NBA News and Notes Monday 12/14

NBA News and Notes Monday 12/14

Oklahoma City (12-10, 13-9 ATS) at Denver (17-7, 13-11 ATS)

The Nuggets will try to make it five in a row over the Thunder when they welcome their Northwest Division rivals to the Pepsi Center.

Oklahoma City has won five of their last eight (SU and ATS), but dropped a 102-89 decision to the Cavaliers on Sunday in Oklahoma City, failing as 3½-point home underdogs. The Thunder have won consecutive roadies, including Friday’s 102-94 victory at Memphis as a two-point ‘dog.

Denver has dropped two of its last three (0-3 ATS), but rallied for a 105-99 win over the Suns on Saturday, coming up short as a nine-point home favorite. The Nuggets are 10-1 (7-4 ATS) in front of the home fans this season, where they average 116.1 points a game and shoot 49.5 percent from the floor.

The Nuggets swept the four-game season series from Oklahoma City last year, but the Thunder got the cash in each of the four games and are 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings (all as an underdog). In the two contests at the Pepsi Center, Denver prevailed 112-99 (coming up short as a 13½-point favorite) and 122-112 (falling short as a 13-point chalk). The winner has scored a minimum of 112 points in each of the last nine meetings.

The Thunder are on ATS runs of 5-2 on the road and 6-1 on Monday, while Denver comes in on ATS streaks of 15-6 at home, 36-17 against Western Conference teams and 7-0 on Monday.

Oklahoma City has stayed below the posted total in four of five against Western Conference teams and five of six on Monday, but it is on “over” runs of 9-4-1 overall, 10-4-1 on the road and 5-1 when playing the second night of a back-to-back. Denver has topped the total in four of five against teams with winning records, but it is on “under” streaks of 4-1 after getting a day off, 5-2 at home and 5-1 against Western Conference teams.

Finally, the over is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings between these two and 4-0 in the past four clashes in Denver.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER

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Re: NBA News and Notes Monday 12/14

Golden State Warriors vs. Philadelphia 76ers

The Golden State Warriors and the Philadelphia 76ers will both be trying to pick up a win on Monday when they battle at Wachovia Center.

Monta Ellis tossed in 29 points with seven rebounds in the Warriors 104-95 loss to the Pistons on Saturday, as 5.5-point underdogs. The game's 199 points went UNDER the posted total of 205.5.

The 76ers were defeated 96-91 by the Rckets last time out, as a 2.5-point underdog. That game's combined score went UNDER the posted total of 193.5.

Andre Iguodala scored a game-high 24 points for the 76ers, while Allen Iverson had 20 in the loss.

Current streak:
Golden State has lost 2 straight games.
Philadelphia has lost 12 straight games.

Team records:
Golden State: 7-16 SU, 12-10-1 ATS
Philadelphia: 5-18 SU, 9-14 ATS

Golden State most recently:
When playing on Monday are 5-5
Before playing San Antonio are 4-6
After playing Detroit are 6-4
After a loss are 3-7

Philadelphia most recently:
When playing on Monday are 3-7
Before playing Cleveland are 2-8
After playing Houston are 6-4
After a loss are 0-10

A few trends to consider:
Golden State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing at home against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games at home
Philadelphia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State
Philadelphia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Golden State

Next up:
Golden State home to San Antonio, Wednesday, December 16
Philadelphia home to Cleveland, Wednesday, December 16


Indiana Pacers vs. Orlando Magic

The Indiana Pacers and the Orlando Magic will both be gunning for a victory on Monday when they meet at Amway Arena.

The Pacers were outlasted 113-112 by the Wizards last time out, as 7.5-point underdogs. That game's combined score sailed OVER the posted total of 206.5.

Troy Murphy collected a double-double with 28 points and 12 rebounds.

The Magic were defeated 106-103 by the Suns last time out, as 3-point underdogs. That game's 208 points went UNDER the posted total of 214.

Mickael Pietrus had 23 points and eight rebounds for the Magic.

Current streak:
Indiana has won 2 straight games.
Orlando has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
Indiana: 8-13 SU, 8-13 ATS
Orlando: 17-6 SU, 13-9-1 ATS

Indiana most recently:
When playing on Monday are 4-6
Before playing Charlotte are 5-5
After playing Washington are 8-2
After a win are 6-4

Orlando most recently:
When playing on Monday are 8-2
Before playing Toronto are 9-1
After playing Phoenix are 7-3
After a loss are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games
Indiana is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Orlando's last 9 games at home
Orlando is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
Orlando is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indiana
Orlando is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Next up:
Indiana home to Charlotte, Wednesday, December 16
Orlando home to Toronto, Wednesday, December 16


Boston Celtics vs. Memphis Grizzlies

The Boston Celtics and the Memphis Grizzlies will both be gunning for a victory on Monday when they meet at FedExForum.

Seven players reached double figures for the Celtics as they defeated the Bulls 106-80 on Saturday. The Celtics covered the 10-point spread, while the 186 points fell UNDER the posted total of 186.5.

Rajon Rondo had 16 points with seven rebounds and 14 assists for the Celtics. Rasheed Wallace and Eddie House each had 15 points in that win.

Memphis defeated Miami 118-90 as a 6.5-point underdog on Sunday. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (197).

Rudy Gay scored a game-high 41 points for Memphis, while Marc Gasol added 16 points and 15 rebounds.

Current streak:
Boston has won 10 straight games.

Team records:
Boston: 19-4 SU, 11-12 ATS
Memphis: 10-13 SU, 11-12 ATS

Boston most recently:
When playing on Monday are 5-5
Before playing Philadelphia are 8-2
After playing Chicago are 7-3
After a win are 9-1

Memphis most recently:
When playing on Monday are 4-6
Before playing Atlanta are 1-9
After playing Miami are 6-4
After a win are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing Boston
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
Memphis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

Next up:
Boston home to Philadelphia, Friday, December 18
Memphis at Atlanta, Wednesday, December 16


New Orleans Hornets vs. Dallas Mavericks

Divisional bragging rights will be on the line on Monday when the New Orleans Hornets and the Dallas Mavericks meet at American Airlines Center.

The Hornets were upset 113-96 by the Knicks last time out as a 6.5-point favorite at home. That game's 209 points made it OVER the posted total of 206.

David West netted 20 points for the Hornets, and Peja Stojakovic added 16 in a losing cause.

Dirk Nowitzki poured in a game-high 36 points to lead the Mavericks over the Bobcats 98-97 on Saturday. The Mavericks failed to cover the 7.5-point spread, but the game's 195 points made it OVER the posted total of 188.5.

Shawn Marion led the Mavericks with 15 points, and Erick Dampier added 14 in that win.

Current streak:
Dallas has won 3 straight games.

Team records:
New Orleans: 10-12 SU, 9-13 ATS
Dallas: 17-7 SU, 13-11 ATS

New Orleans most recently:
When playing on Monday are 6-4
Before playing Detroit are 6-4
After playing New York are 7-3
After a loss are 5-5

Dallas most recently:
When playing on Monday are 5-5
Before playing Oklahoma City are 7-3
After playing Charlotte are 9-1
After a win are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games on the road
New Orleans is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of New Orleans's last 12 games when playing on the road against Dallas
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Dallas is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Dallas's last 12 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Dallas is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games at home
Dallas is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games

Next up:
New Orleans home to Detroit, Wednesday, December 16
Dallas at Oklahoma City, Wednesday, December 16


Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Utah Jazz

Divisional bragging rights will be on the line on Monday when the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Utah Jazz meet at EnergySolutions Arena.

Al Jefferson put up 26 points in leading the Timberwolves past the Kings 120-100 Saturday night. The game's 220 points sailed OVER the posted total of 206.

Al Jefferson shot 12-for-19 from the field with 26 points and 11 rebounds.

The Jazz held off the Lakers in the fourth quarter and pulled out a 94-79 victory on Saturday. The Jazz covered the 1.5-point spread, while the 173 points went UNDER the posted total of 203.

Deron Williams tossed in 20 points and dished out 10 assists for the Jazz, and Ronnie Brewer 19 points in the win.

Current streak:
Minnesota has lost 4 straight games.
Utah has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
Minnesota: 3-21 SU, 11-12-1 ATS
Utah: 14-9 SU, 13-10 ATS

Minnesota most recently:
When playing on Monday are 6-4
Before playing LA Clippers are 3-7
After playing Sacramento are 3-7
After a loss are 2-8

Utah most recently:
When playing on Monday are 3-7
Before playing New Jersey are 4-6
After playing LA Lakers are 4-6
After a win are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
Minnesota is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Utah
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing on the road against Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Utah is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Next up:
Minnesota home to LA Clippers, Wednesday, December 16
Utah at New Jersey, Wednesday, December 16


Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets

The Oklahoma City Thunder and the Denver Nuggets will both be gunning for a victory on Monday when they meet at Pepsi Center.

The Thunder lost to Cleveland 102-89 as a 3.5-point underdog on Sunday. The combined score caused this game to be a PUSH on the posted over/under total (191).

Kevin Durant led Oklahoma City with 29 points and Jeff Green had 26 points.

The Nuggets dominated the second half and came away with a 105-99 victory over the Suns on Saturday. The Nuggets failed to cover the 9.5-point spread, but the teams played UNDER the posted total of 225.

Carmelo Anthony poured in a game-high 32 points and eight rebounds.

Team records:
Oklahoma City: 12-10 SU, 13-9 ATS
Denver: 17-7 SU, 13-11 ATS

Oklahoma City most recently:
When playing on Monday are 4-6
Before playing Dallas are 3-7
After playing Cleveland are 4-6
After a loss are 8-2

Denver most recently:
When playing on Monday are 7-3
Before playing Houston are 6-4
After playing Phoenix are 7-3
After a win are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Oklahoma City's last 12 games when playing on the road against Denver
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Oklahoma City is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Denver is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
Denver is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Oklahoma City
Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

Next up:
Oklahoma City home to Dallas, Wednesday, December 16
Denver home to Houston, Wednesday, December 16


Washington Wizards vs. Los Angeles Clippers

The fans at STAPLES Center will be treated to a game between the Washington Wizards and the Los Angeles Clippers when they take their seats on Monday.

The Wizards stormed back in the second half and pulled out a thrilling 113-112 victory over the Pacers on Saturday. The Wizards could not cover the 7.5-point spread, while the combined score sailed OVER the posted total of 206.5.

Antawn Jamison shot 13-for-18 from the field with a game-high 31 points in leading the way.

The Clippers lost to San Antonio 115-90 as a 5.5-point underdog on Sunday. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (188.5).

Baron Davis led Los Angeles with 20 points and Chris Kaman had 19 points and 10 rebounds.

Current streak:
Washington has lost 4 straight games.
Los Angeles has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
Washington: 7-14 SU, 6-15 ATS
Los Angeles: 9-13 SU, 7-15 ATS

Washington most recently:
When playing on Monday are 6-4
Before playing Sacramento are 5-5
After playing Indiana are 3-7
After a loss are 3-7

Los Angeles most recently:
When playing on Monday are 4-6
Before playing Minnesota are 4-6
After playing San Antonio are 1-9
After a loss are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 7 of the LA Clippers last 8 games when playing Washington
LA Clippers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Clippers last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
LA Clippers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Washington

Next up:
Washington at Sacramento, Wednesday, December 16
LA Clippers at Minnesota, Wednesday, December 16

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Re: NBA News and Notes Monday 12/14

Trend Report - Monday
By Ed Meyer

Wizards at Clippers - The League is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 ppg) since April 09, 2008 on the road with at most one day of rest off a loss of four points or fewer as a favorite in which they trailed by 15+ points. The Wizards are 0-9 ATS (-7.4 ppg) since December 17, 2008 with at least a day of rest after a loss at home in which Antawn Jamison played more than 40 minutes. The Wizards are 0-8-2 ATS (-4.8 ppg) since February 07, 2001 on the road with at least one day of rest after a game at home after a loss in which they made more baskets than their opponent. The Wizards are 0-7 ATS (-2.5 ppg) since February 08, 2008 with at most one day of rest off a home loss in which they led at the end of the third quarter. The Clippers are 0-8 ATS (-11.8 ppg) since December 15, 2006 as a favorite when they lost and failed to covered as an underdog in each of their last two games. The Clippers are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 ppg) since November 08, 1995 at home with no rest when their DPA was at least plus 15 points in their previous game.
   
Celtics at Grizzlies - The Grizzlies are 0-7 ATS (-6.2 ppg) since December 11, 2002 after a win against the Heat. The League is 0-7 ATS (-9.2 ppg) since April 16, 2008 as a home dog after a road win in which less than 45% of their baskets were assisted. The Grizzlies are 0-7 ATS (-6.1 ppg) since March 06, 2006 as a dog with at most one day of rest after a road win in which they shot at least 50% from the field.

Timberwolves at Jazz - The Jazz are 9-0 ATS (10.1 ppg) since February 01, 2008 as a favorite with at most one day of rest after a home win in which they scored less than 15% of their points from the free throw line. The Jazz are 8-0 ATS (10.8 ppg) since April 02, 2008 as a favorite after a home win in which they scored less than 15% of their points from the free throw line. The Jazz are 0-7-1 ATS (-4.8 ppg) since March 04, 2009 when seeking revenge for a loss in which they had no rest. The Jazz are 7-0-1 ATS (9.6 ppg) since April 18, 2007 at home with at least a day of rest after a win in which Carlos Boozer shot better than 66% from the field.

Pacers at Magic - The Pacers are 6-0 ATS (7.0 ppg) since January 16, 2006 before playing the Bobcats at home. The Magic are 0-11 ATS (-14.4 ppg) since March 03, 2002 after a loss in which their opponent shot less than 60% from the free-throw line. The Magic are 9-0 ATS (8.2 ppg) since March 03, 2007 after a road loss in which they had more turnovers than assists. The Magic are 8-0 ATS (11.3 ppg) since March 23, 2007 at home after a road loss in which they scored more than 25% of their points from the free throw line. The Magic are 7-0 ATS (6.4 ppg) since March 30, 2007 after a road loss in which they has more than 10 refereed turnovers.

Hornets at Mavericks - The Hornets are 10-0 ATS (11.2 ppg) since December 19, 2001 after playing at home against the Knicks. The League is 8-0 ATS (12.9 ppg) since December 30, 2008 as a road dog with two or more days of rest off a loss that broke at least a three-game winning streak. The Mavericks are 0-10 ATS (-10.6 ppg) since January 27, 2008 with at least one day of rest after a win in which the percentage of their baskets that were assisted was at least ten percentage points lower than their season-to-date average. The League is 9-0 ATS (4.8 ppg) since March 11, 2009 as a home favorite with at most one day of rest after a home win in which they had at least 12 steals. The Mavericks are 0-7 ATS (-10.0 ppg) since March 14, 2007 after a game in which they had at least 20 offensive rebounds.

Thunder at Nuggets - The Thunder are 6-0 ATS (8.4 ppg) since November 29, 2008 after a home loss in which their opponent shot at least ten three-pointers and made at least half of them. The Nuggets are 7-0 ATS (8.2 ppg) since February 02, 2008 at home after a win in which their DPS was negative.

Warriors at 76ers - The 76ers are 9-0 ATS (8.7 ppg) since March 26, 2001 with two or more days of rest when they have lost their last three games SU and ATS. The 76ers are 0-8 ATS (-9.9 ppg) since December 14, 2007 before playing the Cavaliers. The 76ers are 0-7 ATS (-7.1 ppg) since April 16, 2008 with at least one day of rest after a home loss in which they scored less than 10% of their points from the three-point line. The League is 7-0 ATS (8.2 ppg) since November 14, 2008 at home with two or more days of rest off a loss as a home dog in which they led by 10+ points. The 76ers are 0-7-1 ATS (-5.7 ppg) since January 25, 2008 with at least one day of rest after a game at home after a loss in which they made more baskets than their opponent.

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Re: NBA News and Notes Monday 12/14

Stan's Sharp Move for Monday Dec 14th
by Stan Sharp

Washington @ LA Clippers

Opened 195 &194 now  193.5

Stan notes this game opened at 195 at the Greek and 194 at Cris. Here in Vegas and offshore this game has been bet to 193.5. Stan notes that although this move is some it is noteworthy because the Wise Guys usually bet Unders late not early so they really like this number. This is the first of a 4 game road trip for Washington and with this a very winnable game expect a big defensive effort which would support the Under.  Stan's take the Wise Guys have spoken so you should listen and Play UNDER. 

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Re: NBA News and Notes Monday 12/14

Tips and Trends

New Orleans Hornets at Dallas Mavericks


Hornets: New Orleans is happy to have their superstar G Chris Paul back in the lineup, as the Hornets have won 3 of their past 4 games SU. The Hornets are 10-12 SU on the season, including an ATS record of 9-13. Despite winning 3 of their past 4 games SU, they've lost all 4 games ATS as favorites. The Hornets are 6-6 ATS as underdogs this year. This Hornets offense has scored between 96 and 99 PTS over their past 6 games. New Orleans has 7 players scoring more than 9 PPG, led by Paul. Paul is the only player in the NBA averaging more than 20 PPG and 10 APG. The biggest reason the Hornets have struggled this year is their defense. They give up 102.7 PPG while allowing their opponents to shoot 47%, which is 4th worst in the NBA. On the road, the Hornets have allowed 8 of their 11 opponents to score more than 100 PTS.

Hornets are 5-1 ATS last 6 games as an underdog.
Under is 5-0 last 5 games following a double digit loss at home.

Key Injuries - F Ike Diogu (knee) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 91


Mavericks (-8, O/U 195.5): Dallas is 17-7 SU on the season and 13-11 ATS this year. Dallas is 8-3 SU at home this season, but have lost their past 6 games ATS at home. The Mavericks actually have lost 4 of their past 5 games ATS, all as the favorite. F Dirk Nowitzki is 5th in the NBA in scoring at 27.3 PPG. Nowitzki has been especially hot lately, scoring more than 30 PTS in 4 of his last 5 games. Guards Jason Kidd and Jason Terry have combined to make 89 three pointers on the season. The Mavericks have a big advantage at the free throw line, as they are 1 of 3 teams in the NBA shooting 80% or better from the charity stripe. Dallas is starting to play better team defense, as they've held opponents under 45% shooting in 6 of their last 7 games. The Mavericks lost to the Hornets earlier this season in OT as 4 point underdogs.   

Mavs are 0-6 ATS last 6 games as a home favorite.
Over is 7-3 last 10 overall.

Key Injuries - F Josh Howard (ankle) is questionable.
G Quinton Ross (back) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 97 (UNDER - Total of the Day)

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