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College Basketball Trends Sunday 11/18

College Basketball Trends Sunday 11/18

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Lot of crazy results early on; Iona loses to Quinnipiac, then beats Wake Forest by 30; Washington loses to Albany at home, then flies cross the country and beats Seton Hall. This period is little like spring training in baseball; have to let these teams get their legs, before they rise or sink to whatever level they'll wind up at. .

-- Florida won its first two games, beating Wisconsin by 18 last game; Gators are shooting 61% inside arc so far- only problem was holding on to the ball. Middle Tennessee beat couple of stiff teams, but they beat UCLA/Ole Miss LY. Sun Belt road underdogs are 2-10 vs spread.
-- Richmond is 3-0, allowing 52.7 ppg; they beat UNCW by 43. Spiders are shooting 41% behind arc, but now hit road, move up in class, facing Minnesota squad that beat three stiffs by 36-26-29 points. Gophers are facing Duke in next game Thursday. A-16 road underdogs are 2-5.
-- Akron is 2-2, losing pair of OT games; Zips are shooting just 38.1% inside arc, 37.8% outside; go figure. Penn State is 2-1 after winning awful OT game with Providence Friday (trailed 16-14 at half). A-16 underdogs are 2-5 against spread. MAC single digit favorites are 1-5.
-- Oklahoma State is 3-0 with OT win over Akron; Cowboys have held opponents to 33.6% inside arc, but are moving up in class vs NC State team that won first three games by 37-17-18 games; Wolfpack is #4 in country in eFG% (63.2%), making 45% behind arc, 61% inside it.

-- Tennessee won two of first three games, losing to Oklahoma State by 17 Friday; Vols are fouling too much early on. UMass won its first two games by total of 5 points, then lost by 18 to NC State. Minutemen are playing at face pace, but are still young, with one senior in rotation.
-- Charleston lost first two games of tourney on its home court by 11 to St John's, 4 to Auburn, scoring just 53 ppg; they're turning ball over on 25.8% of possessions, which is poor. Boston College lost to Baylor by 16, Dayton by 10. ACC teams are 10-3 vs spread away from home.
-- Washington was up 16 at half yesterday, needed 13-2 run in OT in an odd win over Seton Hall team that hit 12-23 behind arc; Huskies are an offense-based team. Ohio State held off gritty URI by 11 Saturday; they made 51% of 3's in wins over teams ranked #221/#259.
-- Rhode Island coach Hurley played at Seton Hall; his Rams play very hard, but lack talent; they're scoring 54.3 ppg, shooting 26% behind arc in 0-3 start. Three Rams played 36+ minutes Saturday. Seton Hall was down 16 at half, made 12-23 from arc but lost to Washington in OT.
-- Auburn lost to Murray State by 20 but won at Charleston by 4; they are shooting 28.9% outside arc, 38.8% inside it, scoring 58.3 ppg in 2-1 start. Dayton is shooting 41% behind arc but isn't getting to line much. Atlantic 16 single digit favorites are 5-6 against the spread.

-- St John's led Murray State most of way Friday but lost by 5; they're shooting 23.9% behind arc, not forcing many turnovers, but are blocking 18% of opponents' shots. Baylor is shooting 61% inside arc- they beat BC by by 10, before Colorado avenged LY's NCAA loss by a hoop.
-- Murray State held first three foes to 16.7% behind arc, but now they are playing well-coached Colorado squad that has one senior in rotation. Young Buffs beat Baylor by hoop Friday, avenging loss in LY's NCAA tourney- they're making 40% of treys. Pac-12 road teams are 5-3.
-- New Mexico won its first two games by 7-5 points, rallying from 16 down to beat Davidson in opener; Lobos don't use bench much, but had Saturday off. George Mason scored just 57 ppg in 2-1 start, making 52.1% of foul shots, with all three games decided by 4 or less points.
-- Stanford is off to 3-0 start, with 13-point win over Fullerton, pretty good team; Pac-12 home favorites of less than 15 points are 7-1 against spread. Belmont starts two juniors, three seniors; they've played couple stiff teams so far, but they're very well-coached. We'll see 'em in March.

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