Australian Open Odds: Day 5 Match Analysis and Picks

Australian Open Odds: Day 5 Match Analysis and Picks

Australian Open Odds: Day 5 Match Analysis and Picks
By Ricky Dimon
Covers.com

JOHN ISNER (-115) VS. FELICIANO LOPEZ (-115)

Isner hopes this third-round Australian Open match is as short as his only previous clash against Lopez. Just a few months ago in Paris, Isner destroyed the Spaniard 6-4, 6-2 and was off the court in one hour and 12 minutes. Of course, the lanky American is now coming off a grueling 10-8 in the fifth set win over David Nalbandian on Wednesday.

Still, don't confuse that one with Isner's Wimbledon marathon. This one lasted "only" four hours and 41 minutes, plus the big man has a full day of recovery (he did not after his win over Mahut). Lopez has two straight-set victories this week, but his draw could not have been friendlier (Leonardo Mayer followed by Flavio Cipolla). He is facing a different beast in Isner.

Pick: Isner

STANISLAS WAWRINKA (-200) VS. NICOLAS ALMAGRO (+150)

Wawrinka and Almagro have squared off six times (four at the ATP level, two on the Challenger circuit), with Wawa dominating the head-to-head series 5-1. They most recently battled at the Cincinnati Masters in 2010, when the Swiss rolled 6-3, 6-3.

Nothing suggests Almagro will be able to turn the tide. The Spaniard does by far his best work on clay and he needed five sets to get past Grigor Dimitrov on Wednesday. Wawrinka, a quarterfinalist last year in Melbourne, crushed Benoit Paire then scored a nice four-set win over Marcos Baghdatis in Round 2.

Pick: Wawrinka

IVETA BENESOVA (-170) VS. NINA BRATCHIKOVA (+140)

Benesova is up to 46th in the world thanks to a strong start to her 2012 season. The 28-year-old Czech reached the Brisbane quarterfinals, taking out Lucie Safarova and Sam Stosur before falling to Kim Clijsters. Benesova is coming off a second-round Australian Open rout of No. 16 seed Shuai Peng.

Bratchikova is playing well and took out Flavia Pennetta in the first round. But there is a reason why the 26-year-old registers at 136th in the world rankings. She had never won a main-draw match at a Grand Slam prior to this week and she had never even played in the main draw of a slam. The occasion could be too much for Bratchikova.

Pick: Benesova

JULIA GOERGES (-160) VS. ROMINA OPRANDI (+130)

Oprandi stunned Francesca Schiavone in the second round, but this could be where her run ends. The 25-year-old Swiss had been past the first round in only two previous majors and she had never advanced out of the second round prior to this tournament. Oprandi, owner of a career-high ranking of 46th, currently sits at No. 80 in the world.

Goerges is known for her looks, but she is also getting the job done on the court. The 23-year-old German is up to No. 23 in the world and she has not dropped a set in wins this week over Polona Hercog and Eleni Daniilidou (Daniilidou retired down a set and a break). Goerges dominated her only previous meeting with Oprandi at the 2010 U.S. Open.

Pick: Goerges

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