NHL Betting News and Notes Thursday 3/29

NHL Betting News and Notes Thursday 3/29

Thursday’s Best NHL Bets
By Covers.com

Philadelphia Flyers at Toronto Maple Leafs (+135, 5.5)

As the Toronto Maple Leafs stumble toward a terrible finish to this season, they face a Philadelphia Flyers club that they’re hoping to emulate down the road.

By bringing in hard-nosed coach Randy Carlyle, Leafs GM Brian Burke made another point that he values team toughness – something Toronto has shown very little of this season.

Toronto was mathematically eliminated from the playoffs with Tuesday’s 3-0 loss to Carolina, the team’s 10th consecutive loss at home.

"You start every year with the goal of winning (the Stanley Cup), and the first part of that is making the playoffs," captain Dion Phaneuf told reporters. "To be out of that race is not a very good feeling. It's very disappointing for our group from where we were (in early February) and the slide we went on."

Don’t expect the Flyers to have any sympathy for Toronto. Philadelphia just dropped a 5-3 decision to Tampa Bay and is trying to hold off New Jersey for the fifth seed in the Eastern Conference.

We like the Flyers, but this price is a little steep. We’ll jump on the over.

Pick: Over

Washington Capitals at Boston Bruins (-190, 5.5)

Washington Capitals coach Dale Hunter didn’t just classify his club’s last contest as a playoff game, he compared it to Game 7 of a playoff series.

Then the Capitals went out and took a 5-1 pounding from the Buffalo Sabres at home. After the loss, the club was trying to keep spirits up, but it’s going to be tough for the Caps to get into the playoffs now.

“It’s a tough loss, but it’s not a devastating one,” forward Brooks Laich told reporters. “We reduce ourselves to fighting every day, you don’t look any further than that. You live to fight one more day, and you make the most of your chances. All we can do is win our hockey games.”

That’s unlikely in Boston, especially with the news that center Nicklas Backstrom isn’t ready to return from his concussion quite yet.

If Boston gets a quick lead, this one could be done early.

Pick: Under

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Re: NHL Betting News and Notes Thursday 3/29

Hot teams
-- Islanders won four of their last five games. Pittsburgh split last six games, after winning previous 11.
-- Flyers won last three games, allowing two goals.
-- Tampa Bay won three of its last four games. New Jersey won five of its last seven home games.
-- Bruins won five of their last six games.
-- Blackhawks won 12 of their last 16 home games. St Louis is 12-5 in its last 17 games overall.

Cold teams
-- Maple Leafs lost their last ten home games.
-- Washington lost five of its last seven games.
-- Florida lost three of its last four games. Minnesota lost its last three games, outscored 9-3.
-- Phoenix lost five of its last seven home games. Sharks lost 11 of their last 13 road games.

Totals
-- Eight of last nine Penguin games went over the total.
-- Philly's last thirteen games all stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Lightning games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Washington road games went over total.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Florida games.
-- Five of last six St Louis games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in San Jose's last five road games.

Series records
-- Islanders lost seven of last nine games against Pittsburgh.
-- Flyers won eight of last ten games against Toronto.
-- Devils won 18 of last 22 games against Tampa Bay.
-- Caps won four of their last six visits to Boston.
-- Road team won four of last five Florida-Minnesota games.
-- Blues lost six of last seven games against Chicago.
-- Sharks lost their last three visits to Phoenix.

Back-to-Back
-- San Jose is 2-4 if it lost the night before.

Armadillosports.com

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Re: NHL Betting News and Notes Thursday 3/29

PITTSBURGH (47-23-0-6, 100 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (32-33-0-11, 75 pts.)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 13-4 (+5.6 Units) against the spread versus NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 13-4-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.4 Units, Under=-0.8 Units)

PHILADELPHIA (44-24-0-8, 96 pts.) at TORONTO (33-35-0-9, 75 pts.)

Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-12 ATS (+6.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
TORONTO is 15-22 ATS (+37.6 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
TORONTO is 8-15 ATS (-7.3 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
TORONTO is 8-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 9-2 (+5.3 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 9-2-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.3 Units)

TAMPA BAY (35-34-0-7, 77 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (43-28-0-6, 92 pts.)

Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 94-184 ATS (+339.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
NEW JERSEY is 43-33 ATS (+81.5 Units) in all games this season.
NEW JERSEY is 19-13 ATS (+34.3 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
NEW JERSEY is 24-9 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 50-35 ATS (-1.0 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 92-83 ATS (+179.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 51-41 ATS (+101.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 27-22 ATS (+55.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 0-5 ATS (-7.0 Units) in home games after a non-conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 8-3 (+3.2 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 8-3-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.1 Units)

WASHINGTON (38-31-0-8, 84 pts.) at BOSTON (45-28-0-3, 93 pts.)

Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 14-25 ATS (-24.0 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 25-27 ATS (-19.6 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 19-18 ATS (-12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
BOSTON is 6-11 ATS (-14.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 21-20 ATS (-18.2 Units) second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-5-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.2 Units)

FLORIDA (37-24-0-15, 89 pts.) at MINNESOTA (31-35-0-10, 72 pts.)

Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 261-298 ATS (-90.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
FLORIDA is 130-165 ATS (-73.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.
FLORIDA is 31-53 ATS (+92.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 11-23 ATS (+39.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MINNESOTA is 10-26 ATS (-16.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
MINNESOTA is 10-25 ATS (+40.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 2-1-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

ST LOUIS (48-20-0-9, 105 pts.) at CHICAGO (42-26-0-9, 93 pts.)

Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 8-19 ATS (+28.5 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 307-329 ATS (+684.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
ST LOUIS is 48-29 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 27-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 11-6 (+2.8 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 11-6-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
10 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.9 Units)

SAN JOSE (39-28-0-10, 88 pts.) at PHOENIX (37-27-0-13, 87 pts.)

Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 39-38 ATS (-18.6 Units) in all games this season.
SAN JOSE is 6-14 ATS (-16.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
SAN JOSE is 4-13 ATS (-11.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
SAN JOSE is 20-23 ATS (-14.1 Units) second half of the season this season.
SAN JOSE is 4-13 ATS (-12.2 Units) in road games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 132-119 ATS (-54.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 22-12 ATS (+34.6 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 48-45 ATS (+0.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 123-85 ATS (+27.4 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 11-6 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 11-6-0 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.9 Units)

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Re: NHL Betting News and Notes Thursday 3/29

PHILADELPHIA vs. TORONTO
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Philadelphia's last 13 games   
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 10 games when playing Philadelphia

PITTSBURGH vs. NY ISLANDERS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Islanders   
NY Islanders are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games at home
NY Islanders are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

TAMPA BAY vs. NEW JERSEY
Tampa Bay is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games on the road   
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Jersey's last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
New Jersey is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

WASHINGTON vs. BOSTON
Washington is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Washington's last 25 games when playing Boston   
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Boston's last 25 games when playing Washington

FLORIDA vs. MINNESOTA
Florida is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games on the road   
Minnesota is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
Minnesota is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Florida

ST. LOUIS vs. CHICAGO

St. Louis is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
St. Louis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago   
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games at home

SAN JOSE vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 6 games
San Jose is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Phoenix   
Phoenix is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
Phoenix is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games

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Re: NHL Betting News and Notes Thursday 3/29

PITTSBURGH at NY ISLANDERS
PITTSBURGH: N/A
NY ISLANDERS: N/A

PHILADELPHIA at TORONTO
PHILADELPHIA: 18-8 SU as road favorite
TORONTO: 0-6 SU off shut out loss

TAMPA BAY at NEW JERSEY
TAMPA BAY: 7-17 SU off road loss
NEW JERSEY: 15-5 SU w/ same season revenge

WASHINGTON at BOSTON
WASHINGTON: 25-12 SU off an Over
BOSTON: 13-18 SU at home off home win

FLORIDA at MINNESOTA
FLORIDA: 6-23 SU off road win
MINNESOTA: 13-30 SU off loss

ST LOUIS at CHICAGO
ST LOUIS: 1-8 SU Away w/ same season revenge
CHICAGO: 7-1 SU at home vs. St. Louis

SAN JOSE at PHOENIX
SAN JOSE: 15-3 SU off road loss by 3+ goals
PHOENIX: 5-15 SU revenging road loss

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