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THURSDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Re: THURSDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Dave Malinsky

4* BALTIMORE ORIOLES -110 over Detroit Tigers

For a team in last place, the Baltimore Orioles have played some decent baseball being in the A.L. East simply does that to a team. What is also does is to under-rate them when stepping out of that difficult division, one that is a collective 10 games over .500 against outside competition this season. This game provides a classic example. 28 of 47 Baltimore games have come against teams that currently sport winning records, while only 16 of 45 Detroit opponents are over .500. And the David Hernandez vs. Armando Galarraga matchup gives us the tools to take advantage this opportunity. The Orioles have been careful to not rush Hernandez, but his numbers show that he is more than ready for the challenge of a Major League mound. He was given a full season at AA ball LY, working to a 10-4/2.68 with 166 strikeouts vs. only 112 hits allowed, and in eight starts at AAA this season it was a 3-1/2.91 with a dominating count of 60 strikeouts vs. only 33 hits allowed. He enters on a run of back-to-back shutouts in which he struck out 20 while allowing only five hits, and not only does his presence bring a spark tonight, but also the fact that the rest of the team is on a major high after making that dramatic rally to beat Toronto on Wednesday, getting a season-high 18 hits in the process (six different players had multiple hits). They were particularly buoyed by the return of Luke Scott, who went 2-4 with a home run and three rbi?s, and the addition of another big left-handed bat matters in this matchup against Galarraga. There may not have been a bigger surprise in the Major Leagues Ly than the Detroit right-hander, an unheralded prospect that turned in a solid 13-7/3.03 campaign. But after getting off to a good start this season the wheels have come off ? he has worked to an 0-4/9.93 over five May starts, and has been every bit as bad as that suggests, with eight home runs allowed in 22.2 innings, and more walks than strikeouts through that span. And it was not as though he was pitching batting practice in the All Star game ? the five teams he has faced in May are a collective 30 games under .500. His biggest weakness is allowing the long ball to left-handed hitters, with 25 blasts in 466 at-bats the past two seasons, and the combination of the Oriole lineup and the friendly right field wall at Camden Yards makes this a particularly difficult matchup for him.

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IceDragon wrote:


Blade wrote:


Ferringo

Take 'Over' 11.0 Tampa Bay at Cleveland

Take Tampa Bay (-110) over Cleveland

Ferringo 5-28

Take #907 Boston (-135) over Minnesota (1:10 p.m.)
Take #909 Detroit (+130) over Baltimore (7 p.m.)
Take #904 Arizona (-125) over Atlanta (9:40 p.m.)

Added

Take #901 L.A. Dodgers (+125) over Chicago Cubs (8 p.m.)

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Bob Balfe

Cavs -7.5 over Magic

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DESTROY THE BOOK SPORTS

MLB
10*NL DOG OF THE MONTH - ATLANTA +110

NBA
5*CLEVELAND -7.5

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Brandon Lang

10 Dime Cavaliers (first half)

10 Dime Orioles

10 Dime Dodgers

5 Dime Twins

5 Dime Magic

Free pick - Magic/Cavaliers Over

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Dr Guru

12* Detroit/Baltimore Over

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C-Stars Sports

1000 Units Top Play Cleveland minus the points over Orlando
50 units Boston over Minnesota
50 Units Cubs over Dodgers

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Jeff Benton

30 Dime: CAVALIERS in the First Half ONLY (minus the points vs. Magic)

SPECIAL NOTE: This is a first-half play on Cleveland ONLY! Again, you're to play Cleveland minust the points in the first half!

Cavaliers (First Half ONLY)

Surprised? Surprised after riding the Magic four straight times and cashing four straight winners in this series that I would jump off Orlando tonight in Game 5 despite the fact it has all the momentum while the Cavaliers have all the pressure. Despite the fact the Magic have OWNED Cleveland? Despite the fact I’ve been telling you for more than a week now that Orlando is a terrible matchup for the Cavaliers? Allow me to explain.

First off, even though they’ve had major problems with the Magic for the last two-plus seasons, I have no doubt that the Cavaliers are going to win this game tonight and force a Game 6. Not to go all Oliver Stone on you, but you can be sure that the NBA has sent word to its officiating crew tonight to, well, let’s just say protect the home team, much the same way that the Lakers were protected versus the Nuggets last night. I am not, however, 100 percent confident that Cleveland can cover this big number for the entire game, because, A) they haven’t shown all season they can cash against Orlando, and B) they’ve been prone to second-half collapses in this series.

On the other hand, the Cavs have been an outstanding first-half team in this series. Get this: In Games 1 and 2 at home, Cleveland led Orlando 63-48 and 56-44 at the break, easily cashing the first-half ticket in both games. Then in Game 3 in Orlando, the Cavs trailed just 42-41 after two periods, but they came back in Game 4 on Tuesday and had a 58-50 halftime advantage.

In fact, if you check out Cleveland’s boxscores in their six playoff home games so far, you’ll see they led at halftime in every contest by the following margins: 12, 14, 5, 24, 15 and 12 points. And they covered the spread in five of those six games, and with one more bucket in Game 1 against Atlanta, the Cavs would be 6-for-6 in first halves at home.

Bottom line: If there’s one thing I’m absolutely certain of tonight it’s that the Cavs are going to come out like a team possessed, and nobody more so than LeBron James. At the same time, the Magic have come out flat in the first half in every game of this series so far, getting outscored by an average margin of 54.5 to 46. Now, up 3-1 in this series, it would only be natural for Orlando to lack focus and intensity in this contest, at least early on. If that happens, there’s a very good chance the Cavaliers will go into the locker room at the half up 20-plus points.

Simply put, without question the best value on the board tonight is the first half of this Game 5 showdown in Cleveland. Look for the Cavaliers to make an early statement and pounce on Orlando from the opening tip and cash easily.

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Jimmy Boyd

Orlando at Cleveland
Play: Cleveland -7.5

The Cavaliers will play their best game of the series tonight on their home floor where they are 44-3 this season.  Cleveland will be very dangerous tonight because it will be fighting to stay alive in the postseason and also because it will be playing with nothing to lose.  Now the pressure is on Orlando to close this thing out.  Bottom line, Cleveland wins Game 4 on the road rather easily if the Magic don't go off for 17 three pointers and they won't make near that many on the road tonight.  The Cavaliers are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games following a SU loss, 14-4-1 ATS in their last 19 playoff games as a favorite, and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  Also, Cleveland is 13-2 ATS off a road loss this season, 14-4 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season, and 17-6 ATS after a close loss by 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.  The public is all over the Magic tonight so the books are looking to cash in big with a Cleveland cover.  We'll go against the grain for another big winner. 

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Brian Edwards

Orlando at Cleveland
Play: Over 190.5

The 'over' is 3-1 in this series and 4-1 in the last five head-to-head meetings between these teams. The main reason for these 'overs' is moderately low totals and tons of fouls and trips to the charity stripe. As the play gets more physical, the more officials try to keep the games under control (well, L.A. and Denver last night was an exception, but that's because the refs swallowed the whistles and allowed both teams to beat each other up in the fourth quarter) and free-throws galore obviously help 'over' backers. So did 3-pointers galore by the Magic, who hit 17 in Game 4 and hoisted 44. We'll get another 'over' winner tonight.

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Bob Donahue

Orlando Magic at Cleveland Cavaliers
Pick: Orlando +7.5

Of course this is a must win for the Cleveland Cavaliers, and that is exactly the reason why we are taking the Orlando Magic. Due to the "have to win", we are getting tremendous line value on the visitors. Look for another tight game as they all have been in this series, and 7 1/2 is just too many for this contest.

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Indian Cowboy

4 Unit Play. Take the Over 190 (190.5 is fine too) between the Orlando Magic @ Cleveland Cavaliers

4 Unit Play. Take Under 9 between the LA Dodgers @ Chicago Cubs

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Trace Adams

1500* - Orlando Magic
500* - Detroit

2 of the first 4 games in this series have been decided by just 1-point. Tuesday's game was decided by a basket in overtime, and the other game contested was a 10-point Magic win. Now you want to give me 7-plus points with underdog Orlando this evening?!?!?!

Really!?!?!?!?

OK, I am game!

Orlando has shown not just in this series, but during the regular season that they just match up well with the # 1 seeded Cavaliers, and boy is it evident in this series, as the Magic has a strangle-hold now, up 3 games to 1.

The Magic has now won 7 of the last 9 series meetings straight up, and they are on a 19-7-1 spread run in this series the last 27 meetings.

No way I am going against Orlando in this spot. Cleveland needs to show me they can put this team away, and I just don't see it happening.

1500♦ - Orlando Magic


Baltimore just enjoyed feasting on the fading Blue Jays, but I don't see the feast continuing against a Detroit team that is also off a Wednesday win, and has won 8 of their last 11.

Sure, it is easy to go against Armando Galarraga right now, as the righty has now lost his last 4 decisions, and in pretty ugly fashion, but you can't tell me he is not the more battle-tested starter in this lineup tonight?

David Hernandez will make his major league debut, and my money is on the first place Central Division-leading Tigers to get some run support for Galarraga, and get him back on track.

Take the Tigers.

500♦ - Detroit w/Galarraga over Hernandez

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Charlie

500* Cleveland -7'
30* Orlando @ Cleveland Under 190
20* Dodgers +120
20* Arizona -125
10* Minnesota +115

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Tony George

Orlando Magic

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Marc Lawrence

Cleveland Cavaliers

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Bob Balfe

Magic/Cavaliers Under

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JB Sports

Cleveland Cavaliers

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Lenny Del Genio

Cleveland Cavaliers

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Stephen Nover

Magic/Cavaliers Under

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