WEDNESDAY PREMIUM SERVIVE PLAYS

Re: WEDNESDAY PREMIUM SERVIVE PLAYS

Brandon Lang
Wednesday
15 Dime Nuggets
5 Dime Tigers
5 Dime Mariners


Free pick - Under Nuggets/Lakers


15 Dime Nuggets - I honestly believe this statement tonight: a trip to the NBA Finals is on the line tonight when these two take the court. Two ways to look at it, and that would be LA wins big to steal the momentum, or the Nuggets keep it close enough before stealing one on the road and heading back to Denver.Oh my ... will the NBA and David Stern be dealing with the Magic and Nuggets in the NBA Finals? A marketing nightmare for sure, but one thing is certain in these Western Conference Finals, ain't no team winning by a touchdown!Forget the fact the Nuggets are getting "too physical" for the Zen Master and the biggest cry baby in the league, they're flat-out getting it done against Los Angeles. They're reminding everyone they were the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference, and when you get to this point in the playoffs, none of that matters anyway. The lower-seeded Magic are up 3 games to 1, and the tattooed, physical, rough-and-tumble Nuggets have seized momentum against Los Angeles.Whether or not they win this game remains to be seen, but they're sure capable of knocking off LA, I know that much. They're capable of winning the first half, and holding the Lakers off through the third, knowing the fourth quarter is all the purple and gold shows up for.Denver's bench is playing ball. Denver's stars are playing ball. Dahnte Jones is tripping things up (couldn't resist) to put fear into the Lakers. George Karl has the defensive prowess he loves to employ working well.This is a team that is playing very aggressive, and I don't think the Lakers are used to that, nor are they in a position to figure out how to attack back. They're not used to being bullied.Tonight the Nuggets are going to keep things close and win or lose, stay inside the number.


5 Dime Tigers - Like the way this kid Rick Porcello overcame the rough start to his first month in the majors - 1-3 with a 6.23 ERA in April - and has becoming dominating during May, winning his last four starts and posting a 1.13 ERA. This kid has allowed three runs over 24 innings and is clearly going to be a part of the rotation this summer. And while I know the Tigers have dropped three of four after a season-high seven-game winning streak, they are in a good position to swing the sticks in this matinee, after being shut down by Zack Grienke last night. Today they get Kyle Davies, who is more of a straight-away kind of pitcher and who will make enough mistakes to get us the money.


5 Dime Mariners - Like our chances with Erik Bedard, who is 3-3 with a 3.07 ERA in nine starts against Oakland, and who hasn't allowed a run in his last 16 innings versus the Athletics. In his first meeting against the Athletics this season he gave up three hits and struck out seven over 8-1/3 innings of a 1-0 victory at Oakland on April 12. It adds to the domination of the A's over his career, as the southpaw has allowed one run and six hits over 22 innings, while striking out 22 batters in his last three starts against them. I know the A's have won three in a row and the common MLB system play is to take the home team to makeit four in a row, and that Seattle has lost five straight on the road; but Bedard is just what the doctor ordered tonight.

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Re: WEDNESDAY PREMIUM SERVIVE PLAYS

Savannah Sports
Todays Selections
NBA Basketball
3 (***) Denver +6
MLB
3 (***) Minnesota Twins

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S P O R T R E N D S

MLB
Cardinals +132
Mets -120
D'Backs +142
Blue Jays -154
White Sox +185

NBA
Nuggets +6

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Re: WEDNESDAY PREMIUM SERVIVE PLAYS

Allen Eastman

5-Unit Play. Take Minnesota (-125) over Boston

This is my Game of the Week. I think that the Twins are playing really well at home and that this is their chance to get a leg up on the series with Boston. A perfect example of how good the Twins are at home is today’s starter Kevin Slowey. Slowey is 13-3 in his last 16 home starts and the Twins are 45-16 in their last 61 games as a home favorite. After a nice comeback win last night I think it carries over and Minnesota gets the ‘W’ today.

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Bill Marzano

Nuggets at Lakers
Pick: Nuggets +6.5

I really like the Denver Nuggets + the points in this game vs the LA Lakers...I think Denver could steal this game and win outright...Denver has played better overall in this series and I think are the better team...LA's bench has been outplayed the entire series...Denver has more scoring threats than the Lakers and I think are playing better defensively...the Nuggets are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 10 points...6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog...14-3 ATS in their last 17 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game...21-5 ATS in their last 26 games overall...Denver + the points is the play.

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Scott Rickenbach

2* Top Play

Denver at LA Lakers
Play: Denver +6

The Lakers are wearing down and we’ll gladly grab the half-dozen points here as Los Angeles will be challenged just to win this game…let alone cover what will be a mountain of a point spread for them. Keep in mind, the Lakers got a much needed break after dispatching of the Jazz in just five games to open up the post-season. However, they followed that up with a grueling series against the Rockets that went the full seven games. Then, they had just one day off before having to meet the Nuggets and the Lakers have now been battling it out with Denver in a tightly contested series that is 2-2 so far. Tonight’s game will be the Lakers 6th in 11 days and 12th in 24 days. Conversely, the Nuggets are playing just their 5th game in 14 days and 8th game in 22 days! Denver has been afforded some nice breaks throughout the post-season as they dispatched of both the Hornets and Mavericks in just five games each!

We see the wear and tear showing up for the Lakers as they were outrebounded by 17 boards in Monday’s Nuggets win. Los Angeles is finding out how much more difficult the paint is to navigate when facing a team with a loaded frontcourt. Hilario, Martin, and Andersen were rebounding machines in the Game Four win and Nuggets coach Karl is pushing for continued aggressiveness in Game Five. Coach Karl has already correctly noted that the chance to steal another game in Los Angeles is greater in Game Five than it would be in Game Seven. In other words, there will be no let-up from the Nuggets tonight as they continue to play aggressive and play their style and push the tempo. Gasol is calling for the ball more for the Lakers but he’s quickly getting double teamed as soon as he gets the ball and he is a finesse player who is up against a very physical Nuggets frontcourt.

We understand the line the odds maker posted here because it relates to everyone expecting Los Angeles to bounce back at home. We just don’t see that happening. The Nuggets lost Game One in Los Angeles but the Lakers biggest lead in the game was four points. Then, in Game Two, the Nuggets won outright. In Game Three, the Lakers stole won in Denver but the biggest lead for either team the entire game was eight points and Los Angles used a 32-18 fourth quarter to get the win. On Monday, the Nuggets bounced back with a huge win and, as you can see from the above, is there really any justification for the Lakers to be expected to win this game by a sizable margin? The answer to that is truly a no. The Lakers biggest lead in Game Four was a single point. They’ve just not been able to put away the Nuggets in any of these games. They won Game One but never led by more than four points and, when Los Angles won Game Three, they did on the strength of a rare fourth quarter collapse for Denver. We are very comfortable backing the fresher, stronger, and more physical team here as the series goes on and as the point spread is simply too high for Los Angeles here. Play Denver plus the points as a Top Play selection.

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Mark Fox

Denver at LA Lakers
Play: Under 209.5

In this western Conference Finals Game 5 between the Denver Nuggets and Los Angeles Lakers, take the total to stay UNDER the posted number!!!

We will still stick to a low scoring contest in Game 5 as we were looking great to hit the UNDER 211 in game 4 as they had 143 combined points after 3 periods, BUT went off the sheet with 78 combined points in the 4th quarter!!!

More UNDER Trends:

# The UNDER is 9-3 in the Nuggets L12 ROAD games
# The UNDER is 11-1 in the Nuggets L12 games as playoff underdogs between 5 & 10.5 points
# The UNDER is 7-1 in the Lakers L8 overall games
# The UNDER is 8-1 in the Lakers L99 Conference Finals games
# The UNDER is 7-1 in the Lakers L8 games vs. Western Conference opponents
# The UNDER is 6-0 in the Lakers L6 games as postseason favorites
# The UNDER is 9-4 in the Lakers L13 HOME games as favorites between 5 & 10.5 points

The UNDER is 9-2 in the L11 meetings between the 2 teams!!!

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DOC

4-Unit Play Take Denver/LA Lakers Under 209½

In Game 4 there were a whopping 78 points scored in the fourth quarter and we think that this was an aberration and that really skewed the result of the game in a series that has clearly been an under series thus far. Most of this game was well on pace for the under until the fourth quarter and even if only 60 points had been scored in that quarter, hypothetically, (which would have still been the highest scoring quarter in the game) the total would have gone well under the posted number. As a result we are getting an even better total tonight and we think that both teams will be playing strong defense tonight as this is another one of these critical games where the winner takes a big advantage in the series. The under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings.


3-Unit Play #517 Take Denver +6 Over LA Lakers

Denver has really been one of the best bets in the NBA down the stretch and in the playoffs and they have covered 21 of their last 26 games. We had this game capped at 4 and we think that we would have a lean towards Denver at that number anyways and we think there is some nice value here at this number. We expect a hard-fought game here and one that should come down to the end and it would not surprise us to see the Nuggets steal another one in LA and we think this is a very public number tonight.


NHL

5 Unit Play. Take Detroit Over Chicago -1½ +125


MLB

3-Unit Play Take Minnesota Twins -115 over Boston Red Sox

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Tony George

Cincinnati Reds

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Marc Lawrence

LA Lakers

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Lenny Del Genio

LA Lakers

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Ron Raymond

White Sox/Angels Over

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Nick Parsons

Nuggets/Lakers Under

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Re: WEDNESDAY PREMIUM SERVIVE PLAYS

slappingtheman.yolasite.com

bud smith free play cleve/tampa over 11 1*
fran copeland free play lakers/nuggets under 209.5 1*

bud smith pd plays
white sox/angels over 9 3*
houston +136 8* NL game of the month
houston/cincy over 9.5 3*
zona/sd under 9 10* NL total of the month

fran copeland pd plays
lakers -6 10* NBA western conference game of the year

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Dave Malinsky

4* Cincy

4* Cleveland

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Blade wrote:


Erin Rynning

20* Texas

Playmaker: Lakers

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Re: WEDNESDAY PREMIUM SERVIVE PLAYS

Smooth44

(mlb) 1:05pm Est
St. Louis +125

(mlb) 2:10pm Est
Detroit -110

(mlb) 7:05pm Est
Florida +185

(mlb) 8:05pm Est
White Sox +185

(nba) 8:10pm Est
Boston +125

(nba) 9:05pm Est
Denver +6
***Knockout Punch Of The Day***

(nba) 9:05pm Est
Denver ML +230

(nba) 9:05pm Est
Denver Under 210 Under -120

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No Vegas Runner or others from that site Thanks wink

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Underground Sports Connection

200* Chicago White Sox

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