Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday October, 22

Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday October, 22

DUNKEL INDEX

Detroit at Chicago
The Bears look to take advantage of a Detroit team that is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 road games. Chicago is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Bears favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-5 1/2)

Game 437-438: Detroit at Chicago (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 130.145; Chicago 137.683
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 7 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Chicago by 5 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-5 1/2); Under

MLB

St. Louis at San Francisco
The Cardinals look to bounce back from last night's 6-1 loss and build on their 13-3 record in Kyle Lohse's last 16 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in the previous game. St. Louis is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+120)

Game 927-928: St. Louis at San Francisco (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lohse) 16.776; San Francisco (Cain) 16.184
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+120); Over

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday October, 22

Hollywood SportsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Lions at BearsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: OverFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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In the last 7 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Over the Total 5 times. Chicago (4-1) comes off their bye week after they destroyed Jacksonville by a 41-3 score as a 6-point favorite. The Bears have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total following a victory as well as 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a point spread win. Additionally, Chicago has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after holding their last opponent to under 15 points. And in their last 8 games at home, the Bears have played 6 of these games Over the Total. Detroit (2-3) enters this game following their 26-23 overtime win at Philadelphia in a game where they gained 449 yards of offense against the Eagles defense. The Lions have played 4 straight games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Detroit has also seen the Over go 5-1-1 now in their last 6 games against teams from the NFC. And while the Bears are a perfect 2-0 at home, the Lions have played 20 of their last 26 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Take the Over in this one.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday October, 22

Dave CokinFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Lions at BearsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The O/U could well be impacted by the weather. Thunderstorm possibilities and if it rains, there is no field in the NFL that drains more poorly than this one. The Bears play conservatively and will likely eat up clock on their drives, and I don't see Detroit hitting many big plays. The game should be on the low scoring side, so I'll go ahead with the Under.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday October, 22

Jim FeistFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Cardinals at GiantsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Cardinals never thought they would be facing a game seven here on Monday for the right to represent the NL in the World Series. Up 3-1 in this series, it looked like a foregone conclusion that the Cards would take this series in five games. But, two straight wins by the Giants have this series tied at 3-3. Both clubs will have very good pitchers on the mound. The Cardinals have Kyle Lohse with his 18-3 record and 2.79 ERA. The Giants will send Matt Cain to the hill with a 17-7 record and 2.93 ERA. Cain is 8-3 in San Francisco with a 2.03 ERA, striking out 101 and walking just 19. Cain went 6 2/3 innings in his start in St Louis, allowing six hits and three earned runs. However, here at home in the thicker bay area air, I expect this game to be very low scoring. Plus, you can expect all pitchers, even starters to be available for this one. Take the UNDER in game 7 of the NLCS.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday October, 22

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CHICAGO -6½ -106 over Detroit
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The Bears are 4-1 with only loss occurring against Green Bay. They’ve crushed their other four opponents with lowest margin of victory being by 16 points against Dallas. Chicago’s defense ranks among the best in the league while Detroit’s ranks at the other end of the spectrum. The Bears have allowed a paltry five touchdowns and while the Lions do have some playmakers, their offense as a whole is not scaring anyone these days.
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Detroit had a comeback win over the Eagles to stop the bleeding but concerns remain. Matthew Stafford could only generate some offense late in the fourth quarter in that win over Philly and he still has not thrown more than one touchdown in any game. The Lions are now 2-3 but could easily be 0-5 after two fortunate wins over St. Louis and the Eagles. The Lions remain defensively horrid and alarmingly undisciplined. The lion has forever been a symbol of strength, power and fierceness in the wild. This bunch more resembles old zoo lions; listless, depressed and powerless. Something resembling last year’s 37-13 beatdown by the Bears could easily play out again.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday October, 22

NFL BETTING PICKS

Lions / Bears Over 47

These two division rivals will meet in the Monday Night'er with Chicago fresh off a bye week and 6.5 point favorites. Detroit enters the game with a 2-3 record, while going 1-2 on the road. Chicago is off to a hot start at 4-1 and are a perfect 2-0 at home. Detroit has beaten St Louis and Philadelphia, while losing to San Francisco, Tennessee and Minnesota. The Bears have beaten Indianapolis, St Louis, Dallas, and Jacksonville, with their only loss coming in Green Bay. Similar to last year the Lions have a high powered attack on offense as they've averaged 419 yards per game (2nd) and 25.2 points per game (10th). Chicago is just 21st in ypg at 346, but they've been effective scoring points ranking 3rd in ppg at 29.8. At home the Bears have scored 41 and 23 points, and they are averaging 32.7 ppg in their past 3 games. Defensively Chicago has been solid as expected ranking 4th in yards against per game, and 1st in points against per game - but they haven't been tested by too many good offenses with three of their games coming against Indianapolis, St Louis, and Jacksonville. Besides when they faced Green Bay and gave up 23 points, this should be their next toughest test tonight. Detroit on the other hand is ranked 26th in papg at 27.4, and 9th in total defense allowing 324 yards against per game. A big problem for the Lions is their special teams defense, which has given up 4 TDs in their past 3 games. Tonight they will facing the NFL's all time leader in punt returns in Devin Hester and that could lead to some quick points. Take note that the OVER is 5-1-1 in the Lions last 7 games overall, 4-1-1 in their last 6 vs a team with a winning record, 37-14-2 in their last 53 road games overall, and 20-6 in their last 26 road games vs a team with a winning home record. The OVER is 6-2 in the Bears last 8 home games, and 9-4 in their last 13 vs a team with a losing record. The OVER is also 5-2 in these two teams last 7 meetings overall, and 5-2 in their last 7 meetings in Chicago. Tonight we have two high powered offenses and a Lions defense that gives up a lot of points. Their meeting last year in Chicago finished with 50 points and I think we see another high scoring game tonight. Take the OVER.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday October, 22

Jimmy Boyd

St. Louis Cardinals/San Francisco Giants Under 7

We have seen seven runs or fewer scored in three of the last four games in this series, and I'm expect another low-scoring affair tonight.

The Giants are 11-3 under this season in home games after giving up two runs or less in two straight games. We have only seen an average of 6.1 runs scored in this situation.

The Cardinals are 11-3 under in Kyle Lohse's 14 starts this season following a start in which he gave up one earned run or none. We have seen an average of just 5.7 runs scored in this situation.

Both Matt Cain and Lohse have sub 3.00 ERA's. The Giants have combined with their opponent for 7.0 runs or less in four of Cain's last five starts. The Cardinals have been under this number in each of Lohse's last two starts. Only four total runs were scored when these two faced off in Game 3. We'll take the Under.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday October, 22

Rob Vinciletti

St. Louis Cardinals/San Francisco Giants
Play: St. Louis Cardinals

In Game 6, the San Francisco Giants beat the St. Louis Cardinals 6-runs-1 to force a series deciding Game 7. The San Francisco Giants have an overall Game 7 record of 0-3 and a Semifinals-round Game 7 record of 0-1. The St. Louis Cardinals have an overall Game 7 record of 11-4 with an active three-Game 7 winning streak, and a Semifinals-round Game 7 record of 3-1. The eleven Game 7 St. Louis wins lead MLB in best-of-7 playoff series next is the New York Yankees with six Game 7 wins. The Cardinals are now off a pair of 5 run losses and must rebound to make it back to the World Series and defend their title. The Cardinals wont be rattled here as they have plenty of big game experience. They are a solid 14-5 when playing on Monday and have better numbers here against Giants starter M.Cain, than the Giants do against Cardinals Starter K. Lohse. St. Louis has hit Cain well. In 3 starts against him this season they have scored 12 earned runs on 24 hits in 18+ innings. Lohse has pitched well vs the Giants and has won his last 3 starts against them. In his 2 most recent starts he has allowed just 2 runs in nearly 14 innings. In closing if you play against a home team in a game seven it must be one with the resolve to get the job done. The Cardinals have shown they can rise to the occasion in a big spot. Go with St. Louis tonight.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday October, 22

Joe Gavazzi

St. Louis +125

Each of these teams has been outstanding in elimination games. St. Louis is 6-0 L2Y, San Fran is 5-0 this year. The Giants have the advantage of playing at home, where they have outscored the Cards 11-1 the last 2 nights. These 2 starters met each other in game 3, a 3-1 St. Louis win. In that game Cain allowed 3 runs in 6 2/3IP. In 3 starts vs. St. Louis this year, Cain has 5.89 ERA. Lohse allowed just 1 run in 5 2/3 IP from that 3-1 victory. At this site he is 3-1 with a 3.42 ERA in his career. Value side is St. Louis.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday October, 22

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAYS

Detroit +6.5 over CHICAGO: The Bears are 0-7 ATS as Monday night home faves since 1990, while the Lions are 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Monday night division games. The Lions are just 2-3 on the year, but their losses have not been blowout losses and all their games have relatively been close. That's mainly due to their offense which is putting up 419.6 ypg and 25.2 ppg on the year. The Lions offense will face a Chicago defense that has been tough this year, allowing just 14.2 ppg on the year, but let's look at who they have faced. Jacksonville, Dallas, St Louis and Indianapolis are all 23rd or worse in the league in scoring, while Detroit is 10th. The most points Chicago has allowed this year has been 23 and that was vs Green Bay, who is 9th in scoring. Detroit is 2nd in the league in total offense, which makes them the best offense Chicago will have seen this year. and I feel they can be exploited. The Chicago offense is not all that great as they come in ranked 21st in total offense, but thanks to turnovers they have averaged 29.8 ppg on the year. Detroit has had some problem with TO's this year, but I expect them to correct that in this Important division battle. Now as long as they do correct the TO's the Detroit defense is not all that bad, allowing just 324 ypg, which is 9th in the league. This should be a tight game throughout. Detroit has the better offense, while the defenses are nearly even. I will call for the outright win by the Lions here. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Since 1992 the Bears are just 4-17 ATS after scoring 25 or more points in BB games.   


St Louis/ San Fran Under 7: The Cards are really having a hard time scoring right now, putting up just 2.6 rpg in their last 5 games, while scoring just 1 run in the last 2 games of this series. Matt Cain has struggled in the post season, but he has pitched well at home this year with a 2.18 ERA, while seeing just 6.3 rpg scored in his home starts. Kyle Lohse has pitched well in the post season, allowing just 1 ER in both of his starts. He also has allowed just 1 ER in each of his last 2 starts vs the Giants. The Giants have been scoring some runs of late, but still they average just 3.8 rpg at home and I see them having problems scoring off of Lohse tonight. I look for 5 runs at most in this one.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday October, 22

Sean Higgs

Cardinals vs. Giants
Play: Under

I pretty much live by the Under in October rules. Playoff baseball. Better pitching staffs. Much better bull-pens, and the cooler weather all point me to low scoring affairs. Here we get a Game 7 with a pair of teams who have a couple of pretty good aces on the hill tonight. The season numbers do not lie. Kyle Lohse is 18-3 with a 2.79 ERA on the year! He has a 1.96 ERA in the playoffs in 18 innings. Cain had a stellar regular season going 16-5 2.79 ERA. He has been banged around here in the post-season. 1-2 4.67 in his 17+ innings. That being said. I like Cain. After a couple so-so start, I expect to see the true ace that Cain is here tonight.

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