NBA Betting News and Notes Friday 11/9
NBA Betting News and Notes Friday 11/9
Friday NBA Tips
By Kevin Rogers
The Lakers and Celtics played for the NBA title in 2010, but three seasons later, these two legendary franchises are not a bettor's best friend. Los Angeles (1-4 SU/ATS) and Boston (2-2 SU/0-4 ATS) have combined to cover just once in nine tries this season, while posting a 1-5 ATS collective record as a favorite. The two teams highlight the 13-game card in the NBA on Friday, starting with a second round playoff rematch in Beantown.
76ers at Celtics
Boston found a way to escape past Philadelphia in seven games this past May to advance to the Eastern Conference Finals. The two Atlantic Division rivals meet at TD Garden on Friday, as the Celtics are coming off two close victories over the woeful Wizards. Doc Rivers' team staved off Washington by three points last Saturday in D.C., followed by an overtime triumph at home on Wednesday, but the C's failed to cash as 10-point favorites.
The Sixers invade Boston after snapping a two-game losing streak to the Knicks with a convincing 77-62 rout of New Orleans on Wednesday. The Hornets had just one player finish in double-figures, while Philadelphia held New Orleans to just 33% shooting from the field. Philadelphia is struggling to score through four games, as Doug Collins' club has been limited to 88 points or less in each contest, resulting in three 'unders.'
The Celtics have picked up their defense their last two games after allowing 106 to Miami and 99 to Milwaukee. Boston yielded 86 and 94 to Washington, while the Wizards scored just 88 in regulation on Wednesday. In spite of Paul Pierce's 2-for-12 shooting from the floor, the C's received 27 points off the bench from Jason Terry and Brandon Bass in the overtime win over the Wizards.
Dating back to the Eastern Conference Finals, the Celtics are riding a six-game ATS skid, including three straight non-covers at TD Garden in this stretch. The Celtics and Sixers alternated wins and losses in each of their seven playoff meetings, while the two teams split four matchups from an ATS perspective in Boston.
Warriors at Lakers
When will things turn around for the Lakers? That is the question thrown around by NBA fans and bettors after Los Angeles lost again on Wednesday night at Utah, falling to a Western Conference-worst 1-4 record. The Purple and Gold have cashed in just one game this season, a home victory over the winless Pistons last Sunday as 7 ½-point favorites. The Lakers will be tested once again on Friday with the surprising Warriors heading south to Staples Center.
Golden State owns a 3-2 SU and 3-1-1 ATS record through five games, while coming off Wednesday's home triumph over Cleveland. The Warriors lost center Andrew Bogut to an ankle injury, but staved off the feisty Cavaliers in a 106-96 win at Oracle Arena to cash as six-point favorites. Bogut will be out for at least a week, as the Warriors try to pick up consecutive covers for the first time this season on Friday. Golden State is already playing its fourth divisional road game, beating the Suns and Clippers, while falling by two at Sacramento.
The Lakers have cracked the 106-point barrier twice this season, but Mike Brown's offense is rather inconsistent by failing to score 100 points in back-to-back games. Utah jumped on Los Angeles with a 10-point halftime lead en route to a 95-86 win in Salt Lake City, easily cashing the 'under' of 198. The Lakers continue to play without point guard Steve Nash, as L.A. shot just 34% from the floor and received 12 points off the bench against the Jazz.
Last season's series went to the Lakers, as Los Angeles swept Golden State in all four games. However, the Warriors managed to cash three times, including twice as double-digit underdogs at Staples Center. Golden State won in Los Angeles last Saturday over the Clippers, but the Warriors haven't defeated the Lakers on the road since March 2008, a span of nine games.
Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Friday 11/9
NBA Odds, Picks and Trends: Friday, Nov. 9, 2012
By: The Linemakers
The Miami Heat have started 4-0 at home (4-1 overall) for the first time in franchise history but will encounter their first true test of the season as defending NBA Champions, as they embark on a six-game road trip that begins tonight in Atlanta. Along the way, they will also make stops in Memphis, Houston, Los Angeles (Clippers), Denver and Phoenix.
It’s rare a championship team, with its core and coach still intact, makes changes to its overall scheme. The Heat have gone from a philosophy that stressed defense to a team that now is basically saying, “we have the most talented players in the league and we will outscore you."
The Heat lead the NBA in scoring average at 110 points per game and field-goal percentage at 52 percent. They also lead the league in margin of victory at 10.2 a game.
With the offseason signings of offensive-minded Rashard Lewis and Ray Allen, coach Erik Spoelstra has figured it might be better to use their skills at maximum potential rather than get frustrated watching them try to play defense, and it has worked so far.
Defensive-minded players such as Joel Anthony, Udonis Haslem and even Mike Miller to a degree have all had their minutes cut considerably this season by a combined 33 minutes per game.
This doesn‘t mean Spoelstra doesn‘t care about defense, because he does, but he‘s stressing offense with lots of passing and taking good shots.
All of the Heat’s damage has been done at home this season. Their one road game was a 20-point loss at Madison Square Garden to the Knicks, where they were 6-points favorites.
Tonight, they’re 6-point road favorites again at Atlanta. The Hawks (2-1) have won their past two games after losing their season opener to James Harden and the Rockets. They won at Oklahoma City, 104-95, as 9-point underdogs and beat the Pacers, 89-86, on Wednesday, failing to cover the 4-point spread.
To beat the Heat tonight, the Hawks will need to play much better than they did Wednesday night. The Pacers held a 14-point lead with just over six minutes to play, and the Hawks then went on a 20-3 run, led by Kyle Korver's eight points, to close out the game.
Louis Williams leads the Hawks with 21.3 points per game off the bench, and Al Horford and Jeff Teague have averaged 19 points each.
The Heat have won five straight games in Atlanta and nine of their past 11 overall. Atlanta has a nice run of covering 11 of their past 13 against division opponents.
The Nets have lost their past 10 games against the Magic, including all three meetings last season by a margin of 16.3 points. Brooklyn is a 3-point favorite in Orlando tonight.
The Mavericks have won and covered three of their past four games against the Knicks, with three of the games going OVER the total. The Knicks are a 6-point home favorite tonight.
The Hornets have won and covered three of their past four games against the Bobcats. New Orleans is laying 7 at home vs. Charlotte.
The Pacers have won and covered three of their past four against the T-Wolves. Indiana is a 2-point dog in Minnesota on Friday.
The Spurs have won five of the past six meetings against the Kings -- covering four -- and five of the games went OVER the total. San Antonio is a 5.5 favorite on the road tonight.
The Lakers have covered only five of their past 19 Friday night home games. The Warriors have covered five of their past eight meetings with the Lakers. The Lakers are 7-point favorites tonight.
The Clippers may be on to something as the correlation between center DeAndre Jordan taking more shots and the Clips winning looks pretty strong. In back-to-back nights, Jordan has scored 20 points or more and averaged 10 rebounds in about 28 minutes of play in each. The results? The Clippers won both games, beating the then-undefeated Spurs on Wednesday and then winning Thursday at Portland.
They were 1-2 in their previous three games when Jordan scored a combined 18 points. Jordan is currently leading the league with a .750 shooting percentage.
Kobe Bryant says there is nothing to “The Kobe Bryant Death Stare” towards coach Mike Brown that has been gaining traction on YouTube. During a fourth quarter timeout in the Lakers loss at Utah Wednesday night, Bryant is seen with an intense look and his eyes following Brown.
The 1-4 start is the Lakers worst start in Bryant’s 17 seasons in Los Angeles.
Hornets center Anthony Davis (concussion) missed his last game, but coach Monty Williams says he'll be back for Friday’s game against the Bobcats.
Jazz forward Al Jefferson (stomach virus) is probable for Friday’s game against the Nuggets.
Cavs forward Anderson Varejao (knee) missed his last game but has been upgraded to probable for Friday’s game against the Suns.
Mavericks forward Elton Brand missed his last game due to being with his wife for the birth of their child in New York and is listed as probable tonight’s game at New York.
Kings rookie forward Thomas Robinson has been suspended for two games due to a flagrant foul against the Pistons Wednesday night. Robinson has averaged only 4.4 points and 3.6 rebounds per game this season.
Warriors center Andrew Bogut will be sidelined 7-10 days as a precautionary move to allow for his surgically-repaired ankle to heal. Bogut has averaged 18 minutes per game, producing 6.0 points and 3.8 rebounds.
Bulls forward Luol Deng injured his thumb Thursday night against the Thunder and is questionable for Saturday’s game against the T-Wolves.
Raptors guard Kyle Lowry (ankle) missed his last game and is questionable Saturday against the 76ers.
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