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NBA Betting News and Notes Tuesday 11/6

NBA Betting News and Notes Tuesday 11/6

Game of the day: Raptors at Thunder

Toronto Raptors at Oklahoma City Thunder (-8.5, 199)

Whatever the problem is with the Oklahoma City Thunder, it isn’t newcomer Kevin Martin. The defending Western Conference champs have dropped two of their first three games despite strong efforts from Martin, who has taken over James Harden’s vacated role as sixth man. Looking to take advantage of the brief stumble by the Thunder will be the Toronto Raptors, who visit Oklahoma City on Tuesday. The Raptors bring some momentum and a solid backcourt into the matchup.

The Thunder struggled defensively in the second half of a home loss to the Atlanta Hawks on Sunday and did not help themselves with 21 turnovers. Martin was the bright spot off the bench and has hit 12 of 17 3-point attempts in the first three games. The Raptors have a backcourt that they believe they can build around, and the early returns from the Kyle Lowry-DeMar DeRozan pairing are strong. The two each scored 22 points and took turns scoring and distributing in a win over Minnesota on Sunday.

LINE: OKC opened at -9 and has been bet down to -8.5. The total opened at 199 points.

ABOUT THE RAPTORS (1-2, 1-2 ATS): Toronto brought in Lowry over the summer and signed DeRozan to an extension with the idea that the two could thrive together. After a bumpy first two games, those two came together against the Timberwolves on Sunday. Lowry was the main scorer during a surge in the second quarter that gave the Raptors the lead and DeRozan took over at the end. Toronto has also showed a willingness to buy into coach Dwane Casey’s defensive system, holding two of their first three opponents to 90 points or less.

ABOUT THE THUNDER (1-2, 1-1-1 ATS): Martin is not the same force on the pick-and-roll and does not get to the rim like Harden did, but he can certainly put up points in bunches. With the defense focusing on Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook, Martin went for 28 points on 8-of-11 shooting in the 104-95 loss to Atlanta on Sunday. Defensively, Oklahoma City had trouble with Lou Williams and Jeff Teague of the Hawks and will need to correct that to stop DeRozan and Lowry. Durant has recorded a double-double in each of the first three games but has also turned the ball over 16 times.


* Home team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.
* Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.
* Raptors are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
* Raptors are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings in Oklahoma City.


1. Martin has averaged 16.5 points on 39.0 percent shooting in 15 career games against the Raptors - his third-worst shooting percentage against any opponent.

2. The Thunder took last season’s meeting, 91-75, behind 23 points from Durant. Toronto forward Andrea Bargnani missed the second half of that game with a calf injury.

3. Lowry’s emergence has taken playing time from point guard Jose Calderon, who has seen his time drop from 25 minutes in the first game to 21 in the second and 14 in the third.

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Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Tuesday 11/6

Tuesday Tips
By Kevin Rogers

Entering the second week of the NBA season, obviously the Thunder, Lakers, and Celtics at 1-2 each have turned heads. One of the teams that were predicted to do very little this season is exceeding expectations so far as the Magic owns a perfect 2-0 record. Orlando will try to extend its winning streak to three on Tuesday with a light three-game schedule inside the league.

Magic at Bulls

When Dwight Howard exited Orlando and headed to Los Angeles in the offseason, many people believed this was the beginning of the end for the Magic. However, through two games this season, new head coach Jacque Vaughn has the Magic at 2-0 following victories over the Nuggets and Suns at home. Now, Orlando travels to Chicago to take on a Bulls' team that is still without its star until 2013.
The Bulls have started 2-1 without Derrick Rose, who is still rehabbing from a torn ACL suffered in the opening round of last season's playoffs. Chicago squeaked by Sacramento in the season opener, but failed to cover as 6½-point favorites in a 93-87 victory. The Bulls rebounded nicely in their first road game at Cleveland, drubbing the Cavs early and often in a 115-86 rout as three-point 'chalk.' On Saturday, Chicago couldn't take advantage of top pick Anthony Davis' absence from the New Orleans lineup in an 89-82 home defeat to the Hornets. Tom Thibodeau's club shot just 33% from the floor, while missing 14 of 17 three-point attempts in the loss.

Orlando stunned Denver in the season opener as six-point home underdogs, 102-89, as the Magic grabbed a 21-point halftime advantage. Glen Davis and J.J. Redick combined to score 50 points, as the Magic shot nearly 49% against the questionable defense of the the Nuggets. The Magic almost suffered a letdown on Sunday against the re-tooled Suns, trailing by 15 points in the third quarter. Orlando blitzed Phoenix by going on a ridiculous 36-11 run over a span of 8:30 minutes to put the game out of reach.

The road team won all three meetings last season, as the Magic took the lone matchup at the United Center as six-point 'dogs, 99-94. Since January 2011, Chicago owns a 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS record against Orlando.

Raptors at Thunder

Oklahoma City has failed to win consecutive contests this season (granted through three games), as the Thunder wraps up a three-game homestand with the Raptors. The Hawks took care of the Thunder as 9½-point road 'dogs on Sunday, as Atlanta won without Josh Smith in the lineup. Early on, people are wondering if the Thunder made the right decision by dealing James Harden to the Rockets prior to the season, as OKC has scored 84 and 95 points in two losses.

Toronto finally broke through the win column on Sunday with a 105-86 blowout of Minnesota as 3½-point home favorites. The Raps hung tough in losses to the Pacers and Nets in the first two games, but failed to cover in each of those defeats. In the victory over the Wolves, the backcourt duo of Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan combined for 44 points, while Toronto nailed 10 treys in the win.

The Raptors picked up a 95-93 upset over the Thunder in March 2011 as 14½-point road underdogs, the first victory for Toronto in Oklahoma City since the Thunder moved from Seattle. OKC avenged that loss with a 91-75 home triumph this past April, barely covering as 12½-point favorites.

Pistons at Nuggets

Detroit and Denver own a combined 0-6 record, while covering just two games through the first week. The Nuggets are the last team to play their home opener following three losses on their trip to Philadelphia, Orlando, and Miami. George Karl's club managed a cover as an 8 ½-point underdog against the Heat on Saturday, falling short in a 119-116 defeat.

The Pistons have failed to break the 96-point mark in all three games, while losing the first two contests on their West Coast swing to the Suns and Lakers. In Sunday's blowout loss in Los Angeles, Detroit never competed against the previously winless Lakers, falling behind 34-13 after just one quarter. Detroit looks to snap a three-game skid at the Pepsi Center, even though the Pistons cashed as 8½-point 'dogs last season in a 116-115 shootout loss.

The Nuggets compiled a 21-12 SU record as a home favorite in 2012, but Denver cashed just 15 times in 33 tries in this role. As a double-digit favorite at Pepsi Center, the Nuggets profited slightly by covering six of 11 times, while splitting four games off a loss.

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Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Tuesday 11/6

NBA: Streaks, Tips, Notes

Toronto Raptors at Oklahoma City Thunder

The Oklahoma Thunder take on Toronto Raptors at Chesapeake Energy Arena in one of only three scheduled for the NBA Tuesday. Thunder suffering their second setback of the season Sunday falling 104-95 to the Hawks should be feeling pretty good about their chances for a bounce. Thunder are a smart 17-2 (11-7-1 ATS) at home off a loss as a favorite, 16-4 (12-7-1 ATS) on home court after scoring =< 95 PPG. If that were not enough, Raptors earning their first victory of the season Sunday night, beating Minnesota 105-86 enter a dismal 5-24 (9-19 ATS) following a game in which they scored => 105 points and are are an awful 2-6 SU/ATS skid as a road dog vs the Northwest. Stick with Thunder knowing they're on a 3-1 SU/ATS stretch at home vs Raptors with winning margin of 10.5 points/game.

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Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Tuesday 11/6

NBA Betting News and Notes

The NBA season still has that “new car” smell with teams only playing a handful of games heading into Monday’s slate.

That small sample size isn't holding us back from dissecting the first six days of the schedule. Here are the best and worst bets in the NBA, so far…

Best ATS

New Orleans Hornets (2-1 SU, 3-0 ATS)

The Hornets scored a big 89-82 win over the Chicago Bulls, minus Anthony Davis, as 9.5-point road underdogs Saturday. New Orleans got a great game from center Robin Lopez and out-muscled a Bulls team known for throwing its weight around. Davis is recovering from a concussion and is questionable for Wednesday’s game in Philadelphia. The No. 1 overall pick was stellar in his first one and a half games as a pro before catching an accidental elbow. His shot- blocking can only help New Orleans improve on its fourth-ranked defense, which is allowing 89 points a night.

Worst ATS

Boston Celtics (1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS)

The Celtics are tied with the Phoenix Suns for the worst bet to start the season, but who in their right mind is betting the Suns? Boston has a loyal following, which has suffered in the first week. Without a true center – Kevin Garnett has taken on that role – the Celtics are allowing opponents to score 101.7 points on 48 percent shooting (27th in the NBA). On offense, Boston has struggled to find a replacement for Ray Allen’s output and Avery Bradley’s injury compounds those problems.

Best Over

Dallas Mavericks (2-1 SU, 3-0 over/under)

The Mavs offense was supposed to stall without Dirk Nowitzki knocking down leaners from the wing. However, Dallas has put the gas pedal down and gone with a smaller, quick-hitting lineup that is averaging 106.3 points per game through the first three outings. New faces Darren Collison, O.J. Mayo and rookie Jae Crowder have helped pick up the scoring slack and oddsmakers have helped out as well, trimming the Mavericks’ totals due to Dirk’s absence.

Best Under

Oklahoma City Thunder (1-2 SU, 1-2 over/under)

There were a ton of teams to pick from for the best under bet, even a few 0-2 over/under squads. But, in the interest of uncovering value, the Thunder have to be the best under bet through three games – even though one did top the total. Last season, Oklahoma City averaged more than 103 points and ranked third in scoring. This year, OKC is puttering along at 95 points per game out of the blocks. The James Harden trade took away the Thunder’s boost off the bench, allowing for an offensive letdown when Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook take a seat. That’s a big hole in the game plan. Can Kevin Martin be that guy? Maybe he should try growing a beard.

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Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Tuesday 11/6

NBA Odds, Picks and Trends: Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2012
By: The Linemakers

The Chicago Bulls have the tough task of trying to find offense without Derrick Rose, and the Orlando Magic have turned the page on the Dwight Howard era. The two teams square off tonight, with the Magic adapting a little better than the Bulls so far.

Orlando is 2-0 on the season and have been led by Glen “Big Baby” Davis, who is off to a fast start with averages of 25.5 point and 9 rebounds a game. His contributions have been huge, as the Magic are without Hedu Turkoglu and are likely to be without point guard Jameer Nelson again tonight. Another bright spot has been J.J. Redick’s instant offense off the bench and 22.5 points a game average on 16-of-25 shooting.

The Bulls started out 2-0, but then imploded defensively in their last game, a home loss to the Hornets, who were playing without Anthony Davis. The defensive effort got so bad that three Bulls starters — Richard Hamilton, Kirk Hinrich and Carlos Boozer— were all benched for the entire fourth quarter of what was a close game.

Coach Tom Thibodeau hopes that the benching of the key players works in the Bulls’ favor tonight. Thibodeau was obviously making a statement and sacrificed the chance of a win against a bad team in order to wake his team up defensively. Stuff like that tends to work in college, but the pros are a different story. We‘ll see how it all unfolds tonight against the Magic. The Bulls are 9-point favorites — a bit excessive — with a total of 188

The Bulls have won five of the past six meetings, the one loss over that stretch coming in Chicago on March 8, 2012. Chicago has covered four of the past seven games in this series, and five of those have stayed UNDER the total.

NBA trends:

—The Raptors have covered only four of their past 18 games when they are a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points. They play at Oklahoma City tonight and are getting +8.5.

—The Nuggets have won their past three meetings against the Pistons — covering twice — and all three games have gone OVER the total.

NBA notes:

—O.J. Mayo had his second straight performance of 30 points or more last night in the Mavericks 114-91 win over the Blazers. The Mavericks are 3-1 and have been one of the pleasant surprises of the young season, all while playing without Dirk Nowitzki. The Mavericks continue to piece together entirely new lineups and have success, while a team like the Lakers filled with superstars can’t seem to find chemistry.

—The Knicks are 3-0 for the first time in 13 years after beating the 76ers for the second straight day Monday night.

—The Spurs are 4-0 for the first time in franchise history after beating the Pacers, 101-79, Monday night.

NBA injuries:

—Raptors forward Linas Kleiza is doubtful for tonight’s game for personal reasons.

—Pistons forward Corey Maggette (calf) is doubtful in Denver tonight.

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