NFL Betting News and Notes Thursday 11/1

NFL Betting News and Notes Thursday 11/1

KANSAS CITY (1 - 6) at SAN DIEGO (3 - 4) - 11/1/2012, 8:20 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-2 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 3-2 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


KANSAS CITY vs. SAN DIEGO
Kansas City is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing San Diego
San Diego is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing Kansas City


Kansas City at San Diego
Kansas City: 6-0 Under off a division game
San Diego: 18-7 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points

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Re: NFL Betting News and Notes Thursday 11/1

NFL: Streaks, Trends, Notes
Sportspic.com

Kansas City Chiefs at San Diego Chargers

Thursday Night Football hasn't lived up to expectations. The seven games have been generally sloppy and of poor quality producing 36.6 points/game well down from the league's 45.8 average. 'Under' bettors cashing at a 71.4% clip (2-5 O/U) in these Thursday Nighter's aren't about to jump ship with this weeks matchup as the total could very well hit new lows with Chargers / Chiefs going at it. Chargers offense looking beyond bad in the latest loss at Cleveland are averaging 22.0 PPG on the season and free-falling Chiefs managing just 17.1 points per contest sets this one up as another low scoring boring affair. Thinking side, keep in mind Dogs have run wild on Thursday posting a 6-1 mark against the spread and that Chargers are on a cash draining 6-11 stretch as favorites including 3-6 on home field. Head-Head, Chargers have won seven of eight as host in the series (5-3 ATS) with 'Under' bettors cashing six of eight tickets (2-6 O/U).

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Re: NFL Betting News and Notes Thursday 11/1

NFL Week 9

Chiefs (1-6) @ Chargers (4-3) —
San Diego lost three in row since waxing Chiefs 37-20 (-2.5) at Arrowhead Sept 30, game where Chiefs turned ball over six times (-5), leading to Bolts’ 10-yard edge in average field position. KC has severe QB problems, with Quinn getting knocked goofy Sunday, and Cassel coming back from injury, was tossed around like piñata by Raiders Sunday; Chiefs have yet to lead any game in regulation this year- they trailed 24-6 in only game they won, at Saints. KC lost seven of last nine series games and last four visits here, by 1-29-31-3 points; long travel on short week makes this a tough task, even under normal circumstances. Chargers have only two 2nd half TD’s in last five games; since 2003, they’re 12-8-1 vs spread as divisional home favorite. AFC West home teams are 1-4 vs spread in divisional games. Five of Chiefs’ seven games went over the total.

Armadillosports.com

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Re: NFL Betting News and Notes Thursday 11/1

Thursday Night Football: Chiefs at Chargers
By Covers.com

Kansas City Chiefs at San Diego Chargers (-9.5, 42.5)

Two struggling AFC West teams attempt to end losing streaks as the Kansas City Chiefs and San Diego Chargers kick off Week 9 on Thursday night. Kansas City suffered its fourth straight loss Sunday, when it dropped a 26-16 decision to the Oakland Raiders. The Chiefs, who never led in the contest, erased a 6-0 deficit but fell behind for good in the final minute of the second quarter and went on to lose at home to the Raiders for the sixth consecutive time.

San Diego dropped its third straight on Sunday, losing a 7-6 decision at Cleveland. The Chargers outgained the Browns with 265 total yards but were unable to find the end zone, settling for a pair of field goals by Nick Novak. The Chargers won the first battle between the division rivals on Sept. 30, posting a 37-20 triumph at Kansas City as they capitalized on six turnovers and scored 27 points in the first half.

LINE: The Chargers opened as high as -10 and have been bet down as low as -7.5 at some online books. The total has dropped from 44 to 42.5 points.

WEATHER: The forecast is calling for partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid-60s. Winds are expected to blow WNW at 6 mph.

ABOUT THE CHIEFS (1-6, 2-5 ATS): Kansas City's offense has struggled mightily as it has found the end zone just once over its last three games. After posting only two field goals in a home loss to Baltimore on Oct. 7, the Chiefs recorded their only touchdown in a setback at Tampa Bay on Oct. 14 on a fumble return following a blocked punt. They nearly were held without an offensive TD by Oakland, but Matt Cassel hit Dexter McCluster with a 10-yard scoring strike with just under 2 1/2 minutes remaining in the game. Cassel will return to the starting lineup Thursday in favor of Brady Quinn, who was ruled out of the game after sustaining a concussion against the Raiders. LB Derrick Johnson is looking to make his 101st career start.

ABOUT THE CHARGERS (3-4, 3-4 ATS): KR Richard Goodman's day did not last long Sunday as he injured his hamstring during his 21-yard return on the opening kickoff and did not return. Goodman has averaged 27.6 yards on 18 kickoff returns this season. QB Philip Rivers made his 103rd consecutive start. It is the second-longest streak among active quarterbacks behind the 127-game run by Eli Manning of the New York Giants. RB Ryan Mathews nearly posted his first 100-yard game of the season Sunday, falling five yards short. Mathews had a season-high 24 carries, two more than his total in a loss to Denver on Oct. 15.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings in San Diego.
* Chiefs are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall.
* Chargers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 9.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Kansas City's lone victory came in overtime at New Orleans.

2. San Diego has scored a total of six points over its last six quarters.

3. The Chiefs lead the NFL with 25 turnovers.

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Re: NFL Betting News and Notes Thursday 11/1

Chiefs at Chargers
By Brian Edwards
VegasInsider.com

When the NFL created its Thursday night schedule, it hoped to avoid matchups between teams with nine combined losses in a row. Nevertheless, that’s what we have this week when San Diego takes on Kansas City in Southern California.

Fortunately for the Chargers, they play in the AFC West and are only one game behind division-leading Denver. But Norv Turner’s team has dropped three straight and the head coach and General Manager A.J. Smith are on boiling hot seats.

As of Wednesday afternoon, most books were listing the Chargers as eight-point favorites with a total of 42½. Gamblers can take the Chiefs on the money line for a plus-290 return (risk $100 to win $290).

Just a few weeks ago, San Diego (3-4 straight up, 3-4 against the spread) went to halftime with a 24-0 lead over Denver and appeared poised to take a two-game lead in the loop.

However, Peyton Manning and the Broncos erupted in the second half and rallied to capture a 35-24 win as one-point road underdogs. San Diego quarterback Philip Rivers threw four interceptions, including one pick-six, and also coughed up a fumble that was returned for a touchdown.
   
After the Bolts had an open date to stew over allowing the fourth-greatest comeback in NFL regular-season history, they responded with a lethargic effort, losing 7-6 at Cleveland as three-point road ‘chalk.’

Robert Meachem dropped what would’ve been a 51-yard touchdown pass midway through the third quarter. San Diego could muster just a pair of field goals and it hasn’t been in the end zone in six straight quarters.

Rivers completed 18-of-34 passes for 154 yards. Reserve running back Ronnie Brown was his favorite target, hauling in seven receptions for 85 yards. Ryan Mathews rushed for 95 yards on 24 carries.

For the season, Rivers has connected on 64.6 of his throws for 1,646 yards but has a mediocre 10/9 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Malcolm Floyd leads the team in receiving with 29 catches for 461 yards and one TD. Perennial Pro-Bowl tight end Antonio Gates has 21 receptions for 238 yards and a pair of scores.

San Diego has been a high-octane offense for many years, but this year it is 25th in the NFL in total offense. The Bolts are averaging only 22 points per game.

San Diego is ranked 10th in the NFL in scoring defense, surrendering only 20.6 PPG.

Kansas City (1-6 SU, 2-5 ATS) has lost four in a row, including last week’s 26-16 loss to Oakland as a one-point home favorite. Veteran QB Brady Quinn sustained a concussion in the first half and was relieved by former starter Matt Cassel.

The Raiders took a two-TD lead midway through the third quarter and cruised to the easy win. Cassel hit Dexter McCluster for a 10-yard scoring strike at garbage time to make the final score look more respectable. The 42 combined points stayed ‘under’ the 42 ½-point total.

Cassel completed 20-of-30 passes for 218 yards with one TD, one interception and one lost fumble. Javier Arenas also coughed up a fumble on a punt return.

Cassel had been benched in favor of Quinn, who was making his second start. The Notre Dame product, who is ‘doubtful’ this week, was ineffective in a 38-10 loss at Tampa Bay.

Cassel also suffered a concussion back in Week 5 during a 9-6 home loss to Baltimore. He has a 6/10 TD-INT ratio.

KC running back Jamaal Charles has rushed for a team-high 595 yards and two touchdowns, but he was given a season-low five carries last week against the Raiders. Charles is averaging 5.0 yards per carry.

Dwayne Bowe is the Chiefs’ best down-the-field threat. The former star at LSU has made 37 catches for 492 yards and three TDs.

Kansas City starting defensive lineman Glenn Dorsey has missed four straight games and he’s listed as ‘questionable’ this week.

For the Chargers, WR Vincent Brown remains ‘out’ and WR Eddie Royal is ‘questionable.’

The NFL Network will have the telecast at 8:25 p.m. Eastern.

B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets

Once again, the highest total of the week involves the Saints. They have a 52 ½-point tally for their home game vs. the Eagles on Monday Night Football. As of Wednesday, New Orleans was favored by three (with juice) or 3 ½. After a few days of uncertainty, Andy Reid announced Wednesday that he was sticking with Michael Vick as his starting QB.

Philadelphia has an NFL-worst 1-5-1 spread record.

The NFL’s top ATS marks belong to the Falcons, Bucs and Texans, all of whom are 5-2 versus the number.

The ‘under’ is an NFL-best 7-1 in Arizona games this year.

The ‘over’ is an NFL-best 6-2 in New England games. After a pair of ‘unders’ to start the season, the ‘over’ has hit in six straight for the Patriots. They have an open date this week.

Atlanta will take on Dallas in Sunday’s prime-time affair as a four-point ‘chalk.’ The unbeaten Falcons are 18-9-1 ATS as home favorites during Mike Smith’s five-year tenure.

After throwing only 13 interceptions as a rookie, Cincinnati QB Andy Dalton has already been intercepted 10 times this year. That’s one of the main reasons why the Bengals have lost three in a row going into Sunday’s game vs. Denver. On Wednesday, Cincy head coach Marvin Lewis called out Dalton and LB Rey Maualuga to show more leadership. The Broncos are four-point road favorites.

In response to rumors this week that the Jags might inquire about the services of Tim Tebow in a trade with the Jets before the deadline, Blaine Gabbert told the media, “I think we’re pretty satisfied here at QB.”

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DD Angle Leans to KC
VegasInsider.com

Kansas City heads to San Diego on Thursday for a divisional battle and the oddsmakers listed the visitors as eight-point underdogs, deservingly so.

It’s certainly hard to make a case for the Chiefs, who have dropped four straight. Plus the team is 1-2 both straight up and against the spread on the road, the setbacks coming by 18 and 28 points.

Despite the bad, there might be some good with Kansas City and the situation they face tonight. It’s understood that double-digit losses in the NFL do happen.

The angle that we bring to your attention is teams playing off double-digit losses in back-to-back weeks. The obvious notion is to continue to fade these bad teams but if you did that this season, you’d be 0-3 both straight up and against the spread.

Kansas City
Week 1 – Lost to Atlanta (24-40)
Week 2 – Lost at Buffalo (17-35)
Week 3 – Won at New Orleans (27-24) – Chiefs (+9, +310)

Tennessee
Week 1 – Lost to New England (13-34)
Week 2 – Lost at San Diego (10-38)
Week 3 – Won vs. Detroit (44-41) – Titans (+4, +180)

Tennessee
Week 4 – Lost at Houston (14-38)
Week 5 – Lost at Minnesota (7-30)
Week 6 – Won vs. Pittsburgh (26-23) – Titans (+6, +220)

Kansas City
Week 6 – Lost at Tampa Bay (10-38)
Week 7 – BYE
Week 8 – Lost vs. Kansas City (16-26)
Week 9 – TBD at San Diego

As you can see in the above notes, the trend is in play tonight for Kansas City.

Will it cash again? Well, the Chiefs aren’t a very good football team and they have lost their past four trips to San Diego, two of them by double digits as well. The Chargers are 1-2 both SU and ATS at home this season.

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Re: NFL Betting News and Notes Thursday 11/1

Chiefs vs. Chargers: Point Spread, Vegas Betting Lines and Trends
By: The Linemakers
Sportingnews.com

The Kansas City Chiefs (1-6) and San Diego Chargers (3-4) meet Thursday night at Qualcomm Stadium (Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NFL Network). Here is point spread information and analysis from The Linemakers on Sporting News. For updated lines, visit our live odds page.

Weather: 60 degrees, cloudy

Line: Chargers -7, Total: 42.5

Line movement: The Chargers opened as 10-point favorites on Sunday night, but a steady stream of Chiefs money pushed the number way down the ladder to Chargers -7 by Wednesday afternoon. The total hasn't moved.

Recent meetings:

9/30/12 Chargers 37-20 (-1) at Kansas City

10/31/11 Chiefs 23-20 (+3) at Kansas City

09/25/11 Chargers 20-17 (-14.5) at San Diego

Series trends – StatFox Six Pack:

SAN DIEGO is 18-7 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992.

SAN DIEGO is 9-1 OVER off one or more consecutive unders over the last two seasons.

SAN DIEGO is 77-51 UNDER at home against conference opponents since 1992.

KANSAS CITY is 15-2 ATS away after allowing 25 points or more in two straight games since 1992.

KANSAS CITY is 23-6 ATS after allowing 25 points or more in two straight games since 1992.

KANSAS CITY is 23-8 ATS away after a loss by 10 or more points since 1992.

Chiefs’ outlook: Romeo Crennel hoped a change of quarterback would help change the Chiefs’ fortune last week, but Brady Quinn suffered a concussion in the game against the Raiders, putting the offense back in Matt Cassel’s hands. The result was predictable, as the Chiefs dropped the 26-16 decision for their fourth straight loss. Quinn was ruled out for Thursday’s contest. The Chiefs rank first in the AFC in rushing, averaging 155 yards a game, but the Raiders loaded up against the run last week and limited Jamaal Charles to four yards on five carries. Peyton Hillis returned to the lineup and rushed for 23 yards. K.C. has allowed a league-high 89 points off turnovers.


Chiefs’ key injuries:

QB Brady Quinn (concussion) out

TE Steve Maneri (ankle) questionable

Chargers’ outlook: The Chargers were short-circuited in the rain in Cleveland last week, losing 7-6 as a road favorite, as QB Philip Rivers passed for a season-low 154 yards. San Diego cruised past the Chiefs in Week 4, winning, 37-20, in Kansas City. The Chargers led, 20-0, in that game and took advantage of six K.C. turnovers to win for the eighth time in the last 10 games in the series. Overall, San Diego has lost three straight games and hasn’t scored a touchdown in the last six quarters. The Chargers are second in the NFL against the run but rank 25th in total offense, as Rivers and running back Ryan Mathews have been wildly inconsistent.

Chargers’ key injuries:

WR Eddie Royal (hamstring) questionable

K Nate Kaeding (groin) IR

LB Jonas Mouton (hip) questionable

What The Linemakers are saying: We can understand taking the points with the Chiefs here, but the Chargers have bullied weaker teams this season, including whacking the Chiefs, 37-20, in Kansas City five weeks ago. The advantageous side in this game may be sticking with the total. We can trust neither the Chiefs nor Chargers offense, and we expect them both to be mediocre and flat. This series has produced quite a few UNDERs, going 4-1 in their past five meetings. The Chiefs have also gone UNDER in 10 of their past 11 AFC West games.

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