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NBA Betting News and Notes Sunday 11/4
NBA Betting News and Notes Sunday 11/4
NBA Odds, Picks and Notes
By: The Linemakers
As the Lakers continue to struggle, they have to be wondering why the NBA chose to have them be the only team playing four games in the first six days of the season. The Lakers have lost the first three games by an average of just over nine points per game, but yet they come into tonight's game against the winless Pistons as 8-point favorites.
The last time the Lakers started 0-3 was 1978, during the unmotivated Abdul-Jabbar years -- pre-Magic. They have never started 0-4 since the franchise moved to Los Angeles.
In Las Vegas, bettors are going through this process of trying to gauge when the time is right to jump in on the Lakers, the most popular team throughout the city. The sports books are jumping when Lakers games are on at night with most of the fans having a ticket on the Lakers. But now, even the most diehard fan is having trouble buying into the Lakers.
The only thing bettors can feel comfortable with right now is betting the OVER in their games since all three Lakers games have gone that way. Tonight's total is posted at 191; the Pistons have gone 1-1 in totals this season.
Despite the Pistons averaging only 92 points in their first two games, their average figures to go up tonight just because the Lakers’ defense has been so bad. The Lakers have a flyswatter in the middle with Dwight Howard that was supposed to cover up their age deficiencies on defense, but that hasn't been the case. They've also been careless with the ball, turning it over 59 times in the three losses. Bad defense and turning the ball over is an awful recipe for success.
The Lakers had a five-game winning streak against the Pistons snapped last March, but they've beaten the Pistons the last two games at Staples Center by a combined 38 points.
The Pistons biggest problem thus far has been Rodney Stuckey, who averaged 14.8 points last season, but is averaging just five points a game this year. He was 0-for-7 from the field Friday night at Phoenix.
Steve Nash will be out for at least a week because of a hairline fracture in his leg. Steve Blake will get the bulk of the minutes as a replacement.
The Lakers should avoid going to 0-4 just because the Pistons look almost as awful as they do, but chances are this game will be close because of all the chemistry issues the Lakers have. They'll be fine in the long run when all their superstars get on the same page, but for now, they're not.
As far as the spread goes, consider that even good Lakers teams had trouble putting away bad teams. Over the past three seasons, the Lakers have gone 19-38 against-the-spread when playing against a team with a losing record.
* The Nuggets (+8.5) covered for the fifth straight time against the Heat on Saturday night, but the Heat pulled out the 119-116 win thanks to the newest member of their team, Ray Allen, who drained a 3-pointer in the final seconds when down by one. Allen also got fouled on the play and made the free throw. Chris Bosh had his best game with the Heat scoring 40 points.
* The Hornets stunned the Bulls Saturday night in Chicago, 89-82, as 9.5-point underdogs. But what might be more stunning is that Bulls coach Tom Thibodeau left starters Kirk Hinrich, Richard Hamilton and Carlos Boozer on the bench for the entire fourth quarter. The trio shot 4-for-26 from the field, but Thibodeau said their poor defensive effort the entire game was the reason for the benching.
* Boston started rookie Jared Sullinger Saturday night in place of Brandon Bass, and he produced four points and seven rebounds in 30 minutes. Paul Pierce scored 27 points as the Celtics beat the Wizards for their first win this season.
* Mavericks center Chris Kaman made his season debut after missing the two previous games and scored 16 points on 8-of-9 shooting in a 126-99 win over the Bobcats.
* Hawks forward Josh Smith (ankle) is OUT tonight at Oklahoma City.
* Warriors forward Brandon Rush will miss the remainder of the season after tearing his ACL Friday night.
NBA Trends for Sunday:
* The Knicks have covered five of their past seven games against the 76ers and have gone UNDER the total in eight of their past 10.
* The Magic have won and covered their past three games against the Suns. The favorite has covered six straight.
* Minnesota and Toronto have gone UNDER the total in their past five meetings and the favorite is 11-1 ATS in their last 12.
* Hawks are 1-6 ATS in past seven meetings in OKC.