Breeders Cup Picks and Predictions

Breeders Cup Picks and Predictions

WIZARD

CB= Crystal Ball play ( Best Bet )

R1 # 1-4-3
R2 # 2-10-3-7
R3 # 5-4-3
R4 # 6 (CB)-2-5-3
R5 # 9-3-8-6
R6 # 6 (CB)-5-7-3
R7 # 13-9-10-1
R8 # 9 (CB)-4-6-1
R9 # 5-3-1-12
R10 # 4 (CB)-8-7-13
R11 # 2-9-6-3
R12 # 5 (GAME ON DUDE)- # 10 (RON THE GREEK)- # 11 (MUCHO MACHO MAN)- # 2 (FLAT OUT)

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Re: Breeders Cup Picks and Predictions

JUDE FELD

Race 4 – Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf (G1)

NOBLE TUNE has been perfect in both his starts. He owns a nice turn of foot and no doubt will benefit from a fast pace. He has trained well for this race and should be right there at the wire. KNOW MORE has always had a touch of class. The Doug O’Neill-trained juvenile will try the turf for the first time, but his polytrack races at Del Mar were excellent and he has the pedigree to make the transition. DUNDONNELL is the top European invader on recent form. He hails from the powerful Juddmonte Stable and they didn’t ship him to California to get hot and dirty. BROWN ALMIGHTY has been running big races on the turf all summer. He should be on all your exotic tickets at his ridiculous 20-1 morning line. DRY SUMMER has beaten both Power Broker and Title Contender and cannot be ignored in his return to turf.

Race 5 – Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint (G1)

GROUPIE DOLL has the perfect style for this race and is in razor-sharp form. She handles dirt and synthetics with equal aplomb and should be ready to pounce on the leaders turning for home. Her blowout was excellent too, indicating her fondness for Santa Anita’s main track. DUST AND DIAMONDS has gotten hot at the right time of year. Her paired 105 Brisnet speed figures from her last two starts put her square in the hunt and there is little early speed to challenge her. MUSICAL ROMANCE is the defending champion. She has been thoughtfully prepared for this race by trainer Bill Kaplan and may be overlooked in the wagering. The Florida-bred star has a similar style to the top choice and could be effective with a good trip.

Race 6 – The Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile (G1)

EMCEE is trying two turns for the first time – a tall order in light of the quality competition. He has shown the ability to rate in his sprints, and trainer Kiaran McLaughlin has given him some solid, easy breezes leading up to this race to help him relax in the early stages and carry his speed. SHACKLEFORD has had to fight with off tracks in his last two starts and he absolutely despises anything but terra firma. The Dale Romans trainee could rebound with a huge performance. TAPIZAR has run a couple of big races at Santa Anita and could be part of the trifecta in a very wide open heat.

Race 7 – The Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint (G1)

UNBRIDLED’S NOTE should have won the King’s Bishop (G1) at Saratoga but was Leparouxed. He vindicated that loss with a victory in the inaugural Eddie D. (G3) over this downhill course on opening day of the current meet. He continues to train well and should be right there at the wire. BRIDGETOWN seems to have the perfect style for the downhill run. He should be able to relax more the first part of the race and have a much bigger finish. His Woodford (G3) victory at Keeneland was solid and he has trained well over this course too. TALE OF A CHAMPION impressed when he won Calder’s Turf Sprint Stakes in July. An ill-advised try in the Del Mar Mile (G2) was followed up by a good effort versus the top pick in the Eddie D. He is a great exotics tool and will be a huge number. If you throw out STARSPANGLEDBANNER’s two races on heavy and soft turf his form looks pretty solid. He boasts a massive 125 Racing Post rating making him a must-use in all exotic wagers.

Race 8 – The Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1)

CAPO BASTONE made a premature move in the Front Runner (G1) and subsequently tired in the drive. That was his initial two-turn event, so he should benefit from the experience and conditioning. SHANGHAI BOBBY has destroyed his competition on the East Coast. He has yet to travel two turns but seems to have the relaxed and athletic style to handle that test. The Todd Pletcher trainee could be a very special colt. TITLE CONTENDER exits a maiden victory and takes quite a step up here. The son of Pulpit earned a massive 100 Brisnet speed figure when he broke his maiden for Hall of Fame trainer Bob Baffert and could be this good.

Race 9 – The Breeders’ Cup Turf (G1)

ST. NICHOLAS ABBEY has been facing the best company in the world with some degree of success. He is the defending champion in this race and used the Prix l’Arc de Triomphe (G1) as a springboard to victory last year. POINT OF ENTRY rides a string of three Grade 1 victories into this race. His Hall of Fame jockey, John Velasquez fits him like a glove and the dynamic duo should be able to work out a great trip. SHARETA also exits the Arc (G1). She has had an excellent year and a victory here would be the icing on the cake.

Race 10 – The Breeders’ Cup Sprint (G1)

COIL ran a smasher in the Santa Anita Sprint Championship (G1). He has looked great in the mornings since and should run another big one this afternoon. FAST BULLET is undefeated in two starts. He is coming off a very long layoff but has been training quickly for Hall of Fame trainer Bob Baffert. JIMMY CREED is a talented sprinter who finished just three-quarters of a length behind Coil last time out. He is a major contender. AMAZOMBIE is the defending champion and should improve off his last race, which he probably needed. CAPITAL ACCOUNT also has talent and comes out of the common race where he ran second. The local horses hold all the cards in this event.

Race 11 – The Breeders’ Cup Mile (G1)

WISE DAN is probably the best older horse in North America. He can beat you at any time, on any surface and at most distances. He’s been virtually flawless for over a year, but he has talented foes EXCELEBRATION and ANIMAL KINGDOM to fear. The former owns three victories in his most recent six outings. He has been whipped by the great Frankel in the other three and now finds himself in the unenviable position to run down WISE DAN. Kentucky Derby winner ANIMAL KINGDOM has had an injury filled year, but has been training in “beast mode” for this race. His trainer, H. Graham Motion, is the master at having horses in peak form off layoffs and will no doubt have his stable star at a fever pitch here. OBVIOUSLY will make the lead and is the lone speed in the race. He is a tough customer to get by and should not be ignored.

Race 12 – The Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1)

GAME ON DUDE has never lost a race at Santa Anita. He’s won two Grade 1 events this year and continues to train like a top-class gelding should. MUCHO MACHO MAN is a colt with upside. A June foal, he has been facing elders for his entire career, but may have finally caught up to them in seasoning and condition. His best races are fresh, so a solid performance could be in the offing. FORT LARNED has a nice pressing style for this race. If the Ian Wilkes trainee can get the distance, he could be right there at the wire. RON THE GREEK loves the distance and the surface. He will need to rebound from his dismal effort in the Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1) but returning to Santa Anita, where he won the Big ‘Cap (G1), enhances those chances.

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Re: Breeders Cup Picks and Predictions

Steve Davidowitz

BC Juvenile Turf

The top contenders: Dundonnell is a promising Group 3 winner from England; Artigiano was an encouraging second in a pair of Group 2s; George Vancouver finished third in a Group 1; Noble Tune, Gervinho, Dry Summer, I’m Boundtoscore and Balance the Books have all won turf stakes in America, while Joha and Know More have won stakes on Polytrack.

How the race will be run: Plenty of early speed in here with Joha, I’m Boundtoscore and possibly Know More setting realistic, or possibly fast early fractions. The majority of the accomplished Europeans all seem to have tractable speed and a decent finishing kick; all are threats; Balance the Books and Dry Summer did their best when they were reserved for one big late move.

My picks:
1. No.2 Artigiano gets close vote over Dundonnell with his inner, ground saving post and his world class jockey, Frankie Dettori.
2. No.6 Dundonnell comes well touted by European racing writers who think he’s the best Euro in the field. They might be right.
3. No.7 Brown Almighty has four good turf races in four tries and may be the strongest finisher in the field. Plus, Hall of Famer Kent Desormeaux is a top turf rider. All the horses named under “the top contenders” are just that – contenders in a race with few throwouts.

My longshot: No.10 Joha, a game wire to wire winner of a Grade 1 at Keeneland on the Polytrack has enough speed to lead and enough heart to be tough to catch. He was cross entered in the BC Juvenile on dirt and his good trainer chose to go here instead.


BC Filly and Mare Sprint

The top contenders: Groupie Doll is on a four race winning streak; Musical Romance won this BC race last year at Churchill Downs; Dust and Diamonds has three straight wins that are well spaced since March; Switch finished second in this BC race the past two years; Turbulent Descent was 7-5 when beaten in this race last year; and Teddy’s Promise and Great Hot have several good tries with similar.

How the race will be run: Dust and Diamonds and Teddy’s Promise have the most early speed in a race that actually might have a moderate to relatively slow pace. Rumor and Great Hot should be close to the leaders, while Turbulent Descent, Switch, Musical Romance and Groupie Doll are the best finishers.

My picks:
1. No. 9 Groupie Doll improved noticeably when blinkers were added four races back. Has the late kick to win this if she merely runs back to any of her last few.
2. No.6 Turbulent Descent was a big deal last summer winning three Grade 1s and only recently showed signs of a return to that form.
3. No.3 Dust and Diamonds stepped up a notch in her form in each of her last three sprint wins at three different tracks; dangerous upset threat.

My longshot: No.1 Teddy’s Promise showed a hint of her best form when she was in a speed duel for 5-1/2 furlongs of a 6-1/2 furlong race on Santa Anita’s unique downhill turf course, October 13. Switches back to the main track where she has won two of four prior tries and returns to seven furlongs where she also has won twice. While Groupie Doll looks tough, this one could be the longshot that spices up the exotics.


BC Dirt Mile

The top contenders: 2011 Preakness winner Shackleford was second in this race last year; Emcee won the Grade 1 Forego at seven furlongs last time out; Jersey Town has won a pair of Grade 1s; Rail Trip was a top horse two years ago, been getting it back together; Fed Biz is lightly raced and improving; Tapizar won a stakes around two turns two races back; Delegation has speed and has won four of his six starts over weaker; and John Scott is five for nine and is making his dirt track debut.

How the race will be run: Delegation, Fed Biz and Emcee are likely to compete for the early lead; Rail Trip, Shackleford, Jersey Town and Tapizar should be in the next flight. While there are no confirmed stretch running types in the field, the winner should come from off the pace.

My picks:
1. No.8 Tapizar is 30-1 in the morning line yet he should love the return to two turn racing and there were hints that suggest he may be ready to recover the form that led to previous Graded stakes wins.
2. No.6 Shackleford is versatile, game, resilient and a career winner of $2.8 million. Must beat him to win.
3. No.1 Rail Trip, a major winner in southern California before he was shipped to NY in 2010. He won a Graded stakes at Hollywood Park in July when trainer Ron Ellis was given his second chance to train him. Has positive recent workouts.

My longshot: No.8 Tapizar, as explained above.


BC Turf Sprint

The top contenders: Unbridled's Note won the local prep at this distance on this unique turf course; California Flag won this BC race over the same course in 2009 but has been absent seven months; Bridgetown, Great Mills and Great Attack have been turf pros at shorter distances; Camp Victory has some good races to consider; Corporate Jungle has been good in longer turf races; Next Question has beaten much softer in last two; Mizdirection, a filly, has been absent, but is two for two over the course; and Reneesgotzip is three for three on synthetics, might handle the grass.

How the race will be run: Reneesgotzip, Chosen Miracle, Great Mills, Next Question and Bridgetown could vie for the lead and the one that emerges from the battle will have to deal with a large pack of stretch running threats. This is a tough, competitive race that could produce double digit payoffs across the board.

My picks:
1. No.10 Corporate Jungle turns back in distance and that has been an effective angle on this twisting downhill turf course.
2. No.2 Camp Victory was sharp second in a Grade 2 stakes on this course last year and has very encouraging recent workouts as well as a jockey, Julien Leparoux, who knows how to finish.
3. No.13 Unbridled’s Note scored comfortably in his debut on this tricky course September 28 and while his Beyer Figs were two lengths slower than other contenders, there is room for improvement the second time around.

My longshot: No.10 Corporate Jungle is my top pick in this wide open race and both should go to the post at good odds.


BC Juvenile

The top contenders: Power Broker is Bob Baffert trained winner of the Grade 1 prep race over the track; Shanghai Bobby is an unbeaten, Todd Pletcher trainee with a Grade 1 win and the top Beyer Speed Figure; Title Contender is another talented Baffert trainee; Fortify has been close to Shanghai Bobby twice; Speak Logistics earned a good Beyer Fig. winning a stakes in Florida; and Capo Bastone and Dynamic Sky have rallied well in Grade 1 races at this distance.

How the race will be run: Title Contender is the probable front runner from his inside post and if Speak Logistics does not push him too fast too early, he might be good enough to go wire to wire; most of the other ‘contenders’ (see above) tend to race in mid pack or the rear before they get into gear.

My picks:
1. No. 1 Title Contender has the most early speed, an inside post to save ground and will race with blinkers for the first time, which could help him keep his focus for a wire to wire bid.
2. No.4 Shanghai Bobby has run well on the turn in his four wins in four starts and he gets two turns in this race; looms the logical favorite.
3. No.6 Dynamic Sky was very wide when he started his stretch bid in the Grade 1 Breeders’ Futurity at this distance and might prove to be the strongest of these.

My longshot: My third pick, No.6 Dynamic Sky could benefit from a contested pace and he is 12 -1 on the morning line.


BC Turf

The top contenders: American-based Point of Entry has been impressive winning five straight; St Nicholas Abbey won this BC race last year at Churchill Downs; Shareta is a high-class European based filly with two Group 1 wins this year; Little Mike won the Arlington Million wire to wire; Optimizer has won his last two on grass after 10 straight loses on dirt; Treasure Beach, a multiple Group 1 winner, also won the Grade 1 Secretariat Stakes at Arlington Park last year; Slim Shadey went wire to wire in his latest over the SA turf course; Japanese-based Trailblazer was a good second in his American debut at a shorter distance here October 6; and Dullahan has excellent synthetic track form but only modest turf form.

How the race will be run: A fast contentious pace is likely for this 1-1/2 mile event. Little Mike, Optimizer and Slim Shadey do their best running on or near the front; Point of Entry, Shareta and Trailblazer tend to race in stalking position, while St Nicholas Abbey and Dullahan are deep closers who may benefit from a contested pace.

My picks:
1. No.5 Shareta was ninth in the $5 million Prix d’l’Arc de Triomphe at Longchamp on October 7, but loves this distance. She won two Group 1 stakes and finished second in her only try against older male rivals.
2. No.1 Point of Entry is probably the best long distance American turf horse since 2007 BC Turf winner, English Channel. Must respect.
3. No.3 St Nicholas Abbey has earned $4.2 million while winning three G-1 stakes; should be flying late.

My longshot: No.12 Trailblazer might be helped by and the added distance today.


BC Sprint

The top contenders: Bob Baffert has three in here, Coil and Capital Account who were 1-2 in the recent Grade 1 prep over the track, plus the speedy absentee Fast Bullet; Amazombie won this race last year at Churchill; The Lumber Guy and Trinniberg have won Graded stakes on the front end; and all others have run well enough to be upset threats.

How the race will be run: Trinniberg should set the pace with Fast Bullet, The Lumber Guy, Poseidon’s Warrior and Gantry right on his tail. Meanwhile Hamazing Destiny, Amazombie, Smiling Tiger, Coil and Jimmy Creed should be in mid pack while Capital Account and Justin Phillip settle in the rear for their one big late run.

My picks:
1. No.8 Capital Account was right there with stablemate Coil in latest; gets a more intense pace duel to work with here. Slim preference over several.
2. No.4 Coil is an obvious contender with a Grade 1 win at nine furlongs last year, scored gamely at this track and distance last time out.
3. Amazombie did not fire his best when fourth to Coil and Capital Account here October 6, but can win this if he moves forward off that race. He is a question mark after having a medical exam.

My longshot: No.2 Jimmy Creed is lightly raced and rapidly improving.


BC Mile

The top contenders: Wise Dan has been awesome on dirt and turf this year; Excelebration is a high-class euro who won his most recent Group 1 and finished second to undefeated Frankel four times; Moonlight Cloud is a tough four-year-old European filly with strong Group 1 form against males; Obviously has brilliant early speed; Animal Kingdom is the classy 2011 Kentucky Derby winner making his comeback from a long layoff in one of the toughest races in the world.

How the race will be run: Obviously will go to the front and try to steal this; Wise Dan
will stalk the leader(s) and pounce when ready; so will Moonlight Cloud and possibly Mr. Commons; meanwhile Excelebration and longshot Wilcox Inn will be closing late, as will Animal Kingdom, who might be in last place early.

My picks:
1. No.2 Wise Dan has performed as if he is the best middle distance runner on any surface in America this year. Best effort wins.
2. No.9 Moonlight Cloud has very strong form. Her trainer also developed three-time winner Goldikova and rode two-time Mile winner Miesque.
3. No.6 Excelebration is coming back to the races only two weeks after a hard fought G-1 score in England. Might still win this and if he does he will add to the Frankel hype.

My longshot: No.5 Animal Kingdom handles grass as well as the main track and has the inherent class to surprise this very good field.


BC Classic

The top contenders: Game On Dude was second in the Classic last year at Churchill, and is five for five at Santa Anita; Ron The Greek, winner of the Santa Anita Handicap in March, is one of three G-1 winners in here for Hall of Fame trainer Billy Mott – the other two are Flat Out and To Honor and Serve; Richard’s Kid was third to Game on Dude last time out; Alpha is a multiple G-1 winning three-year-old; Nonios was second to Game on Dude; Fort Larned was sharp front running winner two races back; and Mucho Macho Man has many good tries and good recent workouts.

How the race will be run: Fort Larned, Alpha and Handsome Mike have some speed to lead, but Game On Dude has more speed and just might assert himself from the morning line and the start. Mucho Macho Man, To Honor and Serve and Nonios could get good stalking trips, while Flat Out and Richard’s Kid may fire their best from out of the clouds.

My picks:
1. No.5 Game On Dude has been in fine form all year and is the horse to beat on trainer Bob Baffert’s home track.
2. No.11 Mucho Macho Man, three for five this year, has trained superbly for this.
3. No.12 To Honor and Serve is a good colt who needs clear sailing and he just might get it from the outside post.

My longshot: No.9 Richard's Kid can get in the mix with their best rallies.

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Re: Breeders Cup Picks and Predictions

Steve Byk

PRE-SCRATCHES

1st: BC Juvenile Filly Sprint Preview, 2yo-F, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Bares Tripper 9-5
Next Best: #4 Unusual Way 3-1
Exotics Use: #3 Truly Marie 5-2


2nd: BC Juvenile Turf Sprint Preview, 2yo, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Utter crapshoot as there's nothing to separate these juvies. Swing wildly. Gabriel Charles should appreciate the cut back. Avare gets Ramon and worked on par with Friday return winner Basmati. Moulin de Mougin is out of downhill wonder Cambiocorsa and broke his maiden on the course, as did One Firm Cat..

Best Value: #5 Gabriel Charles 20-1
Next Best: #11 Avare 12-1
Exotics Use: #2 Upward Spiral 5-2
Super Add: #7 Moulin de Mougin 6-1


3rd: Damascus, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Mile High Magic 2-1
Next Best: #7 Sir Bond 3-1
Exotics Use: #1 Brother Francis 4-1
Super Add: #3 Politicalycorrect 5-2


4th: BC Juvenile Turf (G1), 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Based on Friday's tumultuous Filly version, trip will be everything in another bulky field. Euros Dundonnell and Artigiano drew well and appear to have possible class edge on solid if unremarkable domestic lot..

Most Likely: #6 Dundonnell 4-1
Best Value: #4 Gervinho 15-1
Next Best: #2 Artigiano 8-1
Exotics Use: #9 Noble Tune 6-1
.50 Tri/.10 Super: #13 Know More 8-1


5th: BC F&M Sprint (G1), F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Someone will need to readily improve while Groupie Doll missteps for an upset here. Dust and Diamonds has a pace edge going in, but Groupie Doll can do what is necessary with her reserved tactical speed to address that scenario..

Most Likely: #9 Groupie Doll 1-1
Best Value: #1 Teddy's Promise 20-1
Next Best: #3 Dust and Diamonds 9-2
Exotics Use: #8 Musical Romance 4-2
.50 Tri/.10 Super: #6 Turbulent Descent 5-1


<$50 P4 Play:

1: 1-3-4
2: 2-5-7-11
3: 4-7
4: 2-4-6-9
5: 9

3x4x2x4x1 = 96 x .50 = $48


6th: BC Dirt Mile (G1), 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

No shortage of pace lining up here but no glaringly embraceable off-pace ideas either..

Most Likely: #6 Shackleford 2-1
Best Value: #2 Delegation 12-1
Next Best: #7 Emcee 5-2
Exotics Use: #4 John Scott 12-1
.50 Tri/.10 Super: #1 Rail Trip 10-1


7th: BC Turf Sprint (G1), 3+, 6.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

No matter how you are playing this race, (vertically or horizontally), you'll need to use a few to build plays or get through..

Most Likely: #13 Unbridled's Note 5-1
Next Best: #7 Reneesgotzip 8-1
Best Value: #4 Tale of a Champion 30-1
Exotics Use: #10 Corporate Jungle 6-1
.50 Tri/.10 Super: #6 Upgrade 30-1


<$100 P4 Play:

4: 2-4-6-9
5: 9
6: 1-2-3-4-5-6-7
7: 2-4-6-7-9-10-13

4x1x7x7 = 196 x .50 = $98


8th: BC Juvenile (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Baffert pair starts conversation and may end it. There are colts in range of the those 2, but it's hard to see which jumps into the picture. Capo Bastone was left with too much to do in the FrontRunner and adds rider that may be able to better adjust to scenario as it develops..

Most Likely: #9 Power Broker 5-2
Best Value: #7 Capo Bastone 15-1
Next Best: ##8 Fortify 9-2
Exotics Use: #6 Dynamic Sky 12-1
.50 Tri/.10 Super: #1 Title Contender 6-1


9th: BC Turf, 3+, 12f-T (P3, DD)

Trailblazer apparently kicked a stall wall Friday and will need to be checked in the morning to make sure he's OK. After the Japanese 5yo, the Euros, defending winner St. Nicholas Abbey and Shareta, stand out. Point of Entry, like Wise Dan in the Mile, has a surface plus in his corner given the way the Santa Anita lawn plays with those near the front having a decided advantage over closers..

Most Likely: #3 St. Nicholas Abbey 7-2
Next Best: #5 Shareta 7-2
Best Value: #12 Trailblazer 6-1
Exotics Use: #1 Point of Entry 3-1


10th: BC Sprint, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

This is a complete and total scramble and a slightly unusual version given the smallish number of dashers lined up that gun from the bell. As crazy as it seems coming off a year layoff, Fast Bullet is crawling out of his skin and may simply overwhelm this group if as good as he's looked in the mornings. The ML (12-1) starts the bidding attractively. Gantry (10-1) will be lost on the board, but his Smile Sprint effort would win here. After those two, the local crowd of SA Sprint Ch. runners (Coil, Capital Account, Jimmy Creed and defending winner Amazombie) all demand respect and inclusion..

Best Value: #6 Fast Bullet 12-1
Next Best: #3 Gantry 10-1
Exotics Use: #11 Amazombie 4-1
Super Add: #2 Jimmy Creed 6-1
.50 P3/.10 Super: #8 Capital Account 8-1; #4 Coil 5-1


11th: BC Mile, 3+, 12f-T (DD)

As in the Turf, the Euros (Excelebration & Moonlight Cloud) are serious horses on the International scene for all the reasons discussed all week. Wise Dan has met or exceeded expectation all year and his explosive finish should work even better here than it has at Saratoga, Woodbine and Keeneland recently. Obviously is no doorknob and will be alone on the lead. Mr. Commons has been lurking in race after race all season. Willcox Inn will be motoring late and is ideal for the bottom of your supers. Animal Kingdom tries this gambit, but I can't see him for anything more than a minor award..

Most Likely: #2 Wise Dan 9-5
Best Value: #9 Moonlight Cloud 6-1
Next Best: #6 Excelebration 2-1
Exotics Use: #3 Obviously 6-1
.50 Tri/.10 Super: #7 Willcox Inn 30-1


12th: BC Classic, 3+, 10f (Super Hi-5)

As with Royal Delta Friday, Game On Dude comes in as the clear horse to beat and he will likely have to do exactly what she did to win: turn back waves of challengers. Couldn't be doing better. Flat Out, Fort Larned, Mucho Macho Man, To Honor and Serve and Nonios comprise the phalanx of up close pursuers with Flat Out the most likely of the alternatives to capture honors..

Most Likely: #5 Game On Dude 9-5
Next Best: #2 Flat Out 5-1
Exotics Use: #4 Fort Larned 5-1
Best Value: #8 Nonios 20-1
Super Hi-5: #12 To Honor and Serve 8-1


<$200 P6 Play:

7: 7-13
8: 9
9: 3-5
10: 3-6-11
11: 2-6-9
12: 2-5

2x1x2x3x3x2 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

9: 1-3-5-12
10: 2-3-6-11
11: 2-6-9
12: 2-4-5

4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

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Re: Breeders Cup Picks and Predictions

GUS ALONSO

R1 - BC Juvenile Filly Preview 100k

#4 Unusual Way (4-1)
#1 Bares Tripper (9-5)
#2 Switch to the Lead (2-1)

R2 - BC Juvenile Turf Sprint Preview 100k (Turf 6.5F)

#11 Avare (12-1)
#7 Moulin de Mougin (6-1)
#3 Snow King (7-2)
#6 One Firm Cat (8-1)

R3 - Damascus 100k

#1 Brother Francis (4-1)
#4 Mile High Magic (2-1)
#7 Sir Bond (3-1)
#3 Politicallycorrect (5-2)

R4 - G1 BC Juvenile Turf (Turf 8F)

#3 George Vancouver (8-1) - Gets firm ground and brings some foundation.
#9 Noble Tune (6-1) - Loved his two wins and place finisher in most recent won a stakes race last week (82BSF). Gutsy.
#6 Dundonnell (4-1) - Euro bred in KY will be forwardly placed.
#10 Joha (6-1) - Not much speed lined up and they better pay attention.

R5 - G1 BC Filly and Mare Sprint

#9 Groupie Doll (1-1) - Stand out, can adjust to any surface.
#10 Switch (12-1) - Preferred distance and value to complete the exacta.
#3 Dust and Diamonds (9-2) - In razor sharp form for top barn.
#6 Turbulent Decent (5-1) - Clunker in last, but loves this distance.

PK5 - 1 2 3 4 / 3 7 11 / 1 4 / 2 3 6 8 9 10 / 9 = $72 for $.50

R6 - G1 BC Dirt Mile

#8 Tapizar (12-1) - Counting on the return to So Cal and cut back to wake him up.
#6 Shackleford (2-1) - This is his best distance and has a huge shot.
#5 Fed Biz (10-1) - Another one in the mix throughout the race.
#7 Emcee (5-2) - They'll be some second guessing if he doesn't win. Dangerous.

R7 - G1 BC Turf Sprint (Turf 6.5F)

#7 Reneesgotzip (8-1) - BEST BET - Fast filly might be gone before they know it.
#13 Unbridled's Note (5-1) - Handled the outside draw in prep.
#10 Corporate Jungle (6-1) - Cutting back and should be flying late.
#9 Bridgetown (9-2) - Too consistent at this level to discount chances.

PK4 - 2 3 6 8 9 10 / 9 / 1 5 6 7 8 / 7 10 13 = $45 for $.50

R8 - G1 BC Juvenile

#9 Power Broker (5-2) - Has the edge with local win at two turns.
#4 Shanghai Bobby (2-1) - Has done nothing wrong and no reason the route should be a problem.
#1 Title Contender (6-1) - Looks to make a Beholder impersonation as he hits the lead from the inside draw and goes on with it.
#7 Capo Bastone (15-1) - Grinder type adds some value underneath.

R9 - G1 BC Turf (Turf 12F)

#12 Trailblazer (6-1) - Loved the mile prep and this was always the plan.
#5 Shareta (Ire) (7-2) - Faced top flight company in Europe.
#3 St Nicholas Abbey (Ire) (7-2) - Comes in with similar form as last year's triumph.
#1 Point of Entry (3-1) - Can put a bow on fantastic year.

R10 - G1 BC Sprint

#10 Smiling Tiger (12-1) - Rested and expecting him to rekindle past performances.
#4 Coil (5-1) - Strong prep winner looks to get similar trip.
#11 Amazombie (4-1) - Champ should rebound off dull effort.
#2 Jimmy Creed (6-1) - 3yr old capable of taking another step forward.

R11 - G1 BC Mile (Turf 8F)

#6 Excelebration (Ire) (2-1) - Brings Top Class resume across the pond.
#2 Wise Dan (9-5) - Adapts to any racing scenario.
#9 Moonlight Cloud (GB) (6-1) - If top 2 slip, she'll be ready to pounce.
#3 Obviously (Ire) - Will take them as long as he can on the front.

R12 - G1 BC Classic

#5 Game on Dude (9-5) - Many arrows point for his redemption this year.
#3 Alpha (20-1) - Ramon gets him involved early and he has a puncher's chance.
#11 Mucho Macho Man (8-1) - Rested and looks to fire his best.
#1 Pool Play (30-1) - Has the right style to catch a minor slice.

PK6 - 7 10 13 / 4 9 / 1 3 5 12 / 4 10 11 / 6 / 5 = $144

PK4 - 1 3 5 9 12 / 2 4 10 11 / 2 6 9 / 3 5 = $60 for $.50

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