Tuesday Service Plays

Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Jimmy Boyd

1 Unit on Milwaukee Brewers +110

The Brewers were able to end their 3-game skid with a big win in extras yesterday to improve to 4-0 against St. Louis this season. With momentum back on their side, I like the Brewers again tonight, especially with as good as Suppan has been against his former club. Suppan is 7-2 when starting against St. Louis with an ERA of 2.92 and a WHIP of 1.272. His team's record is 9-3 in these starts. Milwaukee is 15-3 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season and 11-1 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. Plus, Suppan is 7-0 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 6 or less times/game over the last 2 seasons. St. Louis is a game below .500 on the road and it is just 6-10 in Milwaukee the last 3 seasons. Back the Beer Makers today.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Karl Garrett

Cleveland at ORLANDO

G-Man scored with another comp play winner yesterday, as underdog Pittsburgh was a winner at Chicago.

Now 6-1 the last 7 days with my comp plays!

NBA action tonight, as let's take the Cavs-Magic UNDER the posted total as my Tuesday comp play winner.

Sunday's game held UNDER the posted price to make it 7 of the last 10 playoff games the Cavaliers have played landing on the LOW side.

Orlando has been on a pronounced UNDER run at home, as 27 of their last 38 games at Amway Arena have played UNDER the total.

In this series, 5 of the last 8 meetings have landed LOW.

Look for Game 4 of this best-of-seven series to land UNDER the posted total.

4♦ UNDER

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

GINA

Cleveland Cavaliers at Orlando Magic

Go with the Magic to snatch a win and go up 3-1 over the Cavaliers tonight at home. LeBron can't do it alone and Orlando's is playing sound defense making it a difficult task for the Cavaliers. Orlando is 6-1 both straight-up and against the spread in its last 7 games versus Cleveland, 6-1 ATS in the last seven at home.

Orlando Magic +1½


Houston Astros at Cincinnati Reds

Go with Houston with Roy Oswalt on the hill. The struggling Astros will have their best opportunity to end their five game losing streak. The right-hander hasn't been to form, but has dominated the Reds and hopefully will continue to overwhelm Cincinnati. Oswalt is 23-1 with a 2.35 ERA in his career versus the Reds, 12-2 in Cincinnati. The Astros have won ten of Oswalt 11 starts against the Reds at Great American Ball Park.

Houston Astros -125

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Mr A

Orlando Magic +1

New York Mets -155

Minnesota Twins -105


MLB Computer Picks

New York Mets -155
Milwaukee Brewers +105
Chicago White Sox +170

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Johnny Guild

Cleveland Cavaliers at Orlando Magic

Cleveland’s superstar LeBron James has played his part, but without the help from his teammates and a bench that hasn’t played a role in this series, it doesn’t look good for the Cavaliers. The Magic were a thorn for Cleveland in the regular season and continue to be in the playoffs. Take Orlando on their home court against the suddenly baffle Cavaliers. The Magic are 6-1 ATS in the last seven clashes against the Cavaliers in the Sunshine State.

Orlando Magic +1.5

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Scott Delaney

Chicago, which returns home from a 0-6 road trip, has lost eight straight, and you never know when it will score runs. The Pirates’ starter today has a 5.46 ERA the last five times he’s faced the Cubbies.

Fact is, both offenses could erupt for some sick number tonight, and I’m playing this one over.

Let’s start with Pittsburgh’s Ian Snell, who is 1-5 on the year with a 4.88 ERA. He’s 0-4 on the road with a 4.76 ERA, and is 0-3 with a 5.23 ERA in his last six starts since beating Atlanta on April 18. And with the Cubs under the gun to produce some offense, this could be the spot they explode for a ton.

On the other hand, I’m not exactly comfortable in taking a team that is losing the way Chicago is. And with Sean Marshall going, I think we could see some fireworks from Pittsburgh’s side of the plate. Although the southpaw is 1-0 in three starts against the Pirates, he also sports a 5.51 ERA against them. He’s 0-1 with a 4.26 ERA in three home stats, all of which have gone over.

The over is 4-1 the last five times these two have met, so let’s play this one high.

Pirates/Cubs OVER

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Matt Rivers

For Tuesday take some coin back with the Dodgers.

Certainly I would rather have Aaron Cook these days over Eric Milton but all in all the Dodgers, even without Manny, are a better club than the Rockies and to get a pretty penny back today is enough to give it a go on the blue.

Los Angeles seems to have recovered after struggling once they lost their best player and with a bunch of, granted not great, but quality players like Furcal, Pierre, Loney, Kemp, Ethier, Martin and others I will take my chances today with the visitors at Coors.

Colorado is a mediocre team these days, period. The World Series losing squad from a few years ago is just not this team. I definitely love the way Todd Helton has rebounded of late and Atkins, Hawpe and Tulowitzki and a few others are solid ballplayers but the Rockies are not as good as the Dodgers and even with the superior hurler are giving too much.

Cook is a former All-Star and a guy that just looked great in that last start in Atlanta but he is still not a pitcher that I fully trust and certainly can get hit today.

Milton is, no doubt, past his prime and will not throw another no-hitter, that I can promise you, but the lefty is trying to stay up in the bigs and should be more than motivated today.

The bottom line is that this price is a bit too much and a small play on the dog is certainly therefore on the docket.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Vernon Croy

Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals    
Play: Detroit Tigers   

We are getting solid value here Tuesday night with the Tigers because Grinke has been lights out this season for the Royals but the Royals have lost in 2 of his last 3 starts. Edwin Jackson (4-2, 2.55) has been lights out for the Tigers this season and he is 3-0 with an ERA of just 1.64 over his last 3 starts. Jackson is 2-1 on the road with an ERA of just 1.33 over 4 starts and the Royals bats are cold right now hitting just .223 as a team while averaging just 2.6 rpg over their last 7 games. The Tigers had 19 hits last night in a 13-1 rout over the Royals and they already faced Greinke once this season which is an advantage when facing him again tonight. The Tigers are now 11-2 in their last 13 games played on grass and they are 6-1 in their last 7 games after a win. The Royals are just 1-6 in their last 7 games as a favorite and they are just 6-16 in Greinke's last 22 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. It doesn't matter how well Greinke pitches tonight because with no run support the Tigers will come away with the win playing small ball at a very nice price. Take the Detroit Tigers as my MLB Free Play for Tuesday night.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Steve Merril

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies    
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers +1.5

The Rockies were in a solid situation yesterday as a home favorite, but they were still destroyed by the Dodgers 16-6. This is a negative indicator tonight and the Dodgers present value as a +1.5 dog on the run line as they have the much stronger offense and bullpen. Going for Los Angeles is Eric Milton who is making his second start this season. His first time out he gave up two runs and two hits in four innings against the Marlins in Florida. Milton is 2-1 against the Rockies with an ERA of 4.66. The Rockies might also be without starting 1B Todd Helton who left yesterday’s game due to a migraine. Going for Colorado is Aaron Cook who is 3-1 with a 4.68 ERA and five Overs in nine starts. Cook is 2-0 with a 3.60 ERA and two Overs in four starts at home. Already this season his team has lost 9-5 and 6-5 to the Dodgers with him on the hill. Overall, Cook is 5-6 with a 4.03 ERA and a WHIP of 1.521 against Los Angeles. The Dodgers hit .303 against Cook with Orlando Hudson (15-38), Mark Loretta (12-26), Juan Pierre (8-22), Andre Ethier (9-19), James Loney (4-12), and Blake DeWitt (4-11) all doing the best against him. Los Angeles continues to perform well offensively without OF Manny Ramirez in the lineup and they expect to have both OF Andre Ethier and SS Rafael Furcal in the lineup tonight as both players have been upgraded to probable.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

John Ryan

Florida Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies    
Play: Philadelphia Phillies   

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Philadelphia as they host the Marlins. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has posted a 108-46 mark making 48 units since 1997. Play against road dogs with a money line of +100 to +150 with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities facing a NL opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season. Florida is 4-12 (-9.0 Units) against the money line versus an average bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 to 4.50 this season. The point though is that with the exception of Lidge’s struggles this Philly bullpen is getting stronger and stronger. Although the offense in Philly often gets the headlines it is the Philly bullpen that really makes this team go. Plus, JC Romero will be back very soon from his 50 game suspension and that will make this one of the best bullpens in MLB again this year. Philadelphia is 43-20 (+19.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 over the last 3 seasons. Take Philadelphia.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Tom Stryker

Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds
Play: Houston Astros -1.5/       

Off yesterday's 8-5 loss at Cincinnati, look for Houston to rebound nicely with Reds killer Roy Oswalt on the mound.

Since a loss at Cincy back on April 28th, 2006, Oswalt has ripped of a brilliant 8-0 overall record in his last 10 starts against the Reds. In his career against Cincinnati, Roy carries a stunning 23-1 lifetime record with a ridiculous 2.35 ERA!

Even though Houston has dropped a pair of one-run decisions in Oswalt's last two starts, Roy has been solid allowing just six earned runs and 16 hits in 12.1 frames. Overall, at night, No. 44 has been at his best surrendering just 11 earned runs and 36 hits in 32.1 frames. That adds up to a solid 3.06 ERA!

Cincy will counter with former Arizona Diamondbacks righty Micah Owings. In his last start at home against Philadelphia, No. 33 was rocked for five earned runs and six hits in just 3.0 frames. Cincinnati dropped that ball game 12-5 to the Phillies. Overall at home, Owings has struggled allowing 10 earned runs and 19 hits in 16.0 innings of work. That adds up to a miserable 5.62 ERA!

With Oswalt on the mound and Houston favored, the Astros have connected on 88 of their last 130 games. It's hard to fade Roy in this situation and with the price so cheap! Take Houston with listed pitcher Oswalt.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

MTi Sports

Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Indians
Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays

The Indians are 0-11 after a win in which they left 18+ men on base and the Rays are 8-0 after allowing 6+ runs and losing. Both of these trends are from THIS season only. Consider the Rays.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Wunderdog

New York Yankees at Texas
Pick: UNDER 10.5

The Rangers' offense was scoring runs at an alarming rate to opponents, but they have really cooled off as they have produced just 27 runs in their last eight games, or just over three per contest. They will have to face Joba Chamberlain who, outside of a bad start vs. Cleveland, has pitched to an ERA under three. The Yankees will have to face Kevin Millwood, who has gone at least seven innings in eight of his nine starts, and pitching to a 3.12 ERA. The Yankees have played 5-1 to the UNDER in their last six games against a team with a winning record, while the Rangers are 13-3-2 to the UNDER in Millwood's last 18 starts. I'll go with the UNDER in this one.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Jrtips

LA DODGERS vs. COLORADO

The Los Angeles Dodgers are coming off their best offensive game of the year after recording a season-high run total and matching their highest hit count of the year. They will face Rockie starting pitcher Cook tonight who is 3-1 with a 4.68 ERA. Cook gave up four runs in 1 2/3 innings May 16 before bouncing back and holding Atlanta to four hits in a 9-0 victory Thursday. Cook is 5-6 with a 4.15 ERA in 20 career games against the Dodgers. Eric Milton (0-0, 4.50) will make his second start for the Dodgers on tonight. The left-hander allowed two runs and two hits while walking four in four innings of Los Angeles' 6-3 loss at Florida last Saturday. Milton is 2-1 with a 4.66 ERA in five starts against Colorado.The Dodgers (31-15) have to feel confident about their chances against anyone after their 16-6 rout of the Rockies on Monday.James Loney, Russell Martin, Juan Castro and Matt Kemp had three hits apiece and Juan Pierre had a bases-loaded triple as Los Angeles reached 19 hits for the second time this season. The Dodgers also recorded 19 hits in a 14-2 home win over the Rockies (18-26) on April 19. The Dodgers outfielder Andre Ethier is 9 for 19 (.474) with two home runs and two doubles in his career against Cook and second baseman Orlando Hudson, who's batting .364 during a 15-game hitting streak, is 15 for 38 (.395) against him. The Dodgers bats are too hot for any one right now and they have had guys in their lineup who have had a history of success against Cook. The Dodgers give you great value tonight.

TAKE LA DODGERS+138

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Rocketman

Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds     
Play: Houston Astros   

Houston has lost 5 in a row coming into tonight's game against Cincinnati. The Cure and solution? Roy Oswalt!! Roy Oswalt is an AMAZING 22-1 with a 2.42 ERA overall vs Cincinnati since 1996. Oswalt is 1-0 his last 3 starts overall this year. Owings has a 5.62 ERA at home this year and his last 3 starts overall. Houston is 26-12 overall vs Cincinnati the past 3 years including a super 16-3 at Cincinnati the past 3 seasons. We'll recommend a small play on Houston tonight!

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Stephen Nover

Tampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Indians
PICK: Cleveland Indians

The oddsmaker has to make Tampa Bay a favorite with a pitching matchup of Matt Garza against Carl Pavano.On paper it does look like a mismatch. But this is another perfect example of why games aren't won on paper.The Indians are way underpriced here. Pavano actually hasn't been bad. He has a fat 6.10 ERA because his first couple of starts weren't good.But in his last eight starts, he's pitched 47 2/3 innings and given up just three homers with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 39-to-eight. Since his opening game, Pavano is 4-3 with a 4.53 ERA. That includes pitching on the road against the Yankees, Red Sox and Tigers. Cleveland has won four of Pavano's last five starts.By contrast, Garza has struggled when facing the Indians. He's 0-3 against them with a 6.12 ERA in five career starts.There's a strong intangible at play here, too, in that Tampa Bay suffered its greatest collapse in franchise history last night blowing a 10-0 lead in an 11-10 loss to the Indians. Cleveland rallied for seven runs in the ninth.It could take a day or two for the mentally fragile Rays to get past that searing loss. The Rays also could be psyched out playing in Cleveland where they have lost 14 straight times.Keep in mind, too, the Rays are without one of their best players with second baseman Akinori Iwamura out for the season.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Scott Rickenbach

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Carolina Hurricanes
PICK: Over 5.5 Belmont

We don't expect the Hurricanes to go down without a fight here but the problem for Carolina is that they simply can not contain the Penguins. That's why we're taking a look at the over in this match-up! Pittsburgh has already scored 16 goals in the first three games of this series and the Canes have averaged 3 goals per game in the last two games. Even though the Canes have come up short in every game in this series there has been no shortage of resolve. The Canes, despite ugly final scores in the last two games, have been in every single game so far in this series. They've been tied or at least within one goal in each of the three games in this series. So, they certainly have confidence they can play with Pittsburgh and they certainly won't "pack it in" on their home ice.

However, the issue is that the Canes just can't stop the Pens from scoring. Especially the top guys like Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin. Those are the guys that are simply pounding the Canes in this series. That continues tonight but the Canes will absolutely be doing everything they can to stay alive in this series. That means, once they're down - as they have been for most of the games in this series - they know they're going to have to open things up offensively and take some chances to have a shot at staying alive in this series. That's why this game has the makings of a high-scoring affair. Consider a small play on OVER the total in Carolina on Tuesday night.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Dennis Macklin

Houston Astros at Cincinnati Reds
Prediction: Houston Astros

Who am I to step in front of the Roy Oswalt over Cincinnati ATM visit. The Astro ace transforms into something super human when he sees a Reds uniform, to the tune of 22-1 with a 2.42 ERA in 28 career starts vs the Queen City. Houston's 26-12 L38 in the series and 16-3 in L19 visits here. Reds P Micah Owings swings a mean bat but he has to since his home ERA is 7.07 in three home starts. At less than a quarter, give me some. Take the Astros.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

King Creole

MIL (+110) vs STL

WRONG team is favored in this game. Call it what you want.... a 'hex'.... 'mojo'... whatever. But the BREWERS have had the Cardinal's number for the last year and a half. MILWAUKEE is already 3-0 vs the Redbirds in this 2009 season, and 13-2 dating back to last season. That includes 5-1 at home. Last night, it was a 1-0 thriller in extra innings.

When it comes to tonight's opponent, starter JEFF SUPPAN of the Brewers will be facing his personal 'Whippin Boys'. Suppan is "only" a PERFECT 8-0 vs St Louis in his last 8 starts dating back to the 2003 season. His ERA vs the Redbirds in those 8 starts is a microscopic 1.32. He has allowed 3 or less earned runs in ALL 8 of those starts... and 1 or less earned runs in FIVE of em! And at home 'In this Park;, the numbers are even better at 1.12. Back on May 16th (10 days ago), Suppan went seven SHUTOUT innings vs the Cardinals in another win.

In addition to his 6-1 record in his last 7 overall starts, Suppan is also a PERFECT 5--0 in his last 5 as an underdog... 26-10 vs fellow NL Central opponents... 16-5 in Game Two of a series... and 5-1 when his team allowed 2 < runs in their previous game.

ST LOUIS is a piss-poor ROAD FAVORITE, going an extremely unprofitable 3-14 in this last 17 situations. If there's one area that Adam Wainwright has struggled in this season, it's on the ROAD where his YTD ERA is 5.00... with just as many WALKS as STRIKEOUTS... and an opponent team batting average of .361. His numbers "In this Park"? An ERA of 6.00 in three starts dating back to the 2007 season.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

VEGAS EXPERTS

Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Indians

For some reason, the Cleveland Indians have the Tampa Bay Rays number. They have won fourteen straight at home against the Rays. The last time Tampa Bay won in Cleveland was the 2005 season. Cleveland has won 15 of the last 22 overall in the past three seasons. Rays starter Matt Garza has had trouble against the AL Central as he has a 1-7 Team Start Record. As a road favorite, he has a 2-9 TSR. Indians starter Carl Pavano won his last start going head-to-head with Royals star Zach Greinke who was nearly unhittable before that start. Go with Cleveland here.

Play on: Cleveland

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