Sunday Service Plays

Re: Sunday Service Plays

JACK JONES

Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 -110 over Chicago White Sox

The Chicago White Sox have scored just 2.6 runs per game over their last seven and four runs per game against right-handed starters this season.  Toronto has scored 6.2 runs per game against right-handed starters and 5.8 per game overall so the offensive advantage goes to the Blue Jays.  The pitching matchup though is where the real advantage here is with Roy Halladay having given up just 5 ER in his last 25 innings.  Gavin Floyd has been terrible this year with a 7.32 ERA and 1.88 WHIP, but in his last three starts he's been worse with a 9.56 ERA and 2.13 WHIP.  Toronto is 14-5 the last three years against Chicago and today should go the Blue Jays way.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Nick Parsons

Houston Rockets @ LA Lakers -12.5

The Western Conference semifinals between the Los Angeles Lakers and Houston Rockets appears to come down to a simple question: Which Lakers team will show up for the decisive Game 7? It's my firm belief that the Lakers will have their best game of the series on the defensive end and improve to a perfect 3-0 ATS when tied in a playoff series; play on the LAKERS!

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Nelly

Baltimore - over Kansas City

It is odd to see the Orioles as a road favorite but Koji Uehara has been an outstanding pitcher. Uehara has a season WHIP of just 1.12 and he has made five straight starts going six innings or more with three earned runs or less. Uehara has just two walks in that span and he will be a tough match-up for a Royals team that has gone cold offensively. Luke Hochevar was rattled easily in allowing eight runs in two innings in his first start this year and that came against a very tame A's offense. Baltimore has won two of three in this series and the Orioles have completely dominated this series the last several years. The Royals are 1-7 in the last eight games and the storybook start appears to be fading fast. Meanwhile the Orioles are hitting .299 over the last ten games and the bullpen has shown marked improvement with George Sherrill rebounding. This is a great match-up for the Orioles and despite the odd line, Baltimore is the clear play.

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Michael Cannon

Cincinnati +145 at SAN DIEGO 

The Blue Jays come through yesterday and I’m now on a 24-11-1 run with my last 36 free plays!

Take the Reds as the big road dog for the win today over the Padres.

Interesting matchup here as the struggling Jake Peavy goes against a team he’s never lost against in his career.

That doesn’t mean I’m willing to pay this price to back him.

In fact, I’m willing to look past anything Peavy has accomplished in his career until I see a shred of evidence that he’s not bothered anymore by having pitched in the WBC this year.

The right-hander is 0-4 with a 4.50 ERA in is last five starts.

He’ll be facing a Reds team that will start Bronson Arroyo, who is 5-2 despite a gaudy 7.02 ERA on the year.

Arroyo has pitched better on the road than at home this year, but 5-2 is 5-2 anyway you look at it.  He’s obviously getting great run support and I look for that trend to continue today against the struggling Peavy.

Take the Reds as they grab the road win.

3♦ CINCINNATI

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Vernon Croy

Take Cincinnati ML

This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and we are getting solid value here today with the Reds. Jake Peavy (2-5, 4.30 ERA) is 0-4 with an ERA of 4.50 in his last 4 starts and the Padres are 0-5 in Peavy's last 5 starts. The Padres are just 1-4 in their last 5 games as a favorite and they are just 1-5 in their last 6 games after a win. The Reds are a perfect 4-0 in Arroyo's last 4 road starts and he has pitched solid on the road this season with an ERA of just 2.86 while averaging 7.1 innings per start. The Reds are a perfect 5-0 in Arroyo's last 5 starts as a dog of +110 to +150 and the Reds are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a dog of +110 to +150. The Padres are hitting just .225 as a team at home this season and the Reds are hitting .311 as a team over their last 7 games while averaging 7.1 rpg. Grab the value with the Reds who are 13-7 on the road this season as my MLB Free Play for Sunday.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Yankee Capper

Pittsburgh Pirates -105
San Francisco Giants -105
Detroit Tigers -135
Boston Red Sox -140

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

LT Profits

Colorado Rockies -110

Ubaldo Jimenez of the Colorado Rockies may have mediocre overall numbers, but he is returning to his normal great form lately and he gives the Rockies the edge over the Pittsburgh Pirates this afternoon.

Jimenez may be 3-4 with a 4.72 ERA, but he has now recorded three consecutive Quality Starts, posting a 2.14 ERA with an excellent 0.95 WHIP over those starts. He is also a perfect two for two in Quality Starts vs. this Pirates team over the last two seasons, and both of those efforts came in the altitude of Colorado.

Now Zach Duke is 4-3 with a 2.52 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP for Pittsburgh, but he has been simply awful in his last three starts vs. the Rockies. He allowed 19 earned runs and 30 baserunners in just 16 innings over those three starts, with two of the outings coming here in Pittsburgh. Should Zach struggles against Colorado again, do not expect much help from a struggling Pirates bullpen that has posted a collective 5.08 ERA over the last 10 games.

Finally, the Pirates are still just 4-14 in their last 18 games even after winning here last night, so look for them to return to their losing ways here.

Pick: Rockies -110

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Mike Rose

Los Angeles Lakers -13

The Rockets kept their championship aspirations alive by playing very tough defense at home in Game 6; it isnt every day you see the Lakers score a feeble 80 points. Houston held LA to an atrocious 35% shooting from the field, but gave up 15 offensive rebounds allowing the Lakers to stay close late in the game. Rockets G Aaron Brooks is having the series of his life averaging 18.3 PPG. He had another big game on Thursday going off for 26 points while grabbing three rebounds and dishing out four assists. The Rockets are 1-5 ATS their L/6 trips to the Staples Center, and theyre a woeful 2-10 ATS off a SU win as an underdog this season.

The Lakers didnt expect to be on the ropes at the beginning of this series, but thanks to a lack of offense, thats exactly where they find themselves in Game 7. Los Angeles averaged 106 PPG during the regular season, but has averaged just 99 points per game in this series. Lakers G Kobe Bryant has carried his team offensively averaging 29.6 PPG, which puts him at just under 30% of the Lakers entire scoring production. LA is 3-0 SU in this series when they puscore 100 points or more with two of those three contests being played at home. Los Angeles served up a 40-point woodshed beating in their Game 5 home match-up with the Rockets, and will look to protect its own house in this spot again tonight. The Lakers are 7-3 ATS in their L/10 meetings with the Rockets, and 14-5 ATS when tied in a playoff series since 1996.

History tells us that most teams respond when theyre on the road in an elimination game. However, this season has shown new trends with teams like the Miami Heat and Portland Trail Blazers getting blown out of the water. Look for the Rockets lack of depth inside to cost them here today much like it did in Game 5, and for the Lakers to blow them out of the playoffs by covering another big spread on their home floor.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

EZWINNER'S FREE SELECTION


(970) Detroit Tigers -$165


(Listing Galarraga and Cahill)


We have cashed in two free winners in a row with the Tigers
and we will look to make it three straight as I ride them again
against the offensively weak Oakland A's. Lay the juice as
the Tigers get the sweep.


2009 Free Selections Record  72-61  (54.1%)

===============================================

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
262 - 172      run  60 %     7-2 last  9

SUN SF Giants  Sat  TY Boston Red Sox

==============================================

Free Selection from Totals4U
Sunday's free selection: Cincinnati/San Diego over 7 1/2


8)

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