Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday November, 13

Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday November, 13

DUNKEL INDEX

Washington at Charlotte
The Wizards look to take advantage of a Charlotte team that is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games against teams with a losing record. Washington is the pick (+1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Wizards favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+1 1/2)

Game 501-502: Washington at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 115.406; Charlotte 109.166
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 6; 184
Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 1 1/2; 189 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+1 1/2); Under

Game 503-504: New York at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 122.168; Orlando 121.436
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 1; 193
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 7; 188 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+7); Over

Game 505-506: Toronto at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 110.390; Indiana 121.775
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 11 1/2; 181
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 9; 184 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-9); Under

Game 507-508: Cleveland at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 111.436; Brooklyn 115.393
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 4; 200
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 6; 197
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+6); Over

Game 509-510: Portland at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 113.740; Sacramento 115.454
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 1 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 3; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland (+3); Over

Game 511-512: San Antonio at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 127.497; LA Lakers 123.161
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 4 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 1; 194 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-1); Under


NCAAB

Stony Brook at Rider     
The Seawolves look to build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games on the road. Stony Brook is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Stony Brook (+3 1/2)

Game 519-520: Detroit at St. John's (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 57.575; St. John's 64.298
Dunkel Line: St. John's by 6 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: St. John's by 4; 141
Dunkel Pick: St. John's (-4); Under

Game 521-522: Butler at Xavier (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Butler 67.004; Xavier 60.361
Dunkel Line: Butler by 6 1/2; 141
Vegas Line: Butler by 4 1/2; 134
Dunkel Pick: Butler (-4 1/2); Over

Game 523-524: Michigan State vs. Kansas (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 71.286; Kansas 75.284
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 4; 126
Vegas Line: Kansas by 2; 129 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-2); Under

Game 525-526: Northeastern at Princeton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northeastern 51.526; Princeton 64.701
Dunkel Line: Princeton by 13
Vegas Line: Princeton by 10
Dunkel Pick: Princeton (-10)

Game 527-528: NC-Wilmington at Richmond (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Wilmington 50.486; Richmond 62.783
Dunkel Line: Richmond by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Richmond by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NC-Wilmington (+14 1/2)

Game 529-530: Wichita State at VCU (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wichita State 69.232; VCU 70.174
Dunkel Line: VCU by 1; 140
Vegas Line: VCU by 7; 133 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wichita State (+7); Over

Game 531-532: Florida Atlantic at Mississippi State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 47.457; Mississippi State 61.726
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 14 1/2;
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (-5 1/2)

Game 533-534: Georgia State at BYU (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 50.468; BYU 65.656
Dunkel Line: BYU by 15
Vegas Line: BYU by 13
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-13)

Game 535-536: Long Beach State at USC (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 55.134; USC 64.312
Dunkel Line: USC by 9
Vegas Line: USC by 5
Dunkel Pick: USC (-5)

Game 537-538: Duke vs. Kentucky (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 74.980; Kentucky 70.085
Dunkel Line: Duke by 5; 135
Vegas Line: Duke by 3 1/2; 140 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-3 1/2); Under

Game 539-540: Pepperdine at California (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 45.547; California 69.461
Dunkel Line: California by 24
Vegas Line: California by 21
Dunkel Pick: California (-21)

Game 541-542: Houston at San Jose State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 54.472; San Jose State 50.198
Dunkel Line: Houston by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-1 1/2)

Game 543-544: UC-Irvine at UCLA (11:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 50.311; UCLA 72.054
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 21 1/2
Vegas Line: UCLA by 18
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-18)

Game 545-546: Fairfield vs. Pennsylvania (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fairfield 57.257; Pennsylvania 52.603
Dunkel Line: Fairfield by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 547-548: Delaware vs. Virginia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware 55.806; Virginia 61.377
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 549-550: IUPUI vs. Bowling Green (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IUPUI 52.454; Bowling Green 53.136
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 1
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 551-552: Cleveland State at Michigan (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland State 59.613; Michigan 71.700
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 12
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 553-554: Robert Morris vs. Fordham (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Robert Morris 51.246; Fordham 45.024
Dunkel Line: Robert Morris by 6
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 555-556: Lehigh at Pittsburgh (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Lehigh 61.275; Pittsburgh 72.789
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 557-558: North Texas vs. Lamar (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 51.639; Lamar 55.779
Dunkel Line: Lamar by 5
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 559-560: AL-Huntsville at Kansas State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: AL-Huntsville 42.440; Kansas State 73.763
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 31 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 565-566: Georgia Southern at Charlotte (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Southern 47.403; Charlotte 57.240
Dunkel Line: Charlotte by 10; 137
Vegas Line: Charlotte by 11; 133
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Southern (+11); Over

Game 567-568: Wright State at Eastern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wright State 56.233; Eastern Illinois 47.976
Dunkel Line: Wright State by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Wright State by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Illinois (+9 1/2)

Game 569-570: Tennessee State at South Dakota State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee State 53.418; South Dakota State 68.778
Dunkel Line: South Dakota State by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: South Dakota State by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota State (-10 1/2)

Game 571-572: Austin Peay at Western Kentucky (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 49.935; Western Kentucky 59.704
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 10
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (-9 1/2)

Game 573-574: Oakland at Boise State (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 53.354; Boise State 59.220
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 6
Vegas Line: Boise State by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+7 1/2)

Game 581-582: Texas Southern at Northwestern (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Southern 43.005; Northwestern 64.571
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 21 1/2
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 16
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (-16)

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Bryan Power
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Toronto vs. Indiana
Pick: Indiana
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Little is now expected from the Pacers, who are going to be without Danny Granger for the next three months.  But even without their All-Star forward, Indiana is going to have far more "in the tank" compared to the Toronto team they welcome in Tuesday night.  The Raptors are off a crushing triple overtime loss to the Jazz Monday night, at home, which dropped them to 1-6 on the year.
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Making matters more painful for the Raptors is not just how long last night's game went, but the fact they held a three-point lead with :02 remaining in regulation only to watch Al Jefferson hit a three-pointer to force extra time.  Obviously, their defensive numbers will now be skewed due to the still small sample size of the young season, but fact is that they have been struggling on that end of the court already - particularly on the road where they are 0-3 SU. In losses to Brooklyn, Oklahoma City and Dallas, Toronto has allowed an average of 108 points per game.
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Indiana has also struggled on the road so far this season, recently going 0 for 3 on a three-game swing.  But they returned home Saturday night to defeat the lowly Wizards 89-85, improving to a perfect 2-0 at home. With two full days rest, the Pacers are at a significant advantage in this matchup. It's also worth noting they have won 6 of 7 against Toronto, including three straight here at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. After sweeping last year's three matchups, the Pacers opened the year by going North of the Border and downing the Raptors 90-88, covering the short 1.5-point spot.  I expect a far more lopsided outcome this time out.

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David Chan
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San Antonio vs. L.A. Lakers
Pick: L.A. Lakers
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This is the final game of a four game trip for the Spurs, and I'm expecting a letdown here.
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The Spurs are 6-1, but have allowed opponents 100.3 PPG during their road swing.
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Most recently San Antonio beat Portland 112-109 on Saturday.
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Gary Neal had 27 points.
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It's interesting to note though that San Antonio is 17-23 ATS in its last 40 after allowing 105 points or more.
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The Lakers went out and hired Mike D'Antoni as their new head coach, although he won't be behind the bench in this one.
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When LA was at 1-4 they faced the Golden State Warriors as small favorites, and I took the Lakers in that contest. I told all the LA fans to just calm down, and that I believed the team would definitely be contending for the Western Conference crown at the end of the year.
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I also thought that the early season adversity that the Lakers were going through would likely prove to be the best thing that ever happened to them as far as trying to get the elusive team chemistry they are so desperately searching for.
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With Steve Nash sidelined LA has won two straight.
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Dwight Howard had 23 points and 18 boards in Sunday's 103-90 win over the Kings on Sunday.
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It's interesting to note that LA is already 2-0 ATS following a divisional contest.
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This is a "revenge contest" as well for the home side, which lost two of three to the Spurs last season, including a 112-91 setback in LA on April 17th (note that Kobe Bryant was sitting that one out).
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I feel there are enough factors working in favor of the home side tonight to warrant it a second look in this matchup!

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Scott RickenbachFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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San Antonio Spurs vs. Los Angeles Lakers    
Play: Los Angeles Lakers
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The San Antonio Spurs travel to Los Angeles to take on the Lakers on Tuesday night. The Lakers are 65-25 SU at home the past 3 years. Lakers are 35-12 SU after a win by 10 points or more. Lakers are allowing only 90 points per game at home this year. San Antonio is 2-6 ATS last 8 road games. San Antonio is 1-5 ATS last 6 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Lakers will continue to improve as the season progresses and they will find a way to win in front of their home crowd here tonight. Play LA Lakers as your Free Play selection Tuesday.

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Rob VincilettiFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Portland Trail Blazers vs. Sacramento Kings    
Play: Portland Trail Blazers
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We cashed our free play last night by going against Portland in their home loss to Atlanta. Tonight we will back them as the Kings fit a play against system that has won 8 of the last 9 times and plays against home favorites with rest at -4 or less if they scored 90 or more as a road dog of 5 or more in their last game, vs an opponent that scored 90 or less as a home favorite. Portland has covered 5 of the last 7 here in Sacramento and they have won and covered both times on the road with no rest after scoring 90 or less. The Kings are 4-20 straight vs on Tuesday and 12-26 vs Northwest Division teams. The Kings have always started slow and have lost 15 of the last 19 in November games. Look for Portland to cash this one.

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Ryan JamesFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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AUSTIN PEAY vs. WESTERN KENTUCKY    
PLAY: WESTERN KENTUCKY
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Western Kentucky plays fast paced basketball. They played an actual match up in their season opener when they faced off against Southern Miss in a close loss. They played the kind of basketball you would expect from a team playing their first game of the season. It was sloppy at times, but showed signs of improvement down the stretch. I expect to see Western Kentucky come out and play with more discipline after having a couple days to view game tape and make adjustments for their mistakes. Austin Peay opened their season against a cupcake team, Samford, and its doubtful they will string two performances like that together now that the opposing talent is much better. Western Kentucky has a big height advantage so Austin Peay will not be able to dominate on rebounds like they did against Samford. With Western Kentucky playing a real game to open their season I expect them to be much improved while Austin Peay still doesn't know what they need to do to play with a real college basketball team. Western Kentucky wins this game in a blowout.

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Jim FeistFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Washington Wizards vs Charlotte Bobcats
Pick: Charlotte Bobcats
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Charlotte was the laughingstock of the NBA last season, but not this year. They've won 2 games, beating the Mavs in OT and a win over Indiana. Charlotte is strong offensively, 7th in the NBA in scoring with 99 ppg behind Kemba Walker and Ben Gordon. Michael Kidd-Gilchrist had 25 points and 12 rebounds to help the Bobcats snap a 16-game losing streak against the Mavericks with a 101-97 overtime victory. The former Kentucky star and No. 2 overall draft pick was 8 of 12 from the field and had a pair of crucial offensive rebounds off missed foul shots late in the game. Washington (0-5) hasn't had any offense, 29th in points scored and 21st in rebounds, shooting just .414 as a team. The favorite is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings when these squads meet. Play the Bobcats.

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Dave Cokin
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Temple vs Kent State
Pick: Temple
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Nice opening win for Kent State as they got the mild upset of Drexel in overtime. I don't see the Golden Flashes getting it done again here. Temple lost some solid talent, but Khalif Wyatt is still on hand and I like the Owls wings. Look for Temple to win this by enough to cover the reasonable impost.

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Rocketman

Butler vs. Xavier
Play: Butler

The Butler Bulldogs travel to Xavier to take on the Musketeers on Tuesday afternoon. This game is nationally televised on ESPN today. Butler is 4-1 ATS last 5 games when their opponent scored 100 points or more in their previous game. Butler is 5-2 ATS last 7 games overall. Xavier is 1-4-1 ATS last 6 home games. Xavier is 1-7-1 ATS last 9 games against Atlantic 10 opponents. Butler has moved to the Atlantic 10 this year. The Road team is 3-0-1 ATS last 4 meetings overall in this series. My power ratings have Butler winning by 19.31 points, 11.51 points, 14.54 points and 16 points. Butler is the better team here and will prove that today. We'll recommend a small play on Butler today!

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Teddy Covers

Florida Atlantic vs. Mississippi St.
Pick: Florida Atlantic

Mississippi State is a complete mess coming into the season.  The Bulldogs are projected to rank at the very bottom of a mediocre SEC conference.  It’s easy to understand why.  Mississippi State lost all five starters from last year’s 21 win team, and the roster has been completely depleted by transfers following the departure of long time head coach Rick Stansbury.  That leaves first year, first time head coach Rick Ray in complete rebuilding mode early in the season; a dead nuts ‘bet against’ squad.

Florida Atlantic shot a woeful 28% from the floor in their season opener at North Carolina.  They missed free throws, committed 17 turnovers compared to only 11 assists and were outrebounded by 20 in the game.  They STILL came within a bucket of covering the pointspread.  Mike Jarvis’s squad made good money in this non-conference road dog role early in the season last year, with ATS covers against Washington, Georgia State, Hofstra, Miami-FL, and yes, right here in Starkville against the Bulldogs.  Expect more of the same in 2012.

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Joe Gavazzi

Washington Wizards +1.5

Three nights ago Charlotte came back to beat the Mavs 101-97 in OT. But the Bobcats have not won back to back games since 2011. That's right, not once last season did Charlotte win consecutive games. They have had so many problems with the Wizards. Washington has won and covered 5 straight against Charlotte including wins last year of 17, 3, 28, and 28. Without the services of Wall or Nene, the Wiz are off to another winless start at 0-5 SU. They have at least been competitive as every loss has been by 10 or less points. Having failed to post a win, they will clearly not be looking past an opponent they have dominated in the past. The Wiz get one in style.

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Andre Gomes

Cleveland Cavaliers +6

Brooklyn is coming from two easy blowout wins over Orlando, something that is giving them the false perception that they are a top team, when they are indeed very far from that. Even on those two easy wins, Brooklyn's ball movement was quite poor, as even though they had an easy task on offense, the Nets had just 21 and 20 assists against Orlando and they are just #24 in the league in A/TO ratio with 1.26, something weird when they have two playmakers on the starting lineup in Deron Williams and Joe Johnson.

The truth is that the Nets are still trying to find a identity to the team and a proper game plan. I know that they easily crushed Orlando on their last game, but they shot 5-7 FG at the rim against an undersized team like the Magic, a reason for concern as the Nets with a super size edge should simply pound Orlando down low and the truth is that Brooklyn was an outside shooting team with 7-14 FG from 16-23 feet and 7-24 3pts! They will be facing a Cavaliers, whose only defensive struggle is defending at the rim (worst in the league), but as I've said, the Nets don't take advantage of these edges, with just 21.5 FGA per game at the rim (#3 lowest volume on the league). Also with Deron Williams running the show, it was expected for the Nets to be a top offensive team in running pick and rolls, but the truth is that they are the third worst team in the league on pick and roll ball handler plays, a clear sign for their lack of identity on offense!

They will now face Cleveland, who has lost their last three games, but they are coming from a game where they were competitive at Oklahoma City until the end of the 3rd quarter, where the score was at 73-76. We know that Cleveland has a good pick and roll game due to Kyrie Irving and they are #9 on pick and roll ball handler with 0.82 PPP and with Irving's good vision, the Cavs are also a great spot up team by being #4 on the league with 1.1 PPP! This style of the Cavs offense gives them a good matchup against Brooklyn.

I don't think Deron Williams is a good defender in chasing players on pick and rolls, while Brook Lopez is just too slow, he doesn't have a good foot speed to move properly and not surprisingly, the Nets are just #22 on defending spot up plays. However, on my ranks, I have Brooklyn as #1 on the league in defending pick and roll ball handler plays, something kind of odd! They are just allowing 0.51 PPP on these plays. But when you look at their previous opponents, you realize why the Nets are looking so impressive on defending this kind of plays:

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SPORTS WAGERS

Washington +104 over CHARLOTTE

The Charlotte Bobcats have a new coach in Mike Dunlap. They also have some nice parts in Kemba Walker and Michael Kidd-Gilchrist. However,  this is still a club that has lost 26 of its last 28 regular season games and have not won successive games since the 2010-11 season. After getting blown out by 26 in Dallas last week, the ‘Cats rebounded with an OT win against Dallas on Saturday. They out-rebounded a disinterested Mavericks team on the offensive boards by a count of 18-2 in the second half, yet needed OT to secure the win. They’re better this season but let’s not ignore some ugly losses already in just five games played this year.

Washington is still winless but they’re getting closer to a victory. They have two narrow losses against the Celtics, the last one coming in OT. They also lost by just four in Indiana on Saturday night. They’ve held the lead in the third quarter or later in each of its past four games and they appear ready to close the deal. The Wizards are ranked fifth in assists per game and they’ll face a Charlotte team that is dead last in the NBA in points allowed.  Facing the meek Bobcats defense allows the Wizards to get up off the mattress here.


Michigan State +137 over KANSAS

It's important not to get too caught up in early-season college basketball results and the Michigan State Spartans are a prime example of that. No team plays harder than Izzo's Spartans. They pride themselves on being tough and physical. MSU stumbled in its season opening loss to UConn but coach Tom Izzo is the best in the game in adjustments after a loss or even a win for that matter. Izzo’s ability to identify problems and set a new course would make a GPS envious. Expect a better showing tonight against the #7th ranked Jayhawks.

Kansas is 1-0 after a 19-point win over Southeast Missouri State. What was masked in that easy win against a nothing opponent was the Jayhawks .387 shooting percentage and very average guard play. Tonight every shot will be contested and if they had trouble hitting shots against the Redhawks, imagine what it’ll be like against the 0-1 Spartans. The books have made the highly ranked Jayhawks an enticing 3-point choice here and that alone tells us the Spartans will be in a position to win. Never count out Izzo’s Spartans.

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Jimmy Boyd

San Antonio Spurs PK

The Lakers have strung together back-to-back wins but those came against Golden State and Sacramento. They are still just 3-4 on the season and yet to beat a team that's any good. The Spurs are 6-1 and showed they are still a force to be reckoned with by beating the defending Western Conference champion Oklahoma City Thunder.

The Lakers have been trying to jell as they have several new faces. Now, they must adjust to a new coach. The nucleus of the Spurs and their coach have been together for years.

The Lakers are at a big disadvantage at the point guard spot tonight as Steve Nash is still out with a shin injury and Steve Black is expected to miss with an abdominal issue. Tony Parker is expected to be back in the lineup tonight, and he should dominate the backcourt battle.

The Spurs are 44-18-5 ATS in their last 67 games, and the fact they've had two days of rest is significant because they are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games when playing on 2 days' rest. Take the Spurs.

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Charlie Sports

Michigan State at Kansas
Play: Michigan State

The (0-1) Michigan State Spartans of the Big 10 Conference legends division will take on the (1-0) Kansas Jayhawks of the Big 12 Conference in 2012 NCAA Basketball action. Michigan State is 7-2 against the spread their last 9 vs. Big 12. The under is 13-3 Kansas last 16 College Basketball games vs. The Big 10 Conference. Michigan State lost it's opener vs. Connecticut and will be looking to get in the win column tonight at Fogg Allen fieldhouse. Michigan State gets the road cover.

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John Ryan

Michigan State at Kansas
Play: Michigan State

The simulator shows a high probability that MSU will lose this game by three or fewer points and has an excellent shot at defeating Kansas. MSU enters this game ranked 21st in the nation and while Kansas, again, is a Top-10 ranked team positioned at seventh. MSU had a horrid start in their 67-62 loss to UCONN Friday. The Kansas offense has the 7-footer Jeff Withey, who is an elite player, but will need far better shooting from the perimeter to be effective in the paint. MSU has a torrid defensive scheme and have the physicality to make things very difficult in the post for Withey. Kansas was led by Elijah Johnson, who had made 69 3-pointers last season, but was 0-for-4 in the Kansas 75-55 win over Southeast Missouri State. I strongly believe that the speed and quickness of the MSU defense will be a dominant force in giving the Spartans the win tonight. MSU has an edge in the rebounding department as well and the sim shows that MSU will have between 9 and 13 offensive boards. In past games, MSU is a solid 11-3 ATS when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last two seasons. Spartan head coach Izzo is a remarkable 21-7 ATS as a neutral court underdog of 6 points or less and 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a neutral court underdog of 3 points or less or pick. Take Michigan State.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday November, 13

Stephen Nover

Washington Wizards +1.5

Question: When should the Bobcats be favored?

Answer: Never.

Yet the Bobcats are chalk in this matchup, overrated by oddsmakers putting too much stock in Charlotte's wins against Indiana and Dallas and completely downgrading Washington for being 0-5.

The Bobcats caught Indiana and Dallas looking past them, which is easy to do. That's not going to happen with Washington. The Wizards are desperate to get their first win after opening the season with five losses.

The Wizards don't have fancy stars or any big name bench players. They do have much better chemistry this season, though, and try harder. They were in all of their games with a chance to win in the fourth quarter. The Wizards are extremely anxious to win their first game and here's their chance.

The Bobcats are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games. They also are 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 home games versus a foe with a losing record. The Wizards, for all their losing, have an excellent recent spread history covering nine of their last 11.

The Bobcats are one team the Wizards won't lack confidence against either. Washington has won the last five in the series by an average of 16.4 points. This includes a 4-0 sweep last year with the Wizards winning by 24, 28, 3 and 17 points.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday November, 13

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAYS

Duke/ Kentucky Over 140.5: In the Opener Kentucky showed that they will still be able to score plenty this year, even with all their new faces. It will take some time for them to gel, but they did not take on a great defensive team in the opener and will take on a Duke team that struggled mightily on defense last year. Duke did look good in on defense in their opener vs Georgia State, but they are not the same kind of offensive team as the Cats are. The Duke offense is very good and they do like to run a bit and hoist up a ton of threes and they will be facing a Kentucky team that had some breakdowns vs Maryland, allowing allot of easy baskets. Both teams will struggle on defense in this one as we see a game that could reach 150.

BYU -13 over Georgia State: The Cougars had a very nice year in their first year in the WCC and they are poised to be a very good team this year. In their opener vs Tennessee they were on fire from the floor, connecting on 30-of-55 of its field goal attempts (.545), so offensively this team seems to be fine, despite losing Noah Hartsock who has moved on. Defensively BYU is also the better team here and they have a big size advantage on the Inside, which should lead to some easy baskets down low. The Panthers are just 3-13 ATS on the road vs a team with a winning home record, while the Cougars are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.


Kansas/ Michigan State over 129.5: In watching the opener for Michigan State it is clear that this team wants to get out an run a bit more this year and that should lead to more points for sure. Defensively the Spartans had their problems with the UConn running game and could have similar problems when Kansas decides to run. Kansas is usually a team that averages in the 70's and this year will be no different with 3 starters back from last years team that put up 73.9 ppg. I feel that both teams will look to push tempo in this one, plus with this expected to be a close game we can also expect allot of FT's late and/or OT. Look for this one to hit the 140's.   


Wright State -8.5 over EASTERN ILLINOIS: This is going to be a long year for EIU, as they have no real impact players on their team and they have a new HC, Jay Spoonhour, who has a mere 10 games worth of coaching experience under his belt. Last year EIU was 288th in defensive FG% (49.4% allowed) and they seem to have the same problem this year as they allowed Bradley to shoot 58% in their opener. Tonight they will take on a Wright State squad that shot 48% in the second half of their game vs Idaho. Wright State also had 4 players score in double digits and had just 6 total turnovers in the game vs the Vandals. In contrast, EIU had just 2 players score more than 6 points in their opener, they were outrebounded by 11 rebounds, they shot just 34.7% and they committed 14 TO's. Wright state is much better at both ends of the floor and should win this one rather easily.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday November, 13

Steve Janus

Orlando Magic +7

The Knicks are simply getting too much respect on the road after their 4-0 start to the season. Orlando is not a great team by any means, but they will be extremely motivated to put an end to their current four-game losing streak.

Not only will the Magic be motivated to get back on track with a W, they should also find some extra motivation given that they are such a big dog at home against an undefeated opponent.

The Knicks have been beating teams with the 3-point shot. They are shooting 43.6% from behind the arc with an average of 13 made 3-pointers per game. That simply will not hold up over the course of a season.

New York hasn't played since last Friday's 104-94 win over the Mavericks at home. While rest is normally a good thing, I believe it will hurt the Knicks. That extra couple days of rest can cause a team to lose their rhythm from the outside and playing on the road won't help matters.

While I simply can't pass up on the value Orlando is showing at home, because there is a possibility that the Knicks do indeed continue their red-hot shooting from the outside, this will be a small bet for me.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday November, 13

Jack Jones

Brooklyn Nets -6

The Brooklyn Nets are showing solid value as only a 6-point home favorite tonight over the Cleveland Cavaliers. This is a team that has opened 3-2 with one of its losses coming at the defending champion Miami Heat.

There's no question that the Nets are a strong team this season with the additions they've made. The Cavaliers did not make many upgrades this offseason, and they have struggled in the early going once again.

Cleveland is off to a 2-5 start this season. It has lost three straight contests heading in, including double-digits blowouts at Golden State and Oklahoma City. The Cavaliers are just 1-4 on the road this season, while the Nets are 2-1 at home.

The Cavaliers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Nets are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 75 points in their previous game. Bet Brooklyn Tuesday.

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