FRIDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Re: FRIDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Stephen Nover

Denver vs. LA Lakers
Play Denver

I like the Nuggets to take care of business at home. This has a chance to be a Denver blowout because the Lakers have a serious fatigue issue that is magnified playing in Denver's high altitute.The Lakers have played nearly twice as many games as the Nuggets have during the past 3 1/ 2 weeks. Kobe Bryant and Pau Gasol are near exhaustion, especially Bryant.The Lakers know they need to be at full strength for a Game 7 at home. That's their game to win. Los Angeles has failed to cover the past five times it has won.The Nuggets have covered in eight of their last nine home contests.The Nuggets have been the superior team for much of the playoffs despite being down 3-2. Certainly they are the more physical and nastier of the two teams.

This is a three-unit play on the Nuggets.

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Re: FRIDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Bob Balfe

Nationals/Phillies Over 9.5 runs
Detwiler/Happ

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Re: FRIDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Lenny Del Genio

15* AL Game of the Week

Play on Kansas City

Zack Greinke has rightfully grabbed all the headlines for the Royals this season as the club continues to tread water around the .500 mark (a real rarity in KC!), but what about this Brian Bannister? So far this season, the Royals have won six of his seven starts thanks to a 2.79 ERA from the right-hander. The Royals have done very well vs. Chicago this season, taking four of five meetings including a three-game sweep in the Windy City at the beginning of the month. The Pale Hose are not a very good team vs. right-handed pitching (just 4.0 runs per game/.248 team batting average), losing 20 of 33 games. They are also very sub-par on the road, losing 15 of 24. If not for a random 17 run performance Memorial Day vs. the Angels, those numbers would be even worse. Over the last season plus, they are just a 33% proposition as a road underdog. Kansas City is a very profitable +25.8 units (45-32) since the start of the '08 season vs. southpaws, so look for them to tee off on Chicago starter Richard. Kansas City is our 15* AL Game of the Week.

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Savannah Sports

3* Dodgers / Cubs Under 8

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Re: FRIDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Al Demarco

5 Dime - Denver Nuggets

In Game Four on Monday in Denver, the Nuggets outrebounded LA 58-40, outscored the Lakers by 18 in the paint, and rolled to a 19-point win despite Carmelo Anthony scoring just 15 points and missing 17-of-24 three-point attempts.

In Game Five on Wednesday in Los Angeles, the Nuggets still outrebounded LA 43-42, but they got outscored in the paint 54-36 and lost by nine despite watching Kobe Bryant score just 22 points.

The big difference in the two contests was in Game Five Denver couldn't hit the broad side of a barn, missing 11 consecutive shots at one point as LA rallied from a seven-point deficit and took control of the game with a 23-5 run that bridged the third and fourth quarters. And it didn't help that the Nuggets were awful once more from beyond the arc, again missing 17-of-24 three-pointers launched.

The other difference was in the way the contest was officiated. In Game Four at Denver, the Lakers were flagged for 31 fouls versus 24 for the Nuggets. But in Game Five at the Staples Center, LA got the benefit of the homecourt advantage as Denver was whistled for 30 personals, eight more than the Lakers.

Phil Jackson moaned about the perceived inequality of officiating after Game Four. It was George Karl's turn to question the disparity after Game Five. Don't be surprised to see a looser game called tonight as the officials let both teams play. And that would give the Nuggets - who want and need to get out on the break in transition at every opportunity - the advantage. That would once again open up the outside for their three-point shooting and get Chauncey Billups, who took just two shots in the fourth quarter of Game Five, more involved in the offense.

In the regular season meetings, Denver was consistently hammered on the boards by the Lakers, but this series has seen the Nuggets - especially Anthony, Kenyon Martin, Nene and Chris Andersen - attack the glass. Their collective effort has put a damper on LA's fastbreak opportunities.

Denver should be up 3-2 in this series rather than facing elimination tonight, but its Game One meltdown has left them in a do-or-die situation. But as I've written many times in my blog over the past couple of weeks, the Lakers have repeatedly failed to take advantage of opportunities to put their opponents away on the road. Remember Games Four and Six at Houston in the second round? Or even Game Four of this series?

The oddsmakers know the public is going to be on Denver tonight; thus the heavy price you're paying. But this game goes either one of two ways: the Nuggets roll in a double-digit blowout or they lose outright. I chose the former.

As for the price, buy a little insurance. If you've got Denver -5, buy down the 1/2 point to make the Nuggets a 4 1/2 point chalk so you get the win should they prevail only by five.

If you've got Denver -5 1/2, buy down to -5 so you get the push should the Nuggets only win by five points.

If for some reason you're left with -6, despite price-shopping, buy down to -5 1/2 so you get the win should the Nuggets prevail by six.

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Re: FRIDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Robert Ferringo

Take L.A. Angels (-170) over Seattle

Take L.A. Angels (-1.5, +115) over Seattle

Take Philadelphia (-160) over Washington

Take N.Y. Mets (-165) over Florida

Take Texas (-105) over Oakland

If game one loses
Take Texas (-150) over Oakland

Take Milwaukee (+105) over Cincinnati

Take San Diego (+115) over Colorado

Take St. Louis (+110) over San Francisco

Take Detroit (+110) over Baltimore

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DOC

4 Units Denver Nuggets

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Re: FRIDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

C-Stars Sports

1000 Units Top Play Denver minus the points over Lakers
1000 Units Pittsburgh over Houston
1000 Units Florida/Mets UNDER the total

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Re: FRIDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Steven Budin-CEO
FRIDAY'S PICK CALI-CARTEL

25 DIME RELEASE
Denver Nuggets


Note from Steve Budin:

As I release this selection from the Cali-Cartel, I see the line on this game is anywhere from Denver -5 to -5 1/2.

If you have -5 1/2, buy down the 1/2 point to Denver -5 so you get at least a push should the Nuggets only win by five points.

If you have -5, buy down the 1/2 point to Denver -4 1/2 so you get a win should the Nuggets only win by five points.

If this line increases - or you get stuck with Denver at -6 despite shopping around - you would still buy down the 1/2 point to make the Nuggets a 5 1/2 point favorite, guaranteeing a win should they prevail only by six points.

Take it from a former bookmaker and the guy who fathered the offshore sportsbook industry: we're using the power of money - our bulging bankroll - against the bookmaker in these cases.

Why not buy a little extra insurance at a few cents on the dollar to protect your investment? As CEO of a multi-million dollar company I can tell you it's the right move, just like I knew it was the right move when as a bookmaker I saw smart players doing the same thing when the opportunity presented itself.

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Re: FRIDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Winning Way Sports

2.5 units on Detroit Tigers +110
- Willis & Bergesen

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Re: FRIDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Nick Bogdanovich

Medium - LA Lakers (+5½) over Nuggets

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Re: FRIDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Jake Timlin
Friday's Action
1000♦ Denver Nuggets

Take Denver minus the game six points.

Going big and doing so for a reason as I fully expect for the Nuggets to roll by double digits at home tonight. You see if there is one team in the playoffs knows how to bounce back it’s the Nuggets as so far in these playoffs Denver is a perfect 4-0 SU/ATS when following a loss. Now factor in that Denver with their 19 point game four win the Nuggets are 40-9 straight up on the season, including 7-1 at home in the playoffs and you start to see why I expect for this series to head back to Los Angeles for a game seven on Sunday. Meanwhile, helping out will be the Lakers who have yet to prove they can win important back to back games this postseason (remember their 15 point loss at Houston in game six last round) and I don’t see that trend changing tonight. Flat out, like most people I look for this series to game seven games and it will as Denver stays alive thanks to a double digit burial of the Lakers tonight at home.

All Denver!

200♦ Boston Red Sox

Meanwhile, on the diamond I just can’t pass up on the Red Sox tonight as they open up the weekend series against the Bluejays a winner. Yes backed by Wakefield who has won 4 of this last 5 starts and facing a Toronto team that has now lost their last 9 games tonight’s call on Boston is a no brainer. After all it was Wakefield’s 2-1 victory ten days ago that started the Bluejays losing skid as Boston sweep a three game series at home. Well continuing to make life tough for the Bluejays take the Red Sox as they open their weekend series north of the border with a easy win.

All Boston!

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Re: FRIDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Wayne Root
CC - Denver Nuggets
Mill - San Diego
Billionaire - Clev Indians

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Re: FRIDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

DESTROY THE BOOK SPORTS
5/29/09- Friday

NBA
20*DESTROYER GOY DENVER-5

MLB
10*NL GOM ATLANTA-127
7*TEXAS -102 GM1 OF DH
7*TAMPA BAY-135
5*CHW/KC OVER 9
5*HOU/PITT. UNDER10

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Smart Money
05/29/09
MLB Wiseguys just took #956 Pittsburgh.
MLB Wiseguys just hit #961 San Diego OVER

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Re: FRIDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Mike Rose

5* Det Over 10.5
3* Cleve Over 9
3* Cinn -12
2* Atl -25
2* Sea +62

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Re: FRIDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Mike Lineback

NBA | May 29 '09 (9:05p)
Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets Total
208½ ov-109 at 5dimes

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Re: FRIDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Mikey Sports

TOP PLAY

Florida Marlins +155

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Re: FRIDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

SportsOddsAndPicks

NBA Playoffs

OVER 209 POINTS LA Lakers at Denver

Major League Baseball

Detroit at Baltimore OVER 10.5
BOSTON -130 (with Wakefield) over Toronto

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Re: FRIDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

ASA

Lakers at Nuggets
Pick: Under 209.5

I’m pretty confident we won’t see a 78 point fourth quarter as we did in the last game played in Denver. Going into the 4th quarter of that game the two teams had combined to score just 143 total points which had it on pace to say WAY below the posted number. In four of the five games of this series the two teams have combined for less points per game than the posted total of 209 on tonight’s game.

We mentioned in our last pick on this series (under in Game #5…winner) that the Lakers were going to focus on getting the ball inside on offense which typically means a slower paced game. That’s exactly what they did as the L.A. ‘bigs’ (Gasol, Bynum and Odom) combined to shot 50% from the field in scoring 42 points. For the game the Lakers scored 54 points in the paint and shot over 48% as a team.

Going on the road we expect the Lakers to stick to what worked so well in the last game which will keep this game from being high scoring. You can also add in the fact that the Lakers have shot just 41.5% in their last game on this court so don’t expect the Lakers to eclipse 100 points tonight.

Both defenses have played well as the Lakers are allowing just 42.9% shooting in this series while the Nuggets are allowing just 44.3% in the same five games. On the season the Nuggets allowed foes to shoot just 43.6% in Denver and they’ll put the clamps on L.A. tonight.

Ten of the last twelve meetings between the Lakers and Nuggets have stayed ‘under’ the total The Lakers have played ‘under’ in 8 of their last nine versus a Western Conference foe. We side with the ‘under’ in this game.

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