Sunday Service Plays

Re: Sunday Service Plays

DAVE COKIN

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES at LOS ANGELES DODGERS
Take LOS ANGELES DODGERS

Nice debut for Antonio Bastardo, and the Phillies newest southpaw will try and beat the Dodgers tonight. Bastardo is yet another Philly southpaw with marginal heat, but a very effective changeup, and he joins Hamels, Happ and Moyer in a rotation that's definitely lefty-loaded. Tough draw tonight for the rookie, however, as the Dodgers have rallied to win the last two in this series and Randy Wolf can be very tough at Dodgers Stadium. The late inning situation should favor the hosts again, so I'll go with LA as moderately priced home chalk

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Rocketman

Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners   
Play: Minnesota Twins     

Minnesota is 28-28 on the season while Seattle comes in with a 26-29 record this year. Minnesota bullpen has a 3.32 ERA on the road this year. Seattle is scoring only 3.8 runs per game overall, 3.5 runs per game at home and 3.7 runs per game against right handed starters this year. Kevin Slowey is 8-1 with a 3.97 ERA overall this year, 1-1 with a 2.89 ERA on the road and 3-0 with a 2.70 ERA his last 3 starts. Erik Bedard is 0-5 overall vs Minnesota since 1997. We'll recommend a small play on Minnesota today!

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

DUNKEL

Philadelphia at LA Dodgers

The Phillies look to bounce back from yesterday's 3-2 extra-inning loss and build on their 11-1 record in their last 12 road games when the total is set between 7 and 8 1/2 runs.  Philadelphia is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Phillies favored by 1.  Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+120). 

Game 901-902: Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wells) 15.102; Cincinnati 16.351
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+115); Under

Game 903-904: Milwaukee at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Parra) 15.173; Atlanta (Hanson) 15.271
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-145); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-145); Under

Game 905-906: NY Mets at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Hernandez) 14.218; Washington (Stammen) 13.368
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington (-115); 10
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+105); Under

Game 907-908: Pittsburgh at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Snell) 13.763; Houston (Paulino) 15.141
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-125); Under

Game 909-910: Colorado at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Jimenez) 14.695; St. Louis (Pineiro) 14.942
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-130); Over

Game 911-912: Arizona at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Haren) 14.682; San Diego (Geer) 15.006
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Arizona (-160); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+150); Over

Game 913-914: San Francisco at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.640; Florida (Nolasco) 16.875
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+140); Under

Game 915-916: Philadelphia at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Bastardo) 17.101; LA Dodgers (Wolf) 15.882
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+120); Under

Game 917-918: LA Angels at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Suanders) 16.015; Detroit (Porcello) 14.800
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+115); Under

Game 919-920: Tampa Bay at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Garza) 16.341; NY Yankees (Chamberlain) 17.748
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-150); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-150); Over

Game 921-922: Kansas City at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Davies) 12.716; Toronto (Halladay) 14.384
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-265); 8
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-265); Over

Game 923-924: Texas at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Padilla) 17.179; Boston (Matsuzaka) 16.181
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-175); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+165); Under

Game 925-926: Cleveland at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Huff) 14.700; White Sox (Colon) 15.595
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-130); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-130); Under

Game 927-928: Baltimore at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Hill) 14.915; Oakland (Mazzaro) 15.638
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-125); Over

Game 929-930: Minnesota at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Slowey) 15.663; Seattle (Bedard) 16.697
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Seattle (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-130); Under


NBA

Orlando at LA Lakers

The Lakers look to follow up their 25-point win in Game One and build on their 8-2 ATS record in their last 10 games when playing on 2 days rest. Los Angeles is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lakers favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-6 1/2).

Game 703-704: Orlando at LA Lakers
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 126.527; LA Lakers 133.305
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 7; 198 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 6 1/2; 202 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-6 1/2); Under

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Drew Gordon

Another solid Free Play winner with the Chicago White Sox over the Indians 4-2 Saturday! Now 9-2 roll with my last 11 Freebies AND COUNTING...

True, the Orioles are not playing well, but there's light at the end of the tunnel, and they've got a great oppurtunity for the bounce back today, and here's why:

First, the pitching match up gives them a solid edge, as lefty Rich Hill takes the mound for the O's. Not only are they 4-0 when he starts, but he's coming off his best start of the season, tossing 7 scoreless at the Mariners Monday. He's proven rock-solid on the highway, going 2-0 with a stellar 1.96 ERA in 3 starts! Look for continued success today, as the A's average only 2.8 runs per game against lefties at home, batting .212 in the process.

Second, I'll admit his Debut was impressive, tossing 6 1/3 scoreless against the White Sox Tuesday, but let's not get too carried away with Mazzaro just yet! Orioles bats may have cooled recently, but they clearly prefer to hit righties, averaging 5.1 run per game against them. Look for them to get back on track today, as they test the hard-throwing rookie early and often.

Finally, make no mistake, the Orioles are desperate for a win here, and they know Hill gives them their best chance in this spot. A's are 0-4 against lefties in day games at McAfee Coliseum, and you can make 0-5 after this afternoon. In the end, Baltimore snaps out of its funk, exposing the rookie in only his second Major League start.

Take Baltimore behind Hill over Oakland and Mazzaro in this MLB match up.

2♦ BALTIMORE

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Scott Delaney

Now on a 14-4 run with the complimentary releases after the Red Sox took care of business last night. were rained out. Today it's the Nationals over the Mets.

Nationals got it done yesterday against the Mets when two pitchers reunited, so we’ll look for another revenge win once again. Washington’s Craig Stammen lost to the Mets’ Livan Hernandez on May 26, and will be out to avenge his setback with a solid showing in this one.

Now I know that Hernandez is 5-0 his last five starts against Washington, but the last time he pitched in D.C. he gave up six earned runs over six frames. So even though we’re talking about the worst team in baseball, we’re also capable of scoring the win with it since it won yesterday over the seemingly invincible John Maine.

Stammen made his Major-League debut on a couple weeks back against the Pirates and, as mentioned, has already pitched against this lineup once. Thus, I’m thinking the second time around will benefit us because he’ll be much more comfy against familiar faces.

Hernandez, who has an ERA of 4.89 on the highway this season, has watched right-handed hitters rattle him for a.322 batting average when he’s toed the road slab; on the other hand, left-handed guest hitters are batting .289.

Look for Washington to shock the Mets once again, and come to hit the ball – well – while scoring another win in this NL East rivalry.

1♦ WASHINGTON NATIONALS

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

LT Profits

San Francisco Giants @ Florida Marlins

This is a rather high total when you consider that reining Cy Young Award winner Tim Lincecum of the San Francisco Giants is pitching in a spacious stadium vs. the Florida Marlins, and we will bite on the Under here.

Tiny Tim has followed up his Cy Young year by going 4-1 with a 3.01 ERA and 1.23 WHIP thus far, with an amazing 91 strikeouts in 71.2 innings. Furthermore, he has lowered those numbers to a 1.27 ERA and 1.03 WHIP over his last three starts with 25 strikeouts in 21.1 innings, and he has eight Quality Starts in his last nine starts. As if he needs a bigger advantage, this will also be the first time that the Marlins have ever faced him!

The reason that this total is on the high-ish side is that Ricky Nolasco has been bombed in his last two starts, raising his ERA for the season to a horrific 9.07. However, he is a much better pitcher that those numbers and he looked downright dominant in his only start vs. the Giants last season, tossing a Complete Game two-hit shutout with 11 strikeouts. He is facing a San Francisco lineup that is batting just .240 in the road this season.

Besides, if Lincecum is his usual self, Nolasco will not need to be great for this to stay Under.

Pick: Giants/Marlins Under 8.5

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Jr Tips

Philadelphia (32-22) had won seven in a row, including the series opener, when Lidge blew the save two days in a row. Lidge already has blown six of 19 chances this year and has a 7.27 ERA.The Dodgers (39-19), meanwhile, will be looking to become the first team in baseball to reach 40 wins. Los Angeles' offensive pace has slowed lately and the team's pitchers have picked up the slack. The staff's 3.57 ERA is the best in the majors, and Randy Wolf (3-1, 3.21 ERA) has helped that number.The left-hander was impressive at Citizens Bank Park, allowing three hits and a run and striking out eight in six innings of the Dodgers' 9-2 win May 13. He has a 2.25 ERA in two starts against the Phillies, who dropped two of three to the Dodgers last month. The Phillies will combat with Bastardo who is (1-0, 1.50) allowed four hits, one walk and one run, striking out five to give the Phillies a 10-5 victory. Both these teams offensives have slowed down in this series and today's starting pitchers both allow under 3 runs a game.

TAKE UNDER 8 RUNS

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Mr A

Los Angeles Lakers -7

Boston Red Sox -175

San Francisco Giants -145


MLB Computer Picks

Toronto Blue Jays -260    * * *

Boston Red Sox - 175

Philadelphia Phillies +115

Best Bet ***

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Bryan Leonard

3* Milwaukee at Atlanta Under

The Braves trot out rookie sensation Tommy Hanson to make his major league debut. He is expected to be an all time great pitcher for Atlanta. He has dominated at every level and we expect him to have great success today against a team that has never faced him.

Milwaukee counters with struggling Manny Parra who himself has never faced the Braves. He's in an ideal situation as Atlanta hasn't scored in 22 consecutive innings.

History shows that pitching has dominated this series as of late. The first two games of this series were 3-0 and 4-0 scores. In fact, these teams have played each other 11 times in the past two seasons. In those 11 games they have combined for just 60 total runs, just 5.45 runs per game. In addition the highest scoring game saw 9 players cross the plate, the same total as set in today's game. With two starters having the advantage of never facing these opponents we can expect another low scoring affair.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Tom Freese

Baltimore at Oakland

Oakland starter Vin Mazzaro is off his first Major League win. He figures to be a little flat here. The A's are 1-5 their last 6 home games vs. lefty starters and they are 12-26 when playing Game 3 of a series. Oakland is 6-15 their last 21 Sunday games. Baltimore starter Rich Hill has allowed 2 or less runs in 3 of his 4 starts this year and the Orioles have been on the Winning Side in all 4 of his starts this year. PLAY ON BALTIMORE - (Hill vs. Mazzaro)

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

VEGAS EXPERTS

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres

Dan Haren may be the most hard luck pitcher in all of baseball as he has allowed more than three earned runs in just one start this season, despite going at least six innings in each of his 11 outings. However, a San Diego lineup that comes in averaging under four runs per game on the season should be no trouble, particularly because we find the Padres at 2-13 vs. a starter with an ERA of 2.70 or better.

Play on: Arizona

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Mike Anthony

Baltimore Orioles vs. Oakland Athletics    
Play: Baltimore Orioles 

The Orioles are not playing well, but there's light at the end of the tunnel, and they've got a great oppurtunity for the bounceback today, and here's why:

First, the pitching matchup gives them a solid edge, as lefty Rich Hill takes the mound for the O's. Not only are they 4-0 when he starts, but he's coming off his best outing of the season, tossing seven scoreless at Seattle Monday. He's proven rock-solid on the highway, going 2-0 with a stellar 1.96 ERA in three starts. Look for continued success today, as the A's average only 2.8 runs per game against lefties at home, batting .212 in the process.

Second, I'll admit his debut was impressive, tossing 6 1/3 scoreless against the White Sox Tuesday, but let's not get too carried away with Vin Mazzaro just yet. Orioles bats may have cooled recently, but they clearly prefer to hit righties, averaging 5.1 run per game against them. Look for them to get back on track today, as they test the hard-throwing rookie early and often.

Finally, make no mistake, the Orioles are desperate for a win here, and they know Hill gives them their best chance in this spot. The A's are 0-4 against lefties in day games at McAfee Coliseum, and you can make 0-5 after this afternoon. In the end, Baltimore snaps out of its funk, exposing the rookie in only his second major league start and get their bats rolling!

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Vernon Croy

Colorado Rockies vs. St Louis Cardinals     
Play: Colorado Rockies   

We are getting great value here Sunday afternoon with the Rockies who are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road dog. The Rockies are a perfect 4-0 in their last 4 road games against a team with a winning record and the Rockies are 4-1 in Ubaldo Jimenez's (3-6, 4.11 ERA) last 5 starts after they held their opponents to 2 runs or less in their previous game. Jimenez has pitched well over his last 3 starts with an ERA of just 3.66 and he allowed just 1 earned run in his last start over 6 innings. The Rockies bats have been on fire in this series averaging 10.5 rpg and I look for their bats to stay hot today against Joel Pineiro (5-5, 3.86) who has an ERA of 7.36 over 3 career starts against the Rockies. The Cardinals are just 1-5 in Pineiro's last 6 starts and he has not pitched since May.29. The Cardinals are just 1-5 in their last 6 games against a team with a losing record and they are also just 1-4 in their last 5 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.Grab the value with the Colorado Rockies.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Nelly

Tampa Bay + over New York

Matt Garza and Joba Chamberlain are both considered two of the top young pitchers in the AL but Garza has proven he can succeed as a starter while Chamberlain has done very little since leaving the bullpen. Chamberlain owns nine career wins and his numbers are very average this season with a 3.71 ERA. His 1.44 WHIP is alarming and despite being a heavy favorite in nearly every start the Yankees have gone just 6-4 in those games. At home Chamberlain owns a 5.82 ERA and a 1.65 WHIP. The New York bullpen has also been a complete disaster this season with some of the worst numbers in baseball. Tampa Bay was able to win yesterday in a see-saw game despite two solid efforts from the starters. The road team has won five of six in this series this season and Garza is quietly posting great numbers even if the wins have not added up yet. Tampa Bay has won six of the last seven overall and the Rays are hitting .278 on the road this season. New York is just 3-4 in the last seven home games and this looks like great value on the vastly superior starting pitcher.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

GINA

Orlando Magic at Los Angeles Lakers

The Magic strong offense were awful in Game 1, they shot just 15-of-54 shooting from inside, 29.9 percent and 34.8 percent from 3-point range. Look for Orlando to make the necessary adjustments to battle Kobe and his boys. They have been their before, trailing Philadelphia and Boston. Expect Orlando to be more aggressive tonight, but I believe the Lakers take a 2-0 lead in the series in a close contest. Take the points!

Orlando Magic +7


Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners
   
Go with the Twins with Kevin Slowey on the hill. The right-hander is 4-0 with a 2.41 ERA in his past five starts and 1-0 with a 7.50 ERA in one career start versus Seattle. Minnesota is a horrible 3-12 in its last 15 road games and has dropped five of Slowey's last six starts on the road, but Seattle hasn't been successful at Safeco Field with lefthander Erik Bedard at the helm, The Mariners have lost five of his last 7 home starts. Bedard is 0-5 with a 4.80 ERA in nine career starts against Minnesota

Minnesota Twins +115

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Michael Cannon

Minnesota +120 at SEATTLE

Take the Twins for the road win over the Mariners.

Kevin Slowey gets the start for Minnesota and he’s 8-1 with a 3.97 ERA on the year.  The right-hander has allowed two earned runs in winning each of his last three starts and is 4-0 with a 2.41 ERA in his last five overall.

Seattle will counter with Erik Bedard, who has had great success against every team in the AL except the Twins.

Bedard is 0-5 with a 4.80 ERA in nine career starts against Minnesota.

Minnesota has won four of six and I like them to grab their first road series win since taking two of three in Cleveland back in late April.

Take the Twins as they grab the road win.

4♦ MINNESOTA

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

LARRY NESS

Minnesota Twins @ Seattle Mariners
PICK: Seattle Mariners

The Orioles traded Erik Bedard to Seattle in exchange for five players in February of 2008. Bedard went 40-34 with a 3.83 ERA in just over four full seasons with Baltimore and was particularly good in 2006 and 2007. The Orioles were just 139-185 (.429) in those two seasons but Bedard went 28-16 (.636) with a 3.47 ERA. His .636 winning percentage is quite impressive when compared against Baltimore's overall record of 111-169 (.396) when he didn't get a decision. That's called being a real "difference-maker." Bedard's been impressive in 2009, although he doesn't have all that much to show for it. He's never allowed more than three ERs in any of his 10 starts this year (in EIGHT of 10 it's been two ERs or less), posting a 4-2 record with a 2.37 ERA (team is just 5-5). It would be hard to argue too hard against the statement that over the past month, Erik Bedard has been one of the toughest pitchers in MLB. Minnesota's Kevin Slowey doesn't have much to apologize for in 2009, either. He's 8-1 with a 3.97 ERA in 11 starts this season (team is 8-3), going 4-0 with a 2.41 ERA over his last five starts (Twins are 4-1). These teams have split a pair of 2-1 games Friday and Saturday and the Twins, just 7-17 on the road this year, have a chance to actually take a road series with a win, which would be the team's first series win on the road since late April (24-26 at Cleveland). While Bedard has been pitching great, he's never had any success (or luck) vs the Twins, going 0-5 with a 4.80 ERA in nine lifetime starts vs Minnesota (teams are 2-7). However, check out the Twins' mark this year against lefties, in every situation other than in night home games, where they've gone 8-1 (averaging 6.8 RPG). In home day games vs left-handers, the Twins are 0-2, averaging 1.5 RPG. On the road, they are 0-4 in day games (averaging 1.5 RPG) and at night, 0-4 (averaging 3.3 RPG). So except for in night games at home vs lefties, the Twins are 0-10 vs lefties in all other situations, averaging 2.2 RPG. Take Bedard and Seattle.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

John Ryan

Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox
Play: Boston Red Sox

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Boston as they play host to Texas beginning at 1:05 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 59-24 making 33.9 units since 1997. Play on home teams with an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.800 or worse on the season stranding 7.5 or more runners on base per game on the season. Boston is 22-3 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in home games versus poor fielding teams turning 0.8 or less DP's/game over the last 2 seasons; 16-4 (+11.3 Units) against the money line versus. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game this season; 15-2 (+13.1 Units) against the money line versus an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 over the last 3 seasons; 19-5 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in home games versus a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons. Take Boston


LAA Angels vs. Detroit Tigers     
Play: LAA Angels   

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Anaheim as the face Detroit slated to start at 1:05 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 258-211 making 75.1 units since 1997. Play on any team that is an average hitting team batting .265 to .279 facing a good AL starting pitcher sporting an ERA <=4.20 and starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing. Anaheim starter Saunders is 14-3 (+12.3 Units) against the money line versus teams outscoring opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

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Freddy Wills

New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals    

It is disheartening to say this as a Mets fan, but I think there is season is pretty much done unless they are going to be last years Phillies chasing them from behind with a solid bullpen.

The injuries just keep coming and now it seems the confidence has as well as Maine and Pelfrey who had been solid as of late had their worst starts of the season this past week. I think the wheels fall off again on Sunday where the Mets are 2-10 in their last 12 and they are 4-11 this season in Game 3's.

The Nats will face Livan Hernandez for the second time this year which they have done the last 2 years. Hernandez had a complete game vs. the Nats the last time out, but he also pitched well in his 1st game in 07 and 08 before giving up a total of 10 ER in his next 2 starts of each year. Look for Hernandez to struggle a bit here during the day where he has a 7.84 ERA on the season.

Stammen will go for the Nats he pitched vs. the Mets on 5/27 and allowed 3ER in 5IP. I think he makes some adjustments against an easier lineup not featuring Pagan or Ramon Martine who accounted for 3 of the 7 hits vs. him the last time.

Lastly nearly 87% of the public are on the Mets based on my 42 sports books average. The public is liking Hernandez and what he did against the Nats this season, but the line has barely changed and has remained the same in most cases. If the Mets were a sure thing you would see them move from -106 to -120 and so on.

Take the Nationals

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Johnny Guild

Orlando Magic at Los Angeles Lakers

The Lakers defense limited the Magic and Superman Dwight Howard in Game 1. I believe tonight’s clash will be a better outcome for the Magic. However, the Lakers are home and their multitalented front-line depth wrecked the Magic in Game 1. Look for Kobe to put on another Hollywood show tonight. Orlando is 2-11 in their last 13 games against the Lakers in Los Angeles, 4-8-1 ATS

Los Angeles Lakers -7

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