Sunday Service Plays

Re: Sunday Service Plays

Johnny Guild

Cleveland Cavaliers at Orlando Magic

I believe we will see another close gung ho clash tonight at Amway Arena. Orlando will get through their painful buzzer defeat in game 2 and even the score against the Cavaliers on their home court. The Magic have won nine of the last 13 clashes against Cleveland at home and are 5-1 ATS in its last 6 home games versus the Cavaliers. Take Orlando! Lay the 1.5point with the home favorite in this rivalry.

Orlando Magic -1.5

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Gina

Cleveland Cavaliers at Orlando Magic

Go with Orlando to beat the Cavaliers for the third straight time this season at Amway Arena. The Magic are 5-0 ATS against the Cavaliers in the last five meetings and 5-1 both straight-up and against the spread in its last 6 games against them in the Sunshine State.

Orlando Magic -1½


New York Mets at Boston Red Sox

Go with the Red Sox with their knuckleballer on the hill to avoid a three-game sweep against the Mets at Fenway Park. Boston will send veteran knuckleballer Tim Wakefield to the hill. The right-hander is 5-0 with a 1.80 ERA in his last six starts at home and the Red Sox have won six of Wakefield's last 7 starts, nine of his last 11 interleague starts.

Boston Red Sox -180

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

OC DOOLEY

Brewers at Twins UNDER 9

This is my second baseball pick of the day where INJURY news comes into play. Milwaukee starting shortstop J.J. Hardy (back) and outfielder Corey Hart (hand) both were unable to play yesterday. Due to injuries, the robust Milwaukee lineup has been able to generate only FOUR runs combined in the past couple of days. Minnesota's lineup also is ailing as designated hitter Jason Kubel (.336, 23 RBI) is out of the lineup with a knee problem. I am aware that tonight's Twins starter Scott Baker has a rather high ERA, but he was effective at the major league level a year ago and is going against a depleted Brewers lineup. The big story in tonight's pitching matchup is Milwaukee's Dave Bush who has had QUALITY starts (6+ innings/3 or less earned runs allowed) in SEVEN of his 8 season assignments. With the free-agent losses of C.C. Sabathia and Ben Sheets, it was imperative for the Brewers to have someone in the rotation step up to the plate so to speak. My database research indicates that Minnesota is 21-8 UNDER after batting at least .315 at the plate in a 5-game span. That statistic tells us not to be fooled by Minnesota's recent high offensive outputs

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

VEGAS EXPERTS

Baltimore Orioles at Washington Nationals

It takes a lot for the Washington Nationals to be favored, let alone actually win, but all the right factors may be in play this afternoon. Over the last two seasons, Baltimore is an atrocious 5-26 in Sunday games and that includes a 7-4 loss to KC last week. Coincidental? Possibly, but the O's must also deal with Nats starter Martis, who is 3-0 at home this year with a solid 3.29 ERA. Look for Washington to avoid the sweep.

Play on: Washington

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Tom Freese

Milwaukee at Minnesota

Milwaukee is 8-2-1 UNDER in the last 11 road starts made by David Bush and he has a better that 6-1 strikeout to walk ratio in his last 3 starts. The Brewers are 16-5-1 UNDER off a loss and they are they are 22-8 UNDER vs. an opponent who scored 5 or more runs in their last game. Minnesota is 40-16-5 UNDER on Sunday and they are 7-3 UNDER last 10 Interleague games. The Twins are 11-5 UNDER with Scott Baker when the Total is 9.0 to 10.5 and they are 4-1 UNDER in Interleague home games vs. righty starters. PLAY ON 'UNDER' (Baker vs. Bush)

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Scott Rickenbach

Florida vs Tampa Bay
Play Over

One of the key reasons this didn't make our card for Sunday is the weather concerns in Florida. In other words, with less of a threat of thunderstorms, we quite likely would have pulled the trigger here with a guaranteed play. Even though Shields has some great numbers for Tampa Bay he also has shown a knack - throughout his career - for being much stronger at home than he is on the road. That said, don't be surprised if he plays a factor in rejuvenating a Marlins offense that has only scored five runs so far in this series.

As for the Rays offense, they have exploded for 25 runs so far in this series and they are unlikely to slow down today. Tampa Bay's lineup is simply "in the zone" right now and that means they're bringing a special confidence to the ballpark. Johnson has solid numbers but he's facing a very tough test here and that's why we're calling for both teams to enjoy some success at the plate in this one. And, with such a low total posted on this game, it really doesn't take much to cash this ticket! Consider a small play on OVER the total in Florida on Sunday afternoon.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Jimmy The Moose

Toronto Blue Jays at Atlanta Braves
Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays

The Blue Jays are on a 4-game losing streak and they are just hanging on to top spot in the AL. This afternoon they send Richmond to the mound to end the losing. Richmond is 4-2 on the year and the Blue Jays are 6-2 when he starts. Atlanta is 5-11 in their last 16 games as a home favorite. In their last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter they are 4-10. In Jurrjens last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record the Braves are 1-4. The Jays are 12-5 in the last 17 meetings. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays +.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Larry Ness

Toronto Blue Jays @ Atlanta Braves
PICK: Atlanta Braves

The Jays have been a huge surprise this year but at 27-19, they now lead the Red Sox and Yanks by just a half-game in the AL East. The Jays began a nine-game road trip by losing all three games at Fenway (Tuesday-Thursday) and have lost 1-0 and 4-3 the last two nights, here in Atlanta. Toronto has been held to seven hits or less three times during its five-game slide, has batted only .241 as a team and worst of all, has scored a grand total of just eight runs (that's 1.6 per game!). Meanwhile, the Braves are heading in the opposite direction. Atlanta concludes its nine-game homestand with this game and enters this series finale 5-3, so far. That's good news for Braves fans, as the team had opened the homestand as owners of MLB's worst home mark (5-9). Better yet, the Braves have won 11 of 16 since losing four straight from May 2-5. Toronto will start Scott Richmond. He was 1-3 with a 4.00 ERA in five starts in 2008 but got off to an excellent start for the Jays in 2009. He began the season with four wins in his first five starts, getting 30 runs of support to go 4-0 with a 2.67 ERA (team was 5-0). However,he hasn't won since May 8 and has allowed five ERs in an outing twice in his last three starts, including making it through just 1.2 innings vs the Yankees. His ERA of 5.40 ERA in that span hasn't been helped by the fact that he's gotten just six runs to work with. Jair Jurrjens will start for Atlanta. He had a nice first season with Atlanta in 2008, going 13-10 with a 3.68 ERA (team was 17-14 in 31 starts, including 11-5 in Atlanta). He's been even better this year and has even pitched better on the road than at home. However, he hasn't been bad anywhere in 2009, allowing two ERs or less in EIGHT of his nine starts. His ERA is 1.96 and he's allowed just 42 hits over 55 innings (he's 4-2 and the team 5-4). Jurrjens should own a better record and I expect him to add a much-deserved win to his 2009 record here, vs the slumping Jays. Take Atlanta.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

John Ryan

San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners
Play: San Francisco Giants   

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on SF as they face Seattle. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 43-8 since 1997 making 33.5 units since 1997 for 84% winners. Play against any team that is a poor AL hitting team hitting <=.260 facing a good NL starting pitcher posting an ERA <=3.70 and is a cold hitting team batting .240 or worse over their last 15 games. Seattle is just 3-13 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 to 4.20 since 1997. Take SF.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Vernon Croy

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves     
Play: Atlanta Braves   

Take the Atlanta Braves to complete the sweep at home today against this Blue Jays line-up that is struggling after being swept out of Boston. The Jays are just 5-11 in their last 16 interleague games including just 1-7 in their last 8 road interleague games and the Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record. Jair Jurrjens (4-2, 1.96 ERA) has pitched solid over his last 3 starts with an ERA of just 2.08 while lasting an average of 7.2 innings per start and the Braves are 4-1 in Jurrjens last 5 starts in game 3 of a series. Jurrjens faced the Jays last season and allowed just 3 hits and no earned runs over 8 innings and I look for him to have another solid start Sunday afternoon. Scott Richmond (4-2, 3.64 ERA) was solid in his last start allowing no earned runs but he has allowed 5 earned runs in each of his previous 2 starts and I look for the Braves to have success against him today. Take the Atlanta Braves as my MLB Free Play for Sunday.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Chris Jordan

Philadelphia at NY YANKEES -155

Those walk-off wins certainly take a lot out of teams; especially in the Bronx. It did the Minnesota Twins, and it will the Philadelphia Phillies today in this matinee.

"Ace" C.C. Sabathia toes the slab today, and that's good enough for me, quite frankly, as he's found his groove and is in the rhythm the Yanks hoped he'd be by now.

He's gone 3-0 in his last three outings with a 1.12 ERA, and comes in after a dominating performance on Tuesday, when he allowed one run on three hits over seven innings of a 9-1 victory over the Orioles.

Philadelphia has lost Cole Hamels' last four games when he’s gone off as the underdog.

Let's take the home team here.

1&#9830; YANKEES

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Drew Gordon

Cleveland -120 at CINCINNATI 

Solid Free Play winner on the Twins over the Brewers 6-2 Saturday, as part of my 3-0 SWEEP across the board (incl. free & paid plays)! We keep it rolling on the Diamond Sunday...

I told you in the beginning of the season, that it would take Cliff Lee a couple starts to get his mojo back, and quite frankly, I was dead-on. At this point though, there's no question he's pitching like the Cy Young Award winner he is, posting 1.17 ERA over his last 3 starts (going 1-1 overall, due in large part to lack of run support). He's been fantastic of late, and I'm expecting that to continue this afternoon.

Part of the reason I'm liking Lee in this spot has to do with the Reds struggles at home against lefties, going just 2-6 thus far. Not only that, but they've had a hell of time scoring runs against southpaws, averaging just 3.7 runs per game against them. The fact Brandon Phillips hurt his thumb yesterday also doesn't bode well for this Cincy club, as they can ill afford to lose their RBI leader (34), especially against the likes of Cliff Lee!

Finally, let's discuss Johnny Cueto, who's coming off his first loss in May. He got tagged for 4 runs in 7 innings against the Phillies Tuesday, and while some are expecting a bounce back here, I not convinced. He's going to have ZERO room for error against Lee, and his 1-2 record and 3.33 ERA at home (as compared to 3-0, 1.35 ERA away) is nothing to write home about. In the end, Lee finally gets rewarded for his hard work, as the Indians builds off their 7-6 win Saturday with another solid effort here this afternoon.

Take Cleveland behind Lee over Cincinnati and Cueto in this MLB match up.

2&#9830; CLEVELAND

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

JACK JONES

Tampa Bay Rays -118

Josh Johnson has pitched incredibly for the Marlins so far this year, but equally impressive has been the Rays' bats over their past 4 games, where they've belted at least 6 runs and scored in the double-digits twice -- both times against the Marlins.  Even if Johnson finds a way to cool Tampa's bats, the Marlins' bullpen has been terrible, especially at home this season.  As a squad they are 2-5 in Florida with a 6.55 ERA and have blown 6 of 9 save chances on their home field.  Tampa starter, James Shields, should be able to keep up with whatever Johnson can hold the Rays to, and when it comes to the later innings, Tampa Bay has a clear edge.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

LEE KOSTROSKI

Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros
PICK: Houston Astros

The Astros have not been a great home team but they also have not been swept at home all season. After back-to-back narrow losses Friday and Saturday including an extra-innings affair Houston should come out ready to play for Sunday’s finale in the opening Lone Star interleague series. Texas is a banged up team with Ian Kinsler, Michael Young, and Frank Francisco all unavailable for yesterday’s game and Josh Hamilton should be rested today. The Astros have played well on Sundays, winning 16 of the last 21 games to wrap up the week. Texas is just a .500 team on the road this season and having wrapped up the series last night the Rangers could letdown for this game, the sixth consecutive road game for Texas.

Brandon McCarthy has a winning record this season but he owns a 6.95 ERA in road games. McCarthy has allowed at least three runs in all but one of his eight starts this season and in road starts his WHIP is 1.91 while opponents are batting .320. Over his three most recent starts McCarthy has an ERA of 7.00 and he will be tough to trust against an Astros lineup that is actually hitting well in recent games. Houston is batting .304 over the last ten games and they have lost three one-run games in that span so they are close to putting together a much better record. The Texas bullpen has also been a big problem area this season outside of Francisco, as the Rangers feature an ERA of 4.85 among relievers.

Mike Hampton’s comeback attempt has not been an overwhelming success but he pitching respectably. He has 33 strikeouts in just 43 innings and in five of his eight starts he has allowed three runs or less.Over the last ten games the Rangers are hitting just .251 overall including just .233 against left-handed pitching despite having success against southpaws early in April. The Rangers are also hitting just .244 on the road this season. This is a critical game for Houston after dropping the first two of this series and the Astros are playing much better than the record indicates.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Scott Delaney

I just don't believe the BoSox will let any team from New York come into Fenway and score a sweep. New York scored two runs in the top of the ninth and held on to beat the Red Sox 3-2 yesterday, and that won't sit right today when they take the field.

We have Timmy Wakefield going, and I'll bank on the knuckle-ball specialist to silence the Mets' bats in this one. The Red Sox have won each of his three home starts this season while he hasn’t allowed more than two earned runs in any of those games. Boston is a stellar 9-2 when Wake faces N.L. squads, so I'll side with him here.

BOSTON RED SOX

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Craig Davis

Finally lost a free play for the first time in seven tries yesterday as the Nuggets failed to deliver. But I've still nailed six of seven and plan to make it seven of eight today with the OVER in the Cleveland/Orlando Game 3 matchup.

The first two games in this series have gone OVER the posted price and there's no reason to think Game 3 should be any different. Both teams average 100 PPG for the season, shooting better than 45% from the field. It appears that defense has gone out the window in the first two games of this series and after seeing Cleveland score at least 97 points in 6 of their last 7 playoff games, I think it's safe to say the Cavs have found their offensive rhythm.

Orlando has surpassed the century mark in two of its last three games, and still scored 95 in the other outing. No doubt both teams push 95 points today, and I wouldn't be surprised to see both of these teams hit 100 again.

Free play winner #7 of 8 is on the Cleveland/Orlando game OVER the total.

2&#9830; CAVS/MAGIC OVER

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Wunderdog

Colorado at Detroit
Pick: Detroit -160

Colorado ended Detroit's six-game winning streak last game. That was a fluke and I really like the Tigers to rebound here with Dontrelle Willis on the mound. Detroit is 15-6 at home while Colorado has won just 10 of 25 of the road. The Rockies are just 2-15 the past two seasons on the road after a five-game stretch of hitting .225 or worse. The Tigers are 28-10 the past three seasons in interleague games. Jason Hammel has posted a 5.75 ERA in his last three starts and I think he's going to struggle quite a bit against this potent Tigers' lineup. I look for Detroit to bounce back with a win here.

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