Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday September, 12

Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday September, 12

DUNKEL INDEX

MLB

Tampa Bay at Baltimore
The Rays look to build on their 7-0 record in Alex Cobb's last 7 starts. Tampa Bay is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Rays favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-120)

Game 901-902: Miami at Philadelphia (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Johnson) 15.846; Philadelphia (Lee) 16.834
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-160); 7
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-160); Under

Game 903-904: St. Louis at San Diego (6:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lohse) 14.294; San Diego (Richard) 16.594
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+120); Over

Game 905-906: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Burnett) 13.350; Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.023
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-135); Under

Game 907-908: Washington at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Lannan) 15.481; NY Mets (Harvey) 14.142
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-110); Over

Game 909-910: Chicago Cubs at Houston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wood) 13.608; Houston (Abad) 15.326
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+115); Over

Game 911-912: Atlanta at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Maholm) 15.309; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 16.431
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-135); Under

Game 913-914: San Francisco at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 16.343; Colorado (Francis) 15.259
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 10
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-130); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-130); Under

Game 915-916: LA Dodgers at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Harang) 15.177; Arizona (Cahill) 14.530
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+105); Over

Game 917-918: Seattle at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Millwood) 15.401; Toronto (Romero) 13.957
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+110); Over

Game 919-920: Tampa Bay at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Cobb) 16.429; Baltimore (Gonzalez) 15.521
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-120); Under

Game 921-922: NY Yankees at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Phelps) 14.522; Boston (Cook) 15.055
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-150); 10
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+130); Over

Game 923-924: Cleveland at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Gomez) 13.460; Texas (Dempster) 15.165
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-240); 10
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-240); Under

Game 925-926: Detroit at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 16.273; White Sox (Floyd) 15.128
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-140); Under

Game 927-928: Kansas City at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Hochevar) 15.066; Minnesota (Walters) 15.401
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-105); Over

Game 929-930: Oakland at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Griffin) 17.146; LA Angels (Santana) 17.996
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 7
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-125); Under

WNBA

San Antonio at Tulsa
The Silver Stars look to build on their 14-5 ATS record in their last 19 road games. San Antonio is the pick (-8) according to Dunkel, which has the Silver Stars favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-8)

Game 651-652: Seattle at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 106.874; Indiana 119.082
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 12; 141
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 6 1/2; 145 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-6 1/2); Under

Game 653-654: Washington at New York (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 102.885; New York 108.991
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 6; 153
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 9 1/2; 148
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+9 1/2); Over

Game 655-656: San Antonio at Tulsa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 118.763; Tulsa 108.538
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 10; 158
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 8; 163 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-8); Under

Game 657-658: Connecticut at Phoenix (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 108.761; Phoenix 108.220
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 1; 167
Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut by 5; 164 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+5); Over

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday September, 12

Steve MerrilFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Tampa Bay vs. Baltimore
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Baltimore and Tampa Bay continue their crucial series on Wednesday night.  Miguel Gonzalez is 6-4 with a 3.84 ERA in 11 starts for Baltimore.  He'll be glad to pitch at home after making starts in New York, Toronto, and Texas.  The righty will be seeing the Rays for the third time this season.  In his last start against them on August 5th, Gonzalez allowed just two hits in seven innings in Tampa Bay.  The Rays’ offense has struggled a bit as of late and the team has three of their last five games.  Baltimore's bullpen continues to be stellar as they are 24-10 with an ERA right around 3.20 converting almost 80% of their saves.
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Alex Cobb is 9-8 with a 4.28 ERA in 19 starts for the Rays.  He has allowed 34 runs and 63 hits in nine road starts this season.  He has not faced this Baltimore team who is 40-32 at home.  The Orioles are hitting over .260 in their last eight games and they’ve won six of their last nine games.  Baltimore has won 7 of the 13 meetings with the Rays this season, so we’ll take them on the run line in this game on Wednesday night.

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Chris ElliottFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Atlanta vs. Milwaukee
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The Braves look to avoid the sweep at Milwaukee on Wednesday as lefty Paul Maholm takes to the hill for Atlanta. He has a record of 12-9 with a 3.67 ERA. He has 7 QS in his last 10 starts and 16 QS in 27 starts this season. He has pitched once at Milwaukee this year in June for the Cubs, giving up 4 earned runs in 4 innings pitched.
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Brewers ace Yovani Gallardo will counter with a record of 14-8 and 3.76 ERA. He has 7 QS in his last 10 starts with an amazing 23 QS in 29 starts this season. He is 3-1 with a sparkling 1.91 ERA vs. Atlanta.
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The Braves have cashed the "Under" in 13 of their last 20 games including 8 of their last 9. They have had stellar pitching for the most part and haven't scored many runs in the process with 68 runs in their past 20 games, good for an average of 3.4 a game.
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The Brewers had cashed 8 straight "Overs" until the Braves came to town as both games in this matchup have gone "Under". Miller Park is the most homer friendly ballpark as per ESPN MLB Ballpark Factors however the combination of the Braves great pitching and poor hitting has trumped the hitter friendly park. Take the "Under" to win in this game.

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Oakland vs. LA Angels
Pick: Oakland
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The Athletics will come into LA tonight, 4.5 games up on the Angels, and just three games back of Texas in the AL West. They have taken the first two games of this series in LA, and they have won five straight games overall. They look to have a favorable matchup on the mound tonight, as they go for their sixth consecutive victory.
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A.J. Griffin will take the mound for the Athletics tonight, and he is still perfect so far this season. Griffin (5-0, 2.21 ERA) allowed just a single run on six hits over five innings in a 6-1 win over the Mariners his last time out. Prior to that he went seven innings allowing one run on just three hits in a 7-1 win over Boston.
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The Angels will be getting their first look at Griffin tonight, and that might just favor the pitcher.
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The Angels hand the ball to Ervin Santana, who has put together back to back wins in his last two starts. Santana (8-11, 5.21 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on four hits over six innings in a 3-2 win over the Tigers his last time out. He has been much better in recent starts, however there is plenty of reason to be sceptical about Santana, who has been really roughed up for most of the season.
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He has terrible numbers at home in Anaheim, going 3-6 with a 4.58 ERA in a dozen starts this season.
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I am going to suggest a second look at a play on Oakland tonight.

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St Louis Cardinals at San Diego Padres
Prediction: St Louis Cardinals
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Kyle Lohse isn't getting much credit for a second straight outstanding season. Lohse has pitched as well as the Cards could hope since the start of the 2011 season, a span of 59 starts. Lohse has posted a 14-2 record in 2012 with a 2.81 ERA & 1.10 WHIP. The righty has allowed just 12 earned runs and 44 base runners in his last 43 2/3 IP, spanning seven starts. All that, yet he's laying a relatively short price at PETCO. I realize the Friars have played much better baseball over the past month, but Lohse is more than likely to stifle the run. Clayton Richard starts for the Padres and he's pitched well, also. But the Redbirds have dominated lefties at home and on the road, posting a 27-15 record, while averaging nearly 6 rpg. Meanwhile, the Padres are averaging just 2.73 rpg at home against righthanders. Look for Lohse to end the Cardinal mini-slump with a road win on Wednesday.

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Cardinals vs. Padres
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The St Louis Cardinals take on the Padres in San Diego in the third and final game of this three game series. St Louis is scoring only 3.9 runs per game their past seven games overall. San Diego is scoring only 3.7 runs per game at home this year and 3.9 runs per game against right handed starters this season. San Diego is allowing only 3.7 runs per game at home this season. Kyle Lohse has been great this year for St Louis going 14-2 with a 2.81 ERA overall this year and 7-1 with a 3.36 ERA on the road this season. Clayton Richard has pitched decent himself, not overpowering numbers but he is 12-12 with a 3.78 ERA overall this year and 7-4 with a 2.76 ERA at home this season. Richard is 2-0 with a 3.13 ERA in all his starts vs St Louis in his career. The Under has cashed 13 out of the last 17 games when Lohse starts overall. The Under is 6-1-1 last 8 games when Richard starts as a home underdog of +110 to +150. The Under is 6-2 last 8 meetings overall in this series. This will be a pitcher's duel here tonight and we think it will be a low scoring contest.

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Rob VincilettiFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox    
Play: Detroit Tigers
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The Tigers fit a nice system here tonight that has won 11 of the last 15 times and plays on certain road favorites off a road favored win by 2 or more runs with a total that was 8 or less, if they scored 5 or more runs and left 5 or more men on base, va an opponent off a home loss by 2 or more runs, while scoring 4 or less runs with 5 or more men left on base and had no errors. The Tigers have taken 11 of 16 from Chicago this season and have Sherzer on the mound tonight. Sherzer has a superb 1.17 era in his last 3 starts and a 2.58 era vs Chicago. G. Floyd will make the start for Chicago and he has terrible current form with a 6.10 era in his last 3 starts. Look for Detroit to take another in this crucial American League Central matchup.

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Jim FeistFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies
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The Marlins are 3-7 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and face ace Cliff Lee. Lee is back on his game with a 2-0 record and a 1.33 ERA his last three starts. Lee has surrendered eight runs in the last 34 1/3 innings of work, while striking out 38 and walking two over that span. The Marlins are 2-7 in their last 9 vs. a team with a losing record and 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. Meanwhile the Phillies are 8-3 in Lees last 11 home starts vs. a team with a losing record and the Marlins are 5-14 in the last 19 meetings in Philadelphia. Play the Phillies.

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Dave CokinFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Oakland Athletics vs Los Angeles Angels
Pick: Oakland Athletics
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Oakland just keeps on rolling, and while Ervin Santana has been lights out lately for the Halos, this game looks like a tossup to me. That means value on the visitors, and a free play on the A's.

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Bryan LeonardFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Cleveland / Texas Under 10FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Jeanmar Gomez takes the mound for the Indians in the middle game against the Texas Rangers. Gomez pitched pretty well in his last start against the Rangers, giving up three runs in 5.2 innings of work. The Indians offense has been terrible for quite a while, batting just .230 in the second half, and batting an even worse .217 with a .603 OPS over the last four weeks. If this game is going to go over the total with Ryan Dempster on the mound, it'll have to be almost all Texas's doing. With Gomez's ground ball stuff and the ability to induce some double play balls, the hope is that he can minimize the damage.
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Ryan Dempster has settled in for the Rangers and looks comfortable. Dempster has given up just six runs in his last 24 innings, striking out 28 batters. Dempster held the Indians to just two hits over six innings on August 31 in Cleveland and more of the same should be expected in this start. The Indians 4-5-6 hitters on Tuesday night were Russ Canzler, Matt LaPorta and Brent Lillibridge. With the Indians well out of the hunt and looking at a possible fire sale this winter, expect guys like that to get more and more of the at bats.

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Dr. Ed MeyerFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Miami Marlins +155
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The Phillies have won six straight, but they are in a soft spot here and Josh Johnson is a pitcher that can take advantage of the situation.  Philadelphia is 0-8 as a day favorite vs a divisional opponent that is behind them in the standings, as long as they did not lose their last eight games. 
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Note that the Phillies have been an average of minus-169 on the moneyline, but they have lost by an average of 3.2 runs per game.  Brutal.
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Also, the Phillies are a money-burning 9-11 as a home 140+ favorite and it is the last game of the series and 15-18 at home when they are off a night win in which they never trailed.
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Josh Johnson lost 1-0 vs the Phillies on August 14th.  The Marlins are 9-2 since May with Johnson when they lost the last time he faced this opponent, reeling off seven straight quality starts in this spot.
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In his last outing, Johnson went seven innings and won 6-2 while striking out seven and allowing four hits.  This is a positive indicator, as the Fish are 10-1 as a DOG with Johnson when he had more strike outs than hits allowed at home in his last start.  In their only loss, Johnson had a quality start but the Bullpen allowed four earned runs in one-and a third innings. 
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That's 10-1 as a DOG.  In his last three, he outdueled Halladay in Philadelphia 2-0, dominated the Braves with Hudson in Atlanta 5-1 and stymied the Nats in Washington with Gio Gonzalez 5-2.  Very Impressive.
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Cliff Lee has some very impressive records for Philadelphia, but they are stale.  The recent results reveal that Philadelphia is 0-7 as a home favorite with Lee since he came back over from the Rangers when he is off a start in which he did not walk a batter.  The Phillies averaged minus 181 on the moneyline in these seven games, but they lost every time. 
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He also has not been sharp when the team is on a winning streak.  Philadelphia is 0-5 as a 140-plus home favorite with Lee since he came over from Texas when they are on a three-plus game winning streak and he went less than eight innings in his last start. 
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Finally, it is worth mentioning that the Marlins are 4-0 recently as a road 140-plus underdog when they are off a loss in which their opponent stranded eighteen-plus runners. 
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Over the past six seasons, Josh Johnson has been a 140-plus dog to a team that is not over 500 only once.  In that game 4/29/2009, he outdueled Johan Santana as a 160 dog in New York.FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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We think the Marlins are close to a coin toss here, so we'll grab the nice price.
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MTi's FORECAST: Miami 3 PHILADELPHIA 2

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SPORTS WAGERSFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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ARIZONA -1½ +162 over Los Angeles
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Both the price and the pitching matchup have caught our attention here. The Dodgers sent out Clayton Kershaw in the first game of this two-game set last night and lost 1-0. The Dodgers couldn’t be happier to wrap things up here. If the Dodgers don’t make the playoffs, they can attribute much of it to the D-Backs. L.A. has been outscored 74-47 and lost 11 of 17 games against Arizona this season.
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Aaron Harang has two disastrous starts in three tries vs. the Snakes this year. Couple that with a 5.19 xERA over his last five starts and he's one that could get lit up at this hitter’s yard. He allows hard contact, as evidenced by his 37%/23%/40% groundball/line-drive/fly-ball profile. Harang is also a starter who weakens as the game goes along. He looks like a rotation anchor the first time through lineups and then he falls apart after that with some of the worst numbers in the majors the second and third time through opposing lineups.
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Trevor Cahill’s surface stats (3.99 ERA) say “same guy”. He’s not. In August, Cahill had the highest groundball rate (63%) of any starter with at least three starts in the majors. A 64% strand rate has masked just how good he’s been. Cahill’s strikeout rate is increasing, giving him and the Diamondbacks a solid chance to run away with this one.
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No Late Pick Today

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Dave PriceFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Washington Nationals +103
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Nats are showing value in the underdog role, even with Lannan on the hill. He has won both of his spot-starts this season and enters in top form having gone 3-1 with a 1.63 ERA and two complete games over his last five starts with Syracuse. The Nationals are 4-1 in Lannan's last 5 starts vs. the Mets, 20-6 in the last 26 meetings overall and 11-1 in the last 12 meetings in New York. Take Washington.

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Jeff AlexanderFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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San Francisco Giants -127
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The Rockies are just 1-6 in their 7 games, and I believe they'll come up short tonight against a San Francisco club that has won 20 of its last 27 on the road. Lincecum has quietly been pitching very well. He has allowed 3 runs or less in 7 of his last 8 starts. He has given up 2 runs or fewer in each of his last 4 road starts with the Giants winning each of those games. The Giants are 26-10 in the last 36 meetings and 10-2 in the last 12 meetings in Colorado. Bet San Francisco on the money line.

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Jimmy BoydFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Texas Rangers-1½ -124
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The Indians have lost 4 in a row with 3 of those defeats coming by 2 runs or more. The Tribe has also dropped 5 straight on the road against the Rangers with each of those losses coming by at least 2 runs.
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Dempster has been dealing. He's won his last 4 starts while holding each of those opponents to 2 runs or fewer. The Rangers won 3 of those by 2 runs or more. Dempster is also 2-0 (3-0 on the money line) with an ERA of 0.98 in 3 career starts against Cleveland. Both wins came by at least 2 runs.
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The Indians are 12-39 in their last 51 overall, 15-40 in their last 55 road games and 3-15 in their last 18 games as a road underdog of +201 or greater. They are also 6-22 in their last 28 meetings with Texas. Bet the Rangers on the run line.

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DAVID BANKS

Tampa Bay Rays -115

An unexpectedly big series with huge playoff ramifications continues on Wednesday night when the Tampa Bay Rays (77-63) visit the Baltimore Orioles (78-62) at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD at 7:05 ET in a game being carried on ESPN2. The Orioles were projected to finish in last place in the American League East before the season began, but they entered this series opener on Tuesday in second place just one game behind the New York Yankees, and Baltimore also held the final wild card spot in the American League by one game over these Rays, so it is conceivable that these clubs could be tied by the time this first pitch is thrown.

The Orioles actually tied the Yankees for first place twice while the teams split a four-game series this past weekend, but the Bronx Bombers reclaimed sole possession of first with an emphatic 13-3 win in the series finale on Sunday. Baltimore now looks to start a winning streak with the promising rookie Miguel Gonzalez on the bump. Gonzalez made his first Major League start on July 6th, and he is 6-4 with a nice 3.62 ERA and 1.23 WHIP while allowing three runs or less in seven of his 11 starts including surrendering two runs or less in six of those outings. He was not as sharp in his last start vs. the Toronto Blue Jays, allowing five runs on seven hits in 6.1 innings, but he was not as bad as that final stat line either as he did not walk a single batter and he departed with the game tied 2-2 after loading the bases, but the bullpen then allowed all three of his baserunners to score. Miguel was masterful the last time he faced the Rays in Tampa Bay, tossing seven scoreless innings and allowing only four hits, and he is facing a Rays' lineup that ranks just 27th out of 30 Major League teams with a 239 team batting average.

With that putrid attack, it is obvious that the Rays are where they are because of pitching, and they in fact lead the majors with a 3.22 team ERA. However, Wednesday starter Alex Cobb has been a weak link going just 9-8 with a 4.28 ERA overall, although he has been better lately. In fact, he has allowed three earned runs or less in nine of his last 10 starts, but only six of them were official Quality Starts because he failed to go the required six innings in the other three outings. Cobb does have an advantage here in that this will be his first career appearance vs. the Orioles, and he is facing a Baltimore lineup that is batting only .239 vs. right-handed pitchers over the entire season. Because Cobb usually does not work deeply into games, the Tampa Bay bullpen will almost certainly be brought into play here, but that is actually to the Rays' advantage as they lead the American League in bullpen ERA at 2.78, ranking second in the Major Leagues behind only the Cincinnati Reds (2.67) in that category.

Something has to give here as the Orioles are 15-6 in their last 21 home games and the Rays are 13-6 in their last 19 road games, with both of those records pending Tuesday's result. These teams have a history of playing low scoring affairs, as the 'under' is 7-2 in the last nine meetings this season and 35-14-2 in the last 51 encounters overall.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday September, 12

MLB Predictions

Chicago Cubs -115

The Cubs enter tonight's game with 10 more wins than the Astros at 55-87 and just 21-53 on the road, while the Astros are 45-97 and 29-41 at home. The Cubs enjoyed a rare road sweep in Pittsburgh this weekend and followed that up with a 4-1 win against Houston in the first game before dropping last night's meeting 1-0. The Astros actually surprised us all with a series win this weekend themselves in Cincinnati, taking 2 of 3 and are now 3-2 over their last 5. Over their last 5 the Astros have scored 13 runs, while the Cubs have scored 24 runs over their past 5. Chicago will send Travis Wood to the rubber today who is 5-11 with a 4.42 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, and .237 opponents batting average. Wood is better on the road with a 3-6 record and 3.92 ERA. In his last outing he went 6 innings giving up just 1 hit and 0 earned runs, and has allowed just 2 earned runs against in his last 11.2 innings of work. Fernando Abad will start for Houston tonight and he is 0-3 on the year with a 5.30 ERA, 1.71 WHIP, and .326 opponents batting average which includes 33 appearances. He has 3 starts (all recent) and has gone 0-3 in those starts with a 8.03 ERA, 2.27 WHIP, and .380 opponents batting average. All three starts were 4.1 innings or shorter, and he has given up 19 hits and 11 earned runs against over those 12.1 innigs of work. He has also walked 9 batters compared to 6 strike outs in the starts. Not too many good things can be said about the Cubs but they are 4-1 over their lsat 5 games, and I think Wood is a solid pitcher when he is on. The Astros are just 13-54 in their last 67 games overall, and 5-21 in their last 26 home games. They are also 0-6 in their last 6 vs a left handed starter. The Cubs have won 6 of their last 8 meetings head to head and I like them to get things done again tonight. Take the Cubs to win.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday September, 12

Teddy CoversFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
St. Louis vs. San Diego
Pick: OverFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
The Padres spent a good portion of this season as the worst hitting ballclub in all of baseball.  And Petco Field has been the most pitcher friendly venue in the major leagues since it was built.  No surprise, then, that we consistently see totals in the range that we’re seeing for this afternoon’s Padres-Cardinals battle lined Over/Under 7.5 runs.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
But the long term data both for the Padres lineup and for Petco has created a false impression in the betting markets.  San Diego isn’t an under team right now.  In their last six home games, the Padres have scored 6, 8, 6, 5, 8 and 11 runs.  All six games produced at least ten runs or more; none of them had a total higher than 7.  NL RBI leader Chase Headley: “That's the great thing about our lineup right now is (teams) can't just sit there and pitch around me because we have other guys who are swinging the bat so well.”
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The Cardinals, too, are trending Over, cashing six straight Over tickets heading into today’s game; very quietly going 15-4 to the Over in their last 19 ballgames.  St Louis has the highest scoring lineup in the NL but their pitching staff is slumping, both the starters and the overworked bullpen behind them.  Expect another high scoring affair today in a series that has produced plenty of fireworks already! Take the Over.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday September, 12

Scott Delaney

Are we about to see another major collapse in Los Angeles? I can't understand how a group of All-Star players come together to form an impressive lineup, and can't put together a winning run. With the experience these guys have, I'm stunned at how the Dodgers are struggling. Thus, I'm putting my money on the Arizona Diamondbacks tonight, and will list both Trevor Cahill and Aaron Harang.

Cahill, who is 3-0 with a 2.40 ERA lifetime against the Dodgers, gets the men in blue after they were shut out in two straight. Los Angeles has already been shut out in three straight games once this season, so it would come as no surprise if it happened again.

This three-week slump has virtually handed the San Francisco Giants the National League West, and now it's uncertain if the Dodgers can wake up in time to make the postseason as a Wild Card team. They've lost 13 of 20, and have plated three runs or less in 13 of those games overall.

The Dodgers hand the ball to Harang, who is 3-7 lifetime against the Snakes, and has struggled lately to a 0-1 record and 4.70 ERA in his last three starts.

Take Arizona in this one.

3♦ DIAMONDBACKS

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday September, 12

Chuck O'Brien

My free pick run is now at 106-71-3, and tonight I am playing the Over in the American League East-rivalry clash between the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox, at Fenway Park. After last night's walkoff win by the Red Sox, I suspect we're going to see some offensive fireworks between these two tonight.

Make note I don't care who goes for the Yankees - David Phelps or Ivan Nova - so if Phelps doesn't go and your ticket happens to be canceled, it's your responsibility to re-wager this game with Nova on the hill.

Regardless, it'll be the Yankees who dictate the pace of this game, as I think they're going to attack right-hander Aaron Cool, who is 3-9 with a 5.17 ERA on the year. At Fenway alone, he is 2-4 with a 5.15 ERA. Opponents are hitting a rather-high .294 against him, and that won't bode well against a pissed off Yankees team that is barely hanging on in the American League East. They're currently tied with the Baltimore Orioles for the division lead.

I know the Under is on a 4-1 run the last five times these two have played, but the Over is on a 19-9 streak when they meet in Boston.

The Yankees have gone over in five of six on the road and four of five after a loss, while the Crimson Hose have soared in five of seven as the home pup and four of Cook's last five home starts.

Play this one high.

3♦ Yankees/Red Sox OVER

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