Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday October, 20

Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday October, 20

DUNKEL INDEX

Penn State at Iowa
The Nittany Lions look to take advantage of an Iowa team that is coming off a win over Michigan State and is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games following a SU victory. Penn State is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Nittany Lions favored by 9. Dunkel Pick: Penn State (+3 1/2)

Game 311-312: Nebraska at Northwestern (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 102.461; Northwestern 92.983
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 9 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 4 1/2; 62
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-4 1/2); Under

Game 313-314: Minnesota at Wisconsin (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 79.928; Wisconsin 102.236
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 22 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 17 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-17 1/2); Over

Game 315-316: Army at Eastern Michigan (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Army 74.877; Eastern Michigan 70.424
Dunkel Line: Army by 4 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Army by 2; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Army (-2); Under

Game 317-318: Ball State at Central Michigan (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 77.311; Central Michigan 75.979
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 1 1/2; 67
Vegas Line: Ball State by 3; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (+3); Over

Game 319-320: Bowling Green at Massachusetts (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 78.805; Massachusetts 59.767
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 19; 47
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 17 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (-17 1/2); Under

Game 321-322: Northern Illinois at Akron (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 85.633; Akron 72.468
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 13; 71
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 16; 65
Dunkel Pick: Akron (+16); Over

Game 323-324: Georgia at Kentucky (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 107.990; Kentucky 76.708
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 31 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: Georgia by 27 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (-27 1/2); Over

Game 325-326: Wake Forest at Virginia (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 78.206; Virginia 85.591
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 7 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Virginia by 3; 53
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-3); Under

Game 327-328: North Carolina at Duke (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 100.715; Duke 85.379
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 15 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 10; 63
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-10); Under

Game 329-330: North Carolina State at Maryland (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina State 89.840; Maryland 88.775
Dunkel Line: North Carolina State by 1; 52
Vegas Line: North Carolina State by 3 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+3 1/2); Over

Game 331-332: Cincinnati at Toledo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 96.943; Toledo 88.504
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 8 1/2; 68
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 6 1/2; 64
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-6 1/2); Over

Game 333-334: Boston College at Georgia Tech (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 76.610; Georgia Tech 95.682
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 19; 58
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 14; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (-14); Under

Game 335-336: Rutgers at Temple (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 91.947; Temple 85.062
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 7; 38
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 5; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (-5); Under

Game 336-338: New Mexico at Air Force (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 73.635; Air Force 85.874
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 12; 62
Vegas Line: Air Force by 10 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (-10 1/2); Over

Game 339-340: San Jose State at TX-San Antonio (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 81.045; TX-San Antonio 70.191
Dunkel Line: San Jose State by 11; 49
Vegas Line: San Jose State by 13 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TX-San Antonio (+13 1/2); Under

Game 341-342: New Mexico State at Utah State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 63.537; Utah State 92.025
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 28 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Utah State by 30 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (+30 1/2); Over

Game 343-344: Virginia Tech at Clemson (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 86.365; Clemson 100.282
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 14; 57
Vegas Line: Clemson by 8 1/2; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-8 1/2); Under

Game 345-346: UNLV at Boise State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 72.977; Boise State 99.347
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 26 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Boise State by 28; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (+28); Over

Game 347-348: BYU at Notre Dame (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 91.307; Notre Dame 114.608
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 23 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 13 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-13 1/2); Under

Game 349-350: Alabama at Tennessee (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 116.314; Tennessee 91.968
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 24 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Alabama by 20 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-20 1/2); Over

Game 351-352: Stanford at California (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 101.690; California 101.902
Dunkel Line: Even; 45
Vegas Line: Stanford by 3; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: California (+3); Under

Game 353-354: Washington at Arizona (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 94.723; Arizona 99.273
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 4 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: Arizona by 8; 62
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+8); Over

Game 355-356: Purdue at Ohio State (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 84.401; Ohio State 105.373
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 21; 57
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 17 1/2; 62
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-17 1/2); Under

Game 357-358: Michigan State at Michigan (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 95.081; Michigan 102.709
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 7 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Michigan by 10; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (+10); Over

Game 359-360: Indiana at Navy (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 76.145; Navy 85.015
Dunkel Line: Navy by 9; 62
Vegas Line: Navy by 2 1/2; 60
Dunkel Pick: Navy (-2 1/2); Over

Game 361-362: Texas Tech at TCU (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 106.340; TCU 94.304
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 12; 51
Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 2 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (-2 1/2); Under

Game 363-364: Colorado at USC (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 67.626; USC 112.365
Dunkel Line: USC by 44 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: USC by 40; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: USC (-40); Under

Game 365-366: Florida State at Miami (FL) (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 111.359; Miami (FL) 87.164
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 24; 59
Vegas Line: Florida State by 20; 56
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-20); Over

Game 367-368: Utah at Oregon State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 86.796; Oregon State 105.615
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 19; 44
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 10 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (-10 1/2); Under

Game 369-370: Kansas State at West Virginia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 106.108; West Virginia 106.847
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 1; 75
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 2 1/2; 71 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (+2 1/2); Over

Game 371-372: LSU at Texas A&M (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 110.875; Texas A&M 105.508
Dunkel Line: LSU by 5 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: LSU by 3 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-3 1/2); Under

Game 373-374: South Carolina at Florida (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 104.040; Florida 109.126
Dunkel Line: Florida by 5; 46
Vegas Line: Florida by 3; 42
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-3); Over

Game 375-376: Auburn at Vanderbilt (12:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 81.491; Vanderbilt 92.834
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 11 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 7; 43
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (-7); Under

Game 377-378: Western Michigan at Kent State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 80.310; Kent State 79.095
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 1; 58
Vegas Line: Kent State by 4; 54
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (+4); Over

Game 379-380: Marshall at Southern Mississippi (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 80.479; Southern Mississippi 79.466
Dunkel Line: Marshall by 1; 62
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 2 1/2; 66 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (+2 1/2); Under

Game 381-382: Central Florida at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 83.981; Memphis 64.491
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 19 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 23 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+23 1/2); Over

Game 383-384: South Florida at Louisville (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 81.635; Louisville 94.361
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 12 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Louisville by 6 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-6 1/2); Under

Game 385-386: Idaho at Louisiana Tech (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 62.778; Louisiana Tech 90.925
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 28; 77
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 30 1/2; 74
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (+30 1/2); Over

Game 387-388: Iowa State at Oklahoma State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 91.534; Oklahoma State 103.375
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 12; 64
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 14 1/2; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+14 1/2); Over

Game 389-390: Kansas at Oklahoma (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 74.900; Oklahoma 116.800
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 42; 55
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 34 1/2; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-34 1/2); Under

Game 391-392: Baylor at Texas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 98.972; Texas 99.995
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 76
Vegas Line: Texas by 11; 81
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (+11); Under

Game 393-394: Pittsburgh at Buffalo (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 82.973; Buffalo 73.385
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 9 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 11; 55
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+11); Over

Game 395-396: East Carolina at UAB (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 80.594; UAB 79.803
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 1; 58
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 3 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: UAB (+3 1/2); Over

Game 397-398: Penn State at Iowa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 94.365; Iowa 85.457
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 9; 49
Vegas Line: Iowa by 3 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (+3 1/2); Under

Game 399-400: Rice at Tulsa (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 65.212; Tulsa 93.747
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 28 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 20 1/2; 63 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (-20 1/2); Under

Game 401-402: Tulane at UTEP (8:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 62.987; UTEP 76.049
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 13; 56
Vegas Line: UTEP by 15; 50
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+15); Over

Game 403-404: Wyoming at Fresno State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 77.038; Fresno State 94.421
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 17 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 14 1/2; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (-14 1/2); Under

Game 405-406: San Diego State at Nevada (10:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 88.339; Nevada 90.844
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 2 1/2; 70
Vegas Line: Nevada by 7 1/2; 66 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (+7 1/2); Over

Game 407-408: UL-Monroe at Western Kentucky (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 90.678; Western Kentucky 90.560
Dunkel Line: Even; 59
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 3 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (+3 1/2); Over

Game 409-410: Middle Tennessee State at Mississippi State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 83.315; Mississippi State 93.735
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 10 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 20; 56
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (+20); Under

Game 411-412: Florida International at Troy (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 70.398; Troy 81.157
Dunkel Line: Troy by 11; 51
Vegas Line: Troy by 7; 55
Dunkel Pick: Troy (-7); Under

Game 413-414: Florida Atlantic at South Alabama (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 64.429; South Alabama 64.456
Dunkel Line: Even; 52
Vegas Line: South Alabama by 3 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (+3 1/2); Over

CFL

Hamilton at Calgary
The Tiger-Cats look to take advantage of a Calgary team that is coming off a 32-21 win over Winnipeg and is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games following an ATS victory. Hamilton is the pick (+7) according to Dunkel, which has the Stampeders favored by only 5. Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+7)

Game 495-496: Montreal at Saskatchewan (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 111.771; Saskatchewan 118.390
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 5 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 3 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-3 1/2); Under

Game 2497-498: Hamilton at Calgary (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 113.443; Calgary 119.041
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 5 1/2; 61
Vegas Line: Calgary by 7; 56
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+7); Over

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday October, 20

Scott Spreitzer

Alabama at Tennessee
Prediction: Alabama

The joint will be jumping in Knoxville on Saturday night, but by the end of the game, HC Dooley's hot seat will be even hotter, in my opinion. Tennessee's three step-up games against Florida, Georgia, and Mississippi State have not gone well. The Vols not only lost all three, while allowing 43 ppg, but they were heavily out-gained. The Vols averaged just 393 yards per game against those teams and gave up an average of 521.7! Tyler Bray, who Alabama didn't have to face last season, did not exactly light things up against those three SEC defenses. Bray completed just 59 of 111, or 53% of his passes, while tossing as many INTs (6) as TDs. Yes, Alabama QB A.J. McCarron has been practicing with a brace on his knee during the early portion of this week, but HC Nick Saban says he expects the Tide's signal caller to play on Saturday. Even if he's limited, I believe the Tide will be able to rely on their defense, which ranks first in the nation in total yards per game, passing yards allowed per game, rushing yards allowed per game, and points allowed per game. At the same time, the offense should be able to run their way to a wide margin win. Don't forget, Tennessee allowed Florida to run for 336 yards on 7.81 yards per carry. Alabama is on a 5-0 ATS run at this venue. Meanwhile, the Vols are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 SEC tilts and 1-7-1 ATS against teams with a winning record. I'm recommending a play on Alabama minus the points.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday October, 20

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San Diego St. at NevadaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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San Diego State (4-2) enters this game coming off their 38-14 win against Colorado State -- and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. The Aztecs have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on the road. Nevada (6-1) has played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total against teams from the Mountain West. Take the Under in this one.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday October, 20

Matt Fargo

BYU vs. Notre Dame
Play: BYU

Notre Dame enters this week coming off a very controversial win over Stanford last weekend in overtime but it was a solid come-from-behind victory that kept it undefeated. The Irish are ranked fifth in the initial BCS rankings as they are now 6-0 on the season and looking very strong across the board. This game is a tough one however as they are surely in for a letdown after that big win and with a game at Oklahoma next week, the lookahead is a strong possibility as well. BYU dropped to 4-3 following its home blowout loss against Oregon St. which is also undefeated, but the game was not as lopsided as that score indicates. The Cougars were outgained by only 64 total yards but three interceptions, including one that was returned for a touchdown for the last score, did them in. their previous two losses were by a combined four points and those came on the road so they have fought very hard away from home. This is easily the biggest line BYU has seen all year. Notre Dame was able to cover against Miami in its last game when it was favored by double-digits but this game presents a much tougher challenge. Notre Dame has struggled on offense this season for the most part as it is 76th overall and 68th in scoring and it will have another challenge here. BYU is extremely tough on defense as it ranked fifth in total defense and seventh in scoring defense. Holding Boise St., Hawaii and Utah St. to 10 points combined over a three-game stretch is very impressive. The concern here is the BYU offense against the Notre Dame defense. The Irish have not allowed more than 17 points all season long as they are second in the country in scoring defense and 11th in total offense. The Cougars have struggled at times but they have also shown some very positive signs and the effort that Notre Dame has given over the last four games is going to be tough to keep going as if there was a time for a defensive letdown, this is it with the Sooners on deck. Playing tough defenses has hurt the Irish as they are 5-20 ATS in their last 25 games against teams that are allowing 285 or fewer ypg and they have been outscored by over 11 ppg in those contests. To no surprise, Notre Dame has average just 16.6 ppg on offense. BYU meanwhile is 6-0 ATS in its last six road games after allowing 125 or fewer rushing ypg in two straight games while going a perfect 4-0 ATS in its last four games following a loss.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday October, 20

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Iowa State vs. Oklahoma StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Oklahoma State's No. 1 ranked offense and strong revenge motive have pushed this line past the two-touchdown mark. But are the Cowboys really two touchdowns better than Iowa State? I don't believe so. The spunky Cyclones have the better defense and have covered their last five road games. They are 6-3 ATS as a road 'dog since last season, including beating Iowa and TCU straight-up as road 'dogs this year. Before getting hung up on revenge - Iowa State derailed Oklahoma State's title hopes with a 37-31 double overtime win last year - let's just see how good the Cowboys are. Oklahoma State just slipped past Kansas, 20-14, last week as 26 1/2-point road favorites. The Cowboys have failed to cover the last four times they've won straight-up. The Cowboys have fancy offensive numbers such as a nation-best 601.4 yards per game and scoring 48.6 points per game. But really how good of a team are they if they can barely defeat the Jayhawks? There was some weather-related issues that worked against Oklahoma State's high-octane offense, but it's not just that game. Oklahoma State lost 59-38 to Arizona. The Wildcats are 0-3 in the Pac-12 with a 49-0 loss to Oregon and a home loss to Oregon State. The Cowboys lost 41-36 at home to Texas, which just was slaughtered by Oklahoma, 63-21. So that loss looks worse now. These are signs that Oklahoma State is overrated. The Cowboys have put up their fancy numbers versus soft defenses. Iowa State is the most physical defense they will face. The Cyclones rank 34th in total defense despite facing three of the top 50 teams in total offense. I'm not totally convinced Oklahoma State is even better than Iowa State. Now, because of the revenge angle and fancy offensive numbers, the oddsmaker has made the blatant assumption that the Cowboys are two touchdowns better than a solid, below-the-radar Iowa State squad with a history of road point spread success. On top of this, early market activity has pushed the number past 14. I do put some stock in college revenge. But I also strongly consider value, too. The price of revenge has gotten way too high in this matchup.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday October, 20

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Georgia vs. KentuckyFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Bulldogs have given up a total of 79 points in their last two games alone. They suffered a devastating 35-7 loss at the hands of South Carolina before heading into last scheduled bye week.  Those are some pretty big numbers for a team that always considers itself a good defensive team. Georgia has now played in two games where the betting total has gone over total line.
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It’s very likely the Bulldogs will be looking for a huge comeback game on the road where will be looking to shut down a Wildcats team that played them pretty hard last year.
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Last year’s game between Kentucky was a 19-10 low scoring game where the Wildcats played their hearts out to stay with the Bulldogs, while I don’t really see that happening this year, it should be noted that the Wildcats do have some pride going in.
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Kentucky has really struggled to score against the SEC, being held to an average of just 9.5 points in four conference games this year. The Wildcats have had to use four different quarterbacks due to injuries leading an average of just 215 yards passing in conference play.
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Kentucky is coming off blowout loss to Arkansas where they gave up 49 points. You can expect the Wildcats to make all efforts to keep the score down at home this week against a tough opponent.
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Georgia will be looking to get the run game going as they have to the 19th best rushing offense in the nation. Their two freshmen tailbacks in Todd Gurley and Keith Marshall ranking amongst the best rushers in the SEC. Look for those two to get a lot of action in this road game. 
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The Bulldogs go in this game with a chip on their shoulders looking to blood. You have to think the Wildcats are in tough, but will make it tough on team that they put a real scare in to last year.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday October, 20

Ben BurnsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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UNLV vs. Boise StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Boise StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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With five straight wins and back to back "covers," the Broncos have got their swagger back. Now, they catch a weak opponent in a difficult spot. It should result in a blowout.
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Off a tough loss against rival Nevada, UNLV figures to be a little flat. Listed as double-digit underdogs, the Rebels were up 17 points at halftime. However, the Wolfpack outscored them by a 28-6 margin in the second half, leaving UNLV on the short end of a 42-37 final.
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Having come that close to winning the "coveted Fremont Cannon," only to let the opportunity slip by, may have the Rebels thinking "what if."
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Of course, it doesn't much matter what they're thinking, when the Rebels are clearly outmatched on the field.
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Looking at last year's meeting and we find that the Broncos were favored by 43 points, at UNLV. Now, we're getting a significantly lower line, despite the fact that the Broncos are now playing at home.
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Note that UNLV is 1-13-2 ATS its last 16 road games, losing all 16 of them SU.
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Boise won by "only" 27 points last season. Playing at home and catching UNLV in a difficult spot, the Broncos should win by even more than that on Saturday. If you can get a line of 28 or less, consider laying the points. (Note: If line climbs above 28, I'd recommend passing.)

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday October, 20

Chris ElliottFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Western Michigan vs. Kent State
Pick: Kent StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Western Michigan will travel to Dix Stadium Saturday to take on the Kent State Golden Flashes in this matchup.
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The Broncos are 3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS, 0-3 SU on the road, 0-3 ATS on the road, 1-2 MAC, 5-5 ATS L10 and 1-4 ATS L5 road games.
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Kent State is 5-1 SU, 5-1 ATS, 2-0 SU at home, 2-0 ATS at home, 3-0 MAC, 4-0 ATS L4, 8-2 ATS L10 and 5-0 ATS L5 home games.
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The Golden Flashes are currently available -3 at many sports books.
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The Broncos dropped a 30-24 OT decision Saturday at 4-3 Ball State. They are 0-3 on the road this season against teams with a combined record of 10-10 getting outscored 82-54. They are averaging 29.3 ppg on offense and 25.4 ppg on defense for a net +3.9. Backup QB Van Tubbergen struggled against the Ball State 107th ranked offense on Saturday throwing 16-31 for 202 yards with 1 TD and 2 INTs. He will be in for a much tougher time against Kent State and their 55th ranked defense on October 20th. Senior starting QB Alex Carder remains out indefinitely with a hand injury.
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The Golden Flashes are 2-0 at home this season against teams with a combined record of 7-6. They have won 4 straight games by a combined score of 140-81. They are averaging 32.5 ppg on offense and 24.8 ppg on defense for a net +7.7 ppg. RB Dri Archer went off Saturday vs. Army for 222 yards rushing on 12 carries. The all purpose back now has an awesome 13 TDs combined on the season. RB Travion Durham has 524 yards on the ground and 7 TDs on the year making the pair of RBs one of the top duo's in the country. The team is ranked 27th in the nation posting a massive 215.3 YPG on the ground.
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These two teams have met once at Dix Stadium in the past 3 years with Kent State easily winning SU and ATS 26-14. In their history, the Broncos have owned the Golden Flashes 7-1 SU and 7-1 ATS however these two teams have only met twice in the past 6 years and haven't played each other since 2010.
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These two teams are going in the opposite directions right now, with Kent State a mere 3 point favorite at home, jump on the home team ATS!

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday October, 20

Sean MurphyFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Northern Illinois vs. Akron
Pick: Over FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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We've seen shootout after shootout in the MAC this season, and this matchup gives us the opportunity to exploit another seemingly high, but realistically low total.
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Northern Illinois hasn't missed a beat offensively, despite losing do-it-all senior QB Chandler Harnish to graduation. Jordan Lynch has stepped in and played exceptional football, throwing 11 touchdown passes compared to only three interceptions, while also rushing for a whopping 11 scores. The Huskies are an extremely well-balanced offensive team, averaging over eight yards per pass play and 6.5 yards per rush.
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It's highly unlikely that an Akron defense that's giving up six yards per play, and has already been torched for exactly 56 points on two different occasions this season, will be able to stand in the Huskies way on Saturday. Note that NIU has scored 76 points in two previous road games this season, and hasn't been held to less than 31 points in a true road game since scoring 28 points at Western Michigan way back in October of 2010.
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The good news for Akron is, it can trade points with anyone in the MAC. The Zips have developed a fairly explosing passing attack led by QB Dalton Williams, who is in his first year as a starter. He's already tossed 19 touchdowns compared to nine interceptions, compiling over 2,200 passing yards along the way.
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In three MAC contests, the Zips have scored 87 points, despite being held to only 10 points against Bowling Green two weeks ago. That poor showing at home against the Falcons should certainly have them focused and ready to come out firing on Saturday. Keep in mind, they went on the road and put up 28 points against a good Ohio team last Saturday - outgaining the Bobcats in terms of total yardage.
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This is a team that won't quit, even if it falls behind by a substantial margin, as we saw in last week's near comeback against the Bobcats. I'm not sure they'll ever fall farther tham arm's reach behind Northern Illinois on Saturday, however, as the Huskies haven't gone on the road and manhandled anyone defensively this season, allowing a combined 63 points in a pair of away games against Army and Ball State.
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The 'under' has gone a perfect 2-0 in each teams' last two contests, but that only serves to keep this total in a playable range. Expect the Huskies and Zips to air it out early and often in this game, leading to a typically wild, high-scoring MAC affair.

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Brigham Young vs. Notre Dame
Pick: Brigham Young
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The Cougars have played two ranked opponents this year, and they have lost both those games. Last week they were neck and neck with Oregon State, before suffering a fourth quarter collapse, allowing 21 points in the final frame.
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Previously they played the Boise State Broncos on the road, in an epic defensive battle that they would lose 7-6. The Cougars defense ranks 7th in the country allowing an average of just 13 points per game this year.
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Notre Dame is also very strong defensively, in fact they rank 2nd overall in the country behind the Alabama Crimson Tide, allowing an average of just 8.7 points per game.
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Neither team has been very impressive offensively, however the Cougars are ranked higher than the Irish in yards per game, as well as total points scored.
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Notre Dame has scored 20 points or less in three of their four home games this season, and this BYU defense is likely the strongest they have faced so far.
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They needed overtime to get past Stanford last week, despite being heavily favored to win that game.
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I don't see how anyone could pass on BYU as a double digit dog here.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday October, 20

Greg Shaker

Texas A&M +3.5

I am not going to bore you too much with this one. BIG RIVAL Game here and more so with CBB but the fact is, these two teams while not playing often, have fans that cross paths a lot. LSU just won a huge game, no doubt. But they are still offensively challenged and they proved at Florida that they can get rattled in a hostile environment. That is what this is going to be. A&M lost a little love with their close win at La Tech but this team continues to win and they certainly have done that well here at home. The only loss in fact was 3 points to Florida. Didn't Florida beat LSU? I thought so. LSU might think that after playing the Gators and Gamecocks, that this is going to be like a vacation. Not so I am afraid and I have the Aggies winning here outright by 2.2..

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday October, 20

Johnny Detroit

New Mexico +11

Getting 11-points is a gift. So is 10.5 and 10. This line should only be around 7 and New Mexico is a VERY LIVE DOG on Saturday. Air Force in their win over Wyoming gave up 447 yards on offense, including 252 on the ground. The Lobos are ranked 7th in the nation piling up 280 yards per game on the ground. In their win over Hawaii last Saturday, they put up 452 yards, with 332 on the ground. Kasey Carrier ran for 161 and Cole Gautsche 100 as New Mexico has a very balanced ground game. Toss in Air Force rolled over New Mexico 42-0 last year, pretty sure a much improved Lobos squad has this game circled. Balanced running game from a motivated team equals an easy cover.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday October, 20

Dave Essler

Toledo +7

This is the Bearcats' FIRST road game, and it's of course a non-conference game. Clearly with a game at Louisville next week, Cincinnati cannot be expected to give a 100% effort for 60 minutes. Both teams should score plenty here, but there's no way this shouldn't be a last possession game. Cincinnati does have a top-rated, statistically, defense. However, they haven't played an actual offense yet other than perhaps Virginia Tech, and that's questionable at best, at least to date. Toledo beat a Pac-12 team (Arizona) on the road this season, so at home, catching a touchdown, I've got every reason they can win this game straight up, although for our purposes they don't have to.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday October, 20

Bobby Conn

Michigan State vs. Michigan    
Play: Michigan State

I'll take the points with the Spartans today. It hasn't been a good year so far for Michigan State and last week's loss at home to Iowa had to really hurt. Michigan on the other hand is rolling, but the Wolverines have struggled against their in-state rivals. I think this one stays close and Michigan pulls out a close win. I'll take the points.

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Brad Diamond

Nebraska vs. Northwestern
Play: Nebraska

The ‘Cats are 6-1 SU & ATS and now face Nebraska in Evanston. The visiting Cornhuskers lineup on Saturday 4-2 SU & 3-3 ATS after being mauled by Ohio St. 63-38. In the preseason we had Northwestern in the bottom half of the Leaders Division of the Big-10, considering they enlisted just 11 returning starting starters. NW has defeated one winning FBS team this season Minnesota last week. Nebraska as most experts indicated would be the #1 choice to win the Legends Division in the Big-10. However, the Nebraska defense has faltered this season against the upper level units. HC Bo Pelini brought back 7 defensive starters that relinquished only 23.4 points per game in 2011. Against quality offenses like UCLA, Wisconsin and Ohio State, the ‘Huskers stop troops scoring defense has allowed on average 42 points per game this season. Ohio State gashed the Nebraska front for almost 400 yards on the ground. This equates to TOP, drive definition and scores, obviously!

NW showed some leakage on Saturday in their 21-13 win over Minnesota. The Golden Gophers had a 21-13 first down advantage, while the ‘Cats compiled only 67 yards throwing the football. The MAJOR EDGES inside this encounter is REVENGE for Nebraska from last years’ 28-25 loss to NW in Norman, a game that broke the hearts of many Nebraska followers. After, the school ended up going to the Capital One Bowl where they were waxed 30-13 by SEC South Carolina! In addition, a key here is a week of rest, something Pelini can only hope will stoke the fires within his defense that exhibits problems stopping running quarterbacks. We heard talk over the weekend that “5” linebackers could be on the field against Northwestern. Technically, this scenario fits Nebraska very nicely thank you at 7-1 ATS as road chalk laying under 7 and 6-1 ATS in road tests off a bye. This would be a huge win for coach Fitzgerald (46-37) of NW who runs a quality program. However, NEXT WEEK the ‘Cats have HOMECOMING and a REVENGE GAME versus hated Iowa. The ‘Cats are 0-5 ATS B/4 Iowa. In Las Vegas Northwestern will be a public UNDERDOG as soon as the windows open.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday October, 20

WunderdogFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Idaho at Louisiana TechFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Louisiana Tech -30.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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If you put an SEC team name on the home jerseys in this one, with the same stats for both of these teams, you'd be looking at a 5+ TD spread. But instead, the name reads Lousiana Tech. Many thought that the unbeaten Ragin’ Cajuns were somewhat of an illusion at 5-0 before last week's game vs. Texas A&M. When they trailed in the game 39-13, it certainly looked as if those sentiments were on the money. They then came roaring back and were a 2-point conversion away from sending the game into overtime. This is a legitimate offensive powerhouse, and a team that has reached 52 points in five of their six games, and 44 points in their other game. They put up 57 points and 615 yards on a legit defense. Geno Smith is not the only perfect QB this season, as Tech's Colby Cameron has passed for 1,897 yards for 18 TDs and 0 INTs. If that hasn't been good enough, the Cajuns have run for 22 more TDs. The Vandals are in big trouble here, as they have allowed 167 points in their last three road games, scoring just 21 points. To put things in perspective, the Vandals’ 21 points in their last three road games is going against an LA tech team that has scored 21 or more in a single quarter in all but one game - in that one they scored 20. Enough said. My computer matchup predicts a huge LA Tech win here. I agree. Take the Cajuns!

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Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Michigan St. at MichiganFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: Michigan St.FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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A big game in the Big 10 finds the sputtering Spartans riding a five-game ATS losing skein. But they have beaten the Wolves each of the last four seasons and are 4-1 SU and 4-0-1 ATS in this series behind HC Mark Dantonio. And if you're thinking revenge, forget about it as the Maize-and-Blue are a head-turning 0-15-1 ATS with conference revenge. They are also 2-9 ATS as conference home favorites of 10 or less points and that doesn?t bode well against a Sparty bunch that is a surprising 5-0 ATS before waltzing with Wisconsin and 4-0 ATS in the first of back-to-back road games. Even with their alarming lack of success when looking to avenge a conference loss, we still considered backing the Wolverines as their only losses to date are against Top Five competition (Alabama and Notre Dame). However, HC Brady Hoke?s personal 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS mark with revenge versus a foe off a SU favorite loss is just too much to overcome. Sparty again. We recommend a 1-unit play on Michigan State.

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Freddy WillsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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North Carolina vs. DukeFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: DukeFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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A couple things here that are different form years past. First of all these teams are separated by just 8 miles and this is a major rivalry more so in basketball but in football Duke still takes this game seriously while North Carolina sees their rival more as NC State who they actually play next week. Also this game is usually played during thanksgiving break and lacks a home field advantage. Well this game will be featured while school is in session but also it will be a rare night game.
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Despite the way they finished last week Duke has played extremely well and even led 20-7 against Virginia Tech, but they could not over come -3 turnover margin. North Carolina on the other hand looked really bad against a bad Miami team whose only strength is passing the ball. Well Duke can pass the ball and should be able to take advantage of North Carolina's poor pass defense in this game and they do just about everything else better than Miami which almost won 18-14 last week. Duke has shown inconsistencies against the run that they need to get back to this week if they want a chance to win. I think being back at home in a rare night game against their rival should be good enough motivation to stop the run. After all they did hold Stanford's rushing attack in check once upon a time ago.

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Steve JanusFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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NC State -3FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The last time NC State stepped on the field they upset then No. 3 Florida State at home 17-16. There are going to be a lot of people who jump on Maryland in this game expecting the Wolfpack to suffer a major letdown after that huge win. I don't think that will be the case at all. NC State is coming off a bye week and I can assure you Tom O'Brien has repeatedly reminded his players that they still have a lot to prove.
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Even though I'm not huge on Maryland this season, we are getting some decent value on NC State because the Terrapins come in leading the ACC Atlantic at 2-0. However, if you look close enough you know this team is overrated. Their two conference wins came against Wake Forest and Virginia, who are a combined 1-6 in conference play. This is also the same Maryland team that lost at home to a below-average Connecticut team earlier this season.
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The Wolfpack feature an explosive offense that can beat you with both the run and the pass. Just a couple games ago they put up 664 yards of total offense on the road at Miami. While they ended up losing that game by a touchdown, they would have won had they not turned the ball over six times.
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Maryland is okay on defense, but the key is they won't be able to keep up offensively in this one. The Terrapins are extremely one-dimensional. They are 118th in the country in rushing, averaging just 71.3 ypg. That is down right pathetic. They aren't much better throwing the ball, as they rank 95th in passing offense at 196.2 ypg.
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Even if the Terrapins defense is able to hold NC State's offense in check, I still think they come away from this game with at least 24 points. It might not seem like much, but it's enough to cover this small spread.

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Jack JonesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Michigan St +9.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Michigan State Spartans are simply catching too many points Saturday against the Michigan Wolverines. MSU is undervalued at this point of the season due to suffering three losses already, but those three setbacks have come against teams with a combined 17-2 record.
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Their losses came against Notre Dame (6-0), Ohio State (7-0) and Iowa (4-2). Their last two against the Buckeyes and Hawkeyes came by a combined four points. This team is much better than its 4-3 record, but it isn't getting treated like it by oddsmakers heading into this showdown with the Wolverines.
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Michigan State is 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in its last four meetings with Michigan. The Spartans simply have the Wolverines' number, winning three of those four meetings by 14 points or more. This is a great match-up for MSU because of its ability to stop the run.
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The Spartans have one of the best stop units in the country as they rank 7th in total defense (270.1 yards/game), including 8th against the run (92.7 yards/game). Michigan's biggest strength is its 16th-ranked rushing offense (232.5 yards/game) behind Denard Robinson.
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MSU bottled up Robinson in last season's 28-14 victory. It held him to 9 of 24 passing for 123 yards wth one touchdown and one interception. Most impressively, it limited Robinson to just 42 rushing yards on 18 carries. With eight starters back on defense, the Spartans certainly have the formula to contain Robinson once again in 2012.
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The Spartans are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 vs. a team with a winning record. Michigan State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 road games. The Spartans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Wolverines are 9-24 ATS in their last 33 conference games. Michigan is 7-18-1 ATS in its last 26 vs. a team with a winning record. Bet Michigan State Saturday.

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