Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday June, 19

Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday June, 19

DUNKEL INDEX

NBA

Oklahoma City at Miami 
The Thunder look to take advantage of a Miami team that is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 Tuesday games. Oklahoma City is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by only 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+3 1/2)

Game 507-508: Oklahoma City at Miami (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 128.323; Miami 129.725
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 1 1/2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 3 1/2; 192
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+3 1/2); Under

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206962 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday June, 19

Ben Burns

Sweden @ France
PICK: Over 2.5

I won with the French in their last game, a 2-0 victory over Ukraine. Another victory here won't surprise. France (1-0-1) is arguably the most talented team in Group D; Sweden (0-2) is arguably the least. However, given the situation, I feel that the 'over' is providing us with even better value.

Regardless of what happens here, Sweden knows it will be going home. With zero points through two games, the Swedes can't overtake either England or France, both who currently have four. Knowing that, the Swedes may throw caution to the wind a little. They have no pressure on them and scoring goals and salvaging some pride should be a priority. The Swedish offense has been able to score, tallying three goals thus far.

Stopping goals has been an entirely different matter, however. Through two games, the Swedes have allowed a whopping five scores. Even Ukraine managed two against them - and Ukraine barely got a chance against France. Clearly, this is a suspect defense.

France has scored just three goals thus far - but easily could have scored more. They dominated against England but managed only one. They were even more dominant against Ukraine. However, the Ukrainian goalie made some key saves while the French also rang another shot off the post. Facing this porous Swedish defense and knowing they want to better England's score against Ukraine to avoid meeting Spain next game, the English should find the net of the back, if not a few times. Consider the Over 2.5 goals option.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206962 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday June, 19

Jesse Schule

Sweden @ France
PICK: France

To say that France is on a roll would be an understatement of epic proportions. Les Bleus have not lost in their last 22 international competitions, and a win here today could seal up first place in their group, allowing them to advance to the semi-finals.

They dominated play in their first match of the tournament against rivals England, only allowing a single shot on their own goal, while managing 15 attempts toward the English goal. They had to settle for a 1-1 draw against England, however they did look dangerous in their second match defeating the Ukraine 2-0.

Sweden will come into this final match of the group stages with nothing to play for, after losing both their first two matches versus the Ukraine and England, they can no longer qualify. They showed a lot of heart in their match versus England, battling back to take the lead in the second half, only to give up a late goal and go on to lose.

They will be in tough against the French, as this is a team with a lot more quality than the two teams they have faced previously. This isn't the best Sweden side we have seen in recent years. While the Swedes have often managed to compete against Europe's best teams in the past, they are simply lacking the quality to compete with teams like France and England.

I don't expect the Swedes to manage to get on the board against the French in this one, and with France needing a victory in order to secure first place in the group, I don't think the French will disappoint.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206962 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday June, 19

Jim Feist

Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox
Take: Miami Marlins

Mark Buehrle's the kind of veteran lefty who doesn't walk anyone who can give the patient Red Sox trouble. He's already faced them this season and threw a 5-hitter over 7 innings with only one walk (2.57 ERA). Miami has a winning road record and the Marlins are 14-5 in their last 19 road games. The Marlins are also 9-4 in their last 13 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Last place Boston comes home from a road trip, where they have a losing record, and the Red Sox are 2-5 in their last 7 games as a favorite. Play the Marlins.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206962 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday June, 19

Marc Lawrence

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Angels
Prediction: San Francisco Giants

The Giants and Angels resume their three game Interleague series in Anaheim Tuesday evening where Barry Zito matches serves with C. J. Wilson. Zito has always enjoyed hurling in this park where he stands 5-1 with a sparkling 0.61 ERA in his last team starts. With Zito 6-3 in his last nine team starts during June, look for Wilson to fall to 0-2 in his career team starts against the Halos here tonight. We recommend a 1-unit play on San Francisco.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206962 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday June, 19

Rob Vinciletti

Texas Rangers vs. San Diego Padres
Play: San Diego Padres

Were not dying to back the Padres here tonight. However Texas fits a Nasty road system that plays against road favorites off a 1 run road favored win if the total was 8 or less and they scored 2 or less run son 5 or more hits with 5 or more men left on base, if the total is 8 or less tonight and their opponent is off a 1 run home dog loss and scored 2 or less runs. All road teams in this system are 5-14 straight up and 2-8 as a road favorite the last 9 seasons. Texas has Feldman going and he has been hideous as they have lost all 3 of his road starts as he brings an 11.92 road era with him. The Padres counter with Volquez and he has a nice 3.17 home era. Look for San Diego to emerge with the win.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206962 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday June, 19

David Chan

Indiana @ Connecticut
PICK: Over 165

The Indiana Fever (5-3) invade Connecticut to take on the Sun (8-2) on Tuesday night.

Both teams have been putting the "rock in the hole" this season:

Indiana has seen the total go "over" the number in six of eight thus far, while Connecticut has seen it sail above the number in six of ten.

On June 5th, Connecticut won in Indiana 89-81, the total sailing above the posted number of 162.5 in that one.

Connecticut star Tina Charles is coming off her best performance of the year, pouring in 23 points while grabbing 22 rebounds in her team's 75-73 win over Atlanta on Sunday. It was Charles' seventh double-double of the year (she's third in the league in scoring overall at 20.8 PPG).

The Fever snapped a three-game slide on Saturday, hammering Chicago 84-70; Jessica Davenport led the charge with 19 points.

These two teams tango again on Thursday in Indianapolis, and as a result, I expect to once again see a fast-paced, high-scoring shootout; consider a second look at the "over" in this contest!

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206962 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday June, 19

Bryan Power

Miami @ Boston Red Sox
PICK: Boston Red Sox

After setting a record for the winningest month in franchise history in May, June has been an unmitigated disaster for the Miami Marlins, losers of 10 of 12. The club has been shut out in each of its previous two losses, including 3-0 on Sunday to the Tampa Bay Rays. They face another AL East opponent to start the week in Boston, who just took two of three from the Marlins last week. With a struggling Mark Buehrle on the mound facing a lineup averaging 5.2 runs per game vs. southpaws, I feel the Red Sox are the smart play here.

Miami is now just 9-34 the last two seasons in the month of June. Buehrle has lost three consecutive starts, though he pitched well in two of them. The exception was the lone road start, a 6-4 loss to Philadelphia where he allowed all four runs (in just five innings) on 11 hits. Having pitched for so long in the American League (White Sox) Buehrle has faced Boston many times and has a 4.39 ERA in his last 18 starts against them.

Fortunately for Boston, they have a much hotter pitcher going in Clay Buchholz, who has won his last three starts while posting a 1.12 ERA over that span. He just beat Buerhle on June 12th, allowing just one run over seven innings in Miami. Look for this to be a repeat of that result!

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206962 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday June, 19

Chris Elliott

Miami @ Boston
PICK: Miami

The Miami Marlins (33-33) send Mark Buehrle to the hill Tuesday to take on the Boston Red Sox (33-33) and Clay Buchholz. These 2 chuckers met exactly one week ago Tuesday in Miami where both pitchers threw gems with the Red Sox and Buchholz squeezing out a 2-1 victory.

Buehrle on the season has a record of 5-7, 3.41 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and .258 BAA. He has been a hard luck pitcher in the win/loss column but has compiled some decent stats along the way. Buehrle has been a big game pitcher throughout his career, with a record of 166-126, 3.81 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and .273 BAA, he knows what it takes to win. He has totalled 28 complete games, 8 shut outs and 1 perfect game in his fine career.

Buchholz has been the opposite of Buehrle, with a record of 7-2, 5.38 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and .289 BAA he has compiled a stellar record with sub par stats. He has been lights out his last 3 starts with 3 straight victories and 3 earned runs in 24 innings, good for an ERA of 1.12. His only start against Miami was last week.

The Marlins have been scuffling in June with a record of 4-11 after a red hot May that saw the team put up a record of 21-8. The Red Sox started slow and remain in the basement of the AL East, 8 games back, despite being .500 on the season. I expect this to be a tight scoring affair, much like last weeks matchup. With the Marlins +136, take the Juicy Dog to pull out the victory in this one and hop on the VALUE TRAIN! Take the Miami Marlins to win.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206962 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday June, 19

Dave Cokin

Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox
Pick: Boston Red Sox

Ever since Clay Buchholz altered the grip on his changeup, he has been lights out and looking like he did in 2010. I've been riding Buchholz lately, so I'm willing to pay a price with him tonight. Mark Buehrle can be tough, but I like the Red Sox to top the Marlins tonight.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206962 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday June, 19

SPORTS WAGERS

MIAMI -3½ over Oklahoma City

This one is largely about the presence of Chris Bosh and the difference he can make in favour of the Heat. Miami was 42-15 in the regular season when Bosh played but 4-5 when he didn't. They're 6-1 in the playoffs when Bosh plays at least 20 minutes and 6-5 the rest of the time. Combine the two and they're 48-16 with Bosh in the lineup and 10-10 without him. As long as they have Bosh, you have to like their odds. Oklahoma City faced a higher level of competition than the Heat did in the postseason but this difference has been grossly overblown. If you look at the quality of the opponents rather than the names on their jerseys, their entire advantage came in the conference finals. Before that, Miami foes Indiana and New York combined for more wins and a far better scoring margin than the Lakers and Mavs. Miami has been dominant when fully intact, both in the regular season and in the playoffs. The Heat have six double-digit wins in the seven playoff games that Bosh played at least 20 minutes. The Thunder have four this entire postseason. This is the game that Miami can put the proverbial nail in the Thunder’s coffin and they smell blood. Play: Miami -3½ (Risking 2.02 units to win 2).

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206962 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday June, 19

SPORTS WAGERS

Minnesota -103 over PITTSBURGH

Kevin Correia is not looking forward to this start. This guy is about as fragile as a pitcher can be after going 0-6 with a 7.82 ERA in his last nine games at PNC Park. It’s no mystery as to why either. Correia has issued 21 walks and struck out a measly 25 hitters in 69 innings. At the moment, things don’t look to bright for the Pirates’ chucker. Meanwhile, rookie lefthander Scott Diamond has the skills to support his low 2.13 ERA. He won’t sustain that ERA but it’s unlikely to take a upward spike either as he has an elite 61% groundball rate and outstanding control that’s seen him walk just six batters in 51 frames. The Pirates have never seen Diamond and they’re hitting just .232 against southpaws this season. Correia will rarely be in this price range moving and we’re not about to pass it up. Play: Minnesota -101 (Risking 2.06 units to win 2).   

ARIZONA -1½ +134 over Seattle

The Mariners will stretch out Erasmo Ramirez for the second time in five days after appearing in seven games in relief. He was banged around in pitcher friendly San Diego for eight hits and six runs in just five innings or work. He now moves to a much tougher venue on pitchers. Ramirez pitches to contact, he has an xERA of 4.87 and at the age of 22 and getting rocked in his first start, chances are the D-Backs will get to him too. Arizona has scored 28 times over its past four home games which includes last night’s 7-1 win. Daniel Hudson is so much better than his current 5.67 ERA suggests. After being placed on the DL on April 18, the D-Backs have won his last four starts. He was sharp in three of them and was especially sharp in his last start in Texas in which he allowed just five hits in seven innings. In that last game in Arlington, Hudson struck out seven and walked none. This is a guy that went 16-12 last season with a 3.67 ERA in 222 innings at a tough home park. That DL stint appears to have served him well, as he’s rounding back into form. Hudson and the Snakes are a solid investment. Play: Arizona -1½ +134 (Risking 2 units).

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206962 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday June, 19

Stephen Nover

St Louis cardinals +140

The Tigers are medium-size favorites because they are home, playing better and Justin Verlander is pitching.

I get it. But I also get that the Cardinals have a better record than Detroit, have outscored the Tigers by 37 runs and are starting Lance Lynn.

Lynn doesn't have any Cy Young and MVP trophies to show off like Verlander, but this is a breakout season for him. Lynn has been just as good - if not even better - than Verlander. Lynn's ERA is 2.42. Verlander's ERA is 2.66.

Yes, Verlander has achieved great statistics over a prolonged period of time. But so far this season, Lynn has been right there with Verlander. Lynn has allowed two earned runs or fewer in 11 of his 13 starts.

The Cardinals are 7-2 on the road with Lynn pitching. Verlander has had great success when pitching against National League teams with the exception of St. Louis. He is 2-3 with a 5.59 ERA in five starts versus the Cardinals.

There's too much value in this number not to back Lynn and St. Louis.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206962 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday June, 19

Tony George

Braves / Yankees Under 8.5 & Yankees -145

Two solid pitchers here and also Atlanta offense is in the crapper right now.  I see a 2-1 or 3-2 type game here.  VERY Cheap Number for the hometown Yanks with Kuroda on the hill with a 1.80 ERA his last 3 starts and Tim Hudson no slouch for the Braves either.  Bottom line is Hudson will get more run support.  Braves 5-0 on Unders last 5 games! Play the Under  and the Yankees

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206962 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday June, 19

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAY

Miami / Oklahoma City Over 192: This game will be all about tempo. Miami did have the extra game to rest a bit between games 2 and 3 and they were able to get the tempo at their pace, but now they have had just 1 day to rest their tired legs and that should allow this Thunder team to get the game more at their pace. Miami is not a running team but they still average 100 ppg at home on the year, plus they have averaged 97 ppg on 1 days rest this year. Miami has played great defense this year as they have allowed just 88.9 ppg at home and 90.8 ppg on 1 days rest, but the Thunder does average 100.1 ppg on the road and 103.2 ppg on 1 days rest. Defensively the Thunder played well in Game 3, but they still have allowed 97.8 ppg on the road and 97.6 ppg on 1 days rest and should have problems with a heat team that can score on this floor. Thunder games on 1 days rest have averaged 200.2 ppg on the year and In a faster paced game this one should approach that number. Also should be another close game and that could me FT's at the end or even OT. I look for 195+ in this one.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206962 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday June, 19

Lenny Del Genio

Rangers @ Padres
PICK: Over 7.5

This is a low number for a high scoring Rangers team that is off a 2-1 victory last night here in San Diego. We look for far more runs to be scored this evening on both sides. Scott Feldman is going for the road team and that usually means bad things for the contingent from Arlington. Feldman remains winless in seven starts has been particularly brutal on the road where he's 0-3 with a 11.92 ERA. In three of his previous four starts, the opposing team has scored 10 or more runs and 38 runs total in the four starts. San Diego is 13-3 Over this season after being held to 1 run or less in its previous game. Last time in this spot, they scored six runs for Edinson Volquez, who gets the baseball again tonight. Volquez allowed six runs in a loss to Milwaukee the start before that and could be in trouble facing a Texas lineup averaging 5.2 runs per game vs. righties.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206962 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday June, 19

Joe D'Amico

Miami Marlins at Boston Red Sox
Pick: Boston Red Sox

Boston won their L2 to raise their record to 33-33. Injuries have hurt the Red Sox, but they are starting to hit the ball these days. Their offense ranks in the top 10 in RPG (averaging 5.00), Team BA (.267), OPS (.764), and HRs (74). Ortiz leads the team with a .311 BA, a .598 Slugging %, 75 hits, 16 HRs, and 43 RBIs. The Sox pitchers have come alive. Over their L11 games, they've only yielded more than 4 runs just once. Clay Buchholz starts today. The RH is 7-2 overall, 4-1 at home, 3-0 his L3 starts, and got a win against Miami, June 12th. He faces a Marlins squad that lost 10 of their L12, never topping 4 runs in a game. They average a dismal 3.62 RPG on a .237 Team BA. They lack consistency and power. Today, Mark Buehrle goes to the bump. The LH is 5-7 overall, 2-4 on the road, winless in his L3 starts, and just took a loss by Boston last week. The Marlins are 2-6 their L8 games played vs. the Red Sox, 2-7 their L9 games following a loss, and 17-40 their L57 games played as a 'dog of 110-150. The Red Sox are 5-2 their L7 games played vs. LH starters, 92-42 their L134 Interleague games, and 4-0 in Buchholz L4 Interleague starts. Take Boston.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206962 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday June, 19

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAYS

Tampa Bay -138 over WASHINGTON: in his last outing, David Price ran into a very hot Mets offense and he allowed 7 ER's in 5 innings in that game, but prior to the Met game he was pitching very well. In the four games leading up to the Met debacle, David had 2-1 record with a 1.02 ERA, allowing 1 ER or less in all 4 starts. Now that wasn't vs the offensive dregs of MLB as he faced the Yanks, Baltimore, Boston and Atlanta during that stretch, with the Yanks and Boston games being on the road. I expect a solid bounceback start for price in this one, especially vs a Washington team that has averaged just 3.6 rpg at home overall, including averaging just 2.9 rpg in their last 8 at home. This is not a good offense and Price should keep them shut down tonight. on the other side we have C. Wang (Can't believe he's still around) and i like fading this guy. Wang did a decent job for this team in his 1 game out of the pen, but in his 3 starts, not so good. Wang is 1-2 with a 5.02 ERA in his 3 starts this nyear, plus he has a very high 2.09 WHIP in those starts as well. Seems like it has been a tale of two careers for Wang, as he went 54-20 with a 3.79 ERA in his first 4 years in the league, but has since gone 6-11 with a 6.42 era in his last 3 years. Washington is reeling a bit right now and tampa Should take advantage with a solid road win tonight.


PHILADELPHIA -1.5 (-115) over Colorado: Plain and simple, the Phils need to put a hurtin on a team to relieve the pressure and they should be able to do that tonight. The Rockies come in just 1-10 in their last 11 games and each on of those losses were by at least 2 runs. Their pitching has been horrid over that stretch, allowing 84 runs (7.63 rpg), while their starters come in with a 9.89 ERA in their last 10 games. Tonight's starter, Josh Outman has just v3 starts on the year and he has been very bad in his last 2 starts, allowing 10 ER's in just 8 innings of work. In his lone road start he allowed 5 ER's nin just 3 innings at Arizona and that now gives him a 1-4 mark with a 6.35 ERA in his last 7 road starts dating back to last year. Cole Hamels comes in struggling a bit, but he really needs to start putting together some solid efforts or he may not be getting that big free agency payday at the end of the year. Cole is 9-3 overall with a 3.34 ERA this year, and at home he is 4-3 with a 3.26. Cole has really pitched well at night in his career, going 60-36 with a 3.12 ERA, compared to a 23-21 mark with a 3.96 ERA in day starts. This year has gone a perfect 5-0 in his night starts, while the Phils have gone 6-0 as a team in his night starts and they have outscored those opponents by 2.83 rpg. Philly needs this one bad and they have the right pitching matchup to get it done. The Rockies have been outscored 79-32 in their last 10 losses and that has me expecting a very easy win by the Phils tonight.

More later

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206962 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday June, 19

Dave Price

Tampa Bay Rays -135

Tampa Bay has the edge on the mound with David Price, who's 8-4 with an ERA of 3.01 through 13 starts. Washington's Wang has struggled his way through 3 starts, going 1-2 with a 5.02 ERA. The Rays are a perfect 7-0 in their last 7 interleague road games and 20-6 in Price's last 26 starts as a road favorite. The Nats have lost 4 in a row at home, and I expect the slide to continue as they go up against one of the best lefties in baseball.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206962 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday June, 19

Steve Janus

Tampa Bay Rays -136

I think the Rays are favored for good reason at Washington tonight. Tampa will send out David Price against Chien-Ming Wang, which right away is a huge advantage for the Rays.

Don't be scared off by the fact that Price allowed seven runs on nine hits in just five innings against the Mets in his last start. That actually makes me like the play even more, as Price is one of the elite pitchers in the game. He is going to be extremely motivated to come out and redeem himself against the Nationals.

Price's lost to the Mets was just his second all season when he has taken the mound in a night game. Even with the horrible performance, he is 8-2 with a 2.93 ERA in 11 starts at night.

The Nationals are searching for answers after getting swept by the Yankees over the weekend. A series in which they scored just six runs. With an offense that isn't hitting the ball, it's going to be extremely hard for Washington to win without a big time performance from Wang. I'll take my chances on that not happening. Wang is just 1-2 with a 5.02 ERA and 2.094 WHIP in three starts this season and has a career ERA of 4.14 in 14 starts vs the Rays.

Tampa Bay is 20-6 in Prices last 26 starts as a road favorite, 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter, and 7-0 in their last 7 interleague road games.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206962 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Board Info

Board Stats:
 
Total Topics:
44228
Total Polls:
2
Total Posts:
274457
Average Posts Per Hour:
4.0
User Info:
 
Total Users:
3446
Newest User:
Laurrie Branum
Members Online:
0
Guests Online:
1659

Online: 
There are no members online

Forum Legend:

 Topic
 New
 Locked
 Sticky
 Active
 New/Locked
 Sticky/Locked

Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Contact Us | Advertising | 888-99-SPREAD

THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE – If you think you have a gambling problem click here.

Disclaimer: This site is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Individual users are responsible for the laws regarding accessing gambling information from their jurisdictions. Many countries around the world prohibit gambling, please check the laws in your location. Any use of this information that may violate any federal, state, local or international law is strictly prohibited.

Copyright: The information contained on TheSpread.com website is protected by international copyright and may not be reproduced, or redistributed in any way without expressed written consent.

About: TheSpread.com is the largest sports betting news site in the United States. We provide point spread news, odds, statistics and information to over 199 countries around the world each year. Our coverage includes all North American College and Professional Sports as well as entertainment, political and proposition wagering news.

©1999-2013 TheSpread.com