Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Monday, January 11,2010

Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Monday, January 11,2010

jmhunter wrote:


jmhunter wrote:


The Big Bambino's Play of The Day

Manchester City -1
Manchester City over 2.5


Bambino's Daily Plays

7* Celtics -3
6* Thunder -5
7* Hornets +2

Bambino lands his play of the day!! Manchester City Wins an easy 4-1!! And lands the over!

The Bambino's LATE INSIDER INFO

5* Louisville –3
6* Suns –9
3* Hornets +2

Late Night Bookie Nightmaire Play
10* Heat/Jazz over 192

jmhunter
useravatar
Offline
9 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Monday, January 11,2010

The Booooj

25 Units Niagara -5

Blade
useravatar
Offline
231493 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Monday, January 11,2010

BLACK WIDOW

6* Widow Wiseguy Hawks/Celtics NBA GAME OF THE MONTH Atlanta +5

The Hawks catch Boston in a great spot here tonight. The Celtics won a close one at Toronto Sunday, so they are playing back-to-back days. The Hawks last played Saturday, a terrible road loss at Orlando, so they'll be hungry to get back into the win column Monday against a tired Celtics' squad. The Hawks are 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) after scoring 85 points or less over the last 3 seasons. Atlanta is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) after a game with 15 or less assists over the last 3 seasons. So after poor offensive games, the Hawks tend to bounce back in their next outing. The Celtics are only 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. Atlanta beat Boston 93-85 on Friday just 3 days ago. They held Boston to just 40.8% shooting for the game, and without Kevin Garnett, the Celtics don't have the inside presence to handle Josh Smith, Al Horford and company. Take Atlanta and the points.


5* Wiseguy  CBB "STEAL" of the Week Eastern Illinois +18

Eastern Illinois is off to a superb 10-5 start this season and is catching way too many points at Murray State Monday. Murray State is a very good team at 13-3, but this is a letdown spot for them after coming through with a huge road win Saturday at Austin Peay. 10 straight meetings between Eastern Illinois and Murray State have been decided by 12 points or less. So this has been a very heated rivalry in conference play, and we see it staying competitive Monday. Murray State is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) versus excellent teams - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% since 1997. Murray State is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite since 1997. Take Eastern Illinois and the points.


4* Nuggets/T'Wolves UNDER 215

This is a very high total Monday between the Nuggets and Timberwolves considering Minnesota averages 96.1 points/game and Denver 106.8 points/game. Denver has scored 105 points or less in 7 of their last 8 games. Denver is 21-12 UNDER (+7.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 200 this season. They are playing much better defense this season with a new-found emphasis on it ever since their deep run in the playoffs last year. The UNDER is 24-11-1 in Timberwolves last 36 games playing on 1 days rest. Take the UNDER 215 points here.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
231493 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Monday, January 11,2010

jmhunter wrote:


jmhunter wrote:


The Big Bambino's Play of The Day

Manchester City -1
Manchester City over 2.5


Bambino's Daily Plays

7* Celtics -3
6* Thunder -5
7* Hornets +2

Bambino lands his play of the day!! Manchester City Wins an easy 4-1!! And lands the over!

Feel free to post your plays jmhunter but no promoting or touting winners,thanks.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
231493 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Monday, January 11,2010

LARRY NESS

10* LEGEND - Siena

Canisius comes into this game at .500 on the season but they're visiting Siena and the Saints are a perfect 8-0 at home this season. Siena is also the only remaining undefeated team in MAAC action as the Saints are 5-0 in Metro Athletic Association Conference games. Siena blasted the Golden Griffins in the MAAC Tournament last season but revenge will be tough to come by for Canisius. The Golden Griffins just haven't been able to match up with Siena. The Saints win over the Golden Griffins in the Conference Tourney last March took them to a perfect 3-0 against Canisius last season and the average margin of victory was 15.7 points. The prior season Siena also crushed Canisius in both games winning each time by a margin of 28 points. That means the Saints last five wins over the Golden Griffins have come by an average margin of 20.6 points per game. This is why‚ the spread on this game (opened around -15) certainly is not overly imposing. Canisius does not score well, just 65.6 points per game in conference action this season, and the Golden Griffins are up against a Siena team that is averaging 79 points per game at home plus holding opponents to a field goal percentage of 38.4% in MAAC games. The Saints wins this season (all 12 of them) have averaged out to a winning margin of 17.4 points per game. Siena is not just defeating teams, they are crushing them. The Saints are 8-3 ATS when favored this season. The Golden Griffins are just 1-4 ATS the last three season when they are a big dog between 15.5 and 18 points. Canisius did win big on Saturday but that 15 point victory came against Marist who is 1-14 on the season. Prior to that win the Golden Griffins had lost six of their last nine games. A big problem for Canisius this season has been allowing teams to own them on the offensive glass. The Golden Griffins are simply allowing too many second chances when facing strong teams and, of course, Siena is one of the MAAC's best and will take advantage of this weakness. Canisius also has seen their 2nd leading scorer, Julius Coles, struggled while trying to overcome an abdominal problem. The Golden Griffins were able to persevere and still defeat the worst team in the MAAC, Marist, but watch how quickly things turn on them when they now faced the best team in the MAAC. With Alex Franklin and Ryan Rossiter crashing the offensive glass for the Saints in this one, it's just a matter of time before this one turns into a rout. 10* LEGEND

Blade
useravatar
Offline
231493 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Monday, January 11,2010

Blade wrote:


Mike Lineback

Phoenix -9.5

Both 4*

Milwaukee/Phoenix Over 211.5

Blade
useravatar
Offline
231493 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Monday, January 11,2010

MTi Sports

4* Indiana

4* NO/PHI Under 200

Blade
useravatar
Offline
231493 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Monday, January 11,2010

The Millionaires Club Guaranteed Selections

90% BILLION DOLLAR COLLEGE HOOPS CRUSHER WINNER

Louisville -3

Blade
useravatar
Offline
231493 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Monday, January 11,2010

The Hammer Guaranteed Selections

COLLEGE HOOPS WAC GAME OF THE YEAR

Utah St -17.5

Blade
useravatar
Offline
231493 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Monday, January 11,2010

PowerplayWins

Chicago Bulls -5.5

Blade
useravatar
Offline
231493 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Monday, January 11,2010

Brian Graves Guaranteed Selections

Niagara -5.5 over St. Peter's

Niagara is a pretty solid team that comes off an embarrassing loss at Siena and I expect them to bounce back tonight. The Purple Eagles have too much firepower for this St. Peter's team that often struggles to score. The Big Guns like Benn and Lewis should have fun taking the ball to the basket and launching 3's, but they may score as many points from the foul line as they will anywhere else. This game could get ugly as Niagara wins 78-59!

Blade
useravatar
Offline
231493 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Monday, January 11,2010

The Duke's Sports

Villanova Under (154') for 2 Units

This series has gone "under" four straight with the combined scoring not exceeding 152, which was back in 2006. Both of these coaches are strong believers in defense and there shouldn't be too many fundamental breakdowns from either team at this stage of the season therefore, we don't expect to see too many transition buckets. Pitino is going with a smaller lineup here to matchup better with the smalls of the Wildcats. Villanova is 6-13-1 O/U as a road dog of 1/2 to 6' while L'ville is 2-7 O/U on Mondays and 1-4 O/U as a home favorite in this price range. With little turnover time form Saturday, in which both teams played, we'll look for a more physical Big East battle than finesse tonight.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
231493 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Monday, January 11,2010

KING CREOLE

4* BUCKS / SUNS OVER

A look at the historical tendencies of this Milwaukee / Phoenix series gives us a great jumping-off point. In the last 11 meetings between these two teams, the 'OVER' has gone an almost-PERFECT 10-1! That includes 6-0 O/U when playing IN Phoenix. Average OU line in this series is: 211.9.... which just about happens to be tonight's OU Line. Average Total Points scored in this series is: 224.2 overall.... and a whopping 231.4 IN Phoenix. So we're getting anywhere from +12 to +19 points in OU line value based on the series history scoring tendencies.

Milwaukee played last night, and lost to the LA Lakers 95-77. Don't worry about he low point total for the Bucks. NBA teams tend to cut loose after a low-scoring outcome.... as of late.

7-0 O/U last 3 weeks: All NBA teams who scored LESS than (<) 80 points in their last game (BUCKS).

Phoenix played last on Friday night, and lost at home to the Miami Heat by a score of 109 to 105. We'll first take a look at the Rest Situation in this game. The Host plays with 2 days rest... while the visitor played last night.

24-9 O/U this season: All HOME teams in a 2/0 rest situation (SUNS). When the OU line is 214 < points, the results have been a very impressive 19-2 O/U. And since December 1st, home FAVS of 10 < points (check line) have gone a PERFECT 9-0 O/U.

13-3 O/U since January 1st: All NBA road dogs of 3 > points playing with NO Rest (BUCKS).... and a PERFECT 8-0 O/U when playing off a SU loss.

Milwaukee's 'margin of defeat' in last night's game was also queried in our NBA Database.
7-0 O/U last 4 weeks: All NBA road dogs playing off a SU loss of 18 or more points (BUCKS).

I also ran a query based on yesterday's opponent for the Bucks (Lakers).

5-0 O/U last 2 years: All NBA road dogs of 14 < points playing off a SU road loss of 15 or more points to the Los Angeles Lakers (BUCKS).

Don't be concerned that the Bucks are playing off 3 straight "UNDERS" in a row...
6-1 O/U last 4 weeks: All NBA teams playing off 3 or more "Unders" in a row... when the OU line is > 201 points (BUCKS).

On the Phoenix side, I went into the database and checked up on 2009/2010 results for teams off a fairly big home FAVORITE loss (Suns laid -6 points in that Friday home loss to the Heat).
8-1 O/U since Dec. 1st: All NBA home teams playing off a SU home loss in which they were a FAVORITE of - 6 > points (SUNS).

In the ENTIRE 09/10 season, substantial favorites of > 8 points have gone a PERFECT 6-0 O/U in this situation.

We'll wrap up our Best bet with a look at each team's W/L record on the year.
26-11 O/U since Dec. 1st: All home teams with a W/L percentage of >.600 (SUNS)... versus an opponent with a W/L percentage of < .450 (BUCKS). Favorites of 12 < points have gone 18-5 O/U..... and 10-2 O/U in NON-conference games.


3* NEW ORLEANS HORNETS

WRONG team favored! Speedee played against the Sixers on Friday night, in their home game against the Toronto Raptors. That one was a win... and we'll play AGAINST the Sixers again on Monday night. This is a series that has been dominated by the Hornets. New Orleans is a PERFECT 4-0 SU and ATS in the last 4 meetings over the last two seasons. They've won each of those 4 games by an average of 15 points-per-game... and the average ATS margin has been +12 PPG.

New Orleans comes into Monday night's game with TONS of confidence. They're one of the hottest teams in the NBA right now, going 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. Their most recent victory was an OUTRIGHT dog win against the Washington Wizards yesterday. Meanwhile. the Sixers went into the Motor City on Saturday night, and upset the Detroit Pistons. Just about every applicable System has us squarely on the DOG tonight.

5-0 ATS this season: All NBA underdogs with NO REST (Hornets) vs any opponent off a SU dog win (Sixers).

15-3 ATS this season: All non-division dogs playing off a DOG win (Hornets),,, vs an opponent also off a DOG win (Sixers).

18-9 ATS this season: All road dogs playing of a SU win (Hornets)... vs a < .400 favored opponent (Sixers). If that host is off a SU win (like Philly), the numbers improve to 10-2 ATS fpr our road team.

11-2 ATS: All NBA underdogs playing off 6 or more SU wins in a row (Hornets)... vs an opponent off a SU win (Sixers).

6-0 ATS last 2 years: All NBA road teams playing off a SU road dog win vs the Washington Wizards (Hornets).

0-8 ATS Since 2003: All NBA teams with a current W/L percentage of .334 or less playing off a SU road dog win against the Detroit Pistons (Sixers).

Blade
useravatar
Offline
231493 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Monday, January 11,2010

Bryan Leonard

Monday NBA Heavy Hitter

Miami at Utah

Despite the fact that over the years Utah has had the slightly better squads, the Heat have completely dominated this series. Miami is an amazing 11-1 straight up in this series, winning 4 of the last 5 in Utah by pointspread margins of 8, 17, 3 and 17 points. The only straight up loss was a pointspread cover. Needless to say Dwayne Wade has been sensational and we expect more of the same tonight from Wade and his teammates. Utah is off a huge 18 point road win at Dallas and we expect this to be a letdown spot. Playing an Eastern Conference squad after taking care of a strong conference rival. Despite the victory the Jazz have dropped 4 of their last 6 games and have played five straight opponents fighting for playoff seeding. That includes two games against an up and coming Memphis squad that is peaking right now. So we find a tired favorite who has fought tooth and nail the last week taking on a team they simply do not match up well against. And they do so not only having to win but winning by a margin. We don't see that happening as the Heat shake off the poor performance against the Clippers and take this one to the wire.

PLAY MIAMI

Blade
useravatar
Offline
231493 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Monday, January 11,2010

Jason Johnson

Villanova at Louisville
Pick: Villanova +3

Villanova gets my money tonight for one simple reason; their shooting. The Wildcats shoot better than Louisville from the field, the arc, and the stripe. By the numbers, they rebound just as well and play better defense too.Solid guard play will keep Villanova in every game so anytime they're catching a few points, count me in.This game is decided by a last second bucket.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
231493 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Monday, January 11,2010

MATT FARGO

10* BIG MONDAY “ENFORCER” *81% ANGLES*

Based on recent results, this game provides outstanding value. Oklahoma is having a tough time this season with a 9-6 record overall, although a lot of teams would take that record in a second. The Sooners had their conference opener on Saturday at Baylor and to say it was an embarrassment is an understatement. Oklahoma lost by 31 points in Waco as it was dominated in every phase possible. Obviously the question is can the Sooners recover in just two days and because of the venue change and the meaning of this game, that answer is a resounding yes. Oklahoma St. has its Big XII opener and that came at home against Texas Tech where it won by 29 points. As you can see, the game one results are the complete opposite on both sides and that is what is driving this line. Oklahoma is 7-0 this season and 1-3 on the road while the Cowboys are 9-0 at home and 1-1 on the road. Not counting neutral court games, the host is 20-2 this season in games involving these two teams and this number is not reflecting that at all. Oklahoma has not had the toughest home slate but wins over Arizona and Arkansas by 17 and 20 points respectively are still rather impressive. The Cowboys were destroyed by Tulsa in the one road loss while the victory came at a pretty weak Stanford team by just a point. Let’s not forget this is a big time rivalry game as this marks the 216th meeting between these two teams. That said, any recent results can be tossed out the window and that includes the Sooners last three losses that have all been by double-digits. As mentioned, those losses all came away from home and the Sooners bring in a solid 27-1 run at the Lloyd Noble Center. The coaches have some interesting angles as Cowboys head coach Travis Ford is 0-7 ATS in the last seven road games after two straight wins by 15 or more points while Oklahoma head coach Jeff Capel is 15-5 ATS in the last 20 games after failing to cover the spread in three or more straight games. The underdog is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings. 10* Oklahoma Sooners


9* NBA DARK HORSE DANDY *23-8 DHD RUN*

After Boston swept the season series against Atlanta last season, the Hawks are trying to return the favor. They have won both matchups this season and go for the third straight tonight in Boston. Atlanta defeated the Celtics in the most recent meeting just this past Friday at home but it is coming off a dud on Saturday as the Hawks went to Orlando and were blasted by 32 points. That dropped the Hawks to 9-9 on the road which is still very respectable as they are one of only nine teams in the entire NBA that has a .500 or better record on the road. Boston rebounded from that loss in Atlanta by defeating the Raptors in Toronto yesterday and it was yet another win against an average team. The Celtics have played a pretty light schedule this season and they have won the games they are supposed to as they are 23-4 against teams ranked outside the top ten. They are just 3-5 against the top ten and as mentioned, that includes a 0-2 record against the Hawks. Boston is only 1-3 ATS at home against teams with a winning record and with only four games coming against good teams, the 11-4 record at home makes more sense. The Hawks meanwhile are 8-2 ATS this season against teams with a winning percentage of .700 or better. Atlanta falls into a solid situation based on its most recent performance. Play on road teams that are averaging 103 or more ppg on the season, after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half. This situation is 24-3 ATS (88.9 percent) over the last five seasons. It basically states that good teams are able to rebound off a poor performance and we will see it again here. 9* Atlanta Hawks

Blade
useravatar
Offline
231493 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Monday, January 11,2010

James Patrick Sports

Heat vs. Jazz

Utah HC Jerry Sloan kept his team intact from a year ago and they'll get a crack at their payback to the Miami Heat as they attempt to abstract some revenge for a (80-70) loss in South Beach in a game that the Jazz couldn't play any "String Music" going (2) for (11) from (3) point land. Miami played at Los Angeles last night and when NBA teams come into Salt Lake City for the second of Back-to-back games - its the Jazz that usually gets the "W". We'll grab the Utah Jazz at home against their fatigued opponent. 5* Pot of Gold Utah Jazz


Oklahoma State vs. Oklahoma

The Sooners were taken behind the Tool Shed by Baylor as the Bears took out some built up frustrations dating back over (30+) consecutive losses but HC Jeff Capel's Sooners are (25-6) straight-up on their home court in Norman and they were eliminated from the Big XII Conference Tournament a year ago by their rival Cowboys Team in the first round. This team did lose the #1 Draft Pick to the NBA from a year ago but they do have one of the premier backcourt's in the nation in Warren & Crocker. Least we forget the "Man in the Middle", Keith "Tiny" Gallon, who should be a factor here considering OSU losses of Byron Eaton & Terrel Harris. Home underdogs in rivalry games always seem to play above the rim, the ESPN cameras won't hurt either. 3* Oklahoma Sooners


Louisiana Tech vs. Boise State

This series has seen the home team cash winning tickets at a (6-2) ATS rate and the Broncos are off a home loss and when they are installed as home underdogs, Boise State is a solid (7-3) ATS. Our Monday NCAA College Basketball complimentary selection is Boise State Broncos.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
231493 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Monday, January 11,2010

Red Dog Sports

4* NHL Total of The Week

Colorado vs. Calgary
Play: Under 5.5

Look for a game that ends 3-2 on Monday night. Play under 5.5 between these two.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
231493 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Monday, January 11,2010

Jorge Gonzalez

11-0 100% ESPN Prime Time Winner!

10* Oklahoma State Pick

The Oklahoma Sooners (9-6) are having growing pains with the Griffin brothers on the roster. Teams are eager to get some revenge against the Sooners now that they aren't one of the top teams in the conference. The Sooners are coming off a 91-60 beat-down at the hands of the Baylor Bears. The Sooners were dominated in the paint and will have trouble keeping up. The Oklahoma State Cowboys (13-2) are quietly one of the best teams in the country and are coming off a 85-52 trouncing of nationally ranked Texas Tech. The Cowboys have a stingy defense that allows just 61.9 points per game on just 39% shooting. The visitor is 5-0 ATS and the Sooners are 0-6 games against teams that are 60% or better on the season. Take the Cowboys.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
231493 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Monday, January 11,2010

RAS

San Jose St. +8.5

UNC Greensboro Over
La Tech Under
Hawaii Under

Blade
useravatar
Offline
231493 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Board Info

Board Stats:
 
Total Topics:
46629
Total Polls:
2
Total Posts:
296879
Average Posts Per Hour:
4.2
User Info:
 
Total Users:
3899
Newest User:
Sean
Members Online:
0
Guests Online:
2049

Online: 
There are no members online

Forum Legend:

 Topic
 New
 Locked
 Sticky
 Active
 New/Locked
 Sticky/Locked

Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Contact Us | Advertising | 888-99-SPREAD

THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE – If you think you have a gambling problem click here.

Disclaimer: This site is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Individual users are responsible for the laws regarding accessing gambling information from their jurisdictions. Many countries around the world prohibit gambling, please check the laws in your location. Any use of this information that may violate any federal, state, local or international law is strictly prohibited.

Copyright: The information contained on TheSpread.com website is protected by international copyright and may not be reproduced, or redistributed in any way without expressed written consent.

About: TheSpread.com is the largest sports betting news site in the United States. We provide point spread news, odds, statistics and information to over 199 countries around the world each year. Our coverage includes all North American College and Professional Sports as well as entertainment, political and proposition wagering news.

©1999-2013 TheSpread.com