Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Tuesday, January 19,2010

Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Tuesday, January 19,2010

Bob Balfe

Raptors +10 over Cavs

Alabama +2.5 over Tennessee

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Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Tuesday, January 19,2010

WAYNE ROOT

6* Texas A&m (-7½) over Oklahoma

3* Purdue (-4½) over Illinois

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Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Tuesday, January 19,2010

Sportsbetsnow

1 Unit Pacers +6.5

1 Unit Wichita St. -3

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Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Tuesday, January 19,2010

Jeff Benton

30 Dime: MIAMI, FLA.

There’s not a more misleading final score in ACC play this season – and maybe all of college basketball – than Boston College 61, Miami 60 back on Dec. 6 in Massachusetts. In that game, Miami shot 47.2 percent from the field and 83.3 percent from the free-throw line and committed just six turnovers, while the Eagles shot 34.5 percent from the field, 72 percent from the foul stripe and had 11 turnovers. So how did the Hurricanes lose? Two reasons: They got outrebounded by a whopping 43-19 margin, and they got hosed by the officials. See, those aforementioned free-throw percentages are deceptive, as Miami went 5-for-6 from the charity stripe, and B.C. went 18-for-25. Yep, the home team shot 21 more free throws, and that proved to be the obvious difference in a one-point game.

Well, tonight’s contest is down in South Beach. You think that free-throw gap might narrow significantly this time around? Of course it will. Hell, even if the free throws are even, Miami not only wins this game, it covers it easily.

Yes, the Hurricanes have followed up a seven-game winning streak (which started after the loss at Boston College) with consecutive disastrous efforts on the road against ACC foes Virginia Tech (15-point defeat) and Virginia (18-point defeat). But Miami has proven to be a much stronger team at home, where it has won 11 in a row (9-0 this year), and that streak started last February with a 69-58 victory over Boston College as a 6½-point home favorite. This year at home, Miami has posted seven double-digit wins (and another was a five-point victory over a solid Minnesota squad), and the Hurricanes’ average margin of victory at home has been 20 points.

As for Boston College, it has lost three straight ACC games to Clemson (72-56 on the road), Duke (79-59 on the road) and Maryland (73-57 at home), failing to cover in all three contests. Not only were the Eagles not competitive in those contests, but they couldn’t score the ball, scoring 56, 59 and 57 points while shooting just 38.9 percent (their opponents shot a combined 46.8 percent and scored 72, 79 and 73 points!).

Back to this rivalry: Although Miami came up short in Boston back in December, it did cash as 4½-point road underdog. So the Hurricanes are 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings (and as I have detailed, that one loss very easily could’ve been a Miami win).

Two final points to make: Since stealing that game from Miami, Boston College is just 4-6 SU – with losses to Harvard, Rhode Island and Maine, all at HOME! – and the Eagles are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight lined contests.

Guys, this is a total mismatch, and this line is an absolute joke and an overreaction to Miami’s last two performances, which came on the road in ACC play. The Hurricanes get back on track tonight in their building and they do so by handing mediocre-at-best Boston College yet another double-digit conference loss!

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Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Tuesday, January 19,2010

Opposite Action Plays

Ohio St. -11.5

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Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Tuesday, January 19,2010

VIC MONTE SPORTS

500* TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS -2

Wayne Chism has got to be in his, what, eight year of college hoops now? Come on, its seemed like I have been bringing up his name the past decade in write-ups when I choose to back the Volunteers on the college hardwood. For those of you about to call the NCAA headquarters to report this Julio Franco age like dilemma, don't, I looked it up, he has only been here since the 2006 season and is a fourth year senior. Aside wearing his headband like Mike Reno in his days as lead singer for Loverboy, Chism is a moneymaker and a security asset for people backing Tennessee. He single handily changes game after game recording double doubles in the Vols blowout win at home to Auburn and Ole Miss. Against Kansas he got physical down nearly every possession and shut down the then rated #1 Jayhawks potent offensive attack. Tonight Chism leads the surging Tennessee Volunteers into Tuscaloosa to take on the slumping, and I say that as nicely as I can, Alabama Crimson Tide.

Coming off an embarrassing loss to USC on December 19Th the Volunteers sat at 8-2 on the season with 8 meaningless wins and 2 crushing losses to the only 2 quality programs on their schedule. Playing 5 of their next six games at home Bruce Pearl needed his team to make a statement. Two days before Christmas the Vols pounded North Carolina A&T by 21 points, then traveled to Memphis where they beat the Tigers and a hostile crowd 66-59. Then the four game home stand started with a blowout of Charlotte 88-71. The Vols then handed number one Kansas their first loss of the year 76-68 which was followed up by an absolute dismantling of Auburn 88-51 and a OT thriller of number 23 ranked Ole Miss 71-69. Chism, Pearl and company are thrilled and after cutting some "slack" after a New Years Day traffic incident the team chemistry has boomed and the Vols are playing some of the best basketball in the country. Tennessee sits 20Th in the nation offensively producing 80 points per game while allowing teams to score only 62.

Alabama on the other hand is in serious trouble. It appears the national championship celebration hangover is still in full effect. Besides the Tide beating up on the worst team in the SEC, the LSU Tigers, they have failed to win a game in conference this year. Losses to Vanderbilt and Arkansas added with Florida State, Purdue, Cornell and Kansas State lead the Tides signature victory a November 26Th win over Baylor. Alabama is just 1-5 against the number in their past 6 home games. They sit at 3-8 n the last 11 as a home underdog. Their sputtering offense is generating a 144Th ranked 70 points per game and a par for the course defense is holding teams to 65 a game.

You can not back this Alabama team because they do not win games, they maintain. They will play with teams until a mistake is made and even then struggle to close the gap. Alabama has been matched up against terrible teams all year and still have covered only 50% of games. They have been home underdogs 3 times this season, they have failed to win or cover any of those games. Tennessee is motivated, they are hungry, they have desire to win and they are here to make a statement. They have this game today and don't play until Saturday against Georgia who is bottom of the SEC east. They are focused to win this one because they know just as well as we do, its going to take a miracle for the game on the weekend to be competitive. The Vols get it done in a big way tonight in Tuscaloosa and will move into second place in the SEC just behind Kentucky. 500* Syndicate - Tennessee -2

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Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Tuesday, January 19,2010

The Duke's Sports

Georgia Tech (-1') for 2.5 Units

Clemson has a nice 4-1 SU / 3-2 ATS mark on the road however, at a closer glance, early in the season the Tigers beat lightweights Liberty, NC Greensboro, and East Carolina, which all sport losing records. On the other hand, when the Tigers were pitted at Duke, they got hammered, and failed to cover Saturday at N.C. State. As a matter of fact, the Tigers are just 1-5 ATS on the road vs a home team above .600. And the Tigers won't have an easy time tonight after all, they'll most likely be without G Demontez Stitt (foot) who gives them floor direction, defense, points (11 ppg) and  energy consequently, more pressure will be put on Tanner Smith with Noel Johnson  and Andre Young - all not used to playing extended minutes  nor controlling the floor or scoring consistently. Clemson likes to speed things up but should have trouble against an athletic Yellow jackets' team on a strong home floor. With turnover time just 2 days from the last time each team played, edge to the home team. 

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POWER PLAY WINS

Utah Utes -1.5

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Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Tuesday, January 19,2010

ANTHONY REDD

15-Dime - Ohio State
15-Dime - Indiana State
15-Dime - Oklahoma

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Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Tuesday, January 19,2010

KBHoops

5* Wichita State -3 **POD**
4* Illinois +4.5
4* Georgia Tech -1.5
3* Ohio St. -11.5
3* Tennessee -2.5

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Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Tuesday, January 19,2010

TIM TRUSHEL

20* Alabama

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Seabass

300* Atl Thrashers

100* Alabama

50* Clemson

50* Illinois

50* San Diego State

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Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Tuesday, January 19,2010

Street Rosenthal

*200 Indiana Pacers OVER 205.5


Trey Scott

*300 Tennessee -2
*200 Purdue -4
*200 Clemson +2

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Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Tuesday, January 19,2010

CHRIS JORDAN

MOUNTAIN WEST GAME OF THE YEAR

1000♦ UTAH UTES

200♦ GEORGIA TECH YELLOW JACKETS

200♦ Northwestern/Ohio State UNDER

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Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Tuesday, January 19,2010

Dwayne Bryant

Northwestern at Ohio State
Bet: Ohio State -12

I'm very big on the efficiency of the offenses and defenses of teams, especially when it comes to college hoops. We have Northwestern with offensive and defensive efficiency rankings of 66th and 75th, respectively. Ohio State comes in with offensive and defensive efficiency rankings of 19th and 28th, respectively.

Northwestern is coming off a huge upset win over Purdue. It should be noted that the Purdue win was a home game. I expect a flat performance from the Wildcats tonight in Columbus. If anything, that NU win over Purdue helps the Buckeyes keep their focus and intensity for the full 40 minutes.

The Buckeyes already own home wins of 13 points over Florida State and 9 over Wisconsin, so I don't see them having a problem covering this number. I have the Buckeyes winning this one by 16. Lay it with Ohio State.

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Kevin Francis Guaranteed Selections

SPECIAL EDITION K-BOMB COLLEGE HOOPS WINNER

Georgia Tech -1.5

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Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Tuesday, January 19,2010

CALIFORNIA SPORTS

4* Miami Heat
4* Georgia Tech
3* Purdue

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Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Tuesday, January 19,2010

PPP

4% Alabama
4% Purdue
4% San Diego St
3% Northern Iowa
3% Indiana St

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Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Tuesday, January 19,2010

Blade wrote:


WAYNE ROOT

6* Texas A&m (-7½) over Oklahoma

3* Purdue (-4½) over Illinois

4* Northwestern

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Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Tuesday, January 19,2010

EXECUTIVE

300 N Iowa

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