What are your top baseball betting tips?

What are your top baseball betting tips?

  I will start off on what I consider one of the most important but yet not understood aspects of betting MLB totals; weather.

I keep a folder for every major sport full of stats, tips and tidbits I find over the years for reference. Here are some of the baseball factors to consider:

*Optimum for hitting: high elevation, wind blowing out, warm and humid. Flip side would be low elevation, wind blowing, cold and dry.

*Using the average wind speed of 10mph:
With the ball, a 400 foot HR ball will now go 430 feet
Against the ball, a 400 foot HR ball will now stop short and land in someone's glove around the 370 foot mark
A crosswind will throw a fastball off it's path by close to 3 inches. It even has a bigger effect on curveballs and knuckeballs (important to know if this condition applies and the starter/closer)

*Barometric pressure: on a 95 degree day with a pressure of 29.50 inches of mercury is going to send the ball about 20 feet further on a potential HR than say weather of 45 degrees and a pressure of 30.50 inches.

*Air density. A baseball hit in Colorado will travel 9% further than a baseball hit in New York. Factor this in with favorable hitting conditions from above, the hitter can gain up to 20 FEET MORE on a hit ball.

How important is the stuff above? Wel, a fastball in Denver will reach the plate faster in Colorado than in New York but the curve will break about 3 inches less because of the conditions. Studies on this show an infielder's range decreases about a full foot and an outfielder close to 9 feet.

A guy from Yale, Robert Adair actually wrote a book on the physics of baseball. He goes over everything that could factor in to the game. Pretty amazing stuff that if you really want to break down the game is worth a quick read.

Johnny Detroit
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Re: What are your top baseball betting tips?

Added one is when looking at runlines:

Road favs cover the runline close to 44% of the time, while home favs around 39%. By 1 run? Road 12%, Home 18%. The rest are losers. So you find value in road favs on the runline due to the extra at bat.

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Re: What are your top baseball betting tips?

How teams fair against right/left handed pitching

Weather

Umpires

When I do bet Baseball these are the first things I look at.

Blade
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Re: What are your top baseball betting tips?

weather and umpires is the forgotten art of handicapping baseball.

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