Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday September, 30

Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday September, 30

DUNKEL INDEX

Oakland at Denver
The Broncos look to take advantage of an Oakland team that is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games in Week 4. Denver is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Broncos favored by 10 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Denver (-6 1/2)

Game 205-206: New England at Buffalo (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New England 137.358; Buffalo 135.662
Dunkel Line: New England by 1 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: New England by 4; 52
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+4); Under

Game 207-208: Minnesota at Detroit (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 125.259; Detroit 133.529
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 8 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Detroit by 3; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-3); Under

Game 209-210: Carolina at Atlanta (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 132.952; Atlanta 138.196
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 5; 53
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 7; 49
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+7); Over

Game 211-212: San Francisco at NY Jets (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 140.218; NY Jets 128.471
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 11 1/2; 36
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 4; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-4); Under

Game 213-214: San Diego at Kansas City  (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 130.591; Kansas City 133.033
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 2 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Kansas City by 1; 45
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-1); Over

Game 215-216: Tennessee at Houston (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 128.839; Houston 139.085
Dunkel Line: Houston by 10; 42
Vegas Line: Houston by 12 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+12 1/2); Under

Game 217-218: Seattle at St. Louis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 128.172; St. Louis 128.082
Dunkel Line: Even; 41
Vegas Line: Seattle by 3; 38
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+3); Over

Game 219-220: Miami at Arizona (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 131.864; Arizona 130.611
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: Arizona by 6 1/2; 39
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+6 1/2); Over

Game 221-222: Oakland at Denver (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 124.414; Denver 134.878
Dunkel Line: Denver by 10 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Denver by 6 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-6 1/2); Under

Game 223-224: Cincinnati at Jacksonville (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 131.605; Jacksonville 126.859
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 4 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 1; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-1); Under

Game 225-226: New Orleans at Green Bay (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 127.610; Green Bay 141.775
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 14; 57
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 7 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-7 1/2); Over

Game 227-228: Washington at Tampa Bay (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 127.686; Tampa Bay 132.524
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 5; 50
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay by 3; 47
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-3); Over

Game 229-230: NY Giants at Philadelphia (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 137.563; Philadelphia 136.390
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 1; 42
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 2 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+2 1/2); Under

MONDAY, OCTOBER 1

Game 231-232: Chicago at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 133.203; Dallas 137.533
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 2; 36
Vegas Line: Dallas by 3 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+3 1/2); Under

Blade
useravatar
Offline
225265 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday September, 30

DUNKEL INDEX

Washington at St. Louis
The Nationals look to follow up yesterday's 6-4 extra-inning win and take advantage of a St. Louis team that is 1-6 in Lance Lynn's last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Washington is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Nationals favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+115)

Game 901-902: Philadelphia at Miami (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.128; Miami (Eovaldi) 14.001
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-145); Under

Game 903-904: NY Mets at Atlanta (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Mejia) 15.479; Atlanta (Medlen) 16.206
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-300); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-300); Over

Game 905-906: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 14.469; Pittsburgh (Rodriguez) 14.208
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-145); Under

Game 907-908: Houston at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Lyles) 14.071; Milwaukee (Fiers) 15.329
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-250); 8
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-250); Over

Game 909-910: Washington at St. Louis (2:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Detwiler) 16.194; St. Louis (Lynn) 15.649
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+115); Over

Game 911-912: San Francisco at San Diego (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.010; San Diego (Volquez) 16.190
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 7
Vegas Line: San Diego (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-110); Under

Game 913-914: Colorado at LA Dodgers (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (De La Rosa) 15.663; LA Dodgers (Beckett) 15.289
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-245); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+205); Over

Game 915-916: Chicago Cubs at Arizona (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Rusin) 12.672; Arizona (Collmenter) 15.990
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 3 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Arizona (-200); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-200); Under

Game 917-918: Kansas City at Cleveland (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Hochevar) 14.765; Cleveland (McAllister) 15.084
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-125); Over

Game 919-920: NY Yankees at Toronto (1:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Hughes) 15.765; Toronto (Alvarez) 15.052
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-200); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-200); Under

Game 921-922: Boston at Baltimore (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Stewart) 15.034; Baltimore (Saunders) 14.635
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 923-924: Tampa Bay at Chicago White Sox (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Price) 15.193; White Sox (Quintana) 15.582
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+130); Under

Game 925-926: Detroit at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Sanchez) 15.294; Minnesota (Hendriks) 14.568
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-170); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-170); Over

Game 927-928: LA Angels at Texas (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Greinke) 14.801; Texas (Darvish) 15.862
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-140); Under

Game 929-930: Seattle at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Ramirez) 16.106; Oakland (Milone) 15.543
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-180); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+160); Over

Game 931-932: LA Angels at Texas (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Santana) 15.365; Texas (Holland) 16.533
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

WNBA

Indiana at Atlanta
The Fever look to bounce back from their 75-66 loss in Game 1 and build on their 7-3 ATS record in their last 10 games following a SU defeat. Indiana is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+4 1/2)

Game 663-664: Indiana at Atlanta (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 116.160; Atlanta 116.195
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 154
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 4 1/2; 149
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+4 1/2); Over

Game 665-666: Minnesota at Seattle (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 118.752; Seattle 110.807
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 8; 142
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 4; 146 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-4); Under

Blade
useravatar
Offline
225265 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday September, 30

Ben BurnsFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Minnesota vs. Detroit
Pick: Detroit
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
I won with the Vikings over the 49'ers last week. I also successfully played against the Lions, cashing a ticket on Tennessee.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
I liked the fact that the Vikings were getting a touchdown at home against what I felt was a slightly over-rated 49'ers squad, which was off a big game (the "hand-shake game" on SNF) and playing an early game on the road. (You can read the analysis of that play here.)
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Likewise, I didn't feel that the Lions should be laying more than a field goal on the road against an under-rated and desperate Tennessee team. Not when they were also coming off the "hand-shake game" and playing their second straight on the road. (You can read the analysis of that play here.)
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Things are different this time though. The Lions are back home while the Vikings are now on the road. Off back-to-back losses, the Lions figure to be very hungry. After all, this was supposed to be "their year.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
This is still a talented Lions team. They were laying -10.5 when they hosted the Vikes last season. We're getting a far more reasonable line this week. Consider laying the points.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
225265 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday September, 30

Art AronsonFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Seattle vs. St. Louis
Pick:St. LouisFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Ok. Ok. I admit it. I got lucky with Seattle on Monday night. (I don't think you can call my current 31-11 streak luck though.) I'm ready to go against my "beloved" Seahawks this week though. Remember, I backed this team when they beat Dallas (and Green Bay) but I also went against them when they lost at Arizona.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Hawks are again favored in a divisional road game here, as they were at Arizona. This time, they're also playing on a short week after having to fly cross the country. As tough as they are at home, they're only 5-13 on the road since the start of the 2010 season; 0-2 as road favorites of a field goal or less.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
When I played against the 49ers Sunday afternoon, I told you not to under-estimate the time zone factor. Once again, we have a West Coast team playing an early game here.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Rams couldn't get it done at Chicago last week but they won here at home the week before that. They're already 2-0 ATS in dome games. Grab the points.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
225265 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday September, 30

Lenny Del GenioFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Oakland vs. Denver
Pick: DenverFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Two long-time AFC West rivals whose lone SU victory came at the expense of the Pittsburgh Steelers meet Sunday afternoon in Denver with the 1-2 Broncos hosting the 1-2 Raiders.   Oakland is the one coming off the outright dog win over the Steelers last week, rallying back from a 1st half deficit to pull out the 34-31 win.  This does not bode well for their chances this week, however, as the Silver and Black are 3-12 ATS off a SU dog win that was achieved at home.  Last year saw them fail twice in this spot, losing by an average of 16 PPG.  Denver comes into this contest off back to back losses, and considering the high profile acquisition of Peyton Manning  in the offseason are desperate to get back on track.  They’ve also lost outright each of the last four seasons at home to the rival Raiders, so the revenge motive will be present as well.   Lay the points.  Take Denver.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
225265 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday September, 30

Jesse SchuleFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Washington vs. Tampa Bay
Pick: Tampa BayFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Bucs are coming off back to back losses, however they didn't make it easy for either of their last two opponents. After outscoring the Giants 24-13 in the first half in New York in Week 2, they ended up losing 41-34, as the Giants scored with just 31 seconds remaining in the fourth quarter.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Last week in Dallas, they scored first, but then went to the locker room down by three points at halftime. They went on to lose in a close game, with the final score 16-10. It was a solid effort defensively to go into Dallas and hold the Cowboys to just 16 points.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Dallas didn't enjoy any success at all running the football against the Bucs defense, they only managed 38 total yards rushing in last week's game. Tampa's pass rush was also very effective against Dallas, sacking Tony Romo four times, as well as forcing an INT.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
After the first game of the season, the Redskins and their rookie quarterback were surrounded by a wave of hype, but they have since lost back to back games against pretty average opponents in the Rams and Bengals. RG3 ran for 85 yards last week, but he was also sacked six times by the Bengals. If Washington can't do a better job protecting their quarterback, they aren't going to win many games this year. Andy Dalton had his way with the Redskins secondary last week, throwing for 328 yards and three scores. This comes just a week after they were lit up by Sam Bradford.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Bucs have won three of the last four head to head meetings between those two teams, including both games in Tampa Bay.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Bucs are 3-0 ATS this year, while Washington is 1-2 ATS.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Redskins still appear to be a little over-rated.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Take the Bucs!

Blade
useravatar
Offline
225265 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday September, 30

Carlo CampanellaFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Miami Dolphins vs. Arizona CardinalsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Arizona CardinalsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Arizona is a "surprising" 3-0 this season, winning all 3 games as Dogs over tough opponents Seattle (2-1), New England (1-2), and Philadelphia (2-1). But, don't be fooled into thinking that this winning is new to Arizona, as these Cards are 10-2 SU & 9-3 ATS during their last 12 games going back to last season. Even with all the winning, the Cardinals find themselves laying points for the FIRST time this season as they host Miami Sunday. Even though each of their first 3 foes owned played Playoff-caliber offenses, Arizona is winning behind a stingy defense that's allowing just 13 points per game and has not allowed more than 18 points this season. With Miami starting rookie QB Tannehill, they have focused on their running game, but star RB Reggie Bush was injured last Sunday and Arizona held Philadelphia's RB McCoy to just 70 rushing yards on Sunday and the Patriots to just 90 team rushing yards in Week #2. Arizona has already beaten much better than these Dolphins and don't expect them to fall asleep against this weaker opponent on Sunday.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
225265 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday September, 30

Johnny DetroitFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Miami Dolphins +235FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
After rolling over the Philadelphia Eagles, the Cardinals are 3-0 for the first time in 38 years! Toss in the "survivor pool massacre" upset as 13-point dogs against the New England Patriots, the Cardinals are the new "hot team" in the NFL. On the flip side, Reggie Bush gets injured and the Dolphins drop a game to the hapless New York Jets. All of that added up and the Cardinals are laying under a TD at home? Bet the farm and teaser the college fund on Arizona right? No. We LOVE Miami. This line should be no more than a FG and actually think the Dolphins will win outright on Sunday. The Arizona offense has not been overly impressive and Kolb is due for a letdown after lighting up his former team. The Dolphins have one of the best run defenses in football and will be up against one of the worst running teams in the league. We call for the upset on Sunday.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
225265 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday September, 30

SPORTS WAGERSFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Survivor Pick – Week 4FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
GREEN BAY over New OrleansFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
We could certainly use the Ravens or Texans this week but the majority of your poolies will be on one of those two teams and we’ll stick with our philosophy of not following the masses. The Packers would be the fourth or fifth choice on most people’s list after Houston, Baltimore, Arizona and Atlanta but not ours, as we expect Green Bay to come out with more focus than ever after that Monday night debacle. 
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Packers come off a tragic loss last week but beneath it all, we find a defense that has been very good. Let’s not overlook that Green Bay has faced three of the stronger D’s in the league after playing the 49ers, Bears and Seahawks. The Saints defense is a disaster, ranking #32 after getting torched by Washington, Carolina and Kansas City, not exactly the cream of the crop.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Packers are too sound a team, both offensively and defensively, to lose focus and allow that game to affect them in a negative way. Adversity reveals character. The Saints have revealed theirs after Bountygate with some ugly football. The Packers have a chance to show how strong a unit they are and we expect them to respond appropriately. The point-spread is an indication of the disparity between these two. It’s not without its merits.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Week 4 pick – GREEN BAY straight up.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
N.Y. Jets √
Cincinnati √
Chicago √

Blade
useravatar
Offline
225265 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday September, 30

John RyanFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Bears at Cowboys
Play: UnderFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
10* graded play UNDER Bear-Dallas in a NFC showdown set to start at 8:35 PM ET and will be televised on Monday Night Football. The simulator shows a high probability that fewer than 41 points will be scored in this game. The sim shows that Dallas and Chicago will score less than 21 points. In past games where Dallas has scored 15 to 21 points they have posted a 50-25 UNDER mark since 1992. The Bears have posted a 55-30 UNDER record when they have allowed 15 to 21 points in game since 1992.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 71-36 UNDER for 66.4% winners since 2002. Play UNDER the posted total with any team against the total that are off two or more consecutive UNDERS and now facing an opponent off three or more consecutive unders. Of the 107 plays made based on the criteria of this system, 42 of them have gone UNDER the total by seven or more points.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Chicago Bears are struggling offensively despite posting a 2-1 record through the first three weeks of the season. There is a very intriguing and contrary statistic involving the Bears offense. On the one hand they rank 29th in the NFL averaging just 4.5 yards-per-play. Yet, on a yards-per-point basis they rank best in the NFL posting an 11.0 ratio. This reflects the fact that Chicago?s defense has forced turnovers giving the offense a short field to operate and enhances the probability of scoring points.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
With that piece of information in hand it is painfully clear to me that the Dallas offensive scheme will be to establish the run and use short slant and out routes to control the clock . This entire scheme will be used to minimize turnovers and to not provide the Bears with a short field for scoring opportunities.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Bears will be without Matt Forte and this severely hurts the Bears offensive scheme. This leaves only Michael Bush at running back and he has averaged just 3.5 yards-per-carry on 44 attempt for the season. Cutler needs to be able to use play action to generate vertical play routes. If he does not have that option, then all that will be left or slants, ins, and bubble screen passes to minimize the Dallas defensive front seven pressure.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
When these two schemes matchup, it gives the immediate feel of a field possession type of game and one where both teams are not going to take risks with vertical pass routes. Misdirection plays may be the most run play by both teams.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Dallas is a solid 10-2 UNDER facing teams who force 2.75 or more turnovers per game on the season since 1992; 15-5 UNDER in home games vs. poor passing teams with a completion percentage of 53% or worse. since 1992. Moreover, Dallas is 17-6 UNDER in home games after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game since 1992. I believe this last game situation reinforces Dallas commitment to the running game, especially after a game where the run game struggled to get established.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
225265 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday September, 30

Freddy WillsFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Seattle Seahawks vs. St Louis Rams    
Play: St Louis Rams
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Ironically the Seahawks leave their hostile environment in Seattle and fly east for a hostile environment in St. Louis. Public is loving the Seahawks after Monday’s defensive performance and I think it’s going to be a little different on the road where they are unable to get the same advantages against opposing offensive lines. St. Louis also likes to run a no huddle scheme on offense that will give Seattle fits. The Seahawks do not travel well and are 17-36 -2 ATS int heir last 55 road games.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Don’t sleep on the Rams defense either as they have one of the best pass rushes led by Chris Long. This leads to turnovers and good pass defense. I think it will lead to the being aggressive to sell out and stop the rushing game from Seattle because Russell Wilson has been kept under wraps thus far. They are not letting him throw and I do not anticipate them doing that here today. It’s not like the Seahawks are dominating on the ground either they averaged just 3.9 ypc on the road to the Rams 4.4 at home last year and this year the two teams are tied at 4.1 ypc. The Rams ran all over the Redskins in a similar home game where they were 3 poitn under dogs.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Don’t sleep on the Rams, Jeff Fisher is an excellent coach and he’ll have his team ready in this game. Seattle is ranked 22nd allowing 44.7% conversions on third down and St. Louis should be able to stay on the field all day by converting these third downs now that they are home where they converted 58% against a good Redskins defense. While Seattle is 30th in converting third downs and struggle in the red zone ranked 31 with a meager 25% RZ TD%. I expect this game to be either tight throughout or for the Rams to win by multiple touchdowns. Either way unless the Seahawks suddenly let Russell Wilson loose the game plan is pretty easy for the Rams and the Seahawks are in a major let down spot on short rest after they got lucky against the Packers.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
225265 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday September, 30

Joseph D'AmicoFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Jacksonville Jaguars    
Play: Cincinnati BengalsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Jacksonville might be the least talented squad in the NFL. Last week, Jones-Drew racked up 177 yards rushing against an Indy club that has serious issues on both their DL and LB corps. The RB won't get away with that vs. a Bengals "D" that is very fast and very physical. QB, Gabbert will be flushed out of the pocket and make costly mistakes. Cincy won their L2 over Cleveland and Washington. Dalton, Green-Ellis, and the talented WRs of Green, Hawkins, Binns, and Gresham can light up the Jags defense. This is a talented team and due to scheduling, has a chance to beat out the Steelers in their Division. I like Cincinnati here. But to get a HUGE money making weekend, get all my winners right here.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
225265 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday September, 30

Nick ParsonsFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Bengals at Jaguars
Pick: OverFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
This match-up features defenses that have given up almost identical 410+ yards of offense and 155 yards rushing in each of their games to date. Cincinnati has benefitted from a more potent offense and after getting blown out in the home opener aginst division rival Baltimore, the Bengals have averaged 36 points per game and have mixed the run with the pass as Andy Dalton has averaged almost 300 yards passing as new pickup BenJarvus Green-Ellis has suppored the ground game. Jacksonville has out rushed Cincinnati 121-100 per game as Maurice Jones-Drew put up 177 yards on the ground last week against Indy. With two weak run defenses we are looking at the running-backs to have strong outings on both sides, and that will open up the passing game which Jacksonville is looking to get on track with number one draft pick Justin Blackmon. Two teams that were known for having touch D, now sits where three touchdowns for each team will push this game over the number. Take the Over.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
225265 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday September, 30

SPORTS WAGERSFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Washington +2½ -106 over TAMPA BAY
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Tampa has yet to not cover but this is also the first time it has been asked to give away points to an opponent. In this case, they’ll be spotting points to a Washington team that has scored 28 points or more in every game and we’re not convinced the Bucs can keep pace.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Bucs managed to stay close to the Giants and Dallas but while the scores may appear tight, Tampa was clearly the inferior squad in both. In Dallas, the Buccaneers were held to only one touchdown, as Josh Freeman continues to struggle with two of his three games thus far producing fewer than 140 passing yards while completing only 51% of passes. Turnovers played a huge part in the contest with the Giants, an opportunity lost, as Tampa could not take advantage of New York’s error-filled afternoon.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
This now becomes a tall order for a Bucs team that can’t seem to get all of its parts working in unison on same day. Washington’s pass defense has been leaky but this Bucs offence is not one to fear. With Washington losing back-to-back games to St. Louis and Cincinnati, its stock is low. With Tampa winning its opener and subsequently nearly pulling off back-to-back upsets, its stock is high. This now becomes a true sell-high, buy low opportunity and we’re on it.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Miami +5½ -106 over ARIZONA
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Dating back 2+ years, a span of 35 games, the Cardinals have been priced in this range just twice. The first time was in Cam Newton’s first-ever regular season game in last year’s season opener when the Cardinals covered at home as a 6½-pt. choice (winning by 7). The second attempt, midway through last year but also at home, was as a 6-pt. choice to the hapless Browns. That one resulted in a non-covering 20-17 win. Point being, that while Arizona is off to a fabulous start, it’s a much different animal having to win by a margin than it is to be pulling off these upsets.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Arizona’s defence has suddenly become a football headline. With an unexpected 3-0 start, media has focused upon this part of the Cardinals’ game. The players lap this stuff up and when it is a team unaccustomed to success, they sometimes forget about an upcoming task at hand. With featured Thursday night game in St. Louis on deck and now being prohibitive chalk, this is uncharted territory for this group.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
After a horrible pre-season and displaying other issues on HBO’s Hard Knocks series before getting smoked in opener to Houston, pundits everywhere were predicting a painful season for the Dolphins. While they have a long way to go, the team has been competing. After handling the Raiders two weeks ago, Miami could easily be 2-1 after blowing last week’s OT game to the Jets. The Fish will continue to do battle here and are capable of pulling off an upset against this unsuspecting host.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Carolina +7 -106 over ATLANTA
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Nothing against the AFC West but it’s not exactly the best grouping in football. In an unusual scheduling sequence, the Falcons opened this season with three wins against three members from that division. While a sense of security may not exactly be false, flying back from the west coast to face a divisional rival, after the Panthers have had extra rest and were embarrassed on a Thursday prime timer, a feeling of complacency could occur.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Carolina is off to a poor start but with a strong running game and the added prep time, expect a better effort here. Atlanta has not been more than a 3-pt choice in this young season. Last year, they were only 3½ at home to these Panthers. The market has overreacted here and we’ll gladly back the undervalued side.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
JACKSONVILLE +120 over Cincinnati
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Bengals may have the winning record here but we’re not quite ready to trust them as road chalk, especially when facing a team capable of exploiting Cincinnati’s most glaring weakness.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Aside from giving up the 2nd most points in the league, the Bengals are currently relinquishing 155 yards per game on the ground, ranking them 31st in the NFL. That poses a problem when facing Jacksonville star Maurice Jones-Drew, who appears to be hitting his best form after a 177-yard rushing performance last week. This will be the second home game for the Jags after losing first one to elite Texans and after gritty win at Indy, expect a spirited effort here against a suspect visitor.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
225265 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday September, 30

SPORTS WAGERSFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Oakland +6½ +102 over DENVER
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Denver has had a trying schedule and unfortunately for them, it’s not about to get any easier. The Broncos hosted the opening Sunday nighter, with all eyes upon the return of Peyton Manning. That one was followed up with Monday nighter against the undefeated Falcons only to be followed by facing another undefeated and talented Houston squad. Denver/Oakland is a heated rivalry. This is anything but a soft spot for the host and to compound things, Denver goes to New England and San Diego in its next two. Who did Pat Bowlen tick off? In addition, we’re not sure if Manning is right. He can’t seem to go long and his ball lacks zip.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Oakland RB Darren McFadden has dropped triple digits on the Broncos each of the last three times he's seen them, averaging a robust 7.4 yards per carry in the process. The road team in this series has never been intimidated, as the visitor has emerged victoriously in seven of past eight meetings. With last week’s win and tough situation for the Broncos, Raiders should be able to take advantage. No units risked.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Minnesota +4½ -110 over DETROIT
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Lions could be suffering from curse of the 10-win season. Detroit sits at a less than impressive 1-2 with its only victory occurring in final seconds of home opener. The Vikings weren't expected to do much but after knocking off the Niners last week and with Christian Ponder completing 70% of his passes, this choice isn't difficult. No units risked.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
HOUSTON -12 -103 over Tennessee
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Texans are steamrolling and no reason for it to stop here. Double-digit faves are often risky but this number is actually reduced because of Tennessee’s 44-pt. outburst last week. The 1-2 Titans come off that thrilling win over the Lions but make no mistakes here, the Titans defense has been almost nonexistent. The only other trip away from home was the 28-point loss in San Diego, not to mention the 34-13 lambasting at home to the Patriots.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Matt Schaub should have his way against this shaky Tennessee defense. He's produced multiple touchdowns in each of his last three against the Titans and this year’s pass stoppers is weaker than years past.  Tennessee's secondary has surrendered eight passing scores and 970 passing yards already and things don’t figure to tighten up here. This one could get ugly. No units risked.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
KANSAS CITY +106 over San Diego
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Surprising to learn that the Chiefs lead the league in total offensive yards per game. Perhaps that is why oddsmakers listed the Chargers as the favorite for this one before the wisenheimers jumped in and corrected things. The Chargers are their usual rollercoaster self and rarely do well at Arrowhead. No units risked.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
BUFFALO +4 -107 over New England
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
It would be easy to make a case for the Patriots. After all, they have a losing record for the first time in 10 years and as a result, should have plenty of motivation. They’ve also defeated the Bills in nine of past 10 meetings. However, one can never ignore the betting line. The Patriots are still vastly popular while the Bills are only popular in Buffalo. Oddsmakers are fully aware of public tendencies towards certain teams yet they’re offering the Pats up at a seemingly cheap price. That’s a red flag that we always pay attention to.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pats won their opener convincingly but then lost next two. Bills were pummelled in their debut but rebounded with pair of wins. Why not follow the bouncing balls and take the division home dog against a fragile visitor? No units risked
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
N.Y. JETS +4 -110 over San Francisco
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
San Francisco forced to play its 3rd road game in four weeks and this one coming on heels of smarting loss at Minnesota. Niners stayed in Youngstown, Ohio all week after a schedule that had them fly to Green Bay for opener, back home to host Lions and then head back east to play at Minnesota. Rather than flying home and back out to East coast, San Fran brass opted to remain close but the team could be out of sorts from excessive and unusual travel schedule.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
A lot is being made of Jets losing key defender Darrelle Revis. While Revis’s loss is significant, it may not mean much in this one as the Niners do not possess a deep threat, aerial attack. Jets aren’t always pretty but they can be efficient. Points offered are generous in what figures to be a tight one. No units risked.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
ST. LOUIS +2½ +103 over Seattle
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Beneath the brouhaha of Monday’s “victory”, is the underlying issue with Seattle’s offense. The Seahawks have a pair of wins under QB Russell Wilson but the rookie is averaging less than 130 yards per game, dead last in the league.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Playing against the victorious Monday night club, having to travel on short week has been a strong angle over the years and this traveler is coming off about the most bizarre win in recent memory. It was a media circus with the entire football world focused upon the play that ultimately ended the referee’s lockout. Pete Carroll is not the type to settle his team.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
St. Louis should have extra motivation here after being whacked twice by this rival last season. Rams have won only home game and hosting this distracted division foe offers reason for optimism. No units risked.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
GREEN BAY -7½ over New Orleans
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Saints may want to put a bounty on their defensive coordinator. At first glance, this point-spread might seem a bit high but opposing quarterbacks are abusing this weak New Orleans secondary and having to face one of the league’s best in Aaron Rodgers is not encouraging.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Packers come off a tragic loss last week but beneath it all, we find a defense that has been very good. Let’s not overlook that Green Bay has faced three of the stronger D’s in the league after playing the 49ers, Bears and Seahawks. Packers are in a foul mood. Saints suffer for it. No units risked.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
PHILADELPHIA -1 -110 over N.Y. Giants
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Eagles have been sloppier than one those famous sandwiches that Philly is known for. Still, Eagles thrive in this series, winning and covering in 7 of past 8. While Michael Vick remains reckless, the Giants’ pass rush has not been as efficient as last season’s with only six sacks on the season.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Giants are 2-1 but Eli Manning has only posted one big game, his 510-yard effort in the comeback win over the visiting Buccaneers. Outside of that, the G-Men have managed just one major per week with moderate passing yardage. He’ll now see an Eagles squad that has a top 10 defense in almost every category and one that is very familiar with Manning and company.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
G-Men might be overvalued here after Thursday night waxing of Carolina. While New York was able to overcome injuries to some key players versus the Panthers, this foe is too talented to get away with it again. Price seems cheap.  No units risked.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
225265 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday September, 30

Sean Higgs

San Diego Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Play: Kansas City Chiefs     

KC 10-4-1 ATS last 15 in the series. Why are we getting points at home? Chargers beat an Oakland team that I think is terrible. They beat a rookie QB led Tennessee team. And they welcome the Falcons in fresh off a big MNF win and a cross-country flight only to get demolished at home.. Will gladly take any points here as I see this as a false-fave situation.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
225265 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday September, 30

SpartanFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Dolphins +6FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
This will not be a popular pick guys, often cases the sharpest selections are not. I fully expect the masses to be coming at the window in droves getting their action down on the Cardinals. Off to a flying start with the lowly Dolphins coming to town, why not? Because it's just not that easy fellas. Perhaps the Birds will keep the foot on the pedal and blow Miami off the field. I just have my own doubts about that. I'm just not that sold on the Cardinals offense racking up that many points against a Miami defense that is better than advertised. I look for a hard fought slug fest here that could very easily be in question to the very end. For those of you who love a nice trend to support the cause I'll be more than happy to oblige you. Reading and studying trends if the part of capping I hate most but you have to perform your due diligence. Try this one on for size. Miami is a stellar 13-2 against the number when traveling to battle an opponent that sports a winning record since the 2007 season. I predict the wash rooms in Vegas will be littered late sunday with torn up Cardinals bet tickets. I say the right side here is the Dolphins getting the generous half dozens points. Many sincere thanks as always fellas. Best of luck to us and enjoy the ballgame.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
225265 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday September, 30

NFL PredictionsFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
San Francisco  -3 (-130)
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
We locked this in right before a bit of line movement earlier in the week, but some sportsbooks still give you the option to buy this game down to -3 at -135. I also like -4 +101 which is available right now as well.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The New York Jets opened up the season with a blowout 48-28 win over the Buffalo Bills as 3 point favorites, but then went into Pittsburgh and lost 27-10 as 5 point underdogs. Last week the Jets improved to 2-1 with a 23-20 overtime victory against the Dolphins. Mark Sanchez had his second rough outing going 21/45 for 306 yards with 1 TD and 2 INTs, while the running game for New York didn't get much going at all. Miami RB Reggie Bush was injured in the game and I think that was the difference for the Jets winning, as Bush was averaging 6.1 yards per carry before getting injured. Mark Sanchez is 23rd in the league for QB Rating at 78.3 as he has completed just 50.5% of his passes and has 5 TDs and 3 INTs on the year. Overall the Jets offense is 22nd in the league averaging just 330 yards per game on offense. Defensively they are 21st in the league giving up 367 yards against per game, while allowing 25 points against per game (18th). The Jets took a big loss in their victory last week with their defensive star, Darrelle Revis, injuring his knee and is expected to miss the entire season.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The San Francisco Giants went into Green Bay in Week 1 as 6 point underdogs and won outright 30-22, quickly making them early Super Bowl favorites. The 49ers followed that up with a Sunday Night victory against the Lions, 27-19, as 7 point favorites. Starting 2-0 the 49ers entered Minnesota last week as 6.5 road favorites, but ended up being upset 24-13 as they struggled on both sides of the ball. I think the loss was a good wake up call for the 49ers team that might have gotten a bit ahead of themselves after a hot start. QB Alex Smith has been effective completing just under 70% of his passes for 5 TDs and 1 INT, good for a QB rating of 102.7. The San Francisco offense is ranked just above the Jets at 21st with 335 yards per game, but their defense is 11th ranked allowing 321 yards against per game. After finishing last season with the 4th ranked defense I expect the 49ers numbers to continue to improve as they've started the season against 3 good offenses in GB, Det, and Min (with 2 of those games on the road).
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Jets were 6-2 at home last season, but their 2 losses were their only two games that they hosted a playoff team (New England and New York). San Francisco went 6-2 on the road last season, and beat 2 playoff teams (Detroit, Cincinnati) as well as some other good home teams (Philadelphia, Seattle). Their two road losses came against Baltimore and Arizona by a combined 12 points. San Francisco has gone 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 overall, and 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up loss. The Jets are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs a team with a winning road record. The Jets haven't gotten much done on offense in their last two games, and now they face their toughest test yet. San Francisco looks to avoid back to back losses and I think they come out hard Sunday and will be too much for the Jets. New York doesn't match up with the 49ers, and I think they get a big bounce back road victory and cover the spread.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Kansas City Chiefs  +1
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The San Diego Chargers suffered their first loss of the season last weekend, but it came in a big way. The Chargers entered the game as 3 point favorites hosting the Atlanta Falcons and were blown out 27-3 in front of their home crowd. Matt Ryan completed 30 of 40 passes with 3 Touchdowns against the Chargers defense, while Michael Turner added 80 yards on the ground. Phillip Rivers didn't look good going 21 for 38 with just 178 yards and 2 INTs. San Diego's two victories have come @ Oakland and vs a weak Tennessee team at home. Although San Diego covered the spread in both games, neither victories impressed me too much. The Chargers are ranked 23rd offensively averaging 318 yards per game, and they are 21st scoring 21 points per game. Despite a bad game on defense last week the Chargers are still 9th in the league averaging 305 yards against per game.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Kansas City Chiefs got their first win last week as 9 point underdogs in New Orleans. The Chiefs forced overtime and went on to kick a game winning field goal to pull off the upset. In Week 1 the Chiefs hosted the Atlanta Falcons and beat 40-24 as 3 point underdogs, and then went into Buffalo in Week 2 and 3 point underdogs and lost 35-17. Jamaal Charles broke out for a big game last week with 233 yards and 1 TD on 33 attempts, and I look for him to bring that effort into Sunday's game as the Chiefs look to improve to 2-2 (which would have them in 1st place in the division due to the h2h tie breaker). Kansas City ranks 1st offensively with 441 yards per game, but need to limit their turnovers as they are -8 already on the season. The Chiefs have completed 48% of their 3rd down attempts (4th in the league) and are averaging 22.7 ppg (17th). Defensively KC is 16th in the league allowing 347 yards against per game, although they are giving up a high 33 ppg (28th). Protecting the ball is going to be key for the Chiefs to win this game.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Kansas City was just 3-5 at home last season but 4-4 against the spread. Losses at home came against Buffalo, Miami, Denver, Pittsburgh and Oakland. The Chiefs beat San Diego 23-20 at home in overtime in Week 8 as 3 point underdogs, which came after the Chargers won their Week 3 meeting 20-17 as 14.5 point favorites. In their 4 meetings over the past 2 years the Chiefs are 3-1 ATS and 2-0 at home vs San Diego. Dating back the Chiefs are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 home games vs the Chargers. If you look back at last season you will notice the Chargers victories came against Minnesota, Kansas City, Miami, Denver, Jacksonville, Buffalo, Baltimore and Oakland (just 2 playoff teams) and I think they are a bit overrated after a 2-0 start to the season. Their victory in Oakland was mainly due to poor special teams play by the Raiders, and they could easily be 1-2 with their only win coming against a rookie QB in his first road game. Take note that the Chargers have good defensive numbers vs the rush this season, but their 3 opponents so far this year rank 25th, 31st, and 32nd in rushing. The Chargers were 20th in rush defense last season. I think Kansas City will be able to establish a good running game and allow Matt Cassel to be efficient. This won't be a popular pick this week but give me KC at home vs their divisional rivals.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Bengals @ Jaguars Over 42.5
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Cincinnati is coming off an impressive victory in Washington, which moved them to 2-1 on the season. The Bengals had a tough start to the season as they travelled to Baltimore in a Monday Night match up and went on to lose 44-13, but the Bengals have rebounded nicely with a 34-27 victory against Cleveland and a 38-31 victory against Washington. Cincinnati comes into this one 8th in the NFL offensively averaging 391 yards per game, while they are 8th with 28.3 points per game. QB Andy Dalton has been solid with a 105.0 QB Rating while completing 68.4% of his passes. The Bengals are 29th in the league defensively allowing 416 yards against per game, while giving up a high 34 points per game (31st).
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Jaguars managed to grab their first victory of the season last week as 3 point underdogs. The Jaguars beat Luck and the Colts 22-17 with a last minute drive to take the game and a bit of momentum with them back home. Losses came against Minnesota (26-23 in OT) and Houston (27-7). RB Maurice Jones-Drew got it going last week with 177 yards and 1 TD on 28 attempts. Overall Jacksonville is 30th in the league on offense with 268 yards per game, but MJD is a big part of that and his success last week should carry into this game. The Bengals are 31st against the rush allowing 154 rushing yards against per game. Take note that Cincinnati should also be able to get a balanced attack going as the Jaguars are barely in front of the Bengals at 30th in the NFL against the rush allowing 154 rushing yards against per game. Overall the Jags are 28th in the league in defense giving up 412 yards against per game.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Take note that the OVER is 5-0 in the Bengals last 5 games overall, 6-1 in their last 7 vs a team with a losing record, and 14-3 in their last 17 games vs AFC opponents. The OVER is also 8-3 in their last 11 road games, and 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs a team with a losing home record. The Jags have been playing to the under lately as their offense hasn't done much over the past year or so, but the OVER is 10-4 in their last 14 games following a straight up win. The Bengals have been great offensively their last two games and Andy Dalton has been solid under center. Also with MJD coming home after a big game I expect him to help get the offense going this week. Two struggling defenses calls for the OVER in this one.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Dolphins @ Cardinals Under 39.5
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Miami lost a tough one last week as they fell 23-20 against the New York Jets in overtime. The Dolphins lost their season opener 30-10 in Houston before winning big 35-13 at home against the Raiders. RB Reggie Bush was hurt in their lost last week, which hurt them as he looked like he was going to have back to back very quality games. He is probable this week. Despite almost being 2-1 entering this game, the Dolphin's rookie QB Ryan Tannehill is last in the league with a 58.3 QB rating completing just 52.9% of his passes with 1 TD and 4 INTs. The ground game has helped the Dolphins rank 12th overall with 369 yards per game. The defense is ranked 22nd giving up 373 yards against per game.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Arizona continued their unexpected start to the season as they improved to 3-0 after a 27-6 home victory against the Eagles last week as 3 point underdogs. In week 1 the Cardinals beat Seattle 20-16 and followed that up with a 20-18 win in New England as 13 point underdogs. The offense ranks 31s in the league with just 262 yards per game, but they've been effective when they've needed to be. The story has been on defense where they are 10th in the league giving up 316 yards against per game against some good offenses, and they are 2nd in the NFL giving up just 13.3 points against per game.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Take note that the UNDER is 22-8 in the Dolphins last 30 road games, 12-5-1 in their last 18 games overall, and 9-3 in their last 12 games following a straight up loss. The UNDER is also 4-1-1 in the Cardinals last 6 games overall, 3-0-1 in their last 4 games following a straight up win, and 5-0 in their last 5 September games (including 3-0 this season). In this match up we have two underrated and solid defenses going up against average at best offenses. Tannehill struggled in his first road game and I don't expect much here against a good Cardinals defense. I think both teams will be looking to run the ball quite a bit as part of their game plan, and points will be tough to come by. Take the UNDER.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
225265 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday September, 30

Wunderdog

New England at Buffalo
Pick: New England -3.5

For the second week in a row we get tremendous value backing a great team. We took New England last week and cashed. We'll do it again this week. The New England Patriots are off to a 1-2 start, but it is not like they have played poorly. The teams they lost to, Baltimore and Arizona, are off to a combined 6-1 start. Last week they had the game in hand on the road against a great team until a controversial last minute field goal by the Ravens. It has been nearly a decade since the Pats lost three in a row, so I expect them to come out breathing fire in this one. The last five times this team lost two in a row, they have come back to win all five by a combined score of 157-57. Arizona's 3-0 start has been impressive but did you know that the Patriots out-gained them 387-245? New England also moved the chains well in that game, getting 25 first downs compared to just 16 for the Cardinals. New England also had 33 first downs at Baltimore in the 1-point loss. In the game vs. Arizona the Pats missed a game winning FG as well. The Bills need all the weapons they can muster vs. New England, so the loss of C.J. Spiller is a big one. Spiller had gained 308 yards on 33 carries before injuring his shoulder. They also have lost David Nelson who caught 61 balls a year ago to a torn ACL. The Patriots are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 after a loss and 51-24-3 ATS on the road in their last 78. They are also 30-15 ATS in their last 45 games after allowing 30+ points. Finally, the Pats have covered seven of the last eight here in this building. Under Belichick, New England is 34-20 ATS as a road favorite. My computer matchup for this game has New England winning by a touchdown. I agree: Lay the points and look for a big New England win.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
225265 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday September, 30

Bryan PowerFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Seattle vs. St. Louis
Pick: St. LouisFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
This sets up as a classic trap game for the Seahawks, who are off one of the most controversial wins (and covers) in NFL History Monday night as they beat the Packers on a late Hail Mary that was more Packers interception than Seattle touchdown.  By now, you certainly know all about this play and its effects.  The replacement refs are now history, but the games must go on.  And Seattle must hit the road, where they are most certainly not the same team they are at home.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Seahawks are just 6-20 SU on the road under Pete Carroll.   They lost their only road game of the season so far, back in Week 1 at Arizona.  Including that, they have never covered as a road favorite under Carroll.  In two of three games this season, Seattle has scored 16 or fewer points.  Playing on a short week, after such an emotional win, will not work to their advantage.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
St. Louis is 1-2, but deserved to win in the opener at Detroit, then won its only home game to date, upsetting Washington as a small home dog, a similar price range to what they find themselves in here. 
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Note that playing against favorites off a straight up win as a home dog the previous week, that have a winning record on the season, would yield a return of 67-32 ATS, or 67 percent ATS!

Blade
useravatar
Offline
225265 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Board Info

Board Stats:
 
Total Topics:
45973
Total Polls:
2
Total Posts:
291295
Average Posts Per Hour:
5.5
User Info:
 
Total Users:
3775
Newest User:
Michael
Members Online:
0
Guests Online:
2536

Online: 
There are no members online

Forum Legend:

 Topic
 New
 Locked
 Sticky
 Active
 New/Locked
 Sticky/Locked

Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Contact Us | Advertising | 888-99-SPREAD

THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE – If you think you have a gambling problem click here.

Disclaimer: This site is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Individual users are responsible for the laws regarding accessing gambling information from their jurisdictions. Many countries around the world prohibit gambling, please check the laws in your location. Any use of this information that may violate any federal, state, local or international law is strictly prohibited.

Copyright: The information contained on TheSpread.com website is protected by international copyright and may not be reproduced, or redistributed in any way without expressed written consent.

About: TheSpread.com is the largest sports betting news site in the United States. We provide point spread news, odds, statistics and information to over 199 countries around the world each year. Our coverage includes all North American College and Professional Sports as well as entertainment, political and proposition wagering news.

©1999-2013 TheSpread.com