Tuesday Service Plays

Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Bryan Leonard

Detroit at Chicago

Mark Buerhle has dominated the Tigers as of late, especially the last two seasons. Earlier this year he allowed just one hit while shutting out the Tigers. Last year in two starts he limited Detroit to just 3 runs and a .298 slugging percentage.

Dontrelle Willis hasn't been the same pitcher in the past few seasons. His wild delivery fooled a lot of batters early on but they made the needed adjustments. While Willis has tried to counter he is just a shell of his former self. Willis continues to struggle with his control and it's really hurt his team. Opponents can just wait for a hittable pitch because nothing he throws is borderline. He either misses badly or throws the ball down the heart of the plate.

Look for Chicago to play long ball tonight as the White Sox roll.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Tom Freese

Detroit at Chicago

Detroit is 19-42 their last 61 games as road dogs. Starting pitcher Dontrelle Willis has more walks than strikeouts in his last 3 starts and he has more walks than strikeouts in his last 3 starts vs. Chicago. The Tigers are 0-5 in the last 5 starts made by Willis as a road dog. Chicago starter Mark Buehrle has a better than 4-1 strikeout to walk ratio in his last 3 starts and he is 8-3 in 11 starts this year. The lefty starter has allowed 3 or less runs in 9 of his 11 starts this year. The Pale Hose are 8-2 at home vs. the Tigers with Buehrle on the mound. PLAY ON CHICAGO - (Buehrle vs. Willis)

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

MTi Sports

Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Indians
Prediction: Kansas City Royals

The Indians are 0-8 after a win in which they used 5+ pitchers and 2-16 after scoring more than six runs. The Royals are 13-7 as a 170+ dog after a loss in which they were shut out in the last 6 innings. KC seems worth a small investment.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Dennis Macklin

San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks
Prediction: Under

Both teams hitting just .250 over the past week and both teams send razor-sharp starters to the hill. Matt Cain rocks a 7-1 2.27 ERA for the year and 3-0 and 1.33 over L3. The Snakes' Buckner is 2-1 and 2.95 in his three starts for Arizona. Runs should be tough to come by setting up the sixth straight under in the season series. Go Low.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Nick Parsons

Minnesota Twins @ Oakland Athletics +100

As the Minnesota Twins continue to struggle on the road, the Oakland Athletics have won no matter where they’ve played of late. The surging A’s look to extend their longest winning streak in three seasons while trying to hand the visiting Twins a fourth consecutive loss Tuesday night. Minnesota (28-31), meanwhile, is 1-3 on a 10-game road trip. The Twins, who are 7-19 on the road, have lost 14 of their last 17 away from the Metrodome and I look for that strong trend to continue this evening! Brett Anderson (3-5, 4.97 ERA), one of four rookies in Oakland’s rotation, looks to build off the best outing of his young career. The 21-year-old left-hander allowed six hits and struck out four in seven innings of a 7-0 win over the White Sox on Thursday. Anderson is 3-1 with a 3.52 ERA in his last four starts after posting a 6.03 ERA while losing four of his first six. Look for OAKLAND to improve to 11-6 (+5.2 units) at home when the total is 8 to 8 1/2!

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Matt Rivers

For Tuesday play the under down South in Florida.

I am not at all a totals guy as I believe more times than not they turn out to be 50-50 crapshoots but with that said I just do not see many runs today down in South Beach. For one, Chris Carpenter really does not allow runs and for two the Cardinals have been scuffling of late and really having been scoring runs.

Josh Johnson is a really solid hurler, who if not for some bad arm injuries, would be a well known name. The righty without a doubt can match Carpenter goosegg for goosegg and especially so on his familiar home mound.

Florida has been fairly awful ever since that phenomenal 11-1 start to the season and are far from an offensive juggernaut themselves at this point in the season. I really do like Hanley Ramirez and a few others like Jorge Cantu and Dan Uggla are quality players as well but Carpenter is an absolute beast and will have his way today like usual. To think that the St. Louis righthander will implode a bit in this spot just doesn't seem too plausible.

I truly do not see this thing going over that total today as asking either team to score more than four runs is a bit much and that is what needs to happen for a high.

If there's ever a game that's scoreless into the seventh and finishes up 2-1 this is it!

1♦ Under

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

GINA

Los Angeles Lakers at Orlando Magic

The Magic are back in their house where they play tough and know this a must-win contest. Go with Orlando to make this series interesting. The Magic are 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at Amway Arena and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against the Lakers. Meanwhile, Los Angeles is just 4-4 straight-up and against the spread and ATS on the road in the playoffs.

Orlando Magic -4


Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers

Colorado's right-hander Jason Hammel (2-3, 4.50 ERA) is 2-0 with a 4.32 ERA in his last three starts and 2-1 with a 1.86 ERA on the road in four starts and two relief appearances this season. Hammel has never faced the the Brewers.Milwaukee's Braden Looper (5-3, 4.65 ERA) is 1-1 with a 5.60 ERA in his last three starts and went 2-2 with a 5.28 ERA in 19 outings, including two starts against the Rockies.Go with the Rockies and their hot bats for their six straight win. Colorado has won their their last five road games and Jason Hammel last three starts.

Colorado Rockies +115

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Mr A

Orlando Magic -4

Atlanta Braves -220

New York Mets -175


MLB Computer Picks

Boston Red Sox -135

St. Louis Cardinals -110

Chicago White Sox -160

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Mike Wynn

Free Play: MLB St Louis/Florida Under 7

================================

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
276 - 178 run   60 %   20-7 short term run   yikes
Tues - Seattle Mariners

===============================

EZWINNER'S FREE SELECTION

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates @ Atlanta Braves

(955) Pittsburgh Pirates +$132

(Listing Duke and Kawakami)

The Pirates starting pitcher Zach Duke is fresh
off of a win over the Mets and Johan Santana.
While not a strikeout artist, Duke is finally starting
to live up to the potential and hype he had in the
minors and his rookie season. In six out of his
last seven starts Duke has pitched into the 7th
inning or later. For the Braves, starting pitcher
Kenshin Kawakami has been very inconsistent.
Kawakami is only 3-6 this season with a ERA
approaching 5 and a WHIP near 1.5. He also
ranks among the leaders in least run support
and I don't look for that bad luck to change in
this game. I like Pittsburgh to pick up the win here. 

2009 Free Selections Record  83-71  (53.9%)

8)

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Craig Trapp

St Louis Cardinals vs. Florida Marlins    
Play: St Louis Cardinals   

Records

St Louis Cardinals 31-27, 12-12 away (Carpenter 4-0, 0.71 ERA)

Florida Marlins 28-31, 14-17 home (Johnson 5-1, 2.63 ERA)

Betting Trends

-Cardinals are 78-30 in Carpenters last 108 starts.

-Cardinals are 4-0 in Carpenters last 4 starts vs. Marlins.

-Cardinals are 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Florida.

-Marlins are 5-12 in their last 17 vs. National League Central.

The Cardinals are in there longest losing streak of the season (4). But today they go to the Ace of the pitching staff, Chris Carpenter. He's 3-0 with a 1.03 ERA in his last four starts against FLA and has been just as good lately with an ERA under 1.00 currently. STL has owned FLA lately winning 15 of last 20 games against FLA. Josh Johnson is on the mound for FLA and he has been really good also but doesn't have the experience that Carpenter has. Great value today on STL because of the losing streak but they snap out of it today and wake up the bats. SCORE: STL 5 - FLA 1

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Jimmy Boyd

1 Unit on Baltimore Orioles -129

Baltimore is due for a win and it should get it tonight. The O's return home from a six-game road trip having lost 5 in a row so you can expect them to be very hungry here, especially against Seattle who took 2 of 3 from them a week ago. The Orioles are a solid 16-13 at home this season and they have won each of the last four games in which they've been favored. Here's the clincher though: the Mariners are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Baltimore and 0-9 in their last 9 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. Take the home team.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Indiancowboy

Take Under 8.5 between Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Indians.

I don't have time for a long extended write-up on this game, but bear in mind despite an excellent performance against KC earlier this year, Lee fell short 0-2 in that game. He looks to avenge that loss and he has the Royals hitters on their heels mostly and I don't see that changing too much today. Lee has put forth 10 straight quality starts. Bannister needs a quality start desperately today after getting shelled in his last two games. The Royals are looking at possibly demoting him if this continues so he needs at least a half decent start on the highway today. I look for this game to likley dip under.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

WUNDERDOG

Los Angeles Lakers at Orlando
Pick: First Half UNDER 97.5

One thing is clear about the oddsmakers in this series. They set the first 200+ NBA Finals total in 14 years. Looking at the first two games, they haven't even been in the ballpark. This has been a defensive playoffs for both teams (Lakers 14-6 UNDER and Magic 12-9 UNDER) and it's a defensive series, with both teams having trouble finding matchup advantages, negated by the others ability to adjust. We have yet to see either team be able to make separation, and that is because of the defense. The Lakers are going to come out strong defensively to try and control the crowd, and Orlando will come out fired up on the defensive end because they know a loss here and they are done. The last game saw the same thing, and just 75 first-half points scored. Orlando is 22-9 UNDER this season in the first-half when revenging a loss. They are 15-5 UNDER in the first half after allowing 100+ points in back-to-back games. This season, against winning teams, the Lakers are 33-23 UNDER in the first half while Orlando is 31-19 UNDER. I expect the signature of the first two games to carry over to this game and for this one to go UNDER in the first half too.


Game: Detroit at Pittsburgh
Pick: OVER 5.5 -110

The Pittsburgh Penguins battled back from a 2-0 deficit and got the series even. They are now faced with the ultimate battle - one of elimination. What they have not been able to do on the road in this series, they have done very well with at home and that is score. The Penguins hung a pair of fours on the Red Wings at home. But in three road games, they have produced just two goals all together. The story has been the same for the Red Wings who are allowing virtually nothing in 11 home playoff games - just 1.5 goals per game. They have not been anything near that on the road where they have allowed twice as many goals per game, and it has led to them playing seven of their last eight games OVER as a road dog. The Penguins have cashed five of their last six as a home favorite to the OVER as well. I like this one to go OVER the total.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Vernon Croy

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Atlanta Braves
Pick: Atlanta Braves -140

This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and Braves starter Kenshin Kawakami (3-6, 4.63) has not given up more than 3 earned runs in 6 straight starts. Kawakami has pitched solid over his last 3 starts with an ERA of just 2.61 while lasting an average of 6.9 innings per start and the Pirates have never faced him before so I look for an impressive start from Kawakami tonight. The Pirates are just 4-17 in Zach Duke's (6-4, 2.62 ERA) last 21 road starts as a dog of +110 to +150 and the Pirates are just 3-11 in their last 14 road games against a right hand starter. The Pirates are just 9-26 in their last 35 trips to Atlanta and the Braves are 23-11 in their last 34 home games against a team that has a losing record on the road below .400. Take the Atlanta Braves as my MLB Complimentary Play for Monday night.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Tony Karpinski

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox    
Play: New York Yankees

The Yankees are playing their best baseball of the season right now as everyone in the lineup is hitting. New York is 20-7 in their last 27 games overall and the hottest team in baseball. They are 8-1 in their last 9 road games with a total set of 9.0-10.5 runs.Josh Beckett is just 2-7 in his last 9 home starts against a team with a winning record. New York has lost 6 straight games to Boston, as they were injured earlier in the season when they met. Take the road Yankees as a small underdog play tonight!

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

John Ryan

Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles    
Play: Seattle Mariners     

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Seattle as they face the Orioles slated to start at 7:05 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 91-46 making 46.2 units since 2003. Play on any AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season and after allowing 3 runs or less 4 straight games. Baltimore is just 25-52 (-21.3 Units) against the money line versus a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better over the last 2 seasons; 20-48 (-22.4 Units) against the money line versus an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.00 or better over the last 2 seasons. Orioles are a horrific 3-16 (-13.7 Units) against the money line after 5 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base over the last 3 seasons.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Alex Smart

St. Louis Cardinals @ Florida Marlins

Chris Carpenter (4-0. 0.71 ERA) the St.Louis Cardinals starting pitcher enters this game against the Florida Marlins in top form. He has been going right after opponents and pounding the strike zone like he is possessed . The veteran right hander is head and shoulders the National Leagues top pitcher right now as his numbers suggest. Carpenter has been using very little effort on his way to a lot of 3 and outs, as is evident by averaging fewer than 13 pitches per inning. The former Cy Young award winner has been dominant vs the Marlins in the past posting a 3-0 record along with a very stingy 1.03 ERA in his last four starts against them.

Meanwhile, Josh Johnson (5-1,2.63 ERA) is also in top form and off an impressive outing allowing the Brewers to two runs on five hits over 7 2/3 innings while striking out eight. In Johnsons only career start vs the Cardinals he allowed three runs on seven hits over 6 2/3 innings. He was very tough on the Cardinals big three of Albert Pujols, Ryan Ludwick and Rick Ankiel who were a combined 2-for-8 (.200). With the Cardinals in a huge offensive funk as is evident by a batting .233 during a current 9 game span the hard throwing Johnson should prove to be a dominating force.

With two top tier pitchers on the hill that are capable of going deep, recommending a under wager is an easy decision It must be noted that Johnson has been particularly tough at home, garnering a 1.76 ERA in 7 home appearances.

Final notes & Key Trends: Under is 13-5 in Cardinals last 18 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 11-4-2 in Marlins last 17 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. .........Play Under

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Murray Hill Mike

Los Angeles Lakers at Orlando Magic
Prediction: Orlando Magic

The Los Angeles Lakers are just 2-8 ATS when leading a playoff series and with Game Three in Orlando, it may be tough for them to cover this one too. Orlando has not shot well this series as they are averaging under 36 percent from the floor. This streaky team can get hot at anytime and playing on their home floor may do the trick. Expect Orlando to shoot the ball and shoot it efficiently. Consider the trends. Orlando is 11-1 ATS against Pacific division opponents, 12-4 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less, 22-10 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games, 16-3 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, 11-2 ATS off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, 16-4 ATS off a road loss, 20-6 ATS after playing a game as an underdog and 12-3 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses. Take Orlando

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Larry Ness

Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox
Play: Chicago White Sox

The Tigers and White Sox split a doubleheaderon Monday, as the teams opened a rare five-game series. Detroit won 5-4 Monday afternoon but then managed just one hit over eight innings against Jose Contreras in a 6-1 loss in the nightcap. The loss snapped a three-game winning streak for the Tigers but it was also the third time in five games in which the Tigers have been held to two or less runs. Detroit has scored only 27 runs (3.38 per) and hit .222 over its last eight games and the team has had all sort of problems winning in US Cellular Field since the beginning of the 2006 season. With yesterday's split, the Tigers are just 10-20 their last 30 games in Chicago. Tonight's pitching matchup hardly favors the Tigers, as Dontrelle Willis takes on Mark Buehrle. Willis won 4-0 at home vs Texas back on May 19 (6.1 IP / 1 hit 0 ERs) and the Tigers were hoping that maybe, he was turning things around. His next start was more than acceptable, allowing seven hits and three ERs over 6.2 innings in a 3-1 loss to the Rockies. However, his last two outings have been awful, as he's allowed 10 hits, seven walks and 12 ERs over just 7.1 innings, for a 14.73 ERA! Making matters worse, Willis has no record and a 12.00 ERA in three lifetime starts against the White Sox, walking 12 in just six innings. Adding insult to injury, in his most recent start vs Chicago (April 11, 2008), he hyperextended his right knee, causing him to miss a month. Mark Buehrle goes for the White Sox. He became a regular part of Chicago's rotation in 2001 and over the next eight seasons went 118-86 with a 3.78 ERA. That's an average of just under 15 wins each year. He's always been a much better home pitcher than road pitcher, as from 2001-08, the White Sox are 95-47 (.669) in his home starts and 60-67 (.472) in his road starts. That home/away dichotomy was much greater last year, as Chicago was 14-3 (2.65 ERA) in his home starts but just 4-14 (5.14 ERA) in his road starts. He was 6-1 with a 2.71 ERA in 10 starts (White Sox were 8-2) prior to his last outing, when he allowed just five hits but four ERs over eight innings of a 7-0 home loss to the A's last Thursday. Still, he's 4-1 with a 2.09 ERA at home this year in seven starts, with the White Sox going 5-2. That makes the White Sox 19-5 (.792) in his home starts since the beginning of 2008, which ain't bad! Take the White Sox and Buehrle over the Tigers and Willis.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Dave Price

1 Unit on Chicago Cubs -125

I like Chicago's bats against the Moehler, who is 0-2 at home this season with an ERA of 8.24. In fact, the Astros are only 1-5 in Moehlers last 6 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Cubs send Ted Lilly to the lilly pad and he has had Houston's number. The Cubs are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Houston and 5-1 in Lilly's last 6 starts vs. the Astros. Plus, the Cubs are 11-4 in Lilly's last 15 starts overall. The Astros are 0-7 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record while the Cubs are 25-11 in their last 36 games as a road favorite. Bet the Cubbies.

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