College Basketball Betting News and Notes Friday 11/9

College Basketball Betting News and Notes Friday 11/9

Carrier Classic: Ohio State vs. Marquette
By Covers.com

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Marquette Golden Eagles (+5, 145.5)

Fourth-ranked Ohio State begins the post-Jared Sullinger era Friday when it meets Marquette in the second annual Carrier Classic in Charleston, S.C. The game will be played on the deck of the USS Yorktown, which resides in the Patriots Point complex in Charleston Harbor.

The Buckeyes reached the Final Four last season, but Sullinger decided to forgo his senior year for the NBA draft. No one should shed a tear for coach Thad Matta, however, since Ohio State returns plenty of talent and should once again be a major factor when March rolls around.

The Golden Eagles' roster also took a hit. Jae Crowder, last season's Big East Player of the Year, and All-Big East guard Darius Johnson-Odom have both moved on to the NBA.

While the Buckeyes are expected to contend with Indiana and Michigan in the loaded Big Ten, Marquette has been picked to finish seventh in the Big East.

WEATHER: The forecast for Charleston, S.C is calling for clear skies and temperatures in the mid 40s Friday night. Winds are expected to blow NNE between 10 and 5 mph.

"Offense could be a problem for both teams," John Avello, sportsbook director at the Wynn, told Covers about last year's Carrier Classic between UNC and MSU. "Shooters usually have a difficult time when their backgrounds are changed - it doesn't matter if we're talking about an NFL stadium or an aircraft carrier."

ABOUT OHIO STATE (2011-12: 31-8, 20-14 ATS): In addition to losing Sullinger, one of the best post players in the country, wing player William Buford, who scored 1,990 career points, has also moved on. The two were main cogs on a team that finished in a three-way tie for the Big Ten regular-season title and won the conference tournament.

Power forward Deshaun Thomas and point guard Aaron Craft will carry the Buckeyes this season. Thomas, an explosive player who stands 6 feet 7, has the talent to score 20 points per game and is a difficult matchup for anyone. Craft does an outstanding job in running the offense and is one of the top backcourt defenders in the nation. The Buckeyes have only one senior and Matta will be looking to inexperienced players to fill the holes at center and small forward.

ABOUT MARQUETTE (2011-12: 27-8, 18-13-1 ATS): Fifth-year coach Buzz Williams admits he over-scheduled considering how much talent his team has lost. In addition to Ohio State, the Golden Eagles will play Butler, Florida and Wisconsin and face a possible matchup with North Carolina in the Maui Invitational.

Williams will rely a lot on Trent Lockett, a graduate-student transfer who led Arizona State in scoring and rebounding last season. Lockett, who will be part of a three-guard offense, averaged 13 points and 5.8 rebounds last year. Vander Blue and Junior Cadougan are the other guards, but the Golden Eagles won't be able to replace Johnson-Odom's outside shooting. Williams is expecting big things from forward Jamil Wilson, who averaged 7.1 points, 4.1 rebounds and a team-high 1.4 blocks last season.

TRENDS:


* Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last five Friday games.
* Buckeyes are 6-2 ATS in their last eight vs. Big East.
* Golden Eagles are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
* Golden Eagles are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine non-conference games.

TIP-INS:

1. Matta has never lost in 12 season openers when he coached at Butler (1-0), Xavier (3-0) and Ohio State (8-0).

2. Marquette G Todd Mayo, who averaged 7.9 points last season as freshman, is academically ineligible.

3. Ohio State leads the all-time series 5-4, but the teams haven't played since 1994 - an 82-70 win for Marquette.

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Re: College Basketball Betting News and Notes Friday 11/9

Crash Course in College Hoops Betting
By Jason Logan
By Covers.com

College basketball doesn’t see the shine of the nation spotlight until the football guys have their say, which leaves only the hardcore hoop heads wagering on NCAAB early into the schedule.

If you’re thinking of jumping into college hoops but haven’t been doing your homework all summer like the sharps, here’s a quick season primer to get you up to speed before the NCAAB season tips off Friday:

Figuring the futures

The Indiana Hoosiers opened at +700 to win the 2012-13 national title a few days after the confetti fell in Louisiana, behind favorite Kentucky at +600.

Over the summer, the Wildcats fell to +1200 after the bulk of their talent headed to the pros and the Hoosiers were crowned faves, sticking at +700 ahead of Kentucky and Louisville at +800. Indiana was also tabbed as the preseason No. 1 in the national polls last month.

Now that we’re on the eve of the new season, bettors are jumping back on the UK bandwagon, moving Kentucky to +550. Indiana remains at +700, despite some suspensions to incoming freshmen and UL is holding its best value at +1000.

Rounding out the notable programs are North Carolina (+1200), Ohio State (+1800), Duke (+1800), Arizona (+1800) and Florida (+1800).

Last season’s best and worst bets

Best ATS: New Mexico Lobos (28-7 SU, 23-9-0 ATS)
Worst ATS: USC Trojans (6-26 SU, 9-22-0 ATS)
Best Over: Hawaii Warriors (16-16 SU, 20-8 over/under)
Best Under: South Florida Bulls (22-14 SU, 10-23 over/under)

Possible moneymakers

Tennessee Volunteers (19-15 SU, 20-11-1 ATS)

The Vols surprisingly finished near the top of the SEC pack last season and boasted a strong ATS record because of it. Tennessee proved it could play with the best in the conference, taking UK to the limit at home and scoring wins over Florida and Vanderbilt. Head coach Cuonzo Martin made leaps and bounds in his first year in Knoxville and returns three starters and adds JuCo standout D’Montre Edwards. With Kentucky, Florida and new comer Missouri hogging the headlines, the Volunteers could slide under the radar for second straight season.

North Carolina State (24-13 SU, 18-14-1 ATS)

Before you go scrambling for the comment section below to write some smart-assed remark about N.C. State being the favorite to win the ACC this season – hear me out. While the Wolfpack are +135 faves to claim their first ACC title since 1987, remember who they share the conference with. North Carolina State will always be a third fiddle behind Duke and UNC in the ACC even if they’re first in the standings. The Wolfpack need to knock off those two heavyweights, against whom they went a collective 0-4 SU and 2-2 ATS last season, before books and bettors start treating them as equals.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (22-12 SU, 12-14-2 ATS)

The Irish are projected to finish inside the top 5 in the Big East and some are saying this is a Sweet 16 team in the making. A roster loaded with returning talent, including all five starters, is a step in the right direction. Notre Dame does the little things that win ball games, namely taking care of the basketball. The three-guard back court of Eric Atkins, Jerian Grant and Scott Martin is one of the most underrated in the land.

Team to fade

Central Florida Knights (22-11 SU, 15-11-1 ATS)

The NCAA sent some of the Knights’ best players running for the hills with sanctions on the school’s football and basketball programs due to recruiting violations. With a tournament ban hovering over the program, top talents Josh Crittle and C.J. Reed transferred out and Marcus Jordan decided to sit out his senior year. That left Donnie Jones with returning starters Keith Clanton and Isaiah Sykes along with some unproven freshmen legs. Central Florida, which makes the jump to the Big East in 2013-14, may just want to put this mess behind it and start fresh in a new conference next year.

Cinderella’s slipper

North Texas Mean Green (18-14 SU, 17-7-2 ATS)

Just like how Murray State and all-world guard Isaiah Canaan dominated the Ohio Valley last year, North Texas and big man Tony Mitchell could run the table in the Sun Belt – and beyond this season. The Mean Green have one of the best players in the country in the 6-foot-8 sophomore, who dominates the glass with his freakish athletic ability, swats shots into the 15th row, and makes the nightly highlight reels down in Denton. Oh, and he led the Sun Belt in 3-point percentage last season. Mitchell was projected to be a high draft pick last year and will be a lottery darling after taking the Mean Green to the dance and possibly playing Cinderella. He'll have his coming-out party versus another mid-major monster, Creighton, Friday night. Player of the Year - cough, cough!

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Re: College Basketball Betting News and Notes Friday 11/9

NCAAB Friday

It is very, very early; teams started practicing four weeks ago tonight, so with so many games tonight, have to look carefully for a bargain, but at first, we're just trying to gather knowledge as the season starts. Here are some notes on tonight's college basketball games..........

-- UConn has a new coach (Ollie) and this game is in Germany, so hard to tell about them. Michigan State is more athletic this year, but Izzo's teams sometimes struggle in pre-conference play.

-- Marquette is deep on perimeter despite Mayo being ineligible (grades) six of their eight rotation guys are juniors/seniors. Ohio State has three starters back, is picked #4 in Big Dozen- they beat two Big East teams in NCAA tournament last March. One of those battleship games.

-- Kent State has seven new players, but two are JC guys who are more likely to produce quickly. Drexel won 29 games LY but missed NCAAs, has four starters back, and is looking for first NCAAs since '96.

-- Tulane was 9-0 after upsetting Georgia Tech 57-52 at home LY; they went 6-16 from that point on, finished last in C-USA, but they have all their guys back this year. Georgia Tech has four starters back, but they were 11-20 LY in Gregory's first year as coach.

-- Florida State humiliated South Alabama 80-39 LY; Jaguars were 0-24 from the arc in that game. USA has all five of its starters back, Seminoles lost almost half its scoring from LY.

-- Georgetown's roster shows four freshman, four sophs, two juniors, no seniors; they're thin at guard. Florida returns two-thirds of its scoring and is deep. This game is on a battleship, an outdoor game.

-- George Mason turned ball over 22% of time LY, not good; they lost at Virginia 68-48 and Cavaliers are better this year, while Patriots lost three double figure scorers off LY's team that went 24-9, 14-4 in CAA.

-- UCLA unveils refurbished Pauley Pavilion, playing Indiana State, the other school that John Wooden coached at. Bruins don't have freshman star Muhammad eligible yet, they have nine scholarship guys. Indiana State lost four starters, 42 ppg from LY's 18-15 team.

-- South Dakota State has four starters back from 28-8 team that lost to Baylor 68-60 in NCAAs LY; they can shoot. Alabama has four starters back from LY's NCAA team and added star freshman Pollard.

-- Iona went out west LY and beat Denver 80-78 in OT; Gaels have lot of new guys but still have star G Jones, an Arizona transfer, they're #3 pick in MAAC. Denver runs Princeton style; they're picked #2 in their 1st year in WAC. Pioneers have three starters back from 22-9 club.

-- Montana's star G Cherry (foot) is out for month; Griz have two other starters back from LY's 25-7 team that lost 64-58 at Colorado St. Rams have new coach (Eustachy), four starters back from 20-12 team that made NCAAs. 6-10 transfer Iverson (Minnesota) will improve them.

-- Mississippi State has seven new players, a new coach and is picked to finish 14th in 14-team SEC; they crushed Troy 106-68 LY. Trojans have three starters back from LY's 10-18 team, but lost two other starters who transferred out before their senior seasons.

-- Kentucky has another talented, yet mostly-new team this year, one that isn't as talented as LY, but still real good. Maryland got boost when Xavier transfer Wells was declared eligible this week; they've got couple starters back from LY, but the transfers will help Turgeon's team- they are picked to finish 6th in ACC.

Armadillosports.com

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Re: College Basketball Betting News and Notes Friday 11/9

Michigan State, UConn Tip Off College Basketball Season
By: Michael Robinson
DonBest.com

Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies

Michigan State Spartans: This is the season opener for both teams and part of the Armed Forces Classic that will take place at Ramstein Air Base in Germany. Coach Tom Izzo’s squad is ranked No. 14 in the preseason AP and Coaches Polls after losing to Louisville (57-44) in the Sweet Sixteen last year. Gone is leading scorer and rebounder Draymond Green (16.2 points and 10.6 rebounds per game), but there are two capable big men remaining in 6-foot-9 Derrick Nix and 6-foot-10 Adreian Payne. The scoring is likely going to have to come from point guard Keith Appling (11.4 PPG last year), forward Branden Dawson and shooting guard Gary Harris. The sophomore Dawson appears healthy despite tearing his ACL last March while Harris is a very highly-recruited freshman.

Connecticut Huskies: UConn is without longtime head coach Jim Calhoun, who has retired and leaves the team in somewhat disarray, being ineligible for postseason play. Former UConn star Kevin Ollie takes over for Calhoun after playing several years in the NBA and serving two years as an assistant under Calhoun. The Huskies are unranked after losing leading scorer Jeremy Lamb and big men Andre Drummond, Alex Oriakhi and Roscoe Smith. The first two are in the NBA while the latter two transferred. Enosch Wolf is a big body at 7-foot-1, but he’s questionable with a concussion (click for updated college basketball injury report), so the Huskies could have a big size disadvantage against the Spartans. The backcourt does have two returning veterans in Shabazz Napier (13 PPG) and Ryan Boatright (10.4 PPG), although the pair is also undersized with neither above 6-foot-1. Michigan State beat UConn in the 2009 Final Four (82-73 as 4 ½-point underdogs) with the Huskies getting some revenge (70-67 as 6-point ‘dogs) in the November 2010 Maui Invitational.

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Re: College Basketball Betting News and Notes Friday 11/9

College Basketball Handicapping: Thoughts and Opinions
By Andrew Lange
Sportsmemo.com

Here are some thoughts and opinions on tonight's college basketball card.

Michigan State vs. UConn - No opinion. I don't do games in Germany.

Ohio State vs. Marquette - Leaned Ohio State off the opener but price seems fair and Williams will have his kids ready to fight.

Fresno vs. Texas - Fresno still rebuilding. Market reacting to Myck Kabongo being out. Disagree with the move.

Miami (OH) at NC State - Miami w/ new coach (Cooper from TSU). Don't like what I see on paper. I'm very leery of NC State this year but line may be a tad short.

Georgia State at Duke - No opinion.

Drexel at Kent State - Market hammered this one. Kent completely new facing Grade-A defense – Drexel made huge strides on offense LY as well. Agree with the move.

Tulane at Georgia Tech - Like both teams. Line is fair.

South Alabama at Florida State - Florida State had its struggles last season when asked to win by margin and the Seminoles are YOUNG. South Alabama returns a lot of experience, has talent, and I'd lean that way even with the move.

Georgetown vs. Florida - Florida deserves to be favored, but this price is getting a bit crazy.

Virginia at George Mason - Mason suspended two guys but Cavs have no PG because of injuries. UVA did play a few closed door scrimmages vs. VCU and Baylor while Mason played Bowie State. Always the potential for Bennett to coach circles around Hewitt as well. Market took out all the 3.5's about an hour ago -- value play.

North Texas at Creighton - Like both teams, no opinion.

Cal Poly at TCU - Poly at +4 or above worth a play.

Louisiana Tech at Texas A&M - No opinion.

Mississippi State at Troy - I'll end up betting Troy for something.

Fordham at Texas State - Lean Fordham.

Toledo at Loyola - Toledo with 5 returning starters, but Loyola much healthier after last year's disaster.

Santa Barbara at LSU - No opinion.

Maryland at Kentucky - Market sensing Kentucky doesn't have the horses they did last year. I agree with move.

UC Davis at Oklahoma State - Brent likes Oklahoma State, I'm still on the fence. I'd bet them way ahead of UC Davis though.

Riverside at DePaul - I may take a shot with DePaul 1st half.

Pepperdine at Northridge - Yuck.

Wright State at Idaho - No opinion.

Indiana State at UCLA - Under no circumstance will I be betting UCLA based on projection and that is what this line is. ISU lost a lot but they'll scratch and claw.

Stanford at San Fran - Lot of turnover for Dons though line seems pretty rich for a Dawkins coached team outside of Maples.

Wofford at Colorado - I bet Colorado.

St. Peter's at Rutgers - No opinion.

Towson at C of C - Towson going to be improved but how much and when this takes place still up in the air. Pass.

Mizz-KC at Seton Hall - No opinion.

Samford at Austin Peay - Lean Samford. Peay lost a ton from a not-so-good team.

Fort Wayne at Auburn - Yuck.

Eastern Illinois at Bradley - I honestly thought this one would come out around -7 or -8. Can't play Bradley at this price even though EIU sucks.

Northern Illinois at Nebraska-Omaha - Brent and I spent 20 minutes trying to find something with this game. All we could come up with was that we'd start for both squads.

SEMO at Kansas - May take a shot with SEMO 1st half.

North Dakota at Kansas State - No opinion.

UT Martin at Ark-Little Rock - Little Rock with some injuries but they are still the side I would prefer.

Georgia Southern at Valpo - No opinion.

Tennessee State at BYU - Line seems a little short. BYU a tough home court.

South Dakota State at Alabama - Would have loved to grab +10 with SDSU. Market too aware of strong underdogs.

Denver at Iona - Like both teams. Pass.

Montana at Colorado State - No Will Cherry for Grizz. Lean CSU.

Southern Utah at Gonzaga - Zags can name the score in this one.

Niagara at Oregon State - I like Niagara and don't trust OSU laying DDs. Need to look at this one closer.

Bucknell at Purdue - Prefer the UNDER and lean Bucknell.

Bryant at Indiana - Hoosiers hang 90+ if they want.

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Re: College Basketball Betting News and Notes Friday 11/9

College Basketball Odds and Trends: Friday, November 9, 2012
By: The Linemakers 
Sportingnews.com

Here's a look at Friday's college basketball games involving ranked teams. Only games for which Las Vegas sports books are offering odds are shown. The games are listed in order of the official Nevada rotation.

No. 14 Michigan State vs. Connecticut - 5:30 p.m. ET at Ramstein Air Force Base, Rheinland, Germany

Line: Michigan State -8, Total 132

Trends: Connecticut has covered 17 of its past 21 games on a neutral court. The Huskies also won and covered their last meeting with MSU, and the game stayed UNDER the total.

The Linemakers take: UConn doesn’t have the talent to stay with OSU for 40 minutes

No. 4 Ohio State vs. Marquette - 7:00 p.m. ET on board the USS Yorktown, Charleston, SC

Line: Ohio State -6.5, Total: 131

Trends: Marquette has covered 13 of its past 17 games as an underdog.

The Linemakers take: It's Buzz Williams’ system at Marquette, not the players. Watch out for transfer Trent Lockett from Arizona State

Miami-Ohio at No. 6 N.C. State - 7:00 p.m. ET

Line: N.C. State -21

Trends: Miami-Ohio is 25-12 ATS in all road November games since 1997. N.C. State has covered only three of its past 14 home games.

Georgia State at No. 8 Duke - 7:00 p.m. ET

Line: Duke -20, Total: 132

Trends: Duke is 97-65 ATS as a home favorite of 12.5 points or higher since 1997. However, the Blue Devils have gone 7-19 ATS overall in their last 26 home games.

The Linemakers take: Duke returns three double-figure scorers from last season and adds McDonald’s All-Americans Rasheed Sulaimon and Amile Jefferson. Only two of Georgia State's top eight scorers from last season’s 22-win team return.

South Alabama at No. 25 Florida State - 7:00 p.m. ET.

Line: Florida State -13

Trends: Florida State won and covered its last meeting with South Alabama, and has won 10 of its last 12 games against them.

The Linemakers take: Should be a special year for All-American candidate Michael Snaer, who returns as Florida State's leading scorer.

No. 10 Florida vs. Georgetown - 9:00 p.m. ET at Jacksonville, Fla., on deck of USS Bataan

Line: Florida -5, Total: 124

Trends: Georgetown has covered nine of its past 10 November games. They have also covered 16 of past 20 non-conference games.

North Texas at Creighton - 8:00 p.m. ET

Line: Creighton -10

Trends: North Texas has covered 10 of its past 12 road games.

The Linemakers take: Great matchup with Tony Mitchell of North Texas going against Doug McDermott of Creighton.

No. 3 Kentucky vs. Maryland - 8:30 p.m. ET At Barclay’s Center - Brooklyn, NY

Line: Kentucky -10

The Linemakers take: Xavier transfer Dez Wells was ruled eligible for Maryland, a huge boost for the Terps backcourt.

Indiana State at UCLA – 11:00 p.m. ET

Line: UCLA -16.5, Total 131.5

SE Missouri State at No. 7 Kansas - 8:00 p.m. ET

Line: Kansas -22

Trends: Kansas has won 39 consecutive home openers and is 18-0 all-time against the Ohio Valley Conference.

Southern Utah at No. 21 Gonzaga - 9:00 p.m. ET

Line: Gonzaga -23

The Linemakers take: Outstanding Zags backcourt with sophomore's Gary Bell Jr. and Kevin Pangos, who can light it up from long range with great consistency.

Bryant at No. 1 Indiana - 8:00 p.m. - ET

Line: -33, Total: 147.5

Trends: Indiana has covered its past six November home games.

The Linemakers take: All five starters return from the team that beat No. 1 (Kentucky), No. 2 (Ohio State) and No. 5 (Michigan State) last season.

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