsburgh in Week 9, and four turnovers were their undoing in a 31-13 loss at Cincinnati in Week 10. Eli Manning has gone three games without a touchdown pass, but he has a strong record against the Packers. He has passed for at least 300 yards and three touchdowns in the past two meetings with Green Bay, including last year's playoff win.
* Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games.
* Over is 5-0 in their last five meetings.
* Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last seven meetings.
1. Manning needs two touchdowns passes to tie Phil Simms (199) for the most in franchise history.
2. The Packers are 25-0 when Rodgers starts and has a rating of 115 or higher. He has a 121.2 rating in two regular-season starts against the Giants.
3. The Giants are 10-0 when RB Ahmad Bradshaw has at least 100 rushing yards. Bradshaw (foot) is listed as questionable.
Re: NFL Betting News and Notes Weeek 12
Week 12 Tips
By Kevin Rogers
Heading down the stretch in the NFL regular season, more and more division matchups are taking shape. In Week 12, two road teams have won divisional contests already with the Redskins and Patriots picking up victories on Thanksgiving Day. On Sunday, six more games between division rivals takes place, including five early kickoffs. We'll start in Kansas City with two teams going in completely different directions.
Broncos at Chiefs
Following a 1-2 start, Denver is rolling right now by putting together an 8-1 stretch the last nine games to take firm control of the AFC West. The Broncos are laying their highest number this season at Kansas City on Sunday, battling a Chiefs' team that owns just one victory in nine tries.
Denver is a perfect 3-0 inside the division, coming off last Sunday's 30-23 triumph over San Diego to complete the season sweep of the Chargers. However, the Bolts grabbed the money with a late touchdown to cash as 7½-point underdogs, handing Denver its first ATS loss in the last five contests. The Broncos continue to pound out 'overs,' hitting the 'over' in five of the previous six games, including four straight away from Denver.
The Chiefs have been an unmitigated disaster all season, as they turn back to former Bronco Brady Quinn at quarterback this season. Kansas City couldn't capitalize off a Monday night cover at Pittsburgh two weeks ago, as Romeo Crennel's club was drilled by Cincinnati last Sunday at home, 28-6. The Chiefs have now scored 16 points or less in six consecutive games, as they look to snap a three-game ATS home skid to the Broncos dating back to 2009.
Vikings at Bears
Chicago stumbles back to Soldier Field after getting knocked around at San Francisco last Monday night, 32-7. The Bears have totaled just 13 points the last two games, but are expected to get Jay Cutler back under center after missing the 49ers game with a concussion. The task for their second divisional win on the season won't be easy against a Minnesota squad that is still hanging around in the NFC Wild Card race.
The Vikings are just one game behind the Bears and Packers inside the NFC North at 6-4 following a home underdog triumph over the Lions two weeks ago. Minnesota is fresh off the bye week, but the defense needed a break after allowing 90 points in the previous three games, all resulting in 'overs.' The Vikes have dropped four consecutive visits to the Windy City, while giving up at least 27 points in all four defeats.
Chicago's opportunistic defense isn't providing the team with points recently, creating problems on the offensive side of the ball. With Cutler expected back, the Bears will look to snap a three-game ATS skid at Soldier Field, as Chicago failed to cover against Carolina, Detroit, and Houston in the last three home contests.
Falcons at Buccaneers
Atlanta continues to roll atop the NFC South at 9-1, as the Falcons try to slow down a red-hot Tampa Bay squad. The Buccaneers were an after-thought for a playoff berth through September, but Greg Schiano's club has won four straight games to pull to 6-4. Tampa Bay can help its playoff cause with a victory over Atlanta, as the Bucs are just 1-6 the last seven meetings with the Falcons.
The lone victory in this stretch came last September at Raymond James Stadium, a 16-13 triumph as one-point favorites. Tampa Bay has been a tremendous team to back for bettors this season, cashing in eight of 10 games, while hitting the 'over' seven consecutive times. The Bucs needed to rally from a late 21-13 deficit to force overtime at Carolina last Sunday, before Josh Freeman's game-winning touchdown pass to Dallas Clark gave Tampa Bay its sixth victory, two more than last season.
The Falcons rebounded from their first defeat of the season, but it was barely convincing in a 23-19 home victory over the Cardinals last week as 9 ½-point 'chalk.' Since starting the season 3-0 ATS, Mike Smith's squad has compiled a 3-4 ATS record the last seven games. However, Atlanta is a solid 4-1 ATS when laying four points or less.
Steelers at Browns
The quarterback roulette wheel for Pittsburgh lands on Charlie Batch this Sunday, as the Steelers are running out of options following injuries to Ben Roethelisberger and Byron Leftwich. Pittsburgh dropped a crucial division contest last Sunday night to Baltimore, 13-10, while Leftwich suffered broken ribs to add injury to insult.
The Browns return home after slipping up in overtime at Dallas, 23-20, but managing a cover as seven-point road 'dogs. If there is one thing to keep an eye in regards to Cleveland this season, the Browns have not covered in consecutive games, going 0-3-1 ATS off an ATS win. The defense has played better recently, allowing 71 points in the last four contests, while hanging around in losses to the Ravens and Colts.
Pittsburgh has seen the 'under' cash in five straight games, as the offense has mustered just 26 points in the last two weeks. The Steelers own a 9-1 SU mark the previous 10 meetings with their division rivals, but the Browns are 6-4 ATS in this stretch. This is the lowest pointspread (-1½) in this matchup since Cleveland re-entered the league in 1999.
Titans at Jaguars
Jacksonville almost pulled off a massive upset last Sunday as 15-point underdogs at Houston, but fell in overtime to the Texans, 43-37. The Jags head back to their house of horrors, Everbank Stadium this week seeking their first home victory in six tries. The Titans travel to North Florida listed as a road favorite for the first time this season, as Jake Locker seeks his second career victory.
The former University of Washington standout put together his first pro win two weeks ago in a 37-3 trouncing of the Dolphins as six-point underdogs. Tennessee is seeking only its second two-game winning streak of the season, while trying to break through with its first division victory in three tries. The Titans have split the last four meetings in Jacksonville, as Mike Munchak dropped his debut last September in a 16-14 setback.
The Jags have lost all five home contests by 17 points or more, while failing to cover each time. Chad Henne makes his first start at quarterback for Jacksonville, replacing the injured Blaine Gabbert, looking to capitalize on a 354-yard, four touchdown performance at Houston. How bad has it been for Jacksonville at home? The Jags scored 37 points against the Texans last week and have totaled 44 points in five home contests this season.
Re: NFL Betting News and Notes Weeek 12
Total Talk - Week 12
By Chris David
Week 11 Recap
The ‘under’ produced an 8-6 record in Week 11 and that number should’ve been 9-5 or even 10-4. Our apologies go to bettors who had the ‘under’ in the Carolina-Tampa Bay, especially if you got in late with the total of 47 ½. The Bucs forced overtime (21-21) and earned the come-from-behind 27-21 victory with the touchdown in the extra session.
The oddsmakers made a mistake last Monday, adjusting the total from 38 ½ to 34 ½ after hearing that 49ers QB Alex Smith was ruled out against Chicago. A couple points would’ve been understandable, but certainly not four. Sure enough, San Francisco earned a 32-7 victory and the game goes ‘over’ the number but the final score was close to the opening number. Stick to your guns!
Including that result, the ‘under’ stands at 24-10 in primetime games this season. On the season, the ‘over’ still holds an 81-79-1 edge. We’ll touch on the Thanksgiving ‘over’ winners next week, which were never in doubt!
We’re going to keep pushing this seasonal trend, because it’s been a serious money-maker so far. Including the Jets-Patriots shootout (49-19) on Thanksgiving, the ‘over’ has gone 9-2 (82%) in games when opponents meet in their second divisional game. We have one more matchup on tap this week and most are expecting a low-scoring affair.
St. Louis at Arizona: This game opened at 37½ and has dropped to 37 at most betting shops. Arizona was once a great ‘over’ bet in the desert but that was when Kurt Warner was the quarterback and the defense was average. Now you have a rotation of misfits under center. This Sunday, Ryan Lindley will earn the start against the Rams. Last week, the former San Diego State standout was 9-of-20 for 64 yards in clean-up action. St. Louis has the bigger name at QB in Sam Bradford but let’s be honest, he’s an overpaid joke as well. Bradford and the Rams beat Arizona 17-3 at home on Oct. 4 but have lost five straight since that win. During this current skid, the defense has given up an average 28.6 points per game. The unit did face the Packers and Patriots over that stretch but giving up 27 to the Jets last week tells you that the defense isn’t producing. St. Louis has watched the ‘over’ go 6-4 but Arizona has leaned to the ‘under’ (8-2) this season. Including the aforementioned outcome in early October, the ‘under’ has gone 8-1 in the past nine meetings between these teams. While this trend has been great, the smart play might be to pass and wait for next week, which features six rematch battles, including a few that just played two weeks ago.
The smart money went 3-2 last week and easily could’ve gone 4-1 if the Chargers don’t score a late touchdown against the Broncos. Still, 60% is winning and most professional bettors do.
Here are the early moves for Week 12 at CRIS:
Oakland at Cincinnati: Line opened 48 and jumped to 50
Pittsburgh at Cleveland: Line opened 36 and dropped to 34½
Atlanta at Tampa Bay: Line opened 48 and jumped to 51
Green Bay at N.Y. Giants: Line opened 49 and jumped to 50 1/2
Four contests on tap this week that have totals higher than 50 points and what’s really surprising is none of the games feature the Saints.
Oakland at Cincinnati: This total is a little surprising considering the venue but when you look at the Raiders defense, you can understand the oddsmakers. Oakland has allowed 42, 55 and 38 points the last three weeks and Cincinnati does have some offensive weapons. However, the Bengals defense has given up a total of 19 points the last two games, both wins and both ‘under’ tickets.
Buffalo at Indianapolis: If you’re looking for an inflated line, then this is it. Indianapolis has been an ‘under’ team (6-3-1) all season yet it got blasted by the Patriots (24-59) last Sunday and everybody thinks this team likes to play the run ‘n shoot style. The offense can certainly score but they make mistakes with rookie QB Andrew Luck too. Buffalo’s defense was exposed to the Patriots as well, unfortunately on two different occasions (52, 37). The unit did play better a week from last Thursday as it dominated the Dolphins en route to a 19-14 home win. The extra few days off should help the Bills in this spot. Despite playing indoors, the Colts have seen the ‘under’ go 4-1 at home this season.
Atlanta at Tampa Bay: You can argue that this number is too high as well but betting the ‘under’ in Tampa Bay games has been a disaster. The Buccaneers have seen the ‘over’ cash in seven straight, which included last week’s miracle (see above). During this span, Tampa hasn’t been held under 22 points and it’s posted 30-plus four times. The defense has given up 23.3 PPG, which has certainly helped with the shootouts. Atlanta is a tough team to gauge but it’s actually produced more points on the road (29.6 PPG) than at home (20.4 PPG). Sure enough, the ‘over’ has gone 3-2 outside of Georgia and the ‘under’ is 4-1 at home. The Falcons have seen three totals listed at 50-plus points and the ‘under’ has gone 2-1 in those games. The ‘over’ has gone 3-1 in the last four meetings between this pair. This will be the first encounter in 2012.
Green Bay at N.Y. Giants: Including the holiday outcome on Thursday, the ‘under’ has gone 24-11 in primetime games this season. Does this particular battle have potential to go ‘over’ the number? Absolutely, but you better hope both QBs come to play and that hasn’t been the case with the Giants’ Eli Manning lately. New York has dropped two straight and it only scored 33 points in those games but it is coming off the bye. Green Bay started the season slow offensively, yet it’s still averaging 26 PPG. The Packers have watched the ‘over’ go 6-4 while the Giants have seen the ‘under’ produce a 7-3 mark. The previous five meetings between the pair have gone ‘over’ and that includes a pair of games last season that saw 73 and 57 combined points posted on the scoreboard.
In Week 11, we caught some breaks and picked up $300. The Thanksgiving card watched us juice out and lose 10 cents ($10). On the season, we’re in the black for $480. As always, Press, Pass or Fade but in the end - Good Luck!
Best Over: Carolina-Philadelphia 40½
Best Under: Tennessee-Jacksonville 44½
Best Team Total: Over Atlanta 26
Three-Team Total Teaser (9-Point, +100):
Over Carolina-Philadelphia 31½
Over Green Bay-N.Y. Giants 42
Over St. Louis-Arizona 28
Re: NFL Betting News and Notes Weeek 12
NFL: Streaks, Trends, Notes
Buffalo Bills at Indianapolis Colts
Andrew Luck took his lumps in a 59-24 thrashing at New England last week tossing three interception two of which were returned for scores and lost a fumble leading to another Patriot touchdown. Returning to home field where the team is far better (4-1 SU/ATS) the Colts still in contention for a Wild-Card spot won't be denied. Luck and his two favorite receivers Reggie Wayne, T.Y. Hilton should have little trouble shredding Bills pass protection which allows 234.1 passing yards/game. If that doesn't work to perfection, Luck who can also scamper on the ground (163 RY, 5 TD) should be able to run through Bills 31st ranked run-stop unit (153.3 RYG) causing enough damage for the victory. Consider laying the small number (-3.0) as Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. a conference opponent, 6-2-1 ATS in Week 12 while Bills enter 2-11 (4-8-1 ATS) L13 on the road, 2-6 ATS L8 vs the AFC South, 1-5-1 ATS as dogs of 5 or less
Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars
Jaguars showed spunk in last week in a 43-37 loss at Houston. But, Jags now return home where they've been atrocious losing all five games by an average 21.8 points/game. Not a good spot for Jaguars as they enter 0-5 (1-4 ATS) as underdogs after scoring 35 or more points. Jags giving up 171.0 rushing yards a game on home turf spells trouble vs Titans' Chris Johnson who has found his mojo grinding out 267 rushing yards 2 TD's last two and who has churned out 561 yards the past four with four majors. With Jaguars 2-17 (6-22-1 ATS) including 1-10 SU/ATS at home allowing =>120 rushing yards/game look for Titans to move to 8-3 ATS rushing for =>120 yards.
San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints
49ers' (7-2-1, 6-4 ATS) firing on all cylinder are undefeated in their past four (2-2 ATS) and have one blemish the past seven on the field (4-3 ATS). The Saints (5-5, 6-4 ATS) on a 3-0 SU/ATS streak have won five of their last six games (5-1 ATS) setting up a classic something has to give scenario. You can certainly make a reasonable case for backing New Orleans at home. The squad is not only 6-0 (4-2 ATS) vs 49ers in regular season, 4-0 (3-1 ATS) in the 'Big-Easy' the Saints are ridding a smart 15-1 (12-4 ATS) overall stretch in November games including 9-0 (7-2 ATS) at the SuperDome. Although Saints have historical trends on their side it doesn't always dictate the future. Consider sticking with San Francisco on a 3-1 SU/ATS road streak this season, 21-6 (18-9-1 ATS) overall stretch dating back to last season. The 49ers' sporting the leagues stingiest scoring defense (13.4 PPG), second best pass protection (182.9 PYG) will keep Brees and company in check. 49ers' offense which just shredded one of the better defenses in the league for 353 total yards, 32 points will do a number on Saints league worst defense (462.8). As always best of luck.