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Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday October, 13

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday October, 13

Craig Davis

Today's free play is on Ohio State/Indiana to go OVER the total.

This year's version of OSU's defense isn't much different than last year's, and coming off an emotional win over Nebraska last week, I've got to think their defense is going to come out flat.

Shoot, OSU might even fall behind. Remember, this is a night game and the folks in Bloomington will have all day to get nice and "waspy"!! They will be loud, obnoxious, and supportive of their Hoosiers... win or lose.

HC Kevin Wilson has done a nice job with this offense since taking over, but the defense is another story. They couldn't even hold a double digit lead vs. Michigan State in a game they probably should have won. And today they face an Ohio State offense that racked up 600 yards of offense and 63 points in a big win over Nebraska last week.

No, I'm not saying OSU is going to score 63 points again today, but I don't see any reason they can't come in around 48-49. That means I only need a few TDs from Indiana... and that's not going to be a problem.

Take OSU/Indiana to go OVER the posted total as your free play of the day.

2♦ OHIO STATE-INDIANA OVER

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday October, 13

Jeff Benton

Navy outright last night for free.

Now a 15-7 freebie run.

Your Saturday freebie is Florida State as the big chalk at home against Boston College.

No doubt in my mind the Seminoles will be seething after blowing a 16-0 lead last week at N.C. State in a 17-16 loss - their first of the season. Expect the Sems to show no mercy on the backsliding Eagles who come to Tallahassee having lost each of their last three games both straight up and against the spread, as Boston College is now just 1-4 this year with their only win coming against Maine.

Boston College allowed nearly 600 yards of offense in their loss to Army, and they also allowed 5 sacks of the quarterback in that setback. The Florida State defense should be in the backfield all night long in this one, and the fact they are allowing only 18 points per game through their first six games does not bode well for the Eagles at all.

Florida State romped BC 38-7 last season in Chesnut Hill, and a similar final would be no surprise at all in this season's meeting.

It is a four touchdown impost, but I see the Seminoles taking this one by a full five touchdowns.

Lay it with the Sems in a big blowout.

4♦ FLORIDA STATE

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday October, 13

Chris Jordan

My free winner is going to be taking you to Saturday's Red River Rivalry, as I jump ahead to the annual Texas-Oklahoma battle.

Amazingly, there's a little more to this annual showdown - one college football's most colorful rivalries - than is usually at stake. It's not too often we find neither team ranked in the Top 10 - this is the first time since 1999 - and it'll mark the first time in 15 seasons both tams will have a conference loss upon meeting.

Survival of the fittest during the Texas State Fair. And something tells me the money has to go on the 'Horns in this one, as I just don't beleive the Sooners are going to be able to stop Texas' lethal running game. The Longhorns average 209.4 yards per game behind a power trifecta of Malcolm Brown, Joe Bergeron and Johnathan Gray. And the Sooners check in with a sub-par ranking of 56th in the nation against the rush, allowing more than 140 yards per game. That number will swell against the aggies.

This is a double-revenge situation for the Longhorns (4-1, 1-1), as the Sooners (3-1, 1-1 Big 12) have won the last two games. So there is even more motivation for Texas, who I think will be poised under the guidance of quarterback David Ash. He's prospered nicely under offensive coordinators Bryan Harsin and Major Applewhite, not to mention the complement of having three gifted backs.

The biggest question mark coming into this season was whether or not Ash and/or Case McCoy could avoid turnovers and avoid breakdowns on the road. Well, Ash has thrown 11 touchdowns versus just one interception this season, and ranks third nationally in passer efficiency. And, the Longhorns are 2-0 on the road with a 66-31 win at Ole Miss and a 41-36 win at Oklahoma State. Overall, Texas ranks sixth in the nation in producing an average of 46.8 points per game.

On defense, I honestly think by the end of this season we could be looking at a seasoned Longhorns stop unit with  the best pass rush and pass defense in the Big 12. The team's linebackers wreak of potential, and though they come in off a breakdown - and the team's first loss - against West Virginia, I reserve the right to remind everyone the Mountaineers may have the most electrified offense in the land.

I know Oklahoma quarterback Landry Jones is on pace to break Steve Davis' school record with a 33rd career win, as he's sitting at 32-8. I know Sooners coach Bob Stoops is 8-5 head-to-head against Texas' Mack Brown, including wins the last two seasons. And I know the higher-ranked Sooners will be looking to carry over momentum from last year's 55-17 win in this game.

But believe me when I tell you this is a team that would make one helluva statement with a win here, because Brown has been quoted in saying his Longhorns are maybe two or three seasons away from another national title run. It's going to take season-building wins - big wins - like this game against Oklahoma. Big game for the 'Horns, and I'm going to take the points. I'll even buy the half point up to +3-1/2, in case the line goes back down to +3.

2♦ TEXAS

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday October, 13

Matt Rivers

Saturday free play winner on the underdog Commodores plus the points as they play host to Florida in what we like to call a "sandwich game".

Florida is fresh off their huge emotional upset win at home over LSU, and they do have a home clash with Top-Five South Carolina up next, not to mention their annual "cocktail party" with Georgia the weekend after. It will be interesting to see if Will Muschamp can keep his team on even keel this weekend in Nashville.

Vandy got a jolt in the arm with their upset win at Missouri last weekend, and they are a perfect 9-0 against the spread at home under head coach John Franklin, including their opening night underdog cover against South Carolina in a game they surely could have won outright.

Florida has not lost outright to Vanderbilt since the late 1980's, and I do not expect them to lose outright in this spot, but the dynamics are certainly there for Vandy to keep the Gators on their toes for all four quarters.

Live home underdog in this one.

Play Vanderbilt plus the points.

2♦ VANDERBILT

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday October, 13

Harry Bondi

Wisconsin +1

Purdue stepped up in class last week and got waxed by a very average Michigan team at home, 44-13, and we could see a similar result today. The Badgers' offensive line and tight ends are big enough to handle Purdue's defensive front, and that will allow the offense to be aggressive with their play-calling, just like last week when it steamrolled Illinois. The Badgers -- who have covered 5 of their last 6 as an underdog -- have been a different team on offense since Joel Stave took over the starting quarterback duties from Maryland transfer Danny O’Brien, averaging 31.7 points and 381.7 total yards per game, compared to 16.3 points and 276 total yards in its first three games with O'Brien at the helm. The Badgers have won the last four in the series by an average of 31 points per game and get the "W" again today as they close in on a berth in the Big 10 Championship Game.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday October, 13

MLB Predictions

Tigers / Yankees Under 8

While posting this up we've already seen line movement working against us, so I'm going to be quick here with the write up. The Tigers scored 17 runs over their 5 games vs the Athletics (3.4 runs per game), while giving up just 11 runs over those 5 games. New York had a big 7 run Game 1, but in their next 4 games they scored just 9 runs. Over the course of the series the Yankees allowed just 10 runs against (2 per game on avg). Doug Fister went 7 innings allowing 6 hits and 2 earned runs with 8 strike outs in his start, while Pettitte went 7 innings giving up 7 hits and 3 earned runs with 5 strike outs in his start. The UNDER is 6-1-2 in the Tigers last 9 overall, and 11-4-2 in Fister's last 17 road starts. The UNDER is 4-0 in the Yankees last 4 overall, and 4-0 in Pettitte's last 4 home starts. Neither team has really hot bats right now, and with two good starting pitchers on the mound runs shouldn't be easy to come by. Take the UNDER.

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