TUESDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Re: TUESDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Craig Davis

30 Dime Astros

Blade
useravatar
Offline
208189 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Scott Delaney

40 DIME HOUSTON ASTROS (WITH Oswalt) - I know the Astros have dropped five straight to tie a season high, and I know Roy Oswalt comes into this one having allowed a minimum of three runs in four straight starts, while failing to last seven innings in any of them; but the fact is the Astros couldn’t ask for a better opponent and a better pitcher to shake off both funks.

They call him the Reds killer, he’s taking the hill tonight and I’m jumping into this one head first.

Houston is a stunning 24-6 when right-hander Roy Oswalt toes the slab against the Reds, and an even more remarkable 12-2 when he starts in Cincinnati. And how about this number: Oswalt brings in a lifetime 23-1 record against the Reds along with a 2.35 ERA.

Oswalt is a perfect 8-0 in 10 starts against the Reds the past three years, and surprisingly, the only two game he didn’t win over that duration was this season, despite a pair of outstanding performances. The fiery hurler gave up just one run over 13 innings in those contests.

Houston should get the run support he’ll need against Micah Owings, who is looking to halt a personal two-game skid and comes in after getting shellacked for five runs in three innings last Thursday night in a 12-5 home loss to Philadelphia. And while I know Owings is 2-1 in his three home starts, all three have gone over and much of that is due to his 5.63 ERA at Great American Ball Park.

We’re laying the road chalk here with the Astros tonight, as Oswalt works his magic once again.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
208189 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Chris Jordan

300♦ UNDER Tigers/Royals - Where do we start with what I believe will be a low-scoring, pitchers’ duel?

The Tigers have stayed low in six of their last seven while Kansas City has stayed under in three of its last four. And with Edwin Jackson and Zack Greinke toeing the slab, I have to believe we’re making the right move with the under in this game.

Jackson has been surprisingly good through the first couple months, as the right-hander has a 2.55 ERA on the year, and that’s been bolstered by a 2-1 mark in four road starts, along with a stifling 1.33 ERA. After two second-rate campaigns with Tampa Bay, Jackson has emerged with the lowest ERA of Detroit’s rotation in 2009. He’s now 3-0 with a 1.64 ERA in his last three outings, including last Thursday, when he allowed three runs over eight frames in a 4-3 victory against Texas.

With Greinke, we have a young and hungry pitcher who is still 7-1 with a 0.82 ERA despite the fact Kansas City has lost two of the last three times he’s toed the slab. Don’t think that fat has escaped him. He’s yet to allow a home run and continues to lead the majors in ERA. Get this, he’s gone 19 straight innings against the Tigers without allowing an earned run. He’s already tossed a three-hitter April 24 versus the Tigers this year in a 6-1 victory. Greinke is 5-0 in six home starts and has a 1.05 ERA there.

Let’s play this one low

Blade
useravatar
Offline
208189 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

DAVE MALINSKY

4* Orlando
4* Indians
4* Yankees

Blade
useravatar
Offline
208189 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Wayne ROOT

Orlando magic
Texas Rangers
Minnesota Twins

Biotrends
useravatar
Offline
1857 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Mike Rose

2* Cleve +13
3* Phila Over 10
2* Stl Under 8.5
5* Minn -04

Blade
useravatar
Offline
208189 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

C-Stars Sports

5000 Units Super Lock Orlando/Cleveland OVER the total

Blade
useravatar
Offline
208189 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Bob Balfe

Orlando Magic -1

Cleveland Indians +105

Blade
useravatar
Offline
208189 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Robert Ferringo

2.5-Unit Play. Take Philadelphia (-150) over Florida

Philly shouldn't have lost last night. If not for one garbage called ball by Marvin Hudson to Wes Helms in the middle of that game (2-2 pitch was PERFECT from Moyer, called a ball, next pitch was a three-run home run) then they would have won. I think that Joe Blanton is goofy. But he always pitches well at home and has been very good pitching after a loss. The Phils are 12-3 in his last 15 home starts and they are 8-1 in his last nine home starts. The Marlins are 4-18 against a right handed starter and they are just 2-7 in Andrew Miller's last nine starts. I'm not a big Blanton guy, but I can tell you this: Miller is a mess. The Phillies are 20-8 against left handed starters, 41-14 as a favorite of -151 or higher, and they are always a good bet after a loss. Philadelphia is the better team, they are 30-11 against divisional teams, the Marlins are 10-24 in their last 34 games, and we have the better pitcher, with a team not wanting to lose the series. All of the motivation is there.


2.5-Unit Play. Take Chicago Cubs (-150) over Pittsburgh
Note: Drop to a 2-Unit Play.

We're in a similar spot with the Cubs here. The Cubs are 17-5 in their last 22 meetings with Pittsburgh. They own the Pirates. They are better than the Pirates. And this Chicago team has been dominating at home over the last three years. So it's a lot ot ask for the Pirates to come in and sweep a Cubs team that is desperate for a win. The Cubs were a little jet-lagged yesterday coming in from San Diego, and that showed with their slow start. But they are trotting out a lefty - even if he's not a very good one - and that has been Pittsburgh's Achilles Heel. The Pirates are No. 26 in the league hitting left-handed pitching. They are 23-52 against a left-handed starter, which means that they lose about two of every three games that they play against a southpaw. Also, the Pirates are going with Ian Snell, who is 1-5 this year and is 5-16 in his last 21 road starts. Snell has a 8.18 ERA in night games this year and he is 1-5 with a 5.83 ERA in his 11 career appearances against the Cubs. This play fits into one of my Runline Systems, so I would normally be throwing a run line play on top of it. But the way things are going I don't want to press my luck and I'm just looking for an outright winner.


2.5-Unit Play. Take L.A. Angels (-1.5, +110) over Chicago

The Angels got embarrassed yesterday. And if you look back over this season, teams that lost by 10 or more runs the night before are winning their next game around 75 percent of the time. The exact same thing just happened to the White Sox, who got blitzed 20-1 by the Twins and then came back to win three of their next four games. The White Sox are not a good road team and they are trotting out Bartolo Colon and his 5.79 road ERA. Also, Bart has a 7.90 ERA in night games this year and the White Sox have lost six of his last seven starts. On the other side, the Angels are going to Joe Saunders. The Angels are 44-18 in Saunders' last 62 starts. That means that he wins more than two of every three times he takes the hill. He is also 14-6 at home and he is 2-1 with a 3.96 ERA in his starts against the White Sox. The Angels have been one of the best home teams in baseball over the last six years and the White Sox are one of the worst road teams in baseball this season. So after the bad road team wins Game 1 I look for the strong home team to get back and get a 'W'.


2-Unit Play. Take Arizona (-155) over San Diego

Just another kick in the groin yesterday as the D-Backs bullpen comes back to kill them, and our wager, by blowing a 7-1 lead with six outs to go. Unreal. San Diego has won 10 straight. But because of their style they are going to be streaky all year. I think that they peaked yesterday and it's time for them to come back down to earth. Max Scherzer has shown some really good stuff this year and is far superior to Kevin Correia. The Padres are 29-60 in their last 89 games in Arizona. So they lose about two of every three times there. The Padres are also 21-58 as a road underdog. So they lose about three of every four times that they are a road dog. The Padres are also just 30-64 on the road, so they lose about two of every three road games overall (and that includes a 6-16 road record this season). So, basically, they lose about two of every three games in these situations that they are in. Well, they won yesterday. So now that we have the better pitcher and the team that performed better for 8 out of 10 innings yesterday I think we're in a position to get the victory that we should have had yesterday.


1.5-Unit Play. Take Minnesota (+105) over Boston

I don't think that Boston is going to sweep the Twins in the Metrodome. The Twins have been too good of a home team over the last five years to expect that. And since there aren't injury issues or anything that would suggest that they will play at less than 100 percent then I will bet them today and, if they lose, I will be on them tomorrow as well. The Red Sox are 11-25 on turf and they are just 5-11 in Minnesota. The Twins are 51-22 at home and Nick Blackburn is 8-1 at home against a team with a winning record. Again, I just think that a road sweep against one of the best home teams in baseball is a lot to ask.


1.5-Unit Play. Take Houston (-130) over Cincinnati

The Astros are 23-5 when Roy Oswalt starts against the Reds. That is the definition of automatic play and I would never leave this game off any card. The Astros are 10-1 when Oswalt starts in the Great American Ballpark and overall the Astros are 19-7 at Cincinnati. Further, Houston is 38-15 in its last 53 meetings with the Reds. Cincinnati is playing without Brandon Phillips, who is their best player, and the Astros are ready to snap out of a losing streak.


1.5-Unit Play. Take Kansas City (-150) over Detroit

Betting on Zach Grienke again. He is the stopper for the Royals and will help get them back in the win column. Grienke is 11-2 in his last 13 starts and he is the best pitcher in baseball right now. The Tigers have been hot, but the Tigers are not a good road team. So they won in a blowout yesterday. And along the same lines as our play on the Angels I expect the Royals to come out with some fire behind their ace and after getting embarrassed by a division rival yesterday. This is just a huge game for this franchise and I expect the Royals to perform accordingly. Grienke is 16-4 as a favorite, he is 5-2 in his last seven home starts against the Tigers, he is 6-1 against divisional opponents and he is 5-1 overall against the Tigers. Edwin Jackson is due for a down game. He is not as good as he has been throwing. And even though I think he'll hold the Royals down a bit (this game is going 'under') he will blink before Grienke does.


1.5-Unit Play. Take Toronto (-115) over Baltimore
Note: Bump to a 2-Unit Play. My info suggests that Brian Roberts might not tonight play for the O's.

Toronto has seen the wheels come off lately. But I'm a big Ricky Romero fan. And normally I would wait at least an outing before betting on him (he's coming back from injury) but I just think that the Blue Jays are due in the biggest of ways. They have been playing like hell lately. But they aren't a bad team and I can feel them ready to get over the hump. The Jays are 13-4 in their last 17 games against the Orioles. They are 38-18 against a team with a losing record and 42-19 when they are favored. So, again, we're looking at situations where our side wins about two of every three games. We have a matchup advantage on the mound so I'll take those odds. Baltimore is 15-49 in divisional games and they are 12-29 at home against a left-handed starter. The Jays are facing some kid making his MLB debut and I think that they are going to get all over this rookie.


1.5-Unit Play. Take San Francisco (-165) over Atlanta

Tim Lincecum is facing an Atlanta lineup that may again be without Chipper Jones and will have a beat-up Yunel Escobar (don't be surprised if he sits as well). The Braves are trotting out a rookie making just his second Big League start and the kid got absolutely manhandled by the Rockies last week (five runs in three innings) at home in the friendly confines of Turner Field. Now Kris Medlen is squaring off against the reigning Cy Young winner. Good luck with that. The Giants will take advantage of playing at home against a banged up Atlanta squad. The Braves weren't playing well at all until the bumblling Blue Jays came to town. So don't be fooled by their 5-2 mark in their last seven coming into San Fran.


1-Unit Play. Take St. Louis (-110) over Milwaukee

This is part of my sweep system. There are some other factors, but basically one team sweeping an opponent - especially a divisional opponent - twice in a row is extremely rare. The Cardinals were swept at home last week and lost Game 1 here. I will be taking them tonight and, if they lose, I will be taking them again tomorrow. St. Louis is getting really good pitching and I think that the line on this one (Cards being favored) speaks volumes.


Today's Totals

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.5 Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 10.5 N.Y. Yankees at Texas

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 10.0 Florida at Philadelphia

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.5 Toronto at Baltimore

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.5 St. Louis at Milwaukee

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.0 San Diego at Arizona

Blade
useravatar
Offline
208189 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Vegas Sports Informer

3 Unit Play. Take Milwaukee -105 over St. Louis

Since Jeff Suppan left the St. Louis Cardinals to join the Milwaukee Brewers, he's continued to dominate his former team. Suppan looks to win his eighth straight decision against the Cardinals - and sixth in a row with the Brewers. St. Louis is 3-14 in their last 17 games against Milwaukee.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
208189 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Allen Eastman

3-Unit Play. Take Chicago Cubs (-150) over Pittsburgh

1.5-Unit Play. Take St. Louis (-110) over Milwaukee

Blade
useravatar
Offline
208189 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

DOC

4-Unit Play Take Cleveland/Orlando Over 188

No game in this series has gone under this posted total. These teams have averaged 195 this season in six meetings head-to-head. Both teams shot well under their season percentages from the field in Game 3 and this one still did not top the posted total and we just don’t see Cleveland getting shut down again like they did in Game 3 even though we can’t trust them enough to take them as a side tonight. However, we do think that they will shoot much better than the 37% they shot from the field and they were also cold from the three-point line and foul line. We think that they make the necessary adjustments tonight to get some points on the board and we think this one winds up in the mid-190s.

NHL

2 Unit Play. Take Pittsburgh/Carolina Under 5½

Blade
useravatar
Offline
208189 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Tom Freese

20* No Brainer

Cleveland at Orlando
Play: Cleveland -1.5

Cleveland is in a 60-28 ATS System that says to Play On favorites after winning 5 or 6 of their last 7 games if they have a win percentage of 75% or higher if they are playing a team with a winning record. Orlando is in a 39-19 ATS Play Against System that says to go against any team that is off a double digit win if the scored less than 100 points if they are playing as a home underdog in this game. 20* "NO BRAINER" PLAY ON CLEVELAND

Blade
useravatar
Offline
208189 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Scott Rickenbach

2* Top Play

Cleveland at Orlando
Play: Over 188

As of early Tuesday morning, the posted total on this game is as low as a 187.5 and this is offering great value to the over. Every single game in this series has tallied at least 188 points. This includes Game Three on Sunday which, due to a higher posted total, stayed under even though it ended with 188 points. The significance here is we again get a low posted total here and, yet, there is every reason to believe that Game Four will be much higher scoring than Game Three was. In Sunday’s game, the teams combined to make just 11 of 43 three-pointers. Additionally, the Cavaliers only made 37% of their shots for the game. As for Orlando, they only had 63 shots from the field for the game! This was largely due to plenty of foul calls and trips to the free throw line in what played out as a very rough contest. We expect the “style” with which that game was played to help us out tremendously here in terms of an over. The Cavaliers saw two of their players foul out in Game Three and another player ended up with five fouls. As for the Magic, Dwight Howard fouled out and Hedo Turkoglu ended up with five fouls. Neither team wants to see key players sitting out due to foul trouble and yet they know this game is going to be called tightly.

With all the fouls – including technicals – in Game Three, the referees are clearly trying to take back control of this series. That means that both Cleveland and Orlando are likely to leave a little more open space on defense this one. Neither one wants to find themselves victimized by the quick whistle once again. Also, both teams are very likely to shoot much better after such a poor performance in Game Three. The Cavaliers really haven’t been able to stop Orlando in this series – the Magic have averaged 100 points per game. However, we also expect the Cavs to respond after being held to one of their worst offensive performances of the post-season. That’s why the play here is the over. Cleveland is desperate to tie this series up. Orlando is desperate to take a 3-1 lead and quiet the Cavaliers and their guarantees of a series victory. That spells a back and forth battle with offenses lighting it up tonight with a lot more open space to work with on the floor as the shots will fall Tuesday. Play OVER the total in Orlando as a Top Play selection.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
208189 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

JASON JOHNSON

Cavs at Magic
Pick: Magic +1.5

Orlando has out played the Cavaliers in every game of this series and if not for one of the most amazing shots we've seen by LeBron, we'd be looking at a clean sweep tonight. The Magic have dominated the paint and that's why they'll win tonights contest. Guard play can get you to a championship but you need a big man to win it and Orlando has that big man in Dwight Howard. Catching a point here is a bonus as the Magic take a 3-1 lead back to Cleveland.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
208189 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Tony George

Orlando Magic

Blade
useravatar
Offline
208189 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Mike Lineback

Orlando Magic

Blade
useravatar
Offline
208189 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Marc Lawrence

St Louis Cardinals

Blade
useravatar
Offline
208189 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

JB Sports

Cleveland Cavaliers

Blade
useravatar
Offline
208189 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Board Info

Board Stats:
 
Total Topics:
44344
Total Polls:
2
Total Posts:
275571
Average Posts Per Hour:
3.5
User Info:
 
Total Users:
3461
Newest User:
Johnny Galloway
Members Online:
0
Guests Online:
1727

Online: 
There are no members online

Forum Legend:

 Topic
 New
 Locked
 Sticky
 Active
 New/Locked
 Sticky/Locked

Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Contact Us | Advertising | 888-99-SPREAD

THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE – If you think you have a gambling problem click here.

Disclaimer: This site is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Individual users are responsible for the laws regarding accessing gambling information from their jurisdictions. Many countries around the world prohibit gambling, please check the laws in your location. Any use of this information that may violate any federal, state, local or international law is strictly prohibited.

Copyright: The information contained on TheSpread.com website is protected by international copyright and may not be reproduced, or redistributed in any way without expressed written consent.

About: TheSpread.com is the largest sports betting news site in the United States. We provide point spread news, odds, statistics and information to over 199 countries around the world each year. Our coverage includes all North American College and Professional Sports as well as entertainment, political and proposition wagering news.

©1999-2013 TheSpread.com