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MNF Betting News and Notes 11/19

MNF Betting News and Notes 11/19

CHICAGO (7 - 2) at SAN FRANCISCO (6 - 2 - 1) - 11/19/2012, 8:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 26-9 ATS (+16.1 Units) when playing on Monday night since 1992.
SAN FRANCISCO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


Chicago is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games when playing San Francisco
Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco is 12-4-1 ATS in its last 17 games at home
San Francisco19-5-1 SU in its last 25 games

Chicago at San Francisco
Chicago: 10-3 ATS after winning 2 of their last 3 games
San Francisco: 15-4 Under off a home game

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Re: MNF Betting News and Notes 11/19

NFL: Streaks, Trends, Notes

Chicago Bears at San Francisco 49ers

When the Chicago Bears and San Francisco 49ers hit the field next Monday night they'll be starting backup quarterbacks. Chicago's Jay Cutler and 49er's Alex Smith suffered concussions this past week leaving Bears going with Jason Campbell, San Francisco counting on Colin Kaepernick. The losses may not be as severe as expected. Bear's Campbell won 11 of his last 18 games as a starter with Raiders tossing 19 TD's vs 12 Interceptions while rushing for 3 TD's. Kaepernick, a second-round pick in the 2011 draft has been used mostly in wildcat situations with San Francisco but the pivot more athletic than Smith has the ability to hurt an opponent especially with his running abilities. Kaepernick hitting 61.5% of passes has notched 177 rushing yards, 3 TD's when called into service this season. Looking ahead, 49er's are 3-1 (2-3 ATS) at home on 484.5 total yards (260.3 PYG, 224.3 RYG) with a winning margin of 8.5 PPG. Bears are 3-1 (3-1 ATS) on the road with an 18.0 margin of victory racking up 346.8 total yards split between 206.5 passing, 140.3 rushing yards. 49er's are on a 9-5 (10-4 ATS) stretch in Monday night football including 4-2 SU/ATS at home. Bears are 10-6 (8-8 ATS) under Monday night light's including 5-4 (6-3 ATS on the road. 49er's won the last meeting in San Francisco 10-6 as 3 point favorite marking a third consecutive win/cover hosting Chicago.

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Re: MNF Betting News and Notes 11/19

Week 11 NFL

Bears (7-2) @ 49ers (6-2-1) --
Both starting QB's got concussions last week; not sure if either will play, but both teams have decent backups. Home teams won last 10 series games; Bears lost last seven visits here, with last win in '85, season Chicago won only Super Bowl. Bears' only losses came in night games; they are 3-1 on road, with all three wins by 16+ points. Chicago was +16 in turnovers in first half of season, but was -2 in loss Sunday; they;ve turned ball over 8 times in last three games, as sputtering offense was hidden by aggressive defense. 49ers are 2-3 as home favorites, losing to Giants, tying Rams. NFC West non-divisional home favorites are 4-3 vs spread; NFC North road underdogs are 1-3.

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Monday Night Football: Bears at 49ers

Chicago Bears at San Francisco 49ers (-7, 37)

Monday's night's marquee matchup between the host San Francisco 49ers and Chicago Bears hardly lacked for storylines, pitting a pair of legitimate Super Bowl contenders featuring two of the top defenses in the league. However, it's the off-field news that has dominated the headlines leading into the encounter between the division leaders of the NFC West and North. Quarterbacks Alex Smith and Jay Cutler were each knocked out of last week's game with concussions, and on Thursday came the news that 49ers coach Jim Harbaugh was undergoing a minor procedure for an irregular heartbeat.

Harbaugh, according to the team, was expected back at the team's facility Friday. ESPN reported that he made a brief appearance at practice Thursday and was sent home upon the recommendation of team doctors. Smith was given the green-light to practice on a limited basis Wednesday and Thursday wearing a no-contact jersey but still must be medically cleared to play. Cutler did not practice this week and will give way to backup Jason Campbell.

LINE: 49ers -7, O/U 37.

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-50s with under partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out of the south at 9 mph.

ABOUT THE BEARS (7-2): Last season, Cutler had directed the Bears to five straight wins and a 7-3 record before suffering a broken thumb. The Bears went on to lose five straight with untested Caleb Hanie and retread Josh McCown under center. That's the main reason Chicago upgraded its backup plan by signing Campbell. The former Oakland Raiders QB was 11-for-19 for 94 yards in the second half of last week's 13-6 home loss to Houston. Running backs Matt Forte and Michael Bush may get a heavier workload against a defense that has suddenly been more vulnerable against the run, allowing a pair of 100-yard rushers. Brandon Marshall has 51 catches and six touchdowns in the last six games, and Chicago will again lean on a defense that has a league-high 19 interceptions, including seven for TDs.

ABOUT THE 49ERS (6-2-1): San Francisco would be in a tie with Chicago for the second-best record in the NFC had David Akers converted a 41-yard field goal in overtime in last week's 24-24 tie with St. Louis. The 49ers also benefited from two penalties in OT that prevented the Rams from winning. One big positive for the Niners was the play of second-year QB Colin Kaepernick after Smith was forced to leave the game with blurred vision. Kaepernick guided San Francisco to 17 fourth-quarter points, completing 11 of 17 passes for 117 yards and running for 66 yards and a touchdown on eight carries. Frank Gore just missed his fourth 100-yard game, rushing for 97 yards and a TD, and Michael Crabtree had five catches for 70 yards and his third scoring reception in two games.


* Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
* 49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last five vs. NFC foes.
* Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Under is 5-0-1 in 49ers’ last six vs. a team with a winning record.


1. San Francisco and Chicago rank 1-2 in the league in fewest points allowed with 14.1 and 14.8, respectively.

2. Campbell, a first-round pick of Washington in 2005, has made 70 career starts. He has thrown for 74 TDs and 50 interceptions.

3. The teams last met in San Francisco in November 2009, with the 49ers intercepting Cutler five times in a 10-6 victory. The 49ers have also won all three postseason meetings.

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MNF - Bears at 49ers
By Kevin Rogers

The Week 11 card closes out with two NFC clubs looking to set themselves up for a first round bye in the playoffs. The 49ers took a hit in last Sunday's unexpected tie against the struggling Rams, while the Bears were tripped up by the Texans at home. Chicago has bigger issues than last week's defeat, as it attempts to win on the road without its starting quarterback.

Jay Cutler was knocked out in the second quarter of last Sunday's 13-6 defeat to Houston, as he is listed as 'out' on Monday night. Cutler threw for just 40 yards and two interceptions against the tough Texans' defense, while Chicago suffered just its second loss on the season. Jason Campbell replaced Cutler in the second half, but didn't fare much better for throwing for 94 yards, as the former Redskin will start on Monday. The weather didn't help matters as rain lingered all night long at Soldier Field, easily cashing the 'under' of 37.

The 49ers blew a golden opportunity last Sunday, pulling off the first tie in the NFL since 2008 in a 24-24 deadlock against St. Louis. Alex Smith suffered a concussion in the first half, while getting replaced by second-year quarterback Colin Kaepernick. The former Nevada standout led the Niners to a pair of touchdowns in the fourth quarter, but San Francisco couldn't pull out the win in overtime. The Niners failed to cover as 13 ½-point favorites, while falling to 1-3 ATS the last four games.

Smith has been cleared to start on Monday, as San Francisco is fighting with Atlanta, Chicago, New York, and Green Bay for a potential first round bye in the postseason. The Niners own a tiebreaker over the Packers, but lose the tiebreaker to the Giants due to head-to-head matchups. Jim Harbaurgh's club hits the road for four of the next five games after Monday, while the next three games are against teams below .500.

Since losing at Green Bay in Week 2, Lovie Smith's team has won three consecutive games away from Soldier Field. In those three victories, the Bears put up at least 34 points, while scoring 51 points at Tennessee two weeks ago. The 'over' has cashed in each of Chicago's road wins, while going 4-2 to the 'over' in the last six games overall.

The home team has won each of the previous 10 meetings dating back to 1989, as the Niners edged the Bears in the last matchup in 2009 at Candlestick Park, 10-6. San Francisco cashed as 3½-point favorites in a December primetime contest, as Cutler tossed five interceptions in the defeat. Chicago topped San Francisco in three consecutive meetings from 2004 through 2006, but all three victories came in the Windy City.

The Niners have cashed six straight Monday night contests since 2008, while compiling a 2-0 SU/ATS in Harbaugh's tenure. Last December, San Francisco routed Pittsburgh at Candlestick, 20-3 as three-point favorites, as the Niners have won four of the last five home Monday nighters since 2003. In Week 8, the Niners whipped the Cardinals in Arizona, 24-3 to cash easily as 7½-point 'chalk.'

Under Smith, the Bears have won nine of 11 games on Monday, while covered seven times. This season, Chicago has picked up Monday night triumphs at Dallas and at home over Detroit, but the Bears failed to cash against the Lions as even-point favorites. On the highway, Chicago is 5-1 SU/ATS in six Monday night games since 2005.

The 'under' is cashing at a ridiculous rate on Monday, hitting in each of the last four weeks. Overall, the 'under' is 8-3 in Monday matchups, as one of the 'overs' came in Week 4 between the Bears and Cowboys as Chicago scored two defensive touchdowns to push the game 'over' the total.

The 49ers are listed as 6½-point favorites, while the total is set at 37 across the board. Weather shouldn't be much of a factor with temperatures in the high 50's and no rain expected. The game kicks off at 8:30 PM EST and will be televised nationally on ESPN.

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