NFL Betting News and Notes Thursday 9/27

NFL Betting News and Notes Thursday 9/27

CLEVELAND (0 - 3) at BALTIMORE (2 - 1)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 4-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Cleveland is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Baltimore
Cleveland is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games   
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland

Cleveland at Baltimore
Cleveland: 13-5 Under in all games
Baltimore: 9-1 ATS in home games after a win by 3 or less

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Re: NFL Betting News and Notes Thursday 9/27

NFL Week 4

Browns (0-3) @ Ravens (2-1) —
Short week for both teams; Ravens playing with heavy hearts after burial of Torrey Smith’s brother, and with possible letdown after emotional revenge win over Patriots- they’ve beaten Cleveland eight times in row and 19 of 26 overall, with six of those eight wins by 10+ points. Browns lost last four visits here by average score of 26-11. Since 2007, Ravens are just 4-8-1 vs spread as a divisional home favorite; they’re 1-7 in last eight games as double digit favorite. Last two Baltimore games were both decided by a single point. Browns lost Weeden’s first three starts by 1-7-10 points; they were down 7 at half in all three games. Cleveland is 7-4 vs spread in last 11 games as divisional road dogs. Average total in last six series games, 32.0. All three Baltimore games this season went over total. Divisional home favorites are 4-2 vs spread, so far this season.

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Re: NFL Betting News and Notes Thursday 9/27

NFL: Streaks, Trends, Notes

Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens

Flying high after Sunday's win over the Patriots and knowing they're on a 13-0 stretch at M&T Bank Stadium, have not lost to Cleveland in four years (8-0), the Baltimore Ravens have got to be feeling pretty confident about their chances Thursday night. On the other hand, Cleveland off a 0-3 start and sporting the NFL's longest losing streak (0-9) dating back to last year must be thinking when will the slide ever end. Not that you don't have plenty of reason to back the Ravens but before laying the huge number (-13.5) here's food for thought. Dogs are 29-18-1 vs the betting line this season, Browns despite the current nine game slide have been a money making 6-2-1 against-the-oddmaker. Have Browns dress up as double digit road dogs they're on a profitable 5-2 ATS stretch. Send Browns out on the road vs. a division rival they're 6-3-1 against-the-number. One final tid-bit, Ravens are on an 0-5 ATS skid as double digit home favorites including 0-2 ATS against Cleveland.

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Browns at Ravens
By Brian Edwards

Following a nail-biting 31-30 win over New England on Sunday night, Baltimore is poised to host division-rival Cleveland on Thursday night at home.

As of early Wednesday, most books had Baltimore (2-1 straight up, 2-1 against the spread) favored by 12 ½ or 13 with the total at 43 ½. Bettors can take the Browns to win outright for a lucrative plus-550 payout (risk $100 to win $550).

John Harbaugh’s club rallied from a 30-21 fourth-quarter deficit to beat the Patriots on Justin Tucker’s 27-yard field goal as time expired. Joe Flacco completed 28-of-39 passes for 382 yards and three touchdowns compared to one interception.

Flacco’s favorite target was second-year wide receiver Torrey Smith, who played despite the fact that his 19-year-old younger brother was killed in a motorcycle crash Saturday night. In honor of his late brother, Smith hauled in six receptions for 127 yards and two touchdowns.
Ray Rice rushed 20 times for 101 yards and one score, a seven-yard scamper to paydirt early in the third quarter. Rice also had five catches for 49 yards.

For the season, Flacco is second in the NFL with 913 passing yards. He has completed 64.5-percent of his throws with a 6/2 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Flacco has a QB rating of 101.1, which is notable because his career-best rating is 93.6.

Rice is seventh in the NFL with 268 rushing yards and is tied for the league lead with three rushing TDs. Rice is averaging 5.8 yards per carry.

Cleveland (0-3 SU, 1-1-1 ATS) and New Orleans are the NFL’s only winless teams left. The Browns have losses vs. Philadelphia (17-16), at Cincinnati (34-27) and vs. Buffalo (24-14). They covered the spread as home underdogs against the Eagles, pushed in the loss to the Bengals and failed to cover as 2½-point ‘dogs against the Bills.

Since throwing four interceptions in a nightmare Week 1 performance, Cleveland rookie quarterback Brandon Weeden has played much better. The Oklahoma St. product threw for 322 yards and a pair of TDs without an interception against the Bengals.

Weeden was picked off twice by Buffalo, but he did throw for 237 yards and a 22-yard scoring strike to rookie Travis Benjamin.

Cleveland rookie RB Trent Richardson was limited during training camp with a knee problem, and he was held to just 27 rushing yards on 12 carries against the Bills. Richardson was also held in check against the Eagles, but he produced his first 100-yard rushing game against the Bengals by rushing for 107 yards on 19 carries.

Richardson has rushed for 175 yards and two TDs, averaging just 3.5 yards per carry. He has 11 catches for 65 yards and one score.

Dating back to last season, the Browns have lost nine in a row and 12 of their last 13. However, they are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games.

Baltimore has won eight in a row over Cleveland, compiling a 6-2 spread record in the process. The Ravens have been favored by double digits in four of those eight contests, going 2-2 ATS.

The ‘over’ has been a winner in all three of Baltimore’s games this year. The ‘under’ is 2-1 for the Browns. In the last six head-to-head meetings between these AFC North rivals, the ‘under’ has cashed at a 5-1 clip.

Cleveland starting cornerback Joe Haden is ‘out’ as he continues to serve a four-game suspension from the NFL. WR Mohamed Massaquoi (9 catches for 145 yards) left the Buffalo game with a hamstring injury and sat out Tuesday’s practice. However, according the Cleveland Plain-Dealer, the coaching staff is optimistic that he’ll play at Baltimore.

The NFL Network will have the telecast at 8:20 p.m. Eastern.

B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets

There are five home underdogs in Week 4: Jets +4 vs. 49ers, Bills +4 vs. Patriots, Chiefs +1 vs. Chargers, Rams +2.5 vs. Seahawks and Jags +2.5 vs. Bengals.

Atlanta quarterback Matt Ryan owns a 46-19 career record in games he’s started.

With last week’s win at San Diego, the Falcons have won all six games they have played in the Pacific time zone since Mike Smith took over as head coach. has updated its futures to win this year’s Super Bowl. The Texans are the plus-350 ‘chalk,’ followed by the 49ers (5/1), Falcons (7/1), Ravens (8/1), Packers (9/1), Patriots (10/1) and the Giants (18/1).

The Browns are 200/1 long-shots to hoist the Lombardi Trophy at the offshore betting shop. They are joined with the longest NFL odds by the Colts, Jaguars, Rams and Dolphins.

There aren’t many believers in the 2-1 Vikings, as evidenced by their 100/1 odds to win the Super Bowl at Sportsbook.

Baltimore has the second-shortest odds to win the AFC with 4/1 odds. The Texans are the plus-140 ‘chalk.’

Green Bay, New England and New Orleans have combined to post a 2-7 record to date. Who saw that coming?

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Re: NFL Betting News and Notes Thursday 9/27

Thursday Night Football: Browns at Ravens

Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens (-13, 43.5)

The Baltimore Ravens won't have much time to enjoy last week's thrilling win, as they make a quick turnaround to host the Cleveland Browns on Thursday.

The Ravens are coming off an emotional 31-30 victory over New England on Sunday night, a game in which they racked up 503 total yards and rallied from an early 13-0 deficit. Trying to keep up with Baltimore's explosive offense will be a challenge for the Browns, who start rookies at quarterback (Brandon Weeden) and running back (Trent Richardson).

The Browns have averaged just 296 total yards per game during an 0-3 start, and they managed only 240 yards in Sunday's 24-14 home loss to Buffalo. Cleveland has lost nine straight dating to last season. To snap the skid, the Browns will have to end an eight-game losing streak against Baltimore dating to 2007. Only two games during the streak have been decided by a touchdown or less.

LINE: Baltimore opened as a 12-point favorite and has been bet up to -13. The total has moved from 44 to 23.5 since opening.

WEATHER: There is a chance of rain in Baltimore Thursday night, with the forecast calling for a 43 percent chance later in the evening. Temperatures will dip into the low 60s and winds are expected to reach speeds of 5 mph, blowing east from corner to corner.

ABOUT THE BROWNS (0-3, 1-1-1 ATS): Cleveland has managed to stay in games so far this season, but it hasn't been able to finish. The Browns dropped a tough 17-16 loss to the Eagles in Week 1, fell 34-27 to Cincinnati in Week 2 and couldn't overcome an awful first quarter last week against Buffalo. The defense has been solid, especially against the pass, but the young offense hasn't been able to keep up.

ABOUT THE RAVENS (2-1, 2-1 ATS): Quarterback Joe Flacco is off to a strong start with a 101.1 rating after passing for 913 yards with six touchdowns and two interceptions through three games. Ray Rice notched his first 100-yard rushing game of the season against the Patriots with 101 yards and a touchdown on 20 carries. He could be a handful for a Browns defense that was gashed by Buffalo backs C.J. Spiller and Tashard Choice last week.


* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Browns are 2-6 ATS in their last eight meetings.
* Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings.


1. Baltimore's defense, which has been dominant for so long, might have finally lost a step. The Ravens rank 27th in the league in total defense, allowing 401.3 yards per game, but they have forced six turnovers.

2. Weeden, the 22nd pick in this year's draft, looked overmatched in Week 1 but has quickly improved. He has completed 56.5 percent of his passes for 677 yards with three touchdowns and six interceptions.

3. Ravens WR Torrey Smith matched a career-high with six catches totaling 127 yards and two touchdowns Sunday, just hours after learning his younger brother had been killed in a motorcycle accident.

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