Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday October, 28

Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday October, 28

DUNKEL INDEX

NY Giants at Dallas
The Cowboys look to build on their 5-2 ATS record in their last 7 games in Week 8 of the season. Dallas is the pick (+1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Cowboys favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+1 1/2)

Game 219-220: New England vs. St. Louis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New England 140.907; St. Louis 131.430
Dunkel Line: New England by 9 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: New England by 6 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: New England (-6 1/2); Under

Game 221-222: Indianapolis at Tennessee (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 122.028; Tennessee 128.474
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 6 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-3 1/2); Under

Game 223-224: Jacksonville at Green Bay (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 123.543; Green Bay 135.092
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 11 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 16; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+16); Over

Game 225-226: San Diego at Cleveland (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 129.684; Cleveland 131.828
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 2; 40
Vegas Line: San Diego by 3; 44
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+3); Under

Game 227-228: Atlanta at Philadelphia (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 136.787; Philadelphia 134.160
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 2 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+2 1/2); Over

Game 229-230: Seattle at Detroit (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 133.857; Detroit 130.469
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 3 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Detroit by 2 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+2 1/2); Over

Game 231-232: Miami at NY Jets (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 130.013; NY Jets 134.712
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 4 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 1; 41
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-1); Under

Game 233-234: Carolina at Chicago (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 129.590; Chicago 135.891
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 6 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Chicago by 9; 43
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+9); Over

Game 235-236: Washington at Pittsburgh (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 129.055; Pittsburgh 135.576
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 6 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 4 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-4 1/2); Under

Game 237-238: Oakland at Kansas City (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 126.784; Kansas City 125.210
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 44
Vegas Line:  Kansas City by 2; 41
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+2); Over

Game 239-240: NY Giants at Dallas (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 134.977; Dallas 136.373
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 1 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 1 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+1 1/2); Under

Game 241-242: New Orleans at Denver (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 129.150; Denver 138.804
Dunkel Line: Denver by 9 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Denver by 6; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-6); Over

MONDAY, OCTOBER 29

Game 243-244: San Francisco at Arizona (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 142.350; Arizona 130.083
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 12 1/2; 34
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 6 1/2; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-6 1/2); Under

CFL

Edmonton at Montreal
The Alouettes look to take advantage of an Edmonton team that is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 road games. Montreal is the pick (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Alouettes favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-4 1/2)

Game 297-298: Edmonton at Montreal (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 111.300; Montreal 117.692
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 6 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Montreal by 4 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-4 1/2); Under

MLB

San Francisco at Detroit
The Giants look to close out the series and build on their 9-2 record in their last 11 playoff games as an underdog of +110 to +150. San Francisco is the pick (+125) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+125)

Game 907-908: San Francisco at Detroit (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 18.207; Detroit (Scherzer) 16.779
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-145); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+125); Over

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday October, 28

Chris Elliott
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Indianapolis vs. Tennessee
Pick: Tennessee
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The Colts are a much improved squad this season with franchise QB Andrew Luck under centre. After a dreadful 2-14 season last year, the team has surpassed their win total from 2011 with a solid 3-3 record on the year. They are 3-3 ATS however in 2 road games this year they are 0-2 SU and 0-2 ATS with losses to the Jets 35-9 in week 6 and 41-21 at Soldier Field in week 1.
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QB Luck has been solid under centre with a 53.6% completion percentage and 1,674 yards in the air with 7 TDs. He has had trouble turning the ball over mind you as a rookie QB learning the ropes in the NFL with 7 INTs in 6 games. Starting RB Donald Brown is expected to be out for a couple more weeks with an injured knee. Rookie RB Vick Ballard filled in admirably for Brown Sunday with 84 yards rushing on 20 attempts however the team remains thin at this position with their starter out. 34 year old veteran WR Reggie Wayne has excelled with Luck at pivot with an excellent 666 yards receiving this year with 2 TDs. The offense has struggled overall putting points on the board averaging 19.5 PPG while the defense has given up a massive 26.3 PPG for a net differential of -6.8 PPG. On the road, the team has averaged a net differential of -23 PPG!
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The Colts have been decimated by injuries of late, aside from starting RB Brown being out, perennial All Pro LB Dwight Freeney has been bothered by a nagging high ankle sprain all season that has really effected his mobility as a top rated pass rusher. As a result he has a mere 4 tackles and 1 sack on the season. OT Winston Justice left Sunday's game with an ankle injury and is questionable for the Titans game. LB Robert Mathis has been sidelined with a knee injury and remains questionable for Sunday. DT Cory Redding has been out with a knee injury and is not expected to be ready for week 8 while DE Fili Moala (knee) and CB Darius Bulter (shoulder) are not expected to play as well, leaving the team thin across the board.
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The Titans are 3-4 SU and 3-4 ATS after solid back to back wins at home vs. the mighty Steelers 2 weeks ago 26-23 and a slim road victory in week 7 by a score of 35-34 at Buffalo. Including the Steelers victory, the Titans are 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS at home with their only loss to powerhouse New England 34-13 in week 1, while they beat Detroit 44-41 at home in week 3.
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Young starting QB Jake Locker was injured in week 4 with backup veteran pivot Matt Hasselbeck taking over winning 2 of 3 starts impressively in his absence. Hasselbeck has what it takes to win with a solid career 82.1 QB rating in 191 career games! Superstar RB Chris Johnson has had a history of slow starts and 2012 has been no exception. In his first 6 games of the season, Johnson struggled while posting 301 yards on the ground and 0 TDs, for a 50 YPG average. In week 7 vs. Buffalo he exploded for 195 yards on the ground and 2 TDs against the Bills 32nd ranked rushing defense! Look for much of the same this Sunday as the Colts have not been much better stopping the run, ranking 26th in the NFL giving up a massive 141.7 YPG on the ground!
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The Titans offense has struggled posting 21.3 PPG but they have been much better with Hasselbeck under centre scoring an average of 30.5 PPG in their last 2 games. The defense will look to improve on their 34.0 PPG average given up this season with the young Colts squad in town Sunday. They have been outscored at home by an avg -5 PPG in 3 games but that includes the 23 point loss in week 1 to New England.
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2009 1st round pick WR Kenny Britt has scuffled the last 2 seasons with injuries but comes into this matchup 100% healthy and looking to break out. In his last outing vs. the Colts, he exploded for 9 catches, 124 yards receiving and 1 TD. Look for Britt to make a difference downfield Sunday.
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Starting QB Locker could be ready for this game however it looks like the team will give Locker at least another week to recover as the team rides the success of Hasselbeck. LB McCarthy is questionable and backup RB Javon Ringer (knee) remains out, with no other significant injuries on the table.
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The Titans are 3-1 ATS vs. the Colts in their last 4 meeting including 2-0 ATS in their last 2 at home, however historical figures between these two do not hold a lot of weight with the QB carousel in Indy the past few seasons.
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The Titans are currently a slim 3.5 point favorite in this game and I expect them to ride their momentum. Take the Titans to win ATS.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday October, 28

Ben BurnsFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Washington vs. Pittsburgh
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I won with the Steelers 'under' against the Bengals in their last game. This is an entirely different opponent though, one which doesn't typically play much defense.
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The Redskins are allowing 28.6 points per game on the season, which puts them in the bottom five of the league. The Saints are the only NFC team which is currently allowing more points. For the season, Washington games are averaging 55.3 combined points, 56.7 outside the nation's capital.
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Not surprisingly, the "over" is 5-2 when Washington has taken the field. One of those two "unders," produced 50 points, too.
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While the Steelers pounded the ball on the ground a lot against Cincinnati, the Skin's 328.4 passing yards allowed per game (worst in the NFL) figures to have Rothlsberger licking his chops.
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The Steelers have alternated between "overs" and "unders" all season long, with each of their three games that topped the total each producing a minimum of 49 points. With Big Ben and co. putting up big numbers, don't be surprised if that pattern continues here and the final combined score exceeds the 50 mark once again. Consider the Over.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday October, 28

Nick ParsonsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Tennessee -3.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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We will side with the Titans as they return home with some confidence restored with the appearance of a running game and leadership from veteran QB Matt Hasselbeck. Chris Johnson has gained at least 90 yards on the ground in his last three games and is attempting to avoid getting released from his high priced contract in the offseason. After New England blew out the Titans at home to open the season, Tennessee has won two in a row at home, against Detroit and Pittsburgh, both by a FG and are due for a dominating home victory for the fans. The Colts head into Tennessee with a 1-5 ATS record in their last six visits, and are 0-4 in their last four games following a win. While the Colts have built a a 3-1 record at home winning close games and Andrew Luck leading his team down the field with the game on the line, but on the road it has been a different story, 0-2, both blowout losses to Chicago and the Jets. The Colts have put up only a measly 52 yards on the ground in their two road games this season, and while they will try to improve their running game against a semi-suspect run D of the Titans that are giving up 119 yards per game, injuries to the Colts backfield including Donald Brown being out till November, the running game may not be the answer to the Colt's road woes. Expect the veteran Hasselbeck to control the clock with his improved running game against an Indy run defense that has given up over 180 yards on the ground in their two road games. Take the Titans

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday October, 28

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Indiapolis +3.5
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Obviously not a marquee game here guys but if there is money to be made I say take advantage. I like the Colts here getting the 3.5 points. In my own view Indy is the superior team here and I'm all for getting the better club plus better than a field goal. Value here lies with the visitors. Something about a team as lousy as the Titans being favored seems off to me. Frankly there will be many touting the Colts past success against the Titans but to be candid I throw those numbers out the window because we're now dealing with the post Manning era negating the true effect of those numbers. I look for a big day for Luck moving the Colts offense against this suspect Titans defense, one which is practically without a legitimate pass rush. Okay, you guys see where this is going. I say the Colts are worth a small wager this week. Many sincere thanks as always and best of luck to us. Enjoy the games!

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Miami +3 -110 over N.Y. JETS
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This matchup is not a favorable one for the Jets. They need to run the ball for any chance at a win but Miami’s run defense is at the core of any success the Dolphins have had. Forcing Mark Sanchez to pass is one of the more comforting thoughts for an opposing defense, as he has few targets to throw to plus he prefers to stay short with check down passes.
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Miami lost a tough OT game to the Jets earlier in the year. The Jets have yet to sweep the Fish in Rex Ryan’s tenure. The Jets come off a difficult game over their hated rivals while the Fish have been resting and fine tuning their improving offense under impressive rookie QB Ryan Tannehill’s leadership. Give us the better team, in a better situation with the better quarterback taking points and we’ll gladly oblige. Sportsinteraction has the best line for us at +3.
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KANSAS CITY -2 -108 over Oakland
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How bad are the Raiders? The Chiefs are favored here, that’s how bad. This is the same Kansas City squad whose only lead this entire season was after booting a field goal to knock of the Saints in overtime. However, this visitor could be what the doctor ordered. Oakland is winless on the road in three tries, being outscored by a combined 95-39. They continue to be the same undisciplined team that they’ve we’ve seen for the past decade. They took another 12 penalties last week to maintain their lead in that unforgiving category.
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The Chiefs have opted to go with Brady Quinn at quarterback and while Matt Cassel’s benching might be unjust, a new face at the helm can’t hurt. Oakland has also been gashed by good running games and that could come into play here with Jamaal Charles leading the way. Kansas City has had issues stopping the run but Oakland’s overrated running game ranks 31st in the league. Chiefs are rested while the Raiders may be gassed after close and demoralzing loss to Falcons and OT win over Jaguars. KC can take advantage.
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CLEVELAND +129 over San Diego
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Admit it. Backing the Chargers here, is more about fading Cleveland than endorsing San Diego. The Browns aren’t sexy but they have some decent parts and they may have discovered a receiver that can actually catch in youngster Josh Gordon.
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This is really a decent spot for the Brownies. They’re definitely the best 1-6 team in the league and not just because they are the only 1-6 team. The defense has improved with CB Joe Haden back. The offense is getting progressively better.  Brandon Weeden has passed for two scores in each of the last three games while posting high yardage in each. He’ll now face a Chargers club that has allowed 12 passing TD’s over their last four games. This is a young team that is improving much more than all the young Browns teams of the recent past.
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Chargers are too unreliable to trust as a road favorite, especially traveling through three time zones before returning home for a divisional Thursday night prime timer. San Diego is a team playing with very little confidence right now.  That’s a sign of weakness and in this league, it usually results in failure.

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CHICAGO -7½ -104 over Carolina

Bears did not look so great in Monday’s win over the Lions but Chicago has a way of coming out gangbusters after a subpar performance. You couldn’t ask for a better visitor to abuse.
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Carolina has derailed, led by unstable and apprehensive Cam Newton. These are frustrating times for the Panthers who just fired the GM, Marty Hurney in part for assembling this dysfunctional group of players. DeAngelo Williams was paid big bucks to remain with the team, yet he only had two carries in the last game and six prior to that. Eight carries for 10 total yards means Williams has either checked out, fallen from favor or lost his ability to run. Jonathan Stewart is little better with no more than 11 runs in any game. Ron Rivera’s return to Chi-town figures to be an unpleasant one. No units risked.
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St. Louis +7 -104 over New England
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New England travels to old England to take on a Rams team that has shown vast improvement and could catch the Pats spent after pair of exhausting games. Patriots having trouble at the safety position and Jeff Fisher savvy enough as a game planner to test the vulnerable unit.
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New England has had one of the easiest schedules in the league, yet they’re just 4-3 and could easily be 3-4 after last week’s fortunate win against the visiting Jets. Full touchdown seems excessive for current Patriots on a neutral site, especially when considering the poor field conditions we’ve seen every year overseas. No units risked.
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TENNESSEE -3½ +102 over Indianapolis
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The Colts have more public appeal, as they are the sexier team aesthetically with QB Andrew Luck at the forefront compared to the non-descript Titans. But Indy still a work in progress and they head out on road for only the third time this year where they were walloped by a combined 76-30 in previous two away.
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The Titans are on a two-game winning streak after nipping both the Steelers and the Bills. Matt Hasselbeck is 2-1 as the starter since replacing the injured Jake Locker and this could be his easiest assignment yet.  RB Chris Johnson appears to have found his skills again and that could prove troublesome for the visitor. The Colts struggle defensively and they remained banged up on that side of the ball. All things considered, this price could be a short one and we’re comfortable leaning that way. No units risked.
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Jacksonville +14½ -107 over GREEN BAY
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Well this is a big spread, ain’t it? Understandably. After all, the Packers seem to be getting back to their 15-1 form from a year ago while the already inept Jaguars continue to lose and have now lost their best player. Most of the losing teams are at least entertaining at times but the Jags just kind of bore their way into submissiveness.
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The hope here is that the resurgent Packers relax somewhat this week figuring they need to show up in body only to get this win. Over the years, we’ve learned that spotting this much weight is detrimental to your bankroll when there is so much room for a backdoor cover. We’ll close our eyes and plug our noses but we’ll recommend the generous points. No units risked.
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Atlanta +3 -110 over PHILADELPHIA
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The Falcons may not be quite as good as their unblemished record suggests but they certainly lay over this train wreck of an opponent. The Eagles found a fall guy in defensive coordinator Juan Castillo this week. Last we checked, it was Michael Vick who has them anchored offensively, leading a 30th ranked offence. Vick currently stands at eight passing touchdowns against eight interceptions and five lost fumbles. Atlanta is not the team to correct things against.
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The Dirty Birds are 6-0 with the final 10 games containing only one team with a current winning record - the Giants. With three close calls in its last three games against Oakland, Washington and Carolina, Atlanta’s stock is on the decline. That presents a great opportunity to take back points with them against a Philly team whose three wins have come by a combined four points. No units risked.
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Washington +4½ -104 over PITTSBURGH
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It’s tempting to give a lean to the Steelers with their stellar home record but endorsing this feisty Redskins group trumps such temptation. Pittsburgh continues to do battle despite slew of injuries but asking it and a vulnerable defense to win by a margin against this dangerous offense is a risk we’re not prepared to take.
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Three of the last four Steelers games have been decided by three points or less. With the G-Men on deck next week, this one has that same close-game feel. No units risked.
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N.Y. Giants -2½ -107 over DALLAS
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This one is not about revenge. This is about having the superior Giants failing to get swept by the most erratic, underachieving, misguided and disappointing team in the league. The Cowboys got back to .500 by beating the Panthers but there was nothing impressive or even encouraging about it. The same can be said about every game Dallas has played since beating these Giants in the season opener.
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The Cowboys have covered just four of past 22 when favored at home (they opened as a one-point favorite), including three straight home losses to this visitor. The Giants defeated the Redskins in a letdown spot last week. They have their sights set on these Cowboys and that certainly bodes well for the G-Men, as they have won and covered in their previous three visits here. Expect that streak to be extended. No units risked.
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DENVER -6 -101 over New Orleans
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Don’t get all worked up over the Saints winning consecutive games. This is a bottom dwelling defense that among other things, ranks 30th against the pass. Six points may seem like a lot of weight to be spotting this high scoring visitor but with this one being a Sunday night featured game, we’re suggesting that the oddsmakers put up a sharp (enticing) number. 
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Facing this defense should have Peyton Manning licking his chops. Manning has been golden for the last four weeks with every game topping 300 yards and scoring three touchdowns in all but one. He has thrown for 14 touchdowns against only four interceptions and three of those picks were back in the Falcons loss. This is Denver’s first home game in a month and the always riled crowd at Mile High will be amped up even higher for this prime time event. No units risked.

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San Diego Chargers vs. Cleveland Browns    
Play: Cleveland Browns
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The Chargers are coming off a bye week which probably came at a great time following their Monday night debacle against the Broncos where they blew a 24-0 lead and got outscored 35-0 in the second half. Some will argue that puts them in a great bounceback situation but the spot is not a good one. Being a road favorite for starters is not a good role and San Diego is 10-22 ATS in its last 32 games off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival.
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The Browns picked up their first win two weeks ago at home against Cincinnati but they gave it right back last week against the Colts. They played good enough to win and they have actually been very competitive for a team that is just 1-6 on the season as they have lost four games by a touchdown or less. This is the first of two straight home games with the second coming against Baltimore so Cleveland could use some positive momentum going into that divisional game against the Ravens.
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Cleveland has been surprisingly effective on offense this season even though there have been some inconsistencies. Quarterback Brandon Weeden has been playing a lot better since his horrific 5.1 passer rating in his first ever start as his last two games have resulted in ratings of 92.7 and 96. He has tossed two touchdowns in each of his last three games and he now faces a Chargers defense that was torched in the second half last week. San Diego is 25th in passing defense and dead last in touchdowns allowed.
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The San Diego offense has put up a substantial amount of points on offense the last three games but it is still having trouble moving the ball. The Chargers are 25th in total offense and they have been held to 307 total yards or less in four of their six games this season. Cleveland has been up and down on defense but most of the latter have been on the road despite a good game last week at Indianapolis. It was their best game on defense as the Browns allowed 321 total yards and they can build from that momentum.
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The Browns are a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last seven games after scoring 15 points or less last game while San Diego is 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven games after allowing 30 or more points last game. Cleveland falls into a solid situation where we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are coming off two or more consecutive overs that are averaging between 23 and 27 ppg going up against an opponent that is allowing between 23 and 27 ppg. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) since 1983.

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Seattle Seahawks vs. Detroit Lions    
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Detroit dropped to 2-4 after losing at Chicago 13-7 on Monday Night Football. The Lions didn't score their touchdown until 30 seconds remained in the game, as their offense struggled to move the football and were held to 340 total offensive yards the entire game. Now they host a Seattle (4-3) defense that's held 5 of their 7 opponents to 17 points or less, and that doesn't include a 24-23 upset of QB Brady and the Patriots 2 weeks ago. Last Sunday, these Seahawks covered in San Francisco, getting 8 points during a 13-6 loss, while improving to 11-1 ATS as dogs under HC Pete Carroll. With Detroit 0-7 ATS during their last 7 in the favorite role since last season, including 0-3 ATS as favorites this year, must take the points with Seattle in what will be another low-scoring game for these Lions.

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Wunderdog

New Orleans at Denver
Pick: New Orleans +6

The bad news for the New Orleans Saints is the fact that their defense has allowed 24 or more points in eight straight games going back to last year. The good news is that they have scored 24 or more points in 11 straight games and in 15 of their last 16. The Saints are now in playoffs mode (must win) after starting the season a dreadful 0-4. The defense is inexcusably bad, but like Green Bay last year who couldn't defend, they have an offense behind Drew Brees that is elite enough to win games. That offense has helped the Saints go 16 straight games without suffering a loss by more than 8 points. They have not been involved in any game over a season's worth of games where they were more than one possession on the short end. So getting points with this team that can score on anyone provides value. Peyton Manning was supposed to be the savior in Denver. While he has executed very well at times, the Broncos are still 3-3. What is bothersome is the fact that the Broncos, like New Orleans, can't seem to defend. All three of the Broncos’ losses have come to teams that score 28.5 points per game or more, and the Saints are racking-up 29.3 ppg. The Broncos are 8-24-1 ATS in their last 33 after scoring 30+ in their previous game. Manning is no exemption as he is 0-2 ATS here in Denver in that situation. The Saints are now 9-1 ATS in their last 10 when following an ATS win. John Fox coached teams have always struggled as a home favorite. His teams are just 8-20 ATS as home chalk of 3.5 to 7 points. This is too many points. Take the Saints.

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New England vs. St. Louis
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This game is being played in London, England at Wembley Stadium.  The Patriots have already played in this game; they beat the Bucs 35-7 back in 2009.  St. Louis left early for London in order to get acclimated to the time change.  So neither team will have an excuse if they come out and play poorly in this game.  New England comes in off their 29-26 overtime home win against the Jets.  The Patriots offense was terrible in that game, especially quarterback Tom Brady who completed just 26 of his 42 passes for 259 yards.  He missed multiple opportunities in that game, but he rarely plays poorly in back-to-back games.  Aaron Rodgers threw all over the Rams last week; he completed 30 of 37 passes for 342 yards and 3 touchdown passes.  Brady is certainly capable of doing the same in this game.
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New England’s secondary is awful.  Mark Sanchez had a lot of success last week when he completed 28 of his 41 passes for 328 yards.  If Sanchez can throw the ball like that on the Patriots, any quarterback can.  The Rams do not have a dynamic offense by any means, but they are much better with Danny Amendola on the field and reports indicate he will play in this game.  The reason we’ve downgraded this play a bit is the late news that Aaron Hernandez did not make the trip with the Patriots.  Rob Gronkowski and Brandon Lloyd did not practice this week either, and with this being a long trip and New England having their bye next week, there’s just too many unknowns on their offense going in.  But if those guys suit up, we can see the Patriots easily scoring over 30 points in this game with the Rams picking up the rest and getting this game up and Over the total.

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New England Patriots at St. Louis Rams
Prediction: St. Louis RamsFORFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This year's 'Fish and Chips' scrum at Wembley Stadium in London features one of the NFL's best spread coaches (Bill Belichick) taking on the league's best underdog coach (Jeff Fisher). Our history book tells us the Pats have struggled in games on neutral fields (all Super Bowl appearances), cashing only two of eight tickets. And speaking of struggling, the Brady bunch is just 4-4 SU and 1-7 ATS in its last eight battles against teams from the NFC. The problem today, though, is Belichick has been brilliant in games off back-to-back spread losses when not playing at home, going 18-5 SUATS in his NFL head coaching career. On the other side of the field, along with the incredible success of NFC dogs this season (37-7-2 ATS in all games to date), Fisher's 80-52-1 ATS career dog log jumps off the page. With that, we're not about to jump off the King Fish regalia with the team that owns the better defense in this malt vinegar special. Take the points. We recommend a 1-unit play on St. Louis.

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Jimmy BoydFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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New York Giants -2
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The Giants are rolling. They've won three in a row and five of six. Expect them to keep right on rolling as they avenge a season-opening loss to Dallas.
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The Giants have won seven of 10 in the series, including three straight in Dallas.
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New York just finds ways to win. It won the Super Bowl last season with an offense that ranked eighth and a defense that ranked 27th. It's improved on both sides of the football this season, which is bad news for the rest of the league.
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Eli Manning has taken his game to another level, and the Giants boast the second-best offense in the NFL (411.6 yards per game) as a result.
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The team with the most passing yards has won each of the past three meetings. It was the Giants in two of those, and I expect it to be the Giants again. After all, Manning has completed 63.8 percent of his passes for a league-high 2,109 yards with 12 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Romo has completed 67.9 percent of his passes but has only thrown for 1,636 yards with eight touchdowns and nine interceptions.
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Romo won the season's first battle but my hard-earned money is on Manning winning round two.
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The Giants marched into San Francisco and earned a 26-3 victory over a team that took them to overtime in last season's NFC championship. I have no doubt they can notch a fourth straight victory in Dallas.
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The Giants are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall and an awesome 37-15-1 ATS in their last 53 road games. The Cowboys are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games. Lay the small number.

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Miami Dolphins vs. NY Jets    
Play: Miami Dolphins
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Statistically the Dolphins match up better to the Jets. Trend-wise Miami is the right side and from a situational standpoint the Dolphins are the right play. All of this is evidence enough for me to back the Dolphins.
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The Jets played hard against New England last Sunday, but fell in overtime. They are emotionally and physically down missing their best player, cornerback Darrelle Revis, and lone offensive playmaker, Santonio Holmes.
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The Dolphins, on the other hand, are rested having had their bye last week. Miami has covered 10 of the last 11 years when playing in Week 8. The Jets have failed to cover the last five years when playing on Week 8.
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This is going to be physical, defensive matchup between two ground-oriented conservative teams. The Dolphins rank No. 3 versus the run giving up 78.2 yards per game. The Jets are third-from-the-bottom in rush defense allowing 147.4 yards per game. The Dolphins are 21st in total offense. The Jets rank 29th in total offense.
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Miami out-rushed the Jets, 185-93, in the team's Week 3 matchup. The Jets won, 23-20, in overtime. A key play in that game was Jets safety LaRon Landry returning an interception for a touchdown. The Dolphins probably should have won that game. This is a huge divisional revenge game for them.
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Mark Sanchez played one of his better games versus the Patriots last week, but he still is a below average quarterback without the upside of Ryan Tannehill. Sanchez has a bad history when playing right after a game against the Patriots. He's completed less than 51 percent of his throws the past three times in these instances with a 1-to-2 touchdown to interception ratio.
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The Dolphins have an underrated defense with as many interceptions as touchdown passes allowed and rank in the top 10 in sacks.
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Miami has covered seven of the last nine times it has been an underdog and is 24-9-1 ATS in its last 34 road contests. The Dolphins also are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games versus AFC foes.
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The Dolphins haven't been bothered by New York weather either. They are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five visits against the Jets.

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Oakland Raiders +1FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Fading home teams when the line is +3 to -3 (KANSAS CITY) that have been outscored by an average of 10 points or more per game has produced a 29-8 ATS mark the last five seasons. Also, fading all teams when the line is +3 to -3 (KANSAS CITY) that are coming off a double-digit loss and have a poor first half defense that gives up 14.0 points or more has produced a 24-8 ATS record the last 5 seasons. The Raiders are 3-1 SU and ATS in the last 4 meetings, including 2-0 at Kansas City during this span. The Raiders are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Kansas City, and the road team is 20-5-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings. Bet Oakland.

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Indianapolis Colts +3.5
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The Indianapolis Colts are showing great value as a 3.5-point underdog at Tennessee Sunday. I believe the Colts are the better team here and would have them as at least a 3-point favorite on a neutral field. There is a good chance this game is decided by a field goal or less, which is why I'll take the points for some insurance even though Indy likely wins outright.
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The Colts are 3-3 this season with two very good wins over the Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings. This team ranks 15th in the league in total offense (359.0 yards/game) and 16th in total defense (352.3 yards/game), so they are improved on both sides of the ball. I have Indianapolis pegged right in the middle of the pack in my NFL power rankings.
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The Tennessee Titans are one of the worst teams in the NFL according to my power rankings. They have won three games this season, but all three of those victories came by 3 points or less. The Titans are scoring just 21.3 points/game while ranking 26th in total offense (324.9 yards/game), and they are allowing 34.0 points/game while ranking 30th in total defense (416.1 yards/game). As you can see, they are getting outgained by roughly 91 yards/game, which is more indicative of a 1-6 team rather than one that is 3-4.
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The Titans are 12-29 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992. Tennessee is 0-6 ATS after gaining 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. Indianapolis is 27-13 ATS in road games after allowing 14 points or less last game since 1992. Bet the Colts Sunday.

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Dave PriceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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New England Patriots -7
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The Rams, who are among the worst offensive teams in the NFL, don't have the fire power to keep pace with New England, which leads the league in both scoring and total offense, in this neutral field battle. The Rams are on a 0-8 ATS slide when playing away from home versus good offensive teams that score 27 points or more per game. They have lost to these teams by an average of 21.5 points. St. Louis is also just 3-13 ATS in its last 16 games played away from home versus teams that complete 64% or more their passes. It has lost in these spots by an average of 20.7 points. Teams coach by Jeff Fisher have always had issues against good passing teams. In fact, teams headed up by Fisher are only 9-21 ATS versus excellent passing teams that average 260 or more passing yards per game. His squads have lost in these spots by an average of 8.5 points. Bet the Pats.

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Rob VincilettiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Oakland Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs    
Play: Kansas City ChiefsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Chiefs have slightly better numbers on both sides of the ball and Quinn, should he play for Cassel should be much more prepared having had the bye week to prepare. Oakland is 0-3 getting outscored 31-13 on the road this season. The Raiders are 0-7 straight up on the road when the total is 38.5 to 42 and 27-62 ats vs losing teams. The Chiefs are 7-3 ats in October and have home loss revenge. The Chiefs are 12-2 ats at home vs Division teams if they allowed 35 or more in their last game, they are also 14-2 ats as a division favorite of -1 to a dog with revenge if off a loss. Take the Chiefs. On Sunday we end the Week big with the 100% Perfect AFC Game of the Year with a System that dates to 1979. We also have a 19-0 Totals Angle, a 3 Teams 10 Point teaer all 3 teams in perfect angles and the Rare Sunday night Football System side that has not lost under these circumstances. Game 4 World series sequence scenario System too. NFL on a 12-4 run cashing 6 of the last 7 Prime time games as the record is now 34 games over. 500 the last 3+ seasons. End the week big jump on now. For the free play take the Kansas City Chiefs. RV

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Greg DarabanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans
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Colts have won 2 of 3 but those were at home. Tennessee has come to life after dropping their few games in poor style team won Thursday night vs Pittsburgh and then rallied to beat Buffalo. Tennessee seems to believing in the system. The Colts can be entertaining with QB Luck but but Tennessee has the horses to win.

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Jim Feist

Carolina Panthers at Chicago Bears
Pick: Chicago Bears

Carolina has been a bust at 1-5 and winless on the road. The defense has a ton of injuries (like last year) and the dysfunctional offense revolves around a QB who simply isn't getting any better behind Cam Newton. The Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. He's a run-first QB and unfortunately they face the top run defense in the NFL. Chicago allows just 71 yards rushing per game and has won 4 in a row allowing 6, 18, 3 and 7 points! The Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall and they are a perfect 3-0 SU (2-1 ATS) at home this season. Play the Bears.

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