Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Wednesday, November 25,2009

Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Wednesday, November 25,2009

Mike Lineback

4* Bucks / Hornets OVER 200.5

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Beatyourbookie

100* Denver

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National Sports Service

4* Memphis/Phoenix OVER 223.5

3* Denver -9 over Minnesota

3* Pacific Pk over San Diego St.

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MR EAST

NCAAB WEDNESDAY TORCHER

ARIZONA ST. SUN DEVILS @ DUKE BLUE DEVILS
PLAY: 3 UNITS DUKE BLUE DEVILS -9

The Arizona St. Sun Devils had a big year last season, riding the talent of what would be 2 NBA 1st round draft picks in James Harden, and Jeff Pendergraph. That duo combined for 35 points and 14 rebounds, and 46 wins the last 2 years, while the previous 3 years saw a combined 37 wins. They are going to struggle this season, especially vs a team as talent rich as Duke. Duke always has an abundance of talent coming and going, and it is the reason that one of the worst years at Duke, is on the level with one of the best years at ASU. The big problem for Duke was supposed to be at guard, but enter a vastly improved Nolan Smith (22ppg), and a freshamn that through early enrollment entered the program a year early in Andre Dawkins (11.5pp), and that issue is gone. Freshman Miles Plumlee is scoring 10.7 a game, pulling down 5.5 boards, to compliment Singler, and Zoubek. The Dukies have more talent in every spot, including the bench. Duke gets this one.

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Jim Feist

25-Star NBA Situational Slam Dunk - Wednesday!

MIAMI HEAT VS ORLANDO MAGIC
Take: ORLANDO MAGIC

Miami has played 13 games this season, but 9 of them at home. They are 2-2 SU on the road this season, and 0-2 ATS their last two road games, losing by 15 and 7 points. Miami has been playing bad basketball of late, on a 2-4 SU, 0-6 ATS run. Orlando is no easy place to play, a team that is 11-3 and tied with Atlanta for first place. This team has great depth, on a 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS run without Jameer Nelson. Vince Carter scored 24 points, Dwight Howard had 17 points and 12 rebounds and the Magic won their fifth straight game, 104-96 over the Toronto Raptors on Sunday. J.J. Redick added 19 points, Jason Williams had 16 and Rashard Lewis added 11 for the Magic, who have won eight of 10. They are a motivated, together team: Dwight Howard and Stan Van Gundy had a heart-to-heart meeting last week in which Dwight told Stan that his negativity was having an adverse effect on the team. Stan agreed and the Magic have been playing looser and freer every since. Orlando is 12-1 SU, 11-2 ATS the last 13 meetings between these Florida Rivals, with an average margin of vistory of 13 points. In fact, the last six games in Orlando, the Magic are 6-0 both SU&ATS winning by 21 points per contest. Orlando gets up for this state rivalry game and usually rolls. And this season, they have the better, hotter team. Play the Magic.

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Ben Burns

10* Sacramento -4.5

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Jamie Tursini

Mavericks at Rockets
Pick: Rockets -3.5

Great scheduling advantage for Houston here. Dallas just lost at home Tuesday night to Golden St. J.Kidd (35:40) D.Nowitzki (40:28) and J.Terry (39:22) all logged a lot of minutes. Houston has had 3 days off, and with their new uptempo style they should be able to wear out the weary Mavs in the second half. Lay the points.

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Brandon Lang

10 DIME - DENVER PIONEERS - The Pioneers are ready to send a message to their neighbor from Wyoming tonight, much the way South Dakota State did already this year.

Like SDST, who returned all 5 starters from last year, Denver returns all 5 of their starters from last year.

SDST went into Wyoming and threw them a beat down to the tune of 77-61 with all 5 of those starters back from last year. Experience is crucial this early in the year.

Yes, Wyoming bounced back with a nice win over Boise State, but let's not put the cart before the horse regarding Boise. They play no defense.

This is the first true road game for a Wyoming squad that lost 80% of their scoring with the loss of back to back 4 year starters at point guard in Brandon Ewing and Sean Ogirri.

You take those two with departed forward Tyson Johnson and their goes over 46 points of scoring along with a whole lot of leadership.

Returning are starters Dfam Muojake, who has become their go to guy this year putting up 19, 26 and 18 points in their first 3 games this year.

Problem facing this team tonight is not only are you taking your inexperienced backcourt on the road for the first time but you are facing an even better team in Denver.

Making matters worse for Wyoming is facing the "Princeton" offense that will be run with precision with which this very experienced team will run it with at home.

In their 3 games this year Denver has played 3 teams that have all been picked to finish in the top 3 of their preseason league ratings.

They lost their opener at home to the preseason favorite in the Missouri Valley conference Northern Iowa 71-65 followed by a solid win over Arkansas Pine Bluff 75-56, picked to finish 3rd in the SWAC.

And let me point out that is an Arkansas Pine Bluff team that returned all 5 of their five starters from last year so it's not like they didn't have any talent.

Finally love their 7 point win over Montana last game out jumping to a 14 point half time lead and cruising in the 2nd half covering the -5 over the Grizzlies picked to finish 3rd in the Big Sky.

This is the year for Joe Scott and this Denver team to make some noise and with a team that knows each other so well, laying this number is the only way to go.

Denver rolls to the double digit win.


FREE SELECTION - DALLAS MAVERICKS

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Unlocked Sports

3* Nashville +115

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CoachK

2* San Diego St. -2
2* Vandy -4.5
2* Duke -9.5
2* Denver -5
2* Cinci +1.5
2* UConn -8

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Charlie

500* 3 TEAM RD ROBIN PLAY

Pistons +6
Knicks @ Kings Over 213
Dallas @ Houston Over 201

30* Hornets -3'
20* Philly +13
20* Charlotte -2'
10* Minnesota +8'
Knicks +4 Free Play

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KBHoops

5* Western Carolina +1.5 *POD*
5* Duke -9.5
5* Warriors/Spurs UNDER 214.5


Pitbull

20 units Phoenix -10.5
15 units Denver -8

20 units Cincinnati +1.5
15 units Western Carolina +1.5

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NHL PRO PICKS

NY Islanders +129
Buffalo +113
Florida +106
LA +105
Carolina +155
Chicago +118

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ANTHONY REDD

10 Dimer Hornets
10 Dimer Mavericks
10 Dimer Knicks

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Eric Degarde

2* New Orleans Under 201.5

2* Minnesota Under 202

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igz1 sports

3* Western Carolina +1.5

3* Toronto vs Charlotte Under 194.5

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Ben Burns

10* Sacramento -4.5

I'm laying the points with SACRAMENTO. The Kings lost their last game, 116-105 at Memphis. That was the final game of a road trip though and they were facing a revenge-minded Grizzlies team, one which they had beaten in OT a few weeks earlier. Now, they're back home. That's significant.

The Kings have been a much better team here at Arco Arena over the years and they're a profitable 5-2 ATS their last seven games here with a 4-2 SU home record on the season. That includes outright victories in three of their last four here. Those wins, which came by an average margin of 8.33 points, came against a trio of relatively decent Western Conference opponents (Houston, Golden State, Oklahoma City). Tonight, they take a step down in class to take on the second worst team from the Eastern Conference. I expect them to bounce back from the Memphis loss and for them to make the most of tonight's favorable matchup.

The Kings have the schedule strongly in their favor. In addition to playing on their home court, they had yesterday off. The Knicks, on the other hand, played at LA vs. the defending World Champion Lakers. That resulted in a 100-90 loss. Note that the Knicks have fared poorly when playing the second of back to back games. They're 0-3 SU in that situation this season and 5-15 SU their last 20, dating back to last season. They've only played a road game, after having played the previous day, once this season. That resulted in getting crushed at Milwaukee, losing by a score of 102-87.

This is worse than just the second of back to back games though. That's because the Knicks will be playing their fourth road game in the past five nights. When considering that they don't play five games in five nights in the NBA, that's as "grueling" a schedule as it gets in a 5-day period in the NBA. Making matters worse, in that same five day stretch, they had to fly across the country from Boston to LA. Speaking of Boston, the Knicks game against the Celtics went to overtime and went all the way down to the wire, before resulting in a tough 107-105 loss. In other words, this is likely to be one tired team and "fatigue" will likely be a factor.

The Kings are averaging greater than 108 points per game here at home. They know the Knicks are in a difficult scheduling spot and they should be looking to push the tempo.

Looking at the series history and we find that the Kings are a commanding 10-2 their last 12 home games vs. the Knicks. Eight of those 10 victories came by a minimum of five points. The Kings did lose the last meeting here. However, they bounced back and destroyed the Knicks by 27 points (at NY) in the most recent meeting overall. I expect the Kings to have the fresher legs and look for them to resume their home court dominance in this series, covering the small number along the way. *10 GOM

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Primetime Sports Advisors

1 Unit Denver Nuggets -8

1 Unit Denver Pioneers -4

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Sebass

50* Charlotte, San Antonio, Under Houston

50* Kent St, Montana St

50* Flyers


100* Steam Sacramento

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Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

Raptors/Bobcats Under 194

For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this matchup is on the “under”:

Toronto scored the most first half points in franchise history in their blowout of the Pacers last night, and I expect an offensive “letdown” this evening.

While the offense was enough to carry the Raptors against the Pacers, the team knows it will need better defensive outings to start winning consistently and I look for them to concentrate on that end of the court to begin this roadtrip.

On the other side of the court: Charlotte has the number 2nd ranked defense in the entire league, allowing opponents 89.5 points per game. Charlotte has the 2nd worst offensive ranking in the league, averaging just 85.3 ppg.

Charlotte is also coming off a victory over the Pacers.

Bottom line: The total has gone under the posted number in four of the last five games these teams have played against each other and I expect this strong trend to continue tonight.

When taking into account the fact that Toronto played last night, and these other strong trends and stats, my *10* “TOTAL BOOKIEKILLER” is indeed on the UNDER! 10* UNDER.

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