Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday October, 6

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Cincinnati vs. San Francisco
Pick: San FranciscoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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A pair of aces will be on the mound Saturday night as the Giants host the Reds.  Matt Cain is hot right now giving up just 3 runs and 12 hits over his last three starts.  Cain has a 2.03 ERA at home and a 2.79 ERA overall.  He has given up just 5 earned runs in his last four home starts.  In fact, the righty has allowed 2 runs or more just once in his last ten starts overall.  The Reds offense has been pitiful in their last 10 games hitting .209 overall while averaging just over 2 runs per game.  The Giants’ bullpen has an ERA under 3.00 in their last ten games.
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Johnny Cueto makes the road start for Cincinnati in Game 1.  He's had his issues away from home going 9-6 with a 2.77 ERA in those games.  The Reds’ starter has allowed 13 runs in his last five starts.  He's actually less solid at night going 7-7 with a 3.65 ERA compared to the daytime when he is 12-2 with a 1.99 ERA.  Cueto's last start in San Francisco was a loss after giving up 3 runs and six hits in six innings of work.  San Francisco is hitting .260 at home where they are putting up nearly 4 runs per game.  We recommend laying the short price with the home favorite in this game on Saturday night.

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Boise State vs. Southern Mississippi
Pick:Boise State
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Southern Miss is a complete mess right now, a shell of the team that went a school record 12-2 last year.  We all know what happened in the offseason.  Head coach Larry Fedora took the North Carolina job.  Four year starting QB Austin Davis graduated as did their top two receivers and a third round NFL draft choice off the offensive line.  The defense suffered even greater graduation losses, including five of their top eight tacklers; weaker on all three units in 2012 compared to 2011.
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That’s just the starting point.  New Golden Eagles head coach Ellis Johnson has already seen two quarterbacks go down with injuries, leaving Ricky Lloyd – the guy who finished the preseason three-way quarterback competition in third place, and completed a grand total of two passes for 25 yards last week – healthy enough to start.   Their defense has been nothing short of awful, ranked #118 in the country in third down conversion percentage, unable to get off the field.
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Two weeks ago, against a mid-level Sun Belt team, the Golden Eagles were thoroughly dominated in a 42-17 loss, outgained by nearly 300 yards.  The week before, they lost at home as TD favorites to East Carolina.  Don’t be fooled by last week’s closer than expected result against Louisville – a ‘chance of showers’ turned into a torrential downpour that negated the Cardinals speed edges on both sides of the ball. This is the Golden Eagles first 0-4 start since 1976 and they know they’re not good.
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Johnson seems lost about how to fix their myriad of problems.  “"I think when you're not performing well in so many different areas, you have to start back at the head coach's feet. We've got to start back at square one and evaluate everything we're doing, from personnel to schemes to practice and just see what we can come up with and improve our football team….It doesn't get any easier.... It's a tough way to grow up, but we are going to have to grow up or we are going to suffer.”
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Boise fell asleep with a 25-0 halftime lead at New Mexico last week, allowing the Lobos to make things interesting by the fourth quarter.  That served as a wakeup call for the Broncos, who had early morning practices all week to adjust for their 10 AM local time kickoff.  Expect a vastly improved intensity level here, leading to a comfortable Broncos victory. Take Boise.

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Southern Miss +10FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The value lies with So. Miss catching double digits at home. The Golden Eagles showed well last week in a 4-point loss to undefeated Louisville as they held the Cards to just 269 yards. I also expect them to have success in slowing down a Boise State offense that has taken a big step back this year. It ranks just 98th in the country in scoring with 22.8 points per game. The Broncos are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 versus a team with a losing record. The Golden Eagles are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS win and 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 versus a team with a winning record. Take the points.

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The LSU defense, which is only allowing 217.8 yards and 12.6 points per game, will be the difference in this one. Florida is 0-6 ATS since the beginning of the 2010 season when matched up against good defensive teams that allow 4.5 yards or less per play. The Gators have lost to these teams by an average of 14.2 points. Plus, road favorites that check into a Saturday matchup off 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 73-34 ATS the last 5 seasons and 40-15 ATS the last 3 seasons. Look for LSU to make it 3 in a row against the Florida.

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Larry NessFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Wake Forest vs. Maryland
Pick: MarylandFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Maryland Terrapins host the Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Byrd Stadium in ACC play on Saturday. Neither school is a ‘player’ for this season’s title, as Wake Forest comes in 3-2 (1-2 in the ACC) while Maryland is 2-2 but has yet to play a league game. This is only the second game away from home for Wake Forest and in its first try, lost 52-0 at Florida State. The Demon Deacons were totally embarrassed in that contest, allowing 612 yards and offensively, QB Tanner Price (coming off a solid 2011 season in which he threw for 3017 yards with 20 TDs and just six INTs), looked like a high school player, completing 8-of-22 for 82 yards (at least no INTs). Now I don’t want to argue that Maryland is all that much better than Wake but in the team's biggest “step up” game of the 2012 season to-date, the Terps played very competitively at Morgantown. Maryland was tied with West Va at 14-all in the mid-second quarter and lost just, 31-21 (as 26-point underdogs). You just may have heard that West Va features a pretty fair QB in Geno Smith and while he threw for 338 yards with three TDs vs Maryland, that’s a far cry from the 463.3 YPG passing he’s averaged in his other three games this season, while tossing 17 TDs! Maryland hasn’t played since that Sep 22 trip to Morgantown and should be primed for its league-opener here at home. The home team has dominated this series the last five years, winning all five by an average of 22 PPG, while going 4-1 ATS. Let’s note that Wake Forest is playing for a SIXTH straight week and is coming off a 34-27 home loss to Duke last Saturday, the first time the Demon Deacons have lost to the Blue Devils since 1999. Adding insult to injury, Wake WR Campanaro broke his hand in the second quarter and listed as out indefinitely. Maryland’s early defensive numbers of 19.0 PPG and 227.3 YPG allowed after three games might have been questioned prior to visiting Morgantown but NOT now. I mentioned that Smith was held in check (in comparison to his other three games in 2012) and the entire West Va offense was limited to 363 yards (just 25 yards rushing) and only 24 points (West Va’s first score came on a 51-yard fumble return). Randy Edsall struggled through a 2-10 first season at College Park and the former UConn coach (led Huskies to five bowl berths in seven years as a member of the Big East), could sure use a win here, in his 2012 ACC opener. I’m betting he gets it. Lay the short number.

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Northwestern at Penn State
Prediction: Northwestern
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It will be home coming in Happy Valley and it has certainly been very commendable that Penn State is on a solid three-game winning streak. In fact, arguments can be made that they could be 5-0 after losing the first two games of the regular season by a combined 11 points. Still, it will take a monumental effort for the Lions to post their fourth straight win. My College Football Free Pick is on Northwestern
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Penn State is coming off a very strong 35-7 beat down of Illinois in a game where the final score could have been a far greater margin. Now, Penn State faces a ranked opponent. The Lions have not defeated a ranked opponent at home since Michigan State in 2008 and are 0-4 in home games versus ranked opponents since that win.
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This is the major reason I like Northwestern to win this game convincingly. They rank ninth in the nation averaging 250.5 rushing yards per game, sixth averaging 51 rushing plays per game, and 26th rushing the ball 58% of all plays run. The first two stats are impressive, but normally would expect a similar ranking in the run percentage category. This reflects that they are a more balanced team than other run dominated teams.
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Based on the physicality of the Northwestern offensive line alone, I do not see how the undersized Penn State defensive front will hold up over the course of the game. Penn State has some impressive run defense numbers, but those reflect an opponent attacking their suspect secondary.
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The simulator shows a high probability that Northwestern will win this game by four or more points. It further shows a high probability that Penn State will allow 150 to 200 rushing yards in this game. IN past games, Penn State is 0-1 ATS this season, 1-8 ATS the past three seasons, and 20-35 ATS since 1992. Moreover, Northwestern defense will contain the PSU ground game to between 3.5 and 4.0 yards per carry. In past games, PSU is just 1-7 ATS the past three seasons and 8-23 ATS since 1992.
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Here is a supporting money line system that has posted a 75-27 record for 74% winners and has made 62 units per one unit wagered averaging a +120 dog play since 2002. Play on a road team using the money line with an strong offense offense averaging 450 or more total yards per game and after gaining 7.25 or more yards per play in their previous game. This system has already posted an impressive 8-2 record making 11.1 units per one unit wagered this season.
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Here is a second system that has produced an impeccable record of 30-9 for 77% winners and has made 25 units per one unit wagered averaging a +112 dog play since 2002. Play on a road team using the money line after gaining 575 or more total yards in their previous game and in a game between two teams with five or less defensive starters returning. This system has gone a perfect 8-0 making 9.0 units per one unit wagered over the past five seasons.
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Although Northwestern defeated Indiana 44-29 and covered as 11 ? point favorites, they had three turnovers and forced just one Indiana turnover. However, Northwestern is a very strong 20-5 ATS in road games after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse since 1992.
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Northwestern is a perfect 5-0 and ranked No. 24 in the nation and just has too much fire power on both sides of the ball for Penn State to overcome. Take Northwestern for a 5* graded play.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday October, 6

Jimmy BoydFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Miami Hurricanes +14
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Odds makers aren't sold on Miami because its defense has been horrendous. However, I'll gladly take the points here as the Hurricanes go up against a Notre Dame team that has been quiet offensively. I don't believe the Fighting Irish, who rank 97th in the country with 351.2 yards per game, are explosive enough on offense to cover this hefty number.
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The Notre Dame defense has been spectacular, but it is yet to see an offense as dynamic as the one it will see Saturday. Miami is averaging 472.6 yards and 35.6 points and it is doing most of its damage through the air. In fact, it ranks 15th in the nation with 328.4 passing yards per game. This is significant because the Irish have shown they can slow down the run, but they've yet to be really tested through the air by a QB like Stephen Morris, who has passed for 1,002 yards with 7 touchdowns and 2 interceptions in his last 2 games. Coach Al Golden has turned Morris loose, and that could spell trouble for Notre Dame.
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With as explosive as Miami is offensively, no lead is safe for Notre Dame. Catching this many points, it also gives us a solid backdoor opportunity with the Hurricanes if they get behind.
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The Hurricanes are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 versus a team with a winning record.
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Also, teams coached by Golden are 9-0 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points. His teams have only lost by an average of 4.7 points in these games. His Miami teams are a perfect 7-0 ATS versus good teams that are outscoring opponents by 10 points or more per game. They have actually defeated these foes by an average score of 28.6 to 24.0. Take the points.

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Joseph D'AmicoFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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LSU vs. FloridaFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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LSU went from averaging 48.3 PPG vs. North Texas, Washington, and Idaho to averaging 25 PPG against Auburn and Towson. The Tigers played sloppy LW in their 38-22 win over Towson, fumbling five times and losing three of those fumbles. QB, Mettenberger was also sacked 4 times. Since losing OL, Faulk in Week 1, the offensive unit hasn't been the same. In comes Florida and their physical and fast stop unit. The Gators will get to Mettenberger and slow down RB, Hilliard. UF has the 10th ranked scoring defense in the nation as they have held Bowling Green. A&M, Tennessee, and Kentucky all to 20 points or less. QB, Driskel has a 69.6% CR and 698 YP while RB, Gillislee has 402 TR and 5 TDs. Playing at home, getting points…tells me to take Florida.

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Oregon -24FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Off a huge win over Stanford last Thursday, I look for the Washington Huskies to let down Saturday as they travel to Eugene to take on the explosive Oregon Ducks. The Ducks have won three straight games by 25 or more points, and I look for that trend to continue Saturday.
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In their lone road game this season, the Huskies lost 3-41 at LSU as a 22.5-point underdog. I fully expect the Ducks to put a similar beat down on Washington here, which has been a common theme in this series.
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Oregon has won eight straight meetings with Washington by 17 or more points while going 7-0-1 ATS in the process. In their last two home meetings, the Ducks won by finals of 53-16 and 44-10. This simply has not been a good match-up for the Huskies in recent years because they simply do not have the athleticism to match the Ducks.
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This play falls into a system that is 29-5 (85.3%) ATS over the last 10 seasons. It tells us to bet against road underdogs (WASHINGTON) - off a win over a conference rival as an underdog of 6 or more points against opponent off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival. The Huskies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. Bet Oregon Saturday.

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Chip ChirimbesFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Arizona vs. Stanford    
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Last time out we had Washington to upend the Cardinal and they did but it was obvious who the better team was but, they just didn't win. WE DID! Now, Stanford is rested and about to host disappointing Arizona who let 'us' down last week against Oregon State. It think it's a bad spot for the Wildcats and the Cardinal will be ready and mistake free.

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Jim FeistFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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South Florida vs. Temple    
Play: TempleFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Temple has a fine offense (27 ppg) behind QB Chris Coyer and Matt Brown, pounding out 155 yards rushing per game. They've had two weeks to prepare for this one. The Owls are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 conference games and 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games in October. South Florida comes in on a 3-game skid, off a physical loss to Florida State and even a 31-27 defeat at Ball State. QB B.J. Daniels continues to be turnover prone with 9 TDs and 7 picks. The Bulls are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 conference games as well as 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games overall. The Bulls are also 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games on grass. Play Temple!

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Wyoming vs NevadaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: WyomingFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Nevada making conference debut this season already own a win on the Island pounding Hawaii 69-24. QB Farjardo is a slash type player runner and passer. The Cowboys can hang with most teams. They are 1-3 but have losses to powerful Texas 37-17 and a good Toledo team 34-31. The defense is suspect but the offense can ignite under QB Smith. Wyoming 6-2 ATS in last 8 in the MTN West. Wyoming will keep it closer than most expect.

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Jeff Scott SportsFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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POWER ANGLE PLAY
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FLORIDA +2.5 over LSU: The LSU Tigers are built on defense and yes they have a good one, but really how good is it. The Tigers have yet to face an offense that is any good at all and last week they did allow 22 points to FCS foe Towson. Idaho, Towson, Washington, and North Texas all at home would have any defense looking good. They did allow just 10 points at Auburn as well, but really how good is that offense anyway? Now on the other side I feel we have the best defense in the league, behind Alabama and they have been tested. Florida has allowed 37 points total in their last 3 games and that was vs a Powerful A&M and Tennessee offenses and a Kentucky No-huddle attack that has looked good this year and did put up 17 points on a very sound South Carolina defense, but was shutout by the Gators. This Florida defense is for real and has shown it vs better competition than LSU has faced. The Gator defense also gets stronger as the game goes on as they have allowed a mere 14 total points in the 2nd half this year. The Gator offense has also been solid and they have a strong ground game that racks up 224 ypg and that should open up some throwing lanes giving them a great shot at some big plays. LSU Has been solid on offense but also hasn't played the against very good defenses. The Gators have shown that their defense is for real, they are at home and playing with big time revenge after losing the last 2 in a row to LSU including by 30 points last year. The Gators have the edges in this game, they haven't lost 3 in a row in this series since the late 70's and they have that powerful angle below going for them as well. It won't be easy but Florida will start to pull away in the second half where they have outscored teams by a 63-14 count and have yet to allow a 4th quarter point on the year. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Since 1983 Florida is a very impressive 17-1-3 ATS off a win of 8 or more with conference revenge if facing an opponent that allows 10 ppg or more on the year.   
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Washington/ Oregon Under 64: Watching Washington last week on Thursday night it showed how defensively sound they are, but this pick isn't all about there defense, because the Ducks will get their points, but this play is more or less on the Washington offense. This is not a good offense as they come in averaging just 313 ypg and 23.3 ppg, but even worse is their average in games vs FBS foes which is just 13.7 ppg. Now they face an Oregon team that allowed 26 points to Washington State last week, so I look for them to really tighten up on the defensive side of the ball. Remember, this is an Oregon defense that shut out an Arizona squad, two weeks ago, that was averaging 46.3 ppg at the time of the game. I really look for the Oregon defense to bounce back after last week's lackluster performance. We know that Oregon will get their points, but I do believe this Washington defense is good enough to keep Oregon in the mid 40's at best. This is the BEST defense that the Ducks will have faced to date. So Im expecting mid 40's by Oregon and low teens by the Huskies. 58 points at most here. 
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TCU/ Iowa State Under 41.5: Gotta love the Under in this one, especially with the suspension of TCU QB Casey Pachall. This TCU team will really struggle on offense without their QB. The Horned Frogs do put up 403 ypg on offense, but a lot of that was through the air (255 ypg), while they come in ranked 78th in the nation in Running the ball, averaging 148 ypg on the ground. Trevone Boykin is Casey's likely replacement, but his is a red shirt freshmen and has just 94 yards passing on the year, while rushing for 112 yards. I look for a simple game plan from TCU, with more running than throwing and that should eat plenty of clock. Now with all the offensive problems that TCU has, I look for an even more intense effort from this defense that comes in allowing just 255.8 ypg and a mere 7.3 ppg on the year. That defense should have little problems in slowing down an Iowa State team that ranks 10th in the Big 12 and 90th overall. In their opener the Cyclones did put up 38 points on Tulsa, but vs Iowa and Texas Tech they have been able to muster just 11 ppg. Not a very good offense and it won't get better vs TCU in this one. On defense ISU has surprised as they rank 19th overall (308.8 ypg) and 17th in points allowed (14 ppg) and I see that continuing vs this TCU squad that is without their leader, plus they have had injuries to the running game as well. This really has the feel of a 17-10 type game and that would put us way under this total. 
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Notre Dame -14 over Miami: The Miami offense has been very good in the early going, but they have yet to face a defense the likes of which they will see tonight. This Notre Dame defense is stifling and will put plenty of pressure on Morris and company. Notre Dame’s defense ranks as one of the better units in the nation and it really showed when they allowed just 10 points to navy in the opener and then allowed no TD’s in their last 2 games, which were vs Michigan State and Michigan. The Notre Dame offense has not been that explosive this year, but Kelly has had a week to come up with a game plan that will exploit this porous Miami defense that is 118th in total defense (495.6 ypg) and 100th in points allowed (33.4 ppg). The Irish have had the extra week to get ready for this one, while Miami was involved in a shootout last week vs ACC foe NC State. This game will be played in Chicago, but it still has the feel of an Irish home game, plus the game time temperature should be in the 30’s and that just give the Irish another advantage over this team that has been practicing in 80 degree weather for much of the week. The weather, the defensive edge the Irish have, the week off and the home field edge that Notre Dame should have in this one will be just too much for Miami to overcome. Notre Dame by 17+ here.
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UNLV +27.5 over LOUISIANA TECH: This is a big flat spot for the Bulldogs here. Louisiana Tech is off BB road wins over BCS schools and they have Texas A&M on deck in what could be a game (if they win it) that may get them into the BCS buster talk. The La Tech offense has been unstoppable this year, but because they usually score so quickly their defense is usually on the field too much and that has allowed them to give up plenty of big plays. UNLV is not a great offense, but they did put up 27 on Washington State and 38 on air Force so they can score on a weak defense and the Bulldogs have that. LA Tech is one of just 5 teams in the nation that have allowed 500 or more yards per game. Their pass defense is 123rd in the nation (367 ypg) and they have allowed 37 ppg, which is 109th in the nation. Last week the Bulldogs allowed a weak Virginia squad to put up 38 points on them and the Rebels offense is just slightly worse than that of the Cavs. I just don't expect the Bulldogs to come out firing on all cylinders and that plus there defense should allow the Rebels to stay within the number. 
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Illinois/ Wisconsin Under 45: The Illinois offense isn't clicking right now and has averaged just 15 ppg in their last 3 games vs FBS foes. It won’t be easier for them in this one as they have averaged just 16 ppg in their last 3 trips here. The Wisconsin defense has been tough on their own field, allowing just 316 ypg and 20.3 ppg and they will make it very hard for this Illinois offense to get going. The Illinois defense has not been all that good this year, but the Wisconsin offense is not all that explosive and has struggled this year, averaging just 309 ypg and 22 ppg. The Illinois run defense has been exposed last week vs PSU and I expect Wisconsin to finally establish the run in this one and that will chew up plenty of clock. I really expect this game to land somewhere in the mid 30’s at most.
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POWER ANGLES FOR TODAY
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Since 1992 Georgia Tech is just 3-16 ATS when playing a game off 2 consecutive Overs. Play on Clemson -10.5 over Georgia Tech
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Play AGAINST any road dogs off a conference win as dogs of +6 or more and are playing an opponent that is off a win of 10+ vs a conference rival. This play is 29-5 ATS over the last 10 seasons. Play on Oregon -25 over Washington.
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PLAY AGAINST any college football favorite off three consecutive SU underdog wins if they are facing a foe that failed to score 50 points and did not lose by 30 or more points in that game game. Teams in this spot are 2-20 ATS. Play on Washington State +15.5

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday October, 6

Ross KingFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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LSU vs. Florida     
Play: LSUFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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LSU 5-1 as a road favorite the last 3 seasons.Florida 3-12 versus teams with a winning record the last 3 seasons.Florida is 1-7 the last 3 seasons as an underdog.Florida is 1-7 in October the last 3 seasons.Take #4 ranked LSU to win by a field goal as your Saturday freeplay winner.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday October, 6

Chris ElliottFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Kent State vs. Eastern MichiganFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Kent StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Kent State Golden Flashes (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS) will travel to Rynearson Stadium on Saturday to face off with the Eastern Michigan Eagles (0-4 SU, 1-3 ATS).
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The Golden Flashes picked up a thrilling 45-43 win over Ball State in their last outing thanks to a 25 yard field goal with 6 seconds left in regulation. QB Spencer Keith was decent last week, completing 16-31 passes for 295 yards with 3 TD and 1 INT.
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Kent State has a strong ground game, led by the tandem of Trayion Durham and Dri Archer. Both have over 300 yards on the ground this season. Archer is also a threat from the air and currently sits 3rd on the team in receptions, 2nd in receiving yards and has caught 2 of the 4 TD passes that Kent State has this season.
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The defense has allowed an average of 29.5 PPG, good for 81st in the nation. They have produced 11 turnovers in 2012 which is good for 2nd in the MAC. The Flashes are 7-3 SU and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 overall and 5-4 SU and 4-5 ATS all time vs. the Eagles.
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The East Michigan Eagles were beaten 23-7 by the Michigan State Spartans their last time out. Offense has not been one of the strengths of the Eagles this season. They are last in the MAC in total offense (277.5 YPG) and 2nd to last in PPG (15.8).
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In their game two weeks ago vs. the Spartans they managed 183 total yards including just 46 on the ground. Garrett Hoskins has been a good target for the QBs. He has 16 receptions, more than double of any other player and is the only receiver with over 100 yards in 2012.
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If the offense has been bad the defense hasn’t been much better. They give up a massive 492.8 yards and 36.3 points per game. They have put little pressure on opposing quarterbacks and have registered just 4 sacks on the year.
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They are 5-5 SU and 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 home games.
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The Eagles have been poor all season and I see no reason why that should change in this game. Take “Kent State” to win ATS.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday October, 6

Andy IskoeFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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LSU / Florida Under 42FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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It's been true for a long time that good defenses stop good offenses and f as good as the two that will take the field in this SEC showdown.  By almore every measure these are two of the top defenses in the country.  Using only games played against FBS competition and ignoring stats accumulated against lower level FCS foes, these teams rand # 3 and 13 in total defense, # 5 and 9 in scoring defense and # 2 and 10 in yards per play defense.  Both quarterbacky inexperienced which further suggests both coaches will utilize conservative game plans on offense to limit the chance of turnovers.  This game has all the ingredients for a low scoring contest which handicaps as producing between 31 and 38 total points.

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Rob VincilettiFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Oklahoma vs. Texas TechFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Oklahoma is rested and ready her off their huge upset loss to a Kansas St Team they blasted and out yarded by over 500 yards last season. Now they come off the loss as a 15 point favorite vs a Texas Tech squad off a nice conference road win at Iowa St. The Sooners are 6-1 to the spread as a favorite of less than 17 vs a winning team and 8-2 ats off a double digit loss. Coach Stoops has won and covered 7 straight vs a team that is undefeated if his team allowed 24 or more points last out. Tech coach Tubberville has never covered the spread as a home dog in this range if the opposing team comes in with revenge. How bad do you think the Sooners want this one after losing to Texas Tech 41-38 last season as a 29 point favorite. They were 6-0 at the time and had their season ruined. The Very next week they woke up and Slaughtered Kansas St. Look for Texas Tech to suffer a similar fate. Lay the Points in this one.

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Joseph D'AmicoFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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LSU vs. FloridaFOR THE FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: FloridaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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LSU went from averaging 48.3 PPG vs. North Texas, Washington, and Idaho to averaging 25 PPG against Auburn and Towson. The Tigers played sloppy LW in their 38-22 win over Towson, fumbling five times and losing three of those fumbles. QB, Mettenberger was also sacked 4 times. Since losing OL, Faulk in Week 1, the offensive unit hasn't been the same. In comes Florida and their physical and fast stop unit. The Gators will get to Mettenberger and slow down RB, Hilliard. UF has the 10th ranked scoring defense in the nation as they have held Bowling Green. A&M, Tennessee, and Kentucky all to 20 points or less. QB, Driskel has a 69.6% CR and 698 YP while RB, Gillislee has 402 TR and 5 TDs. Playing at home, getting points…tells me to take Florida.

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DUNKEL INDEX

MLB

Oakland at Detroit
The A's look to build on their 8-2 record in Jarrod Parker's last 10 road starts. Oakland is the pick (+170) according to Dunkel, which has the A's favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+170)

Game 905-906: Cincinnati at San Francisco (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 15.119; San Francisco (Cain) 15.960
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-125); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-125); Under

Game 907-908: Oakland at Detroit (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Parker) 17.061; Detroit (Verlander) 15.133
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-200); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+170); Over

CFL

Calgary at BC
The Stampeders look to build on their 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 road games. Calgary is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lions favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+4 1/2)

Game 493-494: Calgary at BC (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 118.550; BC 119.761
Dunkel Line: BC by 1; 54
Vegas Line: BC by 4 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+4 1/2); Over

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SPORTS WAGERS

TEMPLE +149 over South Florida

South Florida is coming off a tough game at home against #4 Florida State. They hung in there for a while before falling by 13 but more importantly, it was a physically and emotionally draining game. Going up to Philadelphia to face the Owls sure can’t be very appetizing for the Bulls, especially with another home game next week against another ranked opponent in Louisville.

Additionally, we’re not even convinced USF is the superior team here. They’ve lost three in a row, including a home loss to Rutgers. Its only two wins on the year came against Chattanooga and Nevada. Now this struggling and poor traveling club is in an awful spot and favored on the road?

This line is way off. The Owls have had two weeks to prepare for this one after a smarting loss at Penn State. Previously, they made a furious comeback against Maryland but just fell short. Those two losses impact this number but Temple has consistently covered spreads at home over the last few seasons and they appear to be undervalued in this spot yet again. Owls outright.


Northwestern +112 over PENN STATE

The Nittany Lions were supposed to struggle miserably this season but they have responded with three wins in a row to improve to 3-2. The Lions are getting solid quarterback play from Matt McGloin, however, PSU’s wins came against three cupcakes in Navy, Illinois and Temple. One could argue that this year’s Illini is the worst Illinois team ever assembled.

Northwestern is 5-0. Motivation is no factor, as games at State College are always televised to a large audience, not to mention the 100,000+ that’ll be in attendance. NU has wins over Syracuse, Boston College and Vandy among its five wins.

With PSU having reeled off three wins in a row, combined with its popularity, they’re wrongly favored over the 24th ranked Wildcats. We're still down on the Nittany Lions current personnel and will continue to fade them. This time, we'll have a much better hammer in a Northwestern outfit that's running (ranked 9th in the nation) and defending the run as well as any team in Pat Fitzgerald's tenure.


TCU -7 vs. Iowa State

This line opened at -11 and dropped to -7 as soon as TCU coach Gary Patterson announced quarterback Casey Pachall has been suspended indefinitely after he was arrested for suspicion of driving while intoxicated.

Trevone Boykin takes over at QB and now Iowa State has to get prepared for something they weren't ready to be prepared for. Said coach Patterson, “We actually have more offense with Trevone Boykin in the game than we do with Casey Pachall in the game because he can throw all the throws. He’s a very athletic guy that can do a lot of other things that Casey can't do”.

Let’s also not ignore that the Cyclones offense is stuck in neutral and has a huge game next week at home against Kansas. ISU scored a combined 22 points against Iowa and Texas Tech and now face a defense that has allowed just 29 points all year in four games. The Horned Frogs have been sloppy, yet they’re still 4-0 and we expect them to dig down deep in response to all the problems they’ve endured over the past eight months, capped by this latest one. This is an overreaction to that suspension, giving us a favorable number.


MISSISSIPPI +13½ -105 over Texas A&M

The Aggies are coming off that incredible offensive showing last week against Arkansas. They won 58-10 and rookie QB Johnny Manziel broke the SEC record for total yards in a game, amassing 557 yards (454 passing, 104 rushing) to go along with four total touchdowns. In total, the Aggies amassed an eye-popping 716 yards of total offense. With that showing comes all the publicity, hype and recognition. It also creates an inflated line here.

The Aggies skewed offensive numbers have come against SMU, South Carolina State and Arkansas. Had this game been played prior to last weeks’ blowout, they would’ve likely been a 7½-8½ point choice here.

Ole Miss has already surpassed last year’s win total. Its wins have also come against fire-sale competition but last week’s very decent showing at #1 Alabama had to be a giant boost. Ole Miss is an improving team that plays hard and gains confidence even in defeat. The Rebels may not be ready to beat a more talented team but they're primed to take one to the fourth quarter.

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